BWXT AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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BWX Technologies, Inc. (BWXT)

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

BWXT demonstrates solid financial health with consistent revenue growth and improving profitability metrics, underpinned by strong operating income and stable margins. Earnings have shown an upward trajectory reflecting effective cost management and robust demand in the aerospace and defense sector. The company’s fundamentals position it well for sustainable growth despite some valuation stretch and sector-specific risks.

Financial Highlights

Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026Q2 2026$0$250.0M$500.0M$750.0M$1.0BRevenue & Net Income ($)9.45%9.8%10.15%10.5%10.85%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$901.63M

18.01% YoY

Q2 2026

Net Income

$89.10M

13.66% YoY

Q2 2026

Net Margin

9.88%

Q2 2026

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

18.01%

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

Net Income Growth YoY

13.66%

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

17.78%

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

EPS Growth YoY

12.79%

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

-360.41%

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

 Q2 2026Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024
Revenue901.6M861.1M885.8M866.3M764.0M682.3M746.3M672.0M
Revenue Growth YoY+18.01%+26.21%+18.70%+28.92%+12.12%+12.96%+2.86%+13.89%
Net Income89.1M91.2M93.0M82.1M78.4M75.5M71.0M69.5M
Net Income Growth YoY+13.66%+20.74%+30.94%+18.17%+7.42%+10.31%+7.79%+15.28%
EPS$0.97$0.99$1.02$0.90$0.86$0.82$0.78$0.76
EPS Growth YoY+12.79%+20.73%+30.77%+18.42%+7.50%+9.33%+8.33%+15.15%

Profitability Metrics

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
BEARISH

BWXT is currently in a strong downtrend characterized by a death cross and price trading below key moving averages (50, 150, and 200 SMA). Momentum indicators like RSI sit in a neutral zone, while ADX confirms the presence of a strong bearish trend. The stock is in the declining Stage 4 phase, suggesting caution for buyers and potential for further downside pressure.

RSI
Hold
Neutral46

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Sell
Strong Downtrend

Price in downtrend

-11.9% from 200 SMA
ADX
Buy
Strong Trend40

Strong trend active

Strong
MA Cross
Sell
Below 50/200

50 below 200 - bearish

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$173.79
50 SMA
$187.64
150 SMA
$200.54
200 SMA
$197.31
52W High
$241.82
52W Low
$143.07

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
46Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

BWXT demonstrates solid financial health with consistent revenue growth and improving profitability metrics, underpinned by strong operating income and stable margins. Earnings have shown an upward trajectory reflecting effective cost management and robust demand in the aerospace and defense sector. The company’s fundamentals position it well for sustainable growth despite some valuation stretch and sector-specific risks.

Latest Earnings

Q2 2026 Earnings (Jun 30, 2026)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$1.07

Estimated

$1.04

Surprise

+$0.03

Surprise %

+2.88%

Revenue

Miss

Actual

$901.6M

Estimated

$902.8M

Surprise

-$1.2M

Surprise %

-0.13%

Historical Earnings

 Q2 2026Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$1.07$1.12$1.08$1.00$1.02$0.91$0.92$0.83
EPS (Estimated)$1.04$0.92$0.89$0.85$0.79$0.77$0.80$0.78
EPS Surprise+$0.03+$0.20+$0.19+$0.15+$0.23+$0.15+$0.12+$0.05
% Diff+2.9%+21.7%+21.2%+17.2%+29.1%+19.0%+15.0%+6.4%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$901.6M$860.2M$885.8M$866.29M$764.04M$682.26M$746.27M$671.96M
Revenue (Estimated)$902.8M$837.47M$837.5M$793.37M$794.01M$645.68M$653.16M$658.84M
Revenue Surprise-$1.2M+$22.73M+$48.3M+$72.92M-$29.98M+$36.57M+$93.11M+$13.12M
% Diff-0.1%+2.7%+5.8%+9.2%-3.8%+5.7%+14.3%+2.0%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
OVERVALUED

BWXT is currently trading at a premium valuation with elevated multiples compared to the broader Aerospace & Defense industry. While its financial performance shows strong revenue and earnings growth supported by defense and clean energy demand, the valuation reflects ambitious future expectations. Consensus analyst ratings lean moderately bullish with a price target suggesting upside potential, though at a valuation that includes a growth premium.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

44.79

TTM

Price to Sales

4.53

TTM

Price to Book

11.95

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

32.85

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

5.10

TTM

 Q2 2026Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024
Price to Earnings50.1751.6442.3651.2141.8830.0835.7035.76
Price to Sales19.8021.7717.8719.4917.2613.2413.6714.81
Price to Book13.3814.6412.8413.6011.148.219.449.40
Enterprise Value to EBITDA174.12143.53122.99122.02107.3682.27101.8591.55
Enterprise Value to Revenue22.0423.5119.5721.1319.2214.9214.9916.59

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
POSITIVE

BWXT is currently viewed positively by analysts and investors, buoyed by strong contract wins, recent acquisitions expanding its nuclear manufacturing capacity, and upcoming earnings expectations that beat forecasts. While its valuation may appear elevated to some specialists, the broad sentiment remains optimistic, supported by solid revenue growth and upgraded analyst price targets signaling significant upside potential.

Analyst Recommendations

As of Aug 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Buy
3.9 / 5.0
Based on 16 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
0
Sell
1
Hold
3
Buy
9
Strong Buy
3

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
MODERATE

BWXT demonstrates strong liquidity and manageable leverage with improving short-term financial health, supported by solid current and quick ratios well above industry thresholds. However, the company faces moderate financial risk due to elevated debt levels relative to equity and exposure to federal budget uncertainties and regulatory risks in the nuclear sector. Overall, BWXT's risk profile is moderate, balancing stable operational cash flow against sector-specific and macro risks.

Liquidity & Solvency

Current Ratio

0.00

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

Quick Ratio

0.00

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

Debt-to-Equity

1.51

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

Debt-to-Assets

0.00

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

 Q2 2026Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024
Liquidity Metrics
Current Ratio0.002.402.321.711.692.021.962.25
Quick Ratio0.002.332.251.621.601.911.882.16
Solvency Metrics
Debt-to-Equity1.511.581.641.221.291.090.981.16
Debt-to-Assets0.000.470.470.400.410.390.370.42

Liquidity Assessment

Current Ratio: 0.000

Quick Ratio: 0.000

The company has relatively weak liquidity and may face challenges meeting short-term obligations.

Solvency Assessment

Debt-to-Equity: 1.51(High)

Debt-to-Assets: 0.000

The company has relatively high debt levels, which may increase financial risk in economic downturns.

Frequently Asked Questions about BWXT

AI Answers: Common Questions About BWXT

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about BWX Technologies, Inc.

BWXT is a good long-term buy due to strong fundamentals and growth prospects, but near-term technical weakness advises caution. The P/E ratio of nearly 40 and premium valuation require confidence in sustained earnings growth.

Short-term traders may consider selling or avoiding new positions due to bearish technical signals and price below key moving averages. Long-term investors should hold unless fundamentals deteriorate.

Key risks include potential federal budget cuts, regulatory changes in nuclear operations, supply chain issues, inflation impacting costs, and geopolitical uncertainties affecting defense spending.

Analyst consensus price targets imply approximately 35% upside from the current $168.70 price, with resistance near $188 and $197 on technical charts and support near $143.

BWXT is currently overvalued relative to its sector with a P/E of 39.98, high EV/EBITDA, and price-to-sales ratios reflecting strong growth expectations but limited margin for error.

The company shows consistent revenue growth around 15% YoY, improving operating margins near 14%, and strong EPS growth over 30% YoY, supported by stable government contracts and operational efficiencies.

Technically bearish with a death cross, price below all major SMAs, and strong ADX trend confirmation. RSI is neutral but momentum favors downside with support near $143.

Upcoming catalysts include new government contract awards, integration of recent acquisitions, and quarterly earnings releases that may beat estimates and drive sentiment.

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