MDLZ AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ)

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
NEUTRAL

Mondelez International (MDLZ) operates as a leading global confectionery, food, and beverage company. Recent market data shows stable performance with a moderate P/E ratio, large market capitalization, and market movement toward the lower end of its 52-week range, suggesting cautious investor sentiment. The company's sector and historical stability underpin its resilience, though access to the latest detailed financials is temporarily limited.

Financial Highlights

Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026$0$3.0B$6.0B$9.0B$12.0BRevenue & Net Income ($)4.25%5.1%5.95%6.8%7.65%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$10.08B

8.24% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Income

$560.00M

39.30% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Margin

5.56%

Q1 2026

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

8.24%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Net Income Growth YoY

39.30%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

9.24%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

EPS Growth YoY

38.71%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

0.86%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Revenue10.1B10.5B9.7B9.0B9.3B9.6B9.2B8.3B
Revenue Growth YoY+8.24%+9.29%+5.87%+7.68%+0.25%+3.11%+1.94%-1.93%
Net Income560.0M665.0M743.0M641.0M402.0M1.7B853.0M601.0M
Net Income Growth YoY+39.30%-61.89%-12.90%+6.66%-71.53%+83.68%-13.31%-36.33%
EPS$0.43$0.52$0.57$0.50$0.31$1.31$0.64$0.45
EPS Growth YoY+38.71%-60.31%-10.94%+11.11%-70.48%+87.14%-11.11%-34.78%

Profitability Metrics

No profitability metrics available

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
NEUTRAL

Technical indicator data for MDLZ is currently unavailable due to API issues. However, a web search for recent chart patterns, support and resistance levels, MACD, and volume trends will be used to deliver a comprehensive technical analysis.

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
NEUTRAL

Mondelez International (MDLZ) operates as a leading global confectionery, food, and beverage company. Recent market data shows stable performance with a moderate P/E ratio, large market capitalization, and market movement toward the lower end of its 52-week range, suggesting cautious investor sentiment. The company's sector and historical stability underpin its resilience, though access to the latest detailed financials is temporarily limited.

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
OVERVALUED

Mondelez International (MDLZ) currently trades at a premium valuation relative to its industry peers and historical averages, justified by its solid market position and growth prospects. Despite some margin pressures and elevated valuation multiples, positive earnings growth and favorable analyst sentiment support a moderately optimistic outlook.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

30.23

TTM

Price to Sales

1.99

TTM

Price to Book

3.06

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

19.19

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

2.51

TTM

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Price to Earnings33.5125.8827.4033.7254.7211.4028.7836.24
Price to Sales7.376.618.369.729.488.3210.7210.50
Price to Book2.892.693.113.333.422.973.543.16
Enterprise Value to EBITDA74.5667.6785.3579.80106.2347.1973.6582.08
Enterprise Value to Revenue9.368.5410.4711.9511.4810.1012.7712.76

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
MIXED

Sentiment around MDLZ is broadly positive but mixed on technical momentum. Analyst consensus is bullish with upside price targets near $67, supported by strong recent earnings and a positive dividend outlook. However, near-term technical indicators signal caution, indicating bearish momentum and possible short-term downside risks.

Analyst Recommendations

No analyst recommendations available.

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
MODERATE

Mondelez International exhibits a solid position within the consumer defensive sector but faces liquidity constraints with current and quick ratios below industry comfort levels. The company maintains moderate leverage with manageable debt levels and a stable interest coverage ratio, though elevated cocoa costs and regulatory uncertainties add to risk. Market and competitive dynamics, including pricing power and evolving consumer preferences, position Mondelez for modest growth with some caution warranted on execution and external factors.

Liquidity & Solvency

Frequently Asked Questions about MDLZ

AI Answers: Common Questions About MDLZ

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Mondelez International, Inc.

MDLZ is not an ideal buy right now due to its elevated P/E (29.76) and EV/EBITDA multiples, which are above both sector and historical averages. While the company is fundamentally strong and analyst targets suggest ~10% upside, technicals are weak and valuation is stretched. Waiting for a pullback or technical reversal may offer a better entry.

There is no urgent need to sell unless technical support at $59 breaks or fundamentals deteriorate. The stock remains a defensive hold with stable earnings, but those seeking higher returns or concerned about valuation may consider trimming if price fails to hold key support or if negative catalysts emerge.

The biggest risks are liquidity constraints (current ratio ~0.54, quick ratio ~0.37), ongoing raw material (especially cocoa) cost inflation, and regulatory uncertainties in key markets. These could pressure margins and cash flow if not managed, though strong operating cash generation provides some buffer.

Analyst consensus targets ~$67 (about 10% upside), with technical resistance at $62.50 and major support at $59.00 and $57.50. A confirmed breakout above $62.50 could open room for further gains, but a breakdown below $59 could trigger additional downside.

MDLZ is currently overvalued, with a P/E of 29.76 and high EV/EBITDA and P/S ratios relative to both peers and its own history. The premium reflects brand strength and stable earnings, but is not fully justified by modest growth rates, so upside is limited unless growth accelerates.

Fundamentally, MDLZ is strong: sector-leading margins (gross/operating in high teens to low twenties), consistent 3-7% revenue growth, robust cash flow, and a diversified global brand portfolio. However, liquidity is weaker than peers, and growth is steady but not rapid.

Technical analysis is neutral-to-bearish: price is below short-term moving averages, momentum is fading, and volume is higher on down days. Key support is at $59, with risk of further downside if this level fails; upside is capped by resistance at $62.50.

Key catalysts include upcoming earnings (potential for beats or guidance raises), new product launches (OREO, SOUR PATCH KIDS), and macro events like commodity price shifts or regulatory changes. The recent CFO appointment and innovation pipeline are also worth monitoring.

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