CSGP AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?
CoStar Group, Inc. (CSGP)
CoStar Group (CSGP) is experiencing significant near-term volatility and technical weakness, with deteriorating fundamentals and compressed margins, but retains a strong long-term market position and growth potential. The stock is currently oversold and trading at multi-year lows, yet remains overvalued on near-term earnings and faces execution and macro risks. Investors should wait for stabilization in earnings trends or a confirmed technical reversal before considering new positions.
Fundamentals
CoStar Group (CSGP) is experiencing significant stock price volatility amid challenging sector dynamics, with its valuation now compressed to multi-year lows. Although CSGP maintains a leading position in real estate information services, strained earnings performance and recent sharp declines in its share price signal weakened fundamentals and investor confidence.
Financial Highlights
- Revenue
- Net Income
- Net Margin (%)
Revenue
22.51% YoY
Q1 2026
Net Income
120.27% YoY
Q1 2026
Net Margin
Q1 2026
Growth Metrics
Revenue Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Net Income Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Revenue Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
EPS Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Book Value Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 897.0M | 900.0M | 833.6M | 781.3M | 732.2M | 709.4M | 692.6M | 677.8M |
| Revenue Growth YoY | +22.51% | +26.87% | +20.36% | +15.27% | +11.55% | +10.83% | +10.87% | +11.87% |
| Net Income | 3.0M | 47.0M | -30.9M | 6.2M | -14.8M | 59.8M | 53.0M | 19.2M |
| Net Income Growth YoY | +120.27% | -21.40% | -158.30% | -67.71% | -320.90% | -38.02% | -41.48% | -80.90% |
| EPS | $0.01 | $0.11 | -$0.07 | $0.01 | -$0.04 | $0.15 | $0.13 | $0.05 |
| EPS Growth YoY | +120.22% | -26.67% | -156.62% | -68.71% | -318.79% | -37.50% | -40.91% | -81.08% |
Profitability Metrics
Gross Margin
TTM
Operating Margin
TTM
Net Margin
TTM
Return on Equity
TTM
Return on Assets
TTM
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 78.15% | 73.89% | 79.34% | 78.52% | 79.06% | 80.14% | 79.70% | 79.96% |
| Operating Margin | 0.33% | 5.50% | -6.13% | -3.48% | -5.85% | 5.64% | 3.42% | -2.38% |
| Net Margin | 0.33% | 5.22% | -3.71% | 0.79% | -2.02% | 8.43% | 7.65% | 2.83% |
| Return on Equity (ROE) | 0.04% | 0.56% | -0.36% | 0.07% | -0.17% | 0.79% | 0.71% | 0.26% |
| Return on Assets (ROA) | 0.09% | 1.23% | -0.76% | 0.11% | -0.26% | 0.95% | 0.83% | 0.30% |
Technical Analysis
Technical indicator data currently unavailable for CSGP, limiting direct RSI, SMA, and ADX insights. However, based on recent price action, CSGP is facing significant downside pressure, testing its 52-week lows around $32.7 amidst a strong volume surge. Chart patterns suggest a bearish environment with a potential continuation of the downtrend unless immediate support holds and rebounds occur.
No extreme reading
Price in downtrend
Strong trend active
50 below 200 - bearish
Key Technical Values
Price with Moving Averages
50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages
Relative Strength Index
Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes
RSI (14)
Earnings
CoStar Group (CSGP) is experiencing significant stock price volatility amid challenging sector dynamics, with its valuation now compressed to multi-year lows. Although CSGP maintains a leading position in real estate information services, strained earnings performance and recent sharp declines in its share price signal weakened fundamentals and investor confidence.
Latest Earnings
Q1 2026 Earnings (Mar 31, 2026)
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Actual
$0.23
Estimated
$0.18
Surprise
+$0.05
Surprise %
+27.78%
Revenue
Actual
$897M
Estimated
$896.73M
Surprise
+$274.5K
Surprise %
+0.03%
Historical Earnings
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Per Share | ||||||||
| EPS (Actual) | $0.23 | $0.31 | $0.23 | $0.17 | $0.14 | $0.26 | $0.22 | $0.15 |
| EPS (Estimated) | $0.18 | $0.27 | $0.18 | $0.14 | $0.11 | $0.22 | $0.16 | $0.10 |
| EPS Surprise | +$0.05 | +$0.04 | +$0.05 | +$0.03 | +$0.03 | +$0.04 | +$0.06 | +$0.05 |
| % Diff | +27.8% | +13.6% | +26.3% | +23.4% | +22.1% | +18.2% | +35.3% | +43.1% |
| Revenue | ||||||||
| Revenue (Actual) | $897M | $900M | $833.6M | $781.3M | $732.2M | $709.4M | $692.6M | $677.8M |
| Revenue (Estimated) | $896.73M | $892.22M | $813.18M | $772.21M | $716.79M | $701.01M | $695.91M | $677.27M |
| Revenue Surprise | +$274.5K | +$7.78M | +$20.42M | +$9.09M | +$15.41M | +$8.39M | -$3.31M | +$531.86K |
| % Diff | +0.0% | +0.9% | +2.5% | +1.2% | +2.1% | +1.2% | -0.5% | +0.1% |
Valuation
CoStar Group (CSGP) is currently trading at depressed levels near its 52-week lows amidst significant short-term earnings challenges, yet it maintains robust revenue growth and a dominant market position in real estate data services. Analyst sentiment remains mostly positive with moderate buy ratings and price targets indicating significant upside potential. However, very high valuation multiples reflect investor concerns about profitability and margin compression due to ongoing investments.
Valuation Metrics
Price to Earnings
TTM
Price to Sales
TTM
Price to Book
TTM
Enterprise Value to EBITDA
TTM
Enterprise Value to Revenue
TTM
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price to Earnings | 1388.37 | 149.22 | -286.63 | 1360.32 | -549.39 | 121.78 | 144.76 | 390.56 |
| Price to Sales | 18.57 | 31.17 | 42.50 | 43.18 | 44.42 | 41.06 | 44.31 | 44.25 |
| Price to Book | 2.11 | 3.37 | 4.11 | 3.92 | 3.80 | 3.86 | 4.10 | 4.06 |
| Enterprise Value to EBITDA | 191.69 | 210.45 | 1174.29 | 812.39 | 6634.67 | 321.45 | 453.75 | 1153.21 |
| Enterprise Value to Revenue | 18.38 | 30.52 | 41.42 | 39.82 | 40.78 | 35.93 | 38.78 | 38.62 |
Sentiment & Analyst Ratings
CoStar Group (CSGP) sentiment presents a mixed to cautiously optimistic picture. While the stock has recently hit new lows and faces valuation and competitive concerns, strong insider buying and robust earnings results underpin positive long-term views. Analysts are divided but the consensus leans toward a buy, supported by favorable price targets significantly above the current market price.
Analyst Recommendations
Risk Assessment
CoStar Group presents a financially stable profile with strong liquidity and low leverage, indicating a sound ability to meet obligations amid current economic uncertainties. However, ongoing significant investments in Homes.com and a challenging real estate market environment pose near-term earnings pressure and elevate execution risks. Despite these, its market positioning and strategic focus on long-term growth maintain investor interest with moderate risk considerations.
Liquidity & Solvency
Current Ratio
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Quick Ratio
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Debt-to-Equity
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Debt-to-Assets
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidity Metrics | ||||||||
| Current Ratio | 2.20 | 2.84 | 3.12 | 5.83 | 6.01 | 8.96 | 9.63 | 9.27 |
| Quick Ratio | 2.20 | 2.84 | 3.11 | 5.83 | 6.01 | 8.96 | 9.63 | 9.27 |
| Solvency Metrics | ||||||||
| Debt-to-Equity | 0.14 | 0.14 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.14 | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Debt-to-Assets | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.12 | 0.12 |
Liquidity Assessment
Current Ratio: 2.20(Strong)
Quick Ratio: 2.20(Strong)
The company has strong liquidity with sufficient short-term assets to cover liabilities.
Solvency Assessment
Debt-to-Equity: 0.14(Low)
Debt-to-Assets: 0.11(Low)
The company has conservative debt levels, indicating low financial risk and strong long-term solvency.
Frequently Asked Questions about CSGP
AI Answers: Common Questions About CSGP
Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about CoStar Group, Inc.
CSGP is not a good buy right now given its extremely high P/E ratio of 468, EV/EBITDA over 200x, and technical breakdown to $32.7 (52-week low). Despite long-term growth potential, the stock remains overvalued on near-term earnings and faces significant operational and sector risks.
If you already own CSGP, there is no urgent need to sell if you have a long-term horizon and can tolerate volatility, as the company retains strong liquidity and market leadership. However, if your thesis relied on near-term earnings growth or technical strength, the recent breakdown and earnings misses suggest reducing exposure or tightening stops.
The biggest risks are ongoing margin compression and earnings misses (P/E 468, net margins down, ROE/ROA below sector), execution risk in the Homes.com investment, and macroeconomic headwinds such as higher interest rates and weak real estate transaction volumes. While liquidity is strong (current ratio >2.8, debt/equity 0.14), these operational and market risks are significant.
Technical support is at $32.7; if this breaks, next downside targets are $28-30. Analyst price targets average $57, with a range up to $80, but these assume margin recovery and improved execution. Near-term, resistance is at $34.5 and $38-40; upside is capped unless a reversal is confirmed.
The stock is overvalued on current metrics, with a P/E of 468, EV/EBITDA over 200x, and high price/sales ratios, all well above sector averages. Valuation relies on future margin and earnings recovery, which is not yet visible.
Fundamentals have deteriorated: margins and earnings are down, ROE/ROA have fallen below sector medians, and growth has slowed to mid/high single digits. However, CSGP retains a strong balance sheet, high switching costs, and a dominant platform, supporting long-term potential if execution improves.
Technical analysis is bearish: the stock is in a clear downtrend, breaking below key support at $35 and testing $32.7 on high volume. No reversal pattern is present, and further downside to $28-30 is possible if support fails.
Key catalysts include upcoming earnings reports that could show stabilization or upside surprise, successful integration and monetization of Homes.com, and any signs of real estate sector recovery. Watch for management commentary, margin trends, and volume/momentum shifts on the chart.
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