MYRG AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?
MYR Group Inc. (MYRG)
MYR Group (MYRG) is fundamentally strong with robust growth, margin expansion, and positive sentiment, but its valuation is stretched and technical momentum is fading short term. Investors should be cautious about new entries at current prices, but long-term prospects remain attractive if acquired on pullbacks. The risk/reward profile is balanced, with upside from continued infrastructure demand but downside from valuation risk and cyclical headwinds.
Fundamentals
MYR Group (MYRG) has delivered robust growth momentum and a significant turnaround in profitability over the past year, underpinned by strong demand in its core electrical and specialty construction markets. Financial results show consistent outperformance against expectations, with operating and net margins exhibiting clear expansion. However, valuation has become stretched given the current P/E ratio and the extensive run-up in shares, which warrants increased caution on entry points.
Financial Highlights
- Revenue
- Net Income
- Net Margin (%)
Revenue
17.32% YoY
Q4 2025
Net Income
128.81% YoY
Q4 2025
Net Margin
Q4 2025
Growth Metrics
Revenue Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
Net Income Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
Revenue Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
EPS Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
Book Value Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
| Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | Q1 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 973.5M | 950.4M | 900.3M | 833.6M | 829.8M | 888.0M | 828.9M | 815.6M |
| Revenue Growth YoY | +17.32% | +7.02% | +8.62% | +2.21% | -17.37% | -5.47% | -6.72% | +0.49% |
| Net Income | 36.5M | 32.1M | 26.5M | 23.3M | 16.0M | 10.6M | -15.3M | 18.9M |
| Net Income Growth YoY | +128.81% | +201.38% | +273.24% | +23.07% | -33.65% | -50.50% | -168.59% | -18.24% |
| EPS | $2.33 | $2.07 | $1.70 | $1.46 | $0.99 | $0.65 | -$0.91 | $1.13 |
| EPS Growth YoY | +135.35% | +218.46% | +286.81% | +29.20% | -31.25% | -49.61% | -168.42% | -18.71% |
Profitability Metrics
Gross Margin
TTM
Operating Margin
TTM
Net Margin
TTM
Return on Equity
TTM
Return on Assets
TTM
| Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | Q1 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 11.43% | 11.77% | 11.52% | 11.62% | 10.36% | 8.70% | 4.93% | 10.57% |
| Operating Margin | 4.76% | 4.87% | 4.42% | 4.11% | 3.63% | 2.29% | -2.50% | 2.98% |
| Net Margin | 3.75% | 3.38% | 2.94% | 2.80% | 1.92% | 1.20% | -1.84% | 2.32% |
| Return on Equity (ROE) | 5.53% | 5.20% | 4.54% | 4.25% | 2.66% | 1.81% | -2.41% | 2.85% |
| Return on Assets (ROA) | 2.51% | 2.20% | 1.90% | 1.75% | 1.15% | 0.76% | -1.10% | 1.37% |
Technical Analysis
MYRG is currently in a strong uptrend characterized by a golden cross and price above key moving averages, though momentum is moderate with a neutral RSI. Technical signals are mixed due to a recent MACD sell signal, but support levels near $258 provide a solid base, with resistance close to $274-$275. Overall, the stock is advancing within a bullish phase, yet some caution is warranted due to short-term momentum fading indications.
No extreme reading
Price in uptrend
Range-bound market
50 above 200 - bullish
Key Technical Values
Price with Moving Averages
50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages
Relative Strength Index
Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes
RSI (14)
Earnings
MYR Group (MYRG) has delivered robust growth momentum and a significant turnaround in profitability over the past year, underpinned by strong demand in its core electrical and specialty construction markets. Financial results show consistent outperformance against expectations, with operating and net margins exhibiting clear expansion. However, valuation has become stretched given the current P/E ratio and the extensive run-up in shares, which warrants increased caution on entry points.
Latest Earnings
Q4 2025 Earnings (Dec 31, 2025)
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Actual
$2.33
Estimated
$1.73
Surprise
+$0.60
Surprise %
+34.68%
Revenue
Actual
$973.5M
Estimated
$911.39M
Surprise
+$62.12M
Surprise %
+6.82%
Historical Earnings
| Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | Q1 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Per Share | ||||||||
| EPS (Actual) | $2.33 | $2.05 | $1.70 | $1.45 | $0.99 | $0.65 | $-0.91 | $1.12 |
| EPS (Estimated) | $1.73 | $1.82 | $1.56 | $1.23 | $0.75 | $0.35 | $1.07 | $1.16 |
| EPS Surprise | +$0.60 | +$0.23 | +$0.14 | +$0.22 | +$0.24 | +$0.30 | -$1.98 | -$0.04 |
| % Diff | +34.7% | +12.6% | +9.0% | +17.9% | +32.0% | +85.7% | -185.0% | -3.4% |
| Revenue | ||||||||
| Revenue (Actual) | $973.5M | $950.4M | $900.33M | $833.62M | $829.8M | $888.04M | $828.89M | $815.56M |
| Revenue (Estimated) | $911.39M | $897.73M | $935.32M | $785.93M | $887.55M | $887.55M | $876.07M | $952.06M |
| Revenue Surprise | +$62.12M | +$52.67M | -$35M | +$47.69M | -$57.76M | +$489.4K | -$47.18M | -$136.5M |
| % Diff | +6.8% | +5.9% | -3.7% | +6.1% | -6.5% | +0.1% | -5.4% | -14.3% |
Valuation
MYR Group Inc. is trading with relatively high valuation multiples compared to its historical averages and some industry metrics, reflecting strong recent financial performance and positive growth prospects in electrical infrastructure markets. Analysts generally maintain a moderate buy consensus with significant price target upside, though some caution exists around valuation and margin compression risks. Overall, the company shows solid fundamental health supported by robust earnings growth, cash flow, and manageable leverage.
Valuation Metrics
Price to Earnings
TTM
Price to Sales
TTM
Price to Book
TTM
Enterprise Value to EBITDA
TTM
Enterprise Value to Revenue
TTM
| Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | Q1 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price to Earnings | 23.44 | 25.16 | 26.61 | 19.40 | 37.60 | 39.08 | -36.44 | 38.73 |
| Price to Sales | 3.52 | 3.40 | 3.13 | 2.17 | 2.89 | 1.87 | 2.69 | 3.60 |
| Price to Book | 5.18 | 5.23 | 4.83 | 3.30 | 4.00 | 2.83 | 3.52 | 4.42 |
| Enterprise Value to EBITDA | 51.86 | 52.03 | 52.63 | 56.29 | 55.15 | 48.19 | -500.70 | 75.25 |
| Enterprise Value to Revenue | 3.47 | 3.44 | 3.25 | 2.32 | 3.03 | 2.02 | 2.79 | 3.69 |
Sentiment & Analyst Ratings
MYR Group (MYRG) currently enjoys a positive market sentiment fueled by strong Q4 2025 earnings beats, a robust $2.82 billion backlog, and favorable industry trends like grid modernization and data center expansion. Analysts largely regard the stock as a Moderate Buy, with several recent price target increases, reflecting optimism about the company’s growth prospects. Retail investor sentiment is generally bullish, although some profit-taking and insider selling have introduced minor cautionary tones.
Analyst Recommendations
Risk Assessment
MYR Group Inc. exhibits a solid financial foundation with moderate liquidity and low leverage, supporting operational stability in a competitive industrial sector. While the company faces typical cyclical and project execution risks inherent in engineering and construction, it maintains strong debt service capacity and a prudent approach to bidding and customer retention. Current metrics and risk factors reflect a moderate investment risk profile relative to sector peers.
Liquidity & Solvency
Current Ratio
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
Quick Ratio
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
Debt-to-Equity
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
Debt-to-Assets
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
| Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | Q1 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidity Metrics | ||||||||
| Current Ratio | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.31 | 1.35 | 1.35 | 1.36 | 1.40 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.31 | 1.35 | 1.35 | 1.36 | 1.40 |
| Solvency Metrics | ||||||||
| Debt-to-Equity | 0.16 | 0.19 | 0.23 | 0.24 | 0.20 | 0.23 | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Debt-to-Assets | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.09 | 0.08 | 0.09 | 0.06 | 0.05 |
Liquidity Assessment
Current Ratio: 1.33(Adequate)
Quick Ratio: 1.33(Strong)
The company has adequate liquidity but may face challenges in a downturn.
Solvency Assessment
Debt-to-Equity: 0.16(Low)
Debt-to-Assets: 0.06(Low)
The company has conservative debt levels, indicating low financial risk and strong long-term solvency.
Frequently Asked Questions about MYRG
AI Answers: Common Questions About MYRG
Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about MYR Group Inc.
MYRG is not an ideal buy at current levels given its P/E of 43.6 and price near $270, well above historical averages and close to resistance. A better entry would be on a pullback toward the $258 support zone, where risk is more manageable relative to upside.
If you are a long-term holder, there is no fundamental reason to sell as growth and margins are improving and sentiment is positive. However, short-term traders may consider trimming if the stock fails to break above $274-$275, as technicals suggest a possible retest of support.
The biggest risks are valuation risk (P/E 43.6, EV/EBITDA high), cyclical swings in utility capex, and project execution delays. Financial risk is moderate with a low debt/equity ratio (~0.16) and strong liquidity, but macroeconomic downturns could pressure margins and backlog.
Technical resistance is at $274-$275, with the 52-week high at $290.87 as a potential upside target if momentum resumes. Analyst price targets range up to $310, but near-term downside risk exists to $258 support if momentum fades.
MYRG is overvalued by traditional metrics: P/E is 43.6, well above sector and historical norms, and P/S and EV/EBITDA are also elevated. The premium reflects strong growth, but leaves little margin for error if growth slows.
Fundamentals are robust: revenue grew 8.8% YoY, EPS up 30%, gross margin 11.5%, net margin 3.2%, and backlog at $2.82B. Balance sheet is strong with low leverage and high earnings quality, supporting long-term confidence.
Technically, MYRG is in a bullish long-term trend (golden cross, price above 50/200 SMA), but short-term momentum is fading (MACD sell, RSI neutral at 54). Key support is $258, resistance $274-$275; a breakout or pullback will clarify direction.
Key catalysts include upcoming earnings (with a track record of beats), new contract wins, backlog growth, and macro events like federal infrastructure funding. Watch for analyst upgrades and technical breakouts above resistance for renewed momentum.
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