ROK AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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Rockwell Automation, Inc. (ROK)

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

Rockwell Automation (ROK) demonstrates robust underlying fundamentals with consistent revenue and earnings growth, improving margins, and a history of positive earnings surprises. The company is capitalizing on global industrial automation trends, fueling top-line expansion and operational leverage. While valuation metrics are rich, fundamentals suggest a leader well positioned for ongoing success, albeit with some cyclical and execution risks inherent to the sector.

Financial Highlights

Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026$0$600.0M$1.2B$1.8B$2.4BRevenue & Net Income ($)4%8%12%16%20%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$2.24B

11.84% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Income

$350.00M

38.89% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Margin

15.63%

Q1 2026

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

11.84%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Net Income Growth YoY

38.89%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

12.64%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

EPS Growth YoY

40.09%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

-0.10%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Revenue2.2B2.1B2.3B2.1B2.0B1.9B2.0B2.1B
Revenue Growth YoY+11.84%+11.85%+13.78%+4.53%-5.83%-8.28%-20.58%-8.31%
Net Income350.0M305.0M138.0M295.0M252.0M184.0M239.1M232.0M
Net Income Growth YoY+38.89%+65.76%-42.28%+27.16%-5.26%-14.42%+23.57%-42.03%
EPS$3.11$2.71$1.23$2.61$2.22$1.62$2.11$2.04
EPS Growth YoY+40.09%+67.28%-41.71%+27.94%-4.31%-13.83%-20.08%-41.21%

Profitability Metrics

Gross Margin

50.25%

TTM

Operating Margin

20.86%

TTM

Net Margin

15.63%

TTM

Return on Equity

30.25%

TTM

Return on Assets

16.30%

TTM

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Gross Margin50.25%48.27%69.43%40.86%40.06%38.31%37.86%38.76%
Operating Margin20.86%17.43%19.78%18.10%17.23%18.17%13.94%14.33%
Net Margin15.63%14.49%5.96%13.76%12.59%9.78%11.75%11.31%
Return on Equity (ROE)9.94%8.14%3.78%8.52%7.33%5.44%6.83%6.98%
Return on Assets (ROA)5.24%4.62%2.12%4.74%4.16%3.07%3.87%3.78%

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
BULLISH

ROK is in a strong bullish uptrend with price trading near its 52-week high, supported by a golden cross of the 50 SMA above the 200 SMA. Momentum indicators suggest strength, though RSI is approaching overbought territory. The stock is currently in a Stage 2 advancing phase, indicating institutional accumulation and a favorable environment for buyers.

RSI
Hold
Neutral69

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Buy
Strong Uptrend

Price in uptrend

+20.0% from 200 SMA
ADX
Buy
Strong Trend32

Strong trend active

Strong
MA Cross
Buy
Above 50/200

50 above 200 - bullish

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$455.08
50 SMA
$390.17
150 SMA
$390.59
200 SMA
$379.12
52W High
$463.49
52W Low
$298.70

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
69Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

Rockwell Automation (ROK) demonstrates robust underlying fundamentals with consistent revenue and earnings growth, improving margins, and a history of positive earnings surprises. The company is capitalizing on global industrial automation trends, fueling top-line expansion and operational leverage. While valuation metrics are rich, fundamentals suggest a leader well positioned for ongoing success, albeit with some cyclical and execution risks inherent to the sector.

Latest Earnings

Q1 2026 Earnings (Mar 31, 2026)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$3.30

Estimated

$2.88

Surprise

+$0.42

Surprise %

+14.58%

Revenue

Beat

Actual

$2.24B

Estimated

$2.16B

Surprise

+$80.61M

Surprise %

+3.73%

Historical Earnings

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$3.30$2.75$3.34$2.82$2.45$1.83$2.47$2.71
EPS (Estimated)$2.88$2.47$2.94$2.67$2.10$1.60$2.41$2.08
EPS Surprise+$0.42+$0.28+$0.40+$0.15+$0.35+$0.23+$0.06+$0.63
% Diff+14.6%+11.3%+13.6%+5.6%+16.7%+14.4%+2.5%+30.3%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$2.24B$2.11B$2.32B$2.14B$2B$1.88B$2.04B$2.05B
Revenue (Estimated)$2.16B$2.08B$2.21B$2.07B$1.97B$1.88B$2.06B$2.03B
Revenue Surprise+$80.61M+$23.32M+$105.02M+$74.01M+$35.94M+$2.09M-$28.44M+$18.86M
% Diff+3.7%+1.1%+4.7%+3.6%+1.8%+0.1%-1.4%+0.9%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
OVERVALUED

Rockwell Automation (ROK) currently trades at a premium valuation relative to its industrial machinery peers, supported by solid revenue growth and improving earnings metrics. Analyst sentiment is cautiously optimistic, with a consensus rating leaning toward Buy and price targets reflecting moderate upside potential. The company's financial health is robust, driven by strong free cash flow and operational margins, although elevated multiples reflect market expectations for continued growth in automation and AI integration.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

46.89

TTM

Price to Sales

5.75

TTM

Price to Book

14.48

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

34.83

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

6.16

TTM

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Price to Earnings28.7435.9471.5531.6728.9443.8831.7432.47
Price to Sales17.9720.8317.0517.4314.5717.1614.9114.69
Price to Book11.4211.7110.8110.798.489.548.689.06
Enterprise Value to EBITDA95.77105.00230.6888.0178.50108.9785.6990.45
Enterprise Value to Revenue19.5922.5518.4319.0116.3919.0516.6916.49

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
POSITIVE

Rockwell Automation's market sentiment is robustly positive, buoyed by a strong Q2 earnings beat, raised guidance, and significant analyst price target hikes. Both institutional and retail investors show confidence, supported by upbeat news narratives around automation and AI-driven growth sectors. Despite a mixed distribution of analyst ratings, the overall momentum favors bullish sentiment with rising stock prices and social buzz.

Analyst Recommendations

As of May 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Buy
3.5 / 5.0
Based on 29 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
1
Sell
1
Hold
13
Buy
10
Strong Buy
4

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
MODERATE

Rockwell Automation demonstrates solid operational performance with improving earnings and robust fiscal 2026 guidance, supported by strong demand in automation sectors. However, liquidity is moderate, and leverage is significant, presenting some financial risk. The stock faces industry headwinds from inflationary and competitive pressures, but maintains positive market sentiment and steady analyst support overall.

Liquidity & Solvency

Current Ratio

1.09

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Quick Ratio

0.76

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Debt-to-Equity

1.15

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Debt-to-Assets

0.36

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Liquidity Metrics
Current Ratio1.091.071.141.061.051.081.081.04
Quick Ratio0.760.720.770.720.720.720.720.68
Solvency Metrics
Debt-to-Equity1.151.081.001.121.191.191.171.23
Debt-to-Assets0.360.360.330.350.370.370.360.37

Liquidity Assessment

Current Ratio: 1.09(Adequate)

Quick Ratio: 0.76(Weak)

The company has relatively weak liquidity and may face challenges meeting short-term obligations.

Solvency Assessment

Debt-to-Equity: 1.15(High)

Debt-to-Assets: 0.36(Moderate)

The company has relatively high debt levels, which may increase financial risk in economic downturns.

Frequently Asked Questions about ROK

AI Answers: Common Questions About ROK

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Rockwell Automation, Inc.

ROK is a good buy for growth-oriented investors seeking exposure to industrial automation, as it trades near all-time highs with strong earnings momentum and bullish technicals. However, its P/E of 47.08 and EV/EBITDA above 25x are well above sector averages, so entry on pullbacks or confirmed breakouts is prudent. The stock's premium valuation is justified by robust fundamentals, but investors should be mindful of valuation risk.

There is no strong reason to sell ROK now unless you are highly valuation-sensitive or expect a near-term cyclical downturn. Fundamentals and technicals remain bullish, and sentiment is positive following recent earnings and guidance; however, if the stock fails to break above $463.5 or shows signs of reversal, partial profit-taking may be considered.

The biggest risks are the elevated valuation (P/E >47, EV/EBITDA >25x), moderate liquidity (current ratio ~1.09, quick ratio ~0.76), and significant leverage (debt/equity >1.1). Macroeconomic downturns, industrial capex volatility, and margin pressures from inflation or competition could impact performance and trigger multiple contraction.

Technically, a breakout above $463.5 could target the $470–475 range in the short term, while key support levels are at $388 (50 SMA) and $378 (200 SMA). Analyst price targets have been raised post-earnings, with consensus reflecting moderate upside from current levels; watch for confirmation of a breakout or consolidation near resistance.

ROK is currently overvalued relative to its industrial machinery peers, with a P/E of 47.08 and EV/EBITDA above 25x versus sector averages below 10x. The premium is supported by strong growth and margin expansion, but leaves little room for error—any slowdown could lead to a sharp re-rating.

Fundamentally, ROK is very strong: revenue and net income are growing, gross margins have exceeded 50%, and operating margins are above 20%. Earnings quality is high, growth is mostly organic, and the company has a leading market position, though moderate leverage and liquidity should be monitored.

Technical analysis is bullish: the stock is in a strong uptrend with a golden cross (50 SMA at $388.33 above 200 SMA at $378.14), price near the 52-week high ($463.49), and RSI at 69.7 (approaching overbought). A breakout above $463.5 could trigger further upside, while support is strong at $388 and $378.

Key catalysts include upcoming earnings reports, further guidance raises, new automation/AI product launches, and broader macro trends favoring industrial automation. Watch for volume spikes and news flow around resistance levels, as well as any macroeconomic developments impacting industrial capex.

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