ADSK AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK)

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

Autodesk (ADSK) demonstrates robust fundamental health highlighted by consistent revenue growth and expanding profitability margins over recent quarters. Earnings quality has improved with solid operational cash flows and effective cost management, supporting a strong competitive position in the software application sector. The company’s growth is driven by strong demand for its design and engineering software, sustained R&D investments, and a resilient subscription-based business model.

Financial Highlights

Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026$0$500.0M$1.0B$1.5B$2.0BRevenue & Net Income ($)6%12%18%24%30%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$1.93B

18.43% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Income

$491.00M

223.03% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Margin

25.39%

Q1 2026

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

18.43%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Net Income Growth YoY

223.03%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

20.12%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

EPS Growth YoY

228.17%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

23.59%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Revenue1.9B2.0B1.9B1.8B1.6B1.6B1.6B1.5B
Revenue Growth YoY+18.43%+19.40%+18.03%+17.14%+15.24%+11.57%+11.03%+11.90%
Net Income491.0M316.0M343.0M313.0M152.0M303.0M275.0M282.0M
Net Income Growth YoY+223.03%+4.29%+24.73%+10.99%-39.68%+7.45%+14.11%+27.03%
EPS$2.33$1.49$1.61$1.47$0.71$1.41$1.28$1.31
EPS Growth YoY+228.17%+5.73%+25.78%+12.21%-39.32%+10.97%+13.27%+25.96%

Profitability Metrics

No profitability metrics available

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
NEUTRAL

Autodesk (ADSK) currently is in a mixed technical state with price trading below major moving averages and ADX indicating a weak trend. Despite some short-term bullish momentum signals such as a recent MACD bullish crossover and a break of minor resistance, the overall medium-term trend remains bearish, reflected in a Stage 4 declining phase. Key support lies near $220, while resistance around $252 is significant for overcoming bearish pressures.

RSI
Hold
Neutral61

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Hold
Mixed

Mixed signals

-7.4% from 200 SMA
ADX
Hold
Weak/No Trend18

Range-bound market

Weak
MA Cross
Hold
Death Cross

Watching for cross

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$234.71
50 SMA
$215.71
150 SMA
$237.75
200 SMA
$253.48
52W High
$329.09
52W Low
$185.50

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
61Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

Autodesk (ADSK) demonstrates robust fundamental health highlighted by consistent revenue growth and expanding profitability margins over recent quarters. Earnings quality has improved with solid operational cash flows and effective cost management, supporting a strong competitive position in the software application sector. The company’s growth is driven by strong demand for its design and engineering software, sustained R&D investments, and a resilient subscription-based business model.

Latest Earnings

Q1 2026 Earnings (Apr 30, 2026)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$2.99

Estimated

$2.84

Surprise

+$0.15

Surprise %

+5.28%

Revenue

Beat

Actual

$1.93B

Estimated

$1.89B

Surprise

+$40.62M

Surprise %

+2.15%

Historical Earnings

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$2.99$2.85$2.67$2.62$2.29$2.29$2.17$2.15
EPS (Estimated)$2.84$2.65$2.50$2.45$2.15$2.14$2.12$2.00
EPS Surprise+$0.15+$0.20+$0.17+$0.17+$0.14+$0.15+$0.05+$0.15
% Diff+5.3%+7.5%+6.8%+6.9%+6.5%+7.0%+2.4%+7.5%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$1.93B$1.96B$1.85B$1.76B$1.63B$1.64B$1.57B$1.51B
Revenue (Estimated)$1.89B$1.91B$1.81B$1.72B$1.61B$1.63B$1.56B$1.48B
Revenue Surprise+$40.62M+$42.95M+$45.84M+$38.26M+$18.33M+$7.06M+$7.9M+$22.65M
% Diff+2.1%+2.2%+2.5%+2.2%+1.1%+0.4%+0.5%+1.5%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
FAIRLY VALUED

Autodesk's valuation metrics present a premium but justified valuation given its strong operational efficiency and robust growth prospects in the technology software sector. Analyst sentiment is largely positive with a significant upside potential reflected in consensus price targets. Although some valuation multiples appear elevated compared to broader sector averages, they are reasonable within the context of Autodesk's growth trajectory and market positioning.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

34.02

TTM

Price to Sales

6.60

TTM

Price to Book

15.53

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

22.88

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

6.61

TTM

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Price to Earnings25.4342.4346.7951.5596.5755.2355.4347.24
Price to Sales25.8627.3934.6436.6235.9440.8438.8635.52
Price to Book15.6817.6122.1923.7822.4325.5423.3221.61
Enterprise Value to EBITDA77.02109.28124.87129.81209.22162.44155.78137.07
Enterprise Value to Revenue25.8827.6435.0437.0436.3941.4339.5936.25

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
POSITIVE

Autodesk (ADSK) is currently viewed with predominantly positive market sentiment fueled by strong recent earnings, strategic acquisitions, and confident analyst buy ratings. Despite some sector headwinds and a ticker price below its 52-week high, strong insider buying and improving financials provide strong bullish momentum. The consensus among analysts indicates a notable upside potential toward the $305-$323 range in the next 12 months.

Analyst Recommendations

As of Jul 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Buy
4.1 / 5.0
Based on 36 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
0
Sell
0
Hold
4
Buy
25
Strong Buy
7

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
MODERATE

Autodesk faces a moderately elevated financial risk profile with liquidity ratios below ideal thresholds, signaling potential short-term funding pressures despite a manageable debt load. The company is navigating ongoing restructuring and integration activities which pose operational and execution risks but aligns with strategic priorities such as cloud and AI. Competitive and macroeconomic headwinds alongside restructuring-related charges add complexity to its near-term outlook.

Liquidity & Solvency

Current Ratio

0.83

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Quick Ratio

0.83

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Debt-to-Equity

0.85

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Debt-to-Assets

0.23

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Liquidity Metrics
Current Ratio0.830.850.820.760.650.680.650.64
Quick Ratio0.830.850.820.760.650.680.650.64
Solvency Metrics
Debt-to-Equity0.850.900.951.010.970.980.991.05
Debt-to-Assets0.230.220.240.250.240.240.250.26

Liquidity Assessment

Current Ratio: 0.83(Weak)

Quick Ratio: 0.83(Adequate)

The company has relatively weak liquidity and may face challenges meeting short-term obligations.

Solvency Assessment

Debt-to-Equity: 0.85(Moderate)

Debt-to-Assets: 0.23(Low)

The company maintains a balanced capital structure with manageable debt levels.

Frequently Asked Questions about ADSK

AI Answers: Common Questions About ADSK

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Autodesk, Inc.

Yes, Autodesk is a good buy for medium to long-term investors given its 18%+ revenue growth, 65% EPS increase in Q1 2026, and leadership in digital design software. The P/E of 21.04 is reasonable relative to growth and profitability.

Not recommended to sell currently unless short-term technical breakdown below $220 occurs or fundamental deterioration arises. Strong earnings and positive sentiment support holding or buying.

Key risks include restructuring and acquisition integration challenges, macroeconomic slowdowns affecting IT spending, and competitive pressures from alternative software solutions.

Analyst consensus price targets range between $305 and $323, implying 28-38% upside from the current $234.20 price.

Autodesk trades at a premium P/E and EV/EBITDA compared to sector averages, justified by consistent double-digit growth, high gross margins above 90%, and expanding operating margins near 28%.

Strong fundamentals with steady revenue growth from $6.13B in 2024 to $7.21B in 2025, improving margins, and solid cash flow generation underpin the investment case.

Short-term technicals are mixed with price below 150 and 200 SMAs and a Stage 4 downtrend, suggesting caution. Confirmation above $238-$252 resistance is needed for bullish momentum.

Catalysts include the MaintainX acquisition expanding recurring revenues, AI and cloud integration accelerating product adoption, and continued strong earnings beats driving positive sentiment.

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