ORLY AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

5 left

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (ORLY)

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

O'Reilly Automotive maintains a robust financial foundation characterized by consistent revenue growth and stable profitability. The company has demonstrated resilience in its core specialty retail automotive parts segment despite economic fluctuations, supported by steady margin expansion and reliable earnings quality.

Financial Highlights

Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026Q2 2026$0$1.5B$3.0B$4.5B$6.0BRevenue & Net Income ($)13.2%13.8%14.4%15%15.6%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$4.89B

8.11% YoY

Q2 2026

Net Income

$715.06M

6.95% YoY

Q2 2026

Net Margin

14.62%

Q2 2026

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

8.11%

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

Net Income Growth YoY

6.95%

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

11.88%

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

EPS Growth YoY

11.54%

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

-54.22%

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

 Q2 2026Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024
Revenue4.9B4.6B4.4B4.7B4.5B4.1B4.1B4.4B
Revenue Growth YoY+8.11%+10.24%+7.78%+7.82%+5.92%+4.04%+6.88%+3.83%
Net Income715.1M604.2M605.2M725.9M668.6M538.5M551.1M665.5M
Net Income Growth YoY+6.95%+12.20%+9.82%+9.08%+7.34%-1.60%-0.25%+2.41%
EPS$0.87$0.72$0.72$0.86$0.78$0.63$0.64$0.76
EPS Growth YoY+11.54%+14.92%+13.01%+12.43%+10.23%+1.34%+2.39%+6.09%

Profitability Metrics

No profitability metrics available

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
NEUTRAL

ORLY is currently in a topping phase with mixed trend signals and weak momentum, indicating a range-bound market. Price is below major moving averages, suggesting potential distribution and caution for longs. RSI is neutral, reflecting lack of strong momentum either way.

RSI
Hold
Neutral54

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Hold
Mixed

Mixed signals

-3.5% from 200 SMA
ADX
Hold
Weak/No Trend13

Range-bound market

Weak
MA Cross
Hold
Death Cross

Watching for cross

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$89.76
50 SMA
$88.27
150 SMA
$91.69
200 SMA
$93.05
52W High
$108.72
52W Low
$82.59

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
54Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

O'Reilly Automotive maintains a robust financial foundation characterized by consistent revenue growth and stable profitability. The company has demonstrated resilience in its core specialty retail automotive parts segment despite economic fluctuations, supported by steady margin expansion and reliable earnings quality.

Latest Earnings

Q2 2026 Earnings (Jun 30, 2026)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Miss

Actual

$0.86

Estimated

$0.86

Surprise

$-0.00

Surprise %

-0.23%

Revenue

Beat

Actual

$4.89B

Estimated

$4.86B

Surprise

+$27.96M

Surprise %

+0.57%

Historical Earnings

 Q2 2026Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$0.86$0.72$0.71$0.85$0.78$0.62$9.96$11.41
EPS (Estimated)$0.86$0.69$0.73$0.83$0.78$0.66$9.73$11.55
EPS Surprise-$0.00+$0.03-$0.02+$0.02-$0.00-$0.04+$0.23-$0.14
% Diff-0.2%+3.6%-2.2%+2.0%-0.1%-5.6%+2.4%-1.2%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$4.89B$4.56B$4.41B$4.71B$4.53B$4.14B$4.1B$4.36B
Revenue (Estimated)$4.86B$4.46B$4.39B$4.69B$4.53B$4.17B$4.05B$4.4B
Revenue Surprise+$27.96M+$102.58M+$21.49M+$16.39M-$6.51M-$35.34M+$50.3M-$40.35M
% Diff+0.6%+2.3%+0.5%+0.3%-0.1%-0.8%+1.2%-0.9%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
FAIRLY VALUED

O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) presents a robust valuation profile with consistent revenue and earnings growth, supported by steady profitability and strong cash flows. While the stock trades at a premium relative to sector averages, analyst consensus indicates upside potential driven by solid operational performance and strategic initiatives such as new store openings and share repurchases.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

28.32

TTM

Price to Sales

4.01

TTM

Price to Book

-40.35

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

20.74

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

4.51

TTM

 Q2 2026Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024
Price to Earnings26.4632.0531.6731.3428.8938.1131.0225.09
Price to Sales15.5316.9717.4419.4317.0119.8416.7015.30
Price to Book-41.40-72.54-100.87-102.22-62.48-60.48-49.88-46.41
Enterprise Value to EBITDA87.1487.8088.2489.6281.52104.1688.2572.95
Enterprise Value to Revenue17.4418.8319.3221.1818.8021.7618.6017.04

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
MIXED

O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) sentiment shows a cautiously optimistic outlook with strong analyst buy ratings and generally bullish retail investor sentiment. Despite recent stock volatility and a mid-cycle valuation premium, solid Q2 earnings and raised guidance support positive market views, while geopolitical risks and insider selling inject caution.

Analyst Recommendations

As of Aug 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Buy
4.0 / 5.0
Based on 27 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
0
Sell
0
Hold
5
Buy
17
Strong Buy
5

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
MODERATE

O'Reilly Automotive exhibits a moderate financial risk profile highlighted by a low current ratio and quick ratio, indicating limited short-term liquidity. The company's negative debt-to-equity ratio reflects significant share repurchases and an unconventional capital structure, but adequate interest coverage suggests manageable debt service capability. While operational risks and macroeconomic factors such as inflation and consumer spending pose challenges, O'Reilly maintains strong earnings growth and raised sales guidance reflecting robust business momentum.

Liquidity & Solvency

Current Ratio

0.75

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

Quick Ratio

0.13

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

Debt-to-Equity

-5.22

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

Debt-to-Assets

0.55

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

 Q2 2026Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024
Liquidity Metrics
Current Ratio0.750.760.770.760.720.710.710.70
Quick Ratio0.130.130.120.110.110.100.090.10
Solvency Metrics
Debt-to-Equity-5.22-8.18-11.12-9.39-6.75-5.97-5.78-5.36
Debt-to-Assets0.550.520.510.520.530.530.530.53

Liquidity Assessment

Current Ratio: 0.75(Weak)

Quick Ratio: 0.13(Weak)

The company has relatively weak liquidity and may face challenges meeting short-term obligations.

Solvency Assessment

Debt-to-Equity: -5.22(Low)

Debt-to-Assets: 0.55(High)

The company has conservative debt levels, indicating low financial risk and strong long-term solvency.

Frequently Asked Questions about ORLY

AI Answers: Common Questions About ORLY

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.

Yes, O'Reilly is a good buy for medium and long-term investors given its 6.9% YoY revenue growth, 20.15% operating margins, and strong market position. The stock trades at a P/E of 29.2, reflecting growth expectations.

Not currently. Despite short-term technical weakness, fundamentals and sentiment support holding or buying. Consider selling only if price breaks decisively below $86.65 support or if earnings momentum deteriorates.

Key risks include economic slowdowns impacting consumer spending, supply chain and raw material cost pressures, and competitive challenges in the automotive aftermarket sector.

Analyst price targets range from $100 to $120, implying 24-27% upside from the current $89.35 price.

The stock is fairly valued with a premium P/E of 29.2 and elevated EV/EBITDA multiples justified by consistent earnings growth and margin expansion.

Fundamentals are strong with steady revenue growth (~6.9% YoY), improving operating margins (~20.15%), high-quality earnings, and solid return on equity (~mid-20%).

Technically, ORLY is in a topping phase with price below key moving averages and neutral momentum indicators, suggesting short-term caution and range-bound trading.

Upcoming catalysts include continued quarterly earnings beats, raised guidance, expansion of professional service offerings, and growth in e-commerce sales.

Want a Personalized Answer?

Get AI-powered insights tailored to your risk tolerance and investment goals.

More AI Stock Analyses