ALNY AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ALNY)

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
MIXED

Alnylam Pharmaceuticals demonstrates a robust fundamental profile, underpinned by its leadership in RNAi therapeutics and strong long-term growth prospects. However, high valuation multiples and margin pressure are evident, reflecting the challenges of scaling a biotechnology business with significant R&D investment.

Financial Highlights

Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026-$450.0M$0$450.0M$900.0M$1.4BRevenue & Net Income ($)-10%0%10%20%30%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$1.17B

96.43% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Income

$205.99M

458.38% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Margin

17.65%

Q1 2026

Growth Metrics

Profitability Metrics

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
BEARISH

Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) is currently exhibiting a bearish technical outlook with price trading below key moving averages and multiple indicators signaling sell. The stock's momentum is weakening with declining RSI and MACD values, while support levels near $293 are critical to watch for potential downside risks. Resistance around $321-$334 levels will be key for any bullish reversal confirmation.

RSI
Hold
Neutral40

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Sell
Strong Downtrend

Price in downtrend

-25.5% from 200 SMA
ADX
Hold
Weak/No Trend13

Range-bound market

Weak
MA Cross
Sell
Below 50/200

50 below 200 - bearish

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$292.03
50 SMA
$314.75
150 SMA
$375.28
200 SMA
$391.88
52W High
$495.55
52W Low
$252.79

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
40Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
MIXED

Alnylam Pharmaceuticals demonstrates a robust fundamental profile, underpinned by its leadership in RNAi therapeutics and strong long-term growth prospects. However, high valuation multiples and margin pressure are evident, reflecting the challenges of scaling a biotechnology business with significant R&D investment.

Latest Earnings

Q1 2026 Earnings (Mar 31, 2026)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$1.51

Estimated

$0.87

Surprise

+$0.64

Surprise %

+73.17%

Revenue

Beat

Actual

$1.17B

Estimated

$1.12B

Surprise

+$51.66M

Surprise %

+4.63%

Historical Earnings

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$1.51$0.82$2.90$0.32$-0.01$0.06$-0.50$0.56
EPS (Estimated)$0.87$1.16$0.56$-0.54$-0.89$-0.62$-0.92$-1.07
EPS Surprise+$0.64-$0.34+$2.34+$0.86+$0.88+$0.68+$0.42+$1.63
% Diff+73.2%-29.3%+416.9%+158.9%+98.9%+109.7%+45.5%+152.3%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$1.17B$1.1B$1.25B$773.69M$594.19M$593.17M$500.92M$659.83M
Revenue (Estimated)$1.12B$1.15B$959.4M$662.87M$585.14M$582.61M$532.91M$447.22M
Revenue Surprise+$51.66M-$52.08M+$289.63M+$110.82M+$9.05M+$10.56M-$31.99M+$212.6M
% Diff+4.6%-4.5%+30.2%+16.7%+1.5%+1.8%-6.0%+47.5%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
OVERVALUED

Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) currently trades at a substantial premium across valuation multiples relative to its biotech peers and broader sector benchmarks. Strong earnings growth and robust revenue momentum underpin its elevated multiples, with analysts generally optimistic and assigning a moderate buy consensus and price targets significantly above current levels. While appreciation potential exists, the rich valuation demands careful consideration of growth sustainability and risk factors.

Valuation Metrics

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
MIXED

Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) exhibits moderately positive market sentiment driven by strong Q1 2026 earnings that exceeded expectations and robust revenue growth. Analyst consensus leans toward a Buy, supported by optimistic price targets averaging around $470, despite some recent cautious revisions. Social media buzz shows rising investor interest but with moderate volume and slightly mixed reactions tied to regulatory concerns.

Analyst Recommendations

As of May 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Buy
3.9 / 5.0
Based on 28 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
0
Sell
0
Hold
8
Buy
14
Strong Buy
6

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
MODERATE

Alnylam Pharmaceuticals presents a moderate risk profile for investors, supported by strong liquidity and improving profitability metrics, but tempered by elevated leverage and competitive pressures in its niche TTR amyloidosis market. The company demonstrates robust operational cash flow capacity while facing regulatory and market execution risks inherent to biotech innovation. Overall, the risk is managed but contingent on successful pipeline progress and market dynamics.

Liquidity & Solvency

Frequently Asked Questions about ALNY

AI Answers: Common Questions About ALNY

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

ALNY is not an ideal buy for short-term traders given its bearish technicals and price below key moving averages, but long-term investors may find value in its leadership in RNAi and double-digit revenue growth. The current P/E of 74.32 and price of $295.05 are well below analyst targets (~$470), but the premium valuation demands strong execution. Consider accumulating on further weakness if you have a long-term horizon and high risk tolerance.

Short-term traders should consider selling or avoiding ALNY as technicals are bearish and momentum is weak, with downside risk to $291–$288. Medium-term holders may wait for a technical reversal or new catalyst. Long-term investors can hold if comfortable with volatility and confident in the pipeline, but should monitor regulatory developments and earnings closely.

The biggest risks are regulatory setbacks (e.g., FDA untitled letter), high leverage (debt/equity ~1.62), and revenue concentration in the TTR franchise. Technical downside is possible if support at $293 and $288 fails, and valuation is stretched with P/E over 74, making the stock vulnerable to corrections if growth slows.

Analyst price targets average around $470, with some as high as $500, reflecting optimism about long-term growth. Technically, immediate resistance is at $296–$300, with major resistance at $321–$334. Downside support is at $291, $288, and $283; a break below $283 could accelerate losses.

ALNY is overvalued by most metrics: its P/E of 74.32 is more than four times the industry median, and EV/EBITDA and P/S are also at sector highs. The premium is justified only if revenue and earnings growth continue at current rates; any disappointment could trigger a sharp re-rating.

Fundamentally, ALNY is strong with high gross margins, double-digit revenue growth, and a deep, innovative pipeline. However, it remains unprofitable at the net level due to heavy R&D and commercialization spend, and return metrics (ROE, ROA) are still negative but improving.

Technically, ALNY is bearish: the stock trades below its 50- and 200-day SMAs, RSI is near 38.8 (approaching oversold), and MACD is negative. Key support is at $291–$288, with risk of further downside if these levels break; no bullish reversal patterns are present.

Key catalysts include upcoming clinical trial data, regulatory decisions (especially for new indications in the TTR franchise), and future earnings reports. Analyst upgrades and successful product launches could also drive sentiment, while regulatory or pipeline setbacks are key risks.

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