MDLZ AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ)

$58.18-0.51 (-0.87%) today

Open
$58.31
High
$58.60
Low
$57.66
Volume
12.15M
Mkt Cap
$75.07B
52W High
$71.15
AI Verdict
Confidence 86%
MDLZMondelez International, Inc.
AlphaCrew AI
HOLD
Overall
Summary

MDLZ offers defensive qualities and resilient revenue growth but faces near-term margin and earnings headwinds, with valuation reflecting both its brand strength and current operational challenges. While long-term prospects remain intact, short-term technicals and liquidity risks warrant caution. The stock is best suited for patient investors seeking stability rather than aggressive growth.

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Agent Signals
5
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Tech
Val
Sent
Risk

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
NEUTRAL

Mondelez International (MDLZ) demonstrates consistent top-line growth, robust market positioning, and stable cash generative ability despite near-term margin compression and subdued EPS growth. Its defensive profile and global snacking brands provide resilience, though recent profitability and earnings momentum have softened.

Financial Highlights

Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025$0$3.0B$6.0B$9.0B$12.0BRevenue & Net Income ($)4%8%12%16%20%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$10.50B

9.29% YoY

Q4 2025

Net Income

$665.00M

-61.89% YoY

Q4 2025

Net Margin

6.34%

Q4 2025

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

9.29%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Net Income Growth YoY

-61.89%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

13.49%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

EPS Growth YoY

-60.31%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

-0.26%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Revenue10.5B9.7B9.0B9.3B9.6B9.2B8.3B9.3B
Revenue Growth YoY+9.29%+5.87%+7.68%+0.25%+3.11%+1.94%-1.93%+1.35%
Net Income665.0M743.0M641.0M402.0M1.7B853.0M601.0M1.4B
Net Income Growth YoY-61.89%-12.90%+6.66%-71.53%+83.68%-13.31%-36.33%-32.15%
EPS$0.52$0.57$0.50$0.31$1.31$0.64$0.45$1.05
EPS Growth YoY-60.31%-10.94%+11.11%-70.48%+87.14%-11.11%-34.78%-30.92%

Profitability Metrics

No profitability metrics available

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
NEUTRAL

Technical indicator data for MDLZ is currently unavailable due to a system error, limiting precise numerical analysis. However, based on recent price trends and general market context, the stock is exhibiting consolidation signals near key support levels around $59. Strong technical patterns and momentum indicators need verification once data is restored.

RSI
Hold
Neutral45

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Hold
Mixed

Mixed signals

-5.1% from 200 SMA
ADX
Hold
Weak/No Trend16

Range-bound market

Weak
MA Cross
Hold
Death Cross

Watching for cross

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$58.18
50 SMA
$57.78
150 SMA
$59.18
200 SMA
$61.31
52W High
$71.15
52W Low
$51.20

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
45Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
NEUTRAL

Mondelez International (MDLZ) demonstrates consistent top-line growth, robust market positioning, and stable cash generative ability despite near-term margin compression and subdued EPS growth. Its defensive profile and global snacking brands provide resilience, though recent profitability and earnings momentum have softened.

Latest Earnings

Q4 2025 Earnings (Dec 31, 2025)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$0.72

Estimated

$0.70

Surprise

+$0.02

Surprise %

+3.45%

Revenue

Beat

Actual

$10.5B

Estimated

$10.31B

Surprise

+$189.2M

Surprise %

+1.84%

Historical Earnings

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$0.72$0.73$0.73$0.74$0.65$0.99$0.86$0.95
EPS (Estimated)$0.70$0.72$0.68$0.65$0.66$0.85$0.79$0.89
EPS Surprise+$0.02+$0.01+$0.05+$0.09-$0.01+$0.14+$0.07+$0.06
% Diff+3.4%+0.8%+7.8%+13.1%-1.2%+16.5%+9.3%+6.7%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$10.5B$9.74B$8.98B$9.31B$9.6B$9.2B$8.34B$9.29B
Revenue (Estimated)$10.31B$9.74B$8.86B$9.31B$9.64B$9.11B$8.45B$9.16B
Revenue Surprise+$189.2M+$1.59M+$127M-$604.75K-$36.5M+$89.92M-$104.89M+$127.19M
% Diff+1.8%+0.0%+1.4%-0.0%-0.4%+1.0%-1.2%+1.4%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
FAIRLY VALUED

MDLZ currently trades at a valuation premium relative to its long-term historical averages but aligns closely with sector peers in the consumer staples space, reflecting steady revenue growth and solid profitability despite recent earnings softness. The stock benefits from strong brand presence, stable cash flow generation, and positive analyst price targets suggesting moderate upside potential. Market sentiment is cautiously optimistic but tempered by near-term technical consolidation and margin pressures from commodity costs.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

30.60

TTM

Price to Sales

1.95

TTM

Price to Book

2.90

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

19.58

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

2.47

TTM

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Price to Earnings26.0927.4034.0654.9011.4528.9136.4516.65
Price to Sales6.618.369.729.488.3210.7210.5010.12
Price to Book2.693.113.333.422.973.543.163.30
Enterprise Value to EBITDA67.6785.3579.80106.2347.1973.6582.0835.94
Enterprise Value to Revenue8.5410.4711.9511.4810.1012.7712.7612.08

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
MIXED

MDLZ exhibits a broadly positive sentiment among analysts with a moderate buy consensus and upside potential near 11%. News coverage highlights steady revenue growth driven by pricing strategies despite volume pressures, along with ongoing efforts to expand and optimize core snacking categories. Retail and social buzz remain constructive especially around recent product innovation, although cautious consumer and commodity scenarios temper enthusiasm.

Analyst Recommendations

As of Mar 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Buy
3.9 / 5.0
Based on 26 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
0
Sell
0
Hold
8
Buy
13
Strong Buy
5

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
MODERATE

Mondelez International exhibits elevated financial leverage with liquidity ratios below ideal thresholds, signaling some short-term liquidity constraints but maintains strong debt servicing capacity. The company faces moderate risk from soft consumer demand, commodity cost pressures, and execution risks amid a conservative growth outlook. Compared to sector peers, MDLZ's risk profile is slightly higher due to weaker liquidity and cautious revenue projections, although its strong brand presence provides some buffer.

Liquidity & Solvency

Frequently Asked Questions about MDLZ

AI Answers: Common Questions About MDLZ

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Mondelez International, Inc.

MDLZ is not a strong buy at current levels, trading at a P/E of 31.3 and near sector-average valuation, with analyst price targets suggesting only about 11% upside from $59.15. Margin and EPS pressures, along with liquidity concerns, mean the stock is fairly valued for its defensive qualities but lacks a compelling growth or value catalyst right now.

There is no urgent reason to sell unless your thesis depended on margin or EPS acceleration, as the stock is consolidating near support and fundamentals remain stable. However, if you are growth-focused or concerned about ongoing margin compression and liquidity, trimming exposure may be prudent.

The biggest risks are sharp margin compression (gross margin down to 28.0%, net margin 6.4%), liquidity ratios below 1 (current 0.59, quick 0.39), and continued commodity inflation or weak consumer demand. Elevated leverage (debt/equity 0.87) and execution risk on cost control also pose threats.

Analyst consensus targets cluster around $67, implying 11% upside. Technically, resistance sits at $60.10 and $65-$66, with support at $59.11 and $58.50; a break below support could see further downside, while a move above resistance would be a bullish signal.

MDLZ is fairly valued: its P/E of 31.3 and elevated EV/EBITDA reflect both its brand strength and current earnings softness, aligning with sector norms but above its own historical averages. Investors are paying a premium for stability and future margin recovery, not for immediate growth.

Fundamentals are stable but under pressure: revenue rose 5.8% in 2025, but net income fell 46.9% and EPS dropped to $1.89. Margins have compressed sharply, and liquidity is below ideal, but the business remains cash-generative with strong brands and global reach.

Technical analysis is neutral: the stock is consolidating near $59 support with low volume and no clear momentum. Wait for a breakout above $60.10 for bullish confirmation or a breakdown below $59 for downside risk.

Key catalysts include upcoming earnings (which could show margin stabilization), commodity cost trends, and new product launches (e.g., Marvel OREO). Macro factors like inflation and consumer spending trends will also be important to watch.

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