D AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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Dominion Energy, Inc. (D)

$62.92+0.36 (+0.58%) today

Open
$62.72
High
$63.10
Low
$62.14
Volume
3.72M
Mkt Cap
$55.34B
52W High
$67.57
AI Verdict
Confidence 86%
DDominion Energy, Inc.
AlphaCrew AI
HOLD
Overall
Summary

Dominion Energy is fundamentally improving with robust revenue and earnings growth, but its valuation is fair and technicals are neutral, suggesting a balanced risk/reward profile. While long-term prospects are attractive for income-focused investors, short-term and medium-term signals are mixed due to consolidation, sector risks, and high leverage. Investors should monitor for a technical breakout or regulatory catalysts before increasing exposure.

By Timeframe
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Short
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Medium
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Agent Signals
14
Fund
Tech
Val
Sent
Risk

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

Dominion Energy is exhibiting fundamental improvement with consecutive revenue and earnings beats, enhanced profitability, and stable dividend potential. The regulated utilities environment provides predictability in cash flows and risk mitigation, suggesting the company is currently navigating its restructuring effectively.

Financial Highlights

Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026$0$1.5B$3.0B$4.5B$6.0BRevenue & Net Income ($)12%15%18%21%24%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$5.14B

26.20% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Income

$621.00M

-3.87% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Margin

12.07%

Q1 2026

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

26.20%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Net Income Growth YoY

-3.87%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

22.37%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

EPS Growth YoY

-8.00%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

6.39%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Revenue5.1B4.1B4.5B3.8B4.1B3.4B3.9B3.5B
Revenue Growth YoY+26.20%+20.38%+14.87%+9.29%+12.22%-3.79%+3.44%+10.11%
Net Income621.0M586.0M1.0B760.0M646.0M-76.0M934.0M563.0M
Net Income Growth YoY-3.87%+871.05%+7.71%+34.99%+46.49%-132.34%+494.90%-3.43%
EPS$0.69$0.65$1.18$0.88$0.75$0.14$1.12$0.65
EPS Growth YoY-8.00%+364.29%+5.36%+35.38%+50.00%-46.15%+558.82%-5.80%

Profitability Metrics

Gross Margin

51.57%

TTM

Operating Margin

27.99%

TTM

Net Margin

12.07%

TTM

Return on Equity

10.51%

TTM

Return on Assets

2.60%

TTM

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Gross Margin51.57%44.91%50.21%50.39%50.54%44.18%52.60%47.71%
Operating Margin27.99%18.47%29.58%28.77%30.00%22.74%30.91%23.09%
Net Margin12.07%14.32%22.22%19.95%15.85%-2.24%23.70%16.15%
Return on Equity (ROE)2.13%2.01%3.63%2.79%2.36%-0.28%3.39%2.08%
Return on Assets (ROA)0.54%0.53%0.95%0.74%0.64%-0.08%0.98%0.58%

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
NEUTRAL

Dominion Energy (D) is currently in a neutral to slightly bullish technical phase with price trading near the 50-day SMA but above both the 150 and 200-day SMAs. The stock is in a Stage 2 advancing phase, signaling institutional accumulation and a constructive uptrend environment, though momentum remains subdued as reflected by a moderate RSI and weak ADX trend strength.

RSI
Hold
Neutral53

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Buy
Strong Uptrend

Price in uptrend

+3.1% from 200 SMA
ADX
Hold
Weak/No Trend10

Range-bound market

Weak
MA Cross
Buy
Above 50/200

50 above 200 - bullish

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$62.92
50 SMA
$62.36
150 SMA
$61.31
200 SMA
$61.05
52W High
$67.57
52W Low
$52.53

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
53Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

Dominion Energy is exhibiting fundamental improvement with consecutive revenue and earnings beats, enhanced profitability, and stable dividend potential. The regulated utilities environment provides predictability in cash flows and risk mitigation, suggesting the company is currently navigating its restructuring effectively.

Latest Earnings

Q1 2026 Earnings (Mar 31, 2026)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$0.95

Estimated

$0.90

Surprise

+$0.05

Surprise %

+5.32%

Revenue

Beat

Actual

$5.02B

Estimated

$4.43B

Surprise

+$588.83M

Surprise %

+13.29%

Historical Earnings

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$0.95$0.68$1.06$0.75$0.93$0.58$0.98$0.65
EPS (Estimated)$0.90$0.67$0.95$0.68$0.75$0.56$0.93$0.56
EPS Surprise+$0.05+$0.01+$0.11+$0.07+$0.18+$0.02+$0.05+$0.09
% Diff+5.3%+1.9%+11.0%+10.8%+23.5%+3.6%+5.4%+16.1%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$5.02B$4.09B$4.53B$3.81B$4.08B$3.4B$3.94B$3.49B
Revenue (Estimated)$4.43B$3.65B$4.26B$3.65B$3.96B$3.94B$4.18B$3.73B
Revenue Surprise+$588.83M+$443.03M+$265.66M+$157.71M+$116.1M-$540.96M-$237.47M-$243.27M
% Diff+13.3%+12.1%+6.2%+4.3%+2.9%-13.7%-5.7%-6.5%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
FAIRLY VALUED

Dominion Energy presents a valuation that aligns closely with its utility sector peers, supported by steady revenue growth and improving margins. Despite a moderate premium in some quarterly metrics, the overall assessment reflects a company with stable profitability and ongoing infrastructure investment, warranting a cautious but constructive outlook.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

18.60

TTM

Price to Sales

3.15

TTM

Price to Book

1.90

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

13.48

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

6.07

TTM

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Price to Earnings21.8721.3512.9515.8418.49-150.9512.9817.87
Price to Sales10.5612.2311.5212.6411.7213.5012.3011.55
Price to Book1.861.721.881.771.751.681.761.49
Enterprise Value to EBITDA51.0066.2246.2242.9347.4553.8745.6746.87
Enterprise Value to Revenue20.5324.1222.0024.7222.4625.6822.7723.43

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
MIXED

Dominion Energy (D) exhibits a predominantly cautious but steady market sentiment with modest appreciation year-to-date. Analysts mostly rate the stock as a "Hold," reflecting a balanced outlook amid favorable earnings and dividend updates but tempered by sector risks related to interest rates and capital expenditures.

Analyst Recommendations

As of May 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Hold
3.1 / 5.0
Based on 21 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
1
Sell
0
Hold
17
Buy
2
Strong Buy
1

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
MODERATE

Dominion Energy exhibits considerable financial leverage and below-industry-average liquidity levels, reflecting its capital-intensive utility business model and significant ongoing project investments. The company faces moderate near-term regulatory and project execution risks, particularly related to the costly Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind project and upcoming rate case proceedings, which may influence cash flow stability. From an investor perspective, Dominion's stable regulated utility cash flows and sizable infrastructure investments present a moderate risk profile that warrants close monitoring of debt sustainability and regulatory outcomes.

Liquidity & Solvency

Current Ratio

0.78

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Quick Ratio

0.61

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Debt-to-Equity

1.78

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Debt-to-Assets

0.44

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Liquidity Metrics
Current Ratio0.780.770.840.670.730.710.740.93
Quick Ratio0.610.590.650.490.530.520.580.78
Solvency Metrics
Debt-to-Equity1.781.681.751.701.611.531.561.54
Debt-to-Assets0.440.420.440.430.420.410.430.41

Liquidity Assessment

Current Ratio: 0.78(Weak)

Quick Ratio: 0.61(Weak)

The company has relatively weak liquidity and may face challenges meeting short-term obligations.

Solvency Assessment

Debt-to-Equity: 1.78(High)

Debt-to-Assets: 0.44(Moderate)

The company has relatively high debt levels, which may increase financial risk in economic downturns.

Frequently Asked Questions about D

AI Answers: Common Questions About D

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Dominion Energy, Inc.

Dominion Energy is a reasonable buy for long-term investors at $61.88, with a P/E of 18.26 in line with sector peers and improving fundamentals. However, technicals are neutral and the stock is consolidating, so short-term traders may want to wait for a breakout above $62.40. The dividend yield and regulated cash flows add to its appeal for income-focused portfolios.

There is no strong reason to sell now unless you expect near-term regulatory setbacks or need to rebalance due to sector exposure. Fundamentals are improving, and technicals do not indicate a breakdown, but short-term upside is limited until a clear trend emerges.

Dominion's biggest risks are high leverage (debt/equity ~1.78, interest coverage 2.6x), cost overruns on large projects like the Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind, and regulatory uncertainties that could impact allowed returns. Liquidity ratios are below ideal (current ratio <1.5), so monitoring cash flow and project execution is important.

Analyst price targets average around $66 (range $59-$70), with technical resistance at $62.40 and a longer-term target at the 52-week high of $67.57. Support is near $61.00 and $60.00, so a breakout above $62.40 could target the $66-$67.50 zone.

Dominion is fairly valued with a P/E of 18.26, price-to-sales and EV/EBITDA multiples in line with utilities peers, and no signs of overvaluation. The stock trades at a modest premium for its growth and infrastructure investments, but not excessively so.

Fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 14% YoY in FY25 and 26% in Q1 2026, gross margin is over 51%, and net margin is 12%. Earnings quality is high, driven by recurring regulated revenues and disciplined cost management, though leverage remains elevated.

Technical analysis is neutral: price is consolidating between $61 and $62.40, RSI is 46 (neither overbought nor oversold), and a golden cross is present but trend strength is weak (ADX <20). Wait for a breakout above $62.40 for bullish confirmation.

Key catalysts include upcoming regulatory rate case decisions, execution milestones on major projects like the Coastal Virginia Offshore Wind, and continued earnings/dividend growth. Macro factors such as interest rate changes and sector policy shifts could also impact the stock.

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