HOOD AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD)

$78.27-2.51 (-3.11%) today

Open
$79.02
High
$80.18
Low
$76.49
Volume
16.95M
Mkt Cap
$70.48B
52W High
$153.86
AI Verdict
Confidence 82%
HOODRobinhood Markets, Inc.
AlphaCrew AI
WAIT
Overall
Summary

Robinhood (HOOD) offers strong long-term fundamentals and growth potential, but is currently overvalued and technically weak, with mixed sentiment and moderate risk. Investors should wait for a clearer technical reversal or valuation reset before taking new positions, while monitoring upcoming catalysts and risk factors.

By Timeframe
Hover for details
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Short
HOLD
Medium
HOLD
Long
Agent Signals
32
Fund
Tech
Val
Sent
Risk

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
NEUTRAL

Robinhood Markets (HOOD) has transformed from loss-making to highly profitable in the past two years, demonstrating rapid growth in both revenue and net income. The company boasts sector-leading margins and robust earnings momentum. However, the stock is currently trading at a premium valuation, reflecting elevated expectations and recent volatility.

Financial Highlights

Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026$0$350.0M$700.0M$1.1B$1.4BRevenue & Net Income ($)32%36%40%44%48%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$1.07B

15.10% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Income

$350.00M

4.17% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Margin

32.80%

Q1 2026

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

15.10%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Net Income Growth YoY

4.17%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

13.24%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

EPS Growth YoY

2.63%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

19.84%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Revenue1.1B1.3B1.3B989.0M927.0M1.0B637.0M682.0M
Revenue Growth YoY+15.10%+26.53%+100.00%+45.01%+50.00%+115.29%+36.40%+40.33%
Net Income350.0M605.0M556.0M386.0M336.0M916.0M150.0M188.0M
Net Income Growth YoY+4.17%-33.95%+270.67%+105.32%+114.01%+2953.33%+276.47%+652.00%
EPS$0.39$0.67$0.63$0.44$0.38$1.04$0.17$0.21
EPS Growth YoY+2.63%-35.35%+271.24%+106.19%+111.82%+2895.19%+278.63%+673.19%

Profitability Metrics

Gross Margin

80.60%

TTM

Operating Margin

38.52%

TTM

Net Margin

32.80%

TTM

Return on Equity

21.61%

TTM

Return on Assets

4.23%

TTM

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Gross Margin80.60%76.54%86.73%85.74%82.42%85.80%81.00%81.96%
Operating Margin38.52%50.66%49.84%44.39%39.91%55.03%23.70%27.71%
Net Margin32.80%47.16%43.64%39.03%36.25%90.34%23.55%27.57%
Return on Equity (ROE)3.76%6.61%6.49%4.78%4.22%11.49%2.08%2.64%
Return on Assets (ROA)0.78%1.61%1.36%1.11%1.24%3.53%0.35%0.46%

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
BEARISH

HOOD is currently in a downtrend with a mixed and weak trend signal, reflecting significant price uncertainty and consolidation. The stock trades near its 50-day SMA but remains well below its 150 and 200-day SMAs, indicating bearish longer-term momentum. Momentum indicators like RSI and ADX are neutral to weak, suggesting limited directional conviction at present.

RSI
Hold
Neutral50

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Hold
Mixed

Mixed signals

-25.9% from 200 SMA
ADX
Hold
Weak/No Trend16

Range-bound market

Weak
MA Cross
Hold
Death Cross

Watching for cross

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$78.27
50 SMA
$76.56
150 SMA
$102.46
200 SMA
$105.66
52W High
$153.86
52W Low
$55.89

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
50Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
NEUTRAL

Robinhood Markets (HOOD) has transformed from loss-making to highly profitable in the past two years, demonstrating rapid growth in both revenue and net income. The company boasts sector-leading margins and robust earnings momentum. However, the stock is currently trading at a premium valuation, reflecting elevated expectations and recent volatility.

Latest Earnings

Q1 2026 Earnings (Mar 31, 2026)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Miss

Actual

$0.38

Estimated

$0.39

Surprise

$-0.01

Surprise %

-1.38%

Revenue

Miss

Actual

$1.07B

Estimated

$1.14B

Surprise

-$72.58M

Surprise %

-6.37%

Historical Earnings

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$0.38$0.66$0.61$0.42$0.37$0.54$0.17$0.21
EPS (Estimated)$0.39$0.63$0.54$0.31$0.33$0.42$0.18$0.15
EPS Surprise-$0.01+$0.03+$0.07+$0.11+$0.04+$0.12-$0.01+$0.06
% Diff-1.4%+4.6%+13.4%+36.9%+13.7%+29.1%-5.6%+40.0%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$1.07B$1.28B$1.27B$989M$927M$1.01B$637M$682M
Revenue (Estimated)$1.14B$1.35B$1.21B$914.55M$920.08M$945.78M$660.53M$640.39M
Revenue Surprise-$72.58M-$71.72M+$61.43M+$74.45M+$6.92M+$68.22M-$23.53M+$41.61M
% Diff-6.4%-5.3%+5.1%+8.1%+0.8%+7.2%-3.6%+6.5%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
OVERVALUED

Robinhood (HOOD) currently trades at premium valuation multiples significantly above its financial services sector peers, reflecting market expectations of substantial growth and diversification beyond its core brokerage services. Analyst sentiment is broadly positive, with a consensus buy rating and price targets indicating material upside potential. However, the stock's high multiples denote risks related to execution, market sentiment volatility, and regulatory exposure.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

37.10

TTM

Price to Sales

15.28

TTM

Price to Book

7.55

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

29.44

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

14.19

TTM

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Price to Earnings44.5141.9657.2553.4927.398.9934.5126.70
Price to Sales58.4079.1599.9483.5139.7232.4832.5129.44
Price to Book6.6911.1014.8610.234.634.132.872.82
Enterprise Value to EBITDA132.03167.45211.05197.99106.4162.18136.8599.74
Enterprise Value to Revenue53.7087.84108.8492.0944.7735.5736.7430.27

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
MIXED

The overall sentiment around Robinhood Markets (HOOD) is mixed, with cautious optimism from analysts offset by recent weak earnings and intensifying competition pressures. News coverage highlights missed Q1 revenue and earnings estimates and notable insider selling, while also emphasizing new growth opportunities like international expansion and innovative product launches. Social media sentiment is volatile, reflecting short-term investor uncertainty but recent rebound in engagement around new features.

Analyst Recommendations

As of May 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Buy
3.7 / 5.0
Based on 27 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
1
Sell
2
Hold
5
Buy
15
Strong Buy
4

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
MODERATE

Robinhood Markets exhibits moderate financial health with stable liquidity but a moderate increase in leverage compared to prior periods. The company faces significant business risks due to regulatory scrutiny, reliance on volatile transaction-based revenues, and execution challenges in expanding its financial ecosystem. Market conditions and competitive pressures further contribute to risk, which is somewhat balanced by ongoing subscriber growth and diversified product initiatives.

Liquidity & Solvency

Current Ratio

1.22

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Quick Ratio

1.22

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Debt-to-Equity

0.00

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Debt-to-Assets

0.00

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Liquidity Metrics
Current Ratio1.221.261.221.251.351.391.181.19
Quick Ratio1.221.261.221.251.351.391.181.19
Solvency Metrics
Debt-to-Equity0.001.681.831.571.140.941.010.71
Debt-to-Assets0.000.400.380.360.330.280.170.12

Liquidity Assessment

Current Ratio: 1.22(Adequate)

Quick Ratio: 1.22(Strong)

The company has adequate liquidity but may face challenges in a downturn.

Solvency Assessment

Debt-to-Equity: 0.000

Debt-to-Assets: 0.000

The company has conservative debt levels, indicating low financial risk and strong long-term solvency.

Frequently Asked Questions about HOOD

AI Answers: Common Questions About HOOD

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Robinhood Markets, Inc.

Robinhood is not a good buy at current prices ($77.03) given its P/E of 37.4, price-to-sales and EV/EBITDA multiples well above sector averages, and technical weakness. Waiting for a pullback toward the $51-60 support zone or a technical reversal would offer a better risk/reward entry.

If you hold HOOD, there is no urgent need to sell unless you are risk-averse or have a short-term horizon, as fundamentals remain strong. However, with technicals bearish and sentiment mixed, trimming or tightening stops may be prudent until a clear bullish catalyst emerges.

The biggest risks are regulatory (especially around payment for order flow and crypto), a potential decline in trading activity, and execution risk in new products and international growth. Leverage has increased (D/E now 1.68, debt/assets ~40%), and liquidity is adequate but tightening (current ratio 1.22).

Key resistance is at $103-$106 (150/200-day SMAs), with downside support near $51.6 (52-week low). Analyst targets suggest upside if growth resumes, but technicals point to risk of retesting lower support before any sustained move higher.

HOOD is overvalued by all major metrics: P/E (37.4), P/S, and EV/EBITDA are all well above sector and historical averages, pricing in aggressive growth and flawless execution. Any disappointment could lead to multiple compression.

Fundamentally, HOOD is very strong: gross margins >80%, net margins ~42%, ROE >20%, and robust revenue/EPS growth. The balance sheet is healthy but leverage is rising, so continued execution is key.

Technical analysis is bearish: the stock is in a Stage 4 downtrend, below all major moving averages, with a death cross and RSI near 48. Support is at $51.6, resistance at $103-$106, and no bullish reversal pattern is present.

Key catalysts include upcoming earnings (especially guidance), adoption of new features like Robinhood Social and event contracts, and progress in international expansion (e.g., Singapore). Regulatory developments and macro/crypto volatility will also drive the stock.

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