KHC AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC)

$24.23+0.19 (+0.79%) today

Open
$24.05
High
$24.50
Low
$23.90
Volume
18.41M
Mkt Cap
$28.68B
52W High
$33.35
AI Verdict
Confidence 85%
KHCThe Kraft Heinz Company
AlphaCrew AI
HOLD
Overall
Summary

Kraft Heinz (KHC) presents a mixed investment case: while its iconic brands and stable gross margins offer long-term value potential, recent earnings volatility, flat-to-declining revenues, and ongoing restructuring create uncertainty. The stock trades near support with limited momentum, and both valuation and sentiment reflect market caution. Investors should expect modest upside only if operational improvements materialize and risks are managed.

By Timeframe
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WAIT
Short
HOLD
Medium
HOLD
Long
Agent Signals
5
Fund
Tech
Val
Sent
Risk

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
MIXED

The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) demonstrates a turbulent financial history over the past two years, with stable revenue but erratic profitability and recent significant one-off charges leading to large annual losses. While the business remains fundamentally sound in terms of scale and brand presence, its financial performance has been impacted by extraordinary expenses, resulting in a negative P/E and diminished earnings consistency.

Financial Highlights

Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025-$8.0B-$4.0B$0$4.0B$8.0BRevenue & Net Income ($)-135%-90%-45%0%45%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$6.35B

-3.38% YoY

Q4 2025

Net Income

$651.00M

-69.45% YoY

Q4 2025

Net Margin

10.25%

Q4 2025

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

-3.38%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Net Income Growth YoY

-69.45%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

-1.75%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

EPS Growth YoY

-68.93%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

-13.85%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Revenue6.4B6.2B6.4B6.0B6.6B6.4B6.5B6.4B
Revenue Growth YoY-3.38%-2.29%-1.91%-6.43%-4.14%-2.85%-3.65%-1.20%
Net Income651.0M615.0M-7.8B712.0M2.1B-290.0M102.0M801.0M
Net Income Growth YoY-69.45%+312.07%-7770.59%-11.11%+181.51%-210.69%-89.80%-4.19%
EPS$0.55$0.52-$6.58$0.60$1.77-$0.24$0.08$0.66
EPS Growth YoY-68.93%+316.67%-7914.73%-9.09%+185.48%-214.29%-89.60%-2.94%

Profitability Metrics

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
NEUTRAL

Technical data for KHC is currently unavailable from internal indicators; however, based on general price action and volume context, the stock is consolidating near its recent lows with limited momentum. The price is trading near support levels around $22, facing resistance near $26-$27, indicating a range-bound movement in the short term.

RSI
Hold
Neutral50

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Hold
Mixed

Mixed signals

-5.5% from 200 SMA
ADX
Hold
Weak/No Trend11

Range-bound market

Weak
MA Cross
Hold
Death Cross

Watching for cross

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$24.23
50 SMA
$23.99
150 SMA
$25.22
200 SMA
$25.64
52W High
$33.35
52W Low
$21.99

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
50Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
MIXED

The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) demonstrates a turbulent financial history over the past two years, with stable revenue but erratic profitability and recent significant one-off charges leading to large annual losses. While the business remains fundamentally sound in terms of scale and brand presence, its financial performance has been impacted by extraordinary expenses, resulting in a negative P/E and diminished earnings consistency.

Latest Earnings

Q4 2025 Earnings (Dec 27, 2025)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$0.67

Estimated

$0.61

Surprise

+$0.06

Surprise %

+9.84%

Revenue

Miss

Actual

$6.35B

Estimated

$6.37B

Surprise

-$19.77M

Surprise %

-0.31%

Historical Earnings

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$0.67$0.61$0.69$0.62$0.84$0.75$0.78$0.69
EPS (Estimated)$0.61$0.58$0.64$0.60$0.78$0.74$0.73$0.69
EPS Surprise+$0.06+$0.03+$0.05+$0.02+$0.06+$0.01+$0.05+$0.00
% Diff+9.8%+4.6%+8.3%+3.2%+7.7%+0.9%+6.3%+0.0%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$6.35B$6.24B$6.35B$6B$6.58B$6.38B$6.48B$6.41B
Revenue (Estimated)$6.37B$6.25B$6.27B$6.02B$6.66B$6.42B$6.55B$6.43B
Revenue Surprise-$19.77M-$15.86M+$84.45M-$18.06M-$86.77M-$33.44M-$70.28M-$18.09M
% Diff-0.3%-0.3%+1.3%-0.3%-1.3%-0.5%-1.1%-0.3%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
FAIRLY VALUED

Kraft Heinz (KHC) is experiencing valuation pressures amid declining revenues and earnings, reflected by mixed to negative profitability and growth metrics. Despite ongoing strategic refocusing and strong brand presence, the market consensus remains cautious with predominantly Hold ratings and modest upside potential. The valuation appears to incorporate a risk premium due to operational challenges and weak near-term outlooks.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

-4.92

TTM

Price to Sales

1.15

TTM

Price to Book

0.69

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

-13.40

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

1.90

TTM

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Price to Earnings11.0012.52-0.9712.684.34-36.8995.7113.98
Price to Sales4.514.944.806.025.636.706.036.99
Price to Book0.690.740.740.730.750.890.800.90
Enterprise Value to EBITDA34.0938.61-6.5237.62249.17320.8671.1842.91
Enterprise Value to Revenue7.448.007.899.278.459.658.979.94

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
MIXED

Kraft Heinz (KHC) sentiment is predominantly mixed to neutral, anchored by subdued financial performance and strategic restructuring efforts. Despite attempts to engage younger demographics through social media, analyst ratings lean heavily toward hold and sell, reflecting concerns over declining sales, weak consumer sentiment, and a challenging growth outlook.

Analyst Recommendations

As of Mar 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Hold
2.7 / 5.0
Based on 20 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
3
Sell
1
Hold
15
Buy
1
Strong Buy
0

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
MODERATE

Kraft Heinz (KHC) currently exhibits moderate financial risk with liquidity somewhat above 1 but quick ratios below 1, indicating challenges in covering short-term obligations without relying on inventory. Leverage remains moderate with manageable debt levels, though profitability pressures and volume declines weigh on overall financial health. Investor sentiment is cautious, reflecting operational headwinds, shifting consumer preferences, and regulatory pressures amid uncertain growth prospects.

Liquidity & Solvency

Current Ratio

1.15

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Quick Ratio

0.79

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Debt-to-Equity

0.51

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Debt-to-Assets

0.26

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Liquidity Metrics
Current Ratio1.151.131.071.311.061.061.011.09
Quick Ratio0.790.730.660.810.590.560.530.61
Solvency Metrics
Debt-to-Equity0.510.510.510.440.400.420.410.41
Debt-to-Assets0.260.260.260.240.230.230.220.23

Liquidity Assessment

Current Ratio: 1.15(Adequate)

Quick Ratio: 0.79(Weak)

The company has relatively weak liquidity and may face challenges meeting short-term obligations.

Solvency Assessment

Debt-to-Equity: 0.51(Moderate)

Debt-to-Assets: 0.26(Low)

The company maintains a balanced capital structure with manageable debt levels.

Frequently Asked Questions about KHC

AI Answers: Common Questions About KHC

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about The Kraft Heinz Company

KHC is not a strong buy at current levels: while it trades below book value and at a reasonable price-to-sales ratio, its negative P/E (-4.97) and recent net losses signal unresolved operational challenges. The stock is consolidating near support, and most analysts rate it as hold with limited near-term upside.

Unless your thesis has changed or you need to reduce risk, there is no urgent reason to sell: technicals are neutral, the stock is not overvalued, and fundamentals—while weak—are not deteriorating rapidly. Hold and monitor for signs of operational improvement or a break below key support ($22).

The biggest risks are continued revenue and volume declines (~3% YoY), large non-recurring charges leading to negative net income (-$5.85B in 2025), and liquidity constraints (quick ratio below 0.8). Execution risk on restructuring and margin recovery is high, and failure could pressure the dividend or trigger further stock declines.

Technical resistance is at $26-$27, with support at $22; analyst price targets imply less than 2% near-term upside. Unless the stock breaks out above $27 or below $22, expect range-bound trading. Upside is limited unless operational results improve.

KHC is fairly valued: it trades below book value and at a reasonable price-to-sales ratio, but high EV/EBITDA and negative P/E reflect market skepticism. The valuation incorporates both risk and potential for turnaround, but does not offer a clear bargain given current challenges.

Fundamentals are mixed: gross margins are stable (33-34%), but revenue is declining and net income swung to a large loss in 2025 due to extraordinary charges. The balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage, but liquidity is tight and earnings are volatile.

Technical analysis is neutral: the stock is consolidating near its 52-week low ($21.98), with resistance at $26-$27 and no clear momentum. Volume is moderate and there are no bullish or bearish breakouts, so traders should wait for a decisive move.

Key catalysts include upcoming earnings (to confirm margin recovery and volume stabilization), progress on restructuring, and any news on dividend policy or major portfolio changes. Macro factors like commodity inflation and consumer spending trends will also impact results.

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