MYRG AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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MYR Group Inc. (MYRG)

$268.50-6.12 (-2.23%) today

Open
$272.00
High
$272.00
Low
$258.93
Volume
344.46K
Mkt Cap
$4.17B
52W High
$290.87
AI Verdict
Confidence 85%
MYRGMYR Group Inc.
AlphaCrew AI
MIXED
Overall
Summary

MYR Group (MYRG) is fundamentally strong with robust growth, margin expansion, and positive sentiment, but its valuation is stretched and technical momentum is fading short term. Investors should be cautious about new entries at current prices, but long-term prospects remain attractive if acquired on pullbacks. The risk/reward profile is balanced, with upside from continued infrastructure demand but downside from valuation risk and cyclical headwinds.

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Short
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Medium
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Agent Signals
131
Fund
Tech
Val
Sent
Risk

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
MIXED

MYR Group (MYRG) has delivered robust growth momentum and a significant turnaround in profitability over the past year, underpinned by strong demand in its core electrical and specialty construction markets. Financial results show consistent outperformance against expectations, with operating and net margins exhibiting clear expansion. However, valuation has become stretched given the current P/E ratio and the extensive run-up in shares, which warrants increased caution on entry points.

Financial Highlights

Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025$0$250.0M$500.0M$750.0M$1.0BRevenue & Net Income ($)1.65%2.2%2.75%3.3%3.85%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$973.50M

17.32% YoY

Q4 2025

Net Income

$36.50M

128.81% YoY

Q4 2025

Net Margin

3.75%

Q4 2025

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

17.32%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Net Income Growth YoY

128.81%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

20.76%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

EPS Growth YoY

135.35%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

13.23%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Revenue973.5M950.4M900.3M833.6M829.8M888.0M828.9M815.6M
Revenue Growth YoY+17.32%+7.02%+8.62%+2.21%-17.37%-5.47%-6.72%+0.49%
Net Income36.5M32.1M26.5M23.3M16.0M10.6M-15.3M18.9M
Net Income Growth YoY+128.81%+201.38%+273.24%+23.07%-33.65%-50.50%-168.59%-18.24%
EPS$2.33$2.07$1.70$1.46$0.99$0.65-$0.91$1.13
EPS Growth YoY+135.35%+218.46%+286.81%+29.20%-31.25%-49.61%-168.42%-18.71%

Profitability Metrics

Gross Margin

11.59%

TTM

Operating Margin

4.56%

TTM

Net Margin

3.24%

TTM

Return on Equity

19.65%

TTM

Return on Assets

8.13%

TTM

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Gross Margin11.43%11.77%11.52%11.62%10.36%8.70%4.93%10.57%
Operating Margin4.76%4.87%4.42%4.11%3.63%2.29%-2.50%2.98%
Net Margin3.75%3.38%2.94%2.80%1.92%1.20%-1.84%2.32%
Return on Equity (ROE)5.53%5.20%4.54%4.25%2.66%1.81%-2.41%2.85%
Return on Assets (ROA)2.51%2.20%1.90%1.75%1.15%0.76%-1.10%1.37%

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
NEUTRAL

MYRG is currently in a strong uptrend characterized by a golden cross and price above key moving averages, though momentum is moderate with a neutral RSI. Technical signals are mixed due to a recent MACD sell signal, but support levels near $258 provide a solid base, with resistance close to $274-$275. Overall, the stock is advancing within a bullish phase, yet some caution is warranted due to short-term momentum fading indications.

RSI
Hold
Neutral53

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Buy
Strong Uptrend

Price in uptrend

+28.8% from 200 SMA
ADX
Hold
Weak/No Trend14

Range-bound market

Weak
MA Cross
Buy
Above 50/200

50 above 200 - bullish

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$268.50
50 SMA
$251.35
150 SMA
$219.32
200 SMA
$208.44
52W High
$290.87
52W Low
$97.72

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
53Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
MIXED

MYR Group (MYRG) has delivered robust growth momentum and a significant turnaround in profitability over the past year, underpinned by strong demand in its core electrical and specialty construction markets. Financial results show consistent outperformance against expectations, with operating and net margins exhibiting clear expansion. However, valuation has become stretched given the current P/E ratio and the extensive run-up in shares, which warrants increased caution on entry points.

Latest Earnings

Q4 2025 Earnings (Dec 31, 2025)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$2.33

Estimated

$1.73

Surprise

+$0.60

Surprise %

+34.68%

Revenue

Beat

Actual

$973.5M

Estimated

$911.39M

Surprise

+$62.12M

Surprise %

+6.82%

Historical Earnings

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$2.33$2.05$1.70$1.45$0.99$0.65$-0.91$1.12
EPS (Estimated)$1.73$1.82$1.56$1.23$0.75$0.35$1.07$1.16
EPS Surprise+$0.60+$0.23+$0.14+$0.22+$0.24+$0.30-$1.98-$0.04
% Diff+34.7%+12.6%+9.0%+17.9%+32.0%+85.7%-185.0%-3.4%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$973.5M$950.4M$900.33M$833.62M$829.8M$888.04M$828.89M$815.56M
Revenue (Estimated)$911.39M$897.73M$935.32M$785.93M$887.55M$887.55M$876.07M$952.06M
Revenue Surprise+$62.12M+$52.67M-$35M+$47.69M-$57.76M+$489.4K-$47.18M-$136.5M
% Diff+6.8%+5.9%-3.7%+6.1%-6.5%+0.1%-5.4%-14.3%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
OVERVALUED

MYR Group Inc. is trading with relatively high valuation multiples compared to its historical averages and some industry metrics, reflecting strong recent financial performance and positive growth prospects in electrical infrastructure markets. Analysts generally maintain a moderate buy consensus with significant price target upside, though some caution exists around valuation and margin compression risks. Overall, the company shows solid fundamental health supported by robust earnings growth, cash flow, and manageable leverage.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

35.53

TTM

Price to Sales

1.14

TTM

Price to Book

6.37

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

18.91

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

1.13

TTM

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Price to Earnings23.4425.1626.6119.4037.6039.08-36.4438.73
Price to Sales3.523.403.132.172.891.872.693.60
Price to Book5.185.234.833.304.002.833.524.42
Enterprise Value to EBITDA51.8652.0352.6356.2955.1548.19-500.7075.25
Enterprise Value to Revenue3.473.443.252.323.032.022.793.69

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
POSITIVE

MYR Group (MYRG) currently enjoys a positive market sentiment fueled by strong Q4 2025 earnings beats, a robust $2.82 billion backlog, and favorable industry trends like grid modernization and data center expansion. Analysts largely regard the stock as a Moderate Buy, with several recent price target increases, reflecting optimism about the company’s growth prospects. Retail investor sentiment is generally bullish, although some profit-taking and insider selling have introduced minor cautionary tones.

Analyst Recommendations

As of Mar 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Buy
3.6 / 5.0
Based on 7 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
0
Sell
0
Hold
3
Buy
4
Strong Buy
0

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
MODERATE

MYR Group Inc. exhibits a solid financial foundation with moderate liquidity and low leverage, supporting operational stability in a competitive industrial sector. While the company faces typical cyclical and project execution risks inherent in engineering and construction, it maintains strong debt service capacity and a prudent approach to bidding and customer retention. Current metrics and risk factors reflect a moderate investment risk profile relative to sector peers.

Liquidity & Solvency

Current Ratio

1.33

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Quick Ratio

1.33

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Debt-to-Equity

0.16

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Debt-to-Assets

0.06

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Liquidity Metrics
Current Ratio1.331.331.331.311.351.351.361.40
Quick Ratio1.331.331.331.311.351.351.361.40
Solvency Metrics
Debt-to-Equity0.160.190.230.240.200.230.140.12
Debt-to-Assets0.060.070.080.090.080.090.060.05

Liquidity Assessment

Current Ratio: 1.33(Adequate)

Quick Ratio: 1.33(Strong)

The company has adequate liquidity but may face challenges in a downturn.

Solvency Assessment

Debt-to-Equity: 0.16(Low)

Debt-to-Assets: 0.06(Low)

The company has conservative debt levels, indicating low financial risk and strong long-term solvency.

Frequently Asked Questions about MYRG

AI Answers: Common Questions About MYRG

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about MYR Group Inc.

MYRG is not an ideal buy at current levels given its P/E of 43.6 and price near $270, well above historical averages and close to resistance. A better entry would be on a pullback toward the $258 support zone, where risk is more manageable relative to upside.

If you are a long-term holder, there is no fundamental reason to sell as growth and margins are improving and sentiment is positive. However, short-term traders may consider trimming if the stock fails to break above $274-$275, as technicals suggest a possible retest of support.

The biggest risks are valuation risk (P/E 43.6, EV/EBITDA high), cyclical swings in utility capex, and project execution delays. Financial risk is moderate with a low debt/equity ratio (~0.16) and strong liquidity, but macroeconomic downturns could pressure margins and backlog.

Technical resistance is at $274-$275, with the 52-week high at $290.87 as a potential upside target if momentum resumes. Analyst price targets range up to $310, but near-term downside risk exists to $258 support if momentum fades.

MYRG is overvalued by traditional metrics: P/E is 43.6, well above sector and historical norms, and P/S and EV/EBITDA are also elevated. The premium reflects strong growth, but leaves little margin for error if growth slows.

Fundamentals are robust: revenue grew 8.8% YoY, EPS up 30%, gross margin 11.5%, net margin 3.2%, and backlog at $2.82B. Balance sheet is strong with low leverage and high earnings quality, supporting long-term confidence.

Technically, MYRG is in a bullish long-term trend (golden cross, price above 50/200 SMA), but short-term momentum is fading (MACD sell, RSI neutral at 54). Key support is $258, resistance $274-$275; a breakout or pullback will clarify direction.

Key catalysts include upcoming earnings (with a track record of beats), new contract wins, backlog growth, and macro events like federal infrastructure funding. Watch for analyst upgrades and technical breakouts above resistance for renewed momentum.

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