TEAM AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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Atlassian Corporation (TEAM)

$85.00-2.31 (-2.65%) today

Open
$87.23
High
$88.20
Low
$83.38
Volume
5.96M
Mkt Cap
$22.33B
52W High
$232.36
AI Verdict
Confidence 70%
TEAMAtlassian Corporation
AlphaCrew AI
MIXED
Overall
Summary

Atlassian (TEAM) presents a high-risk, high-reward profile: strong long-term growth drivers and positive sentiment are offset by persistent losses, deteriorating liquidity, and a firmly bearish technical trend. Near-term, technical weakness and financial instability dominate, but long-term investors may find value if AI and cloud initiatives deliver. The stock is best suited for risk-tolerant investors willing to wait for operational improvement or technical stabilization.

By Timeframe
Hover for details
WAIT
Short
HOLD
Medium
BUY
Long
Agent Signals
122
Fund
Tech
Val
Sent
Risk

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
MIXED

Atlassian (TEAM) operates in the enterprise software sector with a strong reputation for collaboration and workflow tools, but is facing a period of financial and operational uncertainty. The company’s current negative P/E ratio and significant fall from its 52-week high signal investor concern about profitability and growth consistency. Despite the large market cap, volatility in price trends and limited financial data clarity point to the need for caution.

Financial Highlights

Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026-$600.0M$0$600.0M$1.2B$1.8BRevenue & Net Income ($)-5.75%-4.6%-3.45%-2.3%-1.15%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$1.79B

31.71% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Income

-$98.39M

-38.95% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Margin

-5.51%

Q1 2026

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

31.71%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Net Income Growth YoY

-38.95%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

32.57%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

EPS Growth YoY

-40.74%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

-35.37%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Revenue1.8B1.6B1.4B1.4B1.4B1.3B1.2B1.1B
Revenue Growth YoY+31.71%+23.31%+20.61%+22.34%+14.09%+21.35%+21.48%+20.50%
Net Income-98.4M-42.6M-51.9M-23.9M-70.8M-38.2M-123.8M-196.9M
Net Income Growth YoY-38.95%-11.61%+58.09%+87.86%-655.26%+54.77%-288.20%-234.03%
EPS-$0.38-$0.16-$0.20-$0.09-$0.27-$0.15-$0.48-$0.76
EPS Growth YoY-40.74%-6.67%+58.33%+88.04%-649.90%+54.55%-300.00%-230.43%

Profitability Metrics

Gross Margin

84.92%

TTM

Operating Margin

-3.15%

TTM

Net Margin

-5.51%

TTM

Return on Equity

-16.70%

TTM

Return on Assets

-7.52%

TTM

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Gross Margin84.92%85.02%82.00%83.07%83.81%82.66%81.68%80.78%
Operating Margin-3.15%-3.07%-6.72%-2.06%-0.92%-4.47%-2.69%-5.92%
Net Margin-5.51%-2.69%-3.62%-1.73%-5.22%-2.97%-10.42%-17.40%
Return on Equity (ROE)-11.19%-2.68%-3.76%-1.78%-5.17%-3.13%-12.03%-19.07%
Return on Assets (ROA)-3.41%-1.27%-1.24%-0.53%-1.63%-0.98%-3.63%-5.43%

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
BEARISH

TEAM is currently in a declining phase (Stage 4) with the 50 SMA below the 200 SMA, indicating a bearish medium-term trend. The RSI is neutral, showing no extreme momentum, but ADX suggests a strong trend presence, confirming the downtrend. Price is positioned well below the 150 and 200 SMAs, highlighting resistance overhead and overall weakness.

RSI
Hold
Neutral57

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Hold
Mixed

Mixed signals

-35.0% from 200 SMA
ADX
Buy
Strong Trend25

Strong trend active

Strong
MA Cross
Hold
Death Cross

Watching for cross

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$85.00
50 SMA
$73.64
150 SMA
$117.20
200 SMA
$130.68
52W High
$232.36
52W Low
$56.01

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
57Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
MIXED

Atlassian (TEAM) operates in the enterprise software sector with a strong reputation for collaboration and workflow tools, but is facing a period of financial and operational uncertainty. The company’s current negative P/E ratio and significant fall from its 52-week high signal investor concern about profitability and growth consistency. Despite the large market cap, volatility in price trends and limited financial data clarity point to the need for caution.

Latest Earnings

Q1 2026 Earnings (Mar 31, 2026)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$1.75

Estimated

$1.33

Surprise

+$0.42

Surprise %

+31.58%

Revenue

Beat

Actual

$1.79B

Estimated

$1.7B

Surprise

+$91.13M

Surprise %

+5.37%

Historical Earnings

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$1.75$1.22$1.04$0.98$0.97$0.96$0.77$0.66
EPS (Estimated)$1.33$1.15$0.84$0.83$0.90$0.75$0.64$0.58
EPS Surprise+$0.42+$0.07+$0.20+$0.15+$0.07+$0.21+$0.13+$0.08
% Diff+31.6%+6.1%+24.0%+17.5%+7.4%+27.3%+20.7%+13.6%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$1.79B$1.59B$1.43B$1.38B$1.36B$1.29B$1.19B$1.13B
Revenue (Estimated)$1.7B$1.56B$1.4B$1.36B$1.35B$1.24B$1.16B$1.13B
Revenue Surprise+$91.13M+$29.09M+$30.36M+$28.16M+$3.52M+$46.67M+$32.41M+$1.27M
% Diff+5.4%+1.9%+2.2%+2.1%+0.3%+3.8%+2.8%+0.1%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
FAIRLY VALUED

Atlassian (TEAM) currently trades at a premium valuation characterized by high price-to-sales and price-to-book multiples, yet it reports negative earnings and operating margins. Despite recent share price volatility and a significant decline from previous highs, analyst sentiment remains largely positive, driven by strong revenue growth and emerging AI-driven product momentum. The stock appears fairly valued to somewhat undervalued relative to peers when considering its growth profile and recurring revenue strength.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

-102.31

TTM

Price to Sales

3.61

TTM

Price to Book

25.23

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

-825.05

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

3.62

TTM

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Price to Earnings-45.26-250.38-202.43-558.39-196.81-415.87-83.56-58.91
Price to Sales9.9726.9229.3238.5741.0949.4134.8341.01
Price to Book20.2626.8530.4639.6840.7252.1240.2144.93
Enterprise Value to EBITDA-1194.50-7156.98-1751.363036.332298.59-3737.97-2134512.07-1952.24
Enterprise Value to Revenue10.0327.0728.5537.6540.0348.6534.1440.19

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
POSITIVE

Atlassian (TEAM) currently enjoys predominantly positive sentiment, fueled by robust Q3 FY2026 earnings beating estimates and accelerated cloud revenue growth. The market narrative has shifted from AI disruption fears to viewing Atlassian's AI initiatives as strong growth drivers, supported by increasing analyst price targets and bullish social media discussions.

Analyst Recommendations

As of May 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Buy
3.9 / 5.0
Based on 33 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
0
Sell
0
Hold
7
Buy
21
Strong Buy
5

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
HIGH

Atlassian (TEAM) exhibits moderate to high financial risk given recent deteriorations in liquidity and operating losses driven by significant restructuring and share-based compensation expenses. However, the company's strong cloud growth and AI investments offer potential upside despite execution and market risks. Investor sentiment remains cautiously optimistic with most analysts favoring a buy stance, reflecting confidence in future growth despite near-term financial pressures.

Liquidity & Solvency

Current Ratio

0.70

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Quick Ratio

0.70

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Debt-to-Equity

1.41

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Debt-to-Assets

0.22

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Liquidity Metrics
Current Ratio0.700.891.261.221.261.241.181.18
Quick Ratio0.700.891.261.221.261.241.181.18
Solvency Metrics
Debt-to-Equity1.410.870.890.920.901.021.211.21
Debt-to-Assets0.220.230.210.210.210.230.250.24

Liquidity Assessment

Current Ratio: 0.70(Weak)

Quick Ratio: 0.70(Weak)

The company has relatively weak liquidity and may face challenges meeting short-term obligations.

Solvency Assessment

Debt-to-Equity: 1.41(High)

Debt-to-Assets: 0.22(Low)

The company has relatively high debt levels, which may increase financial risk in economic downturns.

Frequently Asked Questions about TEAM

AI Answers: Common Questions About TEAM

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Atlassian Corporation

TEAM is not an ideal buy right now for most investors: the stock trades at $91.60, well below its $232.36 52-week high, and while sentiment and analyst targets (~$151.59) are bullish, technicals are firmly bearish and fundamentals remain weak (P/E -111.71, current ratio ~0.89). Only long-term, risk-tolerant investors should consider buying, and only on further weakness or technical stabilization.

If you are a short- or medium-term trader, consider selling or reducing exposure given the persistent downtrend (death cross, resistance at $73/$118) and ongoing net losses. Long-term investors may hold if conviction in AI/cloud turnaround is strong, but should monitor liquidity and earnings closely.

The biggest risks are ongoing GAAP net losses (P/E -111.71), deteriorating liquidity (current and quick ratios ~0.89), and execution risk in AI/cloud strategy. Sentinel highlights high financial risk, with negative interest coverage and potential for cash flow constraints if restructuring and investment outflows continue.

Analyst consensus price target is $151.59, implying over 65% upside from current levels, but technical resistance is strong at $73, $118, and $132, with support at $56. A sustained move above $73 would be the first bullish signal; downside remains open to $56 if trend persists.

TEAM is currently fairly valued to slightly undervalued versus peers on a price-to-sales basis, but remains expensive on a P/E and EV/EBITDA basis due to negative earnings. The market is pricing in future growth and AI upside, but current profitability does not justify a premium without operational improvement.

Fundamentally, TEAM has high gross margins and a sticky enterprise customer base, but suffers from recurring net losses, slowing revenue growth, and high operating expenses. Liquidity is below ideal (current ratio ~0.89), and profitability is not yet in sight, making the fundamental picture mixed.

Technically, TEAM is in a strong downtrend (Stage 4), with the 50 SMA below the 200 SMA and price below all major moving averages. RSI is neutral (65.9), but there is no sign of a reversal; support is at $56, resistance at $73, $118, and $132. Wait for a clear bottom or reversal before buying.

Key catalysts include upcoming earnings (look for return to profitability or margin improvement), successful AI product launches (Rovo AI, Flex model), and macro events affecting tech sentiment. Watch for volume surges or technical reversals as potential entry signals.

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