MDLZ AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ)

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

Mondelez International (MDLZ) demonstrates stable revenue generation with expanding margins and consistent earnings growth supported by strong market presence in the consumer defensive sector. The company has maintained profitability through cost management amid fluctuating cost of goods sold, while recent quarterly earnings have exceeded expectations, underscoring resilient operational execution.

Financial Highlights

Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026Q2 2026$0$3.0B$6.0B$9.0B$12.0BRevenue & Net Income ($)4%8%12%16%20%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$9.36B

4.13% YoY

Q2 2026

Net Income

$1.55B

141.50% YoY

Q2 2026

Net Margin

16.55%

Q2 2026

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

4.13%

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

Net Income Growth YoY

141.50%

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

4.61%

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

EPS Growth YoY

140.00%

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

2.17%

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

 Q2 2026Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024
Revenue9.4B10.1B10.5B9.7B9.0B9.3B9.6B9.2B
Revenue Growth YoY+4.13%+8.24%+9.29%+5.87%+7.68%+0.25%+3.11%+1.94%
Net Income1.5B560.0M665.0M743.0M641.0M402.0M1.7B853.0M
Net Income Growth YoY+141.50%+39.30%-61.89%-12.90%+6.66%-71.53%+83.68%-13.31%
EPS$1.20$0.43$0.52$0.57$0.50$0.31$1.31$0.64
EPS Growth YoY+140.00%+38.71%-60.31%-10.94%+11.11%-70.48%+87.14%-11.11%

Profitability Metrics

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
NEUTRAL

MDLZ is currently in a consolidation phase after a period of bullish price action. Despite a strong uptrend signal from moving averages, price momentum is relatively neutral, with the RSI in a balanced zone and ADX indicating a weak trend. Key resistance near the 52-week high of $66.65 and support around the 50 SMA at $61.03 are critical levels to watch for potential breakouts.

RSI
Hold
Neutral52

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Buy
Strong Uptrend

Price in uptrend

+5.3% from 200 SMA
ADX
Hold
Weak/No Trend17

Range-bound market

Weak
MA Cross
Buy
Above 50/200

50 above 200 - bullish

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$61.73
50 SMA
$61.03
150 SMA
$59.20
200 SMA
$58.63
52W High
$66.65
52W Low
$51.20

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
52Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

Mondelez International (MDLZ) demonstrates stable revenue generation with expanding margins and consistent earnings growth supported by strong market presence in the consumer defensive sector. The company has maintained profitability through cost management amid fluctuating cost of goods sold, while recent quarterly earnings have exceeded expectations, underscoring resilient operational execution.

Latest Earnings

Q2 2026 Earnings (Jun 30, 2026)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$0.73

Estimated

$0.68

Surprise

+$0.05

Surprise %

+7.35%

Revenue

Beat

Actual

$9.36B

Estimated

$9.21B

Surprise

+$149.1M

Surprise %

+1.62%

Historical Earnings

 Q2 2026Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$0.73$0.67$0.72$0.73$0.73$0.74$0.65$0.99
EPS (Estimated)$0.68$0.61$0.70$0.72$0.68$0.65$0.66$0.85
EPS Surprise+$0.05+$0.06+$0.02+$0.01+$0.05+$0.09-$0.01+$0.14
% Diff+7.4%+10.2%+3.4%+0.8%+7.8%+13.1%-1.2%+16.5%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$9.36B$10.08B$10.49B$9.74B$8.98B$9.31B$9.6B$9.2B
Revenue (Estimated)$9.21B$9.75B$10.31B$9.74B$8.86B$9.31B$9.64B$9.11B
Revenue Surprise+$149.1M+$330.14M+$185.2M+$1.59M+$127M-$604.75K-$36.5M+$89.92M
% Diff+1.6%+3.4%+1.8%+0.0%+1.4%-0.0%-0.4%+1.0%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
FAIRLY VALUED

Mondelez International (MDLZ) presents a valuation profile that is moderately premium relative to its industry peers but supported by consistent revenue growth and strong market position. The company's current valuation metrics suggest a balanced mix of cautious optimism around growth prospects and some pressure on margins, with analyst consensus leaning towards a moderate buy and a fair value estimate near $67.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

22.69

TTM

Price to Sales

1.99

TTM

Price to Book

2.99

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

16.04

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

2.50

TTM

 Q2 2026Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024
Price to Earnings12.0533.5125.8827.4033.7254.7211.4028.78
Price to Sales7.977.376.618.369.729.488.3210.72
Price to Book2.802.892.693.113.333.422.973.54
Enterprise Value to EBITDA39.6674.5667.6785.3579.80106.2347.1973.65
Enterprise Value to Revenue10.149.368.5410.4711.9511.4810.1012.77

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
POSITIVE

Mondelez International (MDLZ) is currently viewed positively by analysts and investors, with a consensus moderate buy rating supported by recent earnings beats and an improved full-year revenue outlook. The stock benefits from solid fundamentals, consistent dividend increases, and strong growth in emerging markets, although cost pressures and mixed global consumer sentiment pose some moderation risks.

Analyst Recommendations

As of Jul 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Buy
3.8 / 5.0
Based on 25 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
0
Sell
0
Hold
9
Buy
11
Strong Buy
5

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
MODERATE

Mondelez International exhibits a moderate financial risk profile with low liquidity ratios but manageable leverage and consistent debt servicing ability. The company faces macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainties alongside inflationary pressures impacting costs and margins. Market sentiment leans moderately positive supported by strong emerging market performance and raised revenue outlook, though earnings growth remains modest and competitive pressures persist.

Liquidity & Solvency

Current Ratio

0.60

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

Quick Ratio

0.40

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

Debt-to-Equity

0.83

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

Debt-to-Assets

0.31

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

 Q2 2026Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024
Liquidity Metrics
Current Ratio0.600.540.590.610.640.610.680.63
Quick Ratio0.400.370.390.370.390.400.480.42
Solvency Metrics
Debt-to-Equity0.830.840.870.840.820.780.680.73
Debt-to-Assets0.310.300.310.310.300.290.270.28

Liquidity Assessment

Current Ratio: 0.60(Weak)

Quick Ratio: 0.40(Weak)

The company has relatively weak liquidity and may face challenges meeting short-term obligations.

Solvency Assessment

Debt-to-Equity: 0.83(Moderate)

Debt-to-Assets: 0.31(Moderate)

The company maintains a balanced capital structure with manageable debt levels.

Frequently Asked Questions about MDLZ

AI Answers: Common Questions About MDLZ

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Mondelez International, Inc.

Yes, MDLZ is a good buy based on strong fundamentals including 12% revenue growth in Q2 2026, EPS CAGR of ~20%, and expanding gross margins above 42%. Valuation is fair with a P/E of 21.86 and positive analyst sentiment.

No immediate sell signal; technicals suggest consolidation but fundamentals and sentiment support holding or buying. Consider selling only if margins deteriorate significantly or geopolitical risks severely impact supply chains.

Key risks include raw material inflation, geopolitical tensions affecting supply chains, and competitive pressures in key markets. Liquidity ratios below 1 indicate some short-term financial caution.

Analyst price targets range from $67 to $73, reflecting upside potential of approximately 9-17% from current levels near $62.31.

MDLZ trades at a moderately premium valuation with a trailing P/E of 21.86 and elevated EV/EBITDA, justified by steady revenue growth above 5% YoY and margin expansion.

Strong fundamentals with steady revenue growth to $9.4 billion in Q2 2026, EPS growth from $0.45 to $0.73 over two years, and gross margin improvement from ~33% to over 42%.

Technically, the stock is consolidating with a bullish golden cross but neutral momentum (RSI 54.6, ADX <20). Key support is near $61.03 and resistance at $66.65.

Potential catalysts include continued earnings beats, raised revenue guidance, new product launches like CHIPS AHOY! Mystery Cookie, and expansion in emerging markets.

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