NET AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?
Cloudflare, Inc. (NET)
Fundamentals
Cloudflare, Inc. demonstrates strong revenue growth and robust gross margins, supported by its expanding cloud infrastructure services. While the company remains unprofitable on a net income basis, recent quarters show improving earnings results and positive EPS surprises, reflecting increasing operational leverage and efficient cost management.
Financial Highlights
- Revenue
- Net Income
- Net Margin (%)
Revenue
33.54% YoY
Q1 2026
Net Income
40.38% YoY
Q1 2026
Net Margin
Q1 2026
Growth Metrics
Revenue Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Net Income Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Revenue Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
EPS Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Book Value Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 639.8M | 614.5M | 562.0M | 512.3M | 479.1M | 459.9M | 430.1M | 401.0M |
| Revenue Growth YoY | +33.54% | +33.60% | +30.68% | +27.76% | +26.54% | +26.89% | +28.15% | +29.99% |
| Net Income | -22.9M | -12.1M | -1.3M | -50.4M | -38.5M | -12.8M | -15.3M | -15.1M |
| Net Income Growth YoY | +40.38% | +6.00% | +91.59% | -234.57% | -8.19% | +53.89% | +34.86% | +84.04% |
| EPS | -$0.07 | -$0.03 | -$0.00 | -$0.15 | -$0.11 | -$0.04 | -$0.04 | -$0.04 |
| EPS Growth YoY | +40.91% | +7.77% | +91.74% | -227.77% | -10.00% | +54.95% | +36.27% | +84.18% |
Profitability Metrics
Gross Margin
TTM
Operating Margin
TTM
Net Margin
TTM
Return on Equity
TTM
Return on Assets
TTM
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 71.21% | 73.64% | 73.97% | 74.88% | 75.88% | 76.37% | 77.69% | 77.80% |
| Operating Margin | -9.69% | -8.01% | -6.67% | -13.13% | -11.11% | -7.55% | -7.16% | -8.65% |
| Net Margin | -3.58% | -1.97% | -0.23% | -9.85% | -8.03% | -2.79% | -3.56% | -3.76% |
| Return on Equity (ROE) | -1.50% | -0.83% | -0.10% | -4.07% | -2.70% | -1.23% | -1.58% | -1.71% |
| Return on Assets (ROA) | -0.39% | -0.21% | -0.02% | -0.94% | -1.09% | -0.41% | -0.53% | -0.55% |
Technical Analysis
Cloudflare (NET) is firmly in an advancing uptrend, showing strong bullish momentum with price near its 52-week high around $279-$293. Key technical indicators like the golden cross and RSI in neutral territory support continuation higher, although ADX signals a weak trend maturity. The stock is consolidating near significant resistance with potential for a breakout above $280 with limited immediate resistance levels overhead.
No extreme reading
Price in uptrend
Trend developing
50 above 200 - bullish
Key Technical Values
Price with Moving Averages
50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages
Relative Strength Index
Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes
RSI (14)
Earnings
Cloudflare, Inc. demonstrates strong revenue growth and robust gross margins, supported by its expanding cloud infrastructure services. While the company remains unprofitable on a net income basis, recent quarters show improving earnings results and positive EPS surprises, reflecting increasing operational leverage and efficient cost management.
Latest Earnings
Q1 2026 Earnings (Mar 31, 2026)
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Actual
$0.25
Estimated
$0.23
Surprise
+$0.02
Surprise %
+8.41%
Revenue
Actual
$639.76M
Estimated
$620.83M
Surprise
+$18.93M
Surprise %
+3.05%
Historical Earnings
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Per Share | ||||||||
| EPS (Actual) | $0.25 | $0.28 | $0.27 | $0.21 | $0.16 | $0.19 | $0.20 | $0.20 |
| EPS (Estimated) | $0.23 | $0.27 | $0.23 | $0.18 | $0.16 | $0.18 | $0.18 | $0.14 |
| EPS Surprise | +$0.02 | +$0.01 | +$0.04 | +$0.03 | -$0.00 | +$0.01 | +$0.02 | +$0.06 |
| % Diff | +8.4% | +3.2% | +17.3% | +14.5% | -2.3% | +5.6% | +11.5% | +42.0% |
| Revenue | ||||||||
| Revenue (Actual) | $639.76M | $614.51M | $562.03M | $512.32M | $479.09M | $459.95M | $430.08M | $401M |
| Revenue (Estimated) | $620.83M | $591.34M | $544.65M | $501.27M | $469.28M | $452.05M | $424.14M | $394.11M |
| Revenue Surprise | +$18.93M | +$23.16M | +$17.38M | +$11.04M | +$9.81M | +$7.89M | +$5.94M | +$6.89M |
| % Diff | +3.0% | +3.9% | +3.2% | +2.2% | +2.1% | +1.7% | +1.4% | +1.7% |
Valuation
Cloudflare (NET) is characterized by exceptionally high valuation multiples relative to its industry and history, reflecting significant investor optimism around its growth potential in AI and cloud infrastructure. While revenue growth remains strong, profitability challenges persist, making the stock appear overvalued compared to peers. Analyst sentiment skews bullish with a majority recommending Buy, supported by optimistic price targets despite concerns over insider selling and workforce reductions.
Valuation Metrics
Price to Earnings
TTM
Price to Sales
TTM
Price to Book
TTM
Enterprise Value to EBITDA
TTM
Enterprise Value to Revenue
TTM
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price to Earnings | -793.62 | -1432.78 | -14499.32 | -337.17 | -256.11 | -721.72 | -451.40 | -473.76 |
| Price to Sales | 113.73 | 112.64 | 130.72 | 132.83 | 81.32 | 80.54 | 64.39 | 71.32 |
| Price to Book | 47.66 | 47.44 | 54.54 | 54.89 | 27.32 | 35.41 | 28.46 | 32.44 |
| Enterprise Value to EBITDA | 1933.04 | 1600.66 | 1399.88 | -246451.68 | 5838.19 | 1428.70 | 1425.25 | 1763.71 |
| Enterprise Value to Revenue | 117.77 | 117.12 | 135.07 | 136.62 | 83.97 | 83.40 | 67.34 | 74.51 |
Sentiment & Analyst Ratings
Cloudflare's (NET) market sentiment is broadly positive, supported by strong revenue growth, strategic advances in AI infrastructure, and bullish analyst upgrades. However, valuation concerns and insider selling have introduced an element of caution among investors. Social media and news reflect optimism around Cloudflare's AI initiatives and resilience, though mixed analyst views temper the overall enthusiasm.
Analyst Recommendations
Risk Assessment
Cloudflare (NET) exhibits a moderately leveraged capital structure with improving but still elevated debt levels, posing some financial risk. The company faces substantial operational and external risks stemming from the rapidly evolving and AI-driven cybersecurity threat landscape along with ongoing litigation. Despite strong liquidity to meet short-term obligations, long-term risk remains elevated due to high leverage and competitive pressures in a rapidly changing market.
Liquidity & Solvency
Current Ratio
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Quick Ratio
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Debt-to-Equity
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Debt-to-Assets
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidity Metrics | ||||||||
| Current Ratio | 1.96 | 1.98 | 2.04 | 5.14 | 3.20 | 2.86 | 3.37 | 3.51 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.96 | 1.98 | 2.04 | 5.14 | 3.20 | 2.86 | 3.37 | 3.51 |
| Solvency Metrics | ||||||||
| Debt-to-Equity | 2.31 | 2.54 | 2.60 | 2.79 | 1.04 | 1.40 | 1.49 | 1.63 |
| Debt-to-Assets | 0.57 | 0.61 | 0.61 | 0.62 | 0.40 | 0.44 | 0.47 | 0.49 |
Liquidity Assessment
Current Ratio: 1.96(Strong)
Quick Ratio: 1.96(Strong)
The company has strong liquidity with sufficient short-term assets to cover liabilities.
Solvency Assessment
Debt-to-Equity: 2.31(High)
Debt-to-Assets: 0.57(High)
The company has relatively high debt levels, which may increase financial risk in economic downturns.
Frequently Asked Questions about NET
AI Answers: Common Questions About NET
Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Cloudflare, Inc.
Yes, Cloudflare is a good buy for investors seeking growth exposure with a medium to long-term horizon. Revenue grew 30% YoY with improving EPS from -$0.55 to +$0.25 recently, supported by strong cloud and AI demand.
Not currently. Despite insider selling and high valuation, fundamentals and technicals support holding or buying. Selling might be considered if the stock breaks below $246 support or if earnings disappoint significantly.
Key risks include high debt leverage (debt-to-equity >2.3), competitive and technological challenges in cloud security, and the risk of valuation multiple contraction if growth slows.
Upside price targets range from $293 to $330 based on analyst upgrades and technical breakout potential above $280. Downside support levels are near $246 and $237.
The stock is overvalued with a P/E ratio near 276 (negative earnings) and price-to-sales multiples far above sector averages, reflecting high growth expectations that must be met to justify current prices.
Cloudflare shows strong revenue growth (30% YoY), gross margins around 74%, and improving EBITDA margins now positive at 6.1%. EPS has turned positive recently, signaling improving profitability.
Technically bullish with price above 50 and 200 SMAs, a golden cross, RSI at 61.6, and positive MACD. Key resistance near $280; breakout could lead to $293-$300 testing.
Upcoming quarterly earnings, AI product launches like Precursor and Mesh, and strategic partnerships such as with OpenAI are key catalysts that could drive stock performance.
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