MDLZ AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ)

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
NEUTRAL

Mondelez International (MDLZ) maintains a strong market presence as a leader in the global snacking sector, benefiting from a diversified portfolio, but fundamental analysis is currently limited by unavailable recent financials and earnings data. The company has historically shown stable growth and margin resilience, supported by brand strength and defensive industry positioning. Market valuation reflects premium pricing, signaling investor confidence but also resulting in above-sector multiples that require continued operational execution.

Financial Highlights

Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026$0$3.0B$6.0B$9.0B$12.0BRevenue & Net Income ($)4.25%5.1%5.95%6.8%7.65%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$10.08B

8.24% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Income

$564.00M

40.30% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Margin

5.60%

Q1 2026

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

8.24%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Net Income Growth YoY

40.30%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

9.24%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

EPS Growth YoY

38.71%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

0.86%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Revenue10.1B10.5B9.7B9.0B9.3B9.6B9.2B8.3B
Revenue Growth YoY+8.24%+9.29%+5.87%+7.68%+0.25%+3.11%+1.94%-1.93%
Net Income564.0M665.0M743.0M641.0M402.0M1.7B853.0M601.0M
Net Income Growth YoY+40.30%-61.89%-12.90%+6.66%-71.53%+83.68%-13.31%-36.33%
EPS$0.43$0.52$0.57$0.50$0.31$1.31$0.64$0.45
EPS Growth YoY+38.71%-60.31%-10.94%+11.11%-70.48%+87.14%-11.11%-34.78%

Profitability Metrics

Gross Margin

27.81%

TTM

Operating Margin

8.02%

TTM

Net Margin

5.60%

TTM

Return on Equity

10.05%

TTM

Return on Assets

9.55%

TTM

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Gross Margin27.81%28.16%26.81%32.69%26.09%38.64%32.58%33.53%
Operating Margin8.02%9.33%7.64%13.05%7.30%16.77%12.53%10.24%
Net Margin5.60%6.34%7.63%7.13%4.32%18.17%9.27%7.20%
Return on Equity (ROE)2.19%2.57%2.84%2.45%1.56%6.48%3.06%2.17%
Return on Assets (ROA)2.06%2.42%2.70%2.38%1.53%6.55%2.95%1.98%

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
NEUTRAL

MDLZ is currently in a topping phase with signs of potential distribution despite an overall bullish price trend above short-term moving averages. Momentum is moderate with RSI in neutral territory and the ADX indicating a developing trend. The chart shows mixed signals due to a death cross formation and price testing key support levels.

RSI
Hold
Neutral65

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Buy
Uptrend

Price in uptrend

+4.4% from 200 SMA
ADX
Hold
Moderate Trend21

Trend developing

Moderate
MA Cross
Hold
Death Cross

Watching for cross

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$61.70
50 SMA
$58.20
150 SMA
$57.85
200 SMA
$59.08
52W High
$71.15
52W Low
$51.20

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
65Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
NEUTRAL

Mondelez International (MDLZ) maintains a strong market presence as a leader in the global snacking sector, benefiting from a diversified portfolio, but fundamental analysis is currently limited by unavailable recent financials and earnings data. The company has historically shown stable growth and margin resilience, supported by brand strength and defensive industry positioning. Market valuation reflects premium pricing, signaling investor confidence but also resulting in above-sector multiples that require continued operational execution.

Latest Earnings

Q1 2026 Earnings (Mar 31, 2026)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$0.67

Estimated

$0.61

Surprise

+$0.06

Surprise %

+10.20%

Revenue

Beat

Actual

$10.08B

Estimated

$9.75B

Surprise

+$330.14M

Surprise %

+3.39%

Historical Earnings

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$0.67$0.72$0.73$0.73$0.74$0.65$0.99$0.86
EPS (Estimated)$0.61$0.70$0.72$0.68$0.65$0.66$0.85$0.79
EPS Surprise+$0.06+$0.02+$0.01+$0.05+$0.09-$0.01+$0.14+$0.07
% Diff+10.2%+3.4%+0.8%+7.8%+13.1%-1.2%+16.5%+9.3%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$10.08B$10.49B$9.74B$8.98B$9.31B$9.6B$9.2B$8.34B
Revenue (Estimated)$9.75B$10.31B$9.74B$8.86B$9.31B$9.64B$9.11B$8.45B
Revenue Surprise+$330.14M+$185.2M+$1.59M+$127M-$604.75K-$36.5M+$89.92M-$104.89M
% Diff+3.4%+1.8%+0.0%+1.4%-0.0%-0.4%+1.0%-1.2%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
FAIRLY VALUED

Mondelez International (MDLZ) currently trades with valuation multiples above its historical averages and peer medians, suggesting a premium valuation driven by recent strong revenue growth and robust earnings momentum. The company's solid financial health amid moderate growth prospects supports a cautiously optimistic outlook despite some valuation concerns. Analyst sentiment generally favors the stock with a modest upside potential, framed by resilient fundamentals and sector stability.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

30.44

TTM

Price to Sales

2.02

TTM

Price to Book

3.09

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

20.74

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

2.53

TTM

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Price to Earnings32.9326.0927.4034.0654.9011.4528.9136.45
Price to Sales7.376.618.369.729.488.3210.7210.50
Price to Book2.892.693.113.333.422.973.543.16
Enterprise Value to EBITDA102.2767.6785.3579.80106.2347.1973.6582.08
Enterprise Value to Revenue9.368.5410.4711.9511.4810.1012.7712.76

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
MIXED

Mondelez International (MDLZ) is currently viewed with a generally positive market sentiment supported by strong Q1 2026 earnings and reaffirmed growth guidance despite consumer confidence challenges. Analysts maintain a bullish consensus with a majority recommending buy and projecting moderate upside price targets around $67. News coverage emphasizes the company's operational resilience, strategic brand initiatives, and sustainability efforts, even as valuation metrics present mixed signals.

Analyst Recommendations

As of May 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Buy
3.9 / 5.0
Based on 27 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
0
Sell
0
Hold
9
Buy
13
Strong Buy
5

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
MODERATE

Mondelez International exhibits moderate financial risk characterized by low liquidity ratios and moderate leverage, which signals potential challenges in meeting short-term obligations but manageable long-term debt. The company faces significant margin pressure due to sustained cocoa inflation and global geopolitical risks, offset partially by resilient global brands and steady cash flow. Market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic with a consensus Buy rating, supported by stable full-year guidance and moderate upside potential.

Liquidity & Solvency

Current Ratio

0.54

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Quick Ratio

0.37

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Debt-to-Equity

0.84

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Debt-to-Assets

0.30

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Liquidity Metrics
Current Ratio0.540.590.610.640.610.680.630.68
Quick Ratio0.370.390.370.390.400.480.420.50
Solvency Metrics
Debt-to-Equity0.840.870.840.820.780.680.730.73
Debt-to-Assets0.300.310.310.300.290.270.280.28

Liquidity Assessment

Current Ratio: 0.54(Weak)

Quick Ratio: 0.37(Weak)

The company has relatively weak liquidity and may face challenges meeting short-term obligations.

Solvency Assessment

Debt-to-Equity: 0.84(Moderate)

Debt-to-Assets: 0.30(Moderate)

The company maintains a balanced capital structure with manageable debt levels.

Frequently Asked Questions about MDLZ

AI Answers: Common Questions About MDLZ

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Mondelez International, Inc.

MDLZ is not a compelling buy at current levels ($61.55, P/E 30.47) due to its premium valuation and technical topping signals. While fundamentals are strong and analyst targets suggest modest upside (~$67), better entry points may emerge if the stock pulls back or cost pressures ease.

There is no urgent reason to sell unless you expect worsening margin or liquidity trends; fundamentals remain intact and the stock is defensive, but short-term technicals and valuation suggest holding rather than adding or exiting aggressively.

The biggest risks are sustained margin compression from high commodity costs (notably cocoa), weak liquidity (current ratio ~0.54, quick ratio <0.5), and potential for negative interest coverage if earnings weaken. Macro/geopolitical risks and soft consumer demand could further pressure results.

Analyst consensus targets are around $67 (8-9% upside), with technical resistance at $62.50-$63 and support at $59.17 (200 SMA) and $58.18 (50 SMA). A breakout above $63 could open room to retest the 52-week high ($71.15), but near-term upside is limited unless fundamentals improve.

The stock is fairly valued to slightly expensive, trading at a P/E of 30.47 (vs. sector ~26x) and above its 5- and 10-year averages. EV/EBITDA is also elevated, reflecting investor confidence in brand strength and cash flow, but leaves little room for multiple expansion absent stronger earnings growth.

MDLZ is fundamentally strong, with healthy margins, stable cash flows, and leading global brands. However, margin expansion is challenged by input cost inflation and liquidity metrics have weakened, so continued operational discipline is required.

Technically, the stock is in a topping phase with a death cross (50 SMA below 200 SMA), neutral RSI (65), and no clear breakout. Key support is at $59.17 and $58.18, with resistance at $62.50-$63; traders should wait for a decisive move before entering.

Key catalysts include upcoming earnings reports, potential commodity price relief (especially cocoa), and new product launches or marketing campaigns. Watch for margin commentary and liquidity improvements in future quarters.

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