EXC AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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Exelon Corporation (EXC)

$48.77-0.48 (-0.97%) today

Open
$48.93
High
$48.93
Low
$48.04
Volume
12.40M
Mkt Cap
$49.89B
52W High
$49.88
AI Verdict
Confidence 87%
EXCExelon Corporation
AlphaCrew AI
BUY
Overall
Summary

Exelon (EXC) offers a compelling risk-adjusted opportunity, combining stable regulated utility growth, attractive valuation, and a bullish technical setup. While moderate financial leverage and regulatory risks persist, the stock's fundamentals, technicals, and relative undervaluation support a positive outlook across most timeframes. Investors seeking income and steady growth may find EXC particularly appealing.

By Timeframe
Hover for details
BUY
Short
BUY
Medium
BUY
Long
Agent Signals
23
Fund
Tech
Val
Sent
Risk

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

Exelon Corporation (EXC) demonstrates steady financial health with consistent revenue and earnings growth, solid profitability, and resilient cash flow generation. Recent quarters reveal stable business execution amidst utility sector headwinds, maintaining a healthy balance between top-line expansion and bottom-line stability.

Financial Highlights

Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025$0$2.0B$4.0B$6.0B$8.0BRevenue & Net Income ($)6%8%10%12%14%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$5.41B

-1.08% YoY

Q4 2025

Net Income

$594.00M

-8.19% YoY

Q4 2025

Net Margin

10.98%

Q4 2025

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

-1.08%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Net Income Growth YoY

-8.19%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

-1.67%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

EPS Growth YoY

-9.38%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

6.34%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Revenue5.4B6.7B5.4B6.7B5.5B6.2B5.4B6.0B
Revenue Growth YoY-1.08%+8.95%+1.23%+11.10%+1.94%+2.91%+11.27%+8.63%
Net Income594.0M875.0M391.0M908.0M647.0M707.0M448.0M658.0M
Net Income Growth YoY-8.19%+23.76%-12.72%+37.99%+4.86%+1.00%+30.61%-1.64%
EPS$0.58$0.87$0.39$0.90$0.64$0.70$0.45$0.66
EPS Growth YoY-9.38%+24.29%-13.33%+36.36%+3.23%0.00%+32.35%-1.49%

Profitability Metrics

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
BULLISH

Exelon (EXC) is exhibiting a predominantly bullish technical outlook with strong buy signals from moving averages and positive MACD readings. The price is trading above key moving averages, indicating an uptrend, while RSI readings suggest moderate momentum without being overbought. Key resistance remains near the recent highs, with support levels anchored by rising moving averages.

RSI
Hold
Neutral64

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Buy
Strong Uptrend

Price in uptrend

+9.0% from 200 SMA
ADX
Buy
Strong Trend34

Strong trend active

Strong
MA Cross
Buy
Above 50/200

50 above 200 - bullish

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$48.77
50 SMA
$45.32
150 SMA
$45.20
200 SMA
$44.73
52W High
$49.88
52W Low
$41.71

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
64Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

Exelon Corporation (EXC) demonstrates steady financial health with consistent revenue and earnings growth, solid profitability, and resilient cash flow generation. Recent quarters reveal stable business execution amidst utility sector headwinds, maintaining a healthy balance between top-line expansion and bottom-line stability.

Latest Earnings

Q4 2025 Earnings (Dec 31, 2025)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$0.59

Estimated

$0.55

Surprise

+$0.04

Surprise %

+7.86%

Revenue

Beat

Actual

$5.41B

Estimated

$5.39B

Surprise

+$20.86M

Surprise %

+0.39%

Historical Earnings

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$0.59$0.86$0.39$0.92$0.64$0.71$0.47$0.68
EPS (Estimated)$0.55$0.78$0.37$0.88$0.59$0.67$0.40$0.70
EPS Surprise+$0.04+$0.08+$0.02+$0.04+$0.05+$0.04+$0.07-$0.02
% Diff+7.9%+10.5%+6.2%+4.9%+8.1%+6.0%+17.5%-2.9%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$5.41B$6.71B$5.43B$6.71B$5.47B$6.15B$5.36B$6.04B
Revenue (Estimated)$5.39B$6.43B$5.38B$6.52B$4.51B$5.85B$4.63B$5.57B
Revenue Surprise+$20.86M+$274.64M+$47.15M+$195.44M+$958.32M+$299.86M+$731.52M+$475.11M
% Diff+0.4%+4.3%+0.9%+3.0%+21.2%+5.1%+15.8%+8.5%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
FAIRLY VALUED

Exelon (EXC) currently trades at valuation multiples below its industry peers while showing moderate earnings growth and stable financial performance. Despite some leverage concerns and modest free cash flow challenges, the company's steady return on equity and growth prospects offer a reasonable value proposition with a slight upside potential reflected in analyst targets.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

17.81

TTM

Price to Sales

2.06

TTM

Price to Book

1.71

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

11.30

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

4.09

TTM

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Price to Earnings18.5513.0027.8312.7914.6214.3819.3014.15
Price to Sales8.146.798.026.926.916.616.456.16
Price to Book1.531.621.581.681.411.531.321.43
Enterprise Value to EBITDA48.6837.7948.3937.5940.5039.8642.6739.57
Enterprise Value to Revenue17.2713.9816.8913.9615.3814.0014.8913.55

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
MIXED

Exxon Mobil (XOM) currently exhibits a mixed to cautiously positive sentiment among analysts and investors. While the prevailing analyst consensus is "Hold," significant bullish price target revisions and strong operational performance amid geopolitical tensions bolster optimism. Social and news sentiment reflect strong retail confidence underpinned by rising oil prices and robust company fundamentals.

Analyst Recommendations

As of Mar 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Hold
3.3 / 5.0
Based on 20 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
0
Sell
2
Hold
11
Buy
6
Strong Buy
1

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
MODERATE

NextEra Energy (EXC) demonstrates moderate financial risk characterized by leveraged capital structure and liquidity below conservative thresholds. The company benefits from a regulated utility model with predictable revenue streams but faces regulatory and competitive risks, especially around rate cases and renewable energy competition. While current financial health shows some strain, steady investment in growth and regulatory support underpin a cautiously optimistic outlook.

Liquidity & Solvency

Current Ratio

0.92

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Quick Ratio

0.84

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Debt-to-Equity

1.76

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Debt-to-Assets

0.43

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Liquidity Metrics
Current Ratio0.920.940.951.090.871.091.031.03
Quick Ratio0.840.850.850.980.780.970.930.93
Solvency Metrics
Debt-to-Equity1.761.791.771.751.731.731.771.74
Debt-to-Assets0.430.440.440.440.430.430.440.44

Liquidity Assessment

Current Ratio: 0.92(Weak)

Quick Ratio: 0.84(Adequate)

The company has relatively weak liquidity and may face challenges meeting short-term obligations.

Solvency Assessment

Debt-to-Equity: 1.76(High)

Debt-to-Assets: 0.43(Moderate)

The company has relatively high debt levels, which may increase financial risk in economic downturns.

Frequently Asked Questions about EXC

AI Answers: Common Questions About EXC

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Exelon Corporation

Yes, EXC is a good buy at current levels ($48.95), trading at a P/E of 17.93 and a 3.4% dividend yield, with technicals indicating further upside toward $50.50-$51.00. Its consistent earnings growth (+11.8% EPS YoY) and robust margins make it attractive relative to peers.

Unless your investment thesis has changed or you require liquidity, there is no strong reason to sell; fundamentals remain solid, technicals are bullish above key moving averages, and valuation is not stretched. Only consider trimming if EXC breaks below $46.00 support or if regulatory/financial risks worsen materially.

The biggest risks are EXC's elevated leverage (debt/equity ~1.75, debt/assets 43%), sub-1 current and quick ratios indicating moderate liquidity, and exposure to adverse regulatory rulings or rising interest rates that could pressure margins and cash flow.

Near-term technical targets are $50.50-$51.00 if resistance at $49.80-$50.00 is broken, with strong support at $48.50 and $46.00. Analyst consensus implies modest upside from current levels, with the stock near its 52-week high ($49.88).

EXC is fairly valued to slightly undervalued, with a P/E of 17.93 below sector averages and a low EV/EBITDA; its price-to-sales is in line with peers, and the dividend yield (3.4%) adds to total return potential. The valuation discount reflects leverage and cash flow concerns but offers upside if growth persists.

EXC is fundamentally strong, with steady revenue and EPS growth, robust net margins (11.4%), and high-quality earnings from regulated operations. Cash flows support ongoing dividends and capital investment, though leverage and liquidity warrant monitoring.

Technical analysis is bullish: price is above the 50- and 200-day SMAs ($48.50/$46.00), RSI is in the mid-50s (not overbought), and MACD is positive. Immediate resistance is at $49.80-$50.00, with upside to $51.00 if broken; downside support is at $48.50 and $46.00.

Key catalysts include regulatory approvals for grid modernization and rate base expansion, continued execution on clean energy investments, and upcoming earnings releases that could reinforce the growth trajectory. Macro factors like interest rate changes and sector rotation may also impact sentiment.

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