DUK AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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Duke Energy Corporation (DUK)

$125.07+0.17 (+0.14%) today

Open
$125.00
High
$125.82
Low
$123.89
Volume
3.32M
Mkt Cap
$97.50B
52W High
$134.49
AI Verdict
Confidence 87%
DUKDuke Energy Corporation
AlphaCrew AI
BUY
Overall
Summary

Duke Energy (DUK) offers a compelling long-term investment case, combining robust fundamentals, fair valuation, and positive sentiment, though short-term technicals suggest caution. The stock is best suited for patient, income-focused investors seeking stable growth and reliable dividends, while traders should be aware of near-term volatility and range-bound action. Overall, the risk/reward profile is favorable for long-term holders, with manageable risks and multiple growth catalysts.

By Timeframe
Hover for details
HOLD
Short
HOLD
Medium
BUY
Long
Agent Signals
14
Fund
Tech
Val
Sent
Risk

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

Duke Energy demonstrates consistent financial performance as a leading regulated utility, showing steady earnings growth, strong margin recovery, and reliable cash flow generation. While valuation sits near fair value for its robust defensive profile, current fundamentals, stable earnings, and sector resilience present a compelling case for patient, income-focused investors.

Financial Highlights

Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026$0$2.5B$5.0B$7.5B$10.0BRevenue & Net Income ($)13%14%15%16%17%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$9.18B

11.26% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Income

$1.55B

12.73% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Margin

16.89%

Q1 2026

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

11.26%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Net Income Growth YoY

12.73%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

11.12%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

EPS Growth YoY

11.93%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

8.90%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Revenue9.2B7.9B8.7B7.5B8.2B7.4B8.2B7.2B
Revenue Growth YoY+11.26%+7.85%+6.32%+4.68%+7.53%+2.05%+2.00%+9.03%
Net Income1.6B1.2B1.4B984.0M1.4B1.2B1.3B885.0M
Net Income Growth YoY+12.73%-2.39%+12.42%+11.19%+19.77%+8.98%+0.96%+502.27%
EPS$1.97$1.50$1.81$1.25$1.76$1.54$1.57$1.13
EPS Growth YoY+11.93%-2.60%+15.29%+10.62%+22.22%+7.69%0.00%+489.66%

Profitability Metrics

Gross Margin

67.92%

TTM

Operating Margin

29.69%

TTM

Net Margin

16.89%

TTM

Return on Equity

9.85%

TTM

Return on Assets

2.87%

TTM

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Gross Margin67.92%30.49%98.73%29.75%51.85%52.92%49.44%49.44%
Operating Margin29.69%26.51%26.92%24.23%28.40%28.70%26.29%23.80%
Net Margin16.89%14.92%16.39%13.11%16.67%16.48%15.50%12.34%
Return on Equity (ROE)2.85%2.28%2.76%1.93%2.71%2.42%2.57%1.78%
Return on Assets (ROA)0.87%0.67%0.82%0.58%0.82%0.73%0.77%0.55%

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
NEUTRAL

DUK is currently in a topping phase with price hovering near the 200 SMA, indicating a lack of clear trend direction. Momentum is neutral with RSI in the mid-30s and ADX signaling a weak trend, suggesting range-bound price action. Technical signals advise caution as volatility rises and potential for a breakdown below key moving averages increases.

RSI
Hold
Neutral41

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Hold
Mixed

Mixed signals

+0.9% from 200 SMA
ADX
Hold
Weak/No Trend20

Range-bound market

Weak
MA Cross
Hold
Golden Cross

Watching for cross

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$125.07
50 SMA
$129.25
150 SMA
$124.47
200 SMA
$124.00
52W High
$134.49
52W Low
$111.22

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
41Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

Duke Energy demonstrates consistent financial performance as a leading regulated utility, showing steady earnings growth, strong margin recovery, and reliable cash flow generation. While valuation sits near fair value for its robust defensive profile, current fundamentals, stable earnings, and sector resilience present a compelling case for patient, income-focused investors.

Latest Earnings

Q1 2026 Earnings (Mar 31, 2026)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$1.93

Estimated

$1.87

Surprise

+$0.06

Surprise %

+3.21%

Revenue

Beat

Actual

$9.18B

Estimated

$8.44B

Surprise

+$738.53M

Surprise %

+8.75%

Historical Earnings

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$1.93$1.50$1.81$1.25$1.76$1.66$1.62$1.18
EPS (Estimated)$1.87$1.49$1.76$1.18$1.60$1.65$1.70$1.02
EPS Surprise+$0.06+$0.01+$0.05+$0.07+$0.16+$0.01-$0.08+$0.16
% Diff+3.2%+0.7%+2.8%+5.9%+10.0%+0.6%-4.7%+15.7%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$9.18B$7.94B$8.67B$7.51B$8.25B$7.36B$8.15B$7.17B
Revenue (Estimated)$8.44B$7.43B$8.57B$7.42B$8.06B$7.58B$8.06B$6.84B
Revenue Surprise+$738.53M+$511.35M+$101.66M+$89.45M+$193.08M-$218.14M+$95.74M+$328.96M
% Diff+8.8%+6.9%+1.2%+1.2%+2.4%-2.9%+1.2%+4.8%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
FAIRLY VALUED

Duke Energy presents a fundamentally stable valuation supported by steady earnings growth, solid operating margins, and robust dividend history. The company benefits from strong industry tailwinds such as increasing data center demand and a large capital expenditure plan but faces regulatory and execution risks. Analyst consensus leans moderately bullish with price targets implying upside from current levels, reflecting confidence in the company's growth prospects and cash flow generation.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

18.93

TTM

Price to Sales

2.93

TTM

Price to Book

1.79

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

11.67

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

5.58

TTM

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Price to Earnings16.4319.2316.9423.2917.2317.1617.6121.67
Price to Sales11.1011.4711.1112.2111.4911.3210.9210.69
Price to Book1.871.761.871.801.871.661.811.54
Enterprise Value to EBITDA43.0448.7444.4549.8543.5243.8543.2346.14
Enterprise Value to Revenue20.7022.8921.3223.9522.0422.8521.3022.26

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
MIXED

Market sentiment for Duke Energy (DUK) is currently positive, buoyed by a strong Q1 2026 earnings beat, robust demand from data center contracts, and reaffirmed financial guidance. While analysts broadly recommend holding or buying the stock, valuation concerns and regulatory headwinds temper enthusiasm, creating a cautiously optimistic environment among investors.

Analyst Recommendations

As of May 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Buy
3.5 / 5.0
Based on 23 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
0
Sell
0
Hold
13
Buy
8
Strong Buy
2

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
MODERATE

Duke Energy exhibits a moderate to elevated financial risk profile driven primarily by a leveraged capital structure and liquidity below ideal thresholds. Despite solid operational performance and growth fueled by data center demand and regulated utilities, tight liquidity and relatively high debt levels pose caution for investors from a risk perspective. The company is nevertheless positioned for steady growth with long-term earnings visibility and continued load expansion.

Liquidity & Solvency

Current Ratio

0.66

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Quick Ratio

0.44

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Debt-to-Equity

1.66

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Debt-to-Assets

0.46

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Liquidity Metrics
Current Ratio0.660.550.630.660.770.670.700.81
Quick Ratio0.440.330.400.420.500.440.450.53
Solvency Metrics
Debt-to-Equity1.661.751.731.741.731.701.731.68
Debt-to-Assets0.460.460.460.470.470.460.460.46

Liquidity Assessment

Current Ratio: 0.66(Weak)

Quick Ratio: 0.44(Weak)

The company has relatively weak liquidity and may face challenges meeting short-term obligations.

Solvency Assessment

Debt-to-Equity: 1.66(High)

Debt-to-Assets: 0.46(Moderate)

The company has relatively high debt levels, which may increase financial risk in economic downturns.

Frequently Asked Questions about DUK

AI Answers: Common Questions About DUK

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Duke Energy Corporation

Duke Energy is a good buy for long-term investors, trading at a P/E of 19.07 and near sector-average valuation multiples. The company’s fundamentals are strong, with EPS growth above 10% and a reliable dividend, while analyst price targets ($130-$146) suggest moderate upside from current levels ($124.17). Short-term traders should be cautious due to neutral technicals.

Unless your investment horizon is short-term or you are highly risk-averse to liquidity and technical downside, there is no strong reason to sell. Fundamentals remain robust, and long-term prospects are intact; however, if price breaks below $124 support or liquidity deteriorates further, a reassessment may be warranted.

The biggest risks are elevated leverage (debt-to-equity ~1.66), below-benchmark liquidity (current ratio 0.66, quick ratio 0.44), and exposure to regulatory delays or cost inflation. Rising interest rates could further pressure debt servicing and margins, so monitoring these metrics is key.

Technical resistance is at $129.50 (50 SMA) and $134.49 (52-week high), with support at $124 and $111.22. Analyst targets cluster around $140, implying 12-13% upside potential if growth and regulatory catalysts materialize.

DUK is fairly valued, with a P/E of 19.07 and price-to-book near historical norms. EV/EBITDA is temporarily elevated due to capex but aligns with sector averages on an annual basis. There is no significant premium or discount, reflecting balanced market expectations.

Fundamentally, Duke is strong: revenue grew 6.2% in 2025 and 7.3% in the latest quarter, EPS growth is double-digit, margins are expanding (net margin >16%), and cash flow visibility is high due to regulated operations. However, leverage and liquidity are weaker than ideal.

Technically, DUK is in a topping phase with price near the 200 SMA ($124), RSI at 37 (neutral), and weak trend strength (ADX <20). No clear breakout is present; a close below $124 could trigger further downside, while resistance lies at $129.50 and $134.49.

Key catalysts include upcoming earnings reports, further data center contract wins, regulatory approvals for rate increases or mergers, and macro trends such as interest rate changes. Watch for updates on capital projects and liquidity improvements.

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