CSGP AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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CoStar Group, Inc. (CSGP)

$33.05+0.13 (+0.39%) today

Open
$33.21
High
$33.54
Low
$32.21
Volume
8.19M
Mkt Cap
$13.50B
52W High
$97.43
AI Verdict
Confidence 85%
CSGPCoStar Group, Inc.
AlphaCrew AI
WAIT
Overall
Summary

CoStar Group (CSGP) is experiencing significant near-term volatility and technical weakness, with deteriorating fundamentals and compressed margins, but retains a strong long-term market position and growth potential. The stock is currently oversold and trading at multi-year lows, yet remains overvalued on near-term earnings and faces execution and macro risks. Investors should wait for stabilization in earnings trends or a confirmed technical reversal before considering new positions.

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Agent Signals
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Tech
Val
Sent
Risk

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BEARISH

CoStar Group (CSGP) is experiencing significant stock price volatility amid challenging sector dynamics, with its valuation now compressed to multi-year lows. Although CSGP maintains a leading position in real estate information services, strained earnings performance and recent sharp declines in its share price signal weakened fundamentals and investor confidence.

Financial Highlights

Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026-$300.0M$0$300.0M$600.0M$900.0MRevenue & Net Income ($)-6%-3%0%3%6%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$897.00M

22.51% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Income

$3.00M

120.27% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Margin

0.33%

Q1 2026

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

22.51%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Net Income Growth YoY

120.27%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

21.77%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

EPS Growth YoY

120.22%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

-7.64%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Revenue897.0M900.0M833.6M781.3M732.2M709.4M692.6M677.8M
Revenue Growth YoY+22.51%+26.87%+20.36%+15.27%+11.55%+10.83%+10.87%+11.87%
Net Income3.0M47.0M-30.9M6.2M-14.8M59.8M53.0M19.2M
Net Income Growth YoY+120.27%-21.40%-158.30%-67.71%-320.90%-38.02%-41.48%-80.90%
EPS$0.01$0.11-$0.07$0.01-$0.04$0.15$0.13$0.05
EPS Growth YoY+120.22%-26.67%-156.62%-68.71%-318.79%-37.50%-40.91%-81.08%

Profitability Metrics

Gross Margin

78.15%

TTM

Operating Margin

0.33%

TTM

Net Margin

0.33%

TTM

Return on Equity

0.30%

TTM

Return on Assets

0.73%

TTM

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Gross Margin78.15%73.89%79.34%78.52%79.06%80.14%79.70%79.96%
Operating Margin0.33%5.50%-6.13%-3.48%-5.85%5.64%3.42%-2.38%
Net Margin0.33%5.22%-3.71%0.79%-2.02%8.43%7.65%2.83%
Return on Equity (ROE)0.04%0.56%-0.36%0.07%-0.17%0.79%0.71%0.26%
Return on Assets (ROA)0.09%1.23%-0.76%0.11%-0.26%0.95%0.83%0.30%

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
BEARISH

Technical indicator data currently unavailable for CSGP, limiting direct RSI, SMA, and ADX insights. However, based on recent price action, CSGP is facing significant downside pressure, testing its 52-week lows around $32.7 amidst a strong volume surge. Chart patterns suggest a bearish environment with a potential continuation of the downtrend unless immediate support holds and rebounds occur.

RSI
Hold
Neutral31

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Sell
Strong Downtrend

Price in downtrend

-48.8% from 200 SMA
ADX
Buy
Strong Trend30

Strong trend active

Strong
MA Cross
Sell
Below 50/200

50 below 200 - bearish

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$33.05
50 SMA
$39.91
150 SMA
$56.32
200 SMA
$64.50
52W High
$97.43
52W Low
$32.09

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
31Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BEARISH

CoStar Group (CSGP) is experiencing significant stock price volatility amid challenging sector dynamics, with its valuation now compressed to multi-year lows. Although CSGP maintains a leading position in real estate information services, strained earnings performance and recent sharp declines in its share price signal weakened fundamentals and investor confidence.

Latest Earnings

Q1 2026 Earnings (Mar 31, 2026)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$0.23

Estimated

$0.18

Surprise

+$0.05

Surprise %

+27.78%

Revenue

Beat

Actual

$897M

Estimated

$896.73M

Surprise

+$274.5K

Surprise %

+0.03%

Historical Earnings

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$0.23$0.31$0.23$0.17$0.14$0.26$0.22$0.15
EPS (Estimated)$0.18$0.27$0.18$0.14$0.11$0.22$0.16$0.10
EPS Surprise+$0.05+$0.04+$0.05+$0.03+$0.03+$0.04+$0.06+$0.05
% Diff+27.8%+13.6%+26.3%+23.4%+22.1%+18.2%+35.3%+43.1%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$897M$900M$833.6M$781.3M$732.2M$709.4M$692.6M$677.8M
Revenue (Estimated)$896.73M$892.22M$813.18M$772.21M$716.79M$701.01M$695.91M$677.27M
Revenue Surprise+$274.5K+$7.78M+$20.42M+$9.09M+$15.41M+$8.39M-$3.31M+$531.86K
% Diff+0.0%+0.9%+2.5%+1.2%+2.1%+1.2%-0.5%+0.1%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
OVERVALUED

CoStar Group (CSGP) is currently trading at depressed levels near its 52-week lows amidst significant short-term earnings challenges, yet it maintains robust revenue growth and a dominant market position in real estate data services. Analyst sentiment remains mostly positive with moderate buy ratings and price targets indicating significant upside potential. However, very high valuation multiples reflect investor concerns about profitability and margin compression due to ongoing investments.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

539.51

TTM

Price to Sales

3.96

TTM

Price to Book

1.72

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

46.87

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

3.90

TTM

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Price to Earnings1388.37149.22-286.631360.32-549.39121.78144.76390.56
Price to Sales18.5731.1742.5043.1844.4241.0644.3144.25
Price to Book2.113.374.113.923.803.864.104.06
Enterprise Value to EBITDA191.69210.451174.29812.396634.67321.45453.751153.21
Enterprise Value to Revenue18.3830.5241.4239.8240.7835.9338.7838.62

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
MIXED

CoStar Group (CSGP) sentiment presents a mixed to cautiously optimistic picture. While the stock has recently hit new lows and faces valuation and competitive concerns, strong insider buying and robust earnings results underpin positive long-term views. Analysts are divided but the consensus leans toward a buy, supported by favorable price targets significantly above the current market price.

Analyst Recommendations

As of May 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Buy
4.0 / 5.0
Based on 20 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
0
Sell
1
Hold
4
Buy
10
Strong Buy
5

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
MODERATE

CoStar Group presents a financially stable profile with strong liquidity and low leverage, indicating a sound ability to meet obligations amid current economic uncertainties. However, ongoing significant investments in Homes.com and a challenging real estate market environment pose near-term earnings pressure and elevate execution risks. Despite these, its market positioning and strategic focus on long-term growth maintain investor interest with moderate risk considerations.

Liquidity & Solvency

Current Ratio

2.20

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Quick Ratio

2.20

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Debt-to-Equity

0.14

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Debt-to-Assets

0.11

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Liquidity Metrics
Current Ratio2.202.843.125.836.018.969.639.27
Quick Ratio2.202.843.115.836.018.969.639.27
Solvency Metrics
Debt-to-Equity0.140.140.130.130.130.140.150.15
Debt-to-Assets0.110.110.100.110.110.110.120.12

Liquidity Assessment

Current Ratio: 2.20(Strong)

Quick Ratio: 2.20(Strong)

The company has strong liquidity with sufficient short-term assets to cover liabilities.

Solvency Assessment

Debt-to-Equity: 0.14(Low)

Debt-to-Assets: 0.11(Low)

The company has conservative debt levels, indicating low financial risk and strong long-term solvency.

Frequently Asked Questions about CSGP

AI Answers: Common Questions About CSGP

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about CoStar Group, Inc.

CSGP is not a good buy right now given its extremely high P/E ratio of 468, EV/EBITDA over 200x, and technical breakdown to $32.7 (52-week low). Despite long-term growth potential, the stock remains overvalued on near-term earnings and faces significant operational and sector risks.

If you already own CSGP, there is no urgent need to sell if you have a long-term horizon and can tolerate volatility, as the company retains strong liquidity and market leadership. However, if your thesis relied on near-term earnings growth or technical strength, the recent breakdown and earnings misses suggest reducing exposure or tightening stops.

The biggest risks are ongoing margin compression and earnings misses (P/E 468, net margins down, ROE/ROA below sector), execution risk in the Homes.com investment, and macroeconomic headwinds such as higher interest rates and weak real estate transaction volumes. While liquidity is strong (current ratio >2.8, debt/equity 0.14), these operational and market risks are significant.

Technical support is at $32.7; if this breaks, next downside targets are $28-30. Analyst price targets average $57, with a range up to $80, but these assume margin recovery and improved execution. Near-term, resistance is at $34.5 and $38-40; upside is capped unless a reversal is confirmed.

The stock is overvalued on current metrics, with a P/E of 468, EV/EBITDA over 200x, and high price/sales ratios, all well above sector averages. Valuation relies on future margin and earnings recovery, which is not yet visible.

Fundamentals have deteriorated: margins and earnings are down, ROE/ROA have fallen below sector medians, and growth has slowed to mid/high single digits. However, CSGP retains a strong balance sheet, high switching costs, and a dominant platform, supporting long-term potential if execution improves.

Technical analysis is bearish: the stock is in a clear downtrend, breaking below key support at $35 and testing $32.7 on high volume. No reversal pattern is present, and further downside to $28-30 is possible if support fails.

Key catalysts include upcoming earnings reports that could show stabilization or upside surprise, successful integration and monetization of Homes.com, and any signs of real estate sector recovery. Watch for management commentary, margin trends, and volume/momentum shifts on the chart.

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