RTX AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?
RTX Corporation (RTX)
RTX presents a compelling long-term investment case, underpinned by robust fundamentals, sustained earnings growth, and strong sector positioning, though near-term technicals are neutral and valuation is at a premium. While short-term caution is warranted due to technical consolidation and operational risks, the medium- and long-term outlooks are supported by positive sentiment, a solid backlog, and ongoing contract wins. Investors should monitor liquidity and execution risks, but the risk/reward profile remains attractive for those with a longer horizon.
Fundamentals
RTX Corporation demonstrates robust fundamental strength, marked by consistent revenue and earnings growth, margin improvement, and multiple quarters of notable earnings beats. Its dominant position in the aerospace and defense industry supports stable cashflows and visibility, although its premium valuation warrants attention. Near-term growth prospects remain favorable, but investors should remain watchful of cyclical and geopolitical exposures.
Financial Highlights
- Revenue
- Net Income
- Net Margin (%)
Revenue
8.72% YoY
Q1 2026
Net Income
34.14% YoY
Q1 2026
Net Margin
Q1 2026
Growth Metrics
Revenue Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Net Income Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Revenue Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
EPS Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Book Value Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 22.1B | 24.2B | 22.5B | 21.6B | 20.3B | 21.6B | 20.1B | 19.7B |
| Revenue Growth YoY | +8.72% | +12.09% | +11.89% | +9.43% | +5.19% | +8.51% | +49.21% | +7.68% |
| Net Income | 2.1B | 1.6B | 1.9B | 1.7B | 1.5B | 1.5B | 1.5B | 111.0M |
| Net Income Growth YoY | +34.14% | +9.45% | +30.30% | +1392.79% | -10.18% | +3.93% | +249.59% | -91.64% |
| EPS | $1.53 | $1.21 | $1.43 | $1.24 | $1.15 | $1.11 | $1.10 | $0.08 |
| EPS Growth YoY | +33.04% | +9.01% | +30.00% | +1450.00% | -10.85% | +5.71% | +261.76% | -91.21% |
Profitability Metrics
Gross Margin
TTM
Operating Margin
TTM
Net Margin
TTM
Return on Equity
TTM
Return on Assets
TTM
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 20.81% | 19.46% | 20.38% | 20.28% | 20.27% | 19.59% | 20.08% | 18.15% |
| Operating Margin | 11.57% | 9.45% | 10.94% | 9.76% | 10.00% | 8.57% | 9.43% | 7.23% |
| Net Margin | 9.33% | 6.69% | 8.53% | 7.68% | 7.56% | 6.85% | 7.33% | 0.56% |
| Return on Equity (ROE) | 3.11% | 2.49% | 2.97% | 2.66% | 2.50% | 2.46% | 2.41% | 0.19% |
| Return on Assets (ROA) | 2.40% | 1.89% | 2.31% | 2.04% | 1.95% | 1.93% | 1.91% | 0.15% |
Technical Analysis
RTX is currently in a Stage 1 consolidation phase, trading below key moving averages with a bearish primary trend but showing signs of a strong overall trend from ADX readings. Price action is at a critical decision zone near daily support/resistance levels, with mixed momentum indicators reflecting near-term caution but some potential for a rebound if resistance is broken.
No extreme reading
Price in downtrend
Strong trend active
Watching for cross
Key Technical Values
Price with Moving Averages
50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages
Relative Strength Index
Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes
RSI (14)
Earnings
RTX Corporation demonstrates robust fundamental strength, marked by consistent revenue and earnings growth, margin improvement, and multiple quarters of notable earnings beats. Its dominant position in the aerospace and defense industry supports stable cashflows and visibility, although its premium valuation warrants attention. Near-term growth prospects remain favorable, but investors should remain watchful of cyclical and geopolitical exposures.
Latest Earnings
Q1 2026 Earnings (Mar 31, 2026)
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Actual
$1.78
Estimated
$1.51
Surprise
+$0.27
Surprise %
+17.88%
Revenue
Actual
$22.08B
Estimated
$21.46B
Surprise
+$615.07M
Surprise %
+2.87%
Historical Earnings
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Per Share | ||||||||
| EPS (Actual) | $1.78 | $1.55 | $1.70 | $1.56 | $1.47 | $1.54 | $1.45 | $1.41 |
| EPS (Estimated) | $1.51 | $1.47 | $1.41 | $1.44 | $1.35 | $1.38 | $1.34 | $1.30 |
| EPS Surprise | +$0.27 | +$0.08 | +$0.29 | +$0.12 | +$0.12 | +$0.16 | +$0.11 | +$0.11 |
| % Diff | +17.9% | +5.4% | +20.6% | +8.3% | +8.9% | +11.6% | +8.2% | +8.5% |
| Revenue | ||||||||
| Revenue (Actual) | $22.08B | $24.24B | $22.48B | $21.58B | $20.31B | $21.62B | $20.09B | $19.72B |
| Revenue (Estimated) | $21.46B | $22.69B | $21.3B | $20.64B | $19.81B | $20.54B | $19.84B | $19.29B |
| Revenue Surprise | +$615.07M | +$1.54B | +$1.18B | +$945.33M | +$491.36M | +$1.08B | +$245.81M | +$430.2M |
| % Diff | +2.9% | +6.8% | +5.5% | +4.6% | +2.5% | +5.3% | +1.2% | +2.2% |
Valuation
RTX is currently trading at a premium valuation supported by strong earnings growth and solid profitability metrics within the aerospace and defense sector. Analysts generally maintain a bullish outlook, citing robust contract wins and diversified revenue streams, though valuation multiples suggest limited near-term margin for error. The stock offers upside potential relative to its current price, backed by positive sector dynamics and improved earnings visibility.
Valuation Metrics
Price to Earnings
TTM
Price to Sales
TTM
Price to Book
TTM
Enterprise Value to EBITDA
TTM
Enterprise Value to Revenue
TTM
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price to Earnings | 31.57 | 38.02 | 29.29 | 29.53 | 28.85 | 26.05 | 27.43 | 298.61 |
| Price to Sales | 11.78 | 10.18 | 10.00 | 9.07 | 8.72 | 7.14 | 8.04 | 6.72 |
| Price to Book | 3.92 | 3.78 | 3.48 | 3.14 | 2.88 | 2.57 | 2.64 | 2.25 |
| Enterprise Value to EBITDA | 80.57 | 80.81 | 73.07 | 73.72 | 69.71 | 64.08 | 66.46 | 68.14 |
| Enterprise Value to Revenue | 13.23 | 11.50 | 11.54 | 10.87 | 10.58 | 8.87 | 9.89 | 8.63 |
Sentiment & Analyst Ratings
RTX stock sentiment is generally positive, driven by strong recent earnings beats, sizable defense contract wins, and favorable analyst upgrades with optimistic price targets. While recent media coverage emphasizes contract growth and robust financial guidance, some caution persists around supply chain challenges and commercial aerospace recovery. Retail and institutional investors seem moderately bullish, buoyed by dividend hikes and solid backlog visibility.
Analyst Recommendations
Risk Assessment
RTX Corporation shows a moderate financial risk profile characterized by slightly above 1 current ratio values, indicating capability to meet short-term obligations, although marginally. The company faces sector-specific execution and supply chain risks, notably involving Pratt & Whitney's engine issues and persistent component shortages, which could affect near-term cash flows and market positioning. Elevated valuations and geopolitical sensitivities add to the complexity, making RTX a moderately risky aerospace and defense investment relative to its industrial peers.
Liquidity & Solvency
Current Ratio
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Quick Ratio
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Debt-to-Equity
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Debt-to-Assets
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidity Metrics | ||||||||
| Current Ratio | 1.02 | 1.03 | 1.07 | 1.01 | 1.01 | 0.99 | 0.99 | 0.99 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.78 | 0.80 | 0.81 | 0.75 | 0.75 | 0.74 | 0.73 | 0.73 |
| Solvency Metrics | ||||||||
| Debt-to-Equity | 0.59 | 0.61 | 0.63 | 0.70 | 0.70 | 0.71 | 0.72 | 0.74 |
| Debt-to-Assets | 0.23 | 0.23 | 0.24 | 0.26 | 0.26 | 0.26 | 0.27 | 0.27 |
Liquidity Assessment
Current Ratio: 1.02(Adequate)
Quick Ratio: 0.78(Weak)
The company has relatively weak liquidity and may face challenges meeting short-term obligations.
Solvency Assessment
Debt-to-Equity: 0.59(Moderate)
Debt-to-Assets: 0.23(Low)
The company maintains a balanced capital structure with manageable debt levels.
Frequently Asked Questions about RTX
AI Answers: Common Questions About RTX
Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about RTX Corporation
RTX is a good buy for long-term investors, trading at $176.09 with a P/E of 33.1x, supported by 9.7% YoY revenue growth, 41% net income growth, and a robust contract backlog. The stock is fairly valued relative to peers and offers upside if operational risks are managed and growth continues. Short-term traders should wait for a technical breakout above $176.74 before entering.
Unless your thesis has changed or you require liquidity, there is no strong reason to sell now: fundamentals remain strong, sentiment is positive, and analyst targets suggest further upside. However, if RTX breaks below $173.63 or operational issues worsen, consider reducing exposure.
The biggest risks are supply chain fragility and ongoing Pratt & Whitney engine inspection delays, which could impact near-term cash flows. Liquidity is adequate but tight (current ratio ~1.02, quick ratio ~0.78), and the premium valuation leaves little room for earnings disappointments. Geopolitical and defense budget volatility also pose risks.
Analyst price targets are bullish, with a median of $222.50 and average near $210, implying significant upside from current levels. Technically, resistance is at $176.74 and $179.31, with support at $173.63; a breakout above $179.31 could signal a move toward analyst targets.
RTX is fairly valued at a premium, with a P/E of 33.1x and elevated EV/EBITDA multiples reflecting strong growth and profitability. While more expensive than some peers, its diversified revenue streams and margin expansion justify the premium, though near-term upside may be capped if growth slows.
RTX is fundamentally strong, with revenue up 9.7% YoY to $88.6B, net margins rising to 7.6%, and eight consecutive earnings beats. The balance sheet is moderately leveraged (debt/equity ~0.59), and liquidity is adequate but should be monitored.
Technically, RTX is consolidating below key moving averages ($193.76, $179.31), with RSI at 36.55 (near oversold) and no clear breakout. Traders should watch for a decisive move above $176.74 or below $173.63 for directional cues.
Key catalysts include resolution of Pratt & Whitney engine issues, new major contract wins, upcoming earnings releases, and easing supply chain constraints. Positive earnings surprises or upward guidance revisions could drive further upside.
Want a Personalized Answer?
Get AI-powered insights tailored to your risk tolerance and investment goals.