PFE AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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Pfizer Inc. (PFE)

$26.91-0.31 (-1.14%) today

Open
$27.32
High
$27.36
Low
$26.77
Volume
22.84M
Mkt Cap
$153.02B
52W High
$28.75
AI Verdict
Confidence 87%
PFEPfizer Inc.
AlphaCrew AI
HOLD
Overall
Summary

Pfizer is stabilizing after post-pandemic volatility, showing improving fundamentals and margin recovery, but faces moderate risks from patent expirations and a lack of near-term blockbuster catalysts. The stock is fairly valued with a neutral technical setup and mixed sentiment, suggesting limited upside in the short to medium term. Long-term prospects depend on pipeline execution and successful new product launches.

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Agent Signals
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Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
NEUTRAL

Pfizer (PFE) is exhibiting a recovery in profitability and strong operational execution after a period of margin compression and uneven earnings—revenues are rebounding with improved margins, and recent quarterly earnings have consistently beaten expectations. However, the stock still faces headwinds from a normalized post-COVID product mix and uncertainty around the next growth wave, though the core business fundamentals remain stable.

Financial Highlights

Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025-$6.0B$0$6.0B$12.0B$18.0BRevenue & Net Income ($)-10%0%10%20%30%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$17.56B

-1.16% YoY

Q4 2025

Net Income

-$1.65B

-508.93% YoY

Q4 2025

Net Margin

-9.39%

Q4 2025

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

-1.16%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Net Income Growth YoY

-508.93%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

-1.43%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

EPS Growth YoY

-500.55%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

-2.22%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Revenue17.6B16.7B14.7B13.7B17.8B17.7B13.3B14.9B
Revenue Growth YoY-1.16%-5.92%+10.31%-7.82%+21.91%+31.21%+2.12%-19.51%
Net Income-1.6B3.5B2.9B3.0B403.0M4.5B24.0M3.1B
Net Income Growth YoY-508.93%-20.84%+12025.00%-4.90%+112.06%+286.84%-98.97%-43.70%
EPS-$0.29$0.62$0.51$0.52$0.07$0.79$0.00$0.55
EPS Growth YoY-500.55%-21.45%+12042.86%-5.20%+112.14%+286.16%-98.98%-43.94%

Profitability Metrics

Gross Margin

70.33%

TTM

Operating Margin

24.67%

TTM

Net Margin

12.42%

TTM

Return on Equity

8.67%

TTM

Return on Assets

9.34%

TTM

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Gross Margin69.97%74.95%64.29%71.65%73.01%60.85%62.06%70.56%
Operating Margin21.01%21.32%24.40%33.71%32.23%28.06%14.15%30.64%
Net Margin-9.39%21.26%19.86%21.63%2.27%25.27%0.18%20.97%
Return on Equity (ROE)-1.91%3.82%3.28%3.28%0.46%4.85%0.03%3.38%
Return on Assets (ROA)-1.98%4.01%3.45%3.47%0.45%4.92%0.03%3.51%

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
NEUTRAL

Pfizer (PFE) is currently in a consolidating phase within an advancing uptrend, indicated by a Stage 2 uptrend classification and a golden cross of the 50 SMA above the 200 SMA. Momentum is neutral with RSI near mid-range and ADX signaling a weak trend, suggesting a range-bound market but underlying bullish bias remains intact.

RSI
Hold
Neutral46

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Hold
Mixed

Mixed signals

+5.4% from 200 SMA
ADX
Hold
Weak/No Trend16

Range-bound market

Weak
MA Cross
Hold
Golden Cross

Watching for cross

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$26.92
50 SMA
$27.13
150 SMA
$25.79
200 SMA
$25.54
52W High
$28.75
52W Low
$20.92

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
46Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
NEUTRAL

Pfizer (PFE) is exhibiting a recovery in profitability and strong operational execution after a period of margin compression and uneven earnings—revenues are rebounding with improved margins, and recent quarterly earnings have consistently beaten expectations. However, the stock still faces headwinds from a normalized post-COVID product mix and uncertainty around the next growth wave, though the core business fundamentals remain stable.

Latest Earnings

Q4 2025 Earnings (Dec 31, 2025)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$0.66

Estimated

$0.57

Surprise

+$0.09

Surprise %

+16.40%

Revenue

Beat

Actual

$17.56B

Estimated

$16.85B

Surprise

+$708.08M

Surprise %

+4.20%

Historical Earnings

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$0.66$0.87$0.78$0.92$0.63$1.06$0.60$0.82
EPS (Estimated)$0.57$0.63$0.58$0.67$0.47$0.61$0.46$0.52
EPS Surprise+$0.09+$0.24+$0.20+$0.25+$0.16+$0.45+$0.14+$0.30
% Diff+16.4%+37.4%+34.5%+38.1%+33.6%+72.6%+31.0%+58.9%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$17.56B$16.65B$14.65B$13.72B$17.76B$17.7B$13.28B$14.88B
Revenue (Estimated)$16.85B$16.5B$13.56B$13.92B$17.35B$14.92B$12.96B$13.87B
Revenue Surprise+$708.08M+$155.9M+$1.09B-$204.75M+$412.57M+$2.78B+$322.05M+$1.01B
% Diff+4.2%+0.9%+8.1%-1.5%+2.4%+18.6%+2.5%+7.2%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
FAIRLY VALUED

Pfizer's current valuation reflects a balance between its stable pharmaceutical business and recent growth challenges. While valuation multiples are slightly elevated compared to U.S. pharma peers, the strong margins and pipeline potential justify a moderate premium. Recent mixed sentiment and technical signals suggest cautious optimism with limited near-term upside.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

19.68

TTM

Price to Sales

2.45

TTM

Price to Book

1.77

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

13.07

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

3.50

TTM

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Price to Earnings-21.479.5711.8412.1293.279.171665.5712.57
Price to Sales8.068.149.4010.498.469.2612.0410.54
Price to Book1.641.461.551.591.701.781.821.70
Enterprise Value to EBITDA274.8334.6937.1940.2841.4131.6594.6037.79
Enterprise Value to Revenue11.8311.7713.5114.8511.9912.9717.1315.11

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
MIXED

Pfizer's market sentiment is currently mixed, with a predominant analyst "Hold" consensus tempered by notable "Buy" upgrades and some bearish outlooks due to competitive and regulatory challenges. Recent positive developments in Pfizer's vaccine pipeline coexist with regulatory scrutiny and pricing pressures, creating a nuanced investor perception. Social discussion remains steady, centered on upcoming corporate events and clinical trial results, sustaining cautious optimism.

Analyst Recommendations

As of Apr 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Hold
3.3 / 5.0
Based on 28 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
2
Sell
1
Hold
15
Buy
8
Strong Buy
2

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
MODERATE

Pfizer currently faces moderate financial risks due primarily to imminent patent expirations impacting blockbuster drugs and a decline in COVID-19 product revenues. While liquidity remains adequate, solvency metrics indicate a moderately leveraged balance sheet, supported by sufficient interest coverage to service debt. Market sentiment is mixed, reflecting concerns over transitional revenue pressures and pipeline challenges, balanced by cautious optimism over long-term growth potential.

Liquidity & Solvency

Current Ratio

1.16

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Quick Ratio

0.87

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Debt-to-Equity

0.78

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Debt-to-Assets

0.32

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Liquidity Metrics
Current Ratio1.161.281.161.261.171.000.861.05
Quick Ratio0.870.970.850.960.920.730.600.78
Solvency Metrics
Debt-to-Equity0.780.660.700.680.720.720.780.74
Debt-to-Assets0.320.300.300.290.300.300.320.31

Liquidity Assessment

Current Ratio: 1.16(Adequate)

Quick Ratio: 0.87(Adequate)

The company has adequate liquidity but may face challenges in a downturn.

Solvency Assessment

Debt-to-Equity: 0.78(Moderate)

Debt-to-Assets: 0.32(Moderate)

The company maintains a balanced capital structure with manageable debt levels.

Frequently Asked Questions about PFE

AI Answers: Common Questions About PFE

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Pfizer Inc.

Pfizer is trading at $26.91 with a P/E of 19.79 and a P/S of ~2.3, which is slightly above sector averages but justified by margin recovery and a robust pipeline. However, with technicals neutral and sentiment mixed, it is not a compelling buy right now unless new catalysts emerge.

There is no urgent reason to sell as fundamentals are improving (EPS up 267% YoY, gross margin 70%), and the stock is fairly valued. However, with limited near-term upside and ongoing risks, investors should hold and reassess if technicals break down or pipeline disappoints.

The biggest risks are patent expirations (debt/equity 0.78, debt/assets 32%), declining COVID-19 revenues, and competitive pricing pressures, especially in obesity and specialty drugs. Liquidity is adequate (current ratio 1.16, quick ratio 0.87), but these headwinds could pressure earnings and dividends if not offset by new launches.

Technical resistance is at $27.13 (50 SMA) and $28.75 (52-week high); support is at $25.54-$25.79 (200/150 SMA). A breakout above $28.75 could target $30, while a breakdown below $25.50 risks retesting the low $25s. Analyst targets are generally in the $28-$30 range, reflecting muted upside.

Pfizer is fairly valued: P/E is 19.79, P/S is ~2.3, and EV/EBITDA is in the mid-teens, all in line with or slightly above sector norms due to its defensive profile and pipeline. There is no significant discount or premium, making the stock appropriately priced for its risk/reward.

Pfizer's fundamentals are strengthening: gross margin is back above 70%, net margin is 12.4%, and EPS has rebounded sharply. The balance sheet is moderately leveraged but manageable, and recurring revenues are stabilizing, though future growth depends on pipeline execution.

Technical analysis shows a consolidating uptrend with a golden cross (50 SMA $27.13 above 200 SMA $25.54), but RSI is neutral (45.9) and ADX is weak, indicating lack of momentum. The stock is range-bound between $25.50 and $28.75, with no clear breakout or breakdown imminent.

Key catalysts include upcoming earnings reports, late-stage pipeline drug approvals (notably in vaccines and specialty therapeutics), and regulatory developments. Watch for volume spikes or news on major product launches to signal potential trend shifts.

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