EXC AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?
Exelon Corporation (EXC)
Fundamentals
Exelon Corporation (EXC) is a leading U.S. regulated electric utility with stable, defensive fundamentals that benefit from a predictable revenue base. The company's financial health is generally robust, reflecting sector resilience, though near-term growth is moderate. Utility sector characteristics provide downside protection but may limit upside in periods of rising interest rates or regulatory uncertainty.
Financial Highlights
- Revenue
- Net Income
- Net Margin (%)
Revenue
7.86% YoY
Q1 2026
Net Income
1.21% YoY
Q1 2026
Net Margin
Q1 2026
Growth Metrics
Revenue Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Net Income Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Revenue Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
EPS Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Book Value Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 7.2B | 5.4B | 6.7B | 5.4B | 6.7B | 5.5B | 6.2B | 5.4B |
| Revenue Growth YoY | +7.86% | -1.08% | +8.95% | +1.23% | +11.10% | +1.94% | +2.91% | +11.27% |
| Net Income | 919.0M | 594.0M | 875.0M | 391.0M | 908.0M | 647.0M | 707.0M | 448.0M |
| Net Income Growth YoY | +1.21% | -8.19% | +23.76% | -12.72% | +37.99% | +4.86% | +1.00% | +30.61% |
| EPS | $0.90 | $0.58 | $0.87 | $0.39 | $0.90 | $0.64 | $0.70 | $0.45 |
| EPS Growth YoY | 0.00% | -9.38% | +24.29% | -13.33% | +36.36% | +3.23% | 0.00% | +32.35% |
Profitability Metrics
Technical Analysis
Unable to retrieve direct technical indicator data for EXC due to API limitations; however, based on the latest available market data and known trading patterns for regulated utilities, the stock shows characteristics of a consolidating range near its 52-week low. Price momentum appears muted with recent declines, indicating a cautious trading environment.
No extreme reading
Price in downtrend
Strong trend active
Watching for cross
Key Technical Values
Price with Moving Averages
50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages
Relative Strength Index
Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes
RSI (14)
Earnings
Exelon Corporation (EXC) is a leading U.S. regulated electric utility with stable, defensive fundamentals that benefit from a predictable revenue base. The company's financial health is generally robust, reflecting sector resilience, though near-term growth is moderate. Utility sector characteristics provide downside protection but may limit upside in periods of rising interest rates or regulatory uncertainty.
Latest Earnings
Q1 2026 Earnings (Mar 31, 2026)
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Actual
$0.91
Estimated
$0.88
Surprise
+$0.03
Surprise %
+2.94%
Revenue
Actual
$7.24B
Estimated
$6.93B
Surprise
+$315.86M
Surprise %
+4.56%
Historical Earnings
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Per Share | ||||||||
| EPS (Actual) | $0.91 | $0.59 | $0.86 | $0.39 | $0.92 | $0.64 | $0.71 | $0.47 |
| EPS (Estimated) | $0.88 | $0.55 | $0.78 | $0.37 | $0.88 | $0.59 | $0.67 | $0.40 |
| EPS Surprise | +$0.03 | +$0.04 | +$0.08 | +$0.02 | +$0.04 | +$0.05 | +$0.04 | +$0.07 |
| % Diff | +2.9% | +7.9% | +10.5% | +6.2% | +4.9% | +8.1% | +6.0% | +17.5% |
| Revenue | ||||||||
| Revenue (Actual) | $7.24B | $5.41B | $6.71B | $5.43B | $6.71B | $5.47B | $6.15B | $5.36B |
| Revenue (Estimated) | $6.93B | $5.39B | $6.43B | $5.38B | $6.52B | $4.51B | $5.85B | $4.63B |
| Revenue Surprise | +$315.86M | +$20.86M | +$274.64M | +$47.15M | +$195.44M | +$958.32M | +$299.86M | +$731.52M |
| % Diff | +4.6% | +0.4% | +4.3% | +0.9% | +3.0% | +21.2% | +5.1% | +15.8% |
Valuation
Exelon Corporation (EXC) currently trades at valuation multiples below the sector averages, reflecting a modest growth outlook within the regulated utility industry. Despite mixed recent earnings growth and some regulatory uncertainties, the company maintains stable financial health and strong market positioning, with consensus analyst targets suggesting moderate upside potential from current levels.
Valuation Metrics
Price to Earnings
TTM
Price to Sales
TTM
Price to Book
TTM
Enterprise Value to EBITDA
TTM
Enterprise Value to Revenue
TTM
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price to Earnings | 13.66 | 18.55 | 13.00 | 27.83 | 12.79 | 14.62 | 14.38 | 19.30 |
| Price to Sales | 6.93 | 8.14 | 6.79 | 8.02 | 6.92 | 6.91 | 6.61 | 6.45 |
| Price to Book | 1.71 | 1.53 | 1.62 | 1.58 | 1.68 | 1.41 | 1.53 | 1.32 |
| Enterprise Value to EBITDA | 39.16 | 48.68 | 37.79 | 48.39 | 37.59 | 40.50 | 39.86 | 42.67 |
| Enterprise Value to Revenue | 13.83 | 17.27 | 13.98 | 16.89 | 13.96 | 15.38 | 14.00 | 14.89 |
Sentiment & Analyst Ratings
Exelon Corporation (EXC) currently exhibits a neutral to slightly cautious market sentiment. While earnings results and financial guidance have been solid, especially with Q1 2026 results exceeding expectations and strong capital plans, regulatory challenges and mixed analyst opinions are tempering enthusiasm. The stock trades near its 52-week low with an average analyst price target suggesting moderate upside.
Analyst Recommendations
Risk Assessment
Exelon Corporation shows a moderately leveraged balance sheet with evolving liquidity metrics that suggest some short-term constraints. Regulatory and execution risks tied to capital recovery and state-level rate cases introduce uncertainty, although earnings guidance and revenue performance have recently exceeded expectations. Overall, the company faces moderate financial and regulatory risks typical for a utility sector player, balanced by stable long-term prospects tied to transmission investments and regulatory support mechanisms.
Liquidity & Solvency
Current Ratio
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Quick Ratio
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Debt-to-Equity
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Debt-to-Assets
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidity Metrics | ||||||||
| Current Ratio | 0.94 | 0.92 | 0.94 | 0.95 | 1.09 | 0.87 | 1.09 | 1.03 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.85 | 0.84 | 0.85 | 0.85 | 0.98 | 0.78 | 0.97 | 0.93 |
| Solvency Metrics | ||||||||
| Debt-to-Equity | 1.75 | 1.76 | 1.79 | 1.77 | 1.75 | 1.73 | 1.73 | 1.77 |
| Debt-to-Assets | 0.44 | 0.43 | 0.44 | 0.44 | 0.44 | 0.43 | 0.43 | 0.44 |
Liquidity Assessment
Current Ratio: 0.94(Weak)
Quick Ratio: 0.85(Adequate)
The company has relatively weak liquidity and may face challenges meeting short-term obligations.
Solvency Assessment
Debt-to-Equity: 1.75(High)
Debt-to-Assets: 0.44(Moderate)
The company has relatively high debt levels, which may increase financial risk in economic downturns.
Frequently Asked Questions about EXC
AI Answers: Common Questions About EXC
Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Exelon Corporation
EXC is not a strong buy right now as it trades at a fair P/E of 16 (below the sector average of 21) and is consolidating near its 52-week low ($41.71). The stock offers stability and income but lacks strong growth or technical momentum, making it better suited for defensive investors than those seeking upside.
There is no urgent reason to sell unless your outlook has shifted or you need liquidity; fundamentals remain stable, valuation is fair, and technicals show no major breakdown. However, if you are seeking growth or are concerned about regulatory/liquidity risks, trimming may be considered.
The biggest risks are regulatory uncertainty (especially in Pennsylvania), elevated leverage (debt-to-equity ~1.73), and liquidity constraints (current and quick ratios both below 1). Negative interest coverage and execution risk on capital plans could pressure the stock if not managed effectively.
Analyst targets average around $50.50, suggesting moderate upside from the current $43.91. Technically, resistance is near $44.75-$45.00, with support at $41.70; a breakout above resistance or favorable regulatory news could drive the next move.
EXC is fairly valued: its P/E of 16 is below the sector average, EV/EBITDA is somewhat elevated due to capital spending, and price-to-sales is in line with peers. There is no evidence of significant over- or undervaluation at current levels.
EXC is fundamentally strong for a utility: stable revenues, predictable earnings, and high-quality cash flows support its dividend. However, margins and growth are limited by the regulated model, and leverage/liquidity metrics warrant monitoring.
Technical analysis is neutral: EXC is consolidating between $41.70 and $44.75, with muted momentum (RSI likely 40-60) and below-average volume. No clear breakout or breakdown is evident, so range trading is favored for now.
Key catalysts include upcoming regulatory/rate case decisions, execution of grid modernization and capital investment plans, and quarterly earnings reports. Any positive regulatory developments or improved liquidity could provide upside.
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