GS AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS)

$907.80+4.08 (+0.45%) today

Open
$903.37
High
$908.96
Low
$895.00
Volume
1.64M
Mkt Cap
$269.39B
52W High
$984.70
AI Verdict
Confidence 85%
GSThe Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.
AlphaCrew AI
HOLD
Overall
Summary

Goldman Sachs (GS) is fundamentally strong, posting robust earnings growth and margin recovery, and is technically in a bullish uptrend near key resistance. However, elevated leverage, liquidity concerns, and full valuation temper the upside, while sentiment is cautiously optimistic ahead of earnings. The risk/reward profile favors patient investors, but short-term volatility and macro/regulatory risks warrant a balanced, watchful approach.

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Agent Signals
221
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Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

Goldman Sachs (GS) demonstrates a significant turnaround in profitability and growth, posting strong top-line recovery and margin improvement over the past eight quarters. The firm consistently beats earnings expectations, suggesting operational resilience amid volatile capital markets. Its fundamentals are robust, but valuation appears full, and risks remain tied to macroeconomic cycles.

Financial Highlights

Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025$0$8.5B$17.0B$25.5B$34.0BRevenue & Net Income ($)11.55%12.6%13.65%14.7%15.75%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$30.13B

-6.56% YoY

Q4 2025

Net Income

$4.62B

12.31% YoY

Q4 2025

Net Margin

15.33%

Q4 2025

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

-6.56%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Net Income Growth YoY

12.31%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

-3.66%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

EPS Growth YoY

16.76%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

5.62%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Revenue30.1B32.2B31.3B31.6B32.2B31.5B31.2B32.4B
Revenue Growth YoY-6.56%+2.00%+0.28%-2.61%+13.27%+10.51%+19.71%+27.63%
Net Income4.6B4.1B3.7B4.7B4.1B3.0B3.0B4.1B
Net Income Growth YoY+12.31%+37.06%+22.35%+14.67%+104.73%+45.29%+150.25%+27.77%
EPS$14.21$12.42$11.07$14.25$12.17$8.52$8.73$11.67
EPS Growth YoY+16.76%+45.77%+26.80%+22.11%+121.68%+54.35%+178.91%+30.98%

Profitability Metrics

Gross Margin

51.71%

TTM

Operating Margin

19.44%

TTM

Net Margin

15.33%

TTM

Return on Equity

13.81%

TTM

Return on Assets

0.95%

TTM

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Gross Margin51.71%46.17%45.41%46.83%41.93%39.02%39.92%42.89%
Operating Margin19.44%16.77%15.86%17.90%16.31%12.65%12.56%16.17%
Net Margin15.33%12.74%11.91%15.02%12.75%9.48%9.76%12.76%
Return on Equity (ROE)3.69%3.30%3.00%3.81%3.37%2.47%2.55%3.49%
Return on Assets (ROA)0.26%0.23%0.21%0.27%0.25%0.17%0.18%0.24%

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
BULLISH

GS is currently in a robust uptrend, trading near $907.80 and showing strong institutional accumulation. The price sits comfortably above key moving averages with a golden cross present, indicating bullish momentum despite an ADX suggesting a mild trend strength. RSI remains neutral, implying room for continued movement without being overextended.

RSI
Hold
Neutral65

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Buy
Strong Uptrend

Price in uptrend

+11.4% from 200 SMA
ADX
Hold
Weak/No Trend18

Range-bound market

Weak
MA Cross
Buy
Above 50/200

50 above 200 - bullish

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$907.80
50 SMA
$872.60
150 SMA
$846.45
200 SMA
$814.95
52W High
$984.70
52W Low
$447.11

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
65Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

Goldman Sachs (GS) demonstrates a significant turnaround in profitability and growth, posting strong top-line recovery and margin improvement over the past eight quarters. The firm consistently beats earnings expectations, suggesting operational resilience amid volatile capital markets. Its fundamentals are robust, but valuation appears full, and risks remain tied to macroeconomic cycles.

Latest Earnings

Q4 2025 Earnings (Dec 31, 2025)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$14.01

Estimated

$11.70

Surprise

+$2.31

Surprise %

+19.74%

Revenue

Miss

Actual

$13.45B

Estimated

$14.52B

Surprise

-$1.07B

Surprise %

-7.34%

Historical Earnings

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$14.01$12.25$10.91$14.12$11.95$8.40$8.62$11.58
EPS (Estimated)$11.70$11.03$9.65$12.32$8.03$6.89$8.34$8.56
EPS Surprise+$2.31+$1.22+$1.26+$1.80+$3.92+$1.51+$0.28+$3.02
% Diff+19.7%+11.1%+13.1%+14.6%+48.8%+21.9%+3.4%+35.3%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$13.45B$15.18B$14.58B$15.06B$13.87B$12.7B$12.73B$14.21B
Revenue (Estimated)$14.52B$14.12B$13.51B$14.77B$12.36B$11.77B$12.35B$12.94B
Revenue Surprise-$1.07B+$1.06B+$1.08B+$296.82M+$1.51B+$930.16M+$382.45M+$1.27B
% Diff-7.3%+7.5%+8.0%+2.0%+12.2%+7.9%+3.1%+9.8%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
FAIRLY VALUED

Goldman Sachs currently trades at a moderate valuation relative to its financial services peers, supported by solid profitability and return on equity. Analyst sentiment is cautiously optimistic, with price targets indicating modest upside reflecting steady market position and growth prospects. The firm's fundamentals show strength in earnings growth and margins despite some revenue headwinds, while valuation multiples suggest fair value with selective premium justified by strategic positioning in M&A and capital markets.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

16.53

TTM

Price to Sales

2.15

TTM

Price to Book

2.27

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

29.74

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

5.71

TTM

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Price to Earnings14.8815.0414.919.2511.2313.4512.568.40
Price to Sales9.127.677.105.555.735.104.904.28
Price to Book2.201.991.791.411.511.331.281.17
Enterprise Value to EBITDA112.84125.37120.56100.37107.64134.34114.2989.80
Enterprise Value to Revenue23.9123.0921.5019.5719.2119.6416.7216.26

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
MIXED

Goldman Sachs (GS) is currently perceived with a generally constructive market sentiment amid recent volatility, driven by expected solid Q1 earnings and a broadening bull market. Analysts are cautiously optimistic, highlighting improved risk-reward in equities and significant growth potential in investment banking revenues, while social media sentiment reflects a wait-and-see approach ahead of earnings. Insider selling and geopolitical uncertainties temper enthusiasm slightly, but overall sentiment remains positive heading into the earnings season.

Analyst Recommendations

As of Apr 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Hold
3.3 / 5.0
Based on 26 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
0
Sell
1
Hold
17
Buy
7
Strong Buy
1

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
HIGH

Goldman Sachs exhibits strong earnings performance with improving return on equity and robust market positioning, although its liquidity ratios remain below ideal thresholds for short-term asset coverage. The firm faces elevated financial leverage and intense regulatory and geopolitical challenges but is strategically investing in AI and adapting to evolving market conditions. Overall, the balance sheet leverage and sector-specific risks, combined with competitive pressures and regulatory scrutiny, denote a moderate-to-high risk profile from an investor standpoint.

Liquidity & Solvency

Current Ratio

0.83

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Quick Ratio

0.83

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Debt-to-Equity

4.88

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Debt-to-Assets

0.34

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Liquidity Metrics
Current Ratio0.830.500.300.900.930.920.920.92
Quick Ratio0.830.500.300.900.930.920.920.92
Solvency Metrics
Debt-to-Equity4.885.364.864.915.065.064.815.04
Debt-to-Assets0.340.370.340.350.370.350.350.35

Liquidity Assessment

Current Ratio: 0.83(Weak)

Quick Ratio: 0.83(Adequate)

The company has relatively weak liquidity and may face challenges meeting short-term obligations.

Solvency Assessment

Debt-to-Equity: 4.88(High)

Debt-to-Assets: 0.34(Moderate)

The company has relatively high debt levels, which may increase financial risk in economic downturns.

Frequently Asked Questions about GS

AI Answers: Common Questions About GS

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

GS is a reasonable buy for long-term investors, trading at a P/E of 17.7 and near $908, supported by 26% EPS growth and margin expansion. However, the stock is close to its 52-week high ($984.70) and is fairly valued relative to peers, so waiting for a pullback or post-earnings clarity may offer a better entry.

Unless your thesis has changed or you are risk-averse to upcoming earnings volatility, there is no strong reason to sell now. Fundamentals remain robust, and technicals are bullish, but consider trimming if you are overexposed or if GS fails to break out post-earnings.

The biggest risks are high leverage (debt/equity ~4.9), a current ratio of 0.83 indicating tight liquidity, and regulatory/legal threats including recent Fed actions. Macro shocks, market volatility, and AI-driven operational risks could also pressure earnings and valuation.

Technically, the next upside target is the 52-week high at $984.70, with potential extension to $1000 if momentum persists. Downside support is at $873 (50 SMA) and $815 (200 SMA). Analyst targets suggest modest upside from current levels.

GS is fairly valued with a P/E of 17.7 and elevated EV/EBITDA, trading at a modest premium justified by its market leadership and earnings growth. There is limited near-term multiple expansion potential, so upside depends on continued operational outperformance.

Fundamentally, GS is strong: FY25 revenue grew 14.1% YoY, EPS up 26%, gross margin at 47.5%, and operating margin at 17.5%. However, high leverage and declining liquidity buffer are concerns that need monitoring.

Technicals are bullish: price is above all key moving averages, a golden cross is active, and RSI is neutral at 65. The stock is consolidating near $908, with resistance at $984.70 and support at $873 and $815. A breakout above resistance could trigger further upside.

Key catalysts include the Q1 2026 earnings report (April 13), potential Fed rate cuts, and sector rotation into financials. Watch for updates on regulatory/legal matters and progress in AI-driven business initiatives.

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