CCEP AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC (CCEP)
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners (CCEP) offers stable fundamentals, resilient margins, and strong cash flow, but faces a normalized growth outlook and premium valuation. Technicals are neutral-to-bullish with key support levels in play, while sentiment is positive but tempered by macro and liquidity risks. The stock is fairly valued with limited near-term upside, making it a solid hold for income and stability-focused investors.
Fundamentals
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners (CCEP) maintains a solid financial foundation with robust revenue generation, consistent profitability, and resilient operational margins over recent years. While growth has moderated following strong post-pandemic recovery, earnings and cash flow stability position the company well in a competitive beverage landscape. The business model blends defensive qualities with exposure to consumer discretionary trends and operational efficiencies.
Financial Highlights
- Revenue
- Net Income
- Net Margin (%)
Revenue
-0.58% YoY
Q4 2025
Net Income
64.47% YoY
Q4 2025
Net Margin
Q4 2025
Growth Metrics
Revenue Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
Net Income Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
Revenue Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
EPS Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
Book Value Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
| Q4 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q2 2024 | Q4 2023 | Q2 2023 | Q4 2022 | Q2 2022 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 10.5B | 10.3B | 10.6B | 9.8B | 9.3B | 9.0B | 9.0B | 8.6B |
| Revenue Growth YoY | -0.58% | +4.54% | +13.78% | +9.48% | +3.15% | +4.02% | +12.85% | +43.51% |
| Net Income | 1.0B | 913.0M | 621.0M | 797.0M | 815.0M | 854.0M | 841.0M | 695.2M |
| Net Income Growth YoY | +64.47% | +14.55% | -23.80% | -6.67% | -3.09% | +22.84% | +11.60% | +180.38% |
| EPS | $2.27 | $1.99 | $1.35 | $1.73 | $1.77 | $1.86 | $1.83 | $1.52 |
| EPS Growth YoY | +68.15% | +15.03% | -23.73% | -6.99% | -3.28% | +22.37% | +10.91% | +181.48% |
Profitability Metrics
Technical Analysis
CCEP is currently exhibiting a cautiously positive technical outlook with the stock trading near its key support levels around $104.47 and $108.89. Moving averages suggest an overall bullish trend, though recent price action shows some volatility with a recent dip testing support near the 52-week low range. Momentum indicators like the MACD and RSI provide mixed but generally favorable signals, indicating potential for further upside if resistance near $110.90 and $111.97 can be breached.
No extreme reading
Price in uptrend
Strong trend active
50 above 200 - bullish
Key Technical Values
Price with Moving Averages
50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages
Relative Strength Index
Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes
RSI (14)
Earnings
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners (CCEP) maintains a solid financial foundation with robust revenue generation, consistent profitability, and resilient operational margins over recent years. While growth has moderated following strong post-pandemic recovery, earnings and cash flow stability position the company well in a competitive beverage landscape. The business model blends defensive qualities with exposure to consumer discretionary trends and operational efficiencies.
Latest Earnings
Q2 2025 Earnings (Jun 27, 2025)
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Actual
$2.38
Estimated
$2.41
Surprise
$-0.03
Surprise %
-1.24%
Revenue
Actual
$12.04B
Estimated
$12.11B
Surprise
-$75.99M
Surprise %
-0.63%
Historical Earnings
| Q2 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q2 2024 | Q4 2023 | Q2 2023 | Q4 2022 | Q2 2022 | Q4 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Per Share | ||||||||
| EPS (Actual) | $2.38 | $2.05 | $2.11 | $2.05 | $2.03 | $1.98 | $1.59 | $1.87 |
| EPS (Estimated) | $2.41 | $2.03 | $2.05 | $2.00 | $1.93 | $1.88 | $1.59 | $1.96 |
| EPS Surprise | -$0.03 | +$0.02 | +$0.06 | +$0.05 | +$0.10 | +$0.10 | +$0.00 | -$0.09 |
| % Diff | -1.2% | +1.0% | +2.9% | +2.5% | +5.2% | +5.3% | +0.0% | -4.6% |
| Revenue | ||||||||
| Revenue (Actual) | $12.04B | $10.99B | $10.57B | $10.26B | $9.79B | $9.74B | $9.03B | $9.08B |
| Revenue (Estimated) | $12.11B | $10.98B | $10.72B | $10.38B | $5.54B | $9.7B | $8.35B | $8.87B |
| Revenue Surprise | -$75.99M | +$10.36M | -$154.45M | -$123.31M | +$4.25B | +$36.79M | +$672.59M | +$213.69M |
| % Diff | -0.6% | +0.1% | -1.4% | -1.2% | +76.8% | +0.4% | +8.1% | +2.4% |
Valuation
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners (CCEP) currently trades at a premium valuation relative to some industry peers, supported by solid earnings growth and strong return on equity. Despite a near-term revenue decline, the company benefits from steady margins and active share repurchases, with analyst consensus largely positive but implying limited upside from current levels.
Valuation Metrics
Price to Earnings
TTM
Price to Sales
TTM
Price to Book
TTM
Enterprise Value to EBITDA
TTM
Enterprise Value to Revenue
TTM
| Q4 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q2 2024 | Q4 2023 | Q2 2023 | Q4 2022 | Q2 2022 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price to Earnings | 8.49 | 9.89 | 13.74 | 9.82 | 8.52 | 7.93 | 7.03 | 8.40 |
| Price to Sales | 3.29 | 3.51 | 3.22 | 3.19 | 2.98 | 3.02 | 2.62 | 2.71 |
| Price to Book | 4.43 | 4.50 | 4.02 | 3.67 | 3.48 | 3.49 | 3.18 | 3.08 |
| Enterprise Value to EBITDA | 25.04 | 25.83 | 26.02 | 26.52 | 27.69 | 24.92 | 25.57 | 25.16 |
| Enterprise Value to Revenue | 4.26 | 4.52 | 4.14 | 4.28 | 4.05 | 4.21 | 3.78 | 3.96 |
Sentiment & Analyst Ratings
Market sentiment for Coca-Cola Europacific Partners (CCEP) is generally positive, supported by strong 2025 financial results and a confident outlook for 2026. Analysts maintain a moderately bullish stance with several recent price target upgrades, while technical signals show some short-term caution due to overbought conditions. Share buybacks and dividend increases bolster investor confidence, though some mid-term technical indicators suggest mixed momentum.
Analyst Recommendations
Risk Assessment
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners (CCEP) exhibits a moderate financial risk profile with liquidity ratios below ideal thresholds and a relatively high leverage ratio that is somewhat stable. The company faces significant macroeconomic and geopolitical challenges that could impact supply chains and consumer demand, while valuation remains on the premium side, suggesting limited margin for upside. Investors should weigh the stable cash flow generation capacity against operational risks and premium pricing before committing significant capital.
Liquidity & Solvency
Current Ratio
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
Quick Ratio
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
Debt-to-Equity
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
Debt-to-Assets
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
| Q4 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q2 2024 | Q4 2023 | Q2 2023 | Q4 2022 | Q2 2022 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidity Metrics | ||||||||
| Current Ratio | 0.80 | 0.83 | 0.81 | 0.85 | 0.91 | 0.85 | 0.89 | 0.94 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.60 | 0.65 | 0.62 | 0.63 | 0.72 | 0.66 | 0.71 | 0.75 |
| Solvency Metrics | ||||||||
| Debt-to-Equity | 1.43 | 1.50 | 1.33 | 1.45 | 1.43 | 1.53 | 1.60 | 1.67 |
| Debt-to-Assets | 0.38 | 0.38 | 0.36 | 0.38 | 0.39 | 0.40 | 0.41 | 0.42 |
Liquidity Assessment
Current Ratio: 0.80(Weak)
Quick Ratio: 0.60(Weak)
The company has relatively weak liquidity and may face challenges meeting short-term obligations.
Solvency Assessment
Debt-to-Equity: 1.43(High)
Debt-to-Assets: 0.38(Moderate)
The company has relatively high debt levels, which may increase financial risk in economic downturns.
Frequently Asked Questions about CCEP
AI Answers: Common Questions About CCEP
Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC
CCEP is fairly valued at a P/E of ~21 and EV/EBITDA of ~14, with price near $105.58 and strong support at $104.47. While fundamentals are solid and sentiment is positive, growth has normalized and the stock is not a bargain at current levels. It's a reasonable buy only for income-focused investors seeking stability, not for those seeking strong capital gains.
There is no urgent reason to sell CCEP unless you expect a technical breakdown below $104.47 or are concerned about macro risks and leverage. Fundamentals remain stable, and the technical outlook is neutral-to-bullish, so holding is appropriate unless your thesis has changed or you need to rebalance.
The biggest risks are high leverage (debt/equity >1.4), low liquidity (current ratio ~0.8), and macroeconomic/geopolitical shocks that could disrupt supply chains or demand. Regulatory changes (sugar taxes, packaging) and input cost inflation could also pressure margins and earnings.
Upside resistance is at $110.90 and $111.97, with analyst targets in the $109-$118 range. Downside support is at $104.47 and $108.89; a break below $104.47 could see the stock test $100 or the 200-day MA at $96.71. Near-term price action is likely to remain range-bound barring a new catalyst.
CCEP is trading at a premium to sector averages (P/E ~21, EV/EBITDA ~14, P/S ~1.9), justified by high ROE (>23%) and strong cash flow, but with limited upside. The stock is fairly valued, not overvalued or undervalued, given its stable but modest growth outlook.
Fundamentally, CCEP is strong: gross margin is ~35%, net margin 9.3%, and ROE is in the mid-teens. Growth has plateaued, but cash flow is stable and earnings quality is high. However, leverage and liquidity are weaker than ideal, so financial flexibility is somewhat constrained.
Technically, CCEP is in a long-term uptrend above its 200-day MA ($96.71), with current price consolidating near support ($104.47-$108.89). RSI is moderately bullish (~60), and MACD is positive but not strong. A breakout above $110.90/$111.97 could trigger upside, but a breakdown below $104.47 would be bearish.
Key catalysts include upcoming earnings, further share buybacks, dividend increases, and successful launches in energy and zero sugar segments. Macro events (inflation, rates, geopolitical tensions) and regulatory developments (sugar taxes) are also important to monitor.
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