HOOD AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD)

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

Robinhood Markets has demonstrated a strong recovery and impressive profitability rebound in recent quarters after previous losses, driven by higher revenues and efficient expense management. While revenues remain robust at over $1.3 billion in the latest quarter, the company shows some volatility quarter-to-quarter, with margins fluctuating notably. Its earnings beats and solid cash flow generation underscore improving operational execution despite ongoing elevated expenses.

Financial Highlights

Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026Q2 2026$0$350.0M$700.0M$1.1B$1.4BRevenue & Net Income ($)25%50%75%100%125%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$535.00M

-45.90% YoY

Q2 2026

Net Income

$561.00M

45.34% YoY

Q2 2026

Net Margin

104.86%

Q2 2026

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

-45.90%

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

Net Income Growth YoY

45.34%

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

-46.92%

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

EPS Growth YoY

40.91%

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

15.98%

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

 Q2 2026Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024
Revenue535.0M1.1B1.3B1.3B989.0M927.0M1.0B637.0M
Revenue Growth YoY-45.90%+15.10%+26.53%+100.00%+45.01%+50.00%+115.29%+36.40%
Net Income561.0M350.0M605.0M556.0M386.0M336.0M916.0M150.0M
Net Income Growth YoY+45.34%+4.17%-33.95%+270.67%+105.32%+114.01%+2953.33%+276.47%
EPS$0.62$0.39$0.67$0.63$0.44$0.38$1.04$0.17
EPS Growth YoY+40.91%+2.63%-35.35%+271.24%+106.19%+111.82%+2895.19%+278.63%

Profitability Metrics

No profitability metrics available

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
BEARISH

HOOD is currently exhibiting a strong bearish technical profile, trading below its major moving averages with a death cross active, indicating a continuing downtrend. Momentum indicators confirm accelerating bearish pressure, with the stock testing key support near $85.53 while resistance lies around $87.82 to $90.69. While some oscillators approach oversold levels, no clear reversal pattern is confirmed, suggesting caution for traders.

RSI
Hold
Neutral41

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Sell
Strong Downtrend

Price in downtrend

-8.8% from 200 SMA
ADX
Hold
Moderate Trend24

Trend developing

Moderate
MA Cross
Sell
Below 50/200

50 below 200 - bearish

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$90.34
50 SMA
$96.93
150 SMA
$89.30
200 SMA
$99.07
52W High
$153.86
52W Low
$63.52

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
41Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

Robinhood Markets has demonstrated a strong recovery and impressive profitability rebound in recent quarters after previous losses, driven by higher revenues and efficient expense management. While revenues remain robust at over $1.3 billion in the latest quarter, the company shows some volatility quarter-to-quarter, with margins fluctuating notably. Its earnings beats and solid cash flow generation underscore improving operational execution despite ongoing elevated expenses.

Latest Earnings

Q2 2026 Earnings (Jun 30, 2026)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$0.62

Estimated

$0.44

Surprise

+$0.18

Surprise %

+40.91%

Revenue

Beat

Actual

$1.31B

Estimated

$1.29B

Surprise

+$21.4M

Surprise %

+1.66%

Historical Earnings

 Q2 2026Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$0.62$0.38$0.66$0.61$0.42$0.37$0.54$0.17
EPS (Estimated)$0.44$0.39$0.63$0.54$0.31$0.33$0.42$0.18
EPS Surprise+$0.18-$0.01+$0.03+$0.07+$0.11+$0.04+$0.12-$0.01
% Diff+40.9%-1.4%+4.6%+13.4%+36.9%+13.7%+29.1%-5.6%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$1.31B$1.07B$1.28B$1.27B$989M$927M$1.01B$637M
Revenue (Estimated)$1.29B$1.14B$1.35B$1.21B$914.55M$920.08M$945.78M$660.53M
Revenue Surprise+$21.4M-$72.58M-$71.72M+$61.43M+$74.45M+$6.92M+$68.22M-$23.53M
% Diff+1.7%-6.4%-5.3%+5.1%+8.1%+0.8%+7.2%-3.6%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
FAIRLY VALUED

Robinhood Markets presents a growth-oriented profile with solid earnings momentum yet trades at premium multiples compared to many peers in the financial capital markets sector. While revenue growth has shown recent volatility, diversification into prediction markets and increased subscriber base support the valuation. Market sentiment remains broadly positive with a moderate buy consensus and upside potential indicated by analyst price targets.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

39.11

TTM

Price to Sales

19.53

TTM

Price to Book

8.57

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

70.65

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

24.89

TTM

 Q2 2026Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024
Price to Earnings40.4444.4242.2056.8253.2027.388.9934.50
Price to Sales168.5158.4079.1599.9483.5139.7232.4832.51
Price to Book9.516.6911.1014.8610.234.634.132.87
Enterprise Value to EBITDA-376.02162.87167.45211.05197.99106.4162.18136.85
Enterprise Value to Revenue210.1566.2587.84108.8492.0944.7735.5736.74

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
MIXED

Sentiment around HOOD is cautiously optimistic, supported by strong earnings beats and record revenue growth, particularly driven by diversified business lines and subscription growth. However, concerns about declining crypto revenue and operating cost pressures are tempering enthusiasm, leading to some volatility and mixed investor perceptions.

Analyst Recommendations

As of Aug 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Buy
3.9 / 5.0
Based on 28 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
0
Sell
2
Hold
4
Buy
18
Strong Buy
4

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
MODERATE

Robinhood Markets exhibits moderate financial stability with improving liquidity and low leverage, yet it faces significant operational and regulatory risks in 2026. Its growth in revenue and customer base is promising but remains sensitive to market volatility, regulatory scrutiny, and competitive pressures in the fintech and prediction market spaces.

Liquidity & Solvency

Frequently Asked Questions about HOOD

AI Answers: Common Questions About HOOD

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Robinhood Markets, Inc.

HOOD is a good long-term buy given its strong earnings recovery, 51.7% revenue growth in 2025, and expanding product offerings. However, short-term technical weakness suggests caution for immediate entry.

Selling is advisable in the short term if the stock breaks below key support at $85.53 due to bearish momentum. Medium and long-term holders may consider holding through volatility given growth prospects.

Key risks include regulatory scrutiny on crypto and prediction markets, volatility in trading activity affecting revenue, and competitive pressures from fintech and traditional brokers.

Analyst price targets average around $121-$124, reflecting confidence in growth but tempered by recent margin pressures and crypto revenue decline.

HOOD trades at a P/E of 41.82, fairly valued relative to industry peers, but with elevated price-to-sales and EV/EBITDA multiples indicating premium growth expectations.

Fundamentals show a turnaround from losses to $0.62 EPS in Q2 2026, revenue of $1.308 billion, and strong cash flow, supported by diversified income streams and growing user engagement.

Technically bearish with price below 50, 150, and 200-day SMAs, active death cross, RSI near 36, and MACD confirming downside momentum. Support at $85.53 is critical.

Catalysts include regulatory clarity, growth in premium subscriptions, expansion into new financial products, and sustained user base growth.

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