NEE AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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NextEra Energy, Inc. (NEE)

$94.59-0.25 (-0.26%) today

Open
$94.70
High
$95.08
Low
$93.60
Volume
6.92M
Mkt Cap
$197.25B
52W High
$98.75
AI Verdict
Confidence 88%
NEENextEra Energy, Inc.
AlphaCrew AI
BUY
Overall
Summary

NextEra Energy (NEE) offers a compelling long-term investment case driven by sector-leading fundamentals, robust growth in renewables, and a strong regulatory position, albeit at a premium valuation and with moderate financial risk. Technicals and sentiment are supportive in the near term, with the stock consolidating near key resistance and institutional accumulation evident. While short-term volatility and liquidity risks exist, the risk/reward profile remains favorable for investors seeking exposure to the energy transition.

By Timeframe
Hover for details
HOLD
Short
BUY
Medium
BUY
Long
Agent Signals
23
Fund
Tech
Val
Sent
Risk

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

NextEra Energy (NEE) demonstrates strong operational fundamentals with consistent revenue and earnings growth, robust profitability, and efficient execution in the utilities sector. While the company maintains high margins and increasing scale, recent revenue shortfalls to Wall Street expectations warrant cautious optimism, especially as the shares trade at a premium valuation relative to peers.

Financial Highlights

Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026$0$2.0B$4.0B$6.0B$8.0BRevenue & Net Income ($)12%18%24%30%36%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$6.96B

11.38% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Income

$2.18B

161.94% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Margin

31.36%

Q1 2026

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

11.38%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Net Income Growth YoY

161.94%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

9.68%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

EPS Growth YoY

156.10%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

8.69%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Revenue7.0B6.6B8.0B6.7B6.2B5.4B7.6B6.1B
Revenue Growth YoY+11.38%+21.88%+5.27%+10.40%+9.00%-21.71%+5.51%-17.42%
Net Income2.2B1.5B2.4B2.0B833.0M1.2B1.9B1.6B
Net Income Growth YoY+161.94%+27.60%+31.64%+25.03%-63.27%-0.58%+51.93%-41.97%
EPS$1.05$0.73$1.18$0.99$0.41$0.58$0.90$0.79
EPS Growth YoY+156.10%+25.86%+31.11%+25.32%-63.06%-1.69%+50.00%-42.75%

Profitability Metrics

Gross Margin

80.90%

TTM

Operating Margin

31.73%

TTM

Net Margin

31.36%

TTM

Return on Equity

15.24%

TTM

Return on Assets

3.78%

TTM

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Gross Margin80.90%57.50%66.23%64.12%62.57%55.28%64.35%59.61%
Operating Margin31.73%24.17%31.72%28.52%36.11%17.47%37.74%27.52%
Net Margin31.36%23.39%30.61%30.27%13.33%22.34%24.47%26.73%
Return on Equity (ROE)3.95%2.81%4.50%3.99%1.67%2.40%3.70%3.30%
Return on Assets (ROA)1.01%0.75%1.22%1.05%0.44%0.66%1.02%0.90%

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
BULLISH

NEE is currently exhibiting a strong uptrend confirmed by a golden cross and price above key moving averages, though momentum is moderate as indicated by a neutral RSI and low ADX. The stock is in the advancing phase with institutional accumulation, suggesting bullish interest but with some recent range-bound characteristics. Price is near resistance at its 52-week high, showing potential for further gains if a breakout occurs.

RSI
Hold
Neutral52

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Buy
Strong Uptrend

Price in uptrend

+12.7% from 200 SMA
ADX
Hold
Weak/No Trend15

Range-bound market

Weak
MA Cross
Buy
Above 50/200

50 above 200 - bullish

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$94.59
50 SMA
$92.94
150 SMA
$87.51
200 SMA
$83.93
52W High
$98.75
52W Low
$63.88

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
52Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

NextEra Energy (NEE) demonstrates strong operational fundamentals with consistent revenue and earnings growth, robust profitability, and efficient execution in the utilities sector. While the company maintains high margins and increasing scale, recent revenue shortfalls to Wall Street expectations warrant cautious optimism, especially as the shares trade at a premium valuation relative to peers.

Latest Earnings

Q1 2026 Earnings (Mar 31, 2026)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$1.09

Estimated

$1.03

Surprise

+$0.06

Surprise %

+5.83%

Revenue

Miss

Actual

$6.7B

Estimated

$7.27B

Surprise

-$564.36M

Surprise %

-7.77%

Historical Earnings

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$1.09$0.53$1.13$1.05$0.99$0.53$1.03$0.96
EPS (Estimated)$1.03$0.56$0.97$1.01$0.97$0.53$0.98$0.98
EPS Surprise+$0.06-$0.03+$0.16+$0.04+$0.02+$0.00+$0.05-$0.02
% Diff+5.8%-5.4%+16.9%+4.0%+2.2%+0.0%+5.1%-2.0%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$6.7B$6.5B$7.97B$6.7B$6.25B$5.39B$7.57B$6.07B
Revenue (Estimated)$7.27B$6.72B$8.12B$7.21B$6.64B$7.57B$8.11B$7.27B
Revenue Surprise-$564.36M-$224.87M-$158.52M-$514.24M-$396.04M-$2.19B-$542.55M-$1.2B
% Diff-7.8%-3.3%-2.0%-7.1%-6.0%-28.9%-6.7%-16.6%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
FAIRLY VALUED

NextEra Energy (NEE) presents a valuation profile that combines stable regulated utility earnings with attractive growth prospects in renewable energy and energy infrastructure. While the stock trades at a premium to many peers, this premium appears justified by solid earnings growth and expansion initiatives, supported by generally positive analyst sentiment and moderate upside in price targets. Overall, NEE shows robust financial metrics but carries elevated leverage and moderate liquidity risks common in its sector.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

24.21

TTM

Price to Sales

7.02

TTM

Price to Book

3.59

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

17.43

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

10.65

TTM

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Price to Earnings22.2327.3115.9217.6043.7630.6523.4322.11
Price to Sales27.8925.5519.4921.3123.3427.3822.9423.64
Price to Book3.513.072.872.812.932.943.472.92
Enterprise Value to EBITDA75.0867.8847.9154.4780.57120.1049.5063.74
Enterprise Value to Revenue42.6039.6930.8834.9637.3142.4033.5837.00

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
MIXED

NextEra Energy (NEE) sentiment is moderately positive with strong analyst buy-side support and growing retail enthusiasm. Key drivers include strategic expansions in renewables and gas-fired power projects tied to AI data center demands. However, recent revenue underperformance and execution risks temper overall optimism.

Analyst Recommendations

As of May 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Buy
3.8 / 5.0
Based on 24 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
0
Sell
1
Hold
7
Buy
12
Strong Buy
4

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
MODERATE

NextEra Energy shows a financially leveraged profile with a current ratio below 1, indicating liquidity constraints, but benefits from a robust demand outlook, especially in growing sectors like AI-related data center energy supply. Despite large debt levels, its interest coverage is moderate, and it has a strong renewable project backlog and regulatory support, positioning it to capitalize on energy transition trends. Key risks include interest rate sensitivity, regulatory uncertainties, and supply chain constraints that could affect execution and growth.

Liquidity & Solvency

Current Ratio

0.54

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Quick Ratio

0.44

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Debt-to-Equity

1.89

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Debt-to-Assets

0.47

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Liquidity Metrics
Current Ratio0.540.600.550.540.550.470.410.49
Quick Ratio0.440.490.450.450.450.380.330.41
Solvency Metrics
Debt-to-Equity1.891.751.721.831.801.641.651.68
Debt-to-Assets0.470.450.460.470.460.430.440.45

Liquidity Assessment

Current Ratio: 0.54(Weak)

Quick Ratio: 0.44(Weak)

The company has relatively weak liquidity and may face challenges meeting short-term obligations.

Solvency Assessment

Debt-to-Equity: 1.89(High)

Debt-to-Assets: 0.47(Moderate)

The company has relatively high debt levels, which may increase financial risk in economic downturns.

Frequently Asked Questions about NEE

AI Answers: Common Questions About NEE

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about NextEra Energy, Inc.

NEE is a good buy for long-term investors seeking growth in renewables and stable utility earnings, with a P/E of 23.63 and strong margins (gross margin 62.8%, net margin >25%). While the stock trades at a premium to peers, this is justified by its superior growth and project pipeline. Entry near $93 is reasonable for accumulation, especially on pullbacks or a breakout above $98.75.

Unless your thesis has changed or you need to reduce risk exposure, there is no strong reason to sell NEE now; fundamentals remain robust, and technicals do not indicate a breakdown (support at $92.88). Only consider trimming if the stock fails to break out above resistance or if leverage/interest rate risks worsen materially.

The biggest risks are high leverage (debt/equity ~1.89, current ratio 0.54), making NEE sensitive to interest rate increases and liquidity crunches; regulatory or legislative changes in Florida could impact returns; and execution delays or supply chain issues could affect large renewables projects. Interest coverage is moderate at about 1.7, so earnings volatility could pressure debt service.

Technically, resistance is at $98.75 (52-week high), with upside targets to $102-$105 if a breakout occurs; downside support is at $92.88 and $87.33. Analyst price targets are generally above $100, reflecting confidence in growth and execution.

NEE is fairly valued at a P/E of 23.63 and high EV/EBITDA, trading at a premium to the sector but below its own 5-year average. The premium is justified by superior growth, margins, and renewables positioning, but the stock is not cheap; valuation leaves limited room for multiple expansion unless growth accelerates.

Fundamentals are strong: double-digit revenue and earnings growth (FY2025 revenue +11%, net income +11.6%), expanding margins (gross margin 62.8%, net margin >25%), and high-quality, contracted cash flows. However, leverage and liquidity are weaker than peers, so financial risk is elevated but manageable given cash flow strength.

Technical analysis is bullish overall: golden cross (50 SMA > 200 SMA), price above major moving averages, and institutional accumulation. RSI is neutral (47.5), and the stock is consolidating just below resistance at $98.75; a breakout would confirm further upside, while support at $92.88 offers a reasonable entry zone.

Key catalysts include a breakout above $98.75, new project wins (especially tied to AI/data center demand), upcoming earnings reports, dividend increase announcements, and favorable regulatory outcomes. Watch for volume spikes and analyst upgrades as signals for momentum shifts.

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