JNJ AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)

$224.26+2.83 (+1.28%) today

Open
$223.00
High
$227.65
Low
$221.65
Volume
8.35M
Mkt Cap
$539.84B
52W High
$251.71
AI Verdict
Confidence 89%
JNJJohnson & Johnson
AlphaCrew AI
BUY
Overall
Summary

Johnson & Johnson remains a fundamentally strong, diversified healthcare leader with robust margins, reliable earnings, and a defensive profile. While short-term technicals and sentiment are mixed due to litigation and patent risks, the long-term outlook is supported by a strong pipeline, solid cash flow, and fair valuation for a quality compounder. The risk/reward profile favors patient investors seeking stability and moderate growth.

By Timeframe
Hover for details
HOLD
Short
HOLD
Medium
BUY
Long
Agent Signals
14
Fund
Tech
Val
Sent
Risk

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) demonstrates consistent financial stability with robust profitability, resilient cash flows, and steady earnings momentum. The company continues to outperform market expectations with a durable growth trajectory and strong margin preservation, supporting its reputation as a healthcare sector bellwether. Despite a relatively premium valuation versus historical averages, fundamentals back an overall constructive outlook.

Financial Highlights

Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026$0$6.5B$13.0B$19.5B$26.0BRevenue & Net Income ($)18%27%36%45%54%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$24.06B

9.91% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Income

$5.24B

-52.40% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Margin

21.76%

Q1 2026

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

9.91%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Net Income Growth YoY

-52.40%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

8.13%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

EPS Growth YoY

-53.17%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

-100.00%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Revenue24.1B24.6B24.0B23.7B21.9B22.5B22.5B22.4B
Revenue Growth YoY+9.91%+9.08%+6.77%+5.77%+2.39%+5.26%+5.25%+4.31%
Net Income5.2B5.1B5.2B5.5B11.0B3.4B2.7B4.7B
Net Income Growth YoY-52.40%+49.11%+91.24%+18.16%+237.91%-15.26%-89.65%-8.90%
EPS$2.14$2.10$2.14$2.29$4.57$1.43$1.12$1.95
EPS Growth YoY-53.17%+46.85%+91.07%+17.44%+238.52%-14.88%-89.15%-1.52%

Profitability Metrics

Gross Margin

71.49%

TTM

Operating Margin

26.58%

TTM

Net Margin

21.76%

TTM

Return on Equity

26.26%

TTM

Return on Assets

20.37%

TTM

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Gross Margin71.49%67.56%69.56%67.87%66.40%68.35%69.01%69.40%
Operating Margin26.58%22.76%29.58%28.68%28.77%17.06%23.49%29.66%
Net Margin21.76%20.83%21.47%23.32%50.24%15.24%11.99%20.88%
Return on Equity (ROE)6.45%6.27%6.50%7.06%14.08%4.80%3.84%6.55%
Return on Assets (ROA)5.07%5.11%5.36%5.80%9.78%3.49%2.87%4.83%

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
NEUTRAL

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) is showing a technical profile of a stock in the advancing phase with a constructive uptrend supported by institutional accumulation. While the price is currently below the 50-day SMA, it remains well above the 200-day SMA, indicating longer-term strength. Momentum is moderate with developing trends, and the RSI reflects a neutral state without overbought or oversold conditions.

RSI
Hold
Neutral40

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Hold
Mixed

Mixed signals

+7.7% from 200 SMA
ADX
Hold
Moderate Trend24

Trend developing

Moderate
MA Cross
Hold
Golden Cross

Watching for cross

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$224.26
50 SMA
$235.39
150 SMA
$218.87
200 SMA
$208.26
52W High
$251.71
52W Low
$146.12

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
40Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) demonstrates consistent financial stability with robust profitability, resilient cash flows, and steady earnings momentum. The company continues to outperform market expectations with a durable growth trajectory and strong margin preservation, supporting its reputation as a healthcare sector bellwether. Despite a relatively premium valuation versus historical averages, fundamentals back an overall constructive outlook.

Latest Earnings

Q1 2026 Earnings (Mar 29, 2026)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$2.70

Estimated

$2.68

Surprise

+$0.02

Surprise %

+0.75%

Revenue

Beat

Actual

$24.06B

Estimated

$23.61B

Surprise

+$447.33M

Surprise %

+1.89%

Historical Earnings

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$2.70$2.46$2.80$2.77$2.77$2.04$2.42$2.82
EPS (Estimated)$2.68$2.46$2.76$2.68$2.58$1.99$2.21$2.71
EPS Surprise+$0.02+$0.00+$0.04+$0.09+$0.19+$0.05+$0.21+$0.11
% Diff+0.7%+0.0%+1.4%+3.4%+7.4%+2.5%+9.5%+4.1%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$24.06B$24.56B$23.99B$23.74B$21.89B$22.52B$22.47B$22.45B
Revenue (Estimated)$23.61B$24.15B$23.76B$22.85B$21.56B$22.43B$22.17B$22.33B
Revenue Surprise+$447.33M+$416.01M+$237.64M+$889.03M+$334.38M+$88.78M+$299.19M+$116.62M
% Diff+1.9%+1.7%+1.0%+3.9%+1.6%+0.4%+1.3%+0.5%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
FAIRLY VALUED

Johnson & Johnson is fundamentally strong with stable revenue growth and robust profitability, reflected by solid margins and healthy cash flow. Valuation metrics indicate it trades at a premium relative to some pharmaceutical peers but roughly in line with broader healthcare sector standards, supported by positive earnings growth expectations and a constructive analyst consensus with upside potential.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

26.06

TTM

Price to Sales

5.60

TTM

Price to Book

6.75

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

16.94

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

5.56

TTM

 Q1 2026Q1 2026Q4 2025Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Price to Earnings28.5428.3224.5624.6321.4016.689.0725.14
Price to Sales24.8424.6420.4620.5218.3815.5618.2215.32
Price to Book0.007.300.006.185.564.715.114.83
Enterprise Value to EBITDA0.0092.060.0074.0250.4645.9526.4460.39
Enterprise Value to Revenue0.0024.470.0021.6719.5316.9218.8515.88

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
MIXED

Johnson & Johnson exhibits a cautiously optimistic market sentiment with a "Moderate Buy" consensus from analysts, supported by strong Q1 2026 earnings beats and raised full-year guidance. Despite facing near-term headwinds such as Stelara's patent cliff and talc litigation concerns, the stock’s long-term prospects remain favorable due to oncology sales growth and pipeline advancements.

Analyst Recommendations

As of May 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Buy
3.7 / 5.0
Based on 25 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
1
Sell
0
Hold
10
Buy
9
Strong Buy
5

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
MODERATE

Johnson & Johnson exhibits a financially stable profile with strong debt servicing capacity and adequate liquidity in line with industry standards, but faces moderate near-term risks from significant litigation related to talc products and patent expirations affecting key drugs like Stelara. The company's solid market position, though challenged by intense competition and regulatory pressures, supports a moderate risk outlook for investors focused on long-term stability.

Liquidity & Solvency

Current Ratio

1.03

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Quick Ratio

0.77

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Debt-to-Equity

0.22

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Debt-to-Assets

0.09

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

 Q1 2026Q1 2026Q4 2025Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Liquidity Metrics
Current Ratio0.001.030.001.031.071.011.261.11
Quick Ratio0.770.770.770.770.800.761.030.86
Solvency Metrics
Debt-to-Equity0.000.220.000.590.580.650.670.51
Debt-to-Assets0.000.090.000.240.240.260.270.20

Liquidity Assessment

Current Ratio: 1.03(Adequate)

Quick Ratio: 0.77(Weak)

The company has relatively weak liquidity and may face challenges meeting short-term obligations.

Solvency Assessment

Debt-to-Equity: 0.22(Low)

Debt-to-Assets: 0.09(Low)

The company has conservative debt levels, indicating low financial risk and strong long-term solvency.

Frequently Asked Questions about JNJ

AI Answers: Common Questions About JNJ

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Johnson & Johnson

JNJ is a good buy for long-term investors given its fair valuation (P/E 25.65), robust margins (gross 69–73%, operating ~27%), and analyst price target of $252.48 (~13.5% upside). However, short-term traders may want to wait for technical confirmation above $236 or a pullback to support near $218.

Unless your thesis has changed or you need to reduce risk exposure, there is no strong reason to sell now: fundamentals remain strong, and the long-term outlook is positive. Short-term technicals are neutral, so selling solely on recent price weakness is not warranted unless litigation or patent risks escalate unexpectedly.

The biggest risks are ongoing talc litigation (potential billion-dollar verdicts), Stelara's patent expiration (posing revenue pressure), and regulatory scrutiny. Liquidity is adequate (current ratio slightly above 1), but large litigation payouts could tighten short-term resources.

Analyst consensus 12-month price target is $252.48, about 13.5% above current levels. Technical resistance is at $236.41 (50-day SMA) and $251.71 (52-week high), with support at $218.42 (150 SMA) and $207.72 (200 SMA).

JNJ trades at a premium (P/E 25.65, high EV/EBITDA), but this is justified by its stable revenue growth (~6% annually), high margins, and strong cash flow. It is fairly valued relative to sector leaders and its own historical averages.

JNJ is fundamentally strong, with consistent revenue and EPS growth, high and stable margins (gross 69–73%, operating ~27%), ROE near 25%, and strong free cash flow supporting dividends and R&D. Its diversified model and global scale underpin resilience.

Technicals are neutral: the stock is consolidating below the 50-day SMA ($236.41), but remains in a long-term uptrend above the 200-day SMA ($207.72). RSI is neutral at 32.9, and volume is below average, suggesting no strong momentum either way.

Key catalysts include upcoming product launches (notably in oncology and immunology), FDA approvals (e.g., IMAAVY), and resolution of major litigation. Quarterly earnings and dividend announcements may also move the stock.

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