HON AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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Honeywell International Inc. (HON)

$235.04-1.02 (-0.43%) today

Open
$236.30
High
$236.83
Low
$234.07
Volume
1.91M
Mkt Cap
$149.41B
52W High
$248.18
AI Verdict
Confidence 89%
HONHoneywell International Inc.
AlphaCrew AI
HOLD
Overall
Summary

Honeywell (HON) is a fundamentally strong, diversified industrial leader trading at a fair but premium valuation, with solid technical momentum and moderate risk amid major restructuring. While the long-term outlook is constructive, near-term margin pressures, elevated leverage, and pending spin-off execution temper immediate upside. Investors should monitor upcoming catalysts and consider adding on pullbacks or after greater clarity on restructuring outcomes.

By Timeframe
Hover for details
HOLD
Short
HOLD
Medium
BUY
Long
Agent Signals
14
Fund
Tech
Val
Sent
Risk

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
NEUTRAL

Honeywell International (HON) demonstrates a fundamentally sound profile, supported by consistent revenue and earnings growth, robust profitability, and a diversified industrial portfolio. However, margins have faced moderate compression, and growth has slightly decelerated, warranting close monitoring. The company regularly exceeds earnings expectations and maintains financial stability, yet valuation suggests the stock is priced at a premium relative to historical levels.

Financial Highlights

Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025$0$3.0B$6.0B$9.0B$12.0BRevenue & Net Income ($)0%5%10%15%20%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$9.76B

-3.28% YoY

Q4 2025

Net Income

$295.00M

-77.04% YoY

Q4 2025

Net Margin

3.02%

Q4 2025

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

-3.28%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Net Income Growth YoY

-77.04%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

-0.94%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

EPS Growth YoY

-76.77%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

-17.47%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Revenue9.8B10.4B10.4B9.8B10.1B9.7B9.6B9.1B
Revenue Growth YoY-3.28%+6.99%+8.13%+7.88%+6.95%+5.66%+4.71%+2.72%
Net Income295.0M1.8B1.6B1.4B1.3B1.4B1.5B1.5B
Net Income Growth YoY-77.04%+29.16%+1.68%-0.96%+1.74%-6.67%+3.83%+4.95%
EPS$0.46$2.87$2.46$2.24$1.98$2.17$2.37$2.24
EPS Growth YoY-76.77%+32.26%+3.80%0.00%+3.13%-5.24%+5.80%+7.18%

Profitability Metrics

Gross Margin

36.93%

TTM

Operating Margin

17.66%

TTM

Net Margin

13.73%

TTM

Return on Equity

31.25%

TTM

Return on Assets

11.10%

TTM

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Gross Margin35.56%34.08%39.23%38.88%36.38%38.78%39.05%39.28%
Operating Margin15.86%16.85%20.88%20.65%18.79%20.92%20.97%21.21%
Net Margin3.02%17.53%15.16%14.75%12.74%14.53%16.13%16.07%
Return on Equity (ROE)1.91%10.87%9.75%8.30%6.90%8.12%9.11%8.89%
Return on Assets (ROA)0.64%3.65%3.32%3.11%2.75%3.04%3.57%3.29%

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
BULLISH

HON is currently in a strong uptrend, supported by a golden cross and price trading above key moving averages. Momentum is neutral but steady, with RSI in a balanced zone and the ADX indicating a developing trend. The stock is showing characteristics of institutional accumulation in its advancing phase, suggesting bullish potential.

RSI
Hold
Neutral57

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Buy
Strong Uptrend

Price in uptrend

+8.9% from 200 SMA
ADX
Hold
Moderate Trend24

Trend developing

Moderate
MA Cross
Buy
Above 50/200

50 above 200 - bullish

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$235.04
50 SMA
$234.69
150 SMA
$212.45
200 SMA
$215.83
52W High
$248.18
52W Low
$179.36

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
57Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
NEUTRAL

Honeywell International (HON) demonstrates a fundamentally sound profile, supported by consistent revenue and earnings growth, robust profitability, and a diversified industrial portfolio. However, margins have faced moderate compression, and growth has slightly decelerated, warranting close monitoring. The company regularly exceeds earnings expectations and maintains financial stability, yet valuation suggests the stock is priced at a premium relative to historical levels.

Latest Earnings

Q4 2025 Earnings (Dec 31, 2025)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$2.59

Estimated

$2.54

Surprise

+$0.05

Surprise %

+1.97%

Revenue

Miss

Actual

$9.76B

Estimated

$9.96B

Surprise

-$199.96M

Surprise %

-2.01%

Historical Earnings

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$2.59$2.82$2.75$2.51$2.47$2.58$2.49$2.25
EPS (Estimated)$2.54$2.44$2.66$2.21$2.32$2.50$2.42$2.17
EPS Surprise+$0.05+$0.38+$0.09+$0.30+$0.15+$0.08+$0.07+$0.08
% Diff+2.0%+15.6%+3.4%+13.6%+6.5%+3.2%+2.9%+3.7%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$9.76B$10.41B$10.35B$9.82B$10.09B$9.73B$9.58B$9.1B
Revenue (Estimated)$9.96B$10.15B$10.06B$9.59B$9.84B$9.91B$9.41B$9.03B
Revenue Surprise-$199.96M+$253.16M+$293.66M+$228.74M+$252.88M-$177.25M+$161.88M+$76.79M
% Diff-2.0%+2.5%+2.9%+2.4%+2.6%-1.8%+1.7%+0.9%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
FAIRLY VALUED

Honeywell International currently commands a premium valuation relative to traditional sector metrics but remains in line with peer group averages. Despite modest recent revenue and earnings growth challenges, its strong profitability, robust cash flow, and diversified industrial conglomerate position support the valuation. Analysts generally maintain a moderate buy consensus with upside potential near 6-10% from current levels.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

29.05

TTM

Price to Sales

3.70

TTM

Price to Book

9.67

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

17.92

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

4.21

TTM

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Price to Earnings105.0218.3223.6423.6828.5923.7922.2122.52
Price to Sales12.7012.8514.3413.9814.5713.8214.3214.47
Price to Book8.037.979.227.867.897.728.098.01
Enterprise Value to EBITDA105.9953.0967.4763.5276.2362.8661.4060.99
Enterprise Value to Revenue14.8115.1716.9816.4516.7116.0116.2415.96

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
MIXED

Honeywell International (HON) sentiment is moderately positive, driven by strong analyst buy recommendations and optimistic price targets, supported by solid financial performance and strategic restructuring plans. However, mixed signals emerge from cautious retail sentiment and increased short interest, reflecting some investor apprehension amid geopolitical tensions. Overall, the market views HON as a growth and restructuring story with potential upside but accompanied by cautious watchfulness.

Analyst Recommendations

As of Apr 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Buy
3.5 / 5.0
Based on 26 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
2
Sell
0
Hold
9
Buy
12
Strong Buy
3

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
MODERATE

Honeywell International Inc. displays moderate financial stability with manageable liquidity but elevated leverage as it undergoes significant business restructuring including the aerospace spin-off and sale of other units. The company faces sector-specific risks related to legal, production, and innovation challenges but benefits from strong market positions and growth prospects in aerospace and building automation. Investors should consider these transformational risks alongside the company's solid backlog and consistent earnings growth.

Liquidity & Solvency

Current Ratio

1.32

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Quick Ratio

1.05

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Debt-to-Equity

2.14

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Debt-to-Assets

0.45

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Liquidity Metrics
Current Ratio1.321.361.291.251.311.441.211.66
Quick Ratio1.051.040.970.951.011.120.911.28
Solvency Metrics
Debt-to-Equity2.142.212.341.951.731.841.651.53
Debt-to-Assets0.450.460.480.450.430.440.400.38

Liquidity Assessment

Current Ratio: 1.32(Adequate)

Quick Ratio: 1.05(Strong)

The company has adequate liquidity but may face challenges in a downturn.

Solvency Assessment

Debt-to-Equity: 2.14(High)

Debt-to-Assets: 0.45(Moderate)

The company has relatively high debt levels, which may increase financial risk in economic downturns.

Frequently Asked Questions about HON

AI Answers: Common Questions About HON

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Honeywell International Inc.

At $235 with a P/E of 33.8 and EV/EBITDA above sector averages, Honeywell is fairly valued relative to peers and offers 6-10% analyst upside. However, margin compression and restructuring risks suggest waiting for a pullback or clearer growth signals before buying aggressively.

There is no urgent reason to sell if already invested, as fundamentals remain strong, technicals are bullish, and long-term prospects are intact. Only consider trimming if you are risk-averse to restructuring volatility or if the stock fails to break above resistance near $248.

Key risks include execution missteps in the Aerospace spin-off, ongoing margin compression (gross margin 36.9%, net margin 13.7%), and elevated leverage (debt/equity >2.1). Macro/geopolitical shocks and supply chain disruptions could also pressure earnings and valuation.

Technical resistance is at $248 (52-week high), with longer-term analyst targets ranging from the mid-$240s to $293-$298. Support is at $234 (50-day SMA) and $212-$215 (150/200-day SMAs), making $248 a near-term ceiling and $255+ a stretch target if the uptrend continues.

Honeywell is trading at a premium (P/E 33.8, EV/EBITDA and P/B above sector averages), but this is justified by quality, diversification, and cash flow. The stock is fairly valued versus peers, with limited near-term upside unless growth reaccelerates or restructuring unlocks value.

Fundamentals are robust: diversified revenue, consistent EPS beats, strong cash flow, and a solid balance sheet. However, recent revenue (-2.7% YoY) and EPS (-8.3% YoY) declines, plus margin compression, warrant monitoring.

Technicals are bullish: price is above key moving averages, a golden cross is in place, and RSI is neutral at 56.5. Support is at $234, resistance at $248; a breakout above $248 could trigger further upside, but momentum is not extreme.

Key catalysts include the Q3 2026 Aerospace spin-off, upcoming earnings (watch for margin recovery), and new defense/automation contracts. Macro factors (interest rates, geopolitical events) and execution of restructuring will also drive sentiment and valuation.

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