ROK AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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Rockwell Automation, Inc. (ROK)

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

Rockwell Automation (ROK) demonstrates solid fundamental strength marked by consistent revenue growth, improving profitability margins, and strong earnings beats in recent quarters. The company's financial health is supported by robust operating income growth and sustained investment in R&D, underpinning its leadership in automation solutions. Despite a premium valuation, these fundamentals justify a favorable outlook amid ongoing industrial digital transformation.

Financial Highlights

Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026$0$600.0M$1.2B$1.8B$2.4BRevenue & Net Income ($)4%8%12%16%20%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$2.24B

11.84% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Income

$350.00M

38.89% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Margin

15.63%

Q1 2026

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

11.84%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Net Income Growth YoY

38.89%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

12.64%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

EPS Growth YoY

40.09%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

-0.10%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Revenue2.2B2.1B2.3B2.1B2.0B1.9B2.0B2.1B
Revenue Growth YoY+11.84%+11.85%+13.78%+4.53%-5.83%-8.28%-20.58%-8.31%
Net Income350.0M305.0M138.0M295.0M252.0M184.0M239.1M232.0M
Net Income Growth YoY+38.89%+65.76%-42.28%+27.16%-5.26%-14.42%+23.57%-42.03%
EPS$3.11$2.71$1.23$2.61$2.22$1.62$2.11$2.04
EPS Growth YoY+40.09%+67.28%-41.71%+27.94%-4.31%-13.83%-20.08%-41.21%

Profitability Metrics

No profitability metrics available

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
BULLISH

ROK is currently in a strong uptrend, supported by a bullish golden cross and price above major moving averages. Technical indicators like RSI and MACD suggest positive momentum, although ADX indicates the trend strength is moderate. The stock is near its 52-week high, facing resistance around $497 and support near the 50-day SMA at $463, presenting a favorable trading setup in the advancing phase.

RSI
Hold
Neutral58

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Buy
Strong Uptrend

Price in uptrend

+16.7% from 200 SMA
ADX
Hold
Weak/No Trend13

Range-bound market

Weak
MA Cross
Buy
Above 50/200

50 above 200 - bullish

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$480.98
50 SMA
$464.54
150 SMA
$422.59
200 SMA
$412.09
52W High
$497.36
52W Low
$305.44

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
58Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

Rockwell Automation (ROK) demonstrates solid fundamental strength marked by consistent revenue growth, improving profitability margins, and strong earnings beats in recent quarters. The company's financial health is supported by robust operating income growth and sustained investment in R&D, underpinning its leadership in automation solutions. Despite a premium valuation, these fundamentals justify a favorable outlook amid ongoing industrial digital transformation.

Latest Earnings

Q1 2026 Earnings (Mar 31, 2026)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$3.30

Estimated

$2.88

Surprise

+$0.42

Surprise %

+14.58%

Revenue

Beat

Actual

$2.24B

Estimated

$2.16B

Surprise

+$80.61M

Surprise %

+3.73%

Historical Earnings

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$3.30$2.75$3.34$2.82$2.45$1.83$2.47$2.71
EPS (Estimated)$2.88$2.47$2.94$2.67$2.10$1.60$2.41$2.08
EPS Surprise+$0.42+$0.28+$0.40+$0.15+$0.35+$0.23+$0.06+$0.63
% Diff+14.6%+11.3%+13.6%+5.6%+16.7%+14.4%+2.5%+30.3%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$2.24B$2.11B$2.32B$2.14B$2B$1.88B$2.04B$2.05B
Revenue (Estimated)$2.16B$2.08B$2.21B$2.07B$1.97B$1.88B$2.06B$2.03B
Revenue Surprise+$80.61M+$23.32M+$105.02M+$74.01M+$35.94M+$2.09M-$28.44M+$18.86M
% Diff+3.7%+1.1%+4.7%+3.6%+1.8%+0.1%-1.4%+0.9%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
FAIRLY VALUED

Rockwell Automation exhibits premium valuation multiples relative to its industrial machinery peers, reflecting its leadership in North American automation and strong software content. Despite a high valuation, the company shows solid financial health with consistent revenue growth, robust profitability, and improving earnings, complemented by positive market sentiment and bullish technical indicators. Analyst consensus leans towards a moderate buy with balanced upside potential, though near-term price targets indicate limited immediate gains from current levels.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

49.79

TTM

Price to Sales

6.08

TTM

Price to Book

15.31

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

34.51

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

6.49

TTM

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Price to Earnings28.8535.8971.0431.8229.1044.1031.8132.54
Price to Sales17.9720.8317.0517.4314.5717.1614.9114.69
Price to Book11.4211.7110.8110.798.489.548.689.06
Enterprise Value to EBITDA78.89105.00230.6888.0178.50108.9785.6990.45
Enterprise Value to Revenue19.5922.5518.4319.0116.3919.0516.6916.49

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
MIXED

Rockwell Automation (ROK) exhibits a generally positive but cautious sentiment profile. While analysts predominantly rate the stock as a moderate buy with price targets clustered near current levels and some optimism from recent earnings beats and strong guidance, concerns about valuation and mixed insider activity temper enthusiasm. Retail investor sentiment reflects optimism driven by strong fundamentals and share performance, counterbalanced by valuation worries and negative insider selling.

Analyst Recommendations

As of Aug 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Buy
3.5 / 5.0
Based on 28 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
0
Sell
1
Hold
14
Buy
10
Strong Buy
3

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
MODERATE

Rockwell Automation (ROK) presents a moderate financial risk profile with stable liquidity but elevated leverage typical of capital-intensive industrial firms. The company recently posted strong earnings growth and raised guidance, backed by strategic initiatives in intelligent automation, although valuation remains stretched with uncertainty from cyclicality and competitive pressures. Market sentiment is moderately positive, reflecting confidence in execution but caution over macroeconomic vulnerabilities and execution risks.

Liquidity & Solvency

Frequently Asked Questions about ROK

AI Answers: Common Questions About ROK

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Rockwell Automation, Inc.

Yes, ROK is a good buy given its strong fundamentals, 44% YoY EPS growth in Q1 2026, expanding margins above 50%, and a bullish technical setup near $480 with upside to $497 resistance.

Not currently; despite premium valuation (P/E ~39x), earnings growth and operational strength justify holding or buying. Monitor for valuation contraction or cyclical downturns.

Key risks include manufacturing cyclicality affecting demand, premium valuation limiting upside, and execution challenges in software transition amid competitive pressures.

Near-term resistance is at $497.36 (52-week high) with potential breakout above $500 if momentum sustains. Analyst targets range broadly up to $555, reflecting growth optimism.

ROK trades at a premium with P/E of 39.32 and high EV/EBITDA multiples justified by leadership in automation, strong software integration, and double-digit earnings growth.

Strong fundamentals include revenue above $8.3B, gross margins over 50%, operating margins near 21%, and consistent earnings beats with high-quality earnings and cash flow.

Bullish technicals with a golden cross, RSI at 57, MACD buy signals, and volume above average support upward momentum, though trend strength is moderate indicating possible short-term consolidation.

Upcoming Q3 earnings on August 4, continued fiscal 2026 growth guidance, AI and automation initiatives, and shareholder returns like buybacks and dividend increases.

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