JPM AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM)

$293.55-5.84 (-1.95%) today

Open
$297.98
High
$301.24
Low
$292.43
Volume
12.69M
Mkt Cap
$791.71B
52W High
$337.25
AI Verdict
Confidence 89%
JPMJPMorgan Chase & Co.
AlphaCrew AI
BUY
Overall
Summary

JPMorgan Chase (JPM) remains a fundamentally strong, well-capitalized market leader with robust profitability, fair valuation, and moderate risk, making it a compelling long-term core holding. While technicals are neutral and short-term momentum is mixed, medium- and long-term prospects are supported by diversified earnings, prudent risk management, and ongoing capital returns. Investors should monitor expense growth and macroeconomic risks, but the risk/reward profile favors accumulation on pullbacks.

By Timeframe
Hover for details
HOLD
Short
BUY
Medium
BUY
Long
Agent Signals
14
Fund
Tech
Val
Sent
Risk

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

JPMorgan Chase & Co. maintains a leadership position among global financial institutions, exhibiting consistent top-line and bottom-line growth, robust margins, and solid earnings delivery. Despite some variability in recent quarterly results, the bank's financial resilience and diversified earnings streams support a positive long-term investment case.

Financial Highlights

Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025$0$20.0B$40.0B$60.0B$80.0BRevenue & Net Income ($)18.4%19.2%20%20.8%21.6%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$69.61B

3.89% YoY

Q4 2025

Net Income

$12.97B

-7.40% YoY

Q4 2025

Net Margin

18.63%

Q4 2025

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

3.89%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Net Income Growth YoY

-7.40%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

5.68%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

EPS Growth YoY

-3.94%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

6.95%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Revenue69.6B71.9B69.9B68.9B67.0B69.7B67.8B66.3B
Revenue Growth YoY+3.89%+3.21%+3.06%+3.99%+8.19%+13.11%+16.06%+21.27%
Net Income13.0B14.4B15.0B14.6B14.0B12.9B18.1B13.4B
Net Income Growth YoY-7.40%+11.59%-17.42%+9.12%+50.48%-1.92%+25.41%+6.31%
EPS$4.63$5.09$5.25$5.08$4.82$4.38$6.13$4.45
EPS Growth YoY-3.94%+16.21%-14.36%+14.16%+58.55%+1.15%+28.78%+8.27%

Profitability Metrics

Gross Margin

59.10%

TTM

Operating Margin

24.65%

TTM

Net Margin

18.63%

TTM

Return on Equity

15.93%

TTM

Return on Assets

1.31%

TTM

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Gross Margin59.10%59.84%60.11%60.96%59.90%56.76%57.55%60.44%
Operating Margin24.65%26.07%26.15%26.71%25.93%24.37%34.55%26.10%
Net Margin18.63%20.02%21.44%21.25%20.90%18.51%26.75%20.25%
Return on Equity (ROE)3.58%4.00%4.20%4.17%4.06%3.73%5.33%3.99%
Return on Assets (ROA)0.30%0.32%0.33%0.34%0.36%0.31%0.44%0.33%

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
NEUTRAL

JPMorgan Chase is currently exhibiting a mixed technical picture with price trading in a range-bound environment but in an overall advancing phase. The 50-day SMA is above the 200-day SMA, reflecting a bullish longer-term bias, although the recent price action has been consolidating below the 50 and 150 SMAs. Momentum indicators show neutrality with RSI near 44 and a weak ADX below 20, indicating lack of strong directional conviction currently.

RSI
Hold
Neutral39

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Sell
Downtrend

Price in downtrend

-2.2% from 200 SMA
ADX
Hold
Moderate Trend21

Trend developing

Moderate
MA Cross
Hold
Golden Cross

Watching for cross

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$293.55
50 SMA
$312.01
150 SMA
$307.01
200 SMA
$300.01
52W High
$337.25
52W Low
$202.16

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
39Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

JPMorgan Chase & Co. maintains a leadership position among global financial institutions, exhibiting consistent top-line and bottom-line growth, robust margins, and solid earnings delivery. Despite some variability in recent quarterly results, the bank's financial resilience and diversified earnings streams support a positive long-term investment case.

Latest Earnings

Q4 2025 Earnings (Dec 31, 2025)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Miss

Actual

$4.63

Estimated

$4.85

Surprise

$-0.22

Surprise %

-4.54%

Revenue

Miss

Actual

$45.8B

Estimated

$46.17B

Surprise

-$368.45M

Surprise %

-0.80%

Historical Earnings

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$4.63$5.07$4.96$5.07$4.81$4.37$4.40$4.63
EPS (Estimated)$4.85$4.85$4.48$4.63$4.09$3.99$5.88$4.17
EPS Surprise-$0.22+$0.22+$0.48+$0.44+$0.72+$0.38-$1.48+$0.46
% Diff-4.5%+4.5%+10.7%+9.5%+17.6%+9.5%-25.2%+11.0%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$45.8B$46.43B$44.88B$45.33B$42.77B$42.66B$42.07B$41.91B
Revenue (Estimated)$46.17B$45.47B$43.81B$43.99B$41.95B$41.43B$42.23B$41.69B
Revenue Surprise-$368.45M+$962.82M+$1.07B+$1.33B+$818.41M+$1.23B-$158.05M+$219.16M
% Diff-0.8%+2.1%+2.4%+3.0%+2.0%+3.0%-0.4%+0.5%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
FAIRLY VALUED

JPMorgan Chase is currently trading at a valuation reflecting moderate optimism amidst a stable financial profile and positive revenue growth. While technical indicators signal near-term bearish momentum, analyst consensus remains positive, projecting upside potential supported by solid fundamentals and strategic initiatives.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

14.36

TTM

Price to Sales

2.82

TTM

Price to Book

2.26

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

11.99

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

3.38

TTM

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Price to Earnings17.3215.2813.4911.8112.1411.698.1810.78
Price to Sales12.9112.2311.5610.0410.158.668.758.73
Price to Book2.482.442.271.971.971.741.741.72
Enterprise Value to EBITDA61.4978.0771.6662.1949.7353.7935.5840.64
Enterprise Value to Revenue15.1622.8121.0118.4414.3514.6313.3411.84

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
MIXED

JPMorgan Chase exhibits a moderately positive market sentiment supported by strong quarterly earnings beats and strategic investments in AI and branch expansion. While analysts are generally bullish with a moderate buy consensus and optimistic price targets around $340, caution remains due to elevated expenses, geopolitical risks, and potential litigation. Social sentiment aligns with a positive outlook tempered by concerns about rising costs and credit cycle challenges.

Analyst Recommendations

As of Mar 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Buy
3.7 / 5.0
Based on 26 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
0
Sell
0
Hold
12
Buy
9
Strong Buy
5

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
MODERATE

JPMorgan Chase demonstrates robust liquidity and a well-capitalized balance sheet, supported by significant regulatory capital buffers. While the bank faces macroeconomic challenges including inflation, volatile markets, and regulatory risks, its financial position and diversified revenue streams contribute to manageable risk levels. Positive analyst sentiment and solid earnings outlook underpin a favorable investment stance despite some short-term operational cost pressures.

Liquidity & Solvency

Current Ratio

14.85

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Quick Ratio

14.85

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Debt-to-Equity

1.38

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Debt-to-Assets

0.11

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Liquidity Metrics
Current Ratio14.850.680.700.690.650.700.300.28
Quick Ratio14.850.680.700.690.650.700.300.28
Solvency Metrics
Debt-to-Equity1.382.953.032.862.182.462.472.28
Debt-to-Assets0.110.230.240.230.190.200.200.19

Liquidity Assessment

Current Ratio: 14.85(Strong)

Quick Ratio: 14.85(Strong)

The company has strong liquidity with sufficient short-term assets to cover liabilities.

Solvency Assessment

Debt-to-Equity: 1.38(High)

Debt-to-Assets: 0.11(Low)

The company has relatively high debt levels, which may increase financial risk in economic downturns.

Frequently Asked Questions about JPM

AI Answers: Common Questions About JPM

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about JPMorgan Chase & Co.

JPM is a good buy for medium- and long-term investors: it trades at a P/E of 14.99 (slightly above sector average), with strong ROE (~16%), robust margins, and a fair valuation premium justified by its leadership and growth. The current price near $300 offers an attractive entry, especially if technical support holds.

Unless your thesis has changed or you need to reduce exposure, there is no strong reason to sell now. Fundamentals remain solid, valuation is fair, and technicals do not signal a breakdown—though short-term traders may wait for a breakout above $313 or a dip below $300 for direction.

The biggest risks are macro-driven: a recession or credit cycle deterioration could pressure earnings, while rising expenses (noted by Sentinel and Pulse) and regulatory/litigation events could impact profitability. Debt-to-equity is moderate at 1.38, liquidity is strong (current ratio ~14.9), and downside is limited unless macro conditions worsen.

Analyst consensus targets are around $340, implying 13-16% upside. Technical resistance is at $313 and $337.25 (52W high); support is at $300 and $290. A breakout above $313 could target $320-325, while a breakdown below $300 risks a move to $290 or $280.

JPM is fairly valued: its P/E of ~15 is modestly above peers but justified by its scale and growth prospects, P/S is just over 3, and EV/EBITDA is slightly above sector average. There is no evidence of significant overvaluation or undervaluation.

JPM is fundamentally strong: gross margins near 60%, net margins around 20%, ROE ~16%, and a diversified, resilient earnings base. Revenue grew 3.5% YoY (2025), EPS is up 1.5%, and the balance sheet is well-capitalized with ample liquidity.

Technicals are neutral: price is consolidating near $300 support, with 50 SMA above 200 SMA (bullish long-term), but momentum is weak (RSI 44, ADX <20) and no clear breakout is present. Watch for a move above $313 or below $300 for direction.

Key catalysts include upcoming earnings reports, potential breakouts above resistance ($313), successful AI and tech investments, and macroeconomic stabilization. Watch for news on expense control, regulatory developments, and credit quality.

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