SHW AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

5 left

The Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW)

$335.45-12.22 (-3.51%) today

Open
$343.41
High
$343.43
Low
$332.66
Volume
1.44M
Mkt Cap
$83.12B
52W High
$379.65
AI Verdict
Confidence 87%
SHWThe Sherwin-Williams Company
AlphaCrew AI
HOLD
Overall
Summary

Sherwin-Williams (SHW) remains a fundamentally strong, market-leading company with stable margins and recurring demand, but faces valuation headwinds, high leverage, and technical weakness. While long-term prospects are solid, current price action and risk factors suggest limited near-term upside. Investors should be patient, with better entry points likely if technicals or valuation improve.

By Timeframe
Hover for details
WAIT
Short
HOLD
Medium
HOLD
Long
Agent Signals
41
Fund
Tech
Val
Sent
Risk

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
NEUTRAL

Sherwin-Williams (SHW) demonstrates steady operational performance, delivering consistent revenue growth and stable profitability margins despite cyclical industry trends. While earnings growth has moderated, the company retains strong cash generation and robust market leadership, bolstering its investment case.

Financial Highlights

Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025$0$2.0B$4.0B$6.0B$8.0BRevenue & Net Income ($)8%10%12%14%16%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$5.60B

5.64% YoY

Q4 2025

Net Income

$476.80M

-0.69% YoY

Q4 2025

Net Margin

8.52%

Q4 2025

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

5.64%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Net Income Growth YoY

-0.69%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

8.33%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

EPS Growth YoY

1.04%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

16.40%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Revenue5.6B6.4B6.3B5.3B5.3B6.2B6.3B5.4B
Revenue Growth YoY+5.64%+3.18%+0.69%-1.15%+0.86%+0.75%+0.50%-1.38%
Net Income476.8M833.1M754.7M503.9M480.1M806.2M889.9M505.2M
Net Income Growth YoY-0.69%+3.34%-15.19%-0.26%+34.78%+5.87%+12.12%+5.82%
EPS$1.94$3.38$3.04$2.02$1.92$3.22$3.55$2.00
EPS Growth YoY+1.04%+4.97%-14.37%+1.00%+37.14%+7.69%+14.52%+7.53%

Profitability Metrics

Gross Margin

48.84%

TTM

Operating Margin

13.92%

TTM

Net Margin

8.52%

TTM

Return on Equity

58.53%

TTM

Return on Assets

18.48%

TTM

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Gross Margin48.84%49.16%49.38%48.23%48.58%49.13%48.85%47.16%
Operating Margin13.92%18.44%17.41%14.22%12.71%18.35%19.64%13.52%
Net Margin8.52%13.10%11.95%9.50%9.06%13.08%14.19%9.41%
Return on Equity (ROE)10.37%18.83%17.15%12.20%11.85%19.40%23.72%14.42%
Return on Assets (ROA)3.43%5.57%5.39%3.75%3.83%6.37%7.16%4.20%

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
NEUTRAL

Unable to retrieve authoritative internal technical indicator data for SHW at this moment. However, based on external technical analysis data gathered, SHW is currently experiencing sideways to mildly bearish price action with key resistance near its 52-week highs. Momentum appears to be weakening as the stock faces selling pressure below major moving averages.

RSI
Hold
Neutral33

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Sell
Downtrend

Price in downtrend

-3.3% from 200 SMA
ADX
Hold
Moderate Trend24

Trend developing

Moderate
MA Cross
Hold
Golden Cross

Watching for cross

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$335.45
50 SMA
$350.57
150 SMA
$346.75
200 SMA
$346.96
52W High
$379.65
52W Low
$308.84

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
33Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
NEUTRAL

Sherwin-Williams (SHW) demonstrates steady operational performance, delivering consistent revenue growth and stable profitability margins despite cyclical industry trends. While earnings growth has moderated, the company retains strong cash generation and robust market leadership, bolstering its investment case.

Latest Earnings

Q4 2025 Earnings (Dec 31, 2025)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$2.23

Estimated

$2.16

Surprise

+$0.07

Surprise %

+3.24%

Revenue

Beat

Actual

$5.6B

Estimated

$5.57B

Surprise

+$30.54M

Surprise %

+0.55%

Historical Earnings

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$2.23$3.59$3.38$2.25$2.09$3.37$3.70$2.17
EPS (Estimated)$2.16$3.45$3.76$2.15$2.06$3.54$3.48$2.21
EPS Surprise+$0.07+$0.14-$0.38+$0.10+$0.03-$0.17+$0.22-$0.04
% Diff+3.2%+4.1%-10.1%+4.7%+1.5%-4.8%+6.3%-1.8%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$5.6B$6.36B$6.31B$5.31B$5.3B$6.16B$6.27B$5.37B
Revenue (Estimated)$5.57B$6.2B$6.29B$5.4B$5.32B$6.2B$6.33B$5.5B
Revenue Surprise+$30.54M+$153.5M+$20.79M-$93.33M-$22.03M-$37.99M-$59.23M-$131.72M
% Diff+0.5%+2.5%+0.3%-1.7%-0.4%-0.6%-0.9%-2.4%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
FAIRLY VALUED

Sherwin-Williams (SHW) presents a valuation profile that leans towards premium multiples compared to its industry and peers, reflecting investor confidence in its sustained growth and profitability. The company exhibits solid financial health with strong margins and return metrics, albeit trading at elevated multiples driven by growth expectations and market leadership. Analyst sentiment remains broadly positive with price targets offering moderate upside from current levels.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

32.18

TTM

Price to Sales

3.53

TTM

Price to Book

17.98

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

22.19

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

4.13

TTM

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Price to Earnings41.8625.5828.3143.2144.7329.6620.8642.25
Price to Sales14.2713.4113.5316.4116.2215.5211.8415.91
Price to Book17.3619.2619.4221.0921.2023.0119.7924.37
Enterprise Value to EBITDA108.3873.3277.70108.65111.4183.8760.06109.23
Enterprise Value to Revenue16.8315.5115.5118.7918.4217.4513.7718.24

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
MIXED

Market sentiment for Sherwin-Williams (SHW) remains generally positive with a "Moderate Buy" analyst consensus and strong financial performance, including better-than-expected Q4 earnings and consistent dividend increases. However, cautious outlooks for softer demand and pricing concerns introduce some valuation-related reservations among investors.

Analyst Recommendations

As of Mar 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Buy
3.6 / 5.0
Based on 26 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
0
Sell
1
Hold
10
Buy
13
Strong Buy
2

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
HIGH

Sherwin-Williams (SHW) exhibits a moderate to high financial risk profile due to its elevated leverage and below-ideal liquidity ratios. The company faces regulatory and market headwinds including labor lawsuits and inflationary cost pressures amid a softening demand environment in the construction sector. However, its dominant market position, strong profitability, and strategic growth initiatives provide some cushioning against these challenges.

Liquidity & Solvency

Current Ratio

0.87

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Quick Ratio

0.53

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Debt-to-Equity

3.16

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Debt-to-Assets

0.56

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Liquidity Metrics
Current Ratio0.870.820.780.770.790.830.810.78
Quick Ratio0.530.520.480.450.460.510.500.46
Solvency Metrics
Debt-to-Equity3.163.072.903.102.942.913.283.62
Debt-to-Assets0.560.520.500.520.500.500.520.54

Liquidity Assessment

Current Ratio: 0.87(Weak)

Quick Ratio: 0.53(Weak)

The company has relatively weak liquidity and may face challenges meeting short-term obligations.

Solvency Assessment

Debt-to-Equity: 3.16(High)

Debt-to-Assets: 0.56(High)

The company has relatively high debt levels, which may increase financial risk in economic downturns.

Frequently Asked Questions about SHW

AI Answers: Common Questions About SHW

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about The Sherwin-Williams Company

SHW is not an ideal buy at current levels given its premium P/E of 34.14, high leverage, and technical weakness. While the company is fundamentally strong and offers stability, better entry points may emerge near $335-$340 support or if valuation multiples compress.

Unless your thesis has changed or you need to reduce risk, there is no urgent reason to sell; SHW remains fundamentally sound. However, with technicals weak and upside limited, trimming an outsized position or waiting for a technical breakout may be prudent.

The biggest risks are high financial leverage (debt/equity >3, debt >56% of assets), low liquidity (current ratio ~0.87, quick ratio ~0.53), and exposure to cyclical housing/construction demand. Regulatory and legal issues, including labor lawsuits, also pose potential headwinds.

Technical resistance is at $360-$379, with support at $335-$338. Analyst price targets range widely from $268 to $420, with the current price near $350 suggesting limited near-term upside and risk of a pullback if support breaks.

SHW is fairly valued to slightly overvalued, trading at a P/E of 34.14 and elevated EV/EBITDA and P/B ratios compared to peers. The premium is justified by quality and stability, but only if growth resumes and leverage is managed.

SHW is fundamentally strong, with gross margins near 48.9%, operating margin at 16.1%, and industry-leading ROE in the high teens to low 20s. However, earnings growth has slowed and net margin dipped to 10.9% in 2025.

Technicals are neutral to bearish: price is below both major moving averages, RSI is 45-50 (neutral), and momentum is fading. Key support is $335-$338; a breakdown could trigger further downside, while a break above $360 would be needed for bullish confirmation.

Key catalysts include upcoming earnings (especially if guidance improves), resolution of legal issues, and any signs of reacceleration in housing/construction demand. Watch for macro shifts or company-specific news that could impact sentiment or valuation.

Want a Personalized Answer?

Get AI-powered insights tailored to your risk tolerance and investment goals.

More AI Stock Analyses