TEAM AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?
Atlassian Corporation (TEAM)
Atlassian (TEAM) presents a high-risk, high-reward profile: strong long-term growth drivers and positive sentiment are offset by persistent losses, deteriorating liquidity, and a firmly bearish technical trend. Near-term, technical weakness and financial instability dominate, but long-term investors may find value if AI and cloud initiatives deliver. The stock is best suited for risk-tolerant investors willing to wait for operational improvement or technical stabilization.
Fundamentals
Atlassian (TEAM) operates in the enterprise software sector with a strong reputation for collaboration and workflow tools, but is facing a period of financial and operational uncertainty. The company’s current negative P/E ratio and significant fall from its 52-week high signal investor concern about profitability and growth consistency. Despite the large market cap, volatility in price trends and limited financial data clarity point to the need for caution.
Financial Highlights
- Revenue
- Net Income
- Net Margin (%)
Revenue
31.71% YoY
Q1 2026
Net Income
-38.95% YoY
Q1 2026
Net Margin
Q1 2026
Growth Metrics
Revenue Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Net Income Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Revenue Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
EPS Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Book Value Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 1.8B | 1.6B | 1.4B | 1.4B | 1.4B | 1.3B | 1.2B | 1.1B |
| Revenue Growth YoY | +31.71% | +23.31% | +20.61% | +22.34% | +14.09% | +21.35% | +21.48% | +20.50% |
| Net Income | -98.4M | -42.6M | -51.9M | -23.9M | -70.8M | -38.2M | -123.8M | -196.9M |
| Net Income Growth YoY | -38.95% | -11.61% | +58.09% | +87.86% | -655.26% | +54.77% | -288.20% | -234.03% |
| EPS | -$0.38 | -$0.16 | -$0.20 | -$0.09 | -$0.27 | -$0.15 | -$0.48 | -$0.76 |
| EPS Growth YoY | -40.74% | -6.67% | +58.33% | +88.04% | -649.90% | +54.55% | -300.00% | -230.43% |
Profitability Metrics
Gross Margin
TTM
Operating Margin
TTM
Net Margin
TTM
Return on Equity
TTM
Return on Assets
TTM
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 84.92% | 85.02% | 82.00% | 83.07% | 83.81% | 82.66% | 81.68% | 80.78% |
| Operating Margin | -3.15% | -3.07% | -6.72% | -2.06% | -0.92% | -4.47% | -2.69% | -5.92% |
| Net Margin | -5.51% | -2.69% | -3.62% | -1.73% | -5.22% | -2.97% | -10.42% | -17.40% |
| Return on Equity (ROE) | -11.19% | -2.68% | -3.76% | -1.78% | -5.17% | -3.13% | -12.03% | -19.07% |
| Return on Assets (ROA) | -3.41% | -1.27% | -1.24% | -0.53% | -1.63% | -0.98% | -3.63% | -5.43% |
Technical Analysis
TEAM is currently in a declining phase (Stage 4) with the 50 SMA below the 200 SMA, indicating a bearish medium-term trend. The RSI is neutral, showing no extreme momentum, but ADX suggests a strong trend presence, confirming the downtrend. Price is positioned well below the 150 and 200 SMAs, highlighting resistance overhead and overall weakness.
No extreme reading
Mixed signals
Strong trend active
Watching for cross
Key Technical Values
Price with Moving Averages
50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages
Relative Strength Index
Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes
RSI (14)
Earnings
Atlassian (TEAM) operates in the enterprise software sector with a strong reputation for collaboration and workflow tools, but is facing a period of financial and operational uncertainty. The company’s current negative P/E ratio and significant fall from its 52-week high signal investor concern about profitability and growth consistency. Despite the large market cap, volatility in price trends and limited financial data clarity point to the need for caution.
Latest Earnings
Q1 2026 Earnings (Mar 31, 2026)
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Actual
$1.75
Estimated
$1.33
Surprise
+$0.42
Surprise %
+31.58%
Revenue
Actual
$1.79B
Estimated
$1.7B
Surprise
+$91.13M
Surprise %
+5.37%
Historical Earnings
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Per Share | ||||||||
| EPS (Actual) | $1.75 | $1.22 | $1.04 | $0.98 | $0.97 | $0.96 | $0.77 | $0.66 |
| EPS (Estimated) | $1.33 | $1.15 | $0.84 | $0.83 | $0.90 | $0.75 | $0.64 | $0.58 |
| EPS Surprise | +$0.42 | +$0.07 | +$0.20 | +$0.15 | +$0.07 | +$0.21 | +$0.13 | +$0.08 |
| % Diff | +31.6% | +6.1% | +24.0% | +17.5% | +7.4% | +27.3% | +20.7% | +13.6% |
| Revenue | ||||||||
| Revenue (Actual) | $1.79B | $1.59B | $1.43B | $1.38B | $1.36B | $1.29B | $1.19B | $1.13B |
| Revenue (Estimated) | $1.7B | $1.56B | $1.4B | $1.36B | $1.35B | $1.24B | $1.16B | $1.13B |
| Revenue Surprise | +$91.13M | +$29.09M | +$30.36M | +$28.16M | +$3.52M | +$46.67M | +$32.41M | +$1.27M |
| % Diff | +5.4% | +1.9% | +2.2% | +2.1% | +0.3% | +3.8% | +2.8% | +0.1% |
Valuation
Atlassian (TEAM) currently trades at a premium valuation characterized by high price-to-sales and price-to-book multiples, yet it reports negative earnings and operating margins. Despite recent share price volatility and a significant decline from previous highs, analyst sentiment remains largely positive, driven by strong revenue growth and emerging AI-driven product momentum. The stock appears fairly valued to somewhat undervalued relative to peers when considering its growth profile and recurring revenue strength.
Valuation Metrics
Price to Earnings
TTM
Price to Sales
TTM
Price to Book
TTM
Enterprise Value to EBITDA
TTM
Enterprise Value to Revenue
TTM
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price to Earnings | -45.26 | -250.38 | -202.43 | -558.39 | -196.81 | -415.87 | -83.56 | -58.91 |
| Price to Sales | 9.97 | 26.92 | 29.32 | 38.57 | 41.09 | 49.41 | 34.83 | 41.01 |
| Price to Book | 20.26 | 26.85 | 30.46 | 39.68 | 40.72 | 52.12 | 40.21 | 44.93 |
| Enterprise Value to EBITDA | -1194.50 | -7156.98 | -1751.36 | 3036.33 | 2298.59 | -3737.97 | -2134512.07 | -1952.24 |
| Enterprise Value to Revenue | 10.03 | 27.07 | 28.55 | 37.65 | 40.03 | 48.65 | 34.14 | 40.19 |
Sentiment & Analyst Ratings
Atlassian (TEAM) currently enjoys predominantly positive sentiment, fueled by robust Q3 FY2026 earnings beating estimates and accelerated cloud revenue growth. The market narrative has shifted from AI disruption fears to viewing Atlassian's AI initiatives as strong growth drivers, supported by increasing analyst price targets and bullish social media discussions.
Analyst Recommendations
Risk Assessment
Atlassian (TEAM) exhibits moderate to high financial risk given recent deteriorations in liquidity and operating losses driven by significant restructuring and share-based compensation expenses. However, the company's strong cloud growth and AI investments offer potential upside despite execution and market risks. Investor sentiment remains cautiously optimistic with most analysts favoring a buy stance, reflecting confidence in future growth despite near-term financial pressures.
Liquidity & Solvency
Current Ratio
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Quick Ratio
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Debt-to-Equity
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Debt-to-Assets
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidity Metrics | ||||||||
| Current Ratio | 0.70 | 0.89 | 1.26 | 1.22 | 1.26 | 1.24 | 1.18 | 1.18 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.70 | 0.89 | 1.26 | 1.22 | 1.26 | 1.24 | 1.18 | 1.18 |
| Solvency Metrics | ||||||||
| Debt-to-Equity | 1.41 | 0.87 | 0.89 | 0.92 | 0.90 | 1.02 | 1.21 | 1.21 |
| Debt-to-Assets | 0.22 | 0.23 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.23 | 0.25 | 0.24 |
Liquidity Assessment
Current Ratio: 0.70(Weak)
Quick Ratio: 0.70(Weak)
The company has relatively weak liquidity and may face challenges meeting short-term obligations.
Solvency Assessment
Debt-to-Equity: 1.41(High)
Debt-to-Assets: 0.22(Low)
The company has relatively high debt levels, which may increase financial risk in economic downturns.
Frequently Asked Questions about TEAM
AI Answers: Common Questions About TEAM
Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Atlassian Corporation
TEAM is not an ideal buy right now for most investors: the stock trades at $91.60, well below its $232.36 52-week high, and while sentiment and analyst targets (~$151.59) are bullish, technicals are firmly bearish and fundamentals remain weak (P/E -111.71, current ratio ~0.89). Only long-term, risk-tolerant investors should consider buying, and only on further weakness or technical stabilization.
If you are a short- or medium-term trader, consider selling or reducing exposure given the persistent downtrend (death cross, resistance at $73/$118) and ongoing net losses. Long-term investors may hold if conviction in AI/cloud turnaround is strong, but should monitor liquidity and earnings closely.
The biggest risks are ongoing GAAP net losses (P/E -111.71), deteriorating liquidity (current and quick ratios ~0.89), and execution risk in AI/cloud strategy. Sentinel highlights high financial risk, with negative interest coverage and potential for cash flow constraints if restructuring and investment outflows continue.
Analyst consensus price target is $151.59, implying over 65% upside from current levels, but technical resistance is strong at $73, $118, and $132, with support at $56. A sustained move above $73 would be the first bullish signal; downside remains open to $56 if trend persists.
TEAM is currently fairly valued to slightly undervalued versus peers on a price-to-sales basis, but remains expensive on a P/E and EV/EBITDA basis due to negative earnings. The market is pricing in future growth and AI upside, but current profitability does not justify a premium without operational improvement.
Fundamentally, TEAM has high gross margins and a sticky enterprise customer base, but suffers from recurring net losses, slowing revenue growth, and high operating expenses. Liquidity is below ideal (current ratio ~0.89), and profitability is not yet in sight, making the fundamental picture mixed.
Technically, TEAM is in a strong downtrend (Stage 4), with the 50 SMA below the 200 SMA and price below all major moving averages. RSI is neutral (65.9), but there is no sign of a reversal; support is at $56, resistance at $73, $118, and $132. Wait for a clear bottom or reversal before buying.
Key catalysts include upcoming earnings (look for return to profitability or margin improvement), successful AI product launches (Rovo AI, Flex model), and macro events affecting tech sentiment. Watch for volume surges or technical reversals as potential entry signals.
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