BA AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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The Boeing Company (BA)

$222.06-5.25 (-2.31%) today

Open
$226.12
High
$227.68
Low
$218.13
Volume
6.04M
Mkt Cap
$174.39B
52W High
$254.35
AI Verdict
Confidence 77%
BAThe Boeing Company
AlphaCrew AI
MIXED
Overall
Summary

Boeing (BA) is in a fragile recovery phase, showing strong revenue rebound and operational progress, but faces elevated valuation, persistent quality/regulatory risks, and high leverage. Technicals signal consolidation within a longer-term uptrend, while sentiment and risk remain mixed due to recent FAA scrutiny and debt pressures. Investors should expect volatility and closely monitor execution, with time horizon and risk tolerance key to positioning.

By Timeframe
Hover for details
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Short
HOLD
Medium
HOLD
Long
Agent Signals
32
Fund
Tech
Val
Sent
Risk

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
MIXED

Boeing's fundamentals have improved notably in the most recent fiscal year, with a dramatic swing from large operating losses in 2024 to a substantial net profit in 2025, reflecting operational recovery and likely one-time items. However, the company's margins remain thin relative to historical norms, and the P/E ratio is elevated, pointing to a valuation heavily dependent on sustained turnaround. While recent earnings were exceptionally strong, ongoing volatility and a mixed track record signal remaining risks.

Financial Highlights

Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025-$8.0B$0$8.0B$16.0B$24.0BRevenue & Net Income ($)-40%-20%0%20%40%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$23.95B

57.11% YoY

Q4 2025

Net Income

$8.22B

312.68% YoY

Q4 2025

Net Margin

34.32%

Q4 2025

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

57.11%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Net Income Growth YoY

312.68%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

46.88%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

EPS Growth YoY

294.31%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

230.35%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Revenue23.9B23.3B22.7B19.5B15.2B17.8B16.9B16.6B
Revenue Growth YoY+57.11%+30.44%+34.88%+17.67%-30.77%-1.46%-14.61%-7.54%
Net Income8.2B-5.3B-611.0M-37.0M-3.9B-6.2B-1.4B-343.0M
Net Income Growth YoY+312.68%+13.50%+57.54%+89.21%-16704.35%-277.14%-865.77%+17.15%
EPS$10.59-$7.14-$0.92-$0.16-$5.45-$9.97-$2.33-$0.56
EPS Growth YoY+294.31%+28.39%+60.52%+71.43%-13525.00%-269.26%-832.00%+18.84%

Profitability Metrics

Gross Margin

4.79%

TTM

Operating Margin

-6.05%

TTM

Net Margin

2.50%

TTM

Return on Equity

-94.94%

TTM

Return on Assets

1.50%

TTM

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Gross Margin7.57%-10.21%10.77%12.47%-10.37%-19.65%7.39%11.36%
Operating Margin-3.40%-20.58%-1.12%2.48%-25.07%-32.21%-6.39%-0.87%
Net Margin34.32%-22.94%-2.69%-0.19%-25.36%-34.59%-8.53%-2.07%
Return on Equity (ROE)150.72%64.69%18.54%1.11%98.90%26.20%8.01%2.02%
Return on Assets (ROA)5.50%-3.78%-0.42%-0.03%-2.64%-4.84%-1.09%-0.28%

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
NEUTRAL

BA is in a moderate uptrend with the 50 SMA above the 200 SMA signaling a golden cross, indicating bullish long-term momentum. The stock price is currently below the 50-day SMA but above the 150 and 200-day SMAs, reflecting some short-term consolidation within a broader advancing phase. RSI is neutral, suggesting no extreme momentum, while ADX indicates a developing trend.

RSI
Hold
Neutral37

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Hold
Mixed

Mixed signals

+1.5% from 200 SMA
ADX
Hold
Moderate Trend23

Trend developing

Moderate
MA Cross
Hold
Golden Cross

Watching for cross

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$222.06
50 SMA
$234.31
150 SMA
$220.25
200 SMA
$218.80
52W High
$254.35
52W Low
$128.88

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
37Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
MIXED

Boeing's fundamentals have improved notably in the most recent fiscal year, with a dramatic swing from large operating losses in 2024 to a substantial net profit in 2025, reflecting operational recovery and likely one-time items. However, the company's margins remain thin relative to historical norms, and the P/E ratio is elevated, pointing to a valuation heavily dependent on sustained turnaround. While recent earnings were exceptionally strong, ongoing volatility and a mixed track record signal remaining risks.

Latest Earnings

Q4 2025 Earnings (Dec 31, 2025)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$9.92

Estimated

$-0.44

Surprise

+$10.36

Surprise %

+2362.05%

Revenue

Beat

Actual

$23.95B

Estimated

$22.6B

Surprise

+$1.35B

Surprise %

+5.98%

Historical Earnings

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$9.92$-7.47$-1.24$-0.49$-5.90$-10.44$-2.90$-1.13
EPS (Estimated)$-0.44$-5.16$-1.40$-1.17$-1.60$-10.35$-1.95$-1.63
EPS Surprise+$10.36-$2.31+$0.16+$0.68-$4.30-$0.09-$0.95+$0.50
% Diff+2362.1%-44.8%+11.4%+58.1%-268.8%-0.9%-48.7%+30.7%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$23.95B$23.27B$22.75B$19.5B$15.24B$17.84B$16.87B$16.57B
Revenue (Estimated)$22.6B$22.06B$22.15B$19.36B$15.72B$17.81B$17.34B$16.24B
Revenue Surprise+$1.35B+$1.21B+$594.14M+$136.73M-$477.88M+$25.33M-$471.21M+$332.16M
% Diff+6.0%+5.5%+2.7%+0.7%-3.0%+0.1%-2.7%+2.0%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
OVERVALUED

Boeing (BA) is currently trading at a premium valuation with mixed operational signals and ongoing industry challenges. While the company shows growth potential supported by strong revenue momentum and positive analyst sentiment, concerns around operational issues and a heavy debt burden temper the outlook. The stock's valuation appears elevated relative to peers, justified in part by growth prospects and strategic initiatives like the Spirit AeroSystems acquisition.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

76.31

TTM

Price to Sales

1.95

TTM

Price to Book

31.27

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

29.57

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

2.43

TTM

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Price to Earnings5.07-7.65-64.87-868.19-8.22-3.81-19.99-84.65
Price to Sales6.967.026.976.598.345.276.827.01
Price to Book30.58-19.80-48.11-38.64-32.52-4.00-6.40-6.83
Enterprise Value to EBITDA22.07-52.44336.23137.57-59.20-28.06-404.23248.29
Enterprise Value to Revenue8.779.059.008.8210.997.959.619.49

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
MIXED

Boeing's market sentiment is currently mixed, influenced by operational improvements and persistent quality control issues, including recent FAA investigations. While the stock faces downward pressure from safety concerns and institutional selling, analysts generally maintain a moderate buy stance, supported by a robust order backlog and positive earnings growth.

Analyst Recommendations

As of Mar 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Buy
3.8 / 5.0
Based on 26 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
1
Sell
0
Hold
5
Buy
17
Strong Buy
3

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
HIGH

Boeing is navigating a challenging recovery phase characterized by significant debt levels, ongoing regulatory scrutiny, and persistent quality control concerns. While the company has shown strong revenue growth and aims to achieve positive free cash flow in 2026, substantial execution risks on key programs and geopolitical tensions pose threats to stability. Overall, the financial health shows improvement, but structural risks remain elevated in the near term.

Liquidity & Solvency

Current Ratio

1.27

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Quick Ratio

0.49

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Debt-to-Equity

9.92

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Debt-to-Assets

0.32

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Liquidity Metrics
Current Ratio1.271.181.231.231.321.121.181.14
Quick Ratio0.490.380.380.370.420.270.300.25
Solvency Metrics
Debt-to-Equity9.92-6.47-16.18-16.13-13.87-2.45-3.22-2.82
Debt-to-Assets0.320.360.340.340.350.420.410.36

Liquidity Assessment

Current Ratio: 1.27(Adequate)

Quick Ratio: 0.49(Weak)

The company has relatively weak liquidity and may face challenges meeting short-term obligations.

Solvency Assessment

Debt-to-Equity: 9.92(High)

Debt-to-Assets: 0.32(Moderate)

The company has relatively high debt levels, which may increase financial risk in economic downturns.

Frequently Asked Questions about BA

AI Answers: Common Questions About BA

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about The Boeing Company

Boeing is not a clear buy at current levels ($224.12) given its high P/E (90.37) and premium valuation multiples, especially with margins still below historical norms and recent earnings boosted by one-off items. The stock is consolidating and faces near-term headwinds, so waiting for technical confirmation or a pullback to support ($218-$220) is prudent for new entries.

Unless your thesis has changed or you have low risk tolerance, there is no urgent reason to sell; the long-term recovery case remains, but short-term volatility and sentiment risks are elevated. If the stock breaks below $218.62 (200 SMA) or if regulatory/earnings news deteriorate further, consider reducing exposure.

The biggest risks are Boeing's high leverage (debt/equity near 10, debt ~32% of assets), tight liquidity (quick ratio <0.5), and ongoing FAA/regulatory scrutiny that could cap production or trigger penalties. Execution missteps, supply chain issues, or renewed safety incidents could pressure earnings and the stock price.

Technical resistance is at $233.77 (50 SMA) and $254.35 (52-week high), with analyst consensus near $246. Downside support is at $218.62 (200 SMA); a break below this could trigger further declines. Upside is capped unless operational and regulatory catalysts materialize.

BA is overvalued relative to peers and its own history, with a P/E of 90.37 and high EV/EBITDA and P/S multiples. The market is pricing in aggressive recovery, but current margins and cash flow do not fully justify the premium, increasing valuation risk.

Fundamentals have improved with a swing to profitability in 2025 (EPS $2.49), but margins are still thin (net margin 2.5%, operating margin -6%) and much of the profit was nonrecurring. Debt and liquidity remain concerns, so the balance sheet is not robust.

Technically, BA is in a long-term uptrend (golden cross), but short-term momentum is neutral to fading (RSI 37, price below 50 SMA). Key support is $218.62, resistance is $233.77 and $254.35. Wait for a breakout above $234 or a pullback to support before acting.

Watch for upcoming earnings (to confirm margin and cash flow improvement), FAA/regulatory updates (especially on 737/787), and progress on Spirit AeroSystems integration. Macro factors like airline demand and interest rates will also impact the outlook.

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