GS AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS)
Goldman Sachs (GS) is fundamentally strong, posting robust earnings growth and margin recovery, and is technically in a bullish uptrend near key resistance. However, elevated leverage, liquidity concerns, and full valuation temper the upside, while sentiment is cautiously optimistic ahead of earnings. The risk/reward profile favors patient investors, but short-term volatility and macro/regulatory risks warrant a balanced, watchful approach.
Fundamentals
Goldman Sachs (GS) demonstrates a significant turnaround in profitability and growth, posting strong top-line recovery and margin improvement over the past eight quarters. The firm consistently beats earnings expectations, suggesting operational resilience amid volatile capital markets. Its fundamentals are robust, but valuation appears full, and risks remain tied to macroeconomic cycles.
Financial Highlights
- Revenue
- Net Income
- Net Margin (%)
Revenue
-6.56% YoY
Q4 2025
Net Income
12.31% YoY
Q4 2025
Net Margin
Q4 2025
Growth Metrics
Revenue Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
Net Income Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
Revenue Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
EPS Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
Book Value Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
| Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | Q1 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 30.1B | 32.2B | 31.3B | 31.6B | 32.2B | 31.5B | 31.2B | 32.4B |
| Revenue Growth YoY | -6.56% | +2.00% | +0.28% | -2.61% | +13.27% | +10.51% | +19.71% | +27.63% |
| Net Income | 4.6B | 4.1B | 3.7B | 4.7B | 4.1B | 3.0B | 3.0B | 4.1B |
| Net Income Growth YoY | +12.31% | +37.06% | +22.35% | +14.67% | +104.73% | +45.29% | +150.25% | +27.77% |
| EPS | $14.21 | $12.42 | $11.07 | $14.25 | $12.17 | $8.52 | $8.73 | $11.67 |
| EPS Growth YoY | +16.76% | +45.77% | +26.80% | +22.11% | +121.68% | +54.35% | +178.91% | +30.98% |
Profitability Metrics
Gross Margin
TTM
Operating Margin
TTM
Net Margin
TTM
Return on Equity
TTM
Return on Assets
TTM
| Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | Q1 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 51.71% | 46.17% | 45.41% | 46.83% | 41.93% | 39.02% | 39.92% | 42.89% |
| Operating Margin | 19.44% | 16.77% | 15.86% | 17.90% | 16.31% | 12.65% | 12.56% | 16.17% |
| Net Margin | 15.33% | 12.74% | 11.91% | 15.02% | 12.75% | 9.48% | 9.76% | 12.76% |
| Return on Equity (ROE) | 3.69% | 3.30% | 3.00% | 3.81% | 3.37% | 2.47% | 2.55% | 3.49% |
| Return on Assets (ROA) | 0.26% | 0.23% | 0.21% | 0.27% | 0.25% | 0.17% | 0.18% | 0.24% |
Technical Analysis
GS is currently in a robust uptrend, trading near $907.80 and showing strong institutional accumulation. The price sits comfortably above key moving averages with a golden cross present, indicating bullish momentum despite an ADX suggesting a mild trend strength. RSI remains neutral, implying room for continued movement without being overextended.
No extreme reading
Price in uptrend
Range-bound market
50 above 200 - bullish
Key Technical Values
Price with Moving Averages
50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages
Relative Strength Index
Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes
RSI (14)
Earnings
Goldman Sachs (GS) demonstrates a significant turnaround in profitability and growth, posting strong top-line recovery and margin improvement over the past eight quarters. The firm consistently beats earnings expectations, suggesting operational resilience amid volatile capital markets. Its fundamentals are robust, but valuation appears full, and risks remain tied to macroeconomic cycles.
Latest Earnings
Q4 2025 Earnings (Dec 31, 2025)
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Actual
$14.01
Estimated
$11.70
Surprise
+$2.31
Surprise %
+19.74%
Revenue
Actual
$13.45B
Estimated
$14.52B
Surprise
-$1.07B
Surprise %
-7.34%
Historical Earnings
| Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | Q1 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Per Share | ||||||||
| EPS (Actual) | $14.01 | $12.25 | $10.91 | $14.12 | $11.95 | $8.40 | $8.62 | $11.58 |
| EPS (Estimated) | $11.70 | $11.03 | $9.65 | $12.32 | $8.03 | $6.89 | $8.34 | $8.56 |
| EPS Surprise | +$2.31 | +$1.22 | +$1.26 | +$1.80 | +$3.92 | +$1.51 | +$0.28 | +$3.02 |
| % Diff | +19.7% | +11.1% | +13.1% | +14.6% | +48.8% | +21.9% | +3.4% | +35.3% |
| Revenue | ||||||||
| Revenue (Actual) | $13.45B | $15.18B | $14.58B | $15.06B | $13.87B | $12.7B | $12.73B | $14.21B |
| Revenue (Estimated) | $14.52B | $14.12B | $13.51B | $14.77B | $12.36B | $11.77B | $12.35B | $12.94B |
| Revenue Surprise | -$1.07B | +$1.06B | +$1.08B | +$296.82M | +$1.51B | +$930.16M | +$382.45M | +$1.27B |
| % Diff | -7.3% | +7.5% | +8.0% | +2.0% | +12.2% | +7.9% | +3.1% | +9.8% |
Valuation
Goldman Sachs currently trades at a moderate valuation relative to its financial services peers, supported by solid profitability and return on equity. Analyst sentiment is cautiously optimistic, with price targets indicating modest upside reflecting steady market position and growth prospects. The firm's fundamentals show strength in earnings growth and margins despite some revenue headwinds, while valuation multiples suggest fair value with selective premium justified by strategic positioning in M&A and capital markets.
Valuation Metrics
Price to Earnings
TTM
Price to Sales
TTM
Price to Book
TTM
Enterprise Value to EBITDA
TTM
Enterprise Value to Revenue
TTM
| Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | Q1 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price to Earnings | 14.88 | 15.04 | 14.91 | 9.25 | 11.23 | 13.45 | 12.56 | 8.40 |
| Price to Sales | 9.12 | 7.67 | 7.10 | 5.55 | 5.73 | 5.10 | 4.90 | 4.28 |
| Price to Book | 2.20 | 1.99 | 1.79 | 1.41 | 1.51 | 1.33 | 1.28 | 1.17 |
| Enterprise Value to EBITDA | 112.84 | 125.37 | 120.56 | 100.37 | 107.64 | 134.34 | 114.29 | 89.80 |
| Enterprise Value to Revenue | 23.91 | 23.09 | 21.50 | 19.57 | 19.21 | 19.64 | 16.72 | 16.26 |
Sentiment & Analyst Ratings
Goldman Sachs (GS) is currently perceived with a generally constructive market sentiment amid recent volatility, driven by expected solid Q1 earnings and a broadening bull market. Analysts are cautiously optimistic, highlighting improved risk-reward in equities and significant growth potential in investment banking revenues, while social media sentiment reflects a wait-and-see approach ahead of earnings. Insider selling and geopolitical uncertainties temper enthusiasm slightly, but overall sentiment remains positive heading into the earnings season.
Analyst Recommendations
Risk Assessment
Goldman Sachs exhibits strong earnings performance with improving return on equity and robust market positioning, although its liquidity ratios remain below ideal thresholds for short-term asset coverage. The firm faces elevated financial leverage and intense regulatory and geopolitical challenges but is strategically investing in AI and adapting to evolving market conditions. Overall, the balance sheet leverage and sector-specific risks, combined with competitive pressures and regulatory scrutiny, denote a moderate-to-high risk profile from an investor standpoint.
Liquidity & Solvency
Current Ratio
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
Quick Ratio
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
Debt-to-Equity
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
Debt-to-Assets
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
| Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | Q1 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidity Metrics | ||||||||
| Current Ratio | 0.83 | 0.50 | 0.30 | 0.90 | 0.93 | 0.92 | 0.92 | 0.92 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.83 | 0.50 | 0.30 | 0.90 | 0.93 | 0.92 | 0.92 | 0.92 |
| Solvency Metrics | ||||||||
| Debt-to-Equity | 4.88 | 5.36 | 4.86 | 4.91 | 5.06 | 5.06 | 4.81 | 5.04 |
| Debt-to-Assets | 0.34 | 0.37 | 0.34 | 0.35 | 0.37 | 0.35 | 0.35 | 0.35 |
Liquidity Assessment
Current Ratio: 0.83(Weak)
Quick Ratio: 0.83(Adequate)
The company has relatively weak liquidity and may face challenges meeting short-term obligations.
Solvency Assessment
Debt-to-Equity: 4.88(High)
Debt-to-Assets: 0.34(Moderate)
The company has relatively high debt levels, which may increase financial risk in economic downturns.
Frequently Asked Questions about GS
AI Answers: Common Questions About GS
Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.
GS is a reasonable buy for long-term investors, trading at a P/E of 17.7 and near $908, supported by 26% EPS growth and margin expansion. However, the stock is close to its 52-week high ($984.70) and is fairly valued relative to peers, so waiting for a pullback or post-earnings clarity may offer a better entry.
Unless your thesis has changed or you are risk-averse to upcoming earnings volatility, there is no strong reason to sell now. Fundamentals remain robust, and technicals are bullish, but consider trimming if you are overexposed or if GS fails to break out post-earnings.
The biggest risks are high leverage (debt/equity ~4.9), a current ratio of 0.83 indicating tight liquidity, and regulatory/legal threats including recent Fed actions. Macro shocks, market volatility, and AI-driven operational risks could also pressure earnings and valuation.
Technically, the next upside target is the 52-week high at $984.70, with potential extension to $1000 if momentum persists. Downside support is at $873 (50 SMA) and $815 (200 SMA). Analyst targets suggest modest upside from current levels.
GS is fairly valued with a P/E of 17.7 and elevated EV/EBITDA, trading at a modest premium justified by its market leadership and earnings growth. There is limited near-term multiple expansion potential, so upside depends on continued operational outperformance.
Fundamentally, GS is strong: FY25 revenue grew 14.1% YoY, EPS up 26%, gross margin at 47.5%, and operating margin at 17.5%. However, high leverage and declining liquidity buffer are concerns that need monitoring.
Technicals are bullish: price is above all key moving averages, a golden cross is active, and RSI is neutral at 65. The stock is consolidating near $908, with resistance at $984.70 and support at $873 and $815. A breakout above resistance could trigger further upside.
Key catalysts include the Q1 2026 earnings report (April 13), potential Fed rate cuts, and sector rotation into financials. Watch for updates on regulatory/legal matters and progress in AI-driven business initiatives.
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