BWXT AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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BWX Technologies, Inc. (BWXT)

$206.83-3.97 (-1.88%) today

Open
$207.13
High
$208.77
Low
$201.23
Volume
1.24M
Mkt Cap
$18.95B
52W High
$241.82
AI Verdict
Confidence 87%
BWXTBWX Technologies, Inc.
AlphaCrew AI
HOLD
Overall
Summary

BWXT offers robust long-term growth prospects underpinned by recurring government contracts and strong earnings momentum, but its current valuation is stretched and the stock is consolidating technically. Short-term technicals and valuation risks suggest caution, while the long-term thesis remains positive for patient investors. Overall, the risk/reward is balanced, favoring a hold or selective buy on pullbacks.

By Timeframe
Hover for details
HOLD
Short
HOLD
Medium
BUY
Long
Agent Signals
221
Fund
Tech
Val
Sent
Risk

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

BWX Technologies, Inc. (BWXT) demonstrates robust financial performance bolstered by consistent growth in revenue and earnings over the past several quarters, supported by its strong positioning in the defense and nuclear sectors. Margins remain stable, but its high P/E ratio indicates significant market optimism and possibly elevated expectations. Recent quarterly earnings have consistently outperformed analyst estimates, signaling solid operational execution.

Financial Highlights

Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026$0$250.0M$500.0M$750.0M$1.0BRevenue & Net Income ($)9.45%9.9%10.35%10.8%11.25%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$861.10M

26.21% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Income

$91.19M

20.74% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Margin

10.59%

Q1 2026

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

26.21%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Net Income Growth YoY

20.74%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

26.12%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

EPS Growth YoY

20.73%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

16.29%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Revenue861.1M885.8M866.3M764.0M682.3M746.3M672.0M681.5M
Revenue Growth YoY+26.21%+18.70%+28.92%+12.12%+12.96%+2.86%+13.89%+11.27%
Net Income91.2M93.0M82.1M78.4M75.5M71.0M69.5M73.0M
Net Income Growth YoY+20.74%+30.94%+18.17%+7.42%+10.31%+7.79%+15.28%+24.53%
EPS$0.99$1.02$0.90$0.86$0.82$0.78$0.76$0.80
EPS Growth YoY+20.73%+30.77%+18.42%+7.50%+9.33%+8.33%+15.15%+25.00%

Profitability Metrics

Gross Margin

22.99%

TTM

Operating Margin

9.97%

TTM

Net Margin

10.59%

TTM

Return on Equity

27.91%

TTM

Return on Assets

9.83%

TTM

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Gross Margin22.99%20.98%21.82%25.05%24.21%23.37%24.40%24.70%
Operating Margin9.97%8.08%10.64%13.41%14.16%12.36%14.37%14.50%
Net Margin10.59%10.50%9.48%10.26%11.07%9.52%10.34%10.71%
Return on Equity (ROE)7.12%7.54%6.61%6.62%6.86%6.57%6.56%7.31%
Return on Assets (ROA)2.60%2.70%2.78%2.74%3.00%2.94%2.80%3.08%

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
NEUTRAL

BWXT is currently in an advancing phase with a clear uptrend supported by institutional accumulation, despite a recent pullback towards the 50-day SMA. Momentum indicators are neutral, suggesting a temporary pause rather than a reversal. The 50-day moving average remains above the 200-day, reinforcing medium-term bullish biases amid moderate trend strength indications.

RSI
Hold
Neutral44

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Hold
Mixed

Mixed signals

+7.3% from 200 SMA
ADX
Buy
Strong Trend25

Strong trend active

Strong
MA Cross
Hold
Golden Cross

Watching for cross

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$206.83
50 SMA
$212.83
150 SMA
$200.20
200 SMA
$192.73
52W High
$241.82
52W Low
$105.07

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
44Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

BWX Technologies, Inc. (BWXT) demonstrates robust financial performance bolstered by consistent growth in revenue and earnings over the past several quarters, supported by its strong positioning in the defense and nuclear sectors. Margins remain stable, but its high P/E ratio indicates significant market optimism and possibly elevated expectations. Recent quarterly earnings have consistently outperformed analyst estimates, signaling solid operational execution.

Latest Earnings

Q1 2026 Earnings (Mar 31, 2026)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$1.12

Estimated

$0.92

Surprise

+$0.20

Surprise %

+21.74%

Revenue

Beat

Actual

$860.2M

Estimated

$837.47M

Surprise

+$22.73M

Surprise %

+2.71%

Historical Earnings

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$1.12$1.08$1.00$1.02$0.91$0.92$0.83$0.82
EPS (Estimated)$0.92$0.89$0.85$0.79$0.77$0.80$0.78$0.75
EPS Surprise+$0.20+$0.19+$0.15+$0.23+$0.15+$0.12+$0.05+$0.07
% Diff+21.7%+21.2%+17.2%+29.1%+19.0%+15.0%+6.4%+9.3%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$860.2M$885.8M$866.29M$764.04M$682.26M$746.27M$671.96M$681.34M
Revenue (Estimated)$837.47M$837.5M$793.37M$794.01M$645.68M$653.16M$658.84M$639.31M
Revenue Surprise+$22.73M+$48.3M+$72.92M-$29.98M+$36.57M+$93.11M+$13.12M+$42.03M
% Diff+2.7%+5.8%+9.2%-3.8%+5.7%+14.3%+2.0%+6.6%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
OVERVALUED

BWXT is currently trading at a premium valuation relative to its aerospace and defense peers, driven by strong revenue growth, solid profit margins, and a robust backlog in its nuclear segment. Analysts generally favor the stock, reflecting confidence in BWXT's niche leadership and growth outlook, though some caution exists regarding valuation and sector-specific risks. The stock's earnings and cash flow metrics support growth expectations but come at elevated multiples.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

55.01

TTM

Price to Sales

5.61

TTM

Price to Book

14.81

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

37.69

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

6.06

TTM

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Price to Earnings51.3942.5551.4042.0629.9135.9235.8229.50
Price to Sales21.7717.8719.4917.2613.2413.6714.8112.63
Price to Book14.6412.8413.6011.148.219.449.408.62
Enterprise Value to EBITDA176.23122.99122.02107.3682.27101.8591.5578.87
Enterprise Value to Revenue23.5119.5721.1319.2214.9214.9916.5914.34

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
POSITIVE

BWXT is currently benefiting from positive market sentiment fueled by substantial U.S. Naval contracts and strong Q1 2026 earnings that surpassed expectations. Analysts generally maintain a bullish view with a majority recommending Buy and price targets suggesting modest upside potential. Investor confidence is supported by raised financial guidance and strategic acquisitions aiming to expand nuclear manufacturing capabilities.

Analyst Recommendations

As of May 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Buy
3.6 / 5.0
Based on 14 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
0
Sell
1
Hold
5
Buy
6
Strong Buy
2

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
MODERATE

BWXT maintains a strong liquidity position supported by healthy current and quick ratios, indicating solid short-term financial flexibility. However, the company exhibits moderately high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio above 1.5, which elevates financial risk somewhat, especially given the capital-intensive nature of its expansion plans and industry-specific execution risks. Overall, while BWXT has sound liquidity and operational capacity, it faces sector-related risks including federal budget uncertainty and nuclear project complexities that contribute to a moderate overall risk profile.

Liquidity & Solvency

Current Ratio

2.40

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Quick Ratio

2.33

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Debt-to-Equity

1.58

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Debt-to-Assets

0.47

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Liquidity Metrics
Current Ratio2.402.321.711.692.021.962.252.23
Quick Ratio2.332.321.621.601.911.882.162.15
Solvency Metrics
Debt-to-Equity1.581.641.221.291.090.981.161.21
Debt-to-Assets0.470.470.400.410.390.370.420.43

Liquidity Assessment

Current Ratio: 2.40(Strong)

Quick Ratio: 2.33(Strong)

The company has strong liquidity with sufficient short-term assets to cover liabilities.

Solvency Assessment

Debt-to-Equity: 1.58(High)

Debt-to-Assets: 0.47(Moderate)

The company has relatively high debt levels, which may increase financial risk in economic downturns.

Frequently Asked Questions about BWXT

AI Answers: Common Questions About BWXT

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about BWX Technologies, Inc.

BWXT is fundamentally strong with double-digit revenue and EPS growth, but currently trades at a P/E of 54.9 and near the high end of its historical valuation range. With the stock consolidating near $200-$205, it is not a clear buy for short-term traders, but long-term investors may consider accumulating on further pullbacks.

Unless your thesis has changed or you need to manage risk due to the elevated valuation, there is no urgent reason to sell; fundamentals remain strong and technicals do not signal a breakdown, but trimming may be prudent if overexposed.

The biggest risks are high leverage (debt/equity 1.58), potential government contract delays or cuts, and valuation compression if growth slows. Regulatory and execution risks are also notable given the complexity of nuclear projects.

Analyst consensus targets average around $230 (8-10% upside), with technical resistance at $214 and support near $200 and $192. A breakout above $214 could trigger further upside, while a breakdown below $192 risks a deeper correction.

BWXT is overvalued relative to peers, with a P/E of 54.9, high P/S and EV/EBITDA multiples, and a premium justified only if current growth rates persist. Any slowdown could lead to multiple compression.

Fundamentally, BWXT is very strong: revenue grew 18.3% YoY in 2025, EPS rose 16.9%, gross margins are stable above 22%, and ROE is above 20%. Its backlog and contract-driven model provide earnings visibility.

Technical analysis is neutral: RSI is 42.5 (no extreme), price is consolidating between $200-$214, and the 50-day SMA is above the 200-day (golden cross), but momentum is paused. Wait for a clear breakout or stabilization at support.

Key catalysts include new government contract awards, upcoming earnings (with a history of beats), and further guidance increases. Macro events such as defense budget announcements and nuclear sector policy changes are also important.

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