CMCSA AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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Comcast Corporation (CMCSA)

$27.93-0.38 (-1.34%) today

Open
$28.42
High
$28.47
Low
$27.83
Volume
17.31M
Mkt Cap
$101.77B
52W High
$34.36
AI Verdict
Confidence 88%
CMCSAComcast Corporation
AlphaCrew AI
HOLD
Overall
Summary

Comcast (CMCSA) is fundamentally strong and undervalued, offering attractive long-term upside, but faces near-term technical weakness and moderate operational risks. While long-term investors may find value at current levels, short-term traders should be cautious given the prevailing downtrend and mixed sentiment. The overall risk/reward is favorable for patient investors, but timing is critical for entry.

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Medium
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Agent Signals
221
Fund
Tech
Val
Sent
Risk

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

Comcast (CMCSA) demonstrates solid financial health, with consistently strong cash flows, robust profitability, and a disciplined track record of surpassing earnings expectations. The company shows resilience despite industry headwinds, maintaining healthy margins and demonstrating significant shareholder value through earnings growth and cost management. The low P/E ratio relative to market averages suggests attractive valuation for a stock with stable fundamentals.

Financial Highlights

Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025$0$8.5B$17.0B$25.5B$34.0BRevenue & Net Income ($)0%10%20%30%40%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$32.31B

1.24% YoY

Q4 2025

Net Income

$1.97B

-58.70% YoY

Q4 2025

Net Margin

6.11%

Q4 2025

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

1.24%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Net Income Growth YoY

-58.70%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

6.97%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

EPS Growth YoY

-51.61%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

19.26%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Revenue32.3B31.2B30.3B29.9B31.9B32.1B29.7B30.1B
Revenue Growth YoY+1.24%-2.72%+2.11%-0.57%+2.12%+6.49%-2.70%+1.24%
Net Income2.0B3.3B11.1B3.4B4.8B3.6B3.9B3.9B
Net Income Growth YoY-58.70%-8.18%+183.10%-12.50%+46.53%-10.31%-7.51%+0.60%
EPS$0.60$0.89$2.99$0.90$1.24$0.94$1.01$0.97
EPS Growth YoY-51.61%-5.32%+196.04%-7.22%+51.22%-4.08%-0.98%+6.59%

Profitability Metrics

Gross Margin

60.07%

TTM

Operating Margin

16.71%

TTM

Net Margin

16.01%

TTM

Return on Equity

20.98%

TTM

Return on Assets

15.32%

TTM

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Gross Margin60.59%59.37%61.30%58.97%56.57%56.05%61.26%58.83%
Operating Margin10.80%17.74%19.77%18.93%15.64%18.27%22.35%19.33%
Net Margin6.11%10.68%36.69%11.29%14.97%11.32%13.23%12.83%
Return on Equity (ROE)2.04%3.43%11.48%3.90%5.58%4.23%4.72%4.67%
Return on Assets (ROA)1.53%1.77%8.69%3.02%4.32%3.28%3.72%3.65%

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
BEARISH

CMCSA is currently exhibiting a strong downtrend, trading below its key moving averages with a death cross signaling bearish momentum. While there is some short-term consolidation and minor bullish candlestick activity, the overall technical environment remains negative with neutral RSI and mixed MACD signals. Key support levels around $26.98 are critical, while resistance near $28.41 is limiting upside.

RSI
Hold
Neutral37

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Sell
Strong Downtrend

Price in downtrend

-8.4% from 200 SMA
ADX
Hold
Moderate Trend23

Trend developing

Moderate
MA Cross
Sell
Below 50/200

50 below 200 - bearish

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$27.93
50 SMA
$30.14
150 SMA
$29.32
200 SMA
$30.50
52W High
$36.66
52W Low
$24.78

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
37Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

Comcast (CMCSA) demonstrates solid financial health, with consistently strong cash flows, robust profitability, and a disciplined track record of surpassing earnings expectations. The company shows resilience despite industry headwinds, maintaining healthy margins and demonstrating significant shareholder value through earnings growth and cost management. The low P/E ratio relative to market averages suggests attractive valuation for a stock with stable fundamentals.

Latest Earnings

Q4 2025 Earnings (Dec 31, 2025)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$0.84

Estimated

$0.73

Surprise

+$0.11

Surprise %

+15.23%

Revenue

Miss

Actual

$32.31B

Estimated

$32.34B

Surprise

-$27.86M

Surprise %

-0.09%

Historical Earnings

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$0.84$1.12$1.25$1.09$0.96$1.12$1.21$1.04
EPS (Estimated)$0.73$1.03$1.16$0.99$0.86$1.06$1.12$0.99
EPS Surprise+$0.11+$0.09+$0.09+$0.10+$0.10+$0.06+$0.09+$0.05
% Diff+15.2%+8.7%+7.8%+10.4%+11.4%+5.7%+8.0%+5.1%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$32.31B$31.2B$30.31B$29.89B$31.92B$32.07B$29.69B$30.06B
Revenue (Estimated)$32.34B$30.7B$29.8B$29.77B$31.61B$31.79B$30.03B$29.83B
Revenue Surprise-$27.86M+$496.63M+$511.43M+$118.68M+$305.89M+$283.15M-$346.58M+$228.76M
% Diff-0.1%+1.6%+1.7%+0.4%+1.0%+0.9%-1.2%+0.8%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
UNDERVALUED

Comcast (CMCSA) presents a compelling valuation opportunity trading at significantly discounted multiples compared to its historical averages and sector peers, supported by stable profitability and moderate growth prospects. Analyst consensus remains broadly positive with a modest upside potential, reflecting cautious optimism amid evolving industry dynamics. Overall, CMCSA's valuation reflects a balance of solid underlying financial health and industry transformation risks.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

5.13

TTM

Price to Sales

0.82

TTM

Price to Book

1.05

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

4.37

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

1.64

TTM

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Price to Earnings12.908.803.0110.237.5511.119.4810.85
Price to Sales3.153.764.424.624.525.035.025.57
Price to Book1.051.211.381.591.691.881.792.03
Enterprise Value to EBITDA27.1421.5311.3524.3527.8426.0826.2728.13
Enterprise Value to Revenue6.286.647.457.657.397.918.629.04

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
MIXED

Comcast's market sentiment in April 2026 is mixed to slightly positive, supported by analyst consensus leaning towards a buy with upside price targets around $33-$35. While broadband segment pressures and a transitional first half of the year dampen near-term enthusiasm, growth in wireless, Peacock, and theme parks segments, alongside strategic initiatives, sustain confidence. Retail investors show a divided mood influenced by restructuring news and valuation concerns, with social buzz stable but cautious ahead of upcoming earnings.

Analyst Recommendations

As of Apr 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Hold
3.2 / 5.0
Based on 27 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
1
Sell
2
Hold
16
Buy
6
Strong Buy
2

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
MODERATE

Comcast (CMCSA) faces a multifaceted risk profile characterized by liquidity constraints, elevated leverage, and ongoing competitive and operational challenges in its core broadband and video segments. Despite these risks, the company maintains strong profitability metrics and has attractive analyst price targets signaling potential upside. Investor caution is warranted given customer losses and execution risk, but the stock's valuation and dividend yield provide some defensive qualities.

Liquidity & Solvency

Current Ratio

0.88

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Quick Ratio

0.88

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Debt-to-Equity

1.14

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Debt-to-Assets

0.41

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Liquidity Metrics
Current Ratio0.880.880.910.650.680.720.660.59
Quick Ratio0.880.880.910.650.680.720.660.59
Solvency Metrics
Debt-to-Equity1.141.021.051.141.161.181.361.34
Debt-to-Assets0.410.360.370.370.370.380.430.42

Liquidity Assessment

Current Ratio: 0.88(Weak)

Quick Ratio: 0.88(Adequate)

The company has relatively weak liquidity and may face challenges meeting short-term obligations.

Solvency Assessment

Debt-to-Equity: 1.14(High)

Debt-to-Assets: 0.41(Moderate)

The company has relatively high debt levels, which may increase financial risk in economic downturns.

Frequently Asked Questions about CMCSA

AI Answers: Common Questions About CMCSA

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Comcast Corporation

CMCSA is trading at a low P/E of 5.18 and well below historical and sector valuation multiples, with analyst targets implying 20-25% upside from current levels ($27.93). However, the technical downtrend suggests waiting for a base or reversal before aggressive buying. Long-term investors seeking value and yield may consider gradual accumulation.

Unless your thesis has changed or you need to avoid short-term volatility, selling is not recommended; fundamentals remain strong and valuation is attractive. However, traders uncomfortable with further downside risk may reduce exposure until technicals improve.

The biggest risks are liquidity constraints (current ratio ~0.88), high leverage (debt-to-equity >1.1), and continued broadband/video subscriber losses. Execution risk in legacy business turnaround and regulatory changes could also pressure earnings and valuation.

Analyst consensus targets are $33-$35 (20-25% upside), with technical resistance at $28.41 and $29.87. Downside support is at $26.98 and, if broken, the 52-week low near $24.13. Near-term price action may retest these supports before any sustained recovery.

CMCSA is undervalued by all major metrics: P/E at 5.18, low P/S and EV/EBITDA versus peers, and price-to-book near multi-year lows. The market is pricing in slow growth and sector risks, but the discount appears excessive given stable profitability.

Fundamentals are strong: gross margin >60%, net margin 16%, EPS up 29.6% YoY, and robust cash flow. However, liquidity is tight (current ratio <1) and leverage is above average, requiring ongoing operational discipline.

Technical analysis is bearish: price is below all key moving averages, a death cross is confirmed, and RSI is neutral but not oversold. No reversal is confirmed; support at $26.98 is critical, and a break lower could target the $24.13 area.

Key catalysts include the execution of the broadband reset strategy, upcoming Q1 2026 earnings, subscriber and ARPU trends, and success in streaming and wireless growth. Watch for news on cost controls, dividend policy, and regulatory developments.

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