GS AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS)
Goldman Sachs (GS) offers a compelling long-term investment case driven by robust earnings growth, expanding margins, and a strategic shift toward more stable, fee-based businesses. While short-term risks from leverage and liquidity remain, technicals and fundamentals align to support further upside, especially for investors with a longer horizon. Near-term, traders should monitor resistance levels and potential consolidation, but the overall risk/reward profile is attractive.
Fundamentals
Goldman Sachs (GS) demonstrates a robust financial and earnings recovery, underpinned by strong revenue momentum and expanding profitability. The firm has consistently outperformed quarterly expectations, reflecting both resilient core operations and adept management amid shifting market environments.
Financial Highlights
- Revenue
- Net Income
- Net Margin (%)
Revenue
-45.40% YoY
Q1 2026
Net Income
18.83% YoY
Q1 2026
Net Margin
Q1 2026
Growth Metrics
Revenue Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Net Income Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Revenue Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
EPS Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Book Value Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 17.2B | 30.1B | 32.2B | 31.3B | 31.6B | 32.2B | 31.5B | 31.2B |
| Revenue Growth YoY | -45.40% | -6.56% | +2.00% | +0.28% | -2.61% | +13.27% | +10.51% | +19.71% |
| Net Income | 5.6B | 4.6B | 4.1B | 3.7B | 4.7B | 4.1B | 3.0B | 3.0B |
| Net Income Growth YoY | +18.83% | +12.31% | +37.06% | +22.35% | +14.67% | +104.73% | +45.29% | +150.25% |
| EPS | $17.74 | $14.21 | $12.42 | $11.07 | $14.25 | $12.17 | $8.52 | $8.73 |
| EPS Growth YoY | +24.49% | +16.76% | +45.77% | +26.80% | +22.11% | +121.68% | +54.35% | +178.91% |
Profitability Metrics
Gross Margin
TTM
Operating Margin
TTM
Net Margin
TTM
Return on Equity
TTM
Return on Assets
TTM
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 98.17% | 51.71% | 46.17% | 45.41% | 46.83% | 41.93% | 39.02% | 39.92% |
| Operating Margin | 37.65% | 19.44% | 16.77% | 15.86% | 17.90% | 16.31% | 12.65% | 12.56% |
| Net Margin | 32.68% | 15.33% | 12.74% | 11.91% | 15.02% | 12.75% | 9.48% | 9.76% |
| Return on Equity (ROE) | 4.59% | 3.69% | 3.30% | 3.00% | 3.81% | 3.37% | 2.47% | 2.55% |
| Return on Assets (ROA) | 0.27% | 0.26% | 0.23% | 0.21% | 0.27% | 0.25% | 0.17% | 0.18% |
Technical Analysis
GS is exhibiting a strong bullish uptrend with price above the 50, 150, and 200-day SMAs and a golden cross in place. Momentum and RSI are neutral but supportive, with key support near $920 and resistance around $940-$952. Though some indicators show potential short-term exhaustion, the overall technical picture favors continuation in the advancing phase with institutional accumulation.
No extreme reading
Price in uptrend
Range-bound market
50 above 200 - bullish
Key Technical Values
Price with Moving Averages
50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages
Relative Strength Index
Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes
RSI (14)
Earnings
Goldman Sachs (GS) demonstrates a robust financial and earnings recovery, underpinned by strong revenue momentum and expanding profitability. The firm has consistently outperformed quarterly expectations, reflecting both resilient core operations and adept management amid shifting market environments.
Latest Earnings
Q1 2026 Earnings (Mar 31, 2026)
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Actual
$17.55
Estimated
$16.47
Surprise
+$1.08
Surprise %
+6.56%
Revenue
Actual
$17.23B
Estimated
$16.99B
Surprise
+$235.68M
Surprise %
+1.39%
Historical Earnings
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Per Share | ||||||||
| EPS (Actual) | $17.55 | $14.01 | $12.25 | $10.91 | $14.12 | $11.95 | $8.40 | $8.62 |
| EPS (Estimated) | $16.47 | $11.70 | $11.03 | $9.65 | $12.32 | $8.03 | $6.89 | $8.34 |
| EPS Surprise | +$1.08 | +$2.31 | +$1.22 | +$1.26 | +$1.80 | +$3.92 | +$1.51 | +$0.28 |
| % Diff | +6.6% | +19.7% | +11.1% | +13.1% | +14.6% | +48.8% | +21.9% | +3.4% |
| Revenue | ||||||||
| Revenue (Actual) | $17.23B | $13.45B | $15.18B | $14.58B | $15.06B | $13.87B | $12.7B | $12.73B |
| Revenue (Estimated) | $16.99B | $14.52B | $14.12B | $13.51B | $14.77B | $12.36B | $11.77B | $12.35B |
| Revenue Surprise | +$235.68M | -$1.07B | +$1.06B | +$1.08B | +$296.82M | +$1.51B | +$930.16M | +$382.45M |
| % Diff | +1.4% | -7.3% | +7.5% | +8.0% | +2.0% | +12.2% | +7.9% | +3.1% |
Valuation
Goldman Sachs (GS) is currently trading at a valuation that reflects a modest premium to its own long-term averages, with a P/E notably lower than peer averages in the Capital Markets sector but a higher price-to-book multiple. The earnings and revenue growth trajectory shows mixed signals with recent declines in revenue but stable earnings growth, supported by a strategic shift towards asset and wealth management. Market sentiment is cautious with a consensus hold rating and price targets near current levels, while technicals indicate a bullish trend tempered by stretched positioning.
Valuation Metrics
Price to Earnings
TTM
Price to Sales
TTM
Price to Book
TTM
Enterprise Value to EBITDA
TTM
Enterprise Value to Revenue
TTM
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price to Earnings | 11.41 | 14.88 | 15.04 | 14.91 | 9.25 | 11.23 | 13.45 | 12.56 |
| Price to Sales | 14.92 | 9.12 | 7.67 | 7.10 | 5.55 | 5.73 | 5.10 | 4.90 |
| Price to Book | 2.09 | 2.20 | 1.99 | 1.79 | 1.41 | 1.51 | 1.33 | 1.28 |
| Enterprise Value to EBITDA | 141.67 | 112.84 | 125.37 | 120.56 | 100.37 | 107.64 | 134.34 | 114.29 |
| Enterprise Value to Revenue | 58.02 | 23.91 | 23.09 | 21.50 | 19.57 | 19.21 | 19.64 | 16.72 |
Sentiment & Analyst Ratings
Overall sentiment on Goldman Sachs (GS) shares reflects a cautious but constructive view among analysts and investors. While most analysts maintain a 'Hold' rating and recommend a slightly conservative price target near current levels, positive macroeconomic and AI-driven growth narratives offer support. Retail sentiment is moderately bullish, buoyed by optimism around AI and stable earnings outlooks, even as insider stock sales and earnings misses in the related GSBD vehicle introduce some caution.
Analyst Recommendations
Risk Assessment
Goldman Sachs exhibits strong earnings growth and robust profitability metrics despite a highly leveraged balance sheet and unusually low liquidity ratios. Solid revenue growth in investment banking and asset management underpin a positive outlook, while macroeconomic factors and sector comparisons highlight moderate to high risk due to financial leverage and external economic uncertainties.
Liquidity & Solvency
Current Ratio
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Quick Ratio
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Debt-to-Equity
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Debt-to-Assets
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidity Metrics | ||||||||
| Current Ratio | 0.02 | 0.83 | 0.50 | 0.30 | 0.90 | 0.93 | 0.92 | 0.92 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.02 | 0.83 | 0.50 | 0.30 | 0.90 | 0.93 | 0.92 | 0.92 |
| Solvency Metrics | ||||||||
| Debt-to-Equity | 6.10 | 4.88 | 5.36 | 4.86 | 4.91 | 5.06 | 5.06 | 4.81 |
| Debt-to-Assets | 0.36 | 0.34 | 0.37 | 0.34 | 0.35 | 0.37 | 0.35 | 0.35 |
Liquidity Assessment
Current Ratio: 0.02(Weak)
Quick Ratio: 0.02(Weak)
The company has relatively weak liquidity and may face challenges meeting short-term obligations.
Solvency Assessment
Debt-to-Equity: 6.10(High)
Debt-to-Assets: 0.36(Moderate)
The company has relatively high debt levels, which may increase financial risk in economic downturns.
Frequently Asked Questions about GS
AI Answers: Common Questions About GS
Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.
GS is a good buy for medium- and long-term investors given its robust EPS growth (Q1 2026 EPS up 48.3% YoY), expanding margins (net margin 32.7%), and fair valuation (P/E 17.11, below sector peers). The current price ($936.48) is near technical support and below the 52-week high, offering a reasonable entry point for those seeking exposure to global financials.
There is no strong reason to sell GS now unless you are highly risk-averse to leverage or expect a near-term market downturn. Fundamentals remain strong, technicals are bullish, and the firm continues to beat earnings expectations. However, traders may consider trimming if price fails to break $952 resistance or if liquidity risks escalate.
The biggest risks are GS's very high leverage (debt-to-equity >6), extremely low liquidity ratios (current ratio ~0.02), and sensitivity to macroeconomic shocks or regulatory changes. A sharp market downturn or funding squeeze could pressure the stock despite strong earnings.
Technical resistance is at $940-$952, with a breakout targeting $968-$970. Analyst price targets average slightly below current levels, reflecting cautious optimism. Downside support is at $920 and $911, with a break below $900 signaling a trend reversal.
GS is fairly valued: its P/E (17.11) is below sector averages, while price-to-book is elevated versus history, reflecting confidence in its asset base and growth prospects. EV/EBITDA is high in the latest quarter but normalizes on a trailing basis, supporting a fair valuation given the firm's profitability.
GS is fundamentally strong, with revenue up 14.3% in 2025 and 31% YoY in Q1 2026, net margin expanding to 32.7%, and EPS more than doubling since 2024. However, the balance sheet is highly leveraged and liquidity is low, which is typical for investment banks but still a notable risk.
Technicals are bullish: price is above all major SMAs (50 SMA at $871.66, 200 SMA at $836.67), golden cross is in place, RSI is neutral at 58, and support is at $920. Resistance is at $940-$952; a breakout above $952 could target $968-$970.
Key catalysts include upcoming earnings reports, continued growth in asset/wealth management and AI-driven businesses, and macro events such as Fed rate decisions. Watch for technical breakouts above $952 and any shifts in liquidity or leverage metrics.
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