AMGN AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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Amgen Inc. (AMGN)

$351.02-4.58 (-1.29%) today

Open
$357.46
High
$357.46
Low
$349.75
Volume
1.96M
Mkt Cap
$189.22B
52W High
$391.29
AI Verdict
Confidence 90%
AMGNAmgen Inc.
AlphaCrew AI
HOLD
Overall
Summary

Amgen (AMGN) offers robust long-term fundamentals and moderate upside potential, but current technicals signal consolidation and near-term uncertainty. While the company’s earnings growth, pipeline strength, and resilient margins support a bullish long-term view, valuation is fair and risks from leverage, biosimilar competition, and regulatory pressures temper immediate enthusiasm. Investors should consider holding or accumulating on weakness, with a more favorable risk/reward profile for longer-term horizons.

By Timeframe
Hover for details
WAIT
Short
HOLD
Medium
BUY
Long
Agent Signals
14
Fund
Tech
Val
Sent
Risk

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

Amgen demonstrates robust fundamental health, underpinned by strong revenue growth, margin expansion, and consistent earnings beats. The company’s scale, diversified portfolio, and capability to innovate ensure resilience in the competitive pharmaceutical sector. However, a premium valuation relative to historical averages and ongoing sector-specific risks merit careful consideration.

Financial Highlights

Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025$0$2.5B$5.0B$7.5B$10.0BRevenue & Net Income ($)0%9%18%27%36%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$9.90B

8.91% YoY

Q4 2025

Net Income

$1.33B

112.60% YoY

Q4 2025

Net Margin

13.47%

Q4 2025

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

8.91%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Net Income Growth YoY

112.60%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

9.22%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

EPS Growth YoY

111.11%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

47.73%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Revenue9.9B9.6B9.2B8.1B9.1B8.5B8.4B7.4B
Revenue Growth YoY+8.91%+12.40%+9.29%+9.43%+10.86%+23.18%+20.07%+21.98%
Net Income1.3B3.2B1.4B1.7B627.0M2.8B746.0M-113.0M
Net Income Growth YoY+112.60%+13.64%+91.96%+1630.97%-18.25%+63.58%-45.90%-103.98%
EPS$2.47$5.98$2.66$3.22$1.17$5.27$1.39-$0.21
EPS Growth YoY+111.11%+13.47%+91.37%+1633.33%-18.18%+63.16%-46.12%-103.95%

Profitability Metrics

Gross Margin

81.91%

TTM

Operating Margin

39.83%

TTM

Net Margin

13.47%

TTM

Return on Equity

96.65%

TTM

Return on Assets

15.54%

TTM

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Gross Margin81.91%67.75%67.15%63.58%65.75%61.07%61.42%57.03%
Operating Margin39.83%26.43%28.84%14.46%25.43%24.07%22.76%13.31%
Net Margin13.47%33.65%15.62%21.23%6.90%33.28%8.89%-1.52%
Return on Equity (ROE)15.40%33.43%19.28%27.87%10.67%37.60%12.59%-2.25%
Return on Assets (ROA)2.69%6.65%3.21%3.84%1.38%6.54%1.77%-0.26%

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
NEUTRAL

AMGN is currently in a mixed technical phase with price consolidating between key moving averages. The overall trend remains in a Stage 2 advancing phase, indicating underlying institutional accumulation, but short-term momentum is neutral with weak trend confirmation. Key resistance near the 50-day SMA at $363 is capping upside, while support near the 150-day SMA around $330 provides a floor for pullbacks.

RSI
Hold
Neutral46

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Hold
Mixed

Mixed signals

+9.4% from 200 SMA
ADX
Hold
Weak/No Trend18

Range-bound market

Weak
MA Cross
Hold
Golden Cross

Watching for cross

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$351.02
50 SMA
$363.22
150 SMA
$330.03
200 SMA
$320.82
52W High
$391.29
52W Low
$261.43

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
46Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

Amgen demonstrates robust fundamental health, underpinned by strong revenue growth, margin expansion, and consistent earnings beats. The company’s scale, diversified portfolio, and capability to innovate ensure resilience in the competitive pharmaceutical sector. However, a premium valuation relative to historical averages and ongoing sector-specific risks merit careful consideration.

Latest Earnings

Q4 2025 Earnings (Dec 31, 2025)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$5.29

Estimated

$4.73

Surprise

+$0.56

Surprise %

+11.84%

Revenue

Beat

Actual

$9.87B

Estimated

$9.47B

Surprise

+$391.98M

Surprise %

+4.14%

Historical Earnings

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$5.29$5.64$6.02$4.90$5.31$5.58$4.97$3.96
EPS (Estimated)$4.73$5.02$5.28$4.27$5.04$5.11$4.98$3.88
EPS Surprise+$0.56+$0.62+$0.74+$0.63+$0.27+$0.47-$0.01+$0.08
% Diff+11.8%+12.4%+14.0%+14.8%+5.4%+9.2%-0.2%+2.1%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$9.87B$9.56B$9.17B$8.15B$9.09B$8.5B$8.39B$7.45B
Revenue (Estimated)$9.47B$8.97B$8.94B$8.06B$8.88B$8.5B$8.35B$7.45B
Revenue Surprise+$391.98M+$590.55M+$231.48M+$91.47M+$204.76M+$4.69M+$36.15M-$4.6M
% Diff+4.1%+6.6%+2.6%+1.1%+2.3%+0.1%+0.4%-0.1%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
FAIRLY VALUED

Amgen (AMGN) is currently trading at valuation multiples that reflect a balance between stable revenue growth and robust profitability, supported by strong cash flows and efficient capital utilization. While technical signals are mixed, fundamental strength and moderate growth prospects underpin a broadly fair valuation with a modest upside potential indicated by analyst consensus.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

24.54

TTM

Price to Sales

5.15

TTM

Price to Book

21.85

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

12.56

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

6.38

TTM

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Price to Earnings33.0911.8026.2224.2256.1715.2955.97-335.64
Price to Sales17.8315.8916.3920.5715.5120.3519.9120.37
Price to Book20.3815.7820.2227.0023.9722.9928.1930.21
Enterprise Value to EBITDA43.7333.3154.8552.9564.6042.5673.4095.60
Enterprise Value to Revenue22.4220.6121.6426.5320.8026.3926.2727.67

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
MIXED

Amgen's market sentiment is currently mixed but leans cautiously positive due to strong recent clinical results, solid financial performance, and strategic manufacturing investments. While analyst ratings cluster around Hold with some upbeat price target revisions, bearish concerns stem from biosimilar competitive pressures and net price erosion risks. Retail sentiment shows a cautiously optimistic tone supported by pipeline confidence and sustained sales growth, though awareness of ongoing challenges tempers enthusiasm.

Analyst Recommendations

As of Apr 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Hold
3.4 / 5.0
Based on 34 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
1
Sell
2
Hold
18
Buy
9
Strong Buy
4

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
MODERATE

Amgen currently exhibits a moderate financial risk profile characterized by solid but slightly weakening liquidity and high leverage. The company faces significant competitive pressures from biosimilar entrants and regulatory pricing headwinds, which pose challenges to revenue stability and growth potential. While operational execution and its pipeline outlook offer some upside, potential clinical setbacks and pricing risks require careful monitoring by investors.

Liquidity & Solvency

Current Ratio

1.14

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Quick Ratio

0.90

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Debt-to-Equity

6.31

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Debt-to-Assets

0.60

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Liquidity Metrics
Current Ratio1.141.281.311.171.261.321.261.42
Quick Ratio0.900.990.980.880.950.960.890.98
Solvency Metrics
Debt-to-Equity6.315.677.579.2410.238.0210.5712.75
Debt-to-Assets0.600.610.640.640.650.660.690.69

Liquidity Assessment

Current Ratio: 1.14(Adequate)

Quick Ratio: 0.90(Adequate)

The company has adequate liquidity but may face challenges in a downturn.

Solvency Assessment

Debt-to-Equity: 6.31(High)

Debt-to-Assets: 0.60(High)

The company has relatively high debt levels, which may increase financial risk in economic downturns.

Frequently Asked Questions about AMGN

AI Answers: Common Questions About AMGN

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Amgen Inc.

Amgen is a good buy for long-term investors given its strong fundamentals—double-digit revenue and EPS growth, gross margins above 70%, and a robust pipeline—but the current P/E of 24.65 and fair valuation suggest it is not a deep value play. Wait for a breakout above $365 or a pullback toward $330 for better short-term entry points.

There is no urgent reason to sell unless your thesis has changed or you are concerned about near-term technical weakness. Fundamentals remain strong, and while technicals are neutral, the risk/reward still favors holding or accumulating on dips for long-term investors.

The biggest risks are high leverage (debt/equity >6, >60% assets financed by debt), increasing biosimilar competition for legacy products, and regulatory pricing pressures that could compress margins. Liquidity ratios (current ~1.14, quick <0.9) are below ideal, so watch for any signs of cash flow strain.

Technical resistance is near $363-$370, with support at $330-$320. Analyst price targets range from $390 to $432, reflecting moderate upside if pipeline and earnings momentum continue. A confirmed breakout above $365 could open the path toward the $390-$400 zone.

AMGN is fairly valued at a P/E of 24.65 and elevated EV/EBITDA, trading near the upper end of its historical range. While not undervalued, its valuation is justified by strong earnings growth, high margins, and pipeline prospects. No clear bargain, but not overpriced relative to peers.

Fundamentals are strong: revenue up 9.9% YoY in 2025, EPS up 88%, gross margins above 70%, operating margins near 30%, and ROE >25%. Cash flows are robust and the pipeline is delivering, though leverage and liquidity need monitoring.

Technically, AMGN is consolidating between $330 (support) and $363 (resistance), with neutral RSI (46) and weak trend momentum (ADX <20). No clear breakout or breakdown; traders should wait for a decisive move before entering.

Key catalysts include upcoming earnings reports, late-stage clinical trial results (TEPEZZA, tarlatamab), new product launches, and regulatory approvals. Watch for any guidance updates or major news on biosimilar competition and pricing reforms.

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