FER AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

Ferrovial SE (FER)

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
NEUTRAL

Ferrovial SE is a leading player in the engineering and construction sector with a strong reputation in infrastructure development and management. The company demonstrates a robust business model, but a high P/E ratio and lack of up-to-date financial disclosures present difficulties for precise valuation.

Financial Highlights

Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026$0$700.0M$1.4B$2.1B$2.8BRevenue & Net Income ($)0%15%30%45%60%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$2.10B

-6.11% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Income

$197.00M

-27.04% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Margin

9.39%

Q1 2026

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

-6.11%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Net Income Growth YoY

-27.04%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

5.91%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

EPS Growth YoY

-100.00%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

-5.41%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Revenue2.1B2.7B2.2B2.2B2.4B2.4B2.4B2.1B
Revenue Growth YoY-6.11%+11.31%-6.43%+4.73%+6.41%+6.97%+21.22%+8.30%
Net Income197.0M211.0M270.0M270.0M1.4B1.4B207.0M152.0M
Net Income Growth YoY-27.04%-85.06%+30.43%+77.63%+716.47%+716.47%+112.97%-91.11%
EPS$0.00$0.29$0.37$0.37$1.95$1.95$0.28$0.28
EPS Growth YoY-100.00%-85.13%+32.14%+32.14%+2019.57%+427.03%+113.33%-88.14%

Profitability Metrics

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
BULLISH

FER stock is currently exhibiting a strong bullish technical profile, trading above its key moving averages with a golden cross in place. The RSI is neutral, indicating balanced momentum, while the ADX suggests a weak trend strength despite the uptrend, pointing to possible range-bound behavior in the short term. Overall, the price action supports an advancing phase with institutional accumulation, signaling a positive medium-term outlook.

RSI
Hold
Neutral58

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Buy
Strong Uptrend

Price in uptrend

+6.3% from 200 SMA
ADX
Hold
Weak/No Trend13

Range-bound market

Weak
MA Cross
Buy
Above 50/200

50 above 200 - bullish

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$70.01
50 SMA
$68.64
150 SMA
$67.66
200 SMA
$65.87
52W High
$74.79
52W Low
$50.37

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
58Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
NEUTRAL

Ferrovial SE is a leading player in the engineering and construction sector with a strong reputation in infrastructure development and management. The company demonstrates a robust business model, but a high P/E ratio and lack of up-to-date financial disclosures present difficulties for precise valuation.

Latest Earnings

Q4 2025 Earnings (Dec 31, 2025)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$0.34

Estimated

$-0.18

Surprise

+$0.52

Surprise %

+293.26%

Revenue

Beat

Actual

$3.19B

Estimated

$2.36B

Surprise

+$829.21M

Surprise %

+35.12%

Historical Earnings

 Q4 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q4 2023Q3 2023
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$0.34$0.44$0.41$2.03$2.15$0.31$0.26$0.26
EPS (Estimated)$-0.18-------
EPS Surprise+$0.52-------
% Diff+293.3%-------
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$3.19B$2.63B$2.45B$2.53B$2.68B$2.57B$2.52B$2.41B
Revenue (Estimated)$2.36B$2.52B$1.98B$2.03B$2.27B$4.44B--
Revenue Surprise+$829.21M+$109.02M+$467.31M+$501.28M+$410.18M-$1.88B--
% Diff+35.1%+4.3%+23.6%+24.8%+18.1%-42.2%--

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis

Ferrovial SE's valuation metrics indicate a premium positioning relative to its sector, reflected in elevated P/E and EV/EBITDA multiples. While recent revenue growth and strong EBITDA performance support its business model, earnings growth challenges and high leverage introduce caution. Analyst consensus tends toward a Hold, with near-term price targets close to current pricing, suggesting limited upside potential.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

49.42

TTM

Price to Sales

4.56

TTM

Price to Book

7.47

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

26.31

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

5.23

TTM

 Q4 2025Q2 2025Q4 2024Q2 2024Q4 2023Q2 2023Q4 2022Q2 2022
Price to Earnings27.6715.295.2132.5522.313.0732.20-604.75
Price to Sales7.737.476.016.235.295.334.404.93
Price to Book6.755.664.837.076.425.694.304.31
Enterprise Value to EBITDA52.2239.8610.7245.6346.0072.5247.0664.95
Enterprise Value to Revenue8.999.157.408.176.787.056.086.76

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
MIXED

Ferrovial SE (FER) sentiment shows a cautiously optimistic picture, with a majority of analysts leaning towards Hold and Buy ratings, reflecting moderate upside potential. News and social media indicate mixed but generally positive sentiment, supported by recent technical buy signals and stable investor interest. Overall, sentiment reflects broad market confidence tempered by prudent caution in light of current market conditions.

Analyst Recommendations

As of Jun 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Hold
3.3 / 5.0
Based on 3 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
0
Sell
0
Hold
2
Buy
1
Strong Buy
0

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
MODERATE

Ferrovial SE exhibits moderate financial health with manageable liquidity but elevated leverage reflecting its capital-intensive infrastructure business. Despite steady liquidity ratios, the company's high debt levels and project execution risks add some concern, balanced by stable market sentiment with a consensus "Hold" rating and limited upside potential. Key risks include regulatory changes, geopolitical events, and execution challenges, particularly in its North American operations.

Liquidity & Solvency

Current Ratio

1.13

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Quick Ratio

1.05

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Debt-to-Equity

1.82

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Debt-to-Assets

0.39

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

 Q4 2025Q2 2025Q4 2024Q2 2024Q4 2023Q2 2023Q4 2022Q2 2022
Liquidity Metrics
Current Ratio1.130.941.220.931.211.261.381.26
Quick Ratio1.050.861.140.861.131.181.291.19
Solvency Metrics
Debt-to-Equity1.821.751.913.173.073.102.882.84
Debt-to-Assets0.390.390.400.450.440.450.450.45

Liquidity Assessment

Current Ratio: 1.13(Adequate)

Quick Ratio: 1.05(Strong)

The company has adequate liquidity but may face challenges in a downturn.

Solvency Assessment

Debt-to-Equity: 1.82(High)

Debt-to-Assets: 0.39(Moderate)

The company has relatively high debt levels, which may increase financial risk in economic downturns.

Frequently Asked Questions about FER

AI Answers: Common Questions About FER

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Ferrovial SE

Ferrovial is not a compelling buy at current levels, as its P/E (49.09) and EV/EBITDA are well above sector averages, and the stock trades near consensus price targets (~$70.47). While technicals are bullish, the fundamental and valuation picture suggest only modest upside from here.

There is no strong reason to sell unless your thesis has changed or you require capital elsewhere; fundamentals remain robust and technicals are supportive. However, with limited upside and high valuation, consider trimming if overweight or reallocating if seeking higher growth.

The biggest risks are Ferrovial’s high leverage (debt-to-equity near 1.8), execution challenges on large North American projects, and exposure to regulatory and geopolitical changes. Liquidity is adequate but not strong (current ratio just above 1), so any earnings shortfall or cost overrun could pressure the stock.

Analyst price targets cluster around $70.47, just above current levels ($69.22), with technical resistance at $74.79 and support at $68.68 and $65.71. Near-term upside is capped at 7-9% unless a breakout occurs after earnings.

Ferrovial is fairly valued to slightly overvalued, with a P/E of 49.09 and high EV/EBITDA multiples reflecting premium assets and growth expectations. The valuation premium is justified by stable cash flows but is vulnerable if growth slows or risks materialize.

Fundamentals are strong: Ferrovial enjoys above-average margins, stable recurring revenues from concessions, and a diversified global pipeline. However, earnings can be volatile due to asset sales, and the balance sheet is moderately leveraged.

Technicals are bullish: price is above all key moving averages, a golden cross is active, and RSI is neutral at 56. Support is at $68.68 and $65.71, with resistance at $74.79; volume is slightly above average, indicating steady interest.

Key catalysts include the July 28, 2026 earnings report, dividend payments, and potential new project wins or asset recycling deals. Macro factors such as interest rates, infrastructure spending, and geopolitical stability will also influence the stock.

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