NEE AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?
NextEra Energy, Inc. (NEE)
NextEra Energy (NEE) offers a compelling long-term investment case driven by sector-leading fundamentals, robust growth in renewables, and a strong regulatory position, albeit at a premium valuation and with moderate financial risk. Technicals and sentiment are supportive in the near term, with the stock consolidating near key resistance and institutional accumulation evident. While short-term volatility and liquidity risks exist, the risk/reward profile remains favorable for investors seeking exposure to the energy transition.
Fundamentals
NextEra Energy (NEE) demonstrates strong operational fundamentals with consistent revenue and earnings growth, robust profitability, and efficient execution in the utilities sector. While the company maintains high margins and increasing scale, recent revenue shortfalls to Wall Street expectations warrant cautious optimism, especially as the shares trade at a premium valuation relative to peers.
Financial Highlights
- Revenue
- Net Income
- Net Margin (%)
Revenue
11.38% YoY
Q1 2026
Net Income
161.94% YoY
Q1 2026
Net Margin
Q1 2026
Growth Metrics
Revenue Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Net Income Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Revenue Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
EPS Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Book Value Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 7.0B | 6.6B | 8.0B | 6.7B | 6.2B | 5.4B | 7.6B | 6.1B |
| Revenue Growth YoY | +11.38% | +21.88% | +5.27% | +10.40% | +9.00% | -21.71% | +5.51% | -17.42% |
| Net Income | 2.2B | 1.5B | 2.4B | 2.0B | 833.0M | 1.2B | 1.9B | 1.6B |
| Net Income Growth YoY | +161.94% | +27.60% | +31.64% | +25.03% | -63.27% | -0.58% | +51.93% | -41.97% |
| EPS | $1.05 | $0.73 | $1.18 | $0.99 | $0.41 | $0.58 | $0.90 | $0.79 |
| EPS Growth YoY | +156.10% | +25.86% | +31.11% | +25.32% | -63.06% | -1.69% | +50.00% | -42.75% |
Profitability Metrics
Gross Margin
TTM
Operating Margin
TTM
Net Margin
TTM
Return on Equity
TTM
Return on Assets
TTM
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 80.90% | 57.50% | 66.23% | 64.12% | 62.57% | 55.28% | 64.35% | 59.61% |
| Operating Margin | 31.73% | 24.17% | 31.72% | 28.52% | 36.11% | 17.47% | 37.74% | 27.52% |
| Net Margin | 31.36% | 23.39% | 30.61% | 30.27% | 13.33% | 22.34% | 24.47% | 26.73% |
| Return on Equity (ROE) | 3.95% | 2.81% | 4.50% | 3.99% | 1.67% | 2.40% | 3.70% | 3.30% |
| Return on Assets (ROA) | 1.01% | 0.75% | 1.22% | 1.05% | 0.44% | 0.66% | 1.02% | 0.90% |
Technical Analysis
NEE is currently exhibiting a strong uptrend confirmed by a golden cross and price above key moving averages, though momentum is moderate as indicated by a neutral RSI and low ADX. The stock is in the advancing phase with institutional accumulation, suggesting bullish interest but with some recent range-bound characteristics. Price is near resistance at its 52-week high, showing potential for further gains if a breakout occurs.
No extreme reading
Price in uptrend
Range-bound market
50 above 200 - bullish
Key Technical Values
Price with Moving Averages
50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages
Relative Strength Index
Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes
RSI (14)
Earnings
NextEra Energy (NEE) demonstrates strong operational fundamentals with consistent revenue and earnings growth, robust profitability, and efficient execution in the utilities sector. While the company maintains high margins and increasing scale, recent revenue shortfalls to Wall Street expectations warrant cautious optimism, especially as the shares trade at a premium valuation relative to peers.
Latest Earnings
Q1 2026 Earnings (Mar 31, 2026)
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Actual
$1.09
Estimated
$1.03
Surprise
+$0.06
Surprise %
+5.83%
Revenue
Actual
$6.7B
Estimated
$7.27B
Surprise
-$564.36M
Surprise %
-7.77%
Historical Earnings
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Per Share | ||||||||
| EPS (Actual) | $1.09 | $0.53 | $1.13 | $1.05 | $0.99 | $0.53 | $1.03 | $0.96 |
| EPS (Estimated) | $1.03 | $0.56 | $0.97 | $1.01 | $0.97 | $0.53 | $0.98 | $0.98 |
| EPS Surprise | +$0.06 | -$0.03 | +$0.16 | +$0.04 | +$0.02 | +$0.00 | +$0.05 | -$0.02 |
| % Diff | +5.8% | -5.4% | +16.9% | +4.0% | +2.2% | +0.0% | +5.1% | -2.0% |
| Revenue | ||||||||
| Revenue (Actual) | $6.7B | $6.5B | $7.97B | $6.7B | $6.25B | $5.39B | $7.57B | $6.07B |
| Revenue (Estimated) | $7.27B | $6.72B | $8.12B | $7.21B | $6.64B | $7.57B | $8.11B | $7.27B |
| Revenue Surprise | -$564.36M | -$224.87M | -$158.52M | -$514.24M | -$396.04M | -$2.19B | -$542.55M | -$1.2B |
| % Diff | -7.8% | -3.3% | -2.0% | -7.1% | -6.0% | -28.9% | -6.7% | -16.6% |
Valuation
NextEra Energy (NEE) presents a valuation profile that combines stable regulated utility earnings with attractive growth prospects in renewable energy and energy infrastructure. While the stock trades at a premium to many peers, this premium appears justified by solid earnings growth and expansion initiatives, supported by generally positive analyst sentiment and moderate upside in price targets. Overall, NEE shows robust financial metrics but carries elevated leverage and moderate liquidity risks common in its sector.
Valuation Metrics
Price to Earnings
TTM
Price to Sales
TTM
Price to Book
TTM
Enterprise Value to EBITDA
TTM
Enterprise Value to Revenue
TTM
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price to Earnings | 22.23 | 27.31 | 15.92 | 17.60 | 43.76 | 30.65 | 23.43 | 22.11 |
| Price to Sales | 27.89 | 25.55 | 19.49 | 21.31 | 23.34 | 27.38 | 22.94 | 23.64 |
| Price to Book | 3.51 | 3.07 | 2.87 | 2.81 | 2.93 | 2.94 | 3.47 | 2.92 |
| Enterprise Value to EBITDA | 75.08 | 67.88 | 47.91 | 54.47 | 80.57 | 120.10 | 49.50 | 63.74 |
| Enterprise Value to Revenue | 42.60 | 39.69 | 30.88 | 34.96 | 37.31 | 42.40 | 33.58 | 37.00 |
Sentiment & Analyst Ratings
NextEra Energy (NEE) sentiment is moderately positive with strong analyst buy-side support and growing retail enthusiasm. Key drivers include strategic expansions in renewables and gas-fired power projects tied to AI data center demands. However, recent revenue underperformance and execution risks temper overall optimism.
Analyst Recommendations
Risk Assessment
NextEra Energy shows a financially leveraged profile with a current ratio below 1, indicating liquidity constraints, but benefits from a robust demand outlook, especially in growing sectors like AI-related data center energy supply. Despite large debt levels, its interest coverage is moderate, and it has a strong renewable project backlog and regulatory support, positioning it to capitalize on energy transition trends. Key risks include interest rate sensitivity, regulatory uncertainties, and supply chain constraints that could affect execution and growth.
Liquidity & Solvency
Current Ratio
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Quick Ratio
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Debt-to-Equity
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Debt-to-Assets
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidity Metrics | ||||||||
| Current Ratio | 0.54 | 0.60 | 0.55 | 0.54 | 0.55 | 0.47 | 0.41 | 0.49 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.44 | 0.49 | 0.45 | 0.45 | 0.45 | 0.38 | 0.33 | 0.41 |
| Solvency Metrics | ||||||||
| Debt-to-Equity | 1.89 | 1.75 | 1.72 | 1.83 | 1.80 | 1.64 | 1.65 | 1.68 |
| Debt-to-Assets | 0.47 | 0.45 | 0.46 | 0.47 | 0.46 | 0.43 | 0.44 | 0.45 |
Liquidity Assessment
Current Ratio: 0.54(Weak)
Quick Ratio: 0.44(Weak)
The company has relatively weak liquidity and may face challenges meeting short-term obligations.
Solvency Assessment
Debt-to-Equity: 1.89(High)
Debt-to-Assets: 0.47(Moderate)
The company has relatively high debt levels, which may increase financial risk in economic downturns.
Frequently Asked Questions about NEE
AI Answers: Common Questions About NEE
Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about NextEra Energy, Inc.
NEE is a good buy for long-term investors seeking growth in renewables and stable utility earnings, with a P/E of 23.63 and strong margins (gross margin 62.8%, net margin >25%). While the stock trades at a premium to peers, this is justified by its superior growth and project pipeline. Entry near $93 is reasonable for accumulation, especially on pullbacks or a breakout above $98.75.
Unless your thesis has changed or you need to reduce risk exposure, there is no strong reason to sell NEE now; fundamentals remain robust, and technicals do not indicate a breakdown (support at $92.88). Only consider trimming if the stock fails to break out above resistance or if leverage/interest rate risks worsen materially.
The biggest risks are high leverage (debt/equity ~1.89, current ratio 0.54), making NEE sensitive to interest rate increases and liquidity crunches; regulatory or legislative changes in Florida could impact returns; and execution delays or supply chain issues could affect large renewables projects. Interest coverage is moderate at about 1.7, so earnings volatility could pressure debt service.
Technically, resistance is at $98.75 (52-week high), with upside targets to $102-$105 if a breakout occurs; downside support is at $92.88 and $87.33. Analyst price targets are generally above $100, reflecting confidence in growth and execution.
NEE is fairly valued at a P/E of 23.63 and high EV/EBITDA, trading at a premium to the sector but below its own 5-year average. The premium is justified by superior growth, margins, and renewables positioning, but the stock is not cheap; valuation leaves limited room for multiple expansion unless growth accelerates.
Fundamentals are strong: double-digit revenue and earnings growth (FY2025 revenue +11%, net income +11.6%), expanding margins (gross margin 62.8%, net margin >25%), and high-quality, contracted cash flows. However, leverage and liquidity are weaker than peers, so financial risk is elevated but manageable given cash flow strength.
Technical analysis is bullish overall: golden cross (50 SMA > 200 SMA), price above major moving averages, and institutional accumulation. RSI is neutral (47.5), and the stock is consolidating just below resistance at $98.75; a breakout would confirm further upside, while support at $92.88 offers a reasonable entry zone.
Key catalysts include a breakout above $98.75, new project wins (especially tied to AI/data center demand), upcoming earnings reports, dividend increase announcements, and favorable regulatory outcomes. Watch for volume spikes and analyst upgrades as signals for momentum shifts.
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