MDLZ AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?
Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ)
Fundamentals
Mondelez International (MDLZ) demonstrates stable revenue generation with expanding margins and consistent earnings growth supported by strong market presence in the consumer defensive sector. The company has maintained profitability through cost management amid fluctuating cost of goods sold, while recent quarterly earnings have exceeded expectations, underscoring resilient operational execution.
Financial Highlights
- Revenue
- Net Income
- Net Margin (%)
Revenue
4.13% YoY
Q2 2026
Net Income
141.50% YoY
Q2 2026
Net Margin
Q2 2026
Growth Metrics
Revenue Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
Net Income Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
Revenue Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
EPS Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
Book Value Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
| Q2 2026 | Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 9.4B | 10.1B | 10.5B | 9.7B | 9.0B | 9.3B | 9.6B | 9.2B |
| Revenue Growth YoY | +4.13% | +8.24% | +9.29% | +5.87% | +7.68% | +0.25% | +3.11% | +1.94% |
| Net Income | 1.5B | 560.0M | 665.0M | 743.0M | 641.0M | 402.0M | 1.7B | 853.0M |
| Net Income Growth YoY | +141.50% | +39.30% | -61.89% | -12.90% | +6.66% | -71.53% | +83.68% | -13.31% |
| EPS | $1.20 | $0.43 | $0.52 | $0.57 | $0.50 | $0.31 | $1.31 | $0.64 |
| EPS Growth YoY | +140.00% | +38.71% | -60.31% | -10.94% | +11.11% | -70.48% | +87.14% | -11.11% |
Profitability Metrics
Technical Analysis
MDLZ is currently in a consolidation phase after a period of bullish price action. Despite a strong uptrend signal from moving averages, price momentum is relatively neutral, with the RSI in a balanced zone and ADX indicating a weak trend. Key resistance near the 52-week high of $66.65 and support around the 50 SMA at $61.03 are critical levels to watch for potential breakouts.
No extreme reading
Price in uptrend
Range-bound market
50 above 200 - bullish
Key Technical Values
Price with Moving Averages
50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages
Relative Strength Index
Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes
RSI (14)
Earnings
Mondelez International (MDLZ) demonstrates stable revenue generation with expanding margins and consistent earnings growth supported by strong market presence in the consumer defensive sector. The company has maintained profitability through cost management amid fluctuating cost of goods sold, while recent quarterly earnings have exceeded expectations, underscoring resilient operational execution.
Latest Earnings
Q2 2026 Earnings (Jun 30, 2026)
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Actual
$0.73
Estimated
$0.68
Surprise
+$0.05
Surprise %
+7.35%
Revenue
Actual
$9.36B
Estimated
$9.21B
Surprise
+$149.1M
Surprise %
+1.62%
Historical Earnings
| Q2 2026 | Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Per Share | ||||||||
| EPS (Actual) | $0.73 | $0.67 | $0.72 | $0.73 | $0.73 | $0.74 | $0.65 | $0.99 |
| EPS (Estimated) | $0.68 | $0.61 | $0.70 | $0.72 | $0.68 | $0.65 | $0.66 | $0.85 |
| EPS Surprise | +$0.05 | +$0.06 | +$0.02 | +$0.01 | +$0.05 | +$0.09 | -$0.01 | +$0.14 |
| % Diff | +7.4% | +10.2% | +3.4% | +0.8% | +7.8% | +13.1% | -1.2% | +16.5% |
| Revenue | ||||||||
| Revenue (Actual) | $9.36B | $10.08B | $10.49B | $9.74B | $8.98B | $9.31B | $9.6B | $9.2B |
| Revenue (Estimated) | $9.21B | $9.75B | $10.31B | $9.74B | $8.86B | $9.31B | $9.64B | $9.11B |
| Revenue Surprise | +$149.1M | +$330.14M | +$185.2M | +$1.59M | +$127M | -$604.75K | -$36.5M | +$89.92M |
| % Diff | +1.6% | +3.4% | +1.8% | +0.0% | +1.4% | -0.0% | -0.4% | +1.0% |
Valuation
Mondelez International (MDLZ) presents a valuation profile that is moderately premium relative to its industry peers but supported by consistent revenue growth and strong market position. The company's current valuation metrics suggest a balanced mix of cautious optimism around growth prospects and some pressure on margins, with analyst consensus leaning towards a moderate buy and a fair value estimate near $67.
Valuation Metrics
Price to Earnings
TTM
Price to Sales
TTM
Price to Book
TTM
Enterprise Value to EBITDA
TTM
Enterprise Value to Revenue
TTM
| Q2 2026 | Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price to Earnings | 12.05 | 33.51 | 25.88 | 27.40 | 33.72 | 54.72 | 11.40 | 28.78 |
| Price to Sales | 7.97 | 7.37 | 6.61 | 8.36 | 9.72 | 9.48 | 8.32 | 10.72 |
| Price to Book | 2.80 | 2.89 | 2.69 | 3.11 | 3.33 | 3.42 | 2.97 | 3.54 |
| Enterprise Value to EBITDA | 39.66 | 74.56 | 67.67 | 85.35 | 79.80 | 106.23 | 47.19 | 73.65 |
| Enterprise Value to Revenue | 10.14 | 9.36 | 8.54 | 10.47 | 11.95 | 11.48 | 10.10 | 12.77 |
Sentiment & Analyst Ratings
Mondelez International (MDLZ) is currently viewed positively by analysts and investors, with a consensus moderate buy rating supported by recent earnings beats and an improved full-year revenue outlook. The stock benefits from solid fundamentals, consistent dividend increases, and strong growth in emerging markets, although cost pressures and mixed global consumer sentiment pose some moderation risks.
Analyst Recommendations
Risk Assessment
Mondelez International exhibits a moderate financial risk profile with low liquidity ratios but manageable leverage and consistent debt servicing ability. The company faces macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainties alongside inflationary pressures impacting costs and margins. Market sentiment leans moderately positive supported by strong emerging market performance and raised revenue outlook, though earnings growth remains modest and competitive pressures persist.
Liquidity & Solvency
Current Ratio
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
Quick Ratio
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
Debt-to-Equity
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
Debt-to-Assets
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
| Q2 2026 | Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidity Metrics | ||||||||
| Current Ratio | 0.60 | 0.54 | 0.59 | 0.61 | 0.64 | 0.61 | 0.68 | 0.63 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.40 | 0.37 | 0.39 | 0.37 | 0.39 | 0.40 | 0.48 | 0.42 |
| Solvency Metrics | ||||||||
| Debt-to-Equity | 0.83 | 0.84 | 0.87 | 0.84 | 0.82 | 0.78 | 0.68 | 0.73 |
| Debt-to-Assets | 0.31 | 0.30 | 0.31 | 0.31 | 0.30 | 0.29 | 0.27 | 0.28 |
Liquidity Assessment
Current Ratio: 0.60(Weak)
Quick Ratio: 0.40(Weak)
The company has relatively weak liquidity and may face challenges meeting short-term obligations.
Solvency Assessment
Debt-to-Equity: 0.83(Moderate)
Debt-to-Assets: 0.31(Moderate)
The company maintains a balanced capital structure with manageable debt levels.
Frequently Asked Questions about MDLZ
AI Answers: Common Questions About MDLZ
Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Mondelez International, Inc.
Yes, MDLZ is a good buy based on strong fundamentals including 12% revenue growth in Q2 2026, EPS CAGR of ~20%, and expanding gross margins above 42%. Valuation is fair with a P/E of 21.86 and positive analyst sentiment.
No immediate sell signal; technicals suggest consolidation but fundamentals and sentiment support holding or buying. Consider selling only if margins deteriorate significantly or geopolitical risks severely impact supply chains.
Key risks include raw material inflation, geopolitical tensions affecting supply chains, and competitive pressures in key markets. Liquidity ratios below 1 indicate some short-term financial caution.
Analyst price targets range from $67 to $73, reflecting upside potential of approximately 9-17% from current levels near $62.31.
MDLZ trades at a moderately premium valuation with a trailing P/E of 21.86 and elevated EV/EBITDA, justified by steady revenue growth above 5% YoY and margin expansion.
Strong fundamentals with steady revenue growth to $9.4 billion in Q2 2026, EPS growth from $0.45 to $0.73 over two years, and gross margin improvement from ~33% to over 42%.
Technically, the stock is consolidating with a bullish golden cross but neutral momentum (RSI 54.6, ADX <20). Key support is near $61.03 and resistance at $66.65.
Potential catalysts include continued earnings beats, raised revenue guidance, new product launches like CHIPS AHOY! Mystery Cookie, and expansion in emerging markets.
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