QCOM AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

5 left

QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM)

$128.06+0.31 (+0.24%) today

Open
$128.80
High
$130.61
Low
$127.85
Volume
8.15M
Mkt Cap
$136.77B
52W High
$205.95
AI Verdict
Confidence 75%
QCOMQUALCOMM Incorporated
AlphaCrew AI
HOLD
Overall
Summary

Qualcomm (QCOM) presents a fundamentally strong, fairly valued long-term opportunity with robust financials and growth in automotive and IoT, but faces near-term technical weakness and mixed sentiment due to smartphone market headwinds and competitive risks. Short-term technicals are bearish, but the long-term outlook remains constructive for patient investors. Investors should monitor for stabilization or reversal signals before adding to positions.

By Timeframe
Hover for details
WAIT
Short
HOLD
Medium
BUY
Long
Agent Signals
131
Fund
Tech
Val
Sent
Risk

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

QUALCOMM (QCOM) demonstrates underlying financial strength with consistent revenue and EPS growth, strong profitability, and regular earnings beats. Despite a recent pullback from its 52-week high, the business remains resilient in the face of industry cyclicality. Forward-looking fundamentals remain intact, though the company faces challenges typical to the semiconductor industry, such as inventory cycles and competitive dynamics.

Financial Highlights

Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025-$4.5B$0$4.5B$9.0B$13.5BRevenue & Net Income ($)-30%-15%0%15%30%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$12.25B

5.00% YoY

Q4 2025

Net Income

$3.00B

-5.53% YoY

Q4 2025

Net Margin

24.52%

Q4 2025

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

5.00%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Net Income Growth YoY

-5.53%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

8.92%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

EPS Growth YoY

-1.75%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

-10.95%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Revenue12.3B11.3B10.4B11.0B11.7B10.2B9.4B9.4B
Revenue Growth YoY+5.00%+10.03%+10.35%+16.93%+17.45%+18.69%+11.15%+1.23%
Net Income3.0B-3.1B2.7B2.8B3.2B2.9B2.1B2.3B
Net Income Growth YoY-5.53%-206.75%+25.22%+20.89%+14.93%+95.97%+18.08%+36.50%
EPS$2.81-$2.84$2.44$2.55$2.86$2.62$1.91$2.08
EPS Growth YoY-1.75%-208.40%+27.75%+22.60%+15.32%+96.99%+17.90%+35.95%

Profitability Metrics

Gross Margin

54.55%

TTM

Operating Margin

27.47%

TTM

Net Margin

24.52%

TTM

Return on Equity

21.63%

TTM

Return on Assets

14.41%

TTM

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Gross Margin54.55%55.34%55.56%55.03%55.77%56.39%55.56%56.27%
Operating Margin27.47%25.89%26.65%28.42%30.47%25.20%23.65%24.92%
Net Margin24.52%-27.66%25.72%25.61%27.25%28.50%22.67%24.77%
Return on Equity (ROE)13.02%-14.70%9.80%10.14%11.83%11.11%8.63%9.51%
Return on Assets (ROA)8.07%-8.28%6.30%6.50%7.32%6.77%5.23%5.66%

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
BEARISH

Qualcomm (QCOM) is currently in a strong downtrend with price below key moving averages and a bearish death cross in place. Short-term momentum is fading with RSI in the neutral zone, while MACD signals remain broadly bearish. The stock is approaching key support near $126-$127, and resistance levels above $130 are acting as barriers to upside recovery.

RSI
Hold
Neutral42

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Sell
Strong Downtrend

Price in downtrend

-18.8% from 200 SMA
ADX
Buy
Strong Trend31

Strong trend active

Strong
MA Cross
Sell
Below 50/200

50 below 200 - bearish

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$128.06
50 SMA
$136.30
150 SMA
$158.20
200 SMA
$157.72
52W High
$205.95
52W Low
$121.99

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
42Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

QUALCOMM (QCOM) demonstrates underlying financial strength with consistent revenue and EPS growth, strong profitability, and regular earnings beats. Despite a recent pullback from its 52-week high, the business remains resilient in the face of industry cyclicality. Forward-looking fundamentals remain intact, though the company faces challenges typical to the semiconductor industry, such as inventory cycles and competitive dynamics.

Latest Earnings

Q4 2025 Earnings (Dec 28, 2025)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$3.50

Estimated

$3.39

Surprise

+$0.11

Surprise %

+3.24%

Revenue

Beat

Actual

$12.25B

Estimated

$12.12B

Surprise

+$131.39M

Surprise %

+1.08%

Historical Earnings

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$3.50$3.00$2.77$2.85$3.41$2.69$2.33$2.44
EPS (Estimated)$3.39$2.87$2.71$2.82$2.96$2.56$2.25$2.32
EPS Surprise+$0.11+$0.13+$0.06+$0.03+$0.45+$0.13+$0.08+$0.12
% Diff+3.2%+4.5%+2.2%+1.1%+15.2%+5.1%+3.6%+5.2%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$12.25B$11.27B$10.37B$10.98B$11.67B$10.24B$9.39B$9.39B
Revenue (Estimated)$12.12B$10.77B$10.33B$10.64B$10.91B$9.9B$9.21B$9.35B
Revenue Surprise+$131.39M+$500.86M+$33.65M+$334.7M+$758.18M+$339.28M+$178.63M+$35.72M
% Diff+1.1%+4.7%+0.3%+3.1%+6.9%+3.4%+1.9%+0.4%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
FAIRLY VALUED

Qualcomm currently trades at a valuation that suggests a reasonable entry point relative to its historical and peer benchmarks, supported by strong financial health and solid free cash flow generation. While revenue growth has slowed somewhat compared to higher-growth peers, the company maintains robust profitability and operational margins amid a mixed analyst sentiment leaning towards hold or buy. The stock price targets indicate a potential upside of about 25-30%, underpinning a moderately positive valuation outlook.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

25.54

TTM

Price to Sales

3.05

TTM

Price to Book

5.94

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

10.51

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

3.22

TTM

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Price to Earnings15.44-14.5316.3115.0813.4916.2526.3220.11
Price to Sales15.1516.0716.7815.4514.7018.5323.8619.93
Price to Book8.048.546.396.126.387.229.097.65
Enterprise Value to EBITDA57.3954.0149.0456.7341.9161.3985.0570.29
Enterprise Value to Revenue15.7716.8317.6816.1215.2119.2724.5820.59

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
MIXED

Qualcomm's market sentiment is currently mixed, with a predominant "Hold" consensus from analysts tempered by both positive financial results and apprehension about market challenges. Key positives include recent earnings beats, strategic partnerships, and strong automotive revenue growth, while concerns revolve around smartphone market softness and memory cost pressures. Retail investor sentiment remains cautious, reflecting uncertainty despite the company's substantial share buyback program and dividend increases.

Analyst Recommendations

As of Apr 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Hold
3.3 / 5.0
Based on 37 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
1
Sell
2
Hold
23
Buy
8
Strong Buy
3

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
MODERATE

Qualcomm (QCOM) demonstrates a solid financial position with strong liquidity and manageable debt levels, supporting short- and long-term obligations comfortably. However, the company faces significant near-term risks from supply chain constraints, increased competition, and customer concentration, particularly in China and with Apple. Market sentiment is mixed, reflecting cautious optimism with upside potential tempered by margin pressure and geopolitical uncertainties.

Liquidity & Solvency

Current Ratio

2.51

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Quick Ratio

1.83

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Debt-to-Equity

0.64

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Debt-to-Assets

0.28

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Liquidity Metrics
Current Ratio2.512.823.192.732.622.402.392.65
Quick Ratio1.831.942.382.081.991.791.781.98
Solvency Metrics
Debt-to-Equity0.640.770.540.530.540.590.590.63
Debt-to-Assets0.280.330.270.260.260.280.280.29

Liquidity Assessment

Current Ratio: 2.51(Strong)

Quick Ratio: 1.83(Strong)

The company has strong liquidity with sufficient short-term assets to cover liabilities.

Solvency Assessment

Debt-to-Equity: 0.64(Moderate)

Debt-to-Assets: 0.28(Low)

The company maintains a balanced capital structure with manageable debt levels.

Frequently Asked Questions about QCOM

AI Answers: Common Questions About QCOM

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about QUALCOMM Incorporated

QCOM is fairly valued at a P/E of 25.8 and trades near $128, well below its 52-week high of $205.95, with analyst targets around $163.77 (23% upside). However, with the stock in a technical downtrend and sentiment mixed, it is best suited for long-term investors willing to ride out near-term volatility. Short-term buyers should wait for technical stabilization or a confirmed reversal near $125-$127 support.

Unless your thesis has changed or you need to manage risk, selling now is not warranted; fundamentals remain strong, and valuation is reasonable. However, if you are a short-term trader or risk-averse, the current technical downtrend and deteriorating sentiment may justify reducing exposure or waiting for a reversal before adding.

The biggest risks are supply chain disruptions (especially memory shortages), customer concentration (notably Apple), and regulatory/geopolitical challenges in China. Debt levels are manageable (debt/equity ~0.64, interest coverage ~20x), but margin compression and competitive threats from companies like MediaTek and Apple silicon could pressure earnings.

Analyst price targets average $163.77, suggesting ~23% upside from current levels. Technically, resistance is at $130 and $136, with key support at $126-$127 and downside targets near $124.00. No clear reversal pattern is present, so price may consolidate near support before any sustained move higher.

QCOM is fairly valued: its P/E (25.8) and EV/EBITDA are below sector averages, reflecting moderate growth expectations but strong profitability and free cash flow. The price-to-sales and price-to-book ratios are also reasonable for a mature, high-margin tech company with diversified revenue streams.

QCOM is fundamentally strong, with gross margins above 54%, operating margin near 28%, and ROE stabilizing in the 30-35% range. Revenue grew 13.6% YoY in FY25, and the company has a robust balance sheet with a current ratio above 2.5 and consistent earnings beats.

Technically, QCOM is in a strong downtrend below both the 50-day ($136.30) and 200-day ($157.72) SMAs, with a death cross and RSI at 41.75. Support is at $126-$127, with no reversal patterns; momentum remains bearish and volume is weak, so caution is warranted for new entries.

Key catalysts include upcoming earnings reports, new product launches in automotive and IoT, and potential positive surprises in 5G/6G adoption. Watch for supply chain improvements, major partnership announcements, and regulatory developments in China and with key customers.

Want a Personalized Answer?

Get AI-powered insights tailored to your risk tolerance and investment goals.

More AI Stock Analyses