INTU AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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Intuit Inc. (INTU)

$350.94-10.75 (-2.97%) today

Open
$360.10
High
$360.40
Low
$342.11
Volume
7.58M
Mkt Cap
$97.66B
52W High
$813.70
AI Verdict
Confidence 68%
INTUIntuit Inc.
AlphaCrew AI
MIXED
Overall
Summary

Intuit (INTU) is fundamentally strong with robust growth, high margins, and an improved valuation after a sharp correction, but faces significant short-term technical weakness and deteriorating sentiment due to competitive and regulatory overhangs. The long-term outlook is attractive for patient investors, while near-term risks and momentum suggest caution for traders. The risk/reward is compelling for those with a multi-year horizon, but volatility and further downside are possible before a sustained recovery.

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Agent Signals
131
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Tech
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Sent
Risk

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

Intuit maintains a fundamentally strong profile, characterized by sustained double-digit revenue and earnings growth, robust profitability, and consistent beats on Wall Street expectations. However, after a significant correction from its 52-week high, investors are scrutinizing valuation and future growth resilience, particularly in a competitively dynamic software sector.

Financial Highlights

Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025$0$2.0B$4.0B$6.0B$8.0BRevenue & Net Income ($)8%16%24%32%40%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$4.65B

17.36% YoY

Q4 2025

Net Income

$693.00M

47.13% YoY

Q4 2025

Net Margin

14.90%

Q4 2025

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

17.36%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Net Income Growth YoY

47.13%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

17.78%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

EPS Growth YoY

48.21%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

6.54%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Revenue4.7B3.9B3.8B7.8B4.0B3.3B3.2B6.7B
Revenue Growth YoY+17.36%+18.34%+20.32%+15.10%+17.04%+10.24%+17.40%+11.95%
Net Income693.0M446.0M381.0M2.8B471.0M197.0M-20.0M2.4B
Net Income Growth YoY+47.13%+126.40%+2005.00%+18.04%+33.43%-18.26%-122.47%+14.47%
EPS$2.49$1.60$1.36$10.09$1.68$0.70-$0.07$8.53
EPS Growth YoY+48.21%+128.57%+2004.76%+18.29%+33.33%-18.60%-122.31%+14.80%

Profitability Metrics

Gross Margin

78.91%

TTM

Operating Margin

18.38%

TTM

Net Margin

14.90%

TTM

Return on Equity

22.20%

TTM

Return on Assets

28.31%

TTM

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Gross Margin78.91%78.79%78.23%85.32%76.36%74.93%75.41%82.38%
Operating Margin18.38%13.75%8.85%47.98%14.96%8.25%-4.74%46.09%
Net Margin14.90%11.48%9.95%36.37%11.88%6.00%-0.63%35.46%
Return on Equity (ROE)3.64%2.31%1.93%14.01%2.62%1.09%-0.11%12.74%
Return on Assets (ROA)4.52%3.17%2.16%16.25%3.82%1.44%-0.16%20.19%

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
BEARISH

INTU is currently in a strong downtrend, trading near its 52-week low around $351 with heavy volume and oversold RSI conditions. The stock faces significant resistance near $453 and support around $364, with bearish chart patterns and a death cross reinforcing the negative technical outlook. Momentum indicators such as MACD and RSI suggest continued bearish pressure but also highlight potential for a short-term bounce from oversold levels.

RSI
Buy
Oversold26

Potential bounce ahead

03070100
Trend
Sell
Strong Downtrend

Price in downtrend

-43.1% from 200 SMA
ADX
Buy
Strong Trend26

Strong trend active

Strong
MA Cross
Sell
Below 50/200

50 below 200 - bearish

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$350.94
50 SMA
$425.90
150 SMA
$575.58
200 SMA
$616.98
52W High
$813.70
52W Low
$342.11

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
26Oversold

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

Intuit maintains a fundamentally strong profile, characterized by sustained double-digit revenue and earnings growth, robust profitability, and consistent beats on Wall Street expectations. However, after a significant correction from its 52-week high, investors are scrutinizing valuation and future growth resilience, particularly in a competitively dynamic software sector.

Latest Earnings

Q4 2025 Earnings (Jan 31, 2026)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$4.15

Estimated

$3.68

Surprise

+$0.47

Surprise %

+12.77%

Revenue

Beat

Actual

$4.65B

Estimated

$4.53B

Surprise

+$117.39M

Surprise %

+2.59%

Historical Earnings

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$4.15$3.34$2.75$11.65$3.32$2.50$1.99$9.88
EPS (Estimated)$3.68$3.09$2.66$10.93$2.57$2.35$1.85$9.37
EPS Surprise+$0.47+$0.25+$0.09+$0.72+$0.75+$0.15+$0.14+$0.51
% Diff+12.8%+8.1%+3.4%+6.6%+29.2%+6.4%+7.6%+5.4%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$4.65B$3.89B$3.83B$7.75B$3.96B$3.28B$3.18B$6.74B
Revenue (Estimated)$4.53B$3.76B$3.74B$7.57B$3.83B$3.14B$3.08B$6.65B
Revenue Surprise+$117.39M+$128.71M+$87.5M+$186.46M+$128.73M+$143.02M+$99.29M+$89.32M
% Diff+2.6%+3.4%+2.3%+2.5%+3.4%+4.6%+3.2%+1.3%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
FAIRLY VALUED

Intuit Inc. (INTU) displays a solid financial foundation with strong margins, healthy growth, and effective cash flow generation, signaling robust business health. Its current valuation metrics suggest it trades with a moderate premium relative to some software peers but offers attractive growth prospects and diversification that could justify this. Analyst consensus leans positive, indicating potential upside from current levels.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

22.56

TTM

Price to Sales

4.85

TTM

Price to Book

5.14

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

15.54

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

5.08

TTM

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Price to Earnings50.22104.40143.7315.5889.40216.86-2265.7318.33
Price to Sales29.9347.9457.1822.6642.5052.0556.9326.00
Price to Book7.319.6411.118.739.389.429.839.34
Enterprise Value to EBITDA114.85255.08351.9844.86208.29368.761439.1953.29
Enterprise Value to Revenue30.9248.7858.1622.8743.6253.2457.8626.34

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
MIXED

Intuit (INTU) currently faces mixed sentiment with strong analyst support tempered by notable investor concerns over competitive pressures from the IRS Direct File program and AI disruption fears. While financial results have been impressive with beats on earnings and revenue, recent price declines reflect bearish technical signals and heightened risk perception.

Analyst Recommendations

As of Apr 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Buy
3.9 / 5.0
Based on 35 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
0
Sell
0
Hold
7
Buy
23
Strong Buy
5

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
MODERATE

Intuit Inc. exhibits a moderate financial risk profile supported by decent liquidity and manageable leverage, alongside solid earnings growth driven by core tax and accounting products. Despite a recent stock price decline to a 52-week low, the company benefits from strong profitability, expanding margins, and strategic AI investments that could drive future growth. However, regulatory scrutiny, competitive pressures, and segment-specific weaknesses warrant cautious optimism from an investor standpoint.

Liquidity & Solvency

Current Ratio

1.32

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Quick Ratio

1.32

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Debt-to-Equity

0.40

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Debt-to-Assets

0.22

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Liquidity Metrics
Current Ratio1.321.391.361.451.271.241.291.50
Quick Ratio1.321.391.361.451.271.241.291.50
Solvency Metrics
Debt-to-Equity0.400.350.340.350.380.370.360.35
Debt-to-Assets0.220.200.180.190.220.200.200.21

Liquidity Assessment

Current Ratio: 1.32(Adequate)

Quick Ratio: 1.32(Strong)

The company has adequate liquidity but may face challenges in a downturn.

Solvency Assessment

Debt-to-Equity: 0.40(Low)

Debt-to-Assets: 0.22(Low)

The company maintains a balanced capital structure with manageable debt levels.

Frequently Asked Questions about INTU

AI Answers: Common Questions About INTU

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Intuit Inc.

Intuit is a good buy for long-term investors, as it trades at a P/E of 22.8 and an EV/EBITDA multiple below most peers, with strong double-digit growth and high margins. The recent drop from a 52-week high of $813.70 to near $351 has reset valuation, improving the risk/reward for those with a multi-year horizon. However, short-term technical weakness suggests waiting for stabilization if you are risk-averse.

If you are a short-term trader, the strong downtrend and lack of reversal signals suggest further downside is possible, so reducing exposure or waiting for a technical bounce may be prudent. Long-term holders should consider maintaining positions given the company's robust fundamentals and improved valuation, unless your thesis has changed due to regulatory or competitive concerns.

The biggest risks are regulatory/legal actions (FTC, IRS) that could impact TurboTax and other core products, competitive threats from free IRS Direct File and fintech/AI entrants, and segment-specific weakness (e.g., Mailchimp underperformance). Sentinel notes a moderate debt-to-equity ratio (~0.4), manageable liquidity (current ratio ~1.32), and overall moderate risk, but warns of episodic volatility from these factors.

Analyst consensus price targets are around $600, implying nearly 70% upside from current levels. Technically, key support is at $348, with downside risk to $315 if that breaks, and resistance at $453 must be reclaimed for a sustained recovery. The current price near $351 offers an improved entry for long-term investors, but short-term volatility may persist.

Intuit is now fairly valued, with a P/E of 22.8 (lower than many software peers), an attractive EV/EBITDA multiple, and a P/S ratio below the industry average. This reflects improved value after the correction, especially given its growth and profitability profile. The premium to book value is justified by strong intangible assets and growth prospects.

Intuit is fundamentally strong, with FY25 revenue up 15.6% YoY, EPS up 31%, gross margins near 80%, and a resilient, subscription-based business model. The company consistently beats earnings estimates, has robust ROE (>25%), and maintains strong cash flow and manageable leverage, supporting its long-term growth outlook.

Technical analysis is bearish: INTU is in a strong downtrend with a death cross, RSI deeply oversold at ~25, and price below all major moving averages. Heavy volume on declines confirms distribution, with key support at $348 and resistance at $453. No reversal patterns are present, so short-term downside risk remains high.

Key catalysts include upcoming earnings reports, regulatory/legal resolutions, successful AI-driven product launches, and stabilization or improvement in Mailchimp performance. Macro events affecting SaaS/tech sentiment and any positive news on IRS Direct File adoption rates could also shift the outlook.

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