ORCL AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

Oracle Corporation (ORCL)

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

Oracle Corporation demonstrates robust financial health highlighted by consistent revenue growth and strong profitability metrics. The company has sustained double-digit net income margins and operates with solid operating leverage, reflecting its efficient business model and scale. Recent quarterly earnings surpassed analyst estimates, reinforcing Oracle's strong execution capability and resilient growth trajectory.

Financial Highlights

Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026Q2 2026$0$5.0B$10.0B$15.0B$20.0BRevenue & Net Income ($)18%24%30%36%42%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$19.18B

20.63% YoY

Q2 2026

Net Income

$4.30B

25.59% YoY

Q2 2026

Net Margin

22.44%

Q2 2026

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

20.63%

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

Net Income Growth YoY

25.59%

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

17.57%

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

EPS Growth YoY

20.49%

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

100.12%

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

 Q2 2026Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024
Revenue19.2B17.2B16.1B14.9B15.9B14.1B14.1B13.3B
Revenue Growth YoY+20.63%+21.66%+14.22%+12.17%+11.31%+6.40%+8.64%+6.86%
Net Income4.3B3.7B6.1B2.9B3.4B2.9B3.2B2.9B
Net Income Growth YoY+25.59%+26.74%+94.70%-0.07%+9.00%+22.28%+25.89%+21.03%
EPS$1.47$1.28$2.15$1.04$1.22$1.05$1.13$1.06
EPS Growth YoY+20.49%+21.90%+90.27%-1.89%+7.02%+20.69%+24.18%+19.10%

Profitability Metrics

No profitability metrics available

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
BEARISH

Oracle Corporation (ORCL) is currently in a strong downtrend, trading well below its key moving averages with bearish momentum dominating. The stock is near significant support levels around $115 but shows some short-term relief attempts indicated by easing selling pressure in MACD and a neutral RSI. The medium-term trend remains bearish with no confirmed breakout, suggesting traders should exercise caution.

RSI
Hold
Neutral53

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Sell
Strong Downtrend

Price in downtrend

-22.2% from 200 SMA
ADX
Buy
Strong Trend38

Strong trend active

Strong
MA Cross
Sell
Below 50/200

50 below 200 - bearish

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$141.90
50 SMA
$163.99
150 SMA
$166.26
200 SMA
$182.34
52W High
$345.72
52W Low
$114.50

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
53Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

Oracle Corporation demonstrates robust financial health highlighted by consistent revenue growth and strong profitability metrics. The company has sustained double-digit net income margins and operates with solid operating leverage, reflecting its efficient business model and scale. Recent quarterly earnings surpassed analyst estimates, reinforcing Oracle's strong execution capability and resilient growth trajectory.

Latest Earnings

Q2 2026 Earnings (May 31, 2026)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$2.11

Estimated

$1.96

Surprise

+$0.15

Surprise %

+7.65%

Revenue

Beat

Actual

$19.18B

Estimated

$19.1B

Surprise

+$83.16M

Surprise %

+0.44%

Historical Earnings

 Q2 2026Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$2.11$1.79$2.26$1.47$1.70$1.47$1.47$1.39
EPS (Estimated)$1.96$1.70$1.64$1.48$1.64$1.49$1.48$1.33
EPS Surprise+$0.15+$0.09+$0.62-$0.01+$0.06-$0.02-$0.01+$0.06
% Diff+7.7%+5.3%+37.8%-0.7%+3.7%-1.3%-0.7%+4.5%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$19.18B$17.19B$16.06B$14.93B$15.9B$14.13B$14.06B$13.31B
Revenue (Estimated)$19.1B$16.93B$16.19B$15.04B$15.58B$14.38B$14.12B$13.23B
Revenue Surprise+$83.16M+$264.23M-$134.74M-$113.48M+$321.25M-$245.39M-$58.8M+$73.7M
% Diff+0.4%+1.6%-0.8%-0.8%+2.1%-1.7%-0.4%+0.6%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
FAIRLY VALUED

Oracle Corporation (ORCL) presents a mixed valuation profile, blending strong growth fundamentals with relatively elevated multiples that reflect both confidence in its cloud transition and execution risks. While its earnings and revenue growth are robust, valuation multiples are somewhat high compared to peers, indicating a market premium. Analysts generally maintain a bullish stance, suggesting significant upside potential relative to the current price.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

23.89

TTM

Price to Sales

6.07

TTM

Price to Book

9.61

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

16.63

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

7.92

TTM

 Q2 2026Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024
Price to Earnings42.2028.4023.3754.3633.9239.5440.8933.32
Price to Sales37.2324.1535.8442.8129.2032.8936.6829.32
Price to Book16.8010.7819.2126.4622.7027.7837.5236.07
Enterprise Value to EBITDA86.9066.0271.58153.8881.6992.29103.1185.31
Enterprise Value to Revenue43.7431.3542.3949.1835.0638.4842.2134.87

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
MIXED

Oracle's market sentiment is currently mixed, influenced by impressive cloud and AI infrastructure investments but weighed down by financial, legal, and customer concentration risks. Analysts predominantly recommend a moderate buy, supported by optimistic price targets, while retail investor sentiment shows cautious bullishness amid heightened social chatter.

Analyst Recommendations

As of Aug 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Buy
4.0 / 5.0
Based on 44 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
0
Sell
1
Hold
6
Buy
29
Strong Buy
8

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
HIGH

Oracle Corporation exhibits moderate financial strain due to aggressive AI infrastructure investments resulting in high leverage and negative free cash flow. While liquidity metrics have improved recently, solvency concerns persist with heavy reliance on debt and concentrated customer contracts. Competitive pressures from dominant cloud providers and regulatory challenges further elevate risk despite established enterprise software strengths.

Liquidity & Solvency

Frequently Asked Questions about ORCL

AI Answers: Common Questions About ORCL

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Oracle Corporation

Oracle is a good buy for long-term investors due to 17.4% revenue growth, 37.4% net income increase, and strong operating margins near 31%. However, short-term technical weakness and high leverage suggest caution.

Short-term traders may consider selling or avoiding new positions given the strong downtrend, death cross pattern, and price below key moving averages with support near $115 and $110 at risk.

Key risks include Oracle's very high debt-to-equity ratio above 3.6, negative free cash flow from AI investments, stiff competition from AWS and Microsoft, regulatory/legal challenges, and customer concentration.

Analysts' price targets vary but generally imply upside from the current $129.88 price, supported by strong fundamentals and growth catalysts, though valuation premiums reflect risk concerns.

Oracle is fairly valued with a P/E of 17.02 and elevated EV/EBITDA multiples compared to peers, justified by growth prospects but tempered by leverage and cash flow risks.

Oracle's fundamentals are strong with $67.36B revenue in FY2026, 31% operating margin, and consistent earnings beats. Growth is driven by cloud services and AI integration.

Technically, Oracle is bearish with a death cross, trading well below 50- and 200-day SMAs, and momentum indicators showing no confirmed reversal. Support at $115 and $110 is critical.

Potential catalysts include successful AI infrastructure monetization, expansion of government contracts like the Pentagon deal, and improved cash flow reducing leverage.

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