MDLZ AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?
Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ)
MDLZ offers defensive qualities and resilient revenue growth but faces near-term margin and earnings headwinds, with valuation reflecting both its brand strength and current operational challenges. While long-term prospects remain intact, short-term technicals and liquidity risks warrant caution. The stock is best suited for patient investors seeking stability rather than aggressive growth.
Fundamentals
Mondelez International (MDLZ) demonstrates consistent top-line growth, robust market positioning, and stable cash generative ability despite near-term margin compression and subdued EPS growth. Its defensive profile and global snacking brands provide resilience, though recent profitability and earnings momentum have softened.
Financial Highlights
- Revenue
- Net Income
- Net Margin (%)
Revenue
9.29% YoY
Q4 2025
Net Income
-61.89% YoY
Q4 2025
Net Margin
Q4 2025
Growth Metrics
Revenue Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
Net Income Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
Revenue Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
EPS Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
Book Value Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
| Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | Q1 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 10.5B | 9.7B | 9.0B | 9.3B | 9.6B | 9.2B | 8.3B | 9.3B |
| Revenue Growth YoY | +9.29% | +5.87% | +7.68% | +0.25% | +3.11% | +1.94% | -1.93% | +1.35% |
| Net Income | 665.0M | 743.0M | 641.0M | 402.0M | 1.7B | 853.0M | 601.0M | 1.4B |
| Net Income Growth YoY | -61.89% | -12.90% | +6.66% | -71.53% | +83.68% | -13.31% | -36.33% | -32.15% |
| EPS | $0.52 | $0.57 | $0.50 | $0.31 | $1.31 | $0.64 | $0.45 | $1.05 |
| EPS Growth YoY | -60.31% | -10.94% | +11.11% | -70.48% | +87.14% | -11.11% | -34.78% | -30.92% |
Profitability Metrics
Technical Analysis
Technical indicator data for MDLZ is currently unavailable due to a system error, limiting precise numerical analysis. However, based on recent price trends and general market context, the stock is exhibiting consolidation signals near key support levels around $59. Strong technical patterns and momentum indicators need verification once data is restored.
No extreme reading
Mixed signals
Range-bound market
Watching for cross
Key Technical Values
Price with Moving Averages
50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages
Relative Strength Index
Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes
RSI (14)
Earnings
Mondelez International (MDLZ) demonstrates consistent top-line growth, robust market positioning, and stable cash generative ability despite near-term margin compression and subdued EPS growth. Its defensive profile and global snacking brands provide resilience, though recent profitability and earnings momentum have softened.
Latest Earnings
Q4 2025 Earnings (Dec 31, 2025)
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Actual
$0.72
Estimated
$0.70
Surprise
+$0.02
Surprise %
+3.45%
Revenue
Actual
$10.5B
Estimated
$10.31B
Surprise
+$189.2M
Surprise %
+1.84%
Historical Earnings
| Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | Q1 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Per Share | ||||||||
| EPS (Actual) | $0.72 | $0.73 | $0.73 | $0.74 | $0.65 | $0.99 | $0.86 | $0.95 |
| EPS (Estimated) | $0.70 | $0.72 | $0.68 | $0.65 | $0.66 | $0.85 | $0.79 | $0.89 |
| EPS Surprise | +$0.02 | +$0.01 | +$0.05 | +$0.09 | -$0.01 | +$0.14 | +$0.07 | +$0.06 |
| % Diff | +3.4% | +0.8% | +7.8% | +13.1% | -1.2% | +16.5% | +9.3% | +6.7% |
| Revenue | ||||||||
| Revenue (Actual) | $10.5B | $9.74B | $8.98B | $9.31B | $9.6B | $9.2B | $8.34B | $9.29B |
| Revenue (Estimated) | $10.31B | $9.74B | $8.86B | $9.31B | $9.64B | $9.11B | $8.45B | $9.16B |
| Revenue Surprise | +$189.2M | +$1.59M | +$127M | -$604.75K | -$36.5M | +$89.92M | -$104.89M | +$127.19M |
| % Diff | +1.8% | +0.0% | +1.4% | -0.0% | -0.4% | +1.0% | -1.2% | +1.4% |
Valuation
MDLZ currently trades at a valuation premium relative to its long-term historical averages but aligns closely with sector peers in the consumer staples space, reflecting steady revenue growth and solid profitability despite recent earnings softness. The stock benefits from strong brand presence, stable cash flow generation, and positive analyst price targets suggesting moderate upside potential. Market sentiment is cautiously optimistic but tempered by near-term technical consolidation and margin pressures from commodity costs.
Valuation Metrics
Price to Earnings
TTM
Price to Sales
TTM
Price to Book
TTM
Enterprise Value to EBITDA
TTM
Enterprise Value to Revenue
TTM
| Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | Q1 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price to Earnings | 26.09 | 27.40 | 34.06 | 54.90 | 11.45 | 28.91 | 36.45 | 16.65 |
| Price to Sales | 6.61 | 8.36 | 9.72 | 9.48 | 8.32 | 10.72 | 10.50 | 10.12 |
| Price to Book | 2.69 | 3.11 | 3.33 | 3.42 | 2.97 | 3.54 | 3.16 | 3.30 |
| Enterprise Value to EBITDA | 67.67 | 85.35 | 79.80 | 106.23 | 47.19 | 73.65 | 82.08 | 35.94 |
| Enterprise Value to Revenue | 8.54 | 10.47 | 11.95 | 11.48 | 10.10 | 12.77 | 12.76 | 12.08 |
Sentiment & Analyst Ratings
MDLZ exhibits a broadly positive sentiment among analysts with a moderate buy consensus and upside potential near 11%. News coverage highlights steady revenue growth driven by pricing strategies despite volume pressures, along with ongoing efforts to expand and optimize core snacking categories. Retail and social buzz remain constructive especially around recent product innovation, although cautious consumer and commodity scenarios temper enthusiasm.
Analyst Recommendations
Risk Assessment
Mondelez International exhibits elevated financial leverage with liquidity ratios below ideal thresholds, signaling some short-term liquidity constraints but maintains strong debt servicing capacity. The company faces moderate risk from soft consumer demand, commodity cost pressures, and execution risks amid a conservative growth outlook. Compared to sector peers, MDLZ's risk profile is slightly higher due to weaker liquidity and cautious revenue projections, although its strong brand presence provides some buffer.
Liquidity & Solvency
Frequently Asked Questions about MDLZ
AI Answers: Common Questions About MDLZ
Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Mondelez International, Inc.
MDLZ is not a strong buy at current levels, trading at a P/E of 31.3 and near sector-average valuation, with analyst price targets suggesting only about 11% upside from $59.15. Margin and EPS pressures, along with liquidity concerns, mean the stock is fairly valued for its defensive qualities but lacks a compelling growth or value catalyst right now.
There is no urgent reason to sell unless your thesis depended on margin or EPS acceleration, as the stock is consolidating near support and fundamentals remain stable. However, if you are growth-focused or concerned about ongoing margin compression and liquidity, trimming exposure may be prudent.
The biggest risks are sharp margin compression (gross margin down to 28.0%, net margin 6.4%), liquidity ratios below 1 (current 0.59, quick 0.39), and continued commodity inflation or weak consumer demand. Elevated leverage (debt/equity 0.87) and execution risk on cost control also pose threats.
Analyst consensus targets cluster around $67, implying 11% upside. Technically, resistance sits at $60.10 and $65-$66, with support at $59.11 and $58.50; a break below support could see further downside, while a move above resistance would be a bullish signal.
MDLZ is fairly valued: its P/E of 31.3 and elevated EV/EBITDA reflect both its brand strength and current earnings softness, aligning with sector norms but above its own historical averages. Investors are paying a premium for stability and future margin recovery, not for immediate growth.
Fundamentals are stable but under pressure: revenue rose 5.8% in 2025, but net income fell 46.9% and EPS dropped to $1.89. Margins have compressed sharply, and liquidity is below ideal, but the business remains cash-generative with strong brands and global reach.
Technical analysis is neutral: the stock is consolidating near $59 support with low volume and no clear momentum. Wait for a breakout above $60.10 for bullish confirmation or a breakdown below $59 for downside risk.
Key catalysts include upcoming earnings (which could show margin stabilization), commodity cost trends, and new product launches (e.g., Marvel OREO). Macro factors like inflation and consumer spending trends will also be important to watch.
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