HOOD AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD)

$69.19-0.93 (-1.33%) today

Open
$70.04
High
$70.87
Low
$68.28
Volume
22.78M
Mkt Cap
$62.29B
52W High
$153.86
AI Verdict
Confidence 87%
HOODRobinhood Markets, Inc.
AlphaCrew AI
MIXED
Overall
Summary

Robinhood (HOOD) offers robust long-term growth and profitability, but faces near-term technical weakness and sentiment headwinds. While fundamentals and valuation support a constructive long-term view, short-term risks from regulatory uncertainty, insider selling, and a pronounced downtrend warrant caution. Investors should align their approach with their time horizon and risk tolerance, as the stock is at a technical crossroads ahead of key catalysts.

By Timeframe
Hover for details
WAIT
Short
HOLD
Medium
BUY
Long
Agent Signals
41
Fund
Tech
Val
Sent
Risk

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
MIXED

Robinhood (HOOD) has staged a striking financial turnaround, moving from losses to robust profitability with accelerating revenue and earnings momentum over the past year. However, its current valuation stands at a premium, reflecting high market expectations, and recent price volatility underscores sensitivity to both growth execution and broader market dynamics.

Financial Highlights

Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025$0$350.0M$700.0M$1.1B$1.4BRevenue & Net Income ($)20%40%60%80%100%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$1.28B

26.53% YoY

Q4 2025

Net Income

$605.00M

-33.95% YoY

Q4 2025

Net Margin

47.16%

Q4 2025

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

26.53%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Net Income Growth YoY

-33.95%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

24.56%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

EPS Growth YoY

-35.35%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

13.00%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Revenue1.3B1.3B989.0M927.0M1.0B637.0M682.0M618.0M
Revenue Growth YoY+26.53%+100.00%+45.01%+50.00%+115.29%+36.40%+40.33%+40.14%
Net Income605.0M556.0M386.0M336.0M916.0M150.0M188.0M157.0M
Net Income Growth YoY-33.95%+270.67%+105.32%+114.01%+2953.33%+276.47%+652.00%+130.72%
EPS$0.67$0.63$0.44$0.38$1.04$0.17$0.21$0.18
EPS Growth YoY-35.35%+271.24%+106.19%+111.82%+2895.19%+278.63%+673.19%+131.47%

Profitability Metrics

Gross Margin

73.31%

TTM

Operating Margin

46.81%

TTM

Net Margin

42.10%

TTM

Return on Equity

22.32%

TTM

Return on Assets

5.01%

TTM

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Gross Margin75.68%77.00%92.21%85.54%85.80%81.00%81.96%81.23%
Operating Margin50.66%49.84%44.39%40.13%55.03%23.70%27.71%25.89%
Net Margin47.16%43.64%39.03%36.25%90.34%23.55%27.57%25.40%
Return on Equity (ROE)6.61%6.49%4.78%4.22%11.49%2.08%2.64%2.28%
Return on Assets (ROA)1.61%1.36%1.11%1.24%3.53%0.35%0.46%0.34%

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
BEARISH

HOOD is currently in a strong downtrend with price trading below key moving averages and a death cross confirmed. Momentum is modestly bearish but with a strong trend confirmed by ADX. The stock is in the declining phase with no immediate reversal signals, suggesting downside pressure remains dominant.

RSI
Hold
Neutral43

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Sell
Strong Downtrend

Price in downtrend

-35.6% from 200 SMA
ADX
Buy
Strong Trend30

Strong trend active

Strong
MA Cross
Sell
Below 50/200

50 below 200 - bearish

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$69.19
50 SMA
$76.39
150 SMA
$109.02
200 SMA
$107.45
52W High
$153.86
52W Low
$33.55

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
43Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
MIXED

Robinhood (HOOD) has staged a striking financial turnaround, moving from losses to robust profitability with accelerating revenue and earnings momentum over the past year. However, its current valuation stands at a premium, reflecting high market expectations, and recent price volatility underscores sensitivity to both growth execution and broader market dynamics.

Latest Earnings

Q4 2025 Earnings (Dec 31, 2025)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$0.66

Estimated

$0.63

Surprise

+$0.03

Surprise %

+4.60%

Revenue

Miss

Actual

$1.28B

Estimated

$1.35B

Surprise

-$71.72M

Surprise %

-5.29%

Historical Earnings

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$0.66$0.61$0.42$0.37$0.54$0.17$0.21$0.18
EPS (Estimated)$0.63$0.54$0.31$0.33$0.42$0.18$0.15$0.06
EPS Surprise+$0.03+$0.07+$0.11+$0.04+$0.12-$0.01+$0.06+$0.12
% Diff+4.6%+13.4%+36.9%+13.7%+29.1%-5.6%+40.0%+200.0%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$1.28B$1.27B$989M$927M$1.01B$637M$682M$618M
Revenue (Estimated)$1.35B$1.21B$914.55M$920.08M$945.78M$660.53M$640.39M$552.21M
Revenue Surprise-$71.72M+$61.43M+$74.45M+$6.92M+$68.22M-$23.53M+$41.61M+$65.79M
% Diff-5.3%+5.1%+8.1%+0.8%+7.2%-3.6%+6.5%+11.9%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
FAIRLY VALUED

Robinhood (HOOD) currently trades at a premium valuation reflecting strong revenue and earnings growth prospects within the fintech brokerage space. While technical indicators suggest a cautious near-term outlook with mixed signals and bearish trends, analyst sentiment remains broadly positive with significant upside potential implied by median price targets. The company's solid financial health and operational margins support a favorable long-term investment case despite current valuation multiples that are elevated relative to some peers.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

32.99

TTM

Price to Sales

13.93

TTM

Price to Book

6.79

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

33.49

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

16.42

TTM

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Price to Earnings41.9657.2553.4927.398.9934.5126.7027.05
Price to Sales79.1599.9483.5139.7232.4832.5129.4427.49
Price to Book11.1014.8610.234.634.132.872.822.47
Enterprise Value to EBITDA164.76211.05197.99105.8662.18136.8599.7493.15
Enterprise Value to Revenue87.84108.8492.0944.7735.5736.7430.2726.68

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
MIXED

Robinhood Markets (HOOD) exhibits a mixed yet cautiously optimistic sentiment among analysts and investors. While the majority of analyst ratings lean towards moderate buy with significant price target reductions signaling caution, retail investor enthusiasm on social media shows improving bullish sentiment. Recent insider selling and an image challenge weigh on confidence, though upcoming earnings provide potential catalysts.

Analyst Recommendations

As of Apr 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Buy
3.7 / 5.0
Based on 28 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
1
Sell
2
Hold
5
Buy
16
Strong Buy
4

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
MODERATE

Robinhood Markets demonstrates moderate financial health with improving liquidity but elevated leverage due to increased debt levels. Regulatory pressures around payment for order flow and expansion risks, alongside market volatility dependency, present key challenges despite positive revenue growth and strong subscriber expansion. Overall, industry competition and evolving regulatory landscapes contribute to a moderate risk profile from an investor's perspective.

Liquidity & Solvency

Current Ratio

1.26

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Quick Ratio

1.26

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Debt-to-Equity

1.68

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Debt-to-Assets

0.40

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Liquidity Metrics
Current Ratio1.261.221.251.351.391.181.191.16
Quick Ratio1.261.221.251.351.391.181.191.16
Solvency Metrics
Debt-to-Equity1.681.831.571.140.941.010.710.61
Debt-to-Assets0.400.380.360.330.280.170.120.09

Liquidity Assessment

Current Ratio: 1.26(Adequate)

Quick Ratio: 1.26(Strong)

The company has adequate liquidity but may face challenges in a downturn.

Solvency Assessment

Debt-to-Equity: 1.68(High)

Debt-to-Assets: 0.40(Moderate)

The company has relatively high debt levels, which may increase financial risk in economic downturns.

Frequently Asked Questions about HOOD

AI Answers: Common Questions About HOOD

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Robinhood Markets, Inc.

HOOD is not an ideal buy for short-term traders due to a strong downtrend and lack of technical support, but long-term investors may find value given robust fundamentals, 51.6% YoY revenue growth, and gross margins above 80%. The current P/E of 33.75 is high but justified by growth, so consider accumulating on further pullbacks or after technical stabilization.

If you are a short-term trader or risk-averse, consider reducing exposure as technicals are bearish and sentiment is deteriorating. Long-term holders with conviction in Robinhood's growth story may hold through volatility, as fundamentals remain strong and no structural thesis change has occurred.

The biggest risks are regulatory intervention (especially around payment for order flow and crypto), high leverage with debt financing over 40% of assets, and reliance on volatile trading volumes. A regulatory ban or sharp trading slowdown could drive 20-40% downside from current levels.

Technical support is at $67, with downside to $60 if broken; resistance is at $75-$78. Analyst consensus targets range from $110-$120, implying 60-70% upside if growth persists and sentiment improves.

HOOD is fairly valued for a high-growth fintech at a P/E of 33.75, with high P/S and EV/EBITDA multiples reflecting strong margin and revenue growth. Valuation is at risk of compression if growth slows, but not egregiously overvalued given sector comparisons.

Fundamentally, HOOD is very strong: revenue grew 51.6% YoY to $4.47B, net income rose 33.4% to $1.88B, and gross margins exceed 80%. Operating margins are near 47%, and ROE is above 20%, with growth driven by organic expansion and product innovation.

Technical analysis is bearish: price is below all major moving averages, a death cross is confirmed, and RSI is neutral but trending lower at 42.83. No reversal patterns are present; a break below $67 could accelerate declines toward $60.

Key catalysts include Q1 2026 earnings on April 28, which could shift sentiment and technicals, as well as regulatory developments and new product launches (e.g., prediction markets, expanded crypto offerings). Resolution of image issues or positive partnership news could also act as upside triggers.

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