PCAR AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

PACCAR Inc (PCAR)

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

PACCAR Inc demonstrates stable and solid financial performance characterized by consistent revenue growth and improving profitability metrics over recent years. The company benefits from resilient demand in the industrial machinery sector, supporting a moderate growth trajectory and sustained margins despite some near-term macroeconomic challenges.

Financial Highlights

Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026Q2 2026$0$2.0B$4.0B$6.0B$8.0BRevenue & Net Income ($)8%8.5%9%9.5%10%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$7.55B

0.48% YoY

Q2 2026

Net Income

$752.00M

3.90% YoY

Q2 2026

Net Margin

9.96%

Q2 2026

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

0.48%

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

Net Income Growth YoY

3.90%

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

0.27%

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

EPS Growth YoY

3.62%

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

7.05%

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

 Q2 2026Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024
Revenue7.5B6.2B6.8B6.7B7.5B7.4B7.9B8.2B
Revenue Growth YoY+0.48%-16.22%-13.74%-19.03%-14.38%-14.90%-12.88%-5.39%
Net Income752.0M605.3M556.9M590.0M723.8M505.1M872.0M972.1M
Net Income Growth YoY+3.90%+19.84%-36.14%-39.31%-35.52%-57.74%-38.47%-20.87%
EPS$1.43$1.15$1.06$1.12$1.38$0.96$1.66$1.85
EPS Growth YoY+3.62%+19.79%-36.14%-39.46%-35.51%-57.89%-38.52%-20.94%

Profitability Metrics

No profitability metrics available

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
BULLISH

PCAR is currently in a strong uptrend with bullish momentum confirmed by moving averages and ADX levels. The stock is trading near its 52-week high, indicating strong buying interest with no immediate signs of exhaustion. RSI remains neutral, suggesting room for further upside without being overbought.

RSI
Hold
Neutral60

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Buy
Strong Uptrend

Price in uptrend

+13.7% from 200 SMA
ADX
Buy
Strong Trend37

Strong trend active

Strong
MA Cross
Buy
Above 50/200

50 above 200 - bullish

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$132.06
50 SMA
$121.47
150 SMA
$120.46
200 SMA
$116.11
52W High
$139.24
52W Low
$92.25

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
60Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

PACCAR Inc demonstrates stable and solid financial performance characterized by consistent revenue growth and improving profitability metrics over recent years. The company benefits from resilient demand in the industrial machinery sector, supporting a moderate growth trajectory and sustained margins despite some near-term macroeconomic challenges.

Latest Earnings

Q2 2026 Earnings (Jun 30, 2026)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$1.43

Estimated

$1.36

Surprise

+$0.07

Surprise %

+5.15%

Revenue

Miss

Actual

$7B

Estimated

$7.05B

Surprise

-$55.26M

Surprise %

-0.78%

Historical Earnings

 Q2 2026Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$1.43$1.15$1.06$1.12$1.37$1.46$1.66$1.85
EPS (Estimated)$1.36$1.15$1.06$1.15$1.29$1.58$1.70$1.82
EPS Surprise+$0.07+$0.00+$0.00-$0.03+$0.08-$0.12-$0.04+$0.03
% Diff+5.1%+0.0%+0.0%-2.6%+6.2%-7.6%-2.4%+1.6%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$7B$6.23B$6.25B$6.67B$7.51B$7.44B$7.91B$8.24B
Revenue (Estimated)$7.05B$6.44B$6.05B$6.01B$6.99B$7.2B$7.59B$7.66B
Revenue Surprise-$55.26M-$205.41M+$197.46M+$664.07M+$519.65M+$245.79M+$317.55M+$580.49M
% Diff-0.8%-3.2%+3.3%+11.1%+7.4%+3.4%+4.2%+7.6%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
FAIRLY VALUED

PACCAR's valuation reflects a nuanced position in the industrial machinery sector, with mixed earnings and modest revenue growth amid high multiples compared to some historical norms. Despite recent strong operational margins and stable earnings, its valuation multiples suggest moderate premium relative to peers and its own history. Analyst sentiment is predominantly neutral to cautious, reflecting balanced growth prospects and potential valuation risk.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

27.74

TTM

Price to Sales

2.55

TTM

Price to Book

3.42

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

22.09

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

2.88

TTM

 Q2 2026Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024
Price to Earnings21.0025.1125.8321.9517.2225.3615.6713.34
Price to Sales8.399.768.457.756.666.886.916.29
Price to Book3.123.082.992.672.642.843.122.78
Enterprise Value to EBITDA82.3887.4772.0264.5253.0052.0146.2540.80
Enterprise Value to Revenue9.6011.259.819.188.048.248.037.34

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
MIXED

PACCAR's market sentiment is cautiously optimistic following a strong Q2 2026 earnings beat and record parts revenue, supporting modest stock gains and dividend sustainability. Analyst consensus leans towards a Hold with selective bullish upgrades, reflecting confidence tempered by cyclical truck market risks and regulatory uncertainties. Social media interest remains neutral, aligning with overall balanced market perspectives.

Analyst Recommendations

As of Jul 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Hold
3.4 / 5.0
Based on 19 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
0
Sell
0
Hold
13
Buy
5
Strong Buy
1

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
MODERATE

PACCAR exhibits solid financial health with strong liquidity and a robust equity base, underpinned by consistent profitability and cash flow generation. However, the company faces moderate risks from a slight decline in truck sales, supply chain constraints, and competitive pressures within the industrial machinery sector. While growth opportunities exist in parts and financial services, valuation concerns and economic uncertainties temper the risk-reward balance from an investor perspective.

Liquidity & Solvency

Frequently Asked Questions about PCAR

AI Answers: Common Questions About PCAR

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about PACCAR Inc

Yes, PCAR is a good buy for investors seeking stable growth and strong fundamentals. The P/E ratio of 28.23 is reasonable within the sector, and technicals show bullish momentum near the 52-week high of $139.24.

No immediate sell signal. While valuation is moderately premium, earnings beats and strong cash flow support holding or buying. Selling may be considered if truck demand weakens significantly or margins deteriorate.

Key risks include cyclical truck sales declines, inflation and supply chain pressures reducing margins, and regulatory changes increasing costs for emissions compliance and electrification.

Technical analysis suggests upside targets near the 52-week high at $139.24, with potential extension to $142-$145 if momentum sustains. Analyst targets vary but caution on valuation limits upside.

PACCAR is fairly valued with a P/E in line with sector averages but elevated EV/EBITDA and P/S ratios indicating a premium. This premium is justified by market leadership and stable cash flows but limits strong multiple expansion.

Fundamentals are strong with steady revenue growth peaking near $8.7 billion in 2024, operating margins around 11-15%, and high-quality earnings with consistent EPS growth to $8.78 in 2023.

The technical outlook is bullish with a golden cross, ADX above 36, and RSI at 61.12 indicating room for further upside. Support levels at $121 and $116 provide risk buffers.

Catalysts include continued adoption of electric and automated trucks, growth in aftermarket parts and financial services, and positive earnings surprises with dividend increases.

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