EMR AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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Emerson Electric Co. (EMR)

$142.22-2.99 (-2.06%) today

Open
$142.21
High
$144.32
Low
$140.60
Volume
2.88M
Mkt Cap
$79.97B
52W High
$165.15
AI Verdict
Confidence 85%
EMREmerson Electric Co.
AlphaCrew AI
HOLD
Overall
Summary

Emerson Electric (EMR) is fundamentally robust with strong growth in automation and digital solutions, but current valuation and liquidity concerns temper near-term upside. Technicals show consolidation and sentiment is mixed, suggesting investors should wait for a clearer directional move or valuation reset. The long-term outlook remains positive, but caution is warranted in the short and medium term due to macro and liquidity risks.

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Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
NEUTRAL

Emerson Electric (EMR) demonstrates steady top-line growth, solid profitability metrics, and strong cash generation but faces a recent pullback in its stock price partly on valuation concerns. The company's fundamentals and market positioning are robust, though its current valuation may be stretched given the P/E multiple. Earnings quality remains high, but margin volatility and cyclical exposures warrant monitoring.

Financial Highlights

Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025$0$1.5B$3.0B$4.5B$6.0BRevenue & Net Income ($)10.8%11.7%12.6%13.5%14.4%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$4.34B

4.07% YoY

Q4 2025

Net Income

$605.00M

3.42% YoY

Q4 2025

Net Margin

13.92%

Q4 2025

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

4.07%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Net Income Growth YoY

3.42%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

5.31%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

EPS Growth YoY

4.96%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

-22.16%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Revenue4.3B4.9B4.6B4.4B4.2B4.6B4.4B4.4B
Revenue Growth YoY+4.07%+5.11%+3.95%+1.28%+1.41%+12.93%+11.00%+16.51%
Net Income605.0M637.0M586.0M485.0M585.0M996.0M329.0M501.0M
Net Income Growth YoY+3.42%-36.04%+78.12%-3.19%+311.97%+33.87%-96.48%-36.74%
EPS$1.08$1.13$1.04$0.86$1.03$1.74$0.58$0.88
EPS Growth YoY+4.96%-35.06%+80.78%-1.74%+313.59%+41.98%-48.92%-5.56%

Profitability Metrics

Gross Margin

48.56%

TTM

Operating Margin

19.88%

TTM

Net Margin

13.92%

TTM

Return on Equity

11.61%

TTM

Return on Assets

15.89%

TTM

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Gross Margin48.56%51.91%52.56%53.50%53.53%51.33%52.83%52.19%
Operating Margin19.88%13.10%19.94%19.38%18.73%17.10%18.17%16.34%
Net Margin13.92%13.12%12.87%10.94%14.01%21.56%7.51%11.45%
Return on Equity (ROE)2.98%3.14%2.95%2.52%2.86%4.60%1.58%2.40%
Return on Assets (ROA)4.16%4.45%3.99%3.43%3.99%6.33%1.93%2.86%

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
NEUTRAL

Technical data for EMR is currently unavailable from internal sources, limiting direct indicator analysis. However, based on recent price action and known key levels, EMR appears to be in a consolidation phase near its mid-term support levels after a recent pullback. Traders should monitor for breakout confirmation or further breakdowns below support.

RSI
Hold
Neutral42

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Hold
Mixed

Mixed signals

+4.5% from 200 SMA
ADX
Hold
Weak/No Trend15

Range-bound market

Weak
MA Cross
Hold
Golden Cross

Watching for cross

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$142.22
50 SMA
$146.87
150 SMA
$137.47
200 SMA
$136.11
52W High
$165.15
52W Low
$90.06

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
42Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
NEUTRAL

Emerson Electric (EMR) demonstrates steady top-line growth, solid profitability metrics, and strong cash generation but faces a recent pullback in its stock price partly on valuation concerns. The company's fundamentals and market positioning are robust, though its current valuation may be stretched given the P/E multiple. Earnings quality remains high, but margin volatility and cyclical exposures warrant monitoring.

Latest Earnings

Q4 2025 Earnings (Dec 31, 2025)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$1.46

Estimated

$1.42

Surprise

+$0.04

Surprise %

+2.82%

Revenue

Miss

Actual

$4.35B

Estimated

$4.35B

Surprise

-$2.42M

Surprise %

-0.06%

Historical Earnings

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$1.46$1.62$1.52$1.48$1.38$1.48$1.43$1.36
EPS (Estimated)$1.42$1.62$1.51$1.41$1.28$1.47$1.41$1.28
EPS Surprise+$0.04+$0.00+$0.01+$0.07+$0.10+$0.01+$0.02+$0.08
% Diff+2.8%+0.0%+0.7%+5.0%+7.8%+0.7%+1.4%+6.3%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$4.35B$4.86B$4.55B$4.43B$4.18B$4.62B$4.38B$4.38B
Revenue (Estimated)$4.35B$4.9B$4.6B$4.39B$4.22B$4.57B$4.44B$4.3B
Revenue Surprise-$2.42M-$45.15M-$44.85M+$42.64M-$42.68M+$50.87M-$59.43M+$74.33M
% Diff-0.1%-0.9%-1.0%+1.0%-1.0%+1.1%-1.3%+1.7%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
FAIRLY VALUED

Emerson Electric (EMR) currently trades with valuation metrics slightly elevated relative to historical averages but below the industrial sector's aggregate multiples, reflecting moderate growth expectations. Analysts maintain a broadly bullish stance with a consensus price target implying low double-digit upside, supported by steady revenue and earnings growth. Technical indicators signal a generally positive momentum with key support levels holding, although recent geopolitical and macroeconomic factors have introduced some near-term volatility.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

34.54

TTM

Price to Sales

4.40

TTM

Price to Book

3.94

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

18.47

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

5.07

TTM

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Price to Earnings30.8129.1131.9731.8230.1115.6946.9632.37
Price to Sales17.1615.2816.4613.9316.8813.5314.1114.83
Price to Book3.673.663.773.213.442.892.973.10
Enterprise Value to EBITDA69.3960.0872.9367.9662.1852.9475.7160.40
Enterprise Value to Revenue19.9617.8019.2416.8518.0214.5716.0416.91

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
MIXED

The sentiment on Emerson Electric Co. (EMR) is mixed to moderately positive. Analysts show a blend of hold and buy ratings with price targets generally indicating upside potential around 9-15%. News coverage highlights strong Q1 earnings beats and strategic shifts toward automation, but also notes some valuation concerns and risks from market headwinds.

Analyst Recommendations

As of Mar 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Buy
3.6 / 5.0
Based on 29 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
1
Sell
1
Hold
9
Buy
15
Strong Buy
3

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
MODERATE

Emerson Electric (EMR) currently exhibits moderate financial leverage with a below-par liquidity position, reflecting potential short-term funding challenges despite solid debt servicing ability. The company faces regulatory and competitive pressures from evolving industrial automation markets and tightening health IT compliance standards. Overall, EMR's balanced capital structure and digital transformation efforts provide a solid base, though cautious scrutiny is warranted due to liquidity constraints and sector competition.

Liquidity & Solvency

Current Ratio

0.84

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Quick Ratio

0.62

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Debt-to-Equity

0.69

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Debt-to-Assets

0.33

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Liquidity Metrics
Current Ratio0.840.880.850.801.541.771.161.18
Quick Ratio0.620.650.630.591.171.400.860.87
Solvency Metrics
Debt-to-Equity0.690.680.750.770.370.390.520.55
Debt-to-Assets0.330.330.350.350.180.190.240.25

Liquidity Assessment

Current Ratio: 0.84(Weak)

Quick Ratio: 0.62(Weak)

The company has relatively weak liquidity and may face challenges meeting short-term obligations.

Solvency Assessment

Debt-to-Equity: 0.69(Moderate)

Debt-to-Assets: 0.33(Moderate)

The company maintains a balanced capital structure with manageable debt levels.

Frequently Asked Questions about EMR

AI Answers: Common Questions About EMR

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Emerson Electric Co.

EMR is not a compelling buy right now given its P/E of 35.7x (above historical norms), fair-to-slightly-elevated valuation, and technical consolidation near $147.22. While fundamentals are strong, liquidity ratios (current 0.84, quick 0.62) are below safety thresholds, suggesting better entry points may emerge.

There is no urgent reason to sell EMR unless liquidity deteriorates further or technicals break down below $145. Fundamentals remain solid and long-term prospects are intact, but near-term upside is limited; holding is appropriate for most investors.

The biggest risks are short-term liquidity (current ratio 0.84, quick ratio 0.62), which could force operational or funding adjustments, and valuation risk if growth slows. Macro factors like tariffs, FX, and cyclical industrial demand also pose threats, as does competition from global automation peers.

Analyst targets average $164-166 (9-15% upside), with technical resistance at $150 and support at $145. A breakout above $150 could target $155-160, while a breakdown below $145 risks $140 or lower.

EMR is fairly valued to slightly expensive: P/E is 35.7x (above its history but below sector extremes), EV/EBITDA is at a moderate premium, and price-to-sales is elevated. The market is pricing in steady growth but not aggressive expansion.

EMR is fundamentally strong: FY25 revenue grew 13.1%, EPS up 18.1%, gross margins above 50%, and ROE 15-18%. However, liquidity is a weak spot, with current and quick ratios below 1, and some margin volatility due to cyclical factors.

Technically, EMR is consolidating between $145 and $150, with neutral RSI (50-55) and no clear pattern. Volume is light, and moving averages are flat, suggesting indecision; traders should wait for a breakout or breakdown.

Key catalysts include upcoming earnings (potential for EPS/revenue beats), progress on automation/AI initiatives, improvement in liquidity, and macro events like tariff or regulatory changes. A technical breakout above $150 or liquidity improvement could shift sentiment bullish.

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