KO AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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The Coca-Cola Company (KO)

$77.47-0.71 (-0.91%) today

Open
$77.98
High
$78.17
Low
$77.31
Volume
10.95M
Mkt Cap
$333.44B
52W High
$82.00
AI Verdict
Confidence 88%
KOThe Coca-Cola Company
AlphaCrew AI
BUY
Overall
Summary

Coca-Cola (KO) offers a compelling long-term investment case with robust fundamentals, resilient margins, and a defensive profile, though near-term technicals suggest caution for traders. The stock is fairly valued at a premium, supported by strong cash flows, consistent dividend growth, and a dominant market position. While short-term momentum is neutral, the overall risk/reward remains attractive for income and defensive growth investors.

By Timeframe
Hover for details
HOLD
Short
HOLD
Medium
BUY
Long
Agent Signals
14
Fund
Tech
Val
Sent
Risk

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

Coca-Cola demonstrates a robust financial profile with consistent revenue growth, strong profitability, and impressive earnings quality. Its margins have rebounded recently, aided by effective cost management and premiumization strategies. The stock's steady performance and resilience highlight its enduring appeal in global beverage markets, despite a moderate growth rate.

Financial Highlights

Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025$0$3.5B$7.0B$10.5B$14.0BRevenue & Net Income ($)16%20%24%28%32%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$11.82B

2.41% YoY

Q4 2025

Net Income

$2.27B

3.46% YoY

Q4 2025

Net Margin

19.21%

Q4 2025

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

2.41%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Net Income Growth YoY

3.46%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

2.57%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

EPS Growth YoY

3.92%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

30.18%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Revenue11.8B12.5B12.5B11.1B11.5B11.9B12.4B11.3B
Revenue Growth YoY+2.41%+5.07%+1.39%-1.51%+6.41%-0.83%+3.27%+2.91%
Net Income2.3B3.7B3.8B3.3B2.2B2.8B2.4B3.2B
Net Income Growth YoY+3.46%+29.78%+58.03%+4.82%+11.25%-7.74%-5.34%+2.25%
EPS$0.53$0.86$0.89$0.77$0.51$0.66$0.56$0.74
EPS Growth YoY+3.92%+30.30%+58.93%+4.05%+10.87%-7.04%-5.08%+2.78%

Profitability Metrics

Gross Margin

61.63%

TTM

Operating Margin

28.71%

TTM

Net Margin

27.34%

TTM

Return on Equity

44.35%

TTM

Return on Assets

17.07%

TTM

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Gross Margin60.05%61.49%62.39%62.59%60.04%60.65%61.08%62.52%
Operating Margin15.57%31.97%34.14%32.88%23.47%21.17%21.29%18.95%
Net Margin19.21%29.67%30.39%29.92%19.01%24.03%19.50%28.12%
Return on Equity (ROE)7.06%11.83%13.33%12.71%8.83%10.74%9.33%12.02%
Return on Assets (ROA)2.96%5.00%5.29%4.76%3.18%3.87%3.50%4.73%

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
NEUTRAL

KO stock is currently in a mild uptrend within its advancing phase, showing institutional accumulation signals. The price is trading near the 50-day moving average with RSI neutral and ADX indicating a weak trend, suggesting a range-bound but bullish tendency. Key levels around $77.5 and $82 provide important pivot points for potential upside continuation or consolidation.

RSI
Hold
Neutral54

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Hold
Mixed

Mixed signals

+8.4% from 200 SMA
ADX
Hold
Weak/No Trend15

Range-bound market

Weak
MA Cross
Hold
Golden Cross

Watching for cross

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$77.47
50 SMA
$77.53
150 SMA
$72.09
200 SMA
$71.49
52W High
$82.00
52W Low
$65.35

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
54Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

Coca-Cola demonstrates a robust financial profile with consistent revenue growth, strong profitability, and impressive earnings quality. Its margins have rebounded recently, aided by effective cost management and premiumization strategies. The stock's steady performance and resilience highlight its enduring appeal in global beverage markets, despite a moderate growth rate.

Latest Earnings

Q4 2025 Earnings (Dec 31, 2025)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$0.58

Estimated

$0.56

Surprise

+$0.02

Surprise %

+2.65%

Revenue

Miss

Actual

$11.8B

Estimated

$12.05B

Surprise

-$249.71M

Surprise %

-2.07%

Historical Earnings

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$0.58$0.82$0.87$0.73$0.55$0.77$0.84$0.72
EPS (Estimated)$0.56$0.78$0.83$0.71$0.52$0.74$0.81$0.70
EPS Surprise+$0.02+$0.04+$0.04+$0.02+$0.03+$0.03+$0.03+$0.02
% Diff+2.7%+5.3%+4.3%+2.2%+6.2%+4.1%+4.2%+2.9%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$11.8B$12.46B$12.54B$11.13B$11.54B$11.85B$12.36B$11.3B
Revenue (Estimated)$12.05B$12.41B$12.57B$11.16B$10.68B$11.61B$11.78B$11.01B
Revenue Surprise-$249.71M+$49.93M-$32.13M-$29.33M+$861.94M+$243.77M+$587.28M+$292.58M
% Diff-2.1%+0.4%-0.3%-0.3%+8.1%+2.1%+5.0%+2.7%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
FAIRLY VALUED

Coca-Cola is currently trading at a premium valuation relative to sector averages but retains strong fundamentals with steady revenue and earnings growth alongside robust margins. Market sentiment remains positive supported by strategic partnerships and dividend increases, although some macroeconomic and regulatory risks temper the outlook. Overall, the company's solid cash flows and brand strength underpin its valuation despite some near-term challenges.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

25.43

TTM

Price to Sales

6.96

TTM

Price to Book

10.36

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

19.71

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

7.69

TTM

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Price to Earnings33.1119.1119.8622.7330.5627.1728.4420.75
Price to Sales25.4422.6924.1427.2023.2426.1122.1823.34
Price to Book9.359.0410.5911.5510.7911.6710.619.98
Enterprise Value to EBITDA92.5865.5262.0472.9086.2283.9281.9365.50
Enterprise Value to Revenue28.4225.4727.3230.8626.2428.8424.6226.18

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
MIXED

Coca-Cola (KO) exhibits a broadly positive market sentiment supported by strong analyst buy ratings and bullish retail investor outlook, underpinned by consistent dividends and strategic deals such as the Marriott partnership. However, technical indicators point to short-term weakness due to a recent dip below the 50-day moving average, reflecting mixed momentum amid some macroeconomic and regional demand concerns. Overall, confidence remains high in KO's long-term prospects despite near-term caution.

Analyst Recommendations

As of Apr 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Buy
4.1 / 5.0
Based on 24 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
0
Sell
0
Hold
5
Buy
12
Strong Buy
7

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
MODERATE

Coca-Cola's financial health shows solid liquidity with improving short-term asset coverage and a manageable solvency profile despite relatively high leverage common in its sector. Risks stem mainly from macroeconomic uncertainties in international markets, currency fluctuations, changing consumer preferences, and regulatory pressures around health and sustainability. While the company benefits from a strong global brand and defensive sector positioning, ongoing operational and market challenges moderate the investment risk profile.

Liquidity & Solvency

Current Ratio

1.46

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Quick Ratio

1.25

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Debt-to-Equity

1.41

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Debt-to-Assets

0.43

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Liquidity Metrics
Current Ratio1.461.211.211.101.031.061.081.04
Quick Ratio1.251.000.980.890.840.900.920.86
Solvency Metrics
Debt-to-Equity1.411.521.731.871.831.741.691.61
Debt-to-Assets0.430.450.470.480.450.440.430.43

Liquidity Assessment

Current Ratio: 1.46(Adequate)

Quick Ratio: 1.25(Strong)

The company has adequate liquidity but may face challenges in a downturn.

Solvency Assessment

Debt-to-Equity: 1.41(High)

Debt-to-Assets: 0.43(Moderate)

The company has relatively high debt levels, which may increase financial risk in economic downturns.

Frequently Asked Questions about KO

AI Answers: Common Questions About KO

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about The Coca-Cola Company

KO is a good buy for long-term, income-oriented investors given its strong fundamentals, 23.6% FY25 EPS growth, and reliable dividends. At $77.47, the stock trades at a P/E of 25.48 and near the 50-day SMA, making it fairly valued for its quality and stability. Short-term traders may want to wait for a technical breakout above $77.5.

Unless your thesis has changed or you need to rebalance, there is no strong reason to sell KO now. Fundamentals remain robust, margins are improving, and the technical setup is neutral—not bearish. Long-term investors should hold, while short-term traders can reassess on a confirmed move above or below key levels.

KO's main risks are macroeconomic softness in emerging markets, currency volatility, and regulatory pressures such as sugar taxes. The company carries a debt-to-equity ratio above 1.4 and debt at 43% of assets, but interest coverage is strong (>4x), so liquidity and solvency are manageable.

Technical resistance is at $77.5 and $82.0 (52-week high), with analyst price targets up to $90. Downside support is at $72.10 and $71.50. Near-term, expect range-bound trading; long-term, moderate appreciation toward analyst targets is likely if fundamentals persist.

KO is fairly valued at a P/E of 25.48 and elevated EV/EBITDA, trading at a premium to the sector but justified by its cash flow, margins, and brand strength. The premium reflects stability and dividend growth, not high growth expectations.

KO is fundamentally strong, with FY25 gross margin at 61.6%, net margin at 27.3%, and ROE above 30%. Revenue and EPS have grown steadily, and liquidity ratios (current ~1.46, quick >1.2) have improved, supporting a robust balance sheet.

Technically, KO is consolidating near its 50-day SMA ($77.53) with RSI at 54 and ADX at 14.6, indicating neutral momentum and a weak trend. A breakout above $77.5 could target $82.0, while support lies at $72.10 and $71.50.

Key catalysts include upcoming earnings reports (with KO beating EPS estimates in 8 of the last 8 quarters), product innovation in health-conscious categories, and strategic partnerships like the Marriott deal. Macro events and regulatory developments, especially around sugar taxes, should also be watched.

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