SHW AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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The Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW)

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

Sherwin-Williams (SHW) demonstrates solid financial health with consistently growing revenues and earnings, supported by a stable gross margin near 49% and expanding operating income ratios. The company maintains robust profitability and a resilient market position in the specialty chemicals sector. Recent quarterly results show earnings and revenue beats, reinforcing management's execution and future growth potential.

Financial Highlights

Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026Q2 2026$0$2.0B$4.0B$6.0B$8.0BRevenue & Net Income ($)8%10%12%14%16%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$6.79B

7.52% YoY

Q2 2026

Net Income

$843.60M

11.78% YoY

Q2 2026

Net Margin

12.43%

Q2 2026

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

7.52%

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

Net Income Growth YoY

11.78%

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

9.32%

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

EPS Growth YoY

13.49%

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

-10.94%

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

 Q2 2026Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024
Revenue6.8B5.7B5.6B6.4B6.3B5.3B5.3B6.2B
Revenue Growth YoY+7.52%+6.81%+5.64%+3.18%+0.69%-1.15%+0.86%+0.75%
Net Income843.6M534.7M476.8M833.1M754.7M503.9M480.1M806.2M
Net Income Growth YoY+11.78%+6.11%-0.69%+3.34%-15.19%-0.26%+34.78%+5.87%
EPS$3.45$2.18$1.94$3.38$3.04$2.02$1.92$3.22
EPS Growth YoY+13.49%+7.92%+1.04%+4.97%-14.37%+1.00%+37.14%+7.69%

Profitability Metrics

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
NEUTRAL

SHW is currently in a topping phase with signs of volatility and potential distribution after a strong uptrend. The price sits above the 50 and 200 SMAs but the 50 SMA is below the 200 SMA, indicating mixed signals and recent weakness. Momentum is neutral with RSI around 56 and ADX showing a weak trend, implying sideways price action in the near term.

RSI
Hold
Neutral62

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Buy
Uptrend

Price in uptrend

+6.5% from 200 SMA
ADX
Hold
Weak/No Trend19

Range-bound market

Weak
MA Cross
Hold
Death Cross

Watching for cross

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$354.22
50 SMA
$324.19
150 SMA
$332.04
200 SMA
$332.69
52W High
$379.65
52W Low
$289.86

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
62Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

Sherwin-Williams (SHW) demonstrates solid financial health with consistently growing revenues and earnings, supported by a stable gross margin near 49% and expanding operating income ratios. The company maintains robust profitability and a resilient market position in the specialty chemicals sector. Recent quarterly results show earnings and revenue beats, reinforcing management's execution and future growth potential.

Latest Earnings

Q2 2026 Earnings (Jun 30, 2026)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$3.70

Estimated

$3.52

Surprise

+$0.18

Surprise %

+5.11%

Revenue

Beat

Actual

$6.79B

Estimated

$6.6B

Surprise

+$187.17M

Surprise %

+2.84%

Historical Earnings

 Q2 2026Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$3.70$2.35$2.23$3.59$3.38$2.25$2.09$3.37
EPS (Estimated)$3.52$2.27$2.16$3.45$3.76$2.15$2.06$3.54
EPS Surprise+$0.18+$0.08+$0.07+$0.14-$0.38+$0.10+$0.03-$0.17
% Diff+5.1%+3.5%+3.2%+4.1%-10.1%+4.7%+1.5%-4.8%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$6.79B$5.67B$5.6B$6.36B$6.31B$5.31B$5.3B$6.16B
Revenue (Estimated)$6.6B$5.56B$5.57B$6.2B$6.29B$5.4B$5.32B$6.2B
Revenue Surprise+$187.17M+$106.05M+$30.54M+$153.5M+$20.79M-$93.33M-$22.03M-$37.99M
% Diff+2.8%+1.9%+0.5%+2.5%+0.3%-1.7%-0.4%-0.6%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
FAIRLY VALUED

Sherwin-Williams presents a solid fundamental profile with consistent revenue and earnings growth, supported by strong margins and robust return metrics. While the stock trades at elevated valuation multiples relative to peers and its historical averages, analysts largely maintain a positive outlook with moderate upside potential reflected in consensus price targets.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

32.35

TTM

Price to Sales

3.52

TTM

Price to Book

22.50

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

22.40

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

4.09

TTM

 Q2 2026Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024
Price to Earnings24.9536.7641.7625.6128.2443.2244.2629.63
Price to Sales12.4213.9014.2713.4113.5316.4116.2215.52
Price to Book21.8717.7717.3619.2619.4221.0921.2023.01
Enterprise Value to EBITDA78.6792.50106.5473.3277.70108.65111.4183.87
Enterprise Value to Revenue14.4716.2916.5415.5115.5118.7918.4217.45

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
POSITIVE

Sherwin-Williams (SHW) is currently experiencing a predominantly positive market sentiment bolstered by strong Q2 2026 earnings that exceeded expectations and an upward revision of full-year guidance. Analysts maintain a generally bullish stance with most rating the stock as Buy or Outperform, supported by optimistic price targets averaging around $384, implying notable upside potential. Social media and retail investor discussions reflect enthusiasm driven by the company's pricing power, market share gains, and strategic acquisitions, despite some concerns over demand softness and inflationary pressures.

Analyst Recommendations

As of Jul 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Buy
3.7 / 5.0
Based on 24 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
0
Sell
0
Hold
11
Buy
10
Strong Buy
3

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
HIGH

Sherwin-Williams exhibits elevated financial leverage with a high debt-to-equity ratio and modest liquidity ratios below 1, indicating potential short-term funding constraints. Margin pressures from recent acquisitions and sustained cost inflation introduce operational risk, while weakness in the residential market and macroeconomic uncertainties heighten medium-term challenges for the company. These factors contribute to a moderate to high risk profile relative to peers in specialty chemicals.

Liquidity & Solvency

Current Ratio

0.73

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

Quick Ratio

0.46

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

Debt-to-Equity

3.69

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

Debt-to-Assets

0.53

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

 Q2 2026Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024
Liquidity Metrics
Current Ratio0.730.860.870.820.780.770.790.83
Quick Ratio0.460.530.530.520.480.450.460.51
Solvency Metrics
Debt-to-Equity3.693.112.813.072.903.102.942.91
Debt-to-Assets0.530.520.500.520.500.520.500.50

Liquidity Assessment

Current Ratio: 0.73(Weak)

Quick Ratio: 0.46(Weak)

The company has relatively weak liquidity and may face challenges meeting short-term obligations.

Solvency Assessment

Debt-to-Equity: 3.69(High)

Debt-to-Assets: 0.53(High)

The company has relatively high debt levels, which may increase financial risk in economic downturns.

Frequently Asked Questions about SHW

AI Answers: Common Questions About SHW

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about The Sherwin-Williams Company

SHW is a good buy for medium to long-term investors due to consistent revenue growth (~2-3% annually), expanding operating margins (up to 18%), and strong earnings quality. The stock trades at a P/E of 29.5, reflecting confidence in its growth and profitability.

Selling is not recommended unless technical support near $332 breaks or if macroeconomic conditions severely deteriorate. Elevated leverage and valuation warrant monitoring but do not currently justify selling.

Key risks include high debt-to-equity ratio (~3.9), raw material cost inflation, margin pressure from acquisitions, and sensitivity to housing market demand and regulatory changes.

Analyst consensus price targets average around $384, implying upside from the current price of $340.85, supported by raised guidance and strong Q2 earnings.

SHW is fairly valued with a premium P/E of 29.5 and high EV/EBITDA multiples reflecting steady growth and profitability, though these leave limited margin of safety.

Fundamentals are strong with steady revenue growth to $23.6B in 2025, gross margins near 49%, and operating margins improving to 18%. Earnings per share grew from $9.35 in 2023 to $10.38 in 2025.

Technically, SHW is in a topping phase with a bearish death cross and neutral momentum. Support lies near $332; resistance is at $343-$344. Short-term price action is likely sideways with potential volatility.

Catalysts include continued earnings beats, successful acquisition integration, pricing power, and expanded market share, which could drive further upgrades and positive sentiment.

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