EXC AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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Exelon Corporation (EXC)

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
NEUTRAL

Exelon (EXC) stands as a major regulated electric utility, benefiting from a stable demand profile and predictable cash flows typical for the sector. While the company operates in a defensive industry with modest growth, its fundamentals remain anchored by its regulated revenue streams and efficient operations, though notable upside may be restrained by industry-wide challenges and valuation considerations.

Financial Highlights

Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025$0$2.0B$4.0B$6.0B$8.0BRevenue & Net Income ($)6%8%10%12%14%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$5.41B

-1.08% YoY

Q4 2025

Net Income

$594.00M

-8.19% YoY

Q4 2025

Net Margin

10.98%

Q4 2025

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

-1.08%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Net Income Growth YoY

-8.19%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

-1.67%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

EPS Growth YoY

-9.38%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

6.34%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Revenue5.4B6.7B5.4B6.7B5.5B6.2B5.4B6.0B
Revenue Growth YoY-1.08%+8.95%+1.23%+11.10%+1.94%+2.91%+11.27%+8.63%
Net Income594.0M875.0M391.0M908.0M647.0M707.0M448.0M658.0M
Net Income Growth YoY-8.19%+23.76%-12.72%+37.99%+4.86%+1.00%+30.61%-1.64%
EPS$0.58$0.87$0.39$0.90$0.64$0.70$0.45$0.66
EPS Growth YoY-9.38%+24.29%-13.33%+36.36%+3.23%0.00%+32.35%-1.49%

Profitability Metrics

Gross Margin

27.92%

TTM

Operating Margin

21.21%

TTM

Net Margin

11.41%

TTM

Return on Equity

9.87%

TTM

Return on Assets

2.52%

TTM

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Gross Margin-21.62%43.07%40.72%42.37%43.65%40.56%40.29%39.09%
Operating Margin21.82%22.37%17.08%22.88%20.07%19.43%17.03%18.43%
Net Margin10.98%13.05%7.20%13.52%11.83%11.49%8.36%10.89%
Return on Equity (ROE)2.06%3.11%1.42%3.29%2.40%2.66%1.71%2.52%
Return on Assets (ROA)0.54%0.82%0.37%0.88%0.64%0.71%0.45%0.68%

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
NEUTRAL

Technical indicator data for EXC is currently unavailable. However, based on recent price action and general market behavior, the stock is trading near its 52-week high with volatility observed in the last sessions. Key levels around $48.50 and $50.65 appear critical for immediate trading decisions.

RSI
Hold
Neutral50

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Buy
Strong Uptrend

Price in uptrend

+6.9% from 200 SMA
ADX
Hold
Weak/No Trend16

Range-bound market

Weak
MA Cross
Buy
Above 50/200

50 above 200 - bullish

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$48.57
50 SMA
$47.77
150 SMA
$45.91
200 SMA
$45.42
52W High
$50.65
52W Low
$41.71

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
50Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
NEUTRAL

Exelon (EXC) stands as a major regulated electric utility, benefiting from a stable demand profile and predictable cash flows typical for the sector. While the company operates in a defensive industry with modest growth, its fundamentals remain anchored by its regulated revenue streams and efficient operations, though notable upside may be restrained by industry-wide challenges and valuation considerations.

Latest Earnings

Q4 2025 Earnings (Dec 31, 2025)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$0.59

Estimated

$0.55

Surprise

+$0.04

Surprise %

+7.86%

Revenue

Beat

Actual

$5.41B

Estimated

$5.39B

Surprise

+$20.86M

Surprise %

+0.39%

Historical Earnings

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$0.59$0.86$0.39$0.92$0.64$0.71$0.47$0.68
EPS (Estimated)$0.55$0.78$0.37$0.88$0.59$0.67$0.40$0.70
EPS Surprise+$0.04+$0.08+$0.02+$0.04+$0.05+$0.04+$0.07-$0.02
% Diff+7.9%+10.5%+6.2%+4.9%+8.1%+6.0%+17.5%-2.9%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$5.41B$6.71B$5.43B$6.71B$5.47B$6.15B$5.36B$6.04B
Revenue (Estimated)$5.39B$6.43B$5.38B$6.52B$4.51B$5.85B$4.63B$5.57B
Revenue Surprise+$20.86M+$274.64M+$47.15M+$195.44M+$958.32M+$299.86M+$731.52M+$475.11M
% Diff+0.4%+4.3%+0.9%+3.0%+21.2%+5.1%+15.8%+8.5%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
FAIRLY VALUED

Exelon Corporation (EXC) is currently trading near the upper range of its recent valuation spectrum with moderate growth prospects and stable profitability in the regulated utilities sector. The company's valuation metrics suggest a fair valuation supported by steady revenue and earnings growth, though some risk from debt levels and interest coverage persists. Analysts provide mixed views but generally lean towards a hold or moderate buy stance, anticipating modest upside potential.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

17.74

TTM

Price to Sales

2.05

TTM

Price to Book

1.71

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

11.28

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

4.08

TTM

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Price to Earnings18.5513.0027.8312.7914.6214.3819.3014.15
Price to Sales8.146.798.026.926.916.616.456.16
Price to Book1.531.621.581.681.411.531.321.43
Enterprise Value to EBITDA48.6837.7948.3937.5940.5039.8642.6739.57
Enterprise Value to Revenue17.2713.9816.8913.9615.3814.0014.8913.55

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
MIXED

Exelon (EXC) currently carries a mixed to moderately positive sentiment outlook among analysts and investors. While the consensus rating leans toward "Hold" with an average price target around $51.47, bullish narratives center on robust earnings growth, transmission expansion, and dividend increases. However, valuation disagreements and regulatory risks temper enthusiasm, leading to a cautious but constructive market stance.

Analyst Recommendations

As of Apr 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Hold
3.3 / 5.0
Based on 21 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
0
Sell
2
Hold
11
Buy
7
Strong Buy
1

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
MODERATE

Exelon Corporation (EXC) faces moderate to elevated financial risks due to its leveraged balance sheet and liquidity pressures, despite a stable regulated utility business and steady earnings growth. The company is navigating regulatory and operational challenges, offset by robust capital investment plans and optimistic 2026 earnings guidance. Market sentiment is cautiously positive, with mixed analyst ratings and price targets slightly above current levels, reflecting balanced rewards and risks for investors.

Liquidity & Solvency

Current Ratio

0.92

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Quick Ratio

0.84

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Debt-to-Equity

1.76

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Debt-to-Assets

0.43

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Liquidity Metrics
Current Ratio0.920.940.951.090.871.091.031.03
Quick Ratio0.840.850.850.980.780.970.930.93
Solvency Metrics
Debt-to-Equity1.761.791.771.751.731.731.771.74
Debt-to-Assets0.430.440.440.440.430.430.440.44

Liquidity Assessment

Current Ratio: 0.92(Weak)

Quick Ratio: 0.84(Adequate)

The company has relatively weak liquidity and may face challenges meeting short-term obligations.

Solvency Assessment

Debt-to-Equity: 1.76(High)

Debt-to-Assets: 0.43(Moderate)

The company has relatively high debt levels, which may increase financial risk in economic downturns.

Frequently Asked Questions about EXC

AI Answers: Common Questions About EXC

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Exelon Corporation

EXC is currently trading at $48.57 with a P/E of 17.79, near its 52-week high and in line with sector averages. While fundamentals are strong and the dividend is secure, valuation is fair rather than cheap, and upside is limited by sector and balance sheet constraints. It is a reasonable buy for income-focused or defensive investors, but not for those seeking significant capital appreciation.

There is no urgent reason to sell unless your portfolio goals have changed or you are concerned about EXC's elevated leverage and liquidity. Fundamentals remain stable, technicals show consolidation rather than breakdown, and sentiment is mixed but not negative. Consider trimming if you are overweight utilities or need to reduce exposure to interest rate risk.

The biggest risks are financial: a debt-to-equity ratio above 1.7 and current/quick ratios below 1 indicate high leverage and liquidity pressure. Regulatory setbacks, rising interest rates, or operational disruptions could further strain earnings and cash flow. These risks are mitigated by stable regulated revenues, but require monitoring.

Analyst price targets range from $44 to $58, averaging $51.47, with technical resistance at $50.65 and support at $48.45. Near-term, expect range-bound trading unless a breakout or breakdown occurs; long-term, upside is likely capped in the low-to-mid $50s barring major positive catalysts.

EXC is fairly valued with a P/E of 17.79, EV/EBITDA in line with sector averages, and a competitive dividend yield. The stock is neither notably overvalued nor undervalued, trading near historical norms and reflecting its stable, regulated business model.

Fundamentally, EXC is strong: margins are stable in the upper teens to low-20s, ROE is 8–10%, and earnings/cash flow are predictable due to regulatory frameworks. However, the balance sheet is leveraged and liquidity is tight, which tempers the otherwise robust profile.

Technically, EXC is consolidating near its 52-week high ($50.65) with support at $48.45. Momentum is neutral to mildly fading, and volume is below average, suggesting indecision. Wait for a breakout above resistance or a pullback to support before taking new positions.

Key catalysts include upcoming regulatory decisions, transmission project approvals, and future earnings reports. Positive surprises in these areas, or further dividend increases, could drive upside, while adverse regulatory or macro events could pressure the stock.

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