ROK AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?
Rockwell Automation, Inc. (ROK)
Fundamentals
Rockwell Automation (ROK) demonstrates robust underlying fundamentals with consistent revenue and earnings growth, improving margins, and a history of positive earnings surprises. The company is capitalizing on global industrial automation trends, fueling top-line expansion and operational leverage. While valuation metrics are rich, fundamentals suggest a leader well positioned for ongoing success, albeit with some cyclical and execution risks inherent to the sector.
Financial Highlights
- Revenue
- Net Income
- Net Margin (%)
Revenue
11.84% YoY
Q1 2026
Net Income
38.89% YoY
Q1 2026
Net Margin
Q1 2026
Growth Metrics
Revenue Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Net Income Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Revenue Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
EPS Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Book Value Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 2.2B | 2.1B | 2.3B | 2.1B | 2.0B | 1.9B | 2.0B | 2.1B |
| Revenue Growth YoY | +11.84% | +11.85% | +13.78% | +4.53% | -5.83% | -8.28% | -20.58% | -8.31% |
| Net Income | 350.0M | 305.0M | 138.0M | 295.0M | 252.0M | 184.0M | 239.1M | 232.0M |
| Net Income Growth YoY | +38.89% | +65.76% | -42.28% | +27.16% | -5.26% | -14.42% | +23.57% | -42.03% |
| EPS | $3.11 | $2.71 | $1.23 | $2.61 | $2.22 | $1.62 | $2.11 | $2.04 |
| EPS Growth YoY | +40.09% | +67.28% | -41.71% | +27.94% | -4.31% | -13.83% | -20.08% | -41.21% |
Profitability Metrics
Gross Margin
TTM
Operating Margin
TTM
Net Margin
TTM
Return on Equity
TTM
Return on Assets
TTM
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 50.25% | 48.27% | 69.43% | 40.86% | 40.06% | 38.31% | 37.86% | 38.76% |
| Operating Margin | 20.86% | 17.43% | 19.78% | 18.10% | 17.23% | 18.17% | 13.94% | 14.33% |
| Net Margin | 15.63% | 14.49% | 5.96% | 13.76% | 12.59% | 9.78% | 11.75% | 11.31% |
| Return on Equity (ROE) | 9.94% | 8.14% | 3.78% | 8.52% | 7.33% | 5.44% | 6.83% | 6.98% |
| Return on Assets (ROA) | 5.24% | 4.62% | 2.12% | 4.74% | 4.16% | 3.07% | 3.87% | 3.78% |
Technical Analysis
ROK is in a strong bullish uptrend with price trading near its 52-week high, supported by a golden cross of the 50 SMA above the 200 SMA. Momentum indicators suggest strength, though RSI is approaching overbought territory. The stock is currently in a Stage 2 advancing phase, indicating institutional accumulation and a favorable environment for buyers.
No extreme reading
Price in uptrend
Strong trend active
50 above 200 - bullish
Key Technical Values
Price with Moving Averages
50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages
Relative Strength Index
Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes
RSI (14)
Earnings
Rockwell Automation (ROK) demonstrates robust underlying fundamentals with consistent revenue and earnings growth, improving margins, and a history of positive earnings surprises. The company is capitalizing on global industrial automation trends, fueling top-line expansion and operational leverage. While valuation metrics are rich, fundamentals suggest a leader well positioned for ongoing success, albeit with some cyclical and execution risks inherent to the sector.
Latest Earnings
Q1 2026 Earnings (Mar 31, 2026)
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Actual
$3.30
Estimated
$2.88
Surprise
+$0.42
Surprise %
+14.58%
Revenue
Actual
$2.24B
Estimated
$2.16B
Surprise
+$80.61M
Surprise %
+3.73%
Historical Earnings
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Per Share | ||||||||
| EPS (Actual) | $3.30 | $2.75 | $3.34 | $2.82 | $2.45 | $1.83 | $2.47 | $2.71 |
| EPS (Estimated) | $2.88 | $2.47 | $2.94 | $2.67 | $2.10 | $1.60 | $2.41 | $2.08 |
| EPS Surprise | +$0.42 | +$0.28 | +$0.40 | +$0.15 | +$0.35 | +$0.23 | +$0.06 | +$0.63 |
| % Diff | +14.6% | +11.3% | +13.6% | +5.6% | +16.7% | +14.4% | +2.5% | +30.3% |
| Revenue | ||||||||
| Revenue (Actual) | $2.24B | $2.11B | $2.32B | $2.14B | $2B | $1.88B | $2.04B | $2.05B |
| Revenue (Estimated) | $2.16B | $2.08B | $2.21B | $2.07B | $1.97B | $1.88B | $2.06B | $2.03B |
| Revenue Surprise | +$80.61M | +$23.32M | +$105.02M | +$74.01M | +$35.94M | +$2.09M | -$28.44M | +$18.86M |
| % Diff | +3.7% | +1.1% | +4.7% | +3.6% | +1.8% | +0.1% | -1.4% | +0.9% |
Valuation
Rockwell Automation (ROK) currently trades at a premium valuation relative to its industrial machinery peers, supported by solid revenue growth and improving earnings metrics. Analyst sentiment is cautiously optimistic, with a consensus rating leaning toward Buy and price targets reflecting moderate upside potential. The company's financial health is robust, driven by strong free cash flow and operational margins, although elevated multiples reflect market expectations for continued growth in automation and AI integration.
Valuation Metrics
Price to Earnings
TTM
Price to Sales
TTM
Price to Book
TTM
Enterprise Value to EBITDA
TTM
Enterprise Value to Revenue
TTM
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price to Earnings | 28.74 | 35.94 | 71.55 | 31.67 | 28.94 | 43.88 | 31.74 | 32.47 |
| Price to Sales | 17.97 | 20.83 | 17.05 | 17.43 | 14.57 | 17.16 | 14.91 | 14.69 |
| Price to Book | 11.42 | 11.71 | 10.81 | 10.79 | 8.48 | 9.54 | 8.68 | 9.06 |
| Enterprise Value to EBITDA | 95.77 | 105.00 | 230.68 | 88.01 | 78.50 | 108.97 | 85.69 | 90.45 |
| Enterprise Value to Revenue | 19.59 | 22.55 | 18.43 | 19.01 | 16.39 | 19.05 | 16.69 | 16.49 |
Sentiment & Analyst Ratings
Rockwell Automation's market sentiment is robustly positive, buoyed by a strong Q2 earnings beat, raised guidance, and significant analyst price target hikes. Both institutional and retail investors show confidence, supported by upbeat news narratives around automation and AI-driven growth sectors. Despite a mixed distribution of analyst ratings, the overall momentum favors bullish sentiment with rising stock prices and social buzz.
Analyst Recommendations
Risk Assessment
Rockwell Automation demonstrates solid operational performance with improving earnings and robust fiscal 2026 guidance, supported by strong demand in automation sectors. However, liquidity is moderate, and leverage is significant, presenting some financial risk. The stock faces industry headwinds from inflationary and competitive pressures, but maintains positive market sentiment and steady analyst support overall.
Liquidity & Solvency
Current Ratio
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Quick Ratio
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Debt-to-Equity
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Debt-to-Assets
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidity Metrics | ||||||||
| Current Ratio | 1.09 | 1.07 | 1.14 | 1.06 | 1.05 | 1.08 | 1.08 | 1.04 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.76 | 0.72 | 0.77 | 0.72 | 0.72 | 0.72 | 0.72 | 0.68 |
| Solvency Metrics | ||||||||
| Debt-to-Equity | 1.15 | 1.08 | 1.00 | 1.12 | 1.19 | 1.19 | 1.17 | 1.23 |
| Debt-to-Assets | 0.36 | 0.36 | 0.33 | 0.35 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.36 | 0.37 |
Liquidity Assessment
Current Ratio: 1.09(Adequate)
Quick Ratio: 0.76(Weak)
The company has relatively weak liquidity and may face challenges meeting short-term obligations.
Solvency Assessment
Debt-to-Equity: 1.15(High)
Debt-to-Assets: 0.36(Moderate)
The company has relatively high debt levels, which may increase financial risk in economic downturns.
Frequently Asked Questions about ROK
AI Answers: Common Questions About ROK
Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Rockwell Automation, Inc.
ROK is a good buy for growth-oriented investors seeking exposure to industrial automation, as it trades near all-time highs with strong earnings momentum and bullish technicals. However, its P/E of 47.08 and EV/EBITDA above 25x are well above sector averages, so entry on pullbacks or confirmed breakouts is prudent. The stock's premium valuation is justified by robust fundamentals, but investors should be mindful of valuation risk.
There is no strong reason to sell ROK now unless you are highly valuation-sensitive or expect a near-term cyclical downturn. Fundamentals and technicals remain bullish, and sentiment is positive following recent earnings and guidance; however, if the stock fails to break above $463.5 or shows signs of reversal, partial profit-taking may be considered.
The biggest risks are the elevated valuation (P/E >47, EV/EBITDA >25x), moderate liquidity (current ratio ~1.09, quick ratio ~0.76), and significant leverage (debt/equity >1.1). Macroeconomic downturns, industrial capex volatility, and margin pressures from inflation or competition could impact performance and trigger multiple contraction.
Technically, a breakout above $463.5 could target the $470–475 range in the short term, while key support levels are at $388 (50 SMA) and $378 (200 SMA). Analyst price targets have been raised post-earnings, with consensus reflecting moderate upside from current levels; watch for confirmation of a breakout or consolidation near resistance.
ROK is currently overvalued relative to its industrial machinery peers, with a P/E of 47.08 and EV/EBITDA above 25x versus sector averages below 10x. The premium is supported by strong growth and margin expansion, but leaves little room for error—any slowdown could lead to a sharp re-rating.
Fundamentally, ROK is very strong: revenue and net income are growing, gross margins have exceeded 50%, and operating margins are above 20%. Earnings quality is high, growth is mostly organic, and the company has a leading market position, though moderate leverage and liquidity should be monitored.
Technical analysis is bullish: the stock is in a strong uptrend with a golden cross (50 SMA at $388.33 above 200 SMA at $378.14), price near the 52-week high ($463.49), and RSI at 69.7 (approaching overbought). A breakout above $463.5 could trigger further upside, while support is strong at $388 and $378.
Key catalysts include upcoming earnings reports, further guidance raises, new automation/AI product launches, and broader macro trends favoring industrial automation. Watch for volume spikes and news flow around resistance levels, as well as any macroeconomic developments impacting industrial capex.
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