MYRG AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?
MYR Group Inc. (MYRG)
Fundamentals
MYR Group Inc. (MYRG) has demonstrated robust top-line growth and significant improvements in profitability over the past year. The company has consistently beaten earnings expectations in recent quarters, supporting bullish investor sentiment, although its current valuation is elevated relative to historical norms.
Financial Highlights
- Revenue
- Net Income
- Net Margin (%)
Revenue
17.32% YoY
Q4 2025
Net Income
128.81% YoY
Q4 2025
Net Margin
Q4 2025
Growth Metrics
Profitability Metrics
Technical Analysis
MYRG is exhibiting a strong uptrend supported by bullish moving average positioning and institutional accumulation, signaling a robust advancing phase. However, the RSI indicates overbought conditions, cautioning potential near-term pullbacks or consolidation before further gains.
Watch for pullback
Price in uptrend
Range-bound market
50 above 200 - bullish
Key Technical Values
Price with Moving Averages
50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages
Relative Strength Index
Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes
RSI (14)
Earnings
MYR Group Inc. (MYRG) has demonstrated robust top-line growth and significant improvements in profitability over the past year. The company has consistently beaten earnings expectations in recent quarters, supporting bullish investor sentiment, although its current valuation is elevated relative to historical norms.
Latest Earnings
Q4 2025 Earnings (Dec 31, 2025)
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Actual
$2.33
Estimated
$1.73
Surprise
+$0.60
Surprise %
+34.68%
Revenue
Actual
$973.54M
Estimated
$897.95M
Surprise
+$75.59M
Surprise %
+8.42%
Historical Earnings
| Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | Q1 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Per Share | ||||||||
| EPS (Actual) | $2.33 | $2.05 | $1.70 | $1.45 | $0.99 | $0.65 | $-0.91 | $1.12 |
| EPS (Estimated) | $1.73 | $1.82 | $1.56 | $1.23 | $0.75 | $0.35 | $1.07 | $1.16 |
| EPS Surprise | +$0.60 | +$0.23 | +$0.14 | +$0.22 | +$0.24 | +$0.30 | -$1.98 | -$0.04 |
| % Diff | +34.7% | +12.6% | +9.0% | +17.9% | +32.0% | +85.7% | -185.0% | -3.4% |
| Revenue | ||||||||
| Revenue (Actual) | $973.54M | $950.4M | $900.33M | $833.62M | $829.8M | $888.04M | $828.89M | $815.56M |
| Revenue (Estimated) | $897.95M | $897.73M | $935.32M | $785.93M | $887.55M | $887.55M | $876.07M | $952.06M |
| Revenue Surprise | +$75.59M | +$52.67M | -$35M | +$47.69M | -$57.76M | +$489.4K | -$47.18M | -$136.5M |
| % Diff | +8.4% | +5.9% | -3.7% | +6.1% | -6.5% | +0.1% | -5.4% | -14.3% |
Valuation
MYR Group (MYRG) currently trades at a premium valuation with strong revenue growth and robust earnings momentum. While it has outperformed its sector and delivered solid financial results, valuation multiples suggest it may be somewhat stretched relative to peers and its historical averages. Analysts maintain a generally positive but cautious stance with a mixed price target range.
Valuation Metrics
Sentiment & Analyst Ratings
MYR Group (MYRG) currently enjoys generally positive sentiment driven by strong financial results and solid growth prospects in utility infrastructure and data center construction. Analysts predominantly recommend Buy or Hold with price targets clustered around current prices, reflecting confidence tempered by valuation concerns. Retail investor sentiment is mixed, showing optimism from recent earnings but caution due to perceived overvaluation and rising short interest.
Analyst Recommendations
Risk Assessment
MYR Group Inc. exhibits solid financial health with moderate liquidity and low leverage. The company is positioned in a highly competitive sector with strong growth prospects driven by grid modernization and renewable energy investments, though it faces margin pressure and regulatory challenges. From an investor standpoint, the financials suggest manageable risk with room for growth, but the stock is currently trading at a premium against some analyst targets.
Liquidity & Solvency
Frequently Asked Questions about MYRG
AI Answers: Common Questions About MYRG
Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about MYR Group Inc.
MYRG is not an ideal buy at current levels for short-term traders due to its high P/E (42.21), overbought RSI (70.38), and price near the 52-week high ($321.68). Long-term investors may consider accumulating on dips, as fundamentals are strong and industry tailwinds persist.
If you are a short-term trader, consider taking profits or trimming positions as technicals suggest a pullback is likely. Long-term holders can maintain positions, as the fundamental outlook remains robust and no deterioration is evident.
Key risks include the elevated valuation (P/E > 40), low gross margins (11.6%), moderate liquidity (current ratio 1.33), and sector-specific challenges like regulatory delays, labor shortages, and execution risk. Rising short interest and potential for margin compression also warrant caution.
Analyst price targets cluster between $295 and $332, with technical resistance at $321.68 (52-week high). Upside target is $330 if a breakout holds, while downside support is at $275 (50 SMA) and $235 (150 SMA) if a pullback occurs.
MYRG is currently overvalued relative to both sector peers and its own history, with a P/E of 42.21 and premium EV/EBITDA and P/B multiples. While growth justifies some premium, the current price bakes in high expectations and limits short-term upside.
Fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 17.3% YoY last quarter, EPS rose 311% in 2025, and margins have recovered (gross margin 11.6%, net margin 3.2%). The balance sheet is healthy with low debt (debt/equity ~0.16) and strong interest coverage (>50x).
Technically, MYRG is overbought (RSI 70.38), at resistance ($321.68), and momentum is stalling (low ADX). A pullback to support at $275 or consolidation is likely before further gains; best entries are on dips after overbought conditions ease.
Key catalysts include upcoming earnings reports, new contract wins in utility/data center infrastructure, and continued industry investment in grid modernization. Watch for backlog updates and management guidance revisions.
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