INSM AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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Insmed Incorporated (INSM)

$116.00+12.11 (+11.66%) today

Open
$103.65
High
$117.63
Low
$103.65
Volume
8.23M
Mkt Cap
$25.14B
52W High
$212.75
AI Verdict
Confidence 84%
INSMInsmed Incorporated
AlphaCrew AI
MIXED
Overall
Summary

Insmed (INSM) offers exceptional revenue growth and pipeline potential but faces persistent losses, high leverage, and recent technical and sentiment deterioration. While long-term prospects are strong if pipeline milestones are met, near-term risks and volatility are elevated, making the stock suitable only for risk-tolerant investors. The investment case is highly time-frame dependent, with short-term caution warranted and long-term upside possible.

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Short
HOLD
Medium
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Long
Agent Signals
32
Fund
Tech
Val
Sent
Risk

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
MIXED

Insmed Incorporated is displaying accelerating top-line growth, with quarterly revenues showing notable year-over-year expansion. However, the company continues to operate with significant losses, as heavy R&D and SG&A investment weigh on bottom-line results. While revenue momentum is robust, persistent negative earnings and cash flow are key concerns for long-term sustainability.

Financial Highlights

Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026-$400.0M-$200.0M$0$200.0M$400.0MRevenue & Net Income ($)-300%-225%-150%-75%0%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$305.96M

229.62% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Income

-$163.56M

36.25% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Margin

-53.46%

Q1 2026

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

229.62%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Net Income Growth YoY

36.25%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

176.68%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

EPS Growth YoY

46.48%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

496.66%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Revenue306.0M263.8M142.3M107.4M92.8M104.4M93.4M90.3M
Revenue Growth YoY+229.62%+152.62%+52.36%+18.90%+22.94%+24.79%+18.15%+16.98%
Net Income-163.6M-328.5M-370.0M-321.7M-256.6M-235.5M-220.5M-300.6M
Net Income Growth YoY+36.25%-39.46%-67.79%-7.01%-63.33%-26.60%-38.75%-22.79%
EPS-$0.76-$1.54-$1.75-$1.70-$1.42-$1.32-$1.27-$1.94
EPS Growth YoY+46.48%-16.67%-37.80%+12.37%-33.96%-3.13%-14.41%-8.99%

Profitability Metrics

Gross Margin

83.82%

TTM

Operating Margin

-65.46%

TTM

Net Margin

-53.46%

TTM

Return on Equity

-130.11%

TTM

Return on Assets

-64.19%

TTM

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Gross Margin83.82%83.24%79.37%73.86%77.08%74.96%77.34%76.79%
Operating Margin-65.46%-94.64%-257.13%-291.28%-267.33%-220.61%-228.45%-319.80%
Net Margin-53.46%-124.50%-259.95%-299.48%-276.42%-225.53%-236.04%-332.75%
Return on Equity (ROE)-23.21%-44.45%-39.13%-25.74%-258.76%-82.54%-45.62%-774.41%
Return on Assets (ROA)-8.87%-16.18%-17.29%-14.06%-15.94%-12.87%-11.88%-18.64%

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
NEUTRAL

INSM is currently in a strong downtrend with price well below key moving averages, confirmed by a death cross and high ADX indicating strong trend momentum. RSI reflects oversold conditions, signaling potential for a short-term bounce, although the stock remains in a consolidation phase without a clear reversal yet.

RSI
Hold
Neutral37

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Sell
Strong Downtrend

Price in downtrend

-25.6% from 200 SMA
ADX
Buy
Strong Trend42

Strong trend active

Strong
MA Cross
Sell
Below 50/200

50 below 200 - bearish

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$116.00
50 SMA
$142.62
150 SMA
$163.56
200 SMA
$155.90
52W High
$212.75
52W Low
$64.85

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
37Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
MIXED

Insmed Incorporated is displaying accelerating top-line growth, with quarterly revenues showing notable year-over-year expansion. However, the company continues to operate with significant losses, as heavy R&D and SG&A investment weigh on bottom-line results. While revenue momentum is robust, persistent negative earnings and cash flow are key concerns for long-term sustainability.

Latest Earnings

Q1 2026 Earnings (Mar 31, 2026)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$-0.76

Estimated

$-0.90

Surprise

+$0.14

Surprise %

+15.56%

Revenue

Beat

Actual

$305.96M

Estimated

$300.81M

Surprise

+$5.15M

Surprise %

+1.71%

Historical Earnings

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$-0.76$-1.54$-1.75$-1.70$-1.42$-1.32$-1.27$-1.94
EPS (Estimated)$-0.90$-1.07$-1.33$-1.30$-1.34$-1.17$-1.20$-1.24
EPS Surprise+$0.14-$0.47-$0.42-$0.40-$0.08-$0.15-$0.07-$0.70
% Diff+15.6%-43.9%-31.6%-30.8%-6.0%-12.8%-5.8%-56.5%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$305.96M$263.84M$142.34M$107.42M$92.82M$104.44M$93.43M$90.34M
Revenue (Estimated)$300.81M$231.25M$115.45M$104.13M$91.47M$102.08M$93.36M$87.95M
Revenue Surprise+$5.15M+$32.6M+$26.9M+$3.29M+$1.36M+$2.36M+$64.13K+$2.39M
% Diff+1.7%+14.1%+23.3%+3.2%+1.5%+2.3%+0.1%+2.7%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
OVERVALUED

Insmed Inc. is trading at a significant premium relative to its biotech peers, supported by strong revenue growth and highly positive analyst sentiment. Despite ongoing losses, the market is pricing in substantial future growth and pipeline success, reflected in its elevated valuation multiples and bullish price target consensus.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

-21.11

TTM

Price to Sales

30.68

TTM

Price to Book

35.46

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

-22.21

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

30.88

TTM

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Price to Earnings-53.85-28.30-20.60-14.81-13.44-13.12-14.38-8.54
Price to Sales115.16140.92214.24177.36148.65118.34135.74113.60
Price to Book49.9950.3132.2515.24139.1543.3126.23264.39
Enterprise Value to EBITDA-181.92-123.91-89.41-62.30-63.17-61.96-68.13-37.54
Enterprise Value to Revenue115.70141.90217.12172.33158.41125.61143.26115.07

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
MIXED

Insmed's market sentiment is currently mixed but leans positive due to strong analyst confidence and high price targets supported by promising drug sales and a robust pipeline. However, recent earnings results missed sales consensus and triggered a sharp stock price decline with notable insider selling, contributing to caution among investors. Social media buzz is bullish but reflects division among retail sentiment.

Analyst Recommendations

As of May 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Buy
4.2 / 5.0
Based on 21 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
0
Sell
0
Hold
0
Buy
17
Strong Buy
4

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
HIGH

Insmed Incorporated exhibits a mixed risk profile characterized by strong liquidity but elevated leverage and significant net losses. Despite robust revenue growth driven by recent drug launches, profitability remains a challenge with deep negative earnings, and the company faces operational risks from clinical setbacks and regulatory uncertainties. Investors should weigh the promising market potential against ongoing execution and financial sustainability risks.

Liquidity & Solvency

Current Ratio

4.47

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Quick Ratio

4.10

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Debt-to-Equity

1.06

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Debt-to-Assets

0.36

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Liquidity Metrics
Current Ratio4.473.834.636.685.865.456.372.71
Quick Ratio4.103.544.346.335.445.125.992.53
Solvency Metrics
Debt-to-Equity1.061.040.790.5913.214.602.4135.53
Debt-to-Assets0.360.340.320.300.730.650.570.76

Liquidity Assessment

Current Ratio: 4.47(Strong)

Quick Ratio: 4.10(Strong)

The company has strong liquidity with sufficient short-term assets to cover liabilities.

Solvency Assessment

Debt-to-Equity: 1.06(High)

Debt-to-Assets: 0.36(Moderate)

The company has relatively high debt levels, which may increase financial risk in economic downturns.

Frequently Asked Questions about INSM

AI Answers: Common Questions About INSM

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Insmed Incorporated

INSM is not a clear buy at current levels for most investors. The stock trades at a significant premium (negative P/E of -17.6, high P/S and P/B), is in a strong downtrend, and sentiment has deteriorated after a 23% post-earnings drop. Only long-term, risk-tolerant investors should consider buying, and even then, position sizing should be conservative.

If you are a short-term trader or uncomfortable with high volatility, selling or reducing exposure is prudent given the strong downtrend, technical breakdown (death cross, RSI 21), and recent insider selling. Long-term investors with conviction in the pipeline may choose to hold through volatility, but should monitor for further fundamental or technical deterioration.

The biggest risks are clinical/regulatory failures (which could erase much of the premium valuation), ongoing net losses (net margin near -53%, negative EV/EBITDA), and high leverage (debt-to-equity above 1). Insider selling and earnings misses have increased volatility and downside risk.

Analyst targets are bullish, ranging from $140 to over $200 (40-100% upside), but technical resistance lies at $144 (50 SMA) and $155 (200 SMA). Downside risk extends to the 52-week low of $63.81 if support fails.

The stock is overvalued relative to peers, with a negative P/E (-17.6), high price-to-sales, and negative EV/EBITDA, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth and pipeline success. If growth or pipeline milestones are missed, the valuation could compress sharply.

Fundamentally, INSM is strong on revenue growth (230% YoY in Q1 2026), gross margins (84%+), and niche market leadership, but remains deeply unprofitable with persistent net losses and high R&D/SG&A spend. Liquidity is strong (current ratio >3.8), but leverage is rising.

Technically, the stock is in a pronounced downtrend with a death cross active, price well below all major moving averages, and RSI at 21 indicating oversold conditions. No reversal pattern is present; support is at $63.81, resistance at $144 and $155.

Key catalysts include upcoming late-stage clinical trial results, regulatory decisions, and quarterly earnings. Positive news could trigger a sharp rebound, while further misses or negative trial outcomes could drive additional downside.

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