EXC AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?
Exelon Corporation (EXC)
Fundamentals
Exelon (EXC) stands as a major regulated electric utility, benefiting from a stable demand profile and predictable cash flows typical for the sector. While the company operates in a defensive industry with modest growth, its fundamentals remain anchored by its regulated revenue streams and efficient operations, though notable upside may be restrained by industry-wide challenges and valuation considerations.
Financial Highlights
- Revenue
- Net Income
- Net Margin (%)
Revenue
-1.08% YoY
Q4 2025
Net Income
-8.19% YoY
Q4 2025
Net Margin
Q4 2025
Growth Metrics
Revenue Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
Net Income Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
Revenue Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
EPS Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
Book Value Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
| Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | Q1 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 5.4B | 6.7B | 5.4B | 6.7B | 5.5B | 6.2B | 5.4B | 6.0B |
| Revenue Growth YoY | -1.08% | +8.95% | +1.23% | +11.10% | +1.94% | +2.91% | +11.27% | +8.63% |
| Net Income | 594.0M | 875.0M | 391.0M | 908.0M | 647.0M | 707.0M | 448.0M | 658.0M |
| Net Income Growth YoY | -8.19% | +23.76% | -12.72% | +37.99% | +4.86% | +1.00% | +30.61% | -1.64% |
| EPS | $0.58 | $0.87 | $0.39 | $0.90 | $0.64 | $0.70 | $0.45 | $0.66 |
| EPS Growth YoY | -9.38% | +24.29% | -13.33% | +36.36% | +3.23% | 0.00% | +32.35% | -1.49% |
Profitability Metrics
Gross Margin
TTM
Operating Margin
TTM
Net Margin
TTM
Return on Equity
TTM
Return on Assets
TTM
| Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | Q1 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | -21.62% | 43.07% | 40.72% | 42.37% | 43.65% | 40.56% | 40.29% | 39.09% |
| Operating Margin | 21.82% | 22.37% | 17.08% | 22.88% | 20.07% | 19.43% | 17.03% | 18.43% |
| Net Margin | 10.98% | 13.05% | 7.20% | 13.52% | 11.83% | 11.49% | 8.36% | 10.89% |
| Return on Equity (ROE) | 2.06% | 3.11% | 1.42% | 3.29% | 2.40% | 2.66% | 1.71% | 2.52% |
| Return on Assets (ROA) | 0.54% | 0.82% | 0.37% | 0.88% | 0.64% | 0.71% | 0.45% | 0.68% |
Technical Analysis
Technical indicator data for EXC is currently unavailable. However, based on recent price action and general market behavior, the stock is trading near its 52-week high with volatility observed in the last sessions. Key levels around $48.50 and $50.65 appear critical for immediate trading decisions.
No extreme reading
Price in uptrend
Range-bound market
50 above 200 - bullish
Key Technical Values
Price with Moving Averages
50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages
Relative Strength Index
Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes
RSI (14)
Earnings
Exelon (EXC) stands as a major regulated electric utility, benefiting from a stable demand profile and predictable cash flows typical for the sector. While the company operates in a defensive industry with modest growth, its fundamentals remain anchored by its regulated revenue streams and efficient operations, though notable upside may be restrained by industry-wide challenges and valuation considerations.
Latest Earnings
Q4 2025 Earnings (Dec 31, 2025)
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Actual
$0.59
Estimated
$0.55
Surprise
+$0.04
Surprise %
+7.86%
Revenue
Actual
$5.41B
Estimated
$5.39B
Surprise
+$20.86M
Surprise %
+0.39%
Historical Earnings
| Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | Q1 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Per Share | ||||||||
| EPS (Actual) | $0.59 | $0.86 | $0.39 | $0.92 | $0.64 | $0.71 | $0.47 | $0.68 |
| EPS (Estimated) | $0.55 | $0.78 | $0.37 | $0.88 | $0.59 | $0.67 | $0.40 | $0.70 |
| EPS Surprise | +$0.04 | +$0.08 | +$0.02 | +$0.04 | +$0.05 | +$0.04 | +$0.07 | -$0.02 |
| % Diff | +7.9% | +10.5% | +6.2% | +4.9% | +8.1% | +6.0% | +17.5% | -2.9% |
| Revenue | ||||||||
| Revenue (Actual) | $5.41B | $6.71B | $5.43B | $6.71B | $5.47B | $6.15B | $5.36B | $6.04B |
| Revenue (Estimated) | $5.39B | $6.43B | $5.38B | $6.52B | $4.51B | $5.85B | $4.63B | $5.57B |
| Revenue Surprise | +$20.86M | +$274.64M | +$47.15M | +$195.44M | +$958.32M | +$299.86M | +$731.52M | +$475.11M |
| % Diff | +0.4% | +4.3% | +0.9% | +3.0% | +21.2% | +5.1% | +15.8% | +8.5% |
Valuation
Exelon Corporation (EXC) is currently trading near the upper range of its recent valuation spectrum with moderate growth prospects and stable profitability in the regulated utilities sector. The company's valuation metrics suggest a fair valuation supported by steady revenue and earnings growth, though some risk from debt levels and interest coverage persists. Analysts provide mixed views but generally lean towards a hold or moderate buy stance, anticipating modest upside potential.
Valuation Metrics
Price to Earnings
TTM
Price to Sales
TTM
Price to Book
TTM
Enterprise Value to EBITDA
TTM
Enterprise Value to Revenue
TTM
| Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | Q1 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price to Earnings | 18.55 | 13.00 | 27.83 | 12.79 | 14.62 | 14.38 | 19.30 | 14.15 |
| Price to Sales | 8.14 | 6.79 | 8.02 | 6.92 | 6.91 | 6.61 | 6.45 | 6.16 |
| Price to Book | 1.53 | 1.62 | 1.58 | 1.68 | 1.41 | 1.53 | 1.32 | 1.43 |
| Enterprise Value to EBITDA | 48.68 | 37.79 | 48.39 | 37.59 | 40.50 | 39.86 | 42.67 | 39.57 |
| Enterprise Value to Revenue | 17.27 | 13.98 | 16.89 | 13.96 | 15.38 | 14.00 | 14.89 | 13.55 |
Sentiment & Analyst Ratings
Exelon (EXC) currently carries a mixed to moderately positive sentiment outlook among analysts and investors. While the consensus rating leans toward "Hold" with an average price target around $51.47, bullish narratives center on robust earnings growth, transmission expansion, and dividend increases. However, valuation disagreements and regulatory risks temper enthusiasm, leading to a cautious but constructive market stance.
Analyst Recommendations
Risk Assessment
Exelon Corporation (EXC) faces moderate to elevated financial risks due to its leveraged balance sheet and liquidity pressures, despite a stable regulated utility business and steady earnings growth. The company is navigating regulatory and operational challenges, offset by robust capital investment plans and optimistic 2026 earnings guidance. Market sentiment is cautiously positive, with mixed analyst ratings and price targets slightly above current levels, reflecting balanced rewards and risks for investors.
Liquidity & Solvency
Current Ratio
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
Quick Ratio
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
Debt-to-Equity
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
Debt-to-Assets
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
| Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | Q1 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidity Metrics | ||||||||
| Current Ratio | 0.92 | 0.94 | 0.95 | 1.09 | 0.87 | 1.09 | 1.03 | 1.03 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.84 | 0.85 | 0.85 | 0.98 | 0.78 | 0.97 | 0.93 | 0.93 |
| Solvency Metrics | ||||||||
| Debt-to-Equity | 1.76 | 1.79 | 1.77 | 1.75 | 1.73 | 1.73 | 1.77 | 1.74 |
| Debt-to-Assets | 0.43 | 0.44 | 0.44 | 0.44 | 0.43 | 0.43 | 0.44 | 0.44 |
Liquidity Assessment
Current Ratio: 0.92(Weak)
Quick Ratio: 0.84(Adequate)
The company has relatively weak liquidity and may face challenges meeting short-term obligations.
Solvency Assessment
Debt-to-Equity: 1.76(High)
Debt-to-Assets: 0.43(Moderate)
The company has relatively high debt levels, which may increase financial risk in economic downturns.
Frequently Asked Questions about EXC
AI Answers: Common Questions About EXC
Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Exelon Corporation
EXC is currently trading at $48.57 with a P/E of 17.79, near its 52-week high and in line with sector averages. While fundamentals are strong and the dividend is secure, valuation is fair rather than cheap, and upside is limited by sector and balance sheet constraints. It is a reasonable buy for income-focused or defensive investors, but not for those seeking significant capital appreciation.
There is no urgent reason to sell unless your portfolio goals have changed or you are concerned about EXC's elevated leverage and liquidity. Fundamentals remain stable, technicals show consolidation rather than breakdown, and sentiment is mixed but not negative. Consider trimming if you are overweight utilities or need to reduce exposure to interest rate risk.
The biggest risks are financial: a debt-to-equity ratio above 1.7 and current/quick ratios below 1 indicate high leverage and liquidity pressure. Regulatory setbacks, rising interest rates, or operational disruptions could further strain earnings and cash flow. These risks are mitigated by stable regulated revenues, but require monitoring.
Analyst price targets range from $44 to $58, averaging $51.47, with technical resistance at $50.65 and support at $48.45. Near-term, expect range-bound trading unless a breakout or breakdown occurs; long-term, upside is likely capped in the low-to-mid $50s barring major positive catalysts.
EXC is fairly valued with a P/E of 17.79, EV/EBITDA in line with sector averages, and a competitive dividend yield. The stock is neither notably overvalued nor undervalued, trading near historical norms and reflecting its stable, regulated business model.
Fundamentally, EXC is strong: margins are stable in the upper teens to low-20s, ROE is 8–10%, and earnings/cash flow are predictable due to regulatory frameworks. However, the balance sheet is leveraged and liquidity is tight, which tempers the otherwise robust profile.
Technically, EXC is consolidating near its 52-week high ($50.65) with support at $48.45. Momentum is neutral to mildly fading, and volume is below average, suggesting indecision. Wait for a breakout above resistance or a pullback to support before taking new positions.
Key catalysts include upcoming regulatory decisions, transmission project approvals, and future earnings reports. Positive surprises in these areas, or further dividend increases, could drive upside, while adverse regulatory or macro events could pressure the stock.
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