LMT AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?
Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT)
Fundamentals
Lockheed Martin demonstrates stable and strong financials with consistent revenue growth around 8-12% YoY and solid profitability margins near 12%. Its recent quarters show resilient earnings performance driven by strong operational execution despite some variability in quarterly earnings relative to estimates. The company is well-positioned in aerospace and defense with durable competitive advantages, while market sentiment remains generally positive amid defense spending tailwinds.
Financial Highlights
- Revenue
- Net Income
- Net Margin (%)
Revenue
10.51% YoY
Q2 2026
Net Income
436.84% YoY
Q2 2026
Net Margin
Q2 2026
Growth Metrics
Revenue Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
Net Income Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
Revenue Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
EPS Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
Book Value Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
| Q2 2026 | Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 20.1B | 18.0B | 20.3B | 18.6B | 18.2B | 18.0B | 18.6B | 17.1B |
| Revenue Growth YoY | +10.51% | +0.32% | +9.17% | +8.80% | +0.18% | +4.47% | -1.34% | +1.34% |
| Net Income | 1.8B | 1.5B | 1.3B | 1.6B | 342.0M | 1.7B | 527.0M | 1.6B |
| Net Income Growth YoY | +436.84% | -13.08% | +155.03% | -0.25% | -79.16% | +10.81% | -71.76% | -3.62% |
| EPS | $7.98 | $6.47 | $5.82 | $6.98 | $1.46 | $7.30 | $2.23 | $6.83 |
| EPS Growth YoY | +446.58% | -11.37% | +160.99% | +2.20% | -78.75% | +13.71% | -70.70% | +1.19% |
Profitability Metrics
Technical Analysis
Lockheed Martin (LMT) is currently in a bullish uptrend, confirmed by price trading well above the 50, 150, and 200-day SMAs despite a recent death cross formation. RSI sits in a neutral zone, suggesting no extreme momentum, while ADX indicates a moderately developing trend. The stock is in the advancing phase, signaling institutional accumulation and favorable conditions for buying.
No extreme reading
Price in uptrend
Trend developing
Watching for cross
Key Technical Values
Price with Moving Averages
50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages
Relative Strength Index
Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes
RSI (14)
Earnings
Lockheed Martin demonstrates stable and strong financials with consistent revenue growth around 8-12% YoY and solid profitability margins near 12%. Its recent quarters show resilient earnings performance driven by strong operational execution despite some variability in quarterly earnings relative to estimates. The company is well-positioned in aerospace and defense with durable competitive advantages, while market sentiment remains generally positive amid defense spending tailwinds.
Latest Earnings
Q2 2026 Earnings (Jun 28, 2026)
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Actual
$7.94
Estimated
$7.22
Surprise
+$0.72
Surprise %
+9.97%
Revenue
Actual
$20.06B
Estimated
$19.34B
Surprise
+$723.88M
Surprise %
+3.74%
Historical Earnings
| Q2 2026 | Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Per Share | ||||||||
| EPS (Actual) | $7.94 | $6.44 | $5.80 | $6.95 | $7.29 | $7.28 | $7.67 | $6.80 |
| EPS (Estimated) | $7.22 | $6.74 | $7.07 | $6.38 | $6.52 | $6.34 | $6.62 | $6.50 |
| EPS Surprise | +$0.72 | -$0.30 | -$1.27 | +$0.57 | +$0.77 | +$0.94 | +$1.05 | +$0.30 |
| % Diff | +10.0% | -4.5% | -18.0% | +8.9% | +11.8% | +14.8% | +15.9% | +4.6% |
| Revenue | ||||||||
| Revenue (Actual) | $20.06B | $18.02B | $20.32B | $18.61B | $18.16B | $17.96B | $18.62B | $17.1B |
| Revenue (Estimated) | $19.34B | $18.22B | $18.72B | $18.55B | $18.57B | $17.78B | $18.87B | $17.38B |
| Revenue Surprise | +$723.88M | -$200.75M | +$1.6B | +$56.01M | -$415.42M | +$185.3M | -$246.26M | -$274.53M |
| % Diff | +3.7% | -1.1% | +8.6% | +0.3% | -2.2% | +1.0% | -1.3% | -1.6% |
Valuation
Lockheed Martin (LMT) currently trades at valuation multiples that reflect a mature aerospace and defense leader with solid financial performance and steady growth. Analyst consensus indicates moderate upside potential supported by industry tailwinds, though valuation remains elevated relative to some peers. Overall, the metrics point to a fairly valued stock with prospects supported by strong margins, resilient demand, and growing backlog.
Valuation Metrics
Price to Earnings
TTM
Price to Sales
TTM
Price to Book
TTM
Enterprise Value to EBITDA
TTM
Enterprise Value to Revenue
TTM
| Q2 2026 | Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price to Earnings | 15.73 | 23.13 | 20.78 | 17.62 | 79.30 | 15.30 | 54.48 | 21.40 |
| Price to Sales | 5.76 | 7.64 | 5.49 | 6.13 | 5.96 | 5.83 | 6.16 | 8.12 |
| Price to Book | 13.18 | 18.38 | 16.62 | 18.46 | 20.27 | 15.67 | 18.11 | 19.28 |
| Enterprise Value to EBITDA | 53.38 | 64.08 | 56.59 | 50.08 | 117.88 | 45.62 | 106.66 | 60.45 |
| Enterprise Value to Revenue | 6.60 | 8.68 | 6.36 | 7.14 | 7.08 | 6.86 | 7.11 | 9.06 |
Sentiment & Analyst Ratings
Lockheed Martin's market sentiment is currently mixed to moderately positive, driven by strong Q2 2026 earnings, record backlogs, and raised guidance. While analysts mostly recommend a hold, there is cautious optimism with some buy recommendations reflecting confidence in near-term growth despite valuation concerns. Retail and technical indicators suggest bullish momentum tempered by overbought signals.
Analyst Recommendations
Risk Assessment
Lockheed Martin exhibits moderate liquidity with near-term abilities to meet obligations but carries elevated leverage that poses medium-term solvency questions. The defense contractor faces execution risks from program delays and supply chain challenges, compounded by heavy dependence on government contracts, though it maintains solid interest coverage and operational cash flows. Market risk is tempered by steady defense demand but sensitive to geopolitical and government policy shifts.
Liquidity & Solvency
Frequently Asked Questions about LMT
AI Answers: Common Questions About LMT
Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Lockheed Martin Corporation
Yes, LMT is a good buy given its strong Q2 2026 earnings beat with EPS of $7.94 versus $7.22 estimate, 11.3% YoY revenue growth, and a record $230 billion backlog supporting future growth.
No, current fundamentals, technicals, and backlog growth do not support selling. Risks exist but are balanced by strong operational execution and government demand.
Main risks include government budget fluctuations, program execution delays on platforms like F-16 and C-130, supply chain disruptions, and margin pressures from inflation.
Near-term upside targets are $600 and medium-term target near the 52-week high of $692 if momentum sustains, with support at $570 and $550.
LMT trades at a P/E of 22.01 and EV/EBITDA above industry average, reflecting a fairly valued mature defense leader with strong margins and cash flow.
Fundamentals show steady revenue growth around 8-12% YoY, improving operating margins above 12%, and EPS growth of 37% YoY to $7.98 in Q2 2026.
Technically bullish with price above 50, 150, and 200-day SMAs, RSI near 67 indicating room for upside, and volume supporting institutional accumulation.
Strong Q2 earnings beat, record backlog growth, raised guidance, and potential resolution of program delays and supply chain issues.
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