DIS AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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The Walt Disney Company (DIS)

$106.16+1.44 (+1.38%) today

Open
$104.75
High
$106.27
Low
$104.22
Volume
6.24M
Mkt Cap
$184.35B
52W High
$124.69
AI Verdict
Confidence 89%
DISThe Walt Disney Company
AlphaCrew AI
BUY
Overall
Summary

Disney (DIS) presents a compelling long-term value proposition, underpinned by strong fundamentals, improving profitability, and a discounted valuation relative to peers and history. While short-term technicals are mixed and liquidity risks exist, positive sentiment, consistent earnings beats, and analyst upside targets support a bullish outlook for patient investors. Near-term volatility is likely, but the risk/reward skews favorably for those with a longer time horizon.

By Timeframe
Hover for details
HOLD
Short
BUY
Medium
BUY
Long
Agent Signals
32
Fund
Tech
Val
Sent
Risk

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

The Walt Disney Company exhibits solid financial performance with improving profitability and consistent revenue growth, supported by successful cost management and a diversified entertainment portfolio. Earnings have consistently exceeded Wall Street expectations, indicating strong operational execution. These factors underpin a fundamentally resilient business poised for gradual long-term growth.

Financial Highlights

Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026$0$6.5B$13.0B$19.5B$26.0BRevenue & Net Income ($)5%10%15%20%25%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$25.17B

6.55% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Income

$2.25B

-31.39% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Margin

8.93%

Q1 2026

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

6.55%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Net Income Growth YoY

-31.39%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

9.08%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

EPS Growth YoY

-29.83%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

8.54%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Revenue25.2B26.0B22.5B23.6B23.6B24.7B22.6B23.2B
Revenue Growth YoY+6.55%+5.23%-0.49%+2.14%+6.96%+4.85%+6.28%+3.69%
Net Income2.2B2.4B1.3B5.3B3.3B2.6B460.0M2.6B
Net Income Growth YoY-31.39%-5.95%+185.43%+100.76%+16475.00%+33.65%+74.24%+669.78%
EPS$1.27$1.34$0.73$2.92$1.81$1.41$0.25$1.44
EPS Growth YoY-29.83%-4.96%+192.00%+102.78%+16705.50%+35.58%+78.57%+676.00%

Profitability Metrics

Gross Margin

36.82%

TTM

Operating Margin

19.69%

TTM

Net Margin

8.93%

TTM

Return on Equity

10.29%

TTM

Return on Assets

9.32%

TTM

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Gross Margin36.82%35.84%37.60%38.55%37.30%37.60%36.96%36.48%
Operating Margin19.69%14.91%11.59%15.41%14.84%16.52%12.16%14.48%
Net Margin8.93%9.25%5.84%22.25%13.86%10.34%2.04%11.32%
Return on Equity (ROE)2.07%2.21%1.20%4.82%3.14%2.51%0.46%2.60%
Return on Assets (ROA)1.87%2.04%1.14%4.63%2.91%2.25%0.41%2.32%

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
NEUTRAL

DIS is currently in a topping phase exhibiting mixed trend signals with price hovering near key moving averages. The 50 SMA is below the 200 SMA indicating a death cross, and the ADX suggests a moderate but not strong trend, signaling potential volatility and indecision. RSI is neutral, showing no extreme momentum signals currently.

RSI
Hold
Neutral57

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Hold
Mixed

Mixed signals

-2.7% from 200 SMA
ADX
Hold
Weak/No Trend20

Range-bound market

Weak
MA Cross
Hold
Death Cross

Watching for cross

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$106.16
50 SMA
$100.99
150 SMA
$106.78
200 SMA
$109.08
52W High
$124.69
52W Low
$92.19

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
57Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

The Walt Disney Company exhibits solid financial performance with improving profitability and consistent revenue growth, supported by successful cost management and a diversified entertainment portfolio. Earnings have consistently exceeded Wall Street expectations, indicating strong operational execution. These factors underpin a fundamentally resilient business poised for gradual long-term growth.

Latest Earnings

Q1 2026 Earnings (Mar 28, 2026)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$1.57

Estimated

$1.49

Surprise

+$0.08

Surprise %

+5.37%

Revenue

Beat

Actual

$25.17B

Estimated

$24.87B

Surprise

+$301.73M

Surprise %

+1.21%

Historical Earnings

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$1.57$1.63$1.11$1.61$1.45$1.76$1.14$1.39
EPS (Estimated)$1.49$1.57$1.05$1.45$1.19$1.45$1.11$1.19
EPS Surprise+$0.08+$0.06+$0.06+$0.16+$0.26+$0.31+$0.03+$0.20
% Diff+5.4%+3.8%+5.7%+11.0%+21.8%+21.4%+2.7%+16.8%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$25.17B$25.98B$22.46B$23.58B$23.62B$24.69B$22.57B$23.16B
Revenue (Estimated)$24.87B$25.7B$22.76B$23.69B$23.09B$24.67B$22.49B$23.08B
Revenue Surprise+$301.73M+$284.24M-$292.89M-$117.06M+$528.18M+$24.51M+$81.52M+$74.39M
% Diff+1.2%+1.1%-1.3%-0.5%+2.3%+0.1%+0.4%+0.3%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
UNDERVALUED

Disney's current valuation reflects a significant discount compared to peers and its historical multiples, supported by moderate revenue growth but recent earnings pressure. Technical indicators show mixed signals with resistance near $109 and key moving averages suggesting cautious optimism. Analyst sentiment remains positive with average price targets implying meaningful upside potential from current levels.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

16.70

TTM

Price to Sales

1.90

TTM

Price to Book

1.72

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

10.90

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

2.32

TTM

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Price to Earnings18.1621.1138.9810.4613.5419.7994.6517.25
Price to Sales6.487.819.119.317.518.197.727.81
Price to Book1.501.871.862.021.701.981.731.80
Enterprise Value to EBITDA32.2244.7161.7751.5943.9144.6278.7346.13
Enterprise Value to Revenue8.149.3810.8610.879.079.809.649.61

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
POSITIVE

The overall market sentiment for Disney (DIS) is moderately positive, backed by strong analyst buy ratings and optimistic price targets. Recent earnings beats with solid revenue growth and improved margins reinforce confidence, supported by strategic initiatives in streaming, parks, and technology. Social media sentiment shows a balanced retail mood with cautious optimism amid evolving content trends.

Analyst Recommendations

As of May 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Buy
4.1 / 5.0
Based on 32 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
0
Sell
1
Hold
3
Buy
21
Strong Buy
7

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
MODERATE

Disney faces a moderate financial risk profile characterized by low liquidity ratios indicating tight short-term cash availability but maintains a manageable leverage level and strong debt servicing ability. Despite macroeconomic uncertainties and structural shifts in media consumption, operational resilience, particularly in its theme parks and streaming expansion, supports a balanced investment outlook. However, ongoing pressures from streaming costs and discretionary spending variability suggest cautious investor monitoring is warranted.

Liquidity & Solvency

Current Ratio

0.65

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Quick Ratio

0.59

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Debt-to-Equity

0.44

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Debt-to-Assets

0.23

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Liquidity Metrics
Current Ratio0.650.670.710.720.670.680.730.72
Quick Ratio0.590.610.650.660.610.620.670.66
Solvency Metrics
Debt-to-Equity0.440.430.410.390.410.440.490.47
Debt-to-Assets0.230.230.230.210.220.230.250.24

Liquidity Assessment

Current Ratio: 0.65(Weak)

Quick Ratio: 0.59(Weak)

The company has relatively weak liquidity and may face challenges meeting short-term obligations.

Solvency Assessment

Debt-to-Equity: 0.44(Low)

Debt-to-Assets: 0.23(Low)

The company maintains a balanced capital structure with manageable debt levels.

Frequently Asked Questions about DIS

AI Answers: Common Questions About DIS

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about The Walt Disney Company

Disney is a good buy for medium- and long-term investors, trading at a P/E of 17.28 (below sector and historical averages) and offering 24% upside to the consensus analyst target of $134. The company's fundamentals are robust, with expanding margins and consistent earnings beats, though short-term technical resistance suggests caution for near-term entries.

Unless you are a short-term trader reacting to technical resistance at $109.25 or need to reduce exposure due to liquidity concerns, there is no fundamental reason to sell. The investment thesis remains intact with improving profitability, positive sentiment, and analyst upgrades supporting further upside.

The biggest risks are short-term liquidity (current ratio ~0.65, quick ratio <0.6), competitive streaming pressures, and macroeconomic headwinds that could impact parks and discretionary spending. While debt is manageable (debt/equity 0.44, interest coverage >20x), investors should monitor cash flow trends and market shifts.

Analyst consensus targets DIS at $134, implying ~24% upside from current levels. Technically, resistance is at $109.25 (200 SMA), with support at $100 and $92.19; a breakout above $110-112 could trigger further gains, while failure to hold support may see a retest of lower levels.

Disney is undervalued, trading at a P/E of 17.28 and subdued P/S relative to sector peers and its historical averages, while EV/EBITDA remains elevated due to strong cash flow. The market is not pricing in a growth premium, offering an attractive entry for long-term investors.

Disney's fundamentals are strong: net margin improved from 5.4% to 13.1% YoY, ROE is 14.6%, and revenue growth is steady (3.4% YoY in 2025). The business is diversified across parks, media, and streaming, with disciplined cost control and consistent earnings beats.

Technical analysis is neutral-to-cautious: the stock is consolidating below the 200 SMA ($109.25) with a death cross in place, and RSI at 63.5 is neutral. No clear breakout or reversal pattern is present; traders should wait for a decisive move above resistance or a pullback to $100 support.

Key catalysts include upcoming earnings (with guidance for 12% FY26 EPS growth), progress toward streaming profitability, international park expansion, and new franchise/content releases. Macro events affecting consumer spending and discretionary income will also impact performance.

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