RTX AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?
RTX Corporation (RTX)
Fundamentals
RTX Corporation demonstrates robust fundamental health, with steady earnings outperformance, consistent revenue growth, and sustained profitability in the aerospace and defense sector. The company has delivered positive quarterly results, reflecting strong operational execution and resilient end-market demand. Overall, the fundamentals suggest a mature business with balanced growth and margin stability.
Financial Highlights
- Revenue
- Net Income
- Net Margin (%)
Revenue
12.09% YoY
Q4 2025
Net Income
9.45% YoY
Q4 2025
Net Margin
Q4 2025
Growth Metrics
Revenue Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
Net Income Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
Revenue Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
EPS Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
Book Value Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
| Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | Q1 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 24.2B | 22.5B | 21.6B | 20.3B | 21.6B | 20.1B | 19.7B | 19.3B |
| Revenue Growth YoY | +12.09% | +11.89% | +9.43% | +5.19% | +8.51% | +49.21% | +7.68% | +12.15% |
| Net Income | 1.6B | 1.9B | 1.7B | 1.5B | 1.5B | 1.5B | 111.0M | 1.7B |
| Net Income Growth YoY | +9.45% | +30.30% | +1392.79% | -10.18% | +3.93% | +249.59% | -91.64% | +19.85% |
| EPS | $1.21 | $1.43 | $1.24 | $1.15 | $1.11 | $1.10 | $0.08 | $1.29 |
| EPS Growth YoY | +9.01% | +30.00% | +1450.00% | -10.85% | +5.71% | +261.76% | -91.21% | +31.63% |
Profitability Metrics
Technical Analysis
RTX is currently in a strong uptrend with the price positioned above key moving averages, supported by a golden cross. Momentum indicators are neutral but stable, indicating steady upward movement without overextension. The stock shows signs of institutional accumulation, making it favorable for buyers in the advancing phase.
No extreme reading
Price in uptrend
Trend developing
50 above 200 - bullish
Key Technical Values
Price with Moving Averages
50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages
Relative Strength Index
Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes
RSI (14)
Earnings
RTX Corporation demonstrates robust fundamental health, with steady earnings outperformance, consistent revenue growth, and sustained profitability in the aerospace and defense sector. The company has delivered positive quarterly results, reflecting strong operational execution and resilient end-market demand. Overall, the fundamentals suggest a mature business with balanced growth and margin stability.
Latest Earnings
Q4 2025 Earnings (Dec 31, 2025)
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Actual
$1.55
Estimated
$1.47
Surprise
+$0.08
Surprise %
+5.44%
Revenue
Actual
$24.24B
Estimated
$22.69B
Surprise
+$1.54B
Surprise %
+6.80%
Historical Earnings
| Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | Q1 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Per Share | ||||||||
| EPS (Actual) | $1.55 | $1.70 | $1.56 | $1.47 | $1.54 | $1.45 | $1.41 | $1.34 |
| EPS (Estimated) | $1.47 | $1.41 | $1.44 | $1.35 | $1.38 | $1.34 | $1.30 | $1.23 |
| EPS Surprise | +$0.08 | +$0.29 | +$0.12 | +$0.12 | +$0.16 | +$0.11 | +$0.11 | +$0.11 |
| % Diff | +5.4% | +20.6% | +8.3% | +8.9% | +11.6% | +8.2% | +8.5% | +8.9% |
| Revenue | ||||||||
| Revenue (Actual) | $24.24B | $22.48B | $21.58B | $20.31B | $21.62B | $20.09B | $19.72B | $19.31B |
| Revenue (Estimated) | $22.69B | $21.3B | $20.64B | $19.81B | $20.54B | $19.84B | $19.29B | $18.41B |
| Revenue Surprise | +$1.54B | +$1.18B | +$945.33M | +$491.36M | +$1.08B | +$245.81M | +$430.2M | +$896.45M |
| % Diff | +6.8% | +5.5% | +4.6% | +2.5% | +5.3% | +1.2% | +2.2% | +4.9% |
Valuation
RTX currently trades at a premium valuation relative to its aerospace and defense peers, supported by robust revenue growth, strong backlog visibility, and a solid free cash flow generation. Analysts generally maintain a positive outlook with a moderate buy consensus and price targets indicating modest upside potential from current levels. While the company benefits from favorable industry tailwinds and strategic contracts, elevated multiples reflect high growth expectations and operational stability.
Valuation Metrics
Price to Earnings
TTM
Price to Sales
TTM
Price to Book
TTM
Enterprise Value to EBITDA
TTM
Enterprise Value to Revenue
TTM
| Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | Q1 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price to Earnings | 38.02 | 29.29 | 29.53 | 28.85 | 26.05 | 27.43 | 298.61 | 19.01 |
| Price to Sales | 10.18 | 10.00 | 9.07 | 8.72 | 7.14 | 8.04 | 6.72 | 6.73 |
| Price to Book | 3.78 | 3.48 | 3.14 | 2.88 | 2.57 | 2.64 | 2.25 | 2.15 |
| Enterprise Value to EBITDA | 80.81 | 73.07 | 73.72 | 69.71 | 64.08 | 66.46 | 68.14 | 65.94 |
| Enterprise Value to Revenue | 11.50 | 11.54 | 10.87 | 10.58 | 8.87 | 9.89 | 8.63 | 8.73 |
Sentiment & Analyst Ratings
RTX displays a cautiously optimistic market sentiment supported by strong contract wins, record backlog growth, and solid earnings beats. While analyst consensus leans toward a moderate buy, concerns around valuation levels and near-term geopolitical risks create a balanced sentiment picture. Retail interest remains stable with focus on defense contracts and geopolitical drivers underpinning demand.
Analyst Recommendations
Risk Assessment
RTX Corporation's financial health reflects moderate liquidity and manageable leverage, with ongoing challenges from supply chain constraints and fixed-price defense contracts pressuring margins. The aerospace and defense giant faces notable risk from Pratt & Whitney engine issues and regulatory scrutiny, though steady demand in geopolitical defense sectors supports its long-term position. Investors should weigh these operational risks against the company's established market presence and diverse portfolio.
Liquidity & Solvency
Frequently Asked Questions about RTX
AI Answers: Common Questions About RTX
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RTX is a good buy for medium- and long-term investors, trading at $201.56 with a P/E of 40.64 and strong growth visibility from a $268B backlog. While the valuation is above sector average, it is justified by consistent earnings beats and robust fundamentals. Entry near current levels is reasonable, but short-term traders may want to wait for a breakout or pullback.
There is no strong reason to sell RTX now unless you are highly risk-averse to valuation or operational setbacks. Fundamentals remain strong, technicals are bullish, and sentiment is stable. However, if the stock fails to break above $214.50 or if liquidity deteriorates further, reassessment may be warranted.
The biggest risks are operational: Pratt & Whitney GTF engine delays, tight liquidity (current ratio ~1.0, quick ratio <0.8), and margin pressures from fixed-price defense contracts. Macro/geopolitical shocks or a miss on high growth expectations could also lead to a valuation correction.
Technical resistance is at $214.50 (52-week high), with potential extension to $220 if a breakout occurs. Analyst price targets range from $179 to $242, with an average near $204, suggesting modest upside from current levels and a strong support zone at $200.
RTX is fairly valued at a premium, with a P/E of 40.64 and high EV/EBITDA reflecting strong growth expectations and backlog visibility. While multiples are above historical and sector averages, they are justified by operational strength and industry tailwinds. Downside risk exists if growth slows or operational issues persist.
RTX is fundamentally strong, with eight consecutive quarters of revenue and EPS growth, stable-to-improving margins, and a diversified business model. Return on equity is in the low- to mid-teens, and recurring aftermarket revenues provide stability. Liquidity is tight but manageable.
Technically, RTX is in a bullish uptrend with price above all key moving averages and a golden cross in place. RSI is neutral at 54, indicating no overbought risk, and support is strong at $200 with resistance at $214.50. No reversal patterns are present, and volume trends support continued accumulation.
Key catalysts include resolution of Pratt & Whitney engine issues, conversion of the $268B backlog into revenue, upcoming earnings reports, and new major defense contract wins. Macro events such as increased defense budgets or geopolitical escalations could also drive upside.
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