ADSK AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?
Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK)
Fundamentals
Autodesk (ADSK) demonstrates robust fundamental health highlighted by consistent revenue growth and expanding profitability margins over recent quarters. Earnings quality has improved with solid operational cash flows and effective cost management, supporting a strong competitive position in the software application sector. The company’s growth is driven by strong demand for its design and engineering software, sustained R&D investments, and a resilient subscription-based business model.
Financial Highlights
- Revenue
- Net Income
- Net Margin (%)
Revenue
18.43% YoY
Q1 2026
Net Income
223.03% YoY
Q1 2026
Net Margin
Q1 2026
Growth Metrics
Revenue Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Net Income Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Revenue Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
EPS Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Book Value Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 1.9B | 2.0B | 1.9B | 1.8B | 1.6B | 1.6B | 1.6B | 1.5B |
| Revenue Growth YoY | +18.43% | +19.40% | +18.03% | +17.14% | +15.24% | +11.57% | +11.03% | +11.90% |
| Net Income | 491.0M | 316.0M | 343.0M | 313.0M | 152.0M | 303.0M | 275.0M | 282.0M |
| Net Income Growth YoY | +223.03% | +4.29% | +24.73% | +10.99% | -39.68% | +7.45% | +14.11% | +27.03% |
| EPS | $2.33 | $1.49 | $1.61 | $1.47 | $0.71 | $1.41 | $1.28 | $1.31 |
| EPS Growth YoY | +228.17% | +5.73% | +25.78% | +12.21% | -39.32% | +10.97% | +13.27% | +25.96% |
Profitability Metrics
Technical Analysis
Autodesk (ADSK) currently is in a mixed technical state with price trading below major moving averages and ADX indicating a weak trend. Despite some short-term bullish momentum signals such as a recent MACD bullish crossover and a break of minor resistance, the overall medium-term trend remains bearish, reflected in a Stage 4 declining phase. Key support lies near $220, while resistance around $252 is significant for overcoming bearish pressures.
No extreme reading
Mixed signals
Range-bound market
Watching for cross
Key Technical Values
Price with Moving Averages
50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages
Relative Strength Index
Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes
RSI (14)
Earnings
Autodesk (ADSK) demonstrates robust fundamental health highlighted by consistent revenue growth and expanding profitability margins over recent quarters. Earnings quality has improved with solid operational cash flows and effective cost management, supporting a strong competitive position in the software application sector. The company’s growth is driven by strong demand for its design and engineering software, sustained R&D investments, and a resilient subscription-based business model.
Latest Earnings
Q1 2026 Earnings (Apr 30, 2026)
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Actual
$2.99
Estimated
$2.84
Surprise
+$0.15
Surprise %
+5.28%
Revenue
Actual
$1.93B
Estimated
$1.89B
Surprise
+$40.62M
Surprise %
+2.15%
Historical Earnings
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Per Share | ||||||||
| EPS (Actual) | $2.99 | $2.85 | $2.67 | $2.62 | $2.29 | $2.29 | $2.17 | $2.15 |
| EPS (Estimated) | $2.84 | $2.65 | $2.50 | $2.45 | $2.15 | $2.14 | $2.12 | $2.00 |
| EPS Surprise | +$0.15 | +$0.20 | +$0.17 | +$0.17 | +$0.14 | +$0.15 | +$0.05 | +$0.15 |
| % Diff | +5.3% | +7.5% | +6.8% | +6.9% | +6.5% | +7.0% | +2.4% | +7.5% |
| Revenue | ||||||||
| Revenue (Actual) | $1.93B | $1.96B | $1.85B | $1.76B | $1.63B | $1.64B | $1.57B | $1.51B |
| Revenue (Estimated) | $1.89B | $1.91B | $1.81B | $1.72B | $1.61B | $1.63B | $1.56B | $1.48B |
| Revenue Surprise | +$40.62M | +$42.95M | +$45.84M | +$38.26M | +$18.33M | +$7.06M | +$7.9M | +$22.65M |
| % Diff | +2.1% | +2.2% | +2.5% | +2.2% | +1.1% | +0.4% | +0.5% | +1.5% |
Valuation
Autodesk's valuation metrics present a premium but justified valuation given its strong operational efficiency and robust growth prospects in the technology software sector. Analyst sentiment is largely positive with a significant upside potential reflected in consensus price targets. Although some valuation multiples appear elevated compared to broader sector averages, they are reasonable within the context of Autodesk's growth trajectory and market positioning.
Valuation Metrics
Price to Earnings
TTM
Price to Sales
TTM
Price to Book
TTM
Enterprise Value to EBITDA
TTM
Enterprise Value to Revenue
TTM
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price to Earnings | 25.43 | 42.43 | 46.79 | 51.55 | 96.57 | 55.23 | 55.43 | 47.24 |
| Price to Sales | 25.86 | 27.39 | 34.64 | 36.62 | 35.94 | 40.84 | 38.86 | 35.52 |
| Price to Book | 15.68 | 17.61 | 22.19 | 23.78 | 22.43 | 25.54 | 23.32 | 21.61 |
| Enterprise Value to EBITDA | 77.02 | 109.28 | 124.87 | 129.81 | 209.22 | 162.44 | 155.78 | 137.07 |
| Enterprise Value to Revenue | 25.88 | 27.64 | 35.04 | 37.04 | 36.39 | 41.43 | 39.59 | 36.25 |
Sentiment & Analyst Ratings
Autodesk (ADSK) is currently viewed with predominantly positive market sentiment fueled by strong recent earnings, strategic acquisitions, and confident analyst buy ratings. Despite some sector headwinds and a ticker price below its 52-week high, strong insider buying and improving financials provide strong bullish momentum. The consensus among analysts indicates a notable upside potential toward the $305-$323 range in the next 12 months.
Analyst Recommendations
Risk Assessment
Autodesk faces a moderately elevated financial risk profile with liquidity ratios below ideal thresholds, signaling potential short-term funding pressures despite a manageable debt load. The company is navigating ongoing restructuring and integration activities which pose operational and execution risks but aligns with strategic priorities such as cloud and AI. Competitive and macroeconomic headwinds alongside restructuring-related charges add complexity to its near-term outlook.
Liquidity & Solvency
Current Ratio
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Quick Ratio
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Debt-to-Equity
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Debt-to-Assets
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidity Metrics | ||||||||
| Current Ratio | 0.83 | 0.85 | 0.82 | 0.76 | 0.65 | 0.68 | 0.65 | 0.64 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.83 | 0.85 | 0.82 | 0.76 | 0.65 | 0.68 | 0.65 | 0.64 |
| Solvency Metrics | ||||||||
| Debt-to-Equity | 0.85 | 0.90 | 0.95 | 1.01 | 0.97 | 0.98 | 0.99 | 1.05 |
| Debt-to-Assets | 0.23 | 0.22 | 0.24 | 0.25 | 0.24 | 0.24 | 0.25 | 0.26 |
Liquidity Assessment
Current Ratio: 0.83(Weak)
Quick Ratio: 0.83(Adequate)
The company has relatively weak liquidity and may face challenges meeting short-term obligations.
Solvency Assessment
Debt-to-Equity: 0.85(Moderate)
Debt-to-Assets: 0.23(Low)
The company maintains a balanced capital structure with manageable debt levels.
Frequently Asked Questions about ADSK
AI Answers: Common Questions About ADSK
Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Autodesk, Inc.
Yes, Autodesk is a good buy for medium to long-term investors given its 18%+ revenue growth, 65% EPS increase in Q1 2026, and leadership in digital design software. The P/E of 21.04 is reasonable relative to growth and profitability.
Not recommended to sell currently unless short-term technical breakdown below $220 occurs or fundamental deterioration arises. Strong earnings and positive sentiment support holding or buying.
Key risks include restructuring and acquisition integration challenges, macroeconomic slowdowns affecting IT spending, and competitive pressures from alternative software solutions.
Analyst consensus price targets range between $305 and $323, implying 28-38% upside from the current $234.20 price.
Autodesk trades at a premium P/E and EV/EBITDA compared to sector averages, justified by consistent double-digit growth, high gross margins above 90%, and expanding operating margins near 28%.
Strong fundamentals with steady revenue growth from $6.13B in 2024 to $7.21B in 2025, improving margins, and solid cash flow generation underpin the investment case.
Short-term technicals are mixed with price below 150 and 200 SMAs and a Stage 4 downtrend, suggesting caution. Confirmation above $238-$252 resistance is needed for bullish momentum.
Catalysts include the MaintainX acquisition expanding recurring revenues, AI and cloud integration accelerating product adoption, and continued strong earnings beats driving positive sentiment.
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