DIS AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?
The Walt Disney Company (DIS)
Fundamentals
The Walt Disney Company exhibits stable financial health with solid revenue generation and improving earnings quality, underscored by consistent profitability metrics and a resilient business model. While recent quarters reflect moderate revenue growth and margin expansion, Disney's diversified content offerings and strong brand equity support sustainable fundamentals amid industry competition. The stock trades at a reasonable valuation with reasonable upside potential given its steady operational performance and growth prospects.
Financial Highlights
- Revenue
- Net Income
- Net Margin (%)
Revenue
6.55% YoY
Q1 2026
Net Income
-31.39% YoY
Q1 2026
Net Margin
Q1 2026
Growth Metrics
Revenue Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Net Income Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Revenue Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
EPS Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Book Value Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 25.2B | 26.0B | 22.5B | 23.6B | 23.6B | 24.7B | 22.6B | 23.2B |
| Revenue Growth YoY | +6.55% | +5.23% | -0.49% | +2.14% | +6.96% | +4.85% | +6.28% | +3.69% |
| Net Income | 2.2B | 2.4B | 1.3B | 5.3B | 3.3B | 2.6B | 460.0M | 2.6B |
| Net Income Growth YoY | -31.39% | -5.95% | +185.43% | +100.76% | +16475.00% | +33.65% | +74.24% | +669.78% |
| EPS | $1.27 | $1.34 | $0.73 | $2.92 | $1.81 | $1.41 | $0.25 | $1.44 |
| EPS Growth YoY | -29.83% | -4.96% | +192.00% | +102.78% | +16705.50% | +35.58% | +78.57% | +676.00% |
Profitability Metrics
Technical Analysis
DIS is currently in a strong downtrend with price trading below its 50, 150, and 200 SMAs. The RSI is neutral near 46, indicating no strong momentum, while the ADX signals weak trend strength, suggesting potential range-bound behavior within a broader decline. Technicals warn of continued bearish conditions with no immediate signs of reversal.
No extreme reading
Price in downtrend
Range-bound market
50 below 200 - bearish
Key Technical Values
Price with Moving Averages
50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages
Relative Strength Index
Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes
RSI (14)
Earnings
The Walt Disney Company exhibits stable financial health with solid revenue generation and improving earnings quality, underscored by consistent profitability metrics and a resilient business model. While recent quarters reflect moderate revenue growth and margin expansion, Disney's diversified content offerings and strong brand equity support sustainable fundamentals amid industry competition. The stock trades at a reasonable valuation with reasonable upside potential given its steady operational performance and growth prospects.
Latest Earnings
Q1 2026 Earnings (Mar 28, 2026)
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Actual
$1.57
Estimated
$1.49
Surprise
+$0.08
Surprise %
+5.37%
Revenue
Actual
$25.17B
Estimated
$24.87B
Surprise
+$301.73M
Surprise %
+1.21%
Historical Earnings
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Per Share | ||||||||
| EPS (Actual) | $1.57 | $1.63 | $1.11 | $1.61 | $1.45 | $1.76 | $1.14 | $1.39 |
| EPS (Estimated) | $1.49 | $1.57 | $1.05 | $1.45 | $1.19 | $1.45 | $1.11 | $1.19 |
| EPS Surprise | +$0.08 | +$0.06 | +$0.06 | +$0.16 | +$0.26 | +$0.31 | +$0.03 | +$0.20 |
| % Diff | +5.4% | +3.8% | +5.7% | +11.0% | +21.8% | +21.4% | +2.7% | +16.8% |
| Revenue | ||||||||
| Revenue (Actual) | $25.17B | $25.98B | $22.46B | $23.58B | $23.62B | $24.69B | $22.57B | $23.16B |
| Revenue (Estimated) | $24.87B | $25.7B | $22.76B | $23.69B | $23.09B | $24.67B | $22.49B | $23.08B |
| Revenue Surprise | +$301.73M | +$284.24M | -$292.89M | -$117.06M | +$528.18M | +$24.51M | +$81.52M | +$74.39M |
| % Diff | +1.2% | +1.1% | -1.3% | -0.5% | +2.3% | +0.1% | +0.4% | +0.3% |
Valuation
The Walt Disney Company currently appears to be trading at a valuation discount relative to its historical norms and sector peers, supported by stable revenue growth and improving earnings outlook. While technical indicators signal near-term weakness and cautious sentiment, analyst price targets suggest significant upside potential over the next 12 months, reflecting confidence in Disney's long-term strategic positioning and cash flow generation capabilities.
Valuation Metrics
Price to Earnings
TTM
Price to Sales
TTM
Price to Book
TTM
Enterprise Value to EBITDA
TTM
Enterprise Value to Revenue
TTM
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price to Earnings | 18.19 | 21.19 | 38.86 | 10.47 | 13.55 | 19.78 | 96.01 | 17.24 |
| Price to Sales | 6.48 | 7.81 | 9.11 | 9.31 | 7.51 | 8.19 | 7.72 | 7.81 |
| Price to Book | 1.50 | 1.87 | 1.86 | 2.02 | 1.70 | 1.98 | 1.73 | 1.80 |
| Enterprise Value to EBITDA | 39.06 | 44.71 | 61.77 | 51.59 | 43.91 | 44.62 | 78.73 | 46.13 |
| Enterprise Value to Revenue | 8.14 | 9.38 | 10.86 | 10.87 | 9.07 | 9.80 | 9.64 | 9.61 |
Sentiment & Analyst Ratings
The sentiment around Disney (DIS) is predominantly positive with strong analyst buy support and optimistic expectations ahead of its Q3 fiscal 2026 earnings release. While the stock has faced a near 20% decline over the past year, ongoing strategic initiatives in streaming, parks expansion, and content launches keep investor confidence relatively high. Social media buzz remains moderate, primarily tied to new content and seasonal themes rather than direct stock speculation.
Analyst Recommendations
Risk Assessment
The Walt Disney Company presents a moderate financial risk profile with manageable leverage and steady but below-ideal liquidity metrics. While recent earnings growth and operational improvements in streaming and theme parks signal positive momentum, risks from economic downturns and competitive pressures remain potential headwinds. Market sentiment is broadly positive with strong analyst buy consensus, but cautious technical signals and sector-specific risks temper the outlook.
Liquidity & Solvency
Current Ratio
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Quick Ratio
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Debt-to-Equity
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Debt-to-Assets
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidity Metrics | ||||||||
| Current Ratio | 0.65 | 0.67 | 0.71 | 0.72 | 0.67 | 0.68 | 0.73 | 0.72 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.59 | 0.61 | 0.65 | 0.66 | 0.61 | 0.62 | 0.67 | 0.66 |
| Solvency Metrics | ||||||||
| Debt-to-Equity | 0.44 | 0.43 | 0.41 | 0.39 | 0.41 | 0.44 | 0.49 | 0.47 |
| Debt-to-Assets | 0.23 | 0.23 | 0.23 | 0.21 | 0.22 | 0.23 | 0.25 | 0.24 |
Liquidity Assessment
Current Ratio: 0.65(Weak)
Quick Ratio: 0.59(Weak)
The company has relatively weak liquidity and may face challenges meeting short-term obligations.
Solvency Assessment
Debt-to-Equity: 0.44(Low)
Debt-to-Assets: 0.23(Low)
The company maintains a balanced capital structure with manageable debt levels.
Frequently Asked Questions about DIS
AI Answers: Common Questions About DIS
Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about The Walt Disney Company
Disney trades at a reasonable P/E of 16.25 with steady revenue growth of 6% YoY and EPS growth of 37.7% in the latest quarter, supported by strong fundamentals and diversified operations, making it a good long-term buy.
Short-term technical indicators are bearish with price below key moving averages and a death cross pattern, suggesting selling or avoiding new positions until after upcoming earnings clarity.
Key risks include macroeconomic sensitivity affecting consumer spending, competitive pressures in streaming, rising content and operational costs, and liquidity constraints with a current ratio near 0.65.
Analyst consensus price targets range from $128 to $131, implying upside potential of around 29%-33% from the current price of $96.22.
Disney is fairly valued with a trailing P/E near 16, EV/EBITDA around 12-13x, and price-to-sales multiples near 2, reflecting moderate growth expectations and balanced risk.
The company shows stable revenue growth averaging 4-6% annually, improving operating margins near 15%, and strong EPS growth, driven by streaming subscriber gains and theme park recovery.
Technicals are bearish in the short term with a death cross, price below 50, 150, and 200 SMAs, and RSI near 46, indicating weak momentum and potential downside to support near $92.20.
Upcoming Q3 earnings on August 5, new content releases, and the D23 Expo are key catalysts that could drive stock movement and clarify near-term outlook.
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