PCAR AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?
PACCAR Inc (PCAR)
Fundamentals
PACCAR Inc demonstrates stable and solid financial performance characterized by consistent revenue growth and improving profitability metrics over recent years. The company benefits from resilient demand in the industrial machinery sector, supporting a moderate growth trajectory and sustained margins despite some near-term macroeconomic challenges.
Financial Highlights
- Revenue
- Net Income
- Net Margin (%)
Revenue
0.48% YoY
Q2 2026
Net Income
3.90% YoY
Q2 2026
Net Margin
Q2 2026
Growth Metrics
Revenue Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
Net Income Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
Revenue Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
EPS Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
Book Value Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
| Q2 2026 | Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 7.5B | 6.2B | 6.8B | 6.7B | 7.5B | 7.4B | 7.9B | 8.2B |
| Revenue Growth YoY | +0.48% | -16.22% | -13.74% | -19.03% | -14.38% | -14.90% | -12.88% | -5.39% |
| Net Income | 752.0M | 605.3M | 556.9M | 590.0M | 723.8M | 505.1M | 872.0M | 972.1M |
| Net Income Growth YoY | +3.90% | +19.84% | -36.14% | -39.31% | -35.52% | -57.74% | -38.47% | -20.87% |
| EPS | $1.43 | $1.15 | $1.06 | $1.12 | $1.38 | $0.96 | $1.66 | $1.85 |
| EPS Growth YoY | +3.62% | +19.79% | -36.14% | -39.46% | -35.51% | -57.89% | -38.52% | -20.94% |
Profitability Metrics
Technical Analysis
PCAR is currently in a strong uptrend with bullish momentum confirmed by moving averages and ADX levels. The stock is trading near its 52-week high, indicating strong buying interest with no immediate signs of exhaustion. RSI remains neutral, suggesting room for further upside without being overbought.
No extreme reading
Price in uptrend
Strong trend active
50 above 200 - bullish
Key Technical Values
Price with Moving Averages
50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages
Relative Strength Index
Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes
RSI (14)
Earnings
PACCAR Inc demonstrates stable and solid financial performance characterized by consistent revenue growth and improving profitability metrics over recent years. The company benefits from resilient demand in the industrial machinery sector, supporting a moderate growth trajectory and sustained margins despite some near-term macroeconomic challenges.
Latest Earnings
Q2 2026 Earnings (Jun 30, 2026)
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Actual
$1.43
Estimated
$1.36
Surprise
+$0.07
Surprise %
+5.15%
Revenue
Actual
$7B
Estimated
$7.05B
Surprise
-$55.26M
Surprise %
-0.78%
Historical Earnings
| Q2 2026 | Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Per Share | ||||||||
| EPS (Actual) | $1.43 | $1.15 | $1.06 | $1.12 | $1.37 | $1.46 | $1.66 | $1.85 |
| EPS (Estimated) | $1.36 | $1.15 | $1.06 | $1.15 | $1.29 | $1.58 | $1.70 | $1.82 |
| EPS Surprise | +$0.07 | +$0.00 | +$0.00 | -$0.03 | +$0.08 | -$0.12 | -$0.04 | +$0.03 |
| % Diff | +5.1% | +0.0% | +0.0% | -2.6% | +6.2% | -7.6% | -2.4% | +1.6% |
| Revenue | ||||||||
| Revenue (Actual) | $7B | $6.23B | $6.25B | $6.67B | $7.51B | $7.44B | $7.91B | $8.24B |
| Revenue (Estimated) | $7.05B | $6.44B | $6.05B | $6.01B | $6.99B | $7.2B | $7.59B | $7.66B |
| Revenue Surprise | -$55.26M | -$205.41M | +$197.46M | +$664.07M | +$519.65M | +$245.79M | +$317.55M | +$580.49M |
| % Diff | -0.8% | -3.2% | +3.3% | +11.1% | +7.4% | +3.4% | +4.2% | +7.6% |
Valuation
PACCAR's valuation reflects a nuanced position in the industrial machinery sector, with mixed earnings and modest revenue growth amid high multiples compared to some historical norms. Despite recent strong operational margins and stable earnings, its valuation multiples suggest moderate premium relative to peers and its own history. Analyst sentiment is predominantly neutral to cautious, reflecting balanced growth prospects and potential valuation risk.
Valuation Metrics
Price to Earnings
TTM
Price to Sales
TTM
Price to Book
TTM
Enterprise Value to EBITDA
TTM
Enterprise Value to Revenue
TTM
| Q2 2026 | Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price to Earnings | 21.00 | 25.11 | 25.83 | 21.95 | 17.22 | 25.36 | 15.67 | 13.34 |
| Price to Sales | 8.39 | 9.76 | 8.45 | 7.75 | 6.66 | 6.88 | 6.91 | 6.29 |
| Price to Book | 3.12 | 3.08 | 2.99 | 2.67 | 2.64 | 2.84 | 3.12 | 2.78 |
| Enterprise Value to EBITDA | 82.38 | 87.47 | 72.02 | 64.52 | 53.00 | 52.01 | 46.25 | 40.80 |
| Enterprise Value to Revenue | 9.60 | 11.25 | 9.81 | 9.18 | 8.04 | 8.24 | 8.03 | 7.34 |
Sentiment & Analyst Ratings
PACCAR's market sentiment is cautiously optimistic following a strong Q2 2026 earnings beat and record parts revenue, supporting modest stock gains and dividend sustainability. Analyst consensus leans towards a Hold with selective bullish upgrades, reflecting confidence tempered by cyclical truck market risks and regulatory uncertainties. Social media interest remains neutral, aligning with overall balanced market perspectives.
Analyst Recommendations
Risk Assessment
PACCAR exhibits solid financial health with strong liquidity and a robust equity base, underpinned by consistent profitability and cash flow generation. However, the company faces moderate risks from a slight decline in truck sales, supply chain constraints, and competitive pressures within the industrial machinery sector. While growth opportunities exist in parts and financial services, valuation concerns and economic uncertainties temper the risk-reward balance from an investor perspective.
Liquidity & Solvency
Frequently Asked Questions about PCAR
AI Answers: Common Questions About PCAR
Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about PACCAR Inc
Yes, PCAR is a good buy for investors seeking stable growth and strong fundamentals. The P/E ratio of 28.23 is reasonable within the sector, and technicals show bullish momentum near the 52-week high of $139.24.
No immediate sell signal. While valuation is moderately premium, earnings beats and strong cash flow support holding or buying. Selling may be considered if truck demand weakens significantly or margins deteriorate.
Key risks include cyclical truck sales declines, inflation and supply chain pressures reducing margins, and regulatory changes increasing costs for emissions compliance and electrification.
Technical analysis suggests upside targets near the 52-week high at $139.24, with potential extension to $142-$145 if momentum sustains. Analyst targets vary but caution on valuation limits upside.
PACCAR is fairly valued with a P/E in line with sector averages but elevated EV/EBITDA and P/S ratios indicating a premium. This premium is justified by market leadership and stable cash flows but limits strong multiple expansion.
Fundamentals are strong with steady revenue growth peaking near $8.7 billion in 2024, operating margins around 11-15%, and high-quality earnings with consistent EPS growth to $8.78 in 2023.
The technical outlook is bullish with a golden cross, ADX above 36, and RSI at 61.12 indicating room for further upside. Support levels at $121 and $116 provide risk buffers.
Catalysts include continued adoption of electric and automated trucks, growth in aftermarket parts and financial services, and positive earnings surprises with dividend increases.
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