MDLZ AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?
Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ)
Fundamentals
Mondelez International (MDLZ) maintains a strong market presence as a leader in the global snacking sector, benefiting from a diversified portfolio, but fundamental analysis is currently limited by unavailable recent financials and earnings data. The company has historically shown stable growth and margin resilience, supported by brand strength and defensive industry positioning. Market valuation reflects premium pricing, signaling investor confidence but also resulting in above-sector multiples that require continued operational execution.
Financial Highlights
- Revenue
- Net Income
- Net Margin (%)
Revenue
8.24% YoY
Q1 2026
Net Income
40.30% YoY
Q1 2026
Net Margin
Q1 2026
Growth Metrics
Revenue Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Net Income Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Revenue Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
EPS Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Book Value Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 10.1B | 10.5B | 9.7B | 9.0B | 9.3B | 9.6B | 9.2B | 8.3B |
| Revenue Growth YoY | +8.24% | +9.29% | +5.87% | +7.68% | +0.25% | +3.11% | +1.94% | -1.93% |
| Net Income | 564.0M | 665.0M | 743.0M | 641.0M | 402.0M | 1.7B | 853.0M | 601.0M |
| Net Income Growth YoY | +40.30% | -61.89% | -12.90% | +6.66% | -71.53% | +83.68% | -13.31% | -36.33% |
| EPS | $0.43 | $0.52 | $0.57 | $0.50 | $0.31 | $1.31 | $0.64 | $0.45 |
| EPS Growth YoY | +38.71% | -60.31% | -10.94% | +11.11% | -70.48% | +87.14% | -11.11% | -34.78% |
Profitability Metrics
Gross Margin
TTM
Operating Margin
TTM
Net Margin
TTM
Return on Equity
TTM
Return on Assets
TTM
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 27.81% | 28.16% | 26.81% | 32.69% | 26.09% | 38.64% | 32.58% | 33.53% |
| Operating Margin | 8.02% | 9.33% | 7.64% | 13.05% | 7.30% | 16.77% | 12.53% | 10.24% |
| Net Margin | 5.60% | 6.34% | 7.63% | 7.13% | 4.32% | 18.17% | 9.27% | 7.20% |
| Return on Equity (ROE) | 2.19% | 2.57% | 2.84% | 2.45% | 1.56% | 6.48% | 3.06% | 2.17% |
| Return on Assets (ROA) | 2.06% | 2.42% | 2.70% | 2.38% | 1.53% | 6.55% | 2.95% | 1.98% |
Technical Analysis
MDLZ is currently in a topping phase with signs of potential distribution despite an overall bullish price trend above short-term moving averages. Momentum is moderate with RSI in neutral territory and the ADX indicating a developing trend. The chart shows mixed signals due to a death cross formation and price testing key support levels.
No extreme reading
Price in uptrend
Trend developing
Watching for cross
Key Technical Values
Price with Moving Averages
50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages
Relative Strength Index
Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes
RSI (14)
Earnings
Mondelez International (MDLZ) maintains a strong market presence as a leader in the global snacking sector, benefiting from a diversified portfolio, but fundamental analysis is currently limited by unavailable recent financials and earnings data. The company has historically shown stable growth and margin resilience, supported by brand strength and defensive industry positioning. Market valuation reflects premium pricing, signaling investor confidence but also resulting in above-sector multiples that require continued operational execution.
Latest Earnings
Q1 2026 Earnings (Mar 31, 2026)
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Actual
$0.67
Estimated
$0.61
Surprise
+$0.06
Surprise %
+10.20%
Revenue
Actual
$10.08B
Estimated
$9.75B
Surprise
+$330.14M
Surprise %
+3.39%
Historical Earnings
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Per Share | ||||||||
| EPS (Actual) | $0.67 | $0.72 | $0.73 | $0.73 | $0.74 | $0.65 | $0.99 | $0.86 |
| EPS (Estimated) | $0.61 | $0.70 | $0.72 | $0.68 | $0.65 | $0.66 | $0.85 | $0.79 |
| EPS Surprise | +$0.06 | +$0.02 | +$0.01 | +$0.05 | +$0.09 | -$0.01 | +$0.14 | +$0.07 |
| % Diff | +10.2% | +3.4% | +0.8% | +7.8% | +13.1% | -1.2% | +16.5% | +9.3% |
| Revenue | ||||||||
| Revenue (Actual) | $10.08B | $10.49B | $9.74B | $8.98B | $9.31B | $9.6B | $9.2B | $8.34B |
| Revenue (Estimated) | $9.75B | $10.31B | $9.74B | $8.86B | $9.31B | $9.64B | $9.11B | $8.45B |
| Revenue Surprise | +$330.14M | +$185.2M | +$1.59M | +$127M | -$604.75K | -$36.5M | +$89.92M | -$104.89M |
| % Diff | +3.4% | +1.8% | +0.0% | +1.4% | -0.0% | -0.4% | +1.0% | -1.2% |
Valuation
Mondelez International (MDLZ) currently trades with valuation multiples above its historical averages and peer medians, suggesting a premium valuation driven by recent strong revenue growth and robust earnings momentum. The company's solid financial health amid moderate growth prospects supports a cautiously optimistic outlook despite some valuation concerns. Analyst sentiment generally favors the stock with a modest upside potential, framed by resilient fundamentals and sector stability.
Valuation Metrics
Price to Earnings
TTM
Price to Sales
TTM
Price to Book
TTM
Enterprise Value to EBITDA
TTM
Enterprise Value to Revenue
TTM
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price to Earnings | 32.93 | 26.09 | 27.40 | 34.06 | 54.90 | 11.45 | 28.91 | 36.45 |
| Price to Sales | 7.37 | 6.61 | 8.36 | 9.72 | 9.48 | 8.32 | 10.72 | 10.50 |
| Price to Book | 2.89 | 2.69 | 3.11 | 3.33 | 3.42 | 2.97 | 3.54 | 3.16 |
| Enterprise Value to EBITDA | 102.27 | 67.67 | 85.35 | 79.80 | 106.23 | 47.19 | 73.65 | 82.08 |
| Enterprise Value to Revenue | 9.36 | 8.54 | 10.47 | 11.95 | 11.48 | 10.10 | 12.77 | 12.76 |
Sentiment & Analyst Ratings
Mondelez International (MDLZ) is currently viewed with a generally positive market sentiment supported by strong Q1 2026 earnings and reaffirmed growth guidance despite consumer confidence challenges. Analysts maintain a bullish consensus with a majority recommending buy and projecting moderate upside price targets around $67. News coverage emphasizes the company's operational resilience, strategic brand initiatives, and sustainability efforts, even as valuation metrics present mixed signals.
Analyst Recommendations
Risk Assessment
Mondelez International exhibits moderate financial risk characterized by low liquidity ratios and moderate leverage, which signals potential challenges in meeting short-term obligations but manageable long-term debt. The company faces significant margin pressure due to sustained cocoa inflation and global geopolitical risks, offset partially by resilient global brands and steady cash flow. Market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic with a consensus Buy rating, supported by stable full-year guidance and moderate upside potential.
Liquidity & Solvency
Current Ratio
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Quick Ratio
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Debt-to-Equity
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Debt-to-Assets
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidity Metrics | ||||||||
| Current Ratio | 0.54 | 0.59 | 0.61 | 0.64 | 0.61 | 0.68 | 0.63 | 0.68 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.37 | 0.39 | 0.37 | 0.39 | 0.40 | 0.48 | 0.42 | 0.50 |
| Solvency Metrics | ||||||||
| Debt-to-Equity | 0.84 | 0.87 | 0.84 | 0.82 | 0.78 | 0.68 | 0.73 | 0.73 |
| Debt-to-Assets | 0.30 | 0.31 | 0.31 | 0.30 | 0.29 | 0.27 | 0.28 | 0.28 |
Liquidity Assessment
Current Ratio: 0.54(Weak)
Quick Ratio: 0.37(Weak)
The company has relatively weak liquidity and may face challenges meeting short-term obligations.
Solvency Assessment
Debt-to-Equity: 0.84(Moderate)
Debt-to-Assets: 0.30(Moderate)
The company maintains a balanced capital structure with manageable debt levels.
Frequently Asked Questions about MDLZ
AI Answers: Common Questions About MDLZ
Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Mondelez International, Inc.
MDLZ is not a compelling buy at current levels ($61.55, P/E 30.47) due to its premium valuation and technical topping signals. While fundamentals are strong and analyst targets suggest modest upside (~$67), better entry points may emerge if the stock pulls back or cost pressures ease.
There is no urgent reason to sell unless you expect worsening margin or liquidity trends; fundamentals remain intact and the stock is defensive, but short-term technicals and valuation suggest holding rather than adding or exiting aggressively.
The biggest risks are sustained margin compression from high commodity costs (notably cocoa), weak liquidity (current ratio ~0.54, quick ratio <0.5), and potential for negative interest coverage if earnings weaken. Macro/geopolitical risks and soft consumer demand could further pressure results.
Analyst consensus targets are around $67 (8-9% upside), with technical resistance at $62.50-$63 and support at $59.17 (200 SMA) and $58.18 (50 SMA). A breakout above $63 could open room to retest the 52-week high ($71.15), but near-term upside is limited unless fundamentals improve.
The stock is fairly valued to slightly expensive, trading at a P/E of 30.47 (vs. sector ~26x) and above its 5- and 10-year averages. EV/EBITDA is also elevated, reflecting investor confidence in brand strength and cash flow, but leaves little room for multiple expansion absent stronger earnings growth.
MDLZ is fundamentally strong, with healthy margins, stable cash flows, and leading global brands. However, margin expansion is challenged by input cost inflation and liquidity metrics have weakened, so continued operational discipline is required.
Technically, the stock is in a topping phase with a death cross (50 SMA below 200 SMA), neutral RSI (65), and no clear breakout. Key support is at $59.17 and $58.18, with resistance at $62.50-$63; traders should wait for a decisive move before entering.
Key catalysts include upcoming earnings reports, potential commodity price relief (especially cocoa), and new product launches or marketing campaigns. Watch for margin commentary and liquidity improvements in future quarters.
Want a Personalized Answer?
Get AI-powered insights tailored to your risk tolerance and investment goals.