PLTR AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR)

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
MIXED

Palantir Technologies (PLTR) is exhibiting robust financial growth, outstanding profitability improvement, and consistent earnings beats, though its valuation is extremely stretched at current prices. The business has successfully transitioned to scalable, high-margin enterprise and government contracts, yet its premium is high even by growth stock standards.

Financial Highlights

Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025$0$400.0M$800.0M$1.2B$1.6BRevenue & Net Income ($)9%18%27%36%45%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$1.41B

70.00% YoY

Q4 2025

Net Income

$608.68M

670.39% YoY

Q4 2025

Net Margin

43.27%

Q4 2025

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

70.00%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Net Income Growth YoY

670.39%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

64.16%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

EPS Growth YoY

658.02%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

41.93%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Revenue1.4B1.2B1.0B883.9M827.5M725.5M678.1M634.3M
Revenue Growth YoY+70.00%+62.79%+48.01%+39.34%+36.03%+29.98%+27.15%+20.78%
Net Income608.7M475.6M326.7M214.0M79.0M143.5M134.1M105.5M
Net Income Growth YoY+670.39%+231.37%+143.60%+102.82%-15.40%+100.72%+376.86%+528.08%
EPS$0.26$0.20$0.14$0.09$0.03$0.06$0.06$0.05
EPS Growth YoY+658.02%+213.48%+132.95%+90.99%-19.67%+92.75%+355.30%+496.25%

Profitability Metrics

Gross Margin

84.65%

TTM

Operating Margin

40.90%

TTM

Net Margin

43.27%

TTM

Return on Equity

25.66%

TTM

Return on Assets

18.26%

TTM

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Gross Margin84.65%82.45%80.78%80.43%78.91%79.79%81.04%81.67%
Operating Margin40.90%33.30%26.83%19.92%1.33%15.59%15.53%12.75%
Net Margin43.27%40.27%32.55%24.22%9.55%19.78%19.78%16.64%
Return on Equity (ROE)8.24%7.22%5.51%3.95%1.58%3.19%3.31%2.80%
Return on Assets (ROA)6.84%5.87%4.44%3.18%1.25%2.50%2.58%2.20%

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
BEARISH

PLTR is currently in a strong downtrend characterized by a death cross and price well below major moving averages, signaling bearish technical conditions. The stock is consolidating near its recent lows, showing no strong momentum rebound yet, with RSI in a neutral range and a moderate trend strength indication from ADX. Key resistance lies near the declining 50-day SMA around 144, while support rests near recent lows around 122 and the 52-week low of 77.

RSI
Hold
Neutral34

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Sell
Strong Downtrend

Price in downtrend

-22.0% from 200 SMA
ADX
Hold
Moderate Trend21

Trend developing

Moderate
MA Cross
Sell
Below 50/200

50 below 200 - bearish

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$128.06
50 SMA
$144.33
150 SMA
$166.72
200 SMA
$164.16
52W High
$207.52
52W Low
$77.27

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
34Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
MIXED

Palantir Technologies (PLTR) is exhibiting robust financial growth, outstanding profitability improvement, and consistent earnings beats, though its valuation is extremely stretched at current prices. The business has successfully transitioned to scalable, high-margin enterprise and government contracts, yet its premium is high even by growth stock standards.

Latest Earnings

Q4 2025 Earnings (Dec 31, 2025)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$0.25

Estimated

$0.23

Surprise

+$0.02

Surprise %

+8.60%

Revenue

Beat

Actual

$1.41B

Estimated

$1.34B

Surprise

+$65.77M

Surprise %

+4.90%

Historical Earnings

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$0.25$0.21$0.16$0.13$0.14$0.10$0.09$0.08
EPS (Estimated)$0.23$0.17$0.14$0.13$0.11$0.09$0.08$0.08
EPS Surprise+$0.02+$0.04+$0.02+$0.00+$0.03+$0.01+$0.01+$0.00
% Diff+8.6%+25.1%+15.8%+1.1%+27.3%+10.3%+11.8%+3.5%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$1.41B$1.18B$1B$883.86M$827.52M$725.52M$678.13M$634.34M
Revenue (Estimated)$1.34B$1.09B$937.7M$862.17M$869.27M$705.11M$653.23M$615.4M
Revenue Surprise+$65.77M+$89.25M+$66M+$21.68M-$41.75M+$20.4M+$24.9M+$18.94M
% Diff+4.9%+8.2%+7.0%+2.5%-4.8%+2.9%+3.8%+3.1%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
OVERVALUED

Palantir Technologies (PLTR) currently trades at significantly elevated valuation multiples relative to its technology sector peers, reflecting high investor expectations driven by its AI capabilities and strong revenue growth. Despite these lofty multiples, analyst consensus remains moderately positive with substantial upside potential indicated by price targets. Fundamental metrics confirm strong profitability and growth, but valuation premium entails elevated risk.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

188.10

TTM

Price to Sales

65.57

TTM

Price to Book

41.38

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

203.06

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

65.34

TTM

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Price to Earnings174.26226.66246.71231.54551.58145.80107.65119.88
Price to Sales301.59365.09321.24224.28210.65115.3785.1779.77
Price to Book57.4365.4354.3836.5534.8418.6114.2613.40
Enterprise Value to EBITDA726.741076.621166.341081.079555.04686.21507.07563.13
Enterprise Value to Revenue300.87363.92320.55223.43208.40114.6684.7979.29

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
MIXED

Sentiment around Palantir Technologies (PLTR) is mixed with notable bearish pressure from concerns about strong competition from Anthropic's AI models and valuation risks, countered by solid fundamental growth and supportive analyst opinions. Recent insider selling and a sharp year-to-date price decline amplify caution among investors, but retail sentiment remains moderately bullish, seeing dips as buying opportunities. Overall, the narrative reflects cautious optimism amid elevated uncertainties and a volatile market environment.

Analyst Recommendations

As of Apr 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Buy
3.5 / 5.0
Based on 29 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
1
Sell
1
Hold
10
Buy
16
Strong Buy
1

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
HIGH

Palantir Technologies exhibits very strong liquidity and low leverage, reflecting a robust short-term and long-term financial position. However, its extremely high valuation metrics, intense competitive pressures in the AI space, dependence on government contracts, and international expansion challenges elevate investment risk. While revenue growth remains impressive, sustaining such growth is increasingly difficult amid competition and macroeconomic headwinds, warranting careful risk consideration for investors.

Liquidity & Solvency

Current Ratio

7.11

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Quick Ratio

7.11

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Debt-to-Equity

0.06

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Debt-to-Assets

0.05

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Liquidity Metrics
Current Ratio7.116.436.326.495.965.675.925.91
Quick Ratio7.116.436.326.495.965.675.925.91
Solvency Metrics
Debt-to-Equity0.060.040.040.050.050.060.060.06
Debt-to-Assets0.050.030.030.040.040.040.050.05

Liquidity Assessment

Current Ratio: 7.11(Strong)

Quick Ratio: 7.11(Strong)

The company has strong liquidity with sufficient short-term assets to cover liabilities.

Solvency Assessment

Debt-to-Equity: 0.06(Low)

Debt-to-Assets: 0.05(Low)

The company has conservative debt levels, indicating low financial risk and strong long-term solvency.

Frequently Asked Questions about PLTR

AI Answers: Common Questions About PLTR

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Palantir Technologies Inc.

PLTR is not an ideal buy at current levels for most investors: it trades at a P/E over 200x and P/S near 67x, far above sector norms, and is in a strong technical downtrend with price at $128, well below its 50/200-day SMAs. While long-term growth is exceptional, the risk of further declines is high unless technicals stabilize or valuation compresses.

If you are a short-term trader or risk-averse, consider reducing exposure given the bearish technical setup (death cross, price below all major averages, RSI 34) and deteriorating sentiment. Long-term holders with conviction in PLTR's growth story may choose to hold, but should be prepared for continued volatility and possible further downside.

The biggest risks are extreme overvaluation (P/E >200x, EV/EBITDA >200x), intensifying AI competition, and reliance on large, potentially volatile government contracts. Sentinel notes PLTR's liquidity is excellent (current ratio >7, debt/equity ~5.6%), but sharp price drops and insider selling highlight the risk of steep corrections if growth or sentiment falters.

Analyst price targets average $197.7 (range $180–$255), but technical resistance is strong near $144–$164, with key support at $122 and risk of a drop toward $77 if support fails. Near-term, upside is limited unless the stock reclaims $145+; downside risk is significant if $122 breaks.

PLTR is heavily overvalued by all standard metrics: P/E over 200x, P/S near 67x, and EV/EBITDA above 200x, dwarfing even other high-growth tech peers. This premium is only justified if Palantir sustains or accelerates its current hyper-growth trajectory; any disappointment could trigger a sharp re-rating.

Fundamentally, PLTR is outstanding: FY25 revenue up 56%, net margin above 40%, gross margin 82%, and recurring high-quality contracts drive durable earnings. The balance sheet is fortress-like, with very low leverage and high liquidity, supporting long-term business health.

Technical analysis is bearish: the stock is in a downtrend with a death cross (50 SMA below 200 SMA), price at $128 is well below all major moving averages, RSI is 34 (not yet oversold), and volume is elevated on declines. Key support is $122; a break below could see rapid downside toward $77.

Key catalysts include upcoming earnings (where PLTR has a strong beat history), major new contract wins, and successful AI product launches. Macro factors (interest rates, inflation), competitive developments (Anthropic, cloud giants), and regulatory news could also drive sharp moves.

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