DIS AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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The Walt Disney Company (DIS)

$102.39-0.65 (-0.63%) today

Open
$102.95
High
$104.55
Low
$101.59
Volume
9.59M
Mkt Cap
$181.58B
52W High
$124.69
AI Verdict
Confidence 85%
DISThe Walt Disney Company
AlphaCrew AI
BUY
Overall
Summary

Disney (DIS) presents a compelling long-term investment case, with robust fundamentals, improving profitability, and a reasonable valuation relative to peers and history. While short-term technicals are neutral and liquidity risks warrant monitoring, the company’s diversified business model, strong brand, and growth in streaming and parks support a positive outlook across most timeframes.

By Timeframe
Hover for details
HOLD
Short
BUY
Medium
BUY
Long
Agent Signals
14
Fund
Tech
Val
Sent
Risk

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

Disney’s fundamentals have markedly improved over the past year, reflecting a robust rebound in both top- and bottom-line performance. The company has delivered strong operating leverage and margin expansion, underpinned by strength across its diverse content, parks, and streaming divisions.

Financial Highlights

Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025$0$6.5B$13.0B$19.5B$26.0BRevenue & Net Income ($)5%10%15%20%25%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$25.98B

5.23% YoY

Q4 2025

Net Income

$2.40B

-5.95% YoY

Q4 2025

Net Margin

9.25%

Q4 2025

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

5.23%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Net Income Growth YoY

-5.95%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

6.76%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

EPS Growth YoY

-4.96%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

8.36%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Revenue26.0B22.5B23.6B23.6B24.7B22.6B23.2B22.1B
Revenue Growth YoY+5.23%-0.49%+2.14%+6.96%+4.85%+6.28%+3.69%+1.23%
Net Income2.4B1.3B5.3B3.3B2.6B460.0M2.6B-20.0M
Net Income Growth YoY-5.95%+185.43%+100.76%+16475.00%+33.65%+74.24%+669.78%-101.57%
EPS$1.34$0.73$2.92$1.81$1.41$0.25$1.44-$0.01
EPS Growth YoY-4.96%+192.00%+102.78%+16705.50%+35.58%+78.57%+676.00%-101.56%

Profitability Metrics

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
NEUTRAL

Due to temporary data retrieval issues, detailed technical indicator values are currently unavailable for DIS. However, based on general price action and volume trends, DIS is hovering near $104, showing consolidation after a moderate pullback from recent highs. The stock remains range-bound between significant support near $100 and resistance around $107-$110.

RSI
Hold
Neutral39

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Sell
Strong Downtrend

Price in downtrend

-9.5% from 200 SMA
ADX
Hold
Moderate Trend23

Trend developing

Moderate
MA Cross
Sell
Below 50/200

50 below 200 - bearish

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$102.41
50 SMA
$109.48
150 SMA
$111.44
200 SMA
$113.11
52W High
$124.69
52W Low
$80.10

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
39Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

Disney’s fundamentals have markedly improved over the past year, reflecting a robust rebound in both top- and bottom-line performance. The company has delivered strong operating leverage and margin expansion, underpinned by strength across its diverse content, parks, and streaming divisions.

Latest Earnings

Q4 2025 Earnings (Dec 27, 2025)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$1.63

Estimated

$1.57

Surprise

+$0.06

Surprise %

+3.82%

Revenue

Beat

Actual

$25.98B

Estimated

$25.7B

Surprise

+$284.24M

Surprise %

+1.11%

Historical Earnings

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$1.63$1.11$1.61$1.45$1.76$1.14$1.39$1.21
EPS (Estimated)$1.57$1.05$1.45$1.19$1.45$1.11$1.19$1.10
EPS Surprise+$0.06+$0.06+$0.16+$0.26+$0.31+$0.03+$0.20+$0.11
% Diff+3.8%+5.7%+11.0%+21.8%+21.4%+2.7%+16.8%+10.0%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$25.98B$22.46B$23.58B$23.62B$24.69B$22.57B$23.16B$22.08B
Revenue (Estimated)$25.7B$22.76B$23.69B$23.09B$24.67B$22.49B$23.08B$22.12B
Revenue Surprise+$284.24M-$292.89M-$117.06M+$528.18M+$24.51M+$81.52M+$74.39M-$38.13M
% Diff+1.1%-1.3%-0.5%+2.3%+0.1%+0.4%+0.3%-0.2%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
FAIRLY VALUED

The Walt Disney Company (DIS) presents a mixed yet generally favorable valuation profile distinguished by solid revenue growth and improving earnings despite some margin pressures. Its valuation multiples, notably P/E and EV/EBITDA, trade at a discount compared to industry peers, reflecting market caution but also potential undervaluation. Analyst sentiment remains bullish with a consensus buy rating and price targets pointing to significant upside from current levels.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

14.93

TTM

Price to Sales

1.90

TTM

Price to Book

1.69

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

11.55

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

2.32

TTM

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Price to Earnings21.1138.9810.4613.5419.7994.6517.25-2805.10
Price to Sales7.819.119.317.518.197.727.8110.16
Price to Book1.871.862.021.701.981.731.802.26
Enterprise Value to EBITDA44.7161.7751.5943.9144.6278.7346.13110.03
Enterprise Value to Revenue9.3810.8610.879.079.809.649.6111.96

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
MIXED

Disney's market sentiment is cautiously optimistic, supported by strong earnings in Q1 2026, robust demand in its Parks and Experiences segment, and solid growth in streaming and content. While analysts predominantly maintain buy ratings with upside price targets near $135, some concerns linger regarding valuation, free cash flow, and near-term technical weakness. Retail investors remain engaged and generally positive, driven by Disney's brand strength and strategic growth initiatives.

Analyst Recommendations

As of Mar 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Buy
4.0 / 5.0
Based on 31 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
0
Sell
1
Hold
4
Buy
20
Strong Buy
6

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
MODERATE

Disney exhibits a moderate financial risk profile with stable debt levels but liquidity constraints highlighted by a current ratio below 1. The company benefits from strong revenue growth and strategic investments, particularly in experiences and streaming integration, though near-term growth appears to be stalling amid increased market competition and rising costs. Analyst sentiment is broadly positive with upside potential supported by strong content pipelines and operational improvements, despite headwinds from macroeconomic uncertainties and capital intensity pressures.

Liquidity & Solvency

Current Ratio

0.67

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Quick Ratio

0.61

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Debt-to-Equity

0.43

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Debt-to-Assets

0.23

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Liquidity Metrics
Current Ratio0.670.710.720.670.680.730.720.75
Quick Ratio0.610.650.660.610.620.670.660.69
Solvency Metrics
Debt-to-Equity0.430.410.390.410.440.490.470.47
Debt-to-Assets0.230.230.210.220.230.250.240.24

Liquidity Assessment

Current Ratio: 0.67(Weak)

Quick Ratio: 0.61(Weak)

The company has relatively weak liquidity and may face challenges meeting short-term obligations.

Solvency Assessment

Debt-to-Equity: 0.43(Low)

Debt-to-Assets: 0.23(Low)

The company maintains a balanced capital structure with manageable debt levels.

Frequently Asked Questions about DIS

AI Answers: Common Questions About DIS

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about The Walt Disney Company

Disney is a good buy for medium- and long-term investors, trading at a P/E of 15.3x (below its historical average) and EV/EBITDA of ~12x, with strong revenue and earnings growth. The current price of $103.95 is well below analyst targets (~$135), offering 23-32% potential upside as fundamentals improve.

Unless your thesis has changed or you need to manage short-term liquidity risk, there is little reason to sell now. Fundamentals are improving, valuation is attractive, and technicals do not signal a breakdown. Hold or accumulate on dips unless a clear negative catalyst emerges.

The biggest risks are short-term liquidity constraints (current ratio 0.67, quick ratio 0.61), rising content and sports rights costs, and intense streaming competition. A cash-flow shortfall in Q1 2026 and high capital demands for parks and content require monitoring, but debt levels (debt/equity 0.43) remain manageable.

Analyst consensus price targets are around $135, implying 23-32% upside from current levels. Technically, resistance is at $107-$110, with support at $100-$102; a breakout above $110 could trigger further gains, while a drop below $100 may signal caution.

DIS is fairly valued to slightly undervalued: its P/E (15.3x) and EV/EBITDA (~12x) are below sector and historical averages, while price-to-book is moderate. This discount reflects market caution but also offers upside as growth and margins recover.

Disney’s fundamentals are strong: FY25 revenue grew 3.4% YoY to $94.43B, net income surged 149% YoY to $12.4B, and margins expanded (gross margin ~38%, operating margin ~15%). Earnings quality is high and growth is organic, though liquidity is tight.

Technical analysis is neutral: DIS is consolidating between $100-$110, with RSI in the 45-55 range and no clear trend. Volume is below average, and there are no major bullish or bearish chart patterns, so traders should wait for a breakout or catalyst.

Key catalysts include upcoming earnings reports, major franchise film releases, continued streaming subscriber growth, and international park expansion. The recent appointment of a new CEO and strong Q1 2026 results may also drive sentiment and price action.

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