HON AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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Honeywell International Inc. (HON)

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
NEUTRAL

Honeywell International Inc. (HON) maintains a solid financial foundation with consistent earnings delivery and stable margins despite facing some quarterly volatility. The company’s diversified industrial portfolio, strong cash generation, and record of exceeding earnings expectations reinforce its attractive fundamentals, though recent revenue growth has moderated and valuation appears elevated relative to historical norms.

Financial Highlights

Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026-$3.5B$0$3.5B$7.0B$10.5BRevenue & Net Income ($)-6%0%6%12%18%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$9.14B

-6.91% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Income

$821.00M

-43.34% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Margin

8.98%

Q1 2026

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

-6.91%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Net Income Growth YoY

-43.34%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

-4.93%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

EPS Growth YoY

-42.41%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

20.71%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Revenue9.1B6.9B10.4B10.4B9.8B10.1B9.7B9.6B
Revenue Growth YoY-6.91%-32.00%+6.99%+8.09%+7.87%+6.86%+5.60%+4.71%
Net Income821.0M-115.0M1.8B1.6B1.4B1.3B1.4B1.5B
Net Income Growth YoY-43.34%-108.95%+29.16%+1.68%-0.96%+1.74%-6.67%+3.83%
EPS$1.29$0.46$2.87$2.46$2.24$1.98$2.17$2.37
EPS Growth YoY-42.41%-76.77%+32.26%+3.80%0.00%+3.13%-5.24%+5.80%

Profitability Metrics

Gross Margin

38.71%

TTM

Operating Margin

9.69%

TTM

Net Margin

8.98%

TTM

Return on Equity

23.56%

TTM

Return on Assets

8.85%

TTM

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Gross Margin38.71%36.06%34.08%38.86%38.54%36.38%38.54%38.85%
Operating Margin9.69%10.41%16.85%20.42%20.21%18.23%20.38%20.65%
Net Margin8.98%-1.68%17.53%15.17%14.75%12.74%14.53%16.12%
Return on Equity (ROE)3.85%-0.74%10.87%9.75%8.30%6.90%8.12%9.11%
Return on Assets (ROA)1.77%-0.25%3.65%3.32%3.11%2.75%3.04%3.57%

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
BEARISH

HON is currently exhibiting a bearish trend as the price trades below the critical 50, 150, and 200-day SMAs, indicating selling pressure and a potential topping phase. Momentum is neutral to fading, with RSI near 41 and ADX signaling a strong trend, likely favoring the downside. Technicals suggest caution as volatility increases and distribution may be underway.

RSI
Hold
Neutral49

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Hold
Mixed

Mixed signals

+2.1% from 200 SMA
ADX
Buy
Strong Trend25

Strong trend active

Strong
MA Cross
Hold
Golden Cross

Watching for cross

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$218.54
50 SMA
$226.06
150 SMA
$214.03
200 SMA
$214.14
52W High
$248.18
52W Low
$186.76

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
49Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
NEUTRAL

Honeywell International Inc. (HON) maintains a solid financial foundation with consistent earnings delivery and stable margins despite facing some quarterly volatility. The company’s diversified industrial portfolio, strong cash generation, and record of exceeding earnings expectations reinforce its attractive fundamentals, though recent revenue growth has moderated and valuation appears elevated relative to historical norms.

Latest Earnings

Q1 2026 Earnings (Mar 31, 2026)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$2.45

Estimated

$2.32

Surprise

+$0.13

Surprise %

+5.60%

Revenue

Miss

Actual

$9.14B

Estimated

$9.3B

Surprise

-$160.76M

Surprise %

-1.73%

Historical Earnings

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$2.45$2.59$2.82$2.75$2.51$2.47$2.58$2.49
EPS (Estimated)$2.32$2.54$2.44$2.66$2.21$2.32$2.50$2.42
EPS Surprise+$0.13+$0.05+$0.38+$0.09+$0.30+$0.15+$0.08+$0.07
% Diff+5.6%+2.0%+15.6%+3.4%+13.6%+6.5%+3.2%+2.9%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$9.14B$9.76B$10.41B$10.35B$9.82B$10.09B$9.73B$9.58B
Revenue (Estimated)$9.3B$9.96B$10.15B$10.06B$9.59B$9.84B$9.91B$9.41B
Revenue Surprise-$160.76M-$199.96M+$253.16M+$293.66M+$228.74M+$252.88M-$177.25M+$161.88M
% Diff-1.7%-2.0%+2.5%+2.9%+2.4%+2.6%-1.8%+1.7%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
FAIRLY VALUED

Honeywell International (HON) is currently trading at a premium valuation reflective of its strong market position and transformative portfolio actions, including the upcoming aerospace spin-off. While recent financial metrics show some earnings pressure and high leverage, the company's solid operational margins and market sentiment driven by growth prospects justify investor optimism. Overall, the stock is positioned for moderate upside given analyst consensus targets but faces risks from cyclical demand and execution uncertainties.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

33.82

TTM

Price to Sales

3.77

TTM

Price to Book

6.51

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

24.45

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

4.36

TTM

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Price to Earnings43.68-269.3918.3223.6423.6828.5923.7922.21
Price to Sales15.6918.0612.8514.3413.9714.5713.8214.32
Price to Book6.738.037.979.227.867.897.728.09
Enterprise Value to EBITDA186.371679.8653.0967.4763.5276.2362.8661.40
Enterprise Value to Revenue18.0621.0615.1716.9816.4516.7216.0116.24

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
MIXED

Honeywell International (HON) sentiment remains moderately positive, supported by a strong analyst buy consensus and positive earnings surprises. Recent news highlights include the upcoming spin-off of Honeywell Aerospace and the Quantinuum IPO filing, which together are driving cautious investor optimism despite some revenue miss concerns. Social media buzz appears stable with no major retail shifts, reflecting steady confidence in the stock's growth trajectory.

Analyst Recommendations

As of May 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Buy
3.6 / 5.0
Based on 26 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
1
Sell
0
Hold
10
Buy
12
Strong Buy
3

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
MODERATE

Honeywell International shows moderate financial health with liquidity ratios slightly below the strong threshold and a relatively high leverage profile, indicative of ongoing portfolio restructuring and acquisitions. The company faces notable operational risks from macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainties, competitive pressures in multiple industrial segments, and strategic challenges from its planned spin-offs and asset sales. However, its diverse industrial footprint, technological innovation, and sizeable order backlog support resilience amid these risks.

Liquidity & Solvency

Current Ratio

1.39

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Quick Ratio

1.10

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Debt-to-Equity

1.58

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Debt-to-Assets

0.45

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Liquidity Metrics
Current Ratio1.391.321.361.291.251.311.441.21
Quick Ratio1.101.051.040.970.951.011.120.91
Solvency Metrics
Debt-to-Equity1.582.142.212.341.951.731.841.65
Debt-to-Assets0.450.450.460.480.450.430.440.40

Liquidity Assessment

Current Ratio: 1.39(Adequate)

Quick Ratio: 1.10(Strong)

The company has adequate liquidity but may face challenges in a downturn.

Solvency Assessment

Debt-to-Equity: 1.58(High)

Debt-to-Assets: 0.45(Moderate)

The company has relatively high debt levels, which may increase financial risk in economic downturns.

Frequently Asked Questions about HON

AI Answers: Common Questions About HON

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Honeywell International Inc.

Honeywell is not an ideal buy at current levels for new investors: its P/E of ~34 and high EV/EBITDA reflect a premium to historical averages and sector peers, while technicals are bearish and price is below all major moving averages. Waiting for a pullback or technical reversal is advisable unless you have a long-term horizon and can tolerate short-term volatility.

There is no urgent reason to sell if you already own HON, as fundamentals remain strong and long-term catalysts are in place. However, short-term traders should be cautious given the bearish technical setup and may consider trimming if the price breaks below key support ($214/$200). Long-term investors can hold through volatility.

The biggest risks are Honeywell's elevated leverage (debt/equity above 1.5, interest coverage ~2.5), execution risk around the Aerospace spin-off and recent acquisitions, and exposure to cyclical demand and macro/geopolitical shocks. Liquidity is adequate but not robust (current ratio ~1.38, quick ratio ~1.1), so monitoring for any deterioration is important.

Analyst price targets average around $250 (~15.7% upside), with technical resistance at $213.74–$227.13 and strong support at the 52-week low of $186.76. Near-term downside risk exists if the price breaks below $214, while upside is capped unless the stock reclaims the 50-day SMA ($227+).

HON is fairly valued to slightly overvalued: P/E (~34), P/S, and EV/EBITDA are all above historical norms and sector averages, reflecting market optimism about strategic transformation. Valuation is justified by strong margins and growth prospects, but limits near-term upside.

Fundamentally, Honeywell is strong: gross margins (36–39%), operating margins (18–20%), and recurring revenue streams support earnings quality. Revenue growth has slowed (3.3% YoY in Q1 FY26), but profitability and cash flow remain robust, and the diversified business model provides resilience.

Technical analysis is bearish: price is below the 50/150/200-day SMAs, RSI is neutral but weak (40.88), and the stock is in a topping/distribution phase with increased volatility. Support is at $186.76, resistance at $213.74–$227.13; a breakdown below $214 could accelerate declines.

Key catalysts include the Aerospace spin-off (expected in 2026), Quantinuum IPO, and upcoming earnings releases. Positive surprises in margin or revenue, or successful execution of portfolio restructuring, could drive upside; macro/geopolitical events and supply chain developments are also important to monitor.

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