HOOD AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD)

$80.56-1.65 (-2.01%) today

Open
$82.16
High
$84.74
Low
$78.55
Volume
39.36M
Mkt Cap
$72.53B
52W High
$153.86
AI Verdict
Confidence 87%
HOODRobinhood Markets, Inc.
AlphaCrew AI
MIXED
Overall
Summary

Robinhood (HOOD) presents a compelling long-term growth story with strong fundamentals and profitability, but its current valuation is rich and near-term technicals remain bearish. Investors face a tug-of-war between robust business momentum and elevated risk from regulatory, market, and technical headwinds. The stock is best suited for risk-tolerant, long-term investors, while short- and medium-term traders should exercise caution.

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Agent Signals
41
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Tech
Val
Sent
Risk

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
MIXED

Robinhood Markets (HOOD) has demonstrated a robust turnaround in its financials over the past year, highlighted by accelerating revenue, improving margins, and a string of quarterly earnings beats. The company is leveraging its scale and diversified product set to drive strong profitability, though valuation risk and competitive threats remain notable considerations.

Financial Highlights

Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025$0$350.0M$700.0M$1.1B$1.4BRevenue & Net Income ($)20%40%60%80%100%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$1.28B

26.53% YoY

Q4 2025

Net Income

$605.00M

-33.95% YoY

Q4 2025

Net Margin

47.16%

Q4 2025

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

26.53%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Net Income Growth YoY

-33.95%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

24.56%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

EPS Growth YoY

-35.35%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

13.00%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Revenue1.3B1.3B989.0M927.0M1.0B637.0M682.0M618.0M
Revenue Growth YoY+26.53%+100.00%+45.01%+50.00%+115.29%+36.40%+40.33%+40.14%
Net Income605.0M556.0M386.0M336.0M916.0M150.0M188.0M157.0M
Net Income Growth YoY-33.95%+270.67%+105.32%+114.01%+2953.33%+276.47%+652.00%+130.72%
EPS$0.67$0.63$0.44$0.38$1.04$0.17$0.21$0.18
EPS Growth YoY-35.35%+271.24%+106.19%+111.82%+2895.19%+278.63%+673.19%+131.47%

Profitability Metrics

Gross Margin

73.31%

TTM

Operating Margin

46.81%

TTM

Net Margin

42.10%

TTM

Return on Equity

22.32%

TTM

Return on Assets

5.01%

TTM

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Gross Margin75.68%77.00%92.21%85.54%85.80%81.00%81.96%81.23%
Operating Margin50.66%49.84%44.39%40.13%55.03%23.70%27.71%25.89%
Net Margin47.16%43.64%39.03%36.25%90.34%23.55%27.57%25.40%
Return on Equity (ROE)6.61%6.49%4.78%4.22%11.49%2.08%2.64%2.28%
Return on Assets (ROA)1.61%1.36%1.11%1.24%3.53%0.35%0.46%0.34%

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
NEUTRAL

Robinhood Markets (HOOD) is currently in a strong bearish trend with price trading well below key moving averages and a death cross in place. Momentum appears neutral to mildly fading with RSI in the lower neutral zone, but ADX signals that the downtrend remains strong. Key support levels around $74.50 to $75.50 are being closely tested, with resistance near $76.15 to $77.50 creating immediate hurdles for upside attempts.

RSI
Hold
Neutral46

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Sell
Strong Downtrend

Price in downtrend

-24.9% from 200 SMA
ADX
Buy
Strong Trend37

Strong trend active

Strong
MA Cross
Sell
Below 50/200

50 below 200 - bearish

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$80.56
50 SMA
$97.22
150 SMA
$114.84
200 SMA
$107.28
52W High
$153.86
52W Low
$29.66

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
46Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
MIXED

Robinhood Markets (HOOD) has demonstrated a robust turnaround in its financials over the past year, highlighted by accelerating revenue, improving margins, and a string of quarterly earnings beats. The company is leveraging its scale and diversified product set to drive strong profitability, though valuation risk and competitive threats remain notable considerations.

Latest Earnings

Q4 2025 Earnings (Dec 31, 2025)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$0.66

Estimated

$0.63

Surprise

+$0.03

Surprise %

+4.60%

Revenue

Miss

Actual

$1.28B

Estimated

$1.35B

Surprise

-$71.72M

Surprise %

-5.29%

Historical Earnings

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$0.66$0.61$0.42$0.37$0.54$0.17$0.21$0.18
EPS (Estimated)$0.63$0.54$0.31$0.33$0.42$0.18$0.15$0.06
EPS Surprise+$0.03+$0.07+$0.11+$0.04+$0.12-$0.01+$0.06+$0.12
% Diff+4.6%+13.4%+36.9%+13.7%+29.1%-5.6%+40.0%+200.0%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$1.28B$1.27B$989M$927M$1.01B$637M$682M$618M
Revenue (Estimated)$1.35B$1.21B$914.55M$920.08M$945.78M$660.53M$640.39M$552.21M
Revenue Surprise-$71.72M+$61.43M+$74.45M+$6.92M+$68.22M-$23.53M+$41.61M+$65.79M
% Diff-5.3%+5.1%+8.1%+0.8%+7.2%-3.6%+6.5%+11.9%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
OVERVALUED

Robinhood Markets (HOOD) currently trades at a significant premium relative to broader industry averages and many traditional valuation metrics, reflecting strong growth expectations and improved profitability metrics. However, despite recent earnings growth and bullish analyst price targets suggesting substantial upside, the elevated multiples imply high investor expectations and inherent risks.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

38.41

TTM

Price to Sales

16.21

TTM

Price to Book

7.90

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

38.16

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

18.71

TTM

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Price to Earnings41.9657.2553.4927.398.9934.5126.7027.05
Price to Sales79.1599.9483.5139.7232.4832.5129.4427.49
Price to Book11.1014.8610.234.634.132.872.822.47
Enterprise Value to EBITDA164.76211.05197.99105.8662.18136.8599.7493.15
Enterprise Value to Revenue87.84108.8492.0944.7735.5736.7430.2726.68

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
MIXED

Robinhood (HOOD) exhibits a generally positive but cautious market sentiment with a strong analyst buy consensus favoring notable upside potential. Recent news highlights growth initiatives and product innovation, while challenges such as declining trading volumes and regulatory risks temper enthusiasm. Social media sentiment remains constructive but reflects mixed retail perspectives amid a notable price pullback.

Analyst Recommendations

As of Mar 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Buy
3.9 / 5.0
Based on 24 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
0
Sell
2
Hold
3
Buy
15
Strong Buy
4

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
MODERATE

Robinhood Markets (HOOD) presents a financial risk profile marked by moderate liquidity and elevated leverage, with a significant dependence on volatile trading revenues and regulatory uncertainties. The company's liquidity metrics suggest adequacy but weaker buffers compared to prior periods, while solvency ratios show increased debt levels potentially stressing capital structure. Market sentiment is cautiously optimistic, supported by bullish analyst ratings and growth catalysts, yet tempered by heightened regulatory and competitive challenges.

Liquidity & Solvency

Current Ratio

1.26

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Quick Ratio

1.26

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Debt-to-Equity

1.68

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Debt-to-Assets

0.40

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Liquidity Metrics
Current Ratio1.261.221.251.351.391.181.191.16
Quick Ratio1.261.221.251.351.391.181.191.16
Solvency Metrics
Debt-to-Equity1.681.831.571.140.941.010.710.61
Debt-to-Assets0.400.380.360.330.280.170.120.09

Liquidity Assessment

Current Ratio: 1.26(Adequate)

Quick Ratio: 1.26(Strong)

The company has adequate liquidity but may face challenges in a downturn.

Solvency Assessment

Debt-to-Equity: 1.68(High)

Debt-to-Assets: 0.40(Moderate)

The company has relatively high debt levels, which may increase financial risk in economic downturns.

Frequently Asked Questions about HOOD

AI Answers: Common Questions About HOOD

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Robinhood Markets, Inc.

HOOD is not an ideal buy for short-term traders due to its strong downtrend and overvaluation (P/E 37.1, price far below 50/200 SMAs). However, for long-term investors seeking exposure to fintech innovation and robust growth (52% YoY revenue growth, >40% net margin), it offers potential if they can tolerate volatility and regulatory risk.

If you are a short-term trader or risk-averse, consider reducing exposure as technicals are bearish and sentiment is deteriorating. Long-term investors with conviction in the business model and growth story may hold through volatility, as fundamentals remain strong and analyst targets are well above current levels.

The biggest risks are regulatory action (especially on payment for order flow), high leverage (debt-to-equity ~1.68, debt ~40% of assets), and revenue dependence on volatile trading volumes, particularly in crypto. Liquidity has tightened (current ratio 1.26), and valuation leaves little margin for error if growth slows.

Analyst price targets average $120–$130, reflecting long-term optimism. Technically, resistance is at $77.50–$79.50, with support at $74.50 and deeper at $70.50 and $68.13. A sustained move above $77.50 could signal reversal, but a breakdown below $74.50 risks further downside.

HOOD is overvalued by most traditional metrics: P/E 37.1, high P/S and EV/EBITDA well above sector averages. The premium reflects high growth expectations, but any disappointment could lead to sharp multiple compression.

Fundamentally, HOOD is strong: 52% annual revenue growth, net margin above 40%, and consistent EPS beats. However, some growth is cyclical and dependent on trading activity and interest rates, and leverage is higher than peers.

Technically, HOOD is in a bearish phase: price is below all major moving averages, a death cross is active, and RSI is 39.6 (not yet oversold). Support at $74.50 is crucial; a breakdown could see the stock fall to $70.50 or lower.

Key catalysts include upcoming earnings reports, the launch of new products (retirement accounts, international expansion), and regulatory developments. Macro factors like interest rates and crypto market trends will also impact trading activity and sentiment.

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