RTX AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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RTX Corporation (RTX)

$178.89+0.28 (+0.16%) today

Open
$178.60
High
$179.92
Low
$176.62
Volume
3.41M
Mkt Cap
$240.91B
52W High
$214.50
AI Verdict
Confidence 91%
RTXRTX Corporation
AlphaCrew AI
BUY
Overall
Summary

RTX presents a compelling long-term investment case, underpinned by robust fundamentals, sustained earnings growth, and strong sector positioning, though near-term technicals are neutral and valuation is at a premium. While short-term caution is warranted due to technical consolidation and operational risks, the medium- and long-term outlooks are supported by positive sentiment, a solid backlog, and ongoing contract wins. Investors should monitor liquidity and execution risks, but the risk/reward profile remains attractive for those with a longer horizon.

By Timeframe
Hover for details
WAIT
Short
HOLD
Medium
BUY
Long
Agent Signals
23
Fund
Tech
Val
Sent
Risk

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

RTX Corporation demonstrates robust fundamental strength, marked by consistent revenue and earnings growth, margin improvement, and multiple quarters of notable earnings beats. Its dominant position in the aerospace and defense industry supports stable cashflows and visibility, although its premium valuation warrants attention. Near-term growth prospects remain favorable, but investors should remain watchful of cyclical and geopolitical exposures.

Financial Highlights

Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026$0$6.5B$13.0B$19.5B$26.0BRevenue & Net Income ($)6.4%7.2%8%8.8%9.6%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$22.08B

8.72% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Income

$2.06B

34.14% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Margin

9.33%

Q1 2026

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

8.72%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Net Income Growth YoY

34.14%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

7.84%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

EPS Growth YoY

33.04%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

6.54%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Revenue22.1B24.2B22.5B21.6B20.3B21.6B20.1B19.7B
Revenue Growth YoY+8.72%+12.09%+11.89%+9.43%+5.19%+8.51%+49.21%+7.68%
Net Income2.1B1.6B1.9B1.7B1.5B1.5B1.5B111.0M
Net Income Growth YoY+34.14%+9.45%+30.30%+1392.79%-10.18%+3.93%+249.59%-91.64%
EPS$1.53$1.21$1.43$1.24$1.15$1.11$1.10$0.08
EPS Growth YoY+33.04%+9.01%+30.00%+1450.00%-10.85%+5.71%+261.76%-91.21%

Profitability Metrics

Gross Margin

20.81%

TTM

Operating Margin

11.57%

TTM

Net Margin

9.33%

TTM

Return on Equity

11.23%

TTM

Return on Assets

8.47%

TTM

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Gross Margin20.81%19.46%20.38%20.28%20.27%19.59%20.08%18.15%
Operating Margin11.57%9.45%10.94%9.76%10.00%8.57%9.43%7.23%
Net Margin9.33%6.69%8.53%7.68%7.56%6.85%7.33%0.56%
Return on Equity (ROE)3.11%2.49%2.97%2.66%2.50%2.46%2.41%0.19%
Return on Assets (ROA)2.40%1.89%2.31%2.04%1.95%1.93%1.91%0.15%

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
NEUTRAL

RTX is currently in a Stage 1 consolidation phase, trading below key moving averages with a bearish primary trend but showing signs of a strong overall trend from ADX readings. Price action is at a critical decision zone near daily support/resistance levels, with mixed momentum indicators reflecting near-term caution but some potential for a rebound if resistance is broken.

RSI
Hold
Neutral42

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Sell
Downtrend

Price in downtrend

-0.4% from 200 SMA
ADX
Buy
Strong Trend39

Strong trend active

Strong
MA Cross
Hold
Golden Cross

Watching for cross

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$178.89
50 SMA
$192.62
150 SMA
$186.60
200 SMA
$179.54
52W High
$214.50
52W Low
$127.39

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
42Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

RTX Corporation demonstrates robust fundamental strength, marked by consistent revenue and earnings growth, margin improvement, and multiple quarters of notable earnings beats. Its dominant position in the aerospace and defense industry supports stable cashflows and visibility, although its premium valuation warrants attention. Near-term growth prospects remain favorable, but investors should remain watchful of cyclical and geopolitical exposures.

Latest Earnings

Q1 2026 Earnings (Mar 31, 2026)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$1.78

Estimated

$1.51

Surprise

+$0.27

Surprise %

+17.88%

Revenue

Beat

Actual

$22.08B

Estimated

$21.46B

Surprise

+$615.07M

Surprise %

+2.87%

Historical Earnings

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$1.78$1.55$1.70$1.56$1.47$1.54$1.45$1.41
EPS (Estimated)$1.51$1.47$1.41$1.44$1.35$1.38$1.34$1.30
EPS Surprise+$0.27+$0.08+$0.29+$0.12+$0.12+$0.16+$0.11+$0.11
% Diff+17.9%+5.4%+20.6%+8.3%+8.9%+11.6%+8.2%+8.5%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$22.08B$24.24B$22.48B$21.58B$20.31B$21.62B$20.09B$19.72B
Revenue (Estimated)$21.46B$22.69B$21.3B$20.64B$19.81B$20.54B$19.84B$19.29B
Revenue Surprise+$615.07M+$1.54B+$1.18B+$945.33M+$491.36M+$1.08B+$245.81M+$430.2M
% Diff+2.9%+6.8%+5.5%+4.6%+2.5%+5.3%+1.2%+2.2%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
FAIRLY VALUED

RTX is currently trading at a premium valuation supported by strong earnings growth and solid profitability metrics within the aerospace and defense sector. Analysts generally maintain a bullish outlook, citing robust contract wins and diversified revenue streams, though valuation multiples suggest limited near-term margin for error. The stock offers upside potential relative to its current price, backed by positive sector dynamics and improved earnings visibility.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

33.38

TTM

Price to Sales

2.68

TTM

Price to Book

3.65

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

19.85

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

3.03

TTM

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Price to Earnings31.5738.0229.2929.5328.8526.0527.43298.61
Price to Sales11.7810.1810.009.078.727.148.046.72
Price to Book3.923.783.483.142.882.572.642.25
Enterprise Value to EBITDA80.5780.8173.0773.7269.7164.0866.4668.14
Enterprise Value to Revenue13.2311.5011.5410.8710.588.879.898.63

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
POSITIVE

RTX stock sentiment is generally positive, driven by strong recent earnings beats, sizable defense contract wins, and favorable analyst upgrades with optimistic price targets. While recent media coverage emphasizes contract growth and robust financial guidance, some caution persists around supply chain challenges and commercial aerospace recovery. Retail and institutional investors seem moderately bullish, buoyed by dividend hikes and solid backlog visibility.

Analyst Recommendations

As of May 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Buy
3.8 / 5.0
Based on 23 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
0
Sell
1
Hold
7
Buy
10
Strong Buy
5

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
MODERATE

RTX Corporation shows a moderate financial risk profile characterized by slightly above 1 current ratio values, indicating capability to meet short-term obligations, although marginally. The company faces sector-specific execution and supply chain risks, notably involving Pratt & Whitney's engine issues and persistent component shortages, which could affect near-term cash flows and market positioning. Elevated valuations and geopolitical sensitivities add to the complexity, making RTX a moderately risky aerospace and defense investment relative to its industrial peers.

Liquidity & Solvency

Current Ratio

1.02

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Quick Ratio

0.78

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Debt-to-Equity

0.59

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Debt-to-Assets

0.23

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Liquidity Metrics
Current Ratio1.021.031.071.011.010.990.990.99
Quick Ratio0.780.800.810.750.750.740.730.73
Solvency Metrics
Debt-to-Equity0.590.610.630.700.700.710.720.74
Debt-to-Assets0.230.230.240.260.260.260.270.27

Liquidity Assessment

Current Ratio: 1.02(Adequate)

Quick Ratio: 0.78(Weak)

The company has relatively weak liquidity and may face challenges meeting short-term obligations.

Solvency Assessment

Debt-to-Equity: 0.59(Moderate)

Debt-to-Assets: 0.23(Low)

The company maintains a balanced capital structure with manageable debt levels.

Frequently Asked Questions about RTX

AI Answers: Common Questions About RTX

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about RTX Corporation

RTX is a good buy for long-term investors, trading at $176.09 with a P/E of 33.1x, supported by 9.7% YoY revenue growth, 41% net income growth, and a robust contract backlog. The stock is fairly valued relative to peers and offers upside if operational risks are managed and growth continues. Short-term traders should wait for a technical breakout above $176.74 before entering.

Unless your thesis has changed or you require liquidity, there is no strong reason to sell now: fundamentals remain strong, sentiment is positive, and analyst targets suggest further upside. However, if RTX breaks below $173.63 or operational issues worsen, consider reducing exposure.

The biggest risks are supply chain fragility and ongoing Pratt & Whitney engine inspection delays, which could impact near-term cash flows. Liquidity is adequate but tight (current ratio ~1.02, quick ratio ~0.78), and the premium valuation leaves little room for earnings disappointments. Geopolitical and defense budget volatility also pose risks.

Analyst price targets are bullish, with a median of $222.50 and average near $210, implying significant upside from current levels. Technically, resistance is at $176.74 and $179.31, with support at $173.63; a breakout above $179.31 could signal a move toward analyst targets.

RTX is fairly valued at a premium, with a P/E of 33.1x and elevated EV/EBITDA multiples reflecting strong growth and profitability. While more expensive than some peers, its diversified revenue streams and margin expansion justify the premium, though near-term upside may be capped if growth slows.

RTX is fundamentally strong, with revenue up 9.7% YoY to $88.6B, net margins rising to 7.6%, and eight consecutive earnings beats. The balance sheet is moderately leveraged (debt/equity ~0.59), and liquidity is adequate but should be monitored.

Technically, RTX is consolidating below key moving averages ($193.76, $179.31), with RSI at 36.55 (near oversold) and no clear breakout. Traders should watch for a decisive move above $176.74 or below $173.63 for directional cues.

Key catalysts include resolution of Pratt & Whitney engine issues, new major contract wins, upcoming earnings releases, and easing supply chain constraints. Positive earnings surprises or upward guidance revisions could drive further upside.

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