CMCSA AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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Comcast Corporation (CMCSA)

$24.90-0.13 (-0.52%) today

Open
$25.29
High
$25.40
Low
$24.80
Volume
33.67M
Mkt Cap
$88.95B
52W High
$34.36
AI Verdict
Confidence 87%
CMCSAComcast Corporation
AlphaCrew AI
MIXED
Overall
Summary

Comcast (CMCSA) is fundamentally strong and deeply undervalued, but faces significant technical weakness and mixed sentiment due to sector headwinds and competitive risks. Short-term downside is possible, yet long-term investors may find an attractive entry point given robust cash flows, margin expansion, and a low P/E ratio. The risk/reward profile is favorable for patient investors, but near-term caution is warranted.

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Agent Signals
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Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

Comcast (CMCSA) exhibits stable fundamentals with consistent profitability, robust cash generation, and steady earnings beats. Despite recent share price weakness and sector headwinds, the company continues to deliver margin improvements and solid operational results driven by its dominant position in broadband and content.

Financial Highlights

Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026$0$8.5B$17.0B$25.5B$34.0BRevenue & Net Income ($)0%10%20%30%40%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$31.46B

5.25% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Income

$2.17B

-35.59% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Margin

6.91%

Q1 2026

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

5.25%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Net Income Growth YoY

-35.59%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

8.96%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

EPS Growth YoY

-33.33%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

4.75%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Revenue31.5B32.3B31.2B30.3B29.9B31.9B32.1B29.7B
Revenue Growth YoY+5.25%+1.24%-2.72%+2.11%-0.57%+2.12%+6.49%-2.70%
Net Income2.2B2.0B3.3B11.1B3.4B4.8B3.6B3.9B
Net Income Growth YoY-35.59%-58.70%-8.18%+183.10%-12.50%+46.53%-10.31%-7.51%
EPS$0.60$0.60$0.89$2.99$0.90$1.24$0.94$1.01
EPS Growth YoY-33.33%-51.61%-5.32%+196.04%-7.22%+51.22%-4.08%-0.98%

Profitability Metrics

Gross Margin

65.40%

TTM

Operating Margin

13.14%

TTM

Net Margin

6.91%

TTM

Return on Equity

19.63%

TTM

Return on Assets

14.67%

TTM

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Gross Margin65.40%60.59%59.37%61.30%58.97%56.57%56.05%61.26%
Operating Margin13.14%10.80%17.74%19.77%18.93%15.64%18.27%22.35%
Net Margin6.91%6.11%10.68%36.69%11.29%14.97%11.32%13.23%
Return on Equity (ROE)2.46%2.04%3.43%11.48%3.90%5.58%4.23%4.72%
Return on Assets (ROA)1.71%1.53%1.77%8.69%3.02%4.32%3.28%3.72%

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
BEARISH

CMCSA is currently in a strong bearish downtrend with price positioned well below key moving averages. The stock shows weak momentum without clear trend strength, trading near its 52-week low and in a Stage 4 declining phase. Technical indicators suggest caution as bearish signals dominate the near-term outlook.

RSI
Hold
Neutral30

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Sell
Strong Downtrend

Price in downtrend

-16.1% from 200 SMA
ADX
Hold
Moderate Trend21

Trend developing

Moderate
MA Cross
Sell
Below 50/200

50 below 200 - bearish

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$24.90
50 SMA
$28.65
150 SMA
$28.66
200 SMA
$29.67
52W High
$36.66
52W Low
$24.78

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
30Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

Comcast (CMCSA) exhibits stable fundamentals with consistent profitability, robust cash generation, and steady earnings beats. Despite recent share price weakness and sector headwinds, the company continues to deliver margin improvements and solid operational results driven by its dominant position in broadband and content.

Latest Earnings

Q1 2026 Earnings (Mar 31, 2026)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$0.79

Estimated

$0.72

Surprise

+$0.07

Surprise %

+8.97%

Revenue

Beat

Actual

$31.46B

Estimated

$30.41B

Surprise

+$1.04B

Surprise %

+3.43%

Historical Earnings

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$0.79$0.84$1.12$1.25$1.09$0.96$1.12$1.21
EPS (Estimated)$0.72$0.73$1.03$1.16$0.99$0.86$1.06$1.12
EPS Surprise+$0.07+$0.11+$0.09+$0.09+$0.10+$0.10+$0.06+$0.09
% Diff+9.0%+15.2%+8.7%+7.8%+10.4%+11.4%+5.7%+8.0%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$31.46B$32.31B$31.2B$30.31B$29.89B$31.92B$32.07B$29.69B
Revenue (Estimated)$30.41B$32.34B$30.7B$29.8B$29.77B$31.61B$31.79B$30.03B
Revenue Surprise+$1.04B-$27.86M+$496.63M+$511.43M+$118.68M+$305.89M+$283.15M-$346.58M
% Diff+3.4%-0.1%+1.6%+1.7%+0.4%+1.0%+0.9%-1.2%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
UNDERVALUED

Comcast (CMCSA) currently trades at valuation multiples significantly below its historical averages and sector peers, signaling a compelling value proposition amid modest revenue growth and mixed earnings momentum. Despite recent pressures on broadband and media segments, the stock presents potential upside anchored by undervaluation and analyst price targets notably higher than current levels.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

4.84

TTM

Price to Sales

0.71

TTM

Price to Book

1.02

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

3.87

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

1.39

TTM

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Price to Earnings11.9412.908.803.0110.237.5511.119.48
Price to Sales3.303.153.764.424.624.525.035.02
Price to Book1.181.051.211.381.591.691.881.79
Enterprise Value to EBITDA23.6227.1421.5311.3524.3527.8426.0826.27
Enterprise Value to Revenue6.016.286.647.457.657.397.918.62

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
MIXED

Current sentiment for Comcast Corporation (CMCSA) is mixed with a consensus leaning toward cautious optimism. While recent earnings surpassed expectations and the stock is considered undervalued by some valuation models, concerns persist around competitive pressures and future cash flow growth, reflected in a substantial portion of analyst hold ratings and recent insider selling.

Analyst Recommendations

As of May 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Hold
3.2 / 5.0
Based on 26 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
1
Sell
2
Hold
16
Buy
5
Strong Buy
2

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
MODERATE

Comcast Corporation exhibits a mixed financial risk profile with strong revenue and earnings beats but faces ongoing liquidity challenges and elevated leverage. Despite operating in a competitive environment with margin pressures from content costs and subscriber losses, the company's strategic focus on wireless and streaming growth platforms provides potential growth avenues. Market sentiment remains cautious; while the stock trades near 52-week lows with undervaluation indications, analysts hold a generally neutral-to-positive stance amidst concerns over broadband competition and media segment profitability.

Liquidity & Solvency

Current Ratio

0.87

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Quick Ratio

0.87

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Debt-to-Equity

1.07

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Debt-to-Assets

0.36

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Liquidity Metrics
Current Ratio0.870.880.880.910.650.680.720.66
Quick Ratio0.870.880.880.910.650.680.720.66
Solvency Metrics
Debt-to-Equity1.071.141.021.051.141.161.181.36
Debt-to-Assets0.360.410.360.370.370.370.380.43

Liquidity Assessment

Current Ratio: 0.87(Weak)

Quick Ratio: 0.87(Adequate)

The company has relatively weak liquidity and may face challenges meeting short-term obligations.

Solvency Assessment

Debt-to-Equity: 1.07(High)

Debt-to-Assets: 0.36(Moderate)

The company has relatively high debt levels, which may increase financial risk in economic downturns.

Frequently Asked Questions about CMCSA

AI Answers: Common Questions About CMCSA

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Comcast Corporation

CMCSA is trading at a P/E of 4.98 and well below historical valuation multiples, with strong cash flows and improving margins, making it an attractive buy for long-term investors. However, the stock is in a strong downtrend and near 52-week lows ($24.13), so short-term downside is possible. Consider accumulating gradually or waiting for technical stabilization.

If you are a short-term trader, technicals suggest further downside risk and you may consider reducing exposure or waiting for a reversal. Long-term holders with conviction in the fundamentals and valuation may choose to hold through volatility, as the investment thesis remains intact and no fundamental deterioration is evident.

The biggest risks are continued broadband subscriber losses, elevated leverage (debt/equity slightly above 1.0), and liquidity ratios below 1.0, raising short-term cash concerns. Margin pressures from rising content and sports programming costs, as well as intensifying competition from fiber and wireless, could further impact earnings.

Immediate support is near $24.78, with resistance at $28.88 (50-day SMA) and $29.76 (200-day SMA). Analyst price targets suggest 25-35% upside from current levels, but a break below $24.78 could trigger further declines. Upside is likely capped until a technical base forms.

CMCSA is deeply undervalued, with a P/E of 4.98 (vs. historical median ~11x), P/S below 1x, and an EV/EBITDA ratio well below sector peers. This discount reflects market caution but offers significant upside if fundamentals remain stable.

Comcast is fundamentally strong, with gross margins above 60%, net margin at 16%, and consistent EPS growth (up 29.7% YoY). Recurring revenue streams, high asset utilization (ROE >20%), and robust free cash flow support the long-term case.

Technical analysis is bearish: the stock is in a Stage 4 downtrend, below all major moving averages, with a death cross and RSI near oversold (32.54). No bullish reversal patterns are present; caution is advised until a base forms above $28-30.

Key catalysts include upcoming earnings reports, broadband subscriber trends, wireless and streaming (Peacock) monetization, and any signs of technical stabilization. Macro events affecting advertising and regulatory changes could also impact the outlook.

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