EXC AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?
Exelon Corporation (EXC)
Fundamentals
Exelon Corporation demonstrates solid financial health with stable revenues and improving profitability margins despite sector challenges. The company maintains consistent earnings growth with positive sequential momentum, supported by operational efficiencies and strong market positioning in regulated electric utilities.
Financial Highlights
- Revenue
- Net Income
- Net Margin (%)
Revenue
9.95% YoY
Q2 2026
Net Income
1.28% YoY
Q2 2026
Net Margin
Q2 2026
Growth Metrics
Revenue Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
Net Income Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
Revenue Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
EPS Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
Book Value Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
| Q2 2026 | Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 6.0B | 7.2B | 5.4B | 6.7B | 5.4B | 6.7B | 5.5B | 6.2B |
| Revenue Growth YoY | +9.95% | +7.86% | -1.08% | +8.95% | +1.23% | +11.10% | +1.94% | +2.91% |
| Net Income | 396.0M | 919.0M | 594.0M | 875.0M | 391.0M | 908.0M | 647.0M | 707.0M |
| Net Income Growth YoY | +1.28% | +1.21% | -8.19% | +23.76% | -12.72% | +37.99% | +4.86% | +1.00% |
| EPS | $0.39 | $0.90 | $0.58 | $0.87 | $0.39 | $0.90 | $0.64 | $0.70 |
| EPS Growth YoY | 0.00% | 0.00% | -9.38% | +24.29% | -13.33% | +36.36% | +3.23% | 0.00% |
Profitability Metrics
Technical Analysis
Exelon (EXC) is currently in a technical topping phase with mixed trend signals. The 50-day moving average is slightly above the 200-day moving average indicating a golden cross, but price is trading just below these averages, reflecting near-term bearish pressure amid weak momentum and range-bound conditions.
No extreme reading
Price in downtrend
Range-bound market
Watching for cross
Key Technical Values
Price with Moving Averages
50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages
Relative Strength Index
Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes
RSI (14)
Earnings
Exelon Corporation demonstrates solid financial health with stable revenues and improving profitability margins despite sector challenges. The company maintains consistent earnings growth with positive sequential momentum, supported by operational efficiencies and strong market positioning in regulated electric utilities.
Latest Earnings
Q2 2026 Earnings (Jun 30, 2026)
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Actual
$0.43
Estimated
$0.44
Surprise
$-0.01
Surprise %
-1.31%
Revenue
Actual
$5.97B
Estimated
$5.44B
Surprise
+$522.53M
Surprise %
+9.60%
Historical Earnings
| Q2 2026 | Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Per Share | ||||||||
| EPS (Actual) | $0.43 | $0.91 | $0.59 | $0.59 | $0.86 | $0.39 | $0.92 | $0.64 |
| EPS (Estimated) | $0.44 | $0.88 | $0.55 | $0.55 | $0.78 | $0.37 | $0.88 | $0.59 |
| EPS Surprise | -$0.01 | +$0.03 | +$0.04 | +$0.04 | +$0.08 | +$0.02 | +$0.04 | +$0.05 |
| % Diff | -1.3% | +2.9% | +7.9% | +7.9% | +10.5% | +6.2% | +4.9% | +8.1% |
| Revenue | ||||||||
| Revenue (Actual) | $5.97B | $7.24B | $5.41B | $5.41B | $6.71B | $5.43B | $6.71B | $5.47B |
| Revenue (Estimated) | $5.44B | $6.93B | $5.39B | $5.39B | $6.43B | $5.38B | $6.52B | $4.51B |
| Revenue Surprise | +$522.53M | +$315.86M | +$20.86M | +$20.86M | +$274.64M | +$47.15M | +$195.44M | +$958.32M |
| % Diff | +9.6% | +4.6% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +4.3% | +0.9% | +3.0% | +21.2% |
Valuation
Exelon Corporation (EXC) currently trades near fair value with valuation multiples roughly in line with historical medians and sector averages, reflecting moderate growth prospects in the regulated utilities space. Analysts mostly assign a Hold rating with price targets suggesting limited upside near 9-10% over the next 12 months, supportive of a cautious view amid industry-specific risks and strong sector competition.
Valuation Metrics
Price to Earnings
TTM
Price to Sales
TTM
Price to Book
TTM
Enterprise Value to EBITDA
TTM
Enterprise Value to Revenue
TTM
| Q2 2026 | Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price to Earnings | 29.88 | 13.62 | 18.79 | 12.93 | 27.83 | 12.80 | 14.70 | 14.48 |
| Price to Sales | 8.01 | 6.93 | 8.14 | 6.79 | 8.02 | 6.92 | 6.91 | 6.61 |
| Price to Book | 1.61 | 1.71 | 1.53 | 1.62 | 1.58 | 1.68 | 1.41 | 1.53 |
| Enterprise Value to EBITDA | 48.66 | 38.21 | 48.68 | 37.79 | 48.39 | 37.59 | 40.50 | 39.86 |
| Enterprise Value to Revenue | 16.56 | 13.86 | 17.27 | 13.98 | 16.89 | 13.96 | 15.38 | 14.00 |
Sentiment & Analyst Ratings
Exelon Corporation (EXC) shows a mixed market sentiment mainly due to a recent reduction in its data center growth prospects, which has raised concerns about future revenue expansion. While the stock faces some short-term pressure and underperformance against the broader market, steady earnings guidance and analyst holds with moderate upside potential suggest cautious optimism. Investor sentiment remains balanced but cautious amid persistent operational strengths tempered by growth and cost concerns.
Analyst Recommendations
Risk Assessment
Exelon Corporation shows a moderately leveraged balance sheet with liquidity below ideal thresholds, reflecting some pressure on short-term financial flexibility. Regulatory risks, including rate case uncertainties and supply constraints, combined with a slowdown in data center demand, weigh on business risks. Despite a stable earnings outlook and diversified portfolio, Exelon's debt levels and affordability pressures in its markets suggest investors should approach with caution.
Liquidity & Solvency
Frequently Asked Questions about EXC
AI Answers: Common Questions About EXC
Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Exelon Corporation
Exelon is a reasonable buy for long-term investors seeking stable income and moderate growth, supported by a P/E of 16.66 and improving margins. However, short-term technical weakness and mixed sentiment suggest waiting for price support near $42.50-$43.00 before initiating new positions.
Selling is not recommended currently as fundamentals remain solid and valuation is fair. However, a breakdown below key support levels around $42.50 or significant regulatory setbacks could warrant reconsideration.
Key risks include regulatory uncertainties affecting allowed returns, rising interest rates increasing debt servicing costs given a debt-to-equity ratio above 1.7, and slower data center demand impacting revenue growth.
Analysts suggest a 12-month price target upside near 9-10%, with resistance levels around $47.00 to $49.00 and support near $42.50-$43.00.
EXC trades near fair value with a P/E around 16.7x, EV/EBITDA near 10-11x, and a slightly elevated price-to-sales ratio reflecting growth expectations consistent with sector norms.
The company shows stable revenues near $23-24 billion, EBITDA margins above 35%, and EPS growth at approximately 8.2% CAGR, supported by a regulated business model and diversified generation portfolio.
Technically, EXC is in a topping phase with price below key moving averages and weak momentum indicators, suggesting near-term caution and potential downside risk if support near $42.50 fails.
Potential catalysts include regulatory approvals for rate increases and infrastructure projects, as well as progress in renewable energy investments and grid modernization efforts.
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