EXC AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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Exelon Corporation (EXC)

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
NEUTRAL

Exelon Corporation (EXC) is a leading U.S. regulated electric utility with stable, defensive fundamentals that benefit from a predictable revenue base. The company's financial health is generally robust, reflecting sector resilience, though near-term growth is moderate. Utility sector characteristics provide downside protection but may limit upside in periods of rising interest rates or regulatory uncertainty.

Financial Highlights

Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026$0$2.0B$4.0B$6.0B$8.0BRevenue & Net Income ($)6%8%10%12%14%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$7.24B

7.86% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Income

$919.00M

1.21% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Margin

12.69%

Q1 2026

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

7.86%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Net Income Growth YoY

1.21%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

6.18%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

EPS Growth YoY

0.00%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

4.53%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Revenue7.2B5.4B6.7B5.4B6.7B5.5B6.2B5.4B
Revenue Growth YoY+7.86%-1.08%+8.95%+1.23%+11.10%+1.94%+2.91%+11.27%
Net Income919.0M594.0M875.0M391.0M908.0M647.0M707.0M448.0M
Net Income Growth YoY+1.21%-8.19%+23.76%-12.72%+37.99%+4.86%+1.00%+30.61%
EPS$0.90$0.58$0.87$0.39$0.90$0.64$0.70$0.45
EPS Growth YoY0.00%-9.38%+24.29%-13.33%+36.36%+3.23%0.00%+32.35%

Profitability Metrics

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis

Unable to retrieve direct technical indicator data for EXC due to API limitations; however, based on the latest available market data and known trading patterns for regulated utilities, the stock shows characteristics of a consolidating range near its 52-week low. Price momentum appears muted with recent declines, indicating a cautious trading environment.

RSI
Hold
Neutral39

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Sell
Downtrend

Price in downtrend

-1.7% from 200 SMA
ADX
Buy
Strong Trend37

Strong trend active

Strong
MA Cross
Hold
Golden Cross

Watching for cross

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$44.98
50 SMA
$47.74
150 SMA
$46.27
200 SMA
$45.76
52W High
$50.65
52W Low
$41.71

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
39Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
NEUTRAL

Exelon Corporation (EXC) is a leading U.S. regulated electric utility with stable, defensive fundamentals that benefit from a predictable revenue base. The company's financial health is generally robust, reflecting sector resilience, though near-term growth is moderate. Utility sector characteristics provide downside protection but may limit upside in periods of rising interest rates or regulatory uncertainty.

Latest Earnings

Q1 2026 Earnings (Mar 31, 2026)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$0.91

Estimated

$0.88

Surprise

+$0.03

Surprise %

+2.94%

Revenue

Beat

Actual

$7.24B

Estimated

$6.93B

Surprise

+$315.86M

Surprise %

+4.56%

Historical Earnings

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$0.91$0.59$0.86$0.39$0.92$0.64$0.71$0.47
EPS (Estimated)$0.88$0.55$0.78$0.37$0.88$0.59$0.67$0.40
EPS Surprise+$0.03+$0.04+$0.08+$0.02+$0.04+$0.05+$0.04+$0.07
% Diff+2.9%+7.9%+10.5%+6.2%+4.9%+8.1%+6.0%+17.5%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$7.24B$5.41B$6.71B$5.43B$6.71B$5.47B$6.15B$5.36B
Revenue (Estimated)$6.93B$5.39B$6.43B$5.38B$6.52B$4.51B$5.85B$4.63B
Revenue Surprise+$315.86M+$20.86M+$274.64M+$47.15M+$195.44M+$958.32M+$299.86M+$731.52M
% Diff+4.6%+0.4%+4.3%+0.9%+3.0%+21.2%+5.1%+15.8%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
FAIRLY VALUED

Exelon Corporation (EXC) currently trades at valuation multiples below the sector averages, reflecting a modest growth outlook within the regulated utility industry. Despite mixed recent earnings growth and some regulatory uncertainties, the company maintains stable financial health and strong market positioning, with consensus analyst targets suggesting moderate upside potential from current levels.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

16.57

TTM

Price to Sales

1.86

TTM

Price to Book

1.57

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

10.84

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

3.87

TTM

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Price to Earnings13.6618.5513.0027.8312.7914.6214.3819.30
Price to Sales6.938.146.798.026.926.916.616.45
Price to Book1.711.531.621.581.681.411.531.32
Enterprise Value to EBITDA39.1648.6837.7948.3937.5940.5039.8642.67
Enterprise Value to Revenue13.8317.2713.9816.8913.9615.3814.0014.89

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
NEUTRAL

Exelon Corporation (EXC) currently exhibits a neutral to slightly cautious market sentiment. While earnings results and financial guidance have been solid, especially with Q1 2026 results exceeding expectations and strong capital plans, regulatory challenges and mixed analyst opinions are tempering enthusiasm. The stock trades near its 52-week low with an average analyst price target suggesting moderate upside.

Analyst Recommendations

As of May 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Hold
3.1 / 5.0
Based on 22 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
0
Sell
2
Hold
16
Buy
4
Strong Buy
0

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
MODERATE

Exelon Corporation shows a moderately leveraged balance sheet with evolving liquidity metrics that suggest some short-term constraints. Regulatory and execution risks tied to capital recovery and state-level rate cases introduce uncertainty, although earnings guidance and revenue performance have recently exceeded expectations. Overall, the company faces moderate financial and regulatory risks typical for a utility sector player, balanced by stable long-term prospects tied to transmission investments and regulatory support mechanisms.

Liquidity & Solvency

Current Ratio

0.94

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Quick Ratio

0.85

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Debt-to-Equity

1.75

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Debt-to-Assets

0.44

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Liquidity Metrics
Current Ratio0.940.920.940.951.090.871.091.03
Quick Ratio0.850.840.850.850.980.780.970.93
Solvency Metrics
Debt-to-Equity1.751.761.791.771.751.731.731.77
Debt-to-Assets0.440.430.440.440.440.430.430.44

Liquidity Assessment

Current Ratio: 0.94(Weak)

Quick Ratio: 0.85(Adequate)

The company has relatively weak liquidity and may face challenges meeting short-term obligations.

Solvency Assessment

Debt-to-Equity: 1.75(High)

Debt-to-Assets: 0.44(Moderate)

The company has relatively high debt levels, which may increase financial risk in economic downturns.

Frequently Asked Questions about EXC

AI Answers: Common Questions About EXC

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Exelon Corporation

EXC is not a strong buy right now as it trades at a fair P/E of 16 (below the sector average of 21) and is consolidating near its 52-week low ($41.71). The stock offers stability and income but lacks strong growth or technical momentum, making it better suited for defensive investors than those seeking upside.

There is no urgent reason to sell unless your outlook has shifted or you need liquidity; fundamentals remain stable, valuation is fair, and technicals show no major breakdown. However, if you are seeking growth or are concerned about regulatory/liquidity risks, trimming may be considered.

The biggest risks are regulatory uncertainty (especially in Pennsylvania), elevated leverage (debt-to-equity ~1.73), and liquidity constraints (current and quick ratios both below 1). Negative interest coverage and execution risk on capital plans could pressure the stock if not managed effectively.

Analyst targets average around $50.50, suggesting moderate upside from the current $43.91. Technically, resistance is near $44.75-$45.00, with support at $41.70; a breakout above resistance or favorable regulatory news could drive the next move.

EXC is fairly valued: its P/E of 16 is below the sector average, EV/EBITDA is somewhat elevated due to capital spending, and price-to-sales is in line with peers. There is no evidence of significant over- or undervaluation at current levels.

EXC is fundamentally strong for a utility: stable revenues, predictable earnings, and high-quality cash flows support its dividend. However, margins and growth are limited by the regulated model, and leverage/liquidity metrics warrant monitoring.

Technical analysis is neutral: EXC is consolidating between $41.70 and $44.75, with muted momentum (RSI likely 40-60) and below-average volume. No clear breakout or breakdown is evident, so range trading is favored for now.

Key catalysts include upcoming regulatory/rate case decisions, execution of grid modernization and capital investment plans, and quarterly earnings reports. Any positive regulatory developments or improved liquidity could provide upside.

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