HOOD AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?
Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD)
Fundamentals
Robinhood Markets has demonstrated a strong recovery and impressive profitability rebound in recent quarters after previous losses, driven by higher revenues and efficient expense management. While revenues remain robust at over $1.3 billion in the latest quarter, the company shows some volatility quarter-to-quarter, with margins fluctuating notably. Its earnings beats and solid cash flow generation underscore improving operational execution despite ongoing elevated expenses.
Financial Highlights
- Revenue
- Net Income
- Net Margin (%)
Revenue
-45.90% YoY
Q2 2026
Net Income
45.34% YoY
Q2 2026
Net Margin
Q2 2026
Growth Metrics
Revenue Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
Net Income Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
Revenue Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
EPS Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
Book Value Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
| Q2 2026 | Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 535.0M | 1.1B | 1.3B | 1.3B | 989.0M | 927.0M | 1.0B | 637.0M |
| Revenue Growth YoY | -45.90% | +15.10% | +26.53% | +100.00% | +45.01% | +50.00% | +115.29% | +36.40% |
| Net Income | 561.0M | 350.0M | 605.0M | 556.0M | 386.0M | 336.0M | 916.0M | 150.0M |
| Net Income Growth YoY | +45.34% | +4.17% | -33.95% | +270.67% | +105.32% | +114.01% | +2953.33% | +276.47% |
| EPS | $0.62 | $0.39 | $0.67 | $0.63 | $0.44 | $0.38 | $1.04 | $0.17 |
| EPS Growth YoY | +40.91% | +2.63% | -35.35% | +271.24% | +106.19% | +111.82% | +2895.19% | +278.63% |
Profitability Metrics
Technical Analysis
HOOD is currently exhibiting a strong bearish technical profile, trading below its major moving averages with a death cross active, indicating a continuing downtrend. Momentum indicators confirm accelerating bearish pressure, with the stock testing key support near $85.53 while resistance lies around $87.82 to $90.69. While some oscillators approach oversold levels, no clear reversal pattern is confirmed, suggesting caution for traders.
No extreme reading
Price in downtrend
Trend developing
50 below 200 - bearish
Key Technical Values
Price with Moving Averages
50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages
Relative Strength Index
Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes
RSI (14)
Earnings
Robinhood Markets has demonstrated a strong recovery and impressive profitability rebound in recent quarters after previous losses, driven by higher revenues and efficient expense management. While revenues remain robust at over $1.3 billion in the latest quarter, the company shows some volatility quarter-to-quarter, with margins fluctuating notably. Its earnings beats and solid cash flow generation underscore improving operational execution despite ongoing elevated expenses.
Latest Earnings
Q2 2026 Earnings (Jun 30, 2026)
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Actual
$0.62
Estimated
$0.44
Surprise
+$0.18
Surprise %
+40.91%
Revenue
Actual
$1.31B
Estimated
$1.29B
Surprise
+$21.4M
Surprise %
+1.66%
Historical Earnings
| Q2 2026 | Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Per Share | ||||||||
| EPS (Actual) | $0.62 | $0.38 | $0.66 | $0.61 | $0.42 | $0.37 | $0.54 | $0.17 |
| EPS (Estimated) | $0.44 | $0.39 | $0.63 | $0.54 | $0.31 | $0.33 | $0.42 | $0.18 |
| EPS Surprise | +$0.18 | -$0.01 | +$0.03 | +$0.07 | +$0.11 | +$0.04 | +$0.12 | -$0.01 |
| % Diff | +40.9% | -1.4% | +4.6% | +13.4% | +36.9% | +13.7% | +29.1% | -5.6% |
| Revenue | ||||||||
| Revenue (Actual) | $1.31B | $1.07B | $1.28B | $1.27B | $989M | $927M | $1.01B | $637M |
| Revenue (Estimated) | $1.29B | $1.14B | $1.35B | $1.21B | $914.55M | $920.08M | $945.78M | $660.53M |
| Revenue Surprise | +$21.4M | -$72.58M | -$71.72M | +$61.43M | +$74.45M | +$6.92M | +$68.22M | -$23.53M |
| % Diff | +1.7% | -6.4% | -5.3% | +5.1% | +8.1% | +0.8% | +7.2% | -3.6% |
Valuation
Robinhood Markets presents a growth-oriented profile with solid earnings momentum yet trades at premium multiples compared to many peers in the financial capital markets sector. While revenue growth has shown recent volatility, diversification into prediction markets and increased subscriber base support the valuation. Market sentiment remains broadly positive with a moderate buy consensus and upside potential indicated by analyst price targets.
Valuation Metrics
Price to Earnings
TTM
Price to Sales
TTM
Price to Book
TTM
Enterprise Value to EBITDA
TTM
Enterprise Value to Revenue
TTM
| Q2 2026 | Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price to Earnings | 40.44 | 44.42 | 42.20 | 56.82 | 53.20 | 27.38 | 8.99 | 34.50 |
| Price to Sales | 168.51 | 58.40 | 79.15 | 99.94 | 83.51 | 39.72 | 32.48 | 32.51 |
| Price to Book | 9.51 | 6.69 | 11.10 | 14.86 | 10.23 | 4.63 | 4.13 | 2.87 |
| Enterprise Value to EBITDA | -376.02 | 162.87 | 167.45 | 211.05 | 197.99 | 106.41 | 62.18 | 136.85 |
| Enterprise Value to Revenue | 210.15 | 66.25 | 87.84 | 108.84 | 92.09 | 44.77 | 35.57 | 36.74 |
Sentiment & Analyst Ratings
Sentiment around HOOD is cautiously optimistic, supported by strong earnings beats and record revenue growth, particularly driven by diversified business lines and subscription growth. However, concerns about declining crypto revenue and operating cost pressures are tempering enthusiasm, leading to some volatility and mixed investor perceptions.
Analyst Recommendations
Risk Assessment
Robinhood Markets exhibits moderate financial stability with improving liquidity and low leverage, yet it faces significant operational and regulatory risks in 2026. Its growth in revenue and customer base is promising but remains sensitive to market volatility, regulatory scrutiny, and competitive pressures in the fintech and prediction market spaces.
Liquidity & Solvency
Frequently Asked Questions about HOOD
AI Answers: Common Questions About HOOD
Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Robinhood Markets, Inc.
HOOD is a good long-term buy given its strong earnings recovery, 51.7% revenue growth in 2025, and expanding product offerings. However, short-term technical weakness suggests caution for immediate entry.
Selling is advisable in the short term if the stock breaks below key support at $85.53 due to bearish momentum. Medium and long-term holders may consider holding through volatility given growth prospects.
Key risks include regulatory scrutiny on crypto and prediction markets, volatility in trading activity affecting revenue, and competitive pressures from fintech and traditional brokers.
Analyst price targets average around $121-$124, reflecting confidence in growth but tempered by recent margin pressures and crypto revenue decline.
HOOD trades at a P/E of 41.82, fairly valued relative to industry peers, but with elevated price-to-sales and EV/EBITDA multiples indicating premium growth expectations.
Fundamentals show a turnaround from losses to $0.62 EPS in Q2 2026, revenue of $1.308 billion, and strong cash flow, supported by diversified income streams and growing user engagement.
Technically bearish with price below 50, 150, and 200-day SMAs, active death cross, RSI near 36, and MACD confirming downside momentum. Support at $85.53 is critical.
Catalysts include regulatory clarity, growth in premium subscriptions, expansion into new financial products, and sustained user base growth.
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