HON AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?
Honeywell International Inc. (HON)
Fundamentals
Honeywell International Inc. (HON) maintains a solid financial foundation with consistent earnings delivery and stable margins despite facing some quarterly volatility. The company’s diversified industrial portfolio, strong cash generation, and record of exceeding earnings expectations reinforce its attractive fundamentals, though recent revenue growth has moderated and valuation appears elevated relative to historical norms.
Financial Highlights
- Revenue
- Net Income
- Net Margin (%)
Revenue
-6.91% YoY
Q1 2026
Net Income
-43.34% YoY
Q1 2026
Net Margin
Q1 2026
Growth Metrics
Revenue Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Net Income Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Revenue Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
EPS Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Book Value Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 9.1B | 6.9B | 10.4B | 10.4B | 9.8B | 10.1B | 9.7B | 9.6B |
| Revenue Growth YoY | -6.91% | -32.00% | +6.99% | +8.09% | +7.87% | +6.86% | +5.60% | +4.71% |
| Net Income | 821.0M | -115.0M | 1.8B | 1.6B | 1.4B | 1.3B | 1.4B | 1.5B |
| Net Income Growth YoY | -43.34% | -108.95% | +29.16% | +1.68% | -0.96% | +1.74% | -6.67% | +3.83% |
| EPS | $1.29 | $0.46 | $2.87 | $2.46 | $2.24 | $1.98 | $2.17 | $2.37 |
| EPS Growth YoY | -42.41% | -76.77% | +32.26% | +3.80% | 0.00% | +3.13% | -5.24% | +5.80% |
Profitability Metrics
Gross Margin
TTM
Operating Margin
TTM
Net Margin
TTM
Return on Equity
TTM
Return on Assets
TTM
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 38.71% | 36.06% | 34.08% | 38.86% | 38.54% | 36.38% | 38.54% | 38.85% |
| Operating Margin | 9.69% | 10.41% | 16.85% | 20.42% | 20.21% | 18.23% | 20.38% | 20.65% |
| Net Margin | 8.98% | -1.68% | 17.53% | 15.17% | 14.75% | 12.74% | 14.53% | 16.12% |
| Return on Equity (ROE) | 3.85% | -0.74% | 10.87% | 9.75% | 8.30% | 6.90% | 8.12% | 9.11% |
| Return on Assets (ROA) | 1.77% | -0.25% | 3.65% | 3.32% | 3.11% | 2.75% | 3.04% | 3.57% |
Technical Analysis
HON is currently exhibiting a bearish trend as the price trades below the critical 50, 150, and 200-day SMAs, indicating selling pressure and a potential topping phase. Momentum is neutral to fading, with RSI near 41 and ADX signaling a strong trend, likely favoring the downside. Technicals suggest caution as volatility increases and distribution may be underway.
No extreme reading
Mixed signals
Strong trend active
Watching for cross
Key Technical Values
Price with Moving Averages
50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages
Relative Strength Index
Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes
RSI (14)
Earnings
Honeywell International Inc. (HON) maintains a solid financial foundation with consistent earnings delivery and stable margins despite facing some quarterly volatility. The company’s diversified industrial portfolio, strong cash generation, and record of exceeding earnings expectations reinforce its attractive fundamentals, though recent revenue growth has moderated and valuation appears elevated relative to historical norms.
Latest Earnings
Q1 2026 Earnings (Mar 31, 2026)
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Actual
$2.45
Estimated
$2.32
Surprise
+$0.13
Surprise %
+5.60%
Revenue
Actual
$9.14B
Estimated
$9.3B
Surprise
-$160.76M
Surprise %
-1.73%
Historical Earnings
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Per Share | ||||||||
| EPS (Actual) | $2.45 | $2.59 | $2.82 | $2.75 | $2.51 | $2.47 | $2.58 | $2.49 |
| EPS (Estimated) | $2.32 | $2.54 | $2.44 | $2.66 | $2.21 | $2.32 | $2.50 | $2.42 |
| EPS Surprise | +$0.13 | +$0.05 | +$0.38 | +$0.09 | +$0.30 | +$0.15 | +$0.08 | +$0.07 |
| % Diff | +5.6% | +2.0% | +15.6% | +3.4% | +13.6% | +6.5% | +3.2% | +2.9% |
| Revenue | ||||||||
| Revenue (Actual) | $9.14B | $9.76B | $10.41B | $10.35B | $9.82B | $10.09B | $9.73B | $9.58B |
| Revenue (Estimated) | $9.3B | $9.96B | $10.15B | $10.06B | $9.59B | $9.84B | $9.91B | $9.41B |
| Revenue Surprise | -$160.76M | -$199.96M | +$253.16M | +$293.66M | +$228.74M | +$252.88M | -$177.25M | +$161.88M |
| % Diff | -1.7% | -2.0% | +2.5% | +2.9% | +2.4% | +2.6% | -1.8% | +1.7% |
Valuation
Honeywell International (HON) is currently trading at a premium valuation reflective of its strong market position and transformative portfolio actions, including the upcoming aerospace spin-off. While recent financial metrics show some earnings pressure and high leverage, the company's solid operational margins and market sentiment driven by growth prospects justify investor optimism. Overall, the stock is positioned for moderate upside given analyst consensus targets but faces risks from cyclical demand and execution uncertainties.
Valuation Metrics
Price to Earnings
TTM
Price to Sales
TTM
Price to Book
TTM
Enterprise Value to EBITDA
TTM
Enterprise Value to Revenue
TTM
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price to Earnings | 43.68 | -269.39 | 18.32 | 23.64 | 23.68 | 28.59 | 23.79 | 22.21 |
| Price to Sales | 15.69 | 18.06 | 12.85 | 14.34 | 13.97 | 14.57 | 13.82 | 14.32 |
| Price to Book | 6.73 | 8.03 | 7.97 | 9.22 | 7.86 | 7.89 | 7.72 | 8.09 |
| Enterprise Value to EBITDA | 186.37 | 1679.86 | 53.09 | 67.47 | 63.52 | 76.23 | 62.86 | 61.40 |
| Enterprise Value to Revenue | 18.06 | 21.06 | 15.17 | 16.98 | 16.45 | 16.72 | 16.01 | 16.24 |
Sentiment & Analyst Ratings
Honeywell International (HON) sentiment remains moderately positive, supported by a strong analyst buy consensus and positive earnings surprises. Recent news highlights include the upcoming spin-off of Honeywell Aerospace and the Quantinuum IPO filing, which together are driving cautious investor optimism despite some revenue miss concerns. Social media buzz appears stable with no major retail shifts, reflecting steady confidence in the stock's growth trajectory.
Analyst Recommendations
Risk Assessment
Honeywell International shows moderate financial health with liquidity ratios slightly below the strong threshold and a relatively high leverage profile, indicative of ongoing portfolio restructuring and acquisitions. The company faces notable operational risks from macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainties, competitive pressures in multiple industrial segments, and strategic challenges from its planned spin-offs and asset sales. However, its diverse industrial footprint, technological innovation, and sizeable order backlog support resilience amid these risks.
Liquidity & Solvency
Current Ratio
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Quick Ratio
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Debt-to-Equity
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Debt-to-Assets
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidity Metrics | ||||||||
| Current Ratio | 1.39 | 1.32 | 1.36 | 1.29 | 1.25 | 1.31 | 1.44 | 1.21 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.10 | 1.05 | 1.04 | 0.97 | 0.95 | 1.01 | 1.12 | 0.91 |
| Solvency Metrics | ||||||||
| Debt-to-Equity | 1.58 | 2.14 | 2.21 | 2.34 | 1.95 | 1.73 | 1.84 | 1.65 |
| Debt-to-Assets | 0.45 | 0.45 | 0.46 | 0.48 | 0.45 | 0.43 | 0.44 | 0.40 |
Liquidity Assessment
Current Ratio: 1.39(Adequate)
Quick Ratio: 1.10(Strong)
The company has adequate liquidity but may face challenges in a downturn.
Solvency Assessment
Debt-to-Equity: 1.58(High)
Debt-to-Assets: 0.45(Moderate)
The company has relatively high debt levels, which may increase financial risk in economic downturns.
Frequently Asked Questions about HON
AI Answers: Common Questions About HON
Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Honeywell International Inc.
Honeywell is not an ideal buy at current levels for new investors: its P/E of ~34 and high EV/EBITDA reflect a premium to historical averages and sector peers, while technicals are bearish and price is below all major moving averages. Waiting for a pullback or technical reversal is advisable unless you have a long-term horizon and can tolerate short-term volatility.
There is no urgent reason to sell if you already own HON, as fundamentals remain strong and long-term catalysts are in place. However, short-term traders should be cautious given the bearish technical setup and may consider trimming if the price breaks below key support ($214/$200). Long-term investors can hold through volatility.
The biggest risks are Honeywell's elevated leverage (debt/equity above 1.5, interest coverage ~2.5), execution risk around the Aerospace spin-off and recent acquisitions, and exposure to cyclical demand and macro/geopolitical shocks. Liquidity is adequate but not robust (current ratio ~1.38, quick ratio ~1.1), so monitoring for any deterioration is important.
Analyst price targets average around $250 (~15.7% upside), with technical resistance at $213.74–$227.13 and strong support at the 52-week low of $186.76. Near-term downside risk exists if the price breaks below $214, while upside is capped unless the stock reclaims the 50-day SMA ($227+).
HON is fairly valued to slightly overvalued: P/E (~34), P/S, and EV/EBITDA are all above historical norms and sector averages, reflecting market optimism about strategic transformation. Valuation is justified by strong margins and growth prospects, but limits near-term upside.
Fundamentally, Honeywell is strong: gross margins (36–39%), operating margins (18–20%), and recurring revenue streams support earnings quality. Revenue growth has slowed (3.3% YoY in Q1 FY26), but profitability and cash flow remain robust, and the diversified business model provides resilience.
Technical analysis is bearish: price is below the 50/150/200-day SMAs, RSI is neutral but weak (40.88), and the stock is in a topping/distribution phase with increased volatility. Support is at $186.76, resistance at $213.74–$227.13; a breakdown below $214 could accelerate declines.
Key catalysts include the Aerospace spin-off (expected in 2026), Quantinuum IPO, and upcoming earnings releases. Positive surprises in margin or revenue, or successful execution of portfolio restructuring, could drive upside; macro/geopolitical events and supply chain developments are also important to monitor.
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