ORCL AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?
Oracle Corporation (ORCL)
Fundamentals
Oracle Corporation demonstrates robust financial health highlighted by consistent revenue growth and strong profitability metrics. The company has sustained double-digit net income margins and operates with solid operating leverage, reflecting its efficient business model and scale. Recent quarterly earnings surpassed analyst estimates, reinforcing Oracle's strong execution capability and resilient growth trajectory.
Financial Highlights
- Revenue
- Net Income
- Net Margin (%)
Revenue
20.63% YoY
Q2 2026
Net Income
25.59% YoY
Q2 2026
Net Margin
Q2 2026
Growth Metrics
Revenue Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
Net Income Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
Revenue Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
EPS Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
Book Value Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
| Q2 2026 | Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 19.2B | 17.2B | 16.1B | 14.9B | 15.9B | 14.1B | 14.1B | 13.3B |
| Revenue Growth YoY | +20.63% | +21.66% | +14.22% | +12.17% | +11.31% | +6.40% | +8.64% | +6.86% |
| Net Income | 4.3B | 3.7B | 6.1B | 2.9B | 3.4B | 2.9B | 3.2B | 2.9B |
| Net Income Growth YoY | +25.59% | +26.74% | +94.70% | -0.07% | +9.00% | +22.28% | +25.89% | +21.03% |
| EPS | $1.47 | $1.28 | $2.15 | $1.04 | $1.22 | $1.05 | $1.13 | $1.06 |
| EPS Growth YoY | +20.49% | +21.90% | +90.27% | -1.89% | +7.02% | +20.69% | +24.18% | +19.10% |
Profitability Metrics
Technical Analysis
Oracle Corporation (ORCL) is currently in a strong downtrend, trading well below its key moving averages with bearish momentum dominating. The stock is near significant support levels around $115 but shows some short-term relief attempts indicated by easing selling pressure in MACD and a neutral RSI. The medium-term trend remains bearish with no confirmed breakout, suggesting traders should exercise caution.
No extreme reading
Price in downtrend
Strong trend active
50 below 200 - bearish
Key Technical Values
Price with Moving Averages
50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages
Relative Strength Index
Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes
RSI (14)
Earnings
Oracle Corporation demonstrates robust financial health highlighted by consistent revenue growth and strong profitability metrics. The company has sustained double-digit net income margins and operates with solid operating leverage, reflecting its efficient business model and scale. Recent quarterly earnings surpassed analyst estimates, reinforcing Oracle's strong execution capability and resilient growth trajectory.
Latest Earnings
Q2 2026 Earnings (May 31, 2026)
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Actual
$2.11
Estimated
$1.96
Surprise
+$0.15
Surprise %
+7.65%
Revenue
Actual
$19.18B
Estimated
$19.1B
Surprise
+$83.16M
Surprise %
+0.44%
Historical Earnings
| Q2 2026 | Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Per Share | ||||||||
| EPS (Actual) | $2.11 | $1.79 | $2.26 | $1.47 | $1.70 | $1.47 | $1.47 | $1.39 |
| EPS (Estimated) | $1.96 | $1.70 | $1.64 | $1.48 | $1.64 | $1.49 | $1.48 | $1.33 |
| EPS Surprise | +$0.15 | +$0.09 | +$0.62 | -$0.01 | +$0.06 | -$0.02 | -$0.01 | +$0.06 |
| % Diff | +7.7% | +5.3% | +37.8% | -0.7% | +3.7% | -1.3% | -0.7% | +4.5% |
| Revenue | ||||||||
| Revenue (Actual) | $19.18B | $17.19B | $16.06B | $14.93B | $15.9B | $14.13B | $14.06B | $13.31B |
| Revenue (Estimated) | $19.1B | $16.93B | $16.19B | $15.04B | $15.58B | $14.38B | $14.12B | $13.23B |
| Revenue Surprise | +$83.16M | +$264.23M | -$134.74M | -$113.48M | +$321.25M | -$245.39M | -$58.8M | +$73.7M |
| % Diff | +0.4% | +1.6% | -0.8% | -0.8% | +2.1% | -1.7% | -0.4% | +0.6% |
Valuation
Oracle Corporation (ORCL) presents a mixed valuation profile, blending strong growth fundamentals with relatively elevated multiples that reflect both confidence in its cloud transition and execution risks. While its earnings and revenue growth are robust, valuation multiples are somewhat high compared to peers, indicating a market premium. Analysts generally maintain a bullish stance, suggesting significant upside potential relative to the current price.
Valuation Metrics
Price to Earnings
TTM
Price to Sales
TTM
Price to Book
TTM
Enterprise Value to EBITDA
TTM
Enterprise Value to Revenue
TTM
| Q2 2026 | Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price to Earnings | 42.20 | 28.40 | 23.37 | 54.36 | 33.92 | 39.54 | 40.89 | 33.32 |
| Price to Sales | 37.23 | 24.15 | 35.84 | 42.81 | 29.20 | 32.89 | 36.68 | 29.32 |
| Price to Book | 16.80 | 10.78 | 19.21 | 26.46 | 22.70 | 27.78 | 37.52 | 36.07 |
| Enterprise Value to EBITDA | 86.90 | 66.02 | 71.58 | 153.88 | 81.69 | 92.29 | 103.11 | 85.31 |
| Enterprise Value to Revenue | 43.74 | 31.35 | 42.39 | 49.18 | 35.06 | 38.48 | 42.21 | 34.87 |
Sentiment & Analyst Ratings
Oracle's market sentiment is currently mixed, influenced by impressive cloud and AI infrastructure investments but weighed down by financial, legal, and customer concentration risks. Analysts predominantly recommend a moderate buy, supported by optimistic price targets, while retail investor sentiment shows cautious bullishness amid heightened social chatter.
Analyst Recommendations
Risk Assessment
Oracle Corporation exhibits moderate financial strain due to aggressive AI infrastructure investments resulting in high leverage and negative free cash flow. While liquidity metrics have improved recently, solvency concerns persist with heavy reliance on debt and concentrated customer contracts. Competitive pressures from dominant cloud providers and regulatory challenges further elevate risk despite established enterprise software strengths.
Liquidity & Solvency
Frequently Asked Questions about ORCL
AI Answers: Common Questions About ORCL
Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Oracle Corporation
Oracle is a good buy for long-term investors due to 17.4% revenue growth, 37.4% net income increase, and strong operating margins near 31%. However, short-term technical weakness and high leverage suggest caution.
Short-term traders may consider selling or avoiding new positions given the strong downtrend, death cross pattern, and price below key moving averages with support near $115 and $110 at risk.
Key risks include Oracle's very high debt-to-equity ratio above 3.6, negative free cash flow from AI investments, stiff competition from AWS and Microsoft, regulatory/legal challenges, and customer concentration.
Analysts' price targets vary but generally imply upside from the current $129.88 price, supported by strong fundamentals and growth catalysts, though valuation premiums reflect risk concerns.
Oracle is fairly valued with a P/E of 17.02 and elevated EV/EBITDA multiples compared to peers, justified by growth prospects but tempered by leverage and cash flow risks.
Oracle's fundamentals are strong with $67.36B revenue in FY2026, 31% operating margin, and consistent earnings beats. Growth is driven by cloud services and AI integration.
Technically, Oracle is bearish with a death cross, trading well below 50- and 200-day SMAs, and momentum indicators showing no confirmed reversal. Support at $115 and $110 is critical.
Potential catalysts include successful AI infrastructure monetization, expansion of government contracts like the Pentagon deal, and improved cash flow reducing leverage.
Want a Personalized Answer?
Get AI-powered insights tailored to your risk tolerance and investment goals.