PH AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?
Parker-Hannifin Corporation (PH)
Parker-Hannifin (PH) is a fundamentally strong industrial leader with robust growth, margin expansion, and consistent earnings outperformance, but its premium valuation and cyclical risks temper near-term upside. Technicals remain bullish and sentiment is positive, yet high multiples and moderate liquidity suggest caution for new buyers. The stock is best suited for long-term holders, while short- and medium-term traders should be selective on entry points.
Fundamentals
Parker-Hannifin (PH) demonstrates robust fundamental strength, evidenced by consistent revenue growth, expanding margins, and a multi-quarter streak of earnings outperformance. The company's solid execution, operational discipline, and leadership in highly engineered industrial components support a positive long-term outlook. However, current valuation is elevated, and macro headwinds could temper near-term upside.
Financial Highlights
- Revenue
- Net Income
- Net Margin (%)
Revenue
9.10% YoY
Q4 2025
Net Income
-10.92% YoY
Q4 2025
Net Margin
Q4 2025
Growth Metrics
Revenue Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
Net Income Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
Revenue Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
EPS Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
Book Value Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
| Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | Q1 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 5.2B | 5.1B | 5.2B | 5.0B | 4.7B | 4.9B | 5.2B | 5.1B |
| Revenue Growth YoY | +9.10% | +3.67% | +1.08% | -2.25% | -1.63% | +1.17% | +1.78% | +0.25% |
| Net Income | 845.0M | 808.0M | 923.2M | 960.9M | 948.5M | 698.4M | 785.0M | 726.6M |
| Net Income Growth YoY | -10.92% | +15.69% | +17.61% | +32.25% | +39.11% | +7.31% | +10.72% | +22.96% |
| EPS | $6.69 | $6.39 | $7.25 | $7.48 | $7.37 | $5.43 | $6.10 | $5.65 |
| EPS Growth YoY | -9.23% | +17.68% | +18.85% | +32.39% | +38.79% | +7.10% | +10.51% | +22.56% |
Profitability Metrics
Gross Margin
TTM
Operating Margin
TTM
Net Margin
TTM
Return on Equity
TTM
Return on Assets
TTM
| Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | Q1 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 37.32% | 37.51% | 37.34% | 36.90% | 36.50% | 36.94% | 35.94% | 35.43% |
| Operating Margin | 21.14% | 20.34% | 21.33% | 21.09% | 20.35% | 19.84% | 20.16% | 19.82% |
| Net Margin | 16.33% | 15.89% | 17.61% | 19.37% | 20.00% | 14.24% | 15.13% | 14.32% |
| Return on Equity (ROE) | 5.90% | 5.86% | 6.75% | 7.18% | 7.23% | 5.42% | 6.50% | 6.27% |
| Return on Assets (ROA) | 7.19% | 6.86% | 8.08% | 8.67% | 9.06% | 6.22% | 7.15% | 6.58% |
Technical Analysis
PH stock is currently in a strong uptrend supported by a golden cross and price action above major moving averages. Momentum indicators are mixed but generally positive, with RSI in a neutral zone and recent MACD bullish cross signals. Key support levels near $881-$906 hold, while resistance clusters near $931-$942 present immediate targets for continuation.
No extreme reading
Price in uptrend
Strong trend active
50 above 200 - bullish
Key Technical Values
Price with Moving Averages
50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages
Relative Strength Index
Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes
RSI (14)
Earnings
Parker-Hannifin (PH) demonstrates robust fundamental strength, evidenced by consistent revenue growth, expanding margins, and a multi-quarter streak of earnings outperformance. The company's solid execution, operational discipline, and leadership in highly engineered industrial components support a positive long-term outlook. However, current valuation is elevated, and macro headwinds could temper near-term upside.
Latest Earnings
Q4 2025 Earnings (Dec 31, 2025)
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Actual
$7.65
Estimated
$7.16
Surprise
+$0.49
Surprise %
+6.84%
Revenue
Actual
$5.17B
Estimated
$5.07B
Surprise
+$103.73M
Surprise %
+2.05%
Historical Earnings
| Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | Q1 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Per Share | ||||||||
| EPS (Actual) | $7.65 | $7.22 | $7.69 | $6.94 | $6.53 | $6.20 | $6.77 | $6.51 |
| EPS (Estimated) | $7.16 | $6.62 | $7.10 | $6.72 | $6.23 | $6.14 | $6.22 | $6.15 |
| EPS Surprise | +$0.49 | +$0.60 | +$0.59 | +$0.22 | +$0.30 | +$0.06 | +$0.55 | +$0.36 |
| % Diff | +6.8% | +9.1% | +8.3% | +3.3% | +4.8% | +1.0% | +8.8% | +5.9% |
| Revenue | ||||||||
| Revenue (Actual) | $5.17B | $5.08B | $5.24B | $4.96B | $4.74B | $4.9B | $5.19B | $5.07B |
| Revenue (Estimated) | $5.07B | $4.94B | $5.12B | $4.99B | $4.81B | $4.9B | $5.08B | $5.07B |
| Revenue Surprise | +$103.73M | +$141.37M | +$127.9M | -$27.56M | -$70.99M | +$3.91M | +$104.5M | +$9.16M |
| % Diff | +2.0% | +2.9% | +2.5% | -0.6% | -1.5% | +0.1% | +2.1% | +0.2% |
Valuation
Parker-Hannifin (PH) trades at a premium valuation compared to its historical norms and sector peers, reflecting market optimism about its strong profitability and robust financial health. However, recent earnings growth is mixed and some risks, including recent insider selling and recession concerns, temper enthusiasm. Analyst consensus signals moderate upside potential with a cautious buy bias.
Valuation Metrics
Price to Earnings
TTM
Price to Sales
TTM
Price to Book
TTM
Enterprise Value to EBITDA
TTM
Enterprise Value to Revenue
TTM
| Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | Q1 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price to Earnings | 32.82 | 29.67 | 24.06 | 20.36 | 21.58 | 29.10 | 20.52 | 24.36 |
| Price to Sales | 21.44 | 18.86 | 16.95 | 15.78 | 17.27 | 16.58 | 12.42 | 13.95 |
| Price to Book | 7.75 | 6.96 | 6.49 | 5.84 | 6.24 | 6.31 | 5.34 | 6.11 |
| Enterprise Value to EBITDA | 85.79 | 77.03 | 70.03 | 66.41 | 60.66 | 74.84 | 56.14 | 64.28 |
| Enterprise Value to Revenue | 23.26 | 20.80 | 18.69 | 17.58 | 19.09 | 18.58 | 14.46 | 16.11 |
Sentiment & Analyst Ratings
Parker-Hannifin (PH) currently enjoys generally positive market sentiment, backed by strong earnings beats, raised guidance, and analyst consensus favoring moderate to strong buy ratings. Although the stock has experienced some recent pullback due to valuation concerns and profit-taking, the long-term outlook remains optimistic, driven by aerospace segment growth and margin expansion. Retail investors display cautious optimism with sustained interest in the company's growth strategy despite some cyclical industrial market headwinds.
Analyst Recommendations
Risk Assessment
Parker-Hannifin Corporation exhibits moderate financial risk with a balance sheet reflecting manageable leverage and adequate liquidity, though short-term coverage ratios are somewhat below ideal benchmarks. The company faces several risks tied to macroeconomic uncertainty, supply chain challenges, and regulatory compliance, compounded by its premium valuation in a competitive industrial machinery sector. Overall, its stable debt servicing capability and diverse customer base mitigate some risks, but economic headwinds and market softness warrant cautious investor consideration.
Liquidity & Solvency
Current Ratio
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
Quick Ratio
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
Debt-to-Equity
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
Debt-to-Assets
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
| Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | Q1 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidity Metrics | ||||||||
| Current Ratio | 1.18 | 1.07 | 1.19 | 1.21 | 1.06 | 0.96 | 0.93 | 0.87 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.66 | 0.61 | 0.71 | 0.70 | 0.59 | 0.57 | 0.55 | 0.50 |
| Solvency Metrics | ||||||||
| Debt-to-Equity | 0.69 | 0.75 | 0.70 | 0.70 | 0.69 | 0.79 | 0.91 | 0.98 |
| Debt-to-Assets | 0.32 | 0.34 | 0.33 | 0.32 | 0.32 | 0.34 | 0.37 | 0.38 |
Liquidity Assessment
Current Ratio: 1.18(Adequate)
Quick Ratio: 0.66(Weak)
The company has relatively weak liquidity and may face challenges meeting short-term obligations.
Solvency Assessment
Debt-to-Equity: 0.69(Moderate)
Debt-to-Assets: 0.32(Moderate)
The company maintains a balanced capital structure with manageable debt levels.
Frequently Asked Questions about PH
AI Answers: Common Questions About PH
Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Parker-Hannifin Corporation
PH is not an ideal buy at current levels for new investors due to its elevated P/E of 35.87 and price near all-time highs ($984.23, just below the $1034.96 52-week high). While fundamentals are strong, the premium valuation means near-term returns may be limited unless earnings accelerate further.
Unless your thesis has changed or you need to rebalance, there is no strong reason to sell PH now; the fundamentals remain robust and technicals are bullish. However, if you are risk-averse or concerned about valuation compression, trimming may be prudent.
Key risks include a stretched valuation (P/E 35.87, EV/EBITDA well above sector), moderate liquidity (current ratio 1.18, quick ratio 0.66), and exposure to industrial cyclicality. An economic downturn or margin compression could lead to significant downside.
Technical resistance is near $931-$942, with upside targets toward the 52-week high at $1034.96. Analyst price targets suggest 1-17% upside from current levels, but a pullback to support ($881-$906) is possible if momentum fades.
PH is fairly to fully valued, with a P/E of 35.87 and high EV/EBITDA and P/S ratios compared to both its history and peers. The premium reflects strong margins and cash flow, but leaves little margin for error if growth slows.
Fundamentals are excellent: revenue grew 6.4% YoY, EPS up 24%, gross margin at 37%, net margin near 18%, and ROE at 23%. The balance sheet is solid but not overly liquid, and recurring aftermarket sales support cash flow resilience.
Technicals are bullish: price is above all major moving averages (50 SMA $952.92, 200 SMA $833.45), RSI is neutral at 62.7, and MACD is positive. Key support is $881-$906, with resistance at $931-$942 and 52W high at $1034.96.
Watch for upcoming earnings reports, integration updates on the Filtration Group acquisition, and macroeconomic data impacting industrial demand. Continued margin expansion and aerospace growth are key drivers for further upside.
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