KHC AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

5 left

The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC)

$23.37+0.11 (+0.47%) today

Open
$23.44
High
$23.64
Low
$23.02
Volume
13.81M
Mkt Cap
$27.71B
52W High
$29.19
AI Verdict
Confidence 88%
KHCThe Kraft Heinz Company
AlphaCrew AI
HOLD
Overall
Summary

Kraft Heinz (KHC) is fundamentally challenged but not in crisis, trading near fair value with a strong brand and defensive positioning offset by weak growth, margin pressure, and execution risk. Short-term technicals show range-bound consolidation, while sentiment and risk are balanced by a high dividend yield and moderate leverage. The stock is best suited for income-focused investors seeking stability, but lacks clear catalysts for significant upside in the near term.

By Timeframe
Hover for details
WAIT
Short
HOLD
Medium
HOLD
Long
Agent Signals
41
Fund
Tech
Val
Sent
Risk

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BEARISH

Kraft Heinz (KHC) is a major player in the global packaged foods industry, but the company currently faces notable challenges in both its fundamental performance and market sentiment. Recent results and sector data suggest margin pressures and an uneven growth trajectory. Despite a stable brand portfolio, headwinds remain significant, especially with the stock near multi-year lows and reporting a negative P/E ratio.

Financial Highlights

Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026-$8.0B-$4.0B$0$4.0B$8.0BRevenue & Net Income ($)-135%-90%-45%0%45%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$6.05B

0.80% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Income

$798.00M

12.08% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Margin

13.20%

Q1 2026

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

0.80%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Net Income Growth YoY

12.08%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

1.31%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

EPS Growth YoY

11.67%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

-14.80%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Revenue6.0B6.4B6.2B6.4B6.0B6.6B6.4B6.5B
Revenue Growth YoY+0.80%-3.38%-2.29%-1.91%-6.43%-4.14%-2.85%-3.65%
Net Income798.0M651.0M615.0M-7.8B712.0M2.1B-290.0M102.0M
Net Income Growth YoY+12.08%-69.45%+312.07%-7770.59%-11.11%+181.51%-210.69%-89.80%
EPS$0.67$0.55$0.52-$6.58$0.60$1.77-$0.24$0.08
EPS Growth YoY+11.67%-68.93%+316.67%-7914.73%-9.09%+185.48%-214.29%-89.60%

Profitability Metrics

Gross Margin

34.45%

TTM

Operating Margin

17.79%

TTM

Net Margin

13.20%

TTM

Return on Equity

-13.85%

TTM

Return on Assets

-25.59%

TTM

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Gross Margin34.45%32.61%31.91%34.37%34.41%34.14%34.25%35.42%
Operating Margin17.79%17.06%16.43%-125.54%19.94%-0.61%-1.58%8.06%
Net Margin13.20%10.25%9.86%-123.17%11.87%32.41%-4.54%1.58%
Return on Equity (ROE)1.90%1.56%1.48%-18.92%1.44%4.33%-0.60%0.21%
Return on Assets (ROA)3.55%2.95%2.80%-36.27%3.33%10.92%-1.63%0.60%

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
NEUTRAL

Technical indicator data for KHC is currently unavailable; however, based on recent price action near the $24 level and contextual market data, a cautious technical analysis can be performed using available price and volume information. The stock appears to be testing both resistance and support levels within a defined range, indicating consolidation.

RSI
Hold
Neutral58

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Hold
Mixed

Mixed signals

-5.2% from 200 SMA
ADX
Hold
Weak/No Trend18

Range-bound market

Weak
MA Cross
Hold
Death Cross

Watching for cross

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$23.37
50 SMA
$22.67
150 SMA
$23.87
200 SMA
$24.64
52W High
$29.19
52W Low
$21.04

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
58Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BEARISH

Kraft Heinz (KHC) is a major player in the global packaged foods industry, but the company currently faces notable challenges in both its fundamental performance and market sentiment. Recent results and sector data suggest margin pressures and an uneven growth trajectory. Despite a stable brand portfolio, headwinds remain significant, especially with the stock near multi-year lows and reporting a negative P/E ratio.

Latest Earnings

Q1 2026 Earnings (Mar 28, 2026)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$0.58

Estimated

$0.50

Surprise

+$0.08

Surprise %

+16.00%

Revenue

Beat

Actual

$6.05B

Estimated

$5.89B

Surprise

+$161.66M

Surprise %

+2.75%

Historical Earnings

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$0.58$0.67$0.61$0.69$0.62$0.84$0.75$0.78
EPS (Estimated)$0.50$0.61$0.58$0.64$0.60$0.78$0.74$0.73
EPS Surprise+$0.08+$0.06+$0.03+$0.05+$0.02+$0.06+$0.01+$0.05
% Diff+16.0%+9.8%+4.6%+8.3%+3.2%+7.7%+0.9%+6.3%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$6.05B$6.35B$6.24B$6.35B$6B$6.58B$6.38B$6.48B
Revenue (Estimated)$5.89B$6.37B$6.25B$6.27B$6.02B$6.66B$6.42B$6.55B
Revenue Surprise+$161.66M-$19.77M-$15.86M+$84.45M-$18.06M-$86.77M-$33.44M-$70.28M
% Diff+2.7%-0.3%-0.3%+1.3%-0.3%-1.3%-0.5%-1.1%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
FAIRLY VALUED

Kraft Heinz (KHC) is currently trading at a valuation suggesting some undervaluation compared to intrinsic assessments, though recent financial metrics reflect challenges with negative net margins and modest growth. Analysts generally adopt a cautious stance, with a majority maintaining a Hold or Reduce rating, reflecting mixed sentiment amid ongoing margin pressure and moderate growth prospects.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

-4.82

TTM

Price to Sales

1.11

TTM

Price to Book

0.66

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

-12.31

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

1.82

TTM

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Price to Earnings8.2011.0012.52-0.9712.684.34-36.8995.71
Price to Sales4.334.514.944.806.025.636.706.03
Price to Book0.620.690.740.740.730.750.890.80
Enterprise Value to EBITDA33.1934.0938.61-6.5237.62249.17320.8671.18
Enterprise Value to Revenue7.257.448.007.899.278.459.658.97

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
MIXED

The market sentiment for The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) is mixed, reflecting a balance between recent quarterly earnings beats and persistent operational challenges. Analysts predominantly maintain a hold stance, with cautious price targets around the current trading level, while retail investors show guarded optimism tied to the company's turnaround efforts and dividend yield.

Analyst Recommendations

As of May 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Hold
2.7 / 5.0
Based on 21 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
3
Sell
1
Hold
16
Buy
1
Strong Buy
0

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
MODERATE

The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) exhibits moderate financial risk marked by stable but modest liquidity and a manageable debt load relative to equity and assets. While recent operational challenges and competitive pressures have pressured margins and earnings, the company maintains positive cash flow and is investing strategically to regain market share and improve profitability. However, inflationary cost pressures, evolving consumer preferences, and intensified competition introduce notable risks that investors should monitor closely.

Liquidity & Solvency

Current Ratio

1.20

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Quick Ratio

0.82

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Debt-to-Equity

0.50

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Debt-to-Assets

0.26

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Liquidity Metrics
Current Ratio1.201.151.131.071.311.061.061.01
Quick Ratio0.820.790.730.660.810.590.560.53
Solvency Metrics
Debt-to-Equity0.500.510.510.510.440.400.420.41
Debt-to-Assets0.260.260.260.260.240.230.230.22

Liquidity Assessment

Current Ratio: 1.20(Adequate)

Quick Ratio: 0.82(Adequate)

The company has adequate liquidity but may face challenges in a downturn.

Solvency Assessment

Debt-to-Equity: 0.50(Moderate)

Debt-to-Assets: 0.26(Low)

The company maintains a balanced capital structure with manageable debt levels.

Frequently Asked Questions about KHC

AI Answers: Common Questions About KHC

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about The Kraft Heinz Company

KHC is not a strong buy at $23.96, as it trades near fair value (P/S ~1.1x, forward P/E ~11) and offers a high dividend yield (~7%), but faces negative earnings (P/E -4.93) and margin pressures. The stock is better suited for income-focused investors comfortable with limited growth.

There is no urgent reason to sell unless you expect further deterioration in margins or are seeking growth elsewhere. Fundamentals are weak but stable, technicals are neutral, and the dividend provides support, so holding is reasonable for now.

The biggest risks are ongoing margin compression due to inflation and competition, a high debt-to-equity ratio (~0.51), and execution risk on turnaround efforts. Liquidity is modest (current ratio ~1.15, quick ratio ~0.79), and failure to improve profitability could pressure the stock further.

Short-term, resistance is at $24.15 and support at $23.45, with a possible upside target of $24.50 if resistance breaks. Analyst targets cluster between $23-$27, reflecting limited upside unless operational improvements materialize.

KHC is fairly valued: its negative trailing P/E (-4.93) reflects recent losses, but forward P/E (~11) and P/S (~1.1x) are in line with sector norms. Elevated EV/EBITDA and a low price-to-book suggest the market is cautious but not overly pessimistic.

Fundamentally, KHC is weak: margins are deteriorating, revenue growth is flat or negative, and earnings are pressured by write-downs and restructuring. However, strong brands and positive cash flow provide some stability.

Technical analysis shows range-bound trading between $23.45 and $24.15, with neutral momentum and no clear trend. Volume is below average, and there are no strong buy or sell signals at current levels.

Key catalysts include upcoming earnings reports, progress on margin recovery and cost-cutting, and any strategic moves such as asset sales or renewed business split plans. Watch for signs of organic growth or sustained profitability improvements.

Want a Personalized Answer?

Get AI-powered insights tailored to your risk tolerance and investment goals.

More AI Stock Analyses