ORLY AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (ORLY)
Fundamentals
O'Reilly Automotive maintains a robust financial foundation characterized by consistent revenue growth and stable profitability. The company has demonstrated resilience in its core specialty retail automotive parts segment despite economic fluctuations, supported by steady margin expansion and reliable earnings quality.
Financial Highlights
- Revenue
- Net Income
- Net Margin (%)
Revenue
8.11% YoY
Q2 2026
Net Income
6.95% YoY
Q2 2026
Net Margin
Q2 2026
Growth Metrics
Revenue Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
Net Income Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
Revenue Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
EPS Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
Book Value Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
| Q2 2026 | Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 4.9B | 4.6B | 4.4B | 4.7B | 4.5B | 4.1B | 4.1B | 4.4B |
| Revenue Growth YoY | +8.11% | +10.24% | +7.78% | +7.82% | +5.92% | +4.04% | +6.88% | +3.83% |
| Net Income | 715.1M | 604.2M | 605.2M | 725.9M | 668.6M | 538.5M | 551.1M | 665.5M |
| Net Income Growth YoY | +6.95% | +12.20% | +9.82% | +9.08% | +7.34% | -1.60% | -0.25% | +2.41% |
| EPS | $0.87 | $0.72 | $0.72 | $0.86 | $0.78 | $0.63 | $0.64 | $0.76 |
| EPS Growth YoY | +11.54% | +14.92% | +13.01% | +12.43% | +10.23% | +1.34% | +2.39% | +6.09% |
Profitability Metrics
Technical Analysis
ORLY is currently in a topping phase with mixed trend signals and weak momentum, indicating a range-bound market. Price is below major moving averages, suggesting potential distribution and caution for longs. RSI is neutral, reflecting lack of strong momentum either way.
No extreme reading
Mixed signals
Range-bound market
Watching for cross
Key Technical Values
Price with Moving Averages
50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages
Relative Strength Index
Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes
RSI (14)
Earnings
O'Reilly Automotive maintains a robust financial foundation characterized by consistent revenue growth and stable profitability. The company has demonstrated resilience in its core specialty retail automotive parts segment despite economic fluctuations, supported by steady margin expansion and reliable earnings quality.
Latest Earnings
Q2 2026 Earnings (Jun 30, 2026)
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Actual
$0.86
Estimated
$0.86
Surprise
$-0.00
Surprise %
-0.23%
Revenue
Actual
$4.89B
Estimated
$4.86B
Surprise
+$27.96M
Surprise %
+0.57%
Historical Earnings
| Q2 2026 | Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Per Share | ||||||||
| EPS (Actual) | $0.86 | $0.72 | $0.71 | $0.85 | $0.78 | $0.62 | $9.96 | $11.41 |
| EPS (Estimated) | $0.86 | $0.69 | $0.73 | $0.83 | $0.78 | $0.66 | $9.73 | $11.55 |
| EPS Surprise | -$0.00 | +$0.03 | -$0.02 | +$0.02 | -$0.00 | -$0.04 | +$0.23 | -$0.14 |
| % Diff | -0.2% | +3.6% | -2.2% | +2.0% | -0.1% | -5.6% | +2.4% | -1.2% |
| Revenue | ||||||||
| Revenue (Actual) | $4.89B | $4.56B | $4.41B | $4.71B | $4.53B | $4.14B | $4.1B | $4.36B |
| Revenue (Estimated) | $4.86B | $4.46B | $4.39B | $4.69B | $4.53B | $4.17B | $4.05B | $4.4B |
| Revenue Surprise | +$27.96M | +$102.58M | +$21.49M | +$16.39M | -$6.51M | -$35.34M | +$50.3M | -$40.35M |
| % Diff | +0.6% | +2.3% | +0.5% | +0.3% | -0.1% | -0.8% | +1.2% | -0.9% |
Valuation
O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) presents a robust valuation profile with consistent revenue and earnings growth, supported by steady profitability and strong cash flows. While the stock trades at a premium relative to sector averages, analyst consensus indicates upside potential driven by solid operational performance and strategic initiatives such as new store openings and share repurchases.
Valuation Metrics
Price to Earnings
TTM
Price to Sales
TTM
Price to Book
TTM
Enterprise Value to EBITDA
TTM
Enterprise Value to Revenue
TTM
| Q2 2026 | Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price to Earnings | 26.46 | 32.05 | 31.67 | 31.34 | 28.89 | 38.11 | 31.02 | 25.09 |
| Price to Sales | 15.53 | 16.97 | 17.44 | 19.43 | 17.01 | 19.84 | 16.70 | 15.30 |
| Price to Book | -41.40 | -72.54 | -100.87 | -102.22 | -62.48 | -60.48 | -49.88 | -46.41 |
| Enterprise Value to EBITDA | 87.14 | 87.80 | 88.24 | 89.62 | 81.52 | 104.16 | 88.25 | 72.95 |
| Enterprise Value to Revenue | 17.44 | 18.83 | 19.32 | 21.18 | 18.80 | 21.76 | 18.60 | 17.04 |
Sentiment & Analyst Ratings
O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) sentiment shows a cautiously optimistic outlook with strong analyst buy ratings and generally bullish retail investor sentiment. Despite recent stock volatility and a mid-cycle valuation premium, solid Q2 earnings and raised guidance support positive market views, while geopolitical risks and insider selling inject caution.
Analyst Recommendations
Risk Assessment
O'Reilly Automotive exhibits a moderate financial risk profile highlighted by a low current ratio and quick ratio, indicating limited short-term liquidity. The company's negative debt-to-equity ratio reflects significant share repurchases and an unconventional capital structure, but adequate interest coverage suggests manageable debt service capability. While operational risks and macroeconomic factors such as inflation and consumer spending pose challenges, O'Reilly maintains strong earnings growth and raised sales guidance reflecting robust business momentum.
Liquidity & Solvency
Current Ratio
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
Quick Ratio
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
Debt-to-Equity
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
Debt-to-Assets
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
| Q2 2026 | Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidity Metrics | ||||||||
| Current Ratio | 0.75 | 0.76 | 0.77 | 0.76 | 0.72 | 0.71 | 0.71 | 0.70 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.12 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.10 | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| Solvency Metrics | ||||||||
| Debt-to-Equity | -5.22 | -8.18 | -11.12 | -9.39 | -6.75 | -5.97 | -5.78 | -5.36 |
| Debt-to-Assets | 0.55 | 0.52 | 0.51 | 0.52 | 0.53 | 0.53 | 0.53 | 0.53 |
Liquidity Assessment
Current Ratio: 0.75(Weak)
Quick Ratio: 0.13(Weak)
The company has relatively weak liquidity and may face challenges meeting short-term obligations.
Solvency Assessment
Debt-to-Equity: -5.22(Low)
Debt-to-Assets: 0.55(High)
The company has conservative debt levels, indicating low financial risk and strong long-term solvency.
Frequently Asked Questions about ORLY
AI Answers: Common Questions About ORLY
Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.
Yes, O'Reilly is a good buy for medium and long-term investors given its 6.9% YoY revenue growth, 20.15% operating margins, and strong market position. The stock trades at a P/E of 29.2, reflecting growth expectations.
Not currently. Despite short-term technical weakness, fundamentals and sentiment support holding or buying. Consider selling only if price breaks decisively below $86.65 support or if earnings momentum deteriorates.
Key risks include economic slowdowns impacting consumer spending, supply chain and raw material cost pressures, and competitive challenges in the automotive aftermarket sector.
Analyst price targets range from $100 to $120, implying 24-27% upside from the current $89.35 price.
The stock is fairly valued with a premium P/E of 29.2 and elevated EV/EBITDA multiples justified by consistent earnings growth and margin expansion.
Fundamentals are strong with steady revenue growth (~6.9% YoY), improving operating margins (~20.15%), high-quality earnings, and solid return on equity (~mid-20%).
Technically, ORLY is in a topping phase with price below key moving averages and neutral momentum indicators, suggesting short-term caution and range-bound trading.
Upcoming catalysts include continued quarterly earnings beats, raised guidance, expansion of professional service offerings, and growth in e-commerce sales.
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