NBIS AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

5 left

Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS)

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
MIXED

Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS) displays volatile financial performance with recent strong revenue growth but erratic profitability marked by fluctuating operating losses and occasional net income spikes largely driven by non-operating income. The company operates in the competitive software infrastructure sector, showing increasing revenue momentum but ongoing challenges in controlling operating costs and sustaining margins, reflected in a challenging earnings trajectory and a valuation reflecting profitability uncertainty.

Financial Highlights

Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026-$250.0M$0$250.0M$500.0M$750.0MRevenue & Net Income ($)-250%0%250%500%750%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$399.00M

621.52% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Income

$621.20M

646.83% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Margin

155.69%

Q1 2026

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

621.52%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Net Income Growth YoY

646.83%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

564.82%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

EPS Growth YoY

600.00%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

111.08%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Revenue399.0M227.7M146.1M105.1M55.3M37.9M43.3M12.1M
Revenue Growth YoY+621.52%+500.79%+237.41%+769.73%+389.50%+465.67%+766.00%+157.11%
Net Income621.2M-249.6M-119.6M584.4M-113.6M-133.2M-94.2M-554.5M
Net Income Growth YoY+646.83%-87.39%-26.96%+205.40%-186.73%-82.72%-211.74%-414.51%
EPS$2.40-$0.99-$0.47$2.45-$0.48-$0.58-$0.26$0.50
EPS Growth YoY+600.00%-70.69%-80.77%+390.00%-45.45%-190.00%-213.04%+2.04%

Profitability Metrics

No profitability metrics available

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
NEUTRAL

NBIS is currently in a consolidative phase within an overall advancing Stage 2 uptrend, backed by institutional accumulation signals. The stock price is trading below the 50-day SMA but above the 150- and 200-day SMAs, indicating mixed short-term momentum but overall medium-term strength. Momentum indicators suggest a neutral stance with weak trend strength, reflecting a range-bound environment with potential for continuation once consolidation resolves.

RSI
Hold
Neutral52

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Hold
Mixed

Mixed signals

+50.1% from 200 SMA
ADX
Hold
Weak/No Trend14

Range-bound market

Weak
MA Cross
Hold
Golden Cross

Watching for cross

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$212.58
50 SMA
$224.11
150 SMA
$155.28
200 SMA
$141.61
52W High
$299.86
52W Low
$50.10

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
52Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
MIXED

Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS) displays volatile financial performance with recent strong revenue growth but erratic profitability marked by fluctuating operating losses and occasional net income spikes largely driven by non-operating income. The company operates in the competitive software infrastructure sector, showing increasing revenue momentum but ongoing challenges in controlling operating costs and sustaining margins, reflected in a challenging earnings trajectory and a valuation reflecting profitability uncertainty.

Latest Earnings

Q1 2026 Earnings (Mar 31, 2026)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$-0.23

Estimated

$-0.77

Surprise

+$0.54

Surprise %

+70.04%

Revenue

Beat

Actual

$399M

Estimated

$375.13M

Surprise

+$23.87M

Surprise %

+6.36%

Historical Earnings

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$-0.23$-0.99$-0.39$-0.38$-0.43$-0.43$-0.33$0.68
EPS (Estimated)$-0.77$-0.58$-0.56$-0.50$-0.45$-0.39--
EPS Surprise+$0.54-$0.41+$0.17+$0.12+$0.01-$0.04--
% Diff+70.0%-70.7%+29.9%+24.0%+2.2%-9.3%--
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$399M$227.7M$146.1M$105.1M$55.3M$37.9M$43.3M$12.08M
Revenue (Estimated)$375.13M$246.05M$157.88M$105.37M$57.73M$58.1M--
Revenue Surprise+$23.87M-$18.35M-$11.78M-$271.75K-$2.43M-$20.2M--
% Diff+6.4%-7.5%-7.5%-0.3%-4.2%-34.8%--

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
FAIRLY VALUED

Nebius Group (NBIS) displays strong growth fundamentals and a compelling long-term revenue outlook, supported by significant multi-year contracts and a strategic position in the expanding AI infrastructure sector. Although valuation multiples are elevated relative to peers and history, anticipated high growth rates and robust analyst price targets suggest the stock may still offer upside potential amid certain risks.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

62.71

TTM

Price to Sales

58.12

TTM

Price to Book

7.58

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

36.66

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

58.45

TTM

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Price to Earnings10.81-21.14-59.725.65-10.99-11.94-19.2310.00
Price to Sales67.1788.65193.50126.3590.85172.49132.56486.58
Price to Book3.704.385.883.521.592.012.001.36
Enterprise Value to EBITDA29.42-767.15-1341.8524.31-40.32-36.5985.34-70.71
Enterprise Value to Revenue67.9094.34191.96122.0268.08109.1680.36295.00

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
MIXED

NBIS sentiment shows a moderately positive outlook driven by strong analyst buy ratings and significant partnerships like the multi-year compute deal with Reflection AI. Despite short-term retail volatility fueled by social media and concerns about competitive risks from large players like Meta, institutional sentiment remains bullish with price targets indicating substantial upside potential. Investor psychology reflects cautious optimism balancing near-term technical volatility against solid strategic growth catalysts.

Analyst Recommendations

As of Aug 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Buy
3.6 / 5.0
Based on 17 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
1
Sell
0
Hold
5
Buy
10
Strong Buy
1

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
HIGH

Nebius Group (NBIS) presents a complex risk profile characterized by rapid revenue growth and heavy capital expenditure, balanced against strong liquidity and elevated leverage. While the company demonstrates robust short-term financial health and significant growth prospects in AI infrastructure, execution risks and market volatility remain material concerns for investors.

Liquidity & Solvency

Frequently Asked Questions about NBIS

AI Answers: Common Questions About NBIS

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Nebius Group N.V.

NBIS is a mixed buy candidate: strong revenue growth and strategic partnerships support long-term upside, but persistent operating losses and volatile earnings suggest waiting for clearer profitability signals before aggressive buying.

Selling is not broadly recommended unless operating losses deepen or key partnerships fail. Current technical consolidation and mixed sentiment advise holding or waiting rather than selling outright.

Key risks include high operating expenses causing negative margins, reliance on a few large customers, regulatory constraints like the New York data center moratorium, and competitive pressures from AI giants such as Meta.

Analyst price targets average between $219 and $258, with technical resistance near $224 acting as a near-term upside barrier.

NBIS trades at premium multiples (high EV/EBITDA and P/S) justified by rapid revenue growth (350%+ year-over-year) and strategic AI infrastructure positioning, but valuation risk remains if growth or margin expansion falters.

Fundamentals show exceptional revenue growth from $117M in 2024 to nearly $530M in 2025, with gross margins improving from 37.5% to over 68%, but operating margins remain negative due to high SG&A and R&D expenses.

Technicals indicate consolidation with price below the 50-day SMA resistance at $224, neutral RSI at 46.7, and weak trend strength (ADX 15.2), suggesting sideways action until a breakout or breakdown occurs.

Key catalysts include the $1 billion Reflection AI multi-year deal, Nvidia's $2 billion investment, upcoming earnings reports clarifying profitability trajectory, and potential technical breakout above $224.

Want a Personalized Answer?

Get AI-powered insights tailored to your risk tolerance and investment goals.

More AI Stock Analyses