SHW AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?
The Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW)
Fundamentals
Sherwin-Williams (SHW) demonstrates solid financial health with consistently growing revenues and earnings, supported by a stable gross margin near 49% and expanding operating income ratios. The company maintains robust profitability and a resilient market position in the specialty chemicals sector. Recent quarterly results show earnings and revenue beats, reinforcing management's execution and future growth potential.
Financial Highlights
- Revenue
- Net Income
- Net Margin (%)
Revenue
7.52% YoY
Q2 2026
Net Income
11.78% YoY
Q2 2026
Net Margin
Q2 2026
Growth Metrics
Revenue Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
Net Income Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
Revenue Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
EPS Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
Book Value Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
| Q2 2026 | Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 6.8B | 5.7B | 5.6B | 6.4B | 6.3B | 5.3B | 5.3B | 6.2B |
| Revenue Growth YoY | +7.52% | +6.81% | +5.64% | +3.18% | +0.69% | -1.15% | +0.86% | +0.75% |
| Net Income | 843.6M | 534.7M | 476.8M | 833.1M | 754.7M | 503.9M | 480.1M | 806.2M |
| Net Income Growth YoY | +11.78% | +6.11% | -0.69% | +3.34% | -15.19% | -0.26% | +34.78% | +5.87% |
| EPS | $3.45 | $2.18 | $1.94 | $3.38 | $3.04 | $2.02 | $1.92 | $3.22 |
| EPS Growth YoY | +13.49% | +7.92% | +1.04% | +4.97% | -14.37% | +1.00% | +37.14% | +7.69% |
Profitability Metrics
Technical Analysis
SHW is currently in a topping phase with signs of volatility and potential distribution after a strong uptrend. The price sits above the 50 and 200 SMAs but the 50 SMA is below the 200 SMA, indicating mixed signals and recent weakness. Momentum is neutral with RSI around 56 and ADX showing a weak trend, implying sideways price action in the near term.
No extreme reading
Price in uptrend
Range-bound market
Watching for cross
Key Technical Values
Price with Moving Averages
50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages
Relative Strength Index
Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes
RSI (14)
Earnings
Sherwin-Williams (SHW) demonstrates solid financial health with consistently growing revenues and earnings, supported by a stable gross margin near 49% and expanding operating income ratios. The company maintains robust profitability and a resilient market position in the specialty chemicals sector. Recent quarterly results show earnings and revenue beats, reinforcing management's execution and future growth potential.
Latest Earnings
Q2 2026 Earnings (Jun 30, 2026)
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Actual
$3.70
Estimated
$3.52
Surprise
+$0.18
Surprise %
+5.11%
Revenue
Actual
$6.79B
Estimated
$6.6B
Surprise
+$187.17M
Surprise %
+2.84%
Historical Earnings
| Q2 2026 | Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Per Share | ||||||||
| EPS (Actual) | $3.70 | $2.35 | $2.23 | $3.59 | $3.38 | $2.25 | $2.09 | $3.37 |
| EPS (Estimated) | $3.52 | $2.27 | $2.16 | $3.45 | $3.76 | $2.15 | $2.06 | $3.54 |
| EPS Surprise | +$0.18 | +$0.08 | +$0.07 | +$0.14 | -$0.38 | +$0.10 | +$0.03 | -$0.17 |
| % Diff | +5.1% | +3.5% | +3.2% | +4.1% | -10.1% | +4.7% | +1.5% | -4.8% |
| Revenue | ||||||||
| Revenue (Actual) | $6.79B | $5.67B | $5.6B | $6.36B | $6.31B | $5.31B | $5.3B | $6.16B |
| Revenue (Estimated) | $6.6B | $5.56B | $5.57B | $6.2B | $6.29B | $5.4B | $5.32B | $6.2B |
| Revenue Surprise | +$187.17M | +$106.05M | +$30.54M | +$153.5M | +$20.79M | -$93.33M | -$22.03M | -$37.99M |
| % Diff | +2.8% | +1.9% | +0.5% | +2.5% | +0.3% | -1.7% | -0.4% | -0.6% |
Valuation
Sherwin-Williams presents a solid fundamental profile with consistent revenue and earnings growth, supported by strong margins and robust return metrics. While the stock trades at elevated valuation multiples relative to peers and its historical averages, analysts largely maintain a positive outlook with moderate upside potential reflected in consensus price targets.
Valuation Metrics
Price to Earnings
TTM
Price to Sales
TTM
Price to Book
TTM
Enterprise Value to EBITDA
TTM
Enterprise Value to Revenue
TTM
| Q2 2026 | Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price to Earnings | 24.95 | 36.76 | 41.76 | 25.61 | 28.24 | 43.22 | 44.26 | 29.63 |
| Price to Sales | 12.42 | 13.90 | 14.27 | 13.41 | 13.53 | 16.41 | 16.22 | 15.52 |
| Price to Book | 21.87 | 17.77 | 17.36 | 19.26 | 19.42 | 21.09 | 21.20 | 23.01 |
| Enterprise Value to EBITDA | 78.67 | 92.50 | 106.54 | 73.32 | 77.70 | 108.65 | 111.41 | 83.87 |
| Enterprise Value to Revenue | 14.47 | 16.29 | 16.54 | 15.51 | 15.51 | 18.79 | 18.42 | 17.45 |
Sentiment & Analyst Ratings
Sherwin-Williams (SHW) is currently experiencing a predominantly positive market sentiment bolstered by strong Q2 2026 earnings that exceeded expectations and an upward revision of full-year guidance. Analysts maintain a generally bullish stance with most rating the stock as Buy or Outperform, supported by optimistic price targets averaging around $384, implying notable upside potential. Social media and retail investor discussions reflect enthusiasm driven by the company's pricing power, market share gains, and strategic acquisitions, despite some concerns over demand softness and inflationary pressures.
Analyst Recommendations
Risk Assessment
Sherwin-Williams exhibits elevated financial leverage with a high debt-to-equity ratio and modest liquidity ratios below 1, indicating potential short-term funding constraints. Margin pressures from recent acquisitions and sustained cost inflation introduce operational risk, while weakness in the residential market and macroeconomic uncertainties heighten medium-term challenges for the company. These factors contribute to a moderate to high risk profile relative to peers in specialty chemicals.
Liquidity & Solvency
Current Ratio
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
Quick Ratio
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
Debt-to-Equity
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
Debt-to-Assets
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
| Q2 2026 | Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidity Metrics | ||||||||
| Current Ratio | 0.73 | 0.86 | 0.87 | 0.82 | 0.78 | 0.77 | 0.79 | 0.83 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.46 | 0.53 | 0.53 | 0.52 | 0.48 | 0.45 | 0.46 | 0.51 |
| Solvency Metrics | ||||||||
| Debt-to-Equity | 3.69 | 3.11 | 2.81 | 3.07 | 2.90 | 3.10 | 2.94 | 2.91 |
| Debt-to-Assets | 0.53 | 0.52 | 0.50 | 0.52 | 0.50 | 0.52 | 0.50 | 0.50 |
Liquidity Assessment
Current Ratio: 0.73(Weak)
Quick Ratio: 0.46(Weak)
The company has relatively weak liquidity and may face challenges meeting short-term obligations.
Solvency Assessment
Debt-to-Equity: 3.69(High)
Debt-to-Assets: 0.53(High)
The company has relatively high debt levels, which may increase financial risk in economic downturns.
Frequently Asked Questions about SHW
AI Answers: Common Questions About SHW
Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about The Sherwin-Williams Company
SHW is a good buy for medium to long-term investors due to consistent revenue growth (~2-3% annually), expanding operating margins (up to 18%), and strong earnings quality. The stock trades at a P/E of 29.5, reflecting confidence in its growth and profitability.
Selling is not recommended unless technical support near $332 breaks or if macroeconomic conditions severely deteriorate. Elevated leverage and valuation warrant monitoring but do not currently justify selling.
Key risks include high debt-to-equity ratio (~3.9), raw material cost inflation, margin pressure from acquisitions, and sensitivity to housing market demand and regulatory changes.
Analyst consensus price targets average around $384, implying upside from the current price of $340.85, supported by raised guidance and strong Q2 earnings.
SHW is fairly valued with a premium P/E of 29.5 and high EV/EBITDA multiples reflecting steady growth and profitability, though these leave limited margin of safety.
Fundamentals are strong with steady revenue growth to $23.6B in 2025, gross margins near 49%, and operating margins improving to 18%. Earnings per share grew from $9.35 in 2023 to $10.38 in 2025.
Technically, SHW is in a topping phase with a bearish death cross and neutral momentum. Support lies near $332; resistance is at $343-$344. Short-term price action is likely sideways with potential volatility.
Catalysts include continued earnings beats, successful acquisition integration, pricing power, and expanded market share, which could drive further upgrades and positive sentiment.
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