GS AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS)

$945.90+1.04 (+0.11%) today

Open
$942.16
High
$948.47
Low
$920.80
Volume
2.23M
Mkt Cap
$279.05B
52W High
$984.70
AI Verdict
Confidence 88%
GSThe Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.
AlphaCrew AI
BUY
Overall
Summary

Goldman Sachs (GS) offers a compelling long-term investment case driven by robust earnings growth, expanding margins, and a strategic shift toward more stable, fee-based businesses. While short-term risks from leverage and liquidity remain, technicals and fundamentals align to support further upside, especially for investors with a longer horizon. Near-term, traders should monitor resistance levels and potential consolidation, but the overall risk/reward profile is attractive.

By Timeframe
Hover for details
HOLD
Short
BUY
Medium
BUY
Long
Agent Signals
221
Fund
Tech
Val
Sent
Risk

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

Goldman Sachs (GS) demonstrates a robust financial and earnings recovery, underpinned by strong revenue momentum and expanding profitability. The firm has consistently outperformed quarterly expectations, reflecting both resilient core operations and adept management amid shifting market environments.

Financial Highlights

Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026$0$8.5B$17.0B$25.5B$34.0BRevenue & Net Income ($)7%14%21%28%35%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$17.23B

-45.40% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Income

$5.63B

18.83% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Margin

32.68%

Q1 2026

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

-45.40%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Net Income Growth YoY

18.83%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

-42.34%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

EPS Growth YoY

24.49%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

5.12%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Revenue17.2B30.1B32.2B31.3B31.6B32.2B31.5B31.2B
Revenue Growth YoY-45.40%-6.56%+2.00%+0.28%-2.61%+13.27%+10.51%+19.71%
Net Income5.6B4.6B4.1B3.7B4.7B4.1B3.0B3.0B
Net Income Growth YoY+18.83%+12.31%+37.06%+22.35%+14.67%+104.73%+45.29%+150.25%
EPS$17.74$14.21$12.42$11.07$14.25$12.17$8.52$8.73
EPS Growth YoY+24.49%+16.76%+45.77%+26.80%+22.11%+121.68%+54.35%+178.91%

Profitability Metrics

Gross Margin

98.17%

TTM

Operating Margin

37.65%

TTM

Net Margin

32.68%

TTM

Return on Equity

14.58%

TTM

Return on Assets

0.88%

TTM

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Gross Margin98.17%51.71%46.17%45.41%46.83%41.93%39.02%39.92%
Operating Margin37.65%19.44%16.77%15.86%17.90%16.31%12.65%12.56%
Net Margin32.68%15.33%12.74%11.91%15.02%12.75%9.48%9.76%
Return on Equity (ROE)4.59%3.69%3.30%3.00%3.81%3.37%2.47%2.55%
Return on Assets (ROA)0.27%0.26%0.23%0.21%0.27%0.25%0.17%0.18%

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
BULLISH

GS is exhibiting a strong bullish uptrend with price above the 50, 150, and 200-day SMAs and a golden cross in place. Momentum and RSI are neutral but supportive, with key support near $920 and resistance around $940-$952. Though some indicators show potential short-term exhaustion, the overall technical picture favors continuation in the advancing phase with institutional accumulation.

RSI
Hold
Neutral61

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Buy
Strong Uptrend

Price in uptrend

+12.8% from 200 SMA
ADX
Hold
Weak/No Trend15

Range-bound market

Weak
MA Cross
Buy
Above 50/200

50 above 200 - bullish

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$945.90
50 SMA
$875.05
150 SMA
$866.51
200 SMA
$838.88
52W High
$984.70
52W Low
$582.50

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
61Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

Goldman Sachs (GS) demonstrates a robust financial and earnings recovery, underpinned by strong revenue momentum and expanding profitability. The firm has consistently outperformed quarterly expectations, reflecting both resilient core operations and adept management amid shifting market environments.

Latest Earnings

Q1 2026 Earnings (Mar 31, 2026)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$17.55

Estimated

$16.47

Surprise

+$1.08

Surprise %

+6.56%

Revenue

Beat

Actual

$17.23B

Estimated

$16.99B

Surprise

+$235.68M

Surprise %

+1.39%

Historical Earnings

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$17.55$14.01$12.25$10.91$14.12$11.95$8.40$8.62
EPS (Estimated)$16.47$11.70$11.03$9.65$12.32$8.03$6.89$8.34
EPS Surprise+$1.08+$2.31+$1.22+$1.26+$1.80+$3.92+$1.51+$0.28
% Diff+6.6%+19.7%+11.1%+13.1%+14.6%+48.8%+21.9%+3.4%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$17.23B$13.45B$15.18B$14.58B$15.06B$13.87B$12.7B$12.73B
Revenue (Estimated)$16.99B$14.52B$14.12B$13.51B$14.77B$12.36B$11.77B$12.35B
Revenue Surprise+$235.68M-$1.07B+$1.06B+$1.08B+$296.82M+$1.51B+$930.16M+$382.45M
% Diff+1.4%-7.3%+7.5%+8.0%+2.0%+12.2%+7.9%+3.1%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
FAIRLY VALUED

Goldman Sachs (GS) is currently trading at a valuation that reflects a modest premium to its own long-term averages, with a P/E notably lower than peer averages in the Capital Markets sector but a higher price-to-book multiple. The earnings and revenue growth trajectory shows mixed signals with recent declines in revenue but stable earnings growth, supported by a strategic shift towards asset and wealth management. Market sentiment is cautious with a consensus hold rating and price targets near current levels, while technicals indicate a bullish trend tempered by stretched positioning.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

15.90

TTM

Price to Sales

2.52

TTM

Price to Book

2.34

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

40.97

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

9.22

TTM

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Price to Earnings11.4114.8815.0414.919.2511.2313.4512.56
Price to Sales14.929.127.677.105.555.735.104.90
Price to Book2.092.201.991.791.411.511.331.28
Enterprise Value to EBITDA141.67112.84125.37120.56100.37107.64134.34114.29
Enterprise Value to Revenue58.0223.9123.0921.5019.5719.2119.6416.72

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
MIXED

Overall sentiment on Goldman Sachs (GS) shares reflects a cautious but constructive view among analysts and investors. While most analysts maintain a 'Hold' rating and recommend a slightly conservative price target near current levels, positive macroeconomic and AI-driven growth narratives offer support. Retail sentiment is moderately bullish, buoyed by optimism around AI and stable earnings outlooks, even as insider stock sales and earnings misses in the related GSBD vehicle introduce some caution.

Analyst Recommendations

As of May 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Hold
3.2 / 5.0
Based on 26 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
1
Sell
1
Hold
16
Buy
7
Strong Buy
1

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
HIGH

Goldman Sachs exhibits strong earnings growth and robust profitability metrics despite a highly leveraged balance sheet and unusually low liquidity ratios. Solid revenue growth in investment banking and asset management underpin a positive outlook, while macroeconomic factors and sector comparisons highlight moderate to high risk due to financial leverage and external economic uncertainties.

Liquidity & Solvency

Current Ratio

0.02

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Quick Ratio

0.02

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Debt-to-Equity

6.10

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Debt-to-Assets

0.36

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Liquidity Metrics
Current Ratio0.020.830.500.300.900.930.920.92
Quick Ratio0.020.830.500.300.900.930.920.92
Solvency Metrics
Debt-to-Equity6.104.885.364.864.915.065.064.81
Debt-to-Assets0.360.340.370.340.350.370.350.35

Liquidity Assessment

Current Ratio: 0.02(Weak)

Quick Ratio: 0.02(Weak)

The company has relatively weak liquidity and may face challenges meeting short-term obligations.

Solvency Assessment

Debt-to-Equity: 6.10(High)

Debt-to-Assets: 0.36(Moderate)

The company has relatively high debt levels, which may increase financial risk in economic downturns.

Frequently Asked Questions about GS

AI Answers: Common Questions About GS

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

GS is a good buy for medium- and long-term investors given its robust EPS growth (Q1 2026 EPS up 48.3% YoY), expanding margins (net margin 32.7%), and fair valuation (P/E 17.11, below sector peers). The current price ($936.48) is near technical support and below the 52-week high, offering a reasonable entry point for those seeking exposure to global financials.

There is no strong reason to sell GS now unless you are highly risk-averse to leverage or expect a near-term market downturn. Fundamentals remain strong, technicals are bullish, and the firm continues to beat earnings expectations. However, traders may consider trimming if price fails to break $952 resistance or if liquidity risks escalate.

The biggest risks are GS's very high leverage (debt-to-equity >6), extremely low liquidity ratios (current ratio ~0.02), and sensitivity to macroeconomic shocks or regulatory changes. A sharp market downturn or funding squeeze could pressure the stock despite strong earnings.

Technical resistance is at $940-$952, with a breakout targeting $968-$970. Analyst price targets average slightly below current levels, reflecting cautious optimism. Downside support is at $920 and $911, with a break below $900 signaling a trend reversal.

GS is fairly valued: its P/E (17.11) is below sector averages, while price-to-book is elevated versus history, reflecting confidence in its asset base and growth prospects. EV/EBITDA is high in the latest quarter but normalizes on a trailing basis, supporting a fair valuation given the firm's profitability.

GS is fundamentally strong, with revenue up 14.3% in 2025 and 31% YoY in Q1 2026, net margin expanding to 32.7%, and EPS more than doubling since 2024. However, the balance sheet is highly leveraged and liquidity is low, which is typical for investment banks but still a notable risk.

Technicals are bullish: price is above all major SMAs (50 SMA at $871.66, 200 SMA at $836.67), golden cross is in place, RSI is neutral at 58, and support is at $920. Resistance is at $940-$952; a breakout above $952 could target $968-$970.

Key catalysts include upcoming earnings reports, continued growth in asset/wealth management and AI-driven businesses, and macro events such as Fed rate decisions. Watch for technical breakouts above $952 and any shifts in liquidity or leverage metrics.

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