TRI AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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Thomson Reuters Corporation (TRI)

$83.27-1.60 (-1.89%) today

Open
$85.12
High
$85.33
Low
$82.22
Volume
1.58M
Mkt Cap
$37.04B
52W High
$218.42
AI Verdict
Confidence 80%
TRIThomson Reuters Corporation
AlphaCrew AI
HOLD
Overall
Summary

Thomson Reuters (TRI) is a fundamentally strong, market-leading information services provider with robust recurring revenues and a stable financial profile. However, current valuation is fair, technicals are neutral, and near-term growth acceleration is limited, making the stock best suited for patient, long-term investors rather than those seeking immediate upside. The risk/reward profile is balanced, with moderate risks offset by steady cash flow and potential AI-driven catalysts.

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Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
NEUTRAL

Thomson Reuters (TRI) is a global leader in providing intelligence, information, and workflow solutions to professionals, underpinned by a resilient and recurring revenue model. Based on its current financial and strategic position, the company demonstrates stable fundamentals, but recent technical and valuation signals suggest caution.

Financial Highlights

Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025$0$550.0M$1.1B$1.6B$2.2BRevenue & Net Income ($)16%20%24%28%32%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$2.04B

6.86% YoY

Q4 2025

Net Income

$337.10M

-42.57% YoY

Q4 2025

Net Margin

16.53%

Q4 2025

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

6.86%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Net Income Growth YoY

-42.57%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

8.02%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

EPS Growth YoY

-39.93%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

0.32%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Revenue2.0B1.8B1.8B1.9B1.9B1.7B1.7B1.9B
Revenue Growth YoY+6.86%+3.36%+2.59%+0.80%+5.18%+8.16%+5.65%+8.46%
Net Income337.1M423.0M313.0M434.0M587.0M301.0M841.0M481.0M
Net Income Growth YoY-42.57%+40.53%-62.78%-9.77%-13.42%-17.98%-5.93%-36.38%
EPS$0.76$0.94$0.69$0.96$1.27$0.67$1.87$1.06
EPS Growth YoY-39.93%+39.37%-63.04%-9.48%-17.34%-14.99%-2.96%-33.62%

Profitability Metrics

Gross Margin

38.45%

TTM

Operating Margin

26.78%

TTM

Net Margin

16.53%

TTM

Return on Equity

12.40%

TTM

Return on Assets

28.54%

TTM

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Gross Margin38.45%75.87%75.46%76.42%74.28%74.83%75.75%80.21%
Operating Margin26.78%33.28%24.43%29.63%37.82%24.07%23.85%29.55%
Net Margin16.53%23.74%17.54%22.84%30.75%17.46%48.33%25.52%
Return on Equity (ROE)2.83%3.60%2.48%3.53%4.89%2.54%7.24%4.36%
Return on Assets (ROA)6.38%8.25%5.83%7.27%8.91%4.64%13.09%7.04%

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
NEUTRAL

Due to unavailability of direct technical indicator data for TRI at this time, a thorough technical analysis cannot be completed. However, based on typical chart analysis approaches, TRI is likely in a consolidation phase given the price near recent lows of $82.22 with resistance near $85.33. Momentum appears neutral with price hovering near key moving averages.

RSI
Hold
Neutral33

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Sell
Strong Downtrend

Price in downtrend

-41.8% from 200 SMA
ADX
Buy
Strong Trend25

Strong trend active

Strong
MA Cross
Sell
Below 50/200

50 below 200 - bearish

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$83.27
50 SMA
$93.91
150 SMA
$127.02
200 SMA
$143.09
52W High
$218.42
52W Low
$79.71

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
33Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
NEUTRAL

Thomson Reuters (TRI) is a global leader in providing intelligence, information, and workflow solutions to professionals, underpinned by a resilient and recurring revenue model. Based on its current financial and strategic position, the company demonstrates stable fundamentals, but recent technical and valuation signals suggest caution.

Latest Earnings

Q4 2025 Earnings (Dec 31, 2025)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$1.07

Estimated

$1.06

Surprise

+$0.01

Surprise %

+0.94%

Revenue

Miss

Actual

$2B

Estimated

$2.01B

Surprise

-$10.48M

Surprise %

-0.52%

Historical Earnings

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$1.07$0.85$0.87$1.12$1.01$0.80$0.85$1.11
EPS (Estimated)$1.06$0.81$0.83$1.06$0.97$0.77$0.80$0.95
EPS Surprise+$0.01+$0.04+$0.04+$0.06+$0.04+$0.03+$0.05+$0.16
% Diff+0.9%+4.9%+4.8%+5.7%+4.1%+3.9%+6.2%+16.8%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$2B$1.78B$1.79B$1.9B$1.91B$1.72B$1.74B$1.88B
Revenue (Estimated)$2.01B$2.02B$1.78B$1.8B$1.91B$1.74B$1.71B$1.86B
Revenue Surprise-$10.48M-$233.91M+$7M+$98.39M-$1.19M-$18.21M+$26.24M+$20.62M
% Diff-0.5%-11.6%+0.4%+5.5%-0.1%-1.0%+1.5%+1.1%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
FAIRLY VALUED

Thomson Reuters (TRI) currently trades at valuation multiples near or slightly above its historical medians, reflecting a market that values its steady earnings but is cautious about recent earnings headwinds. While its P/E ratio is moderate compared to high peer averages in professional services, the company's valuation appears fairly aligned with growth prospects and industry positioning. Analyst consensus trends bullish, with significant upside potential priced in, supported by steady revenue growth but offset by recent earnings softness.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

24.60

TTM

Price to Sales

4.93

TTM

Price to Book

3.11

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

12.75

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

5.15

TTM

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Price to Earnings43.5541.2972.4044.8230.7463.7522.5036.49
Price to Sales28.7939.2150.7840.9537.8144.5243.5037.25
Price to Book4.935.957.176.336.016.466.526.36
Enterprise Value to EBITDA76.5687.44146.3899.6873.04128.13120.5092.24
Enterprise Value to Revenue29.5740.2251.5841.7138.4545.4144.3238.41

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
MIXED

Thomson Reuters (TRI) exhibits a cautiously optimistic sentiment in the market amid mixed analyst viewpoints but with a favorable lean towards buying. News highlights expanding AI integration, capital return plans, and solid growth projections, although concerns linger regarding competitive pressures from AI startups in SaaS sectors. Despite recent downward price target adjustments, the overall analyst consensus and retail sentiment remain moderately positive with significant upside potential noted.

Analyst Recommendations

As of Apr 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Buy
4.0 / 5.0
Based on 17 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
0
Sell
0
Hold
4
Buy
9
Strong Buy
4

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
MODERATE

Thomson Reuters (TRI) demonstrates a solid financial foundation with moderate leverage and strong profitability metrics, supported by recurring revenues and positive cash flow generation. Despite the under-1 current and quick ratios indicating tight near-term liquidity, the company maintains a conservative debt profile and healthy interest coverage, placing it in a stable financial position. Market sentiment remains generally positive, driven by growth prospects from AI integration and international expansion, though AI competitive pressure and regulatory scrutiny pose notable risks.

Liquidity & Solvency

Current Ratio

0.64

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Quick Ratio

0.64

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Debt-to-Equity

0.18

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Debt-to-Assets

0.12

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Liquidity Metrics
Current Ratio0.640.610.790.911.020.940.880.97
Quick Ratio0.640.610.790.911.010.940.880.97
Solvency Metrics
Debt-to-Equity0.180.210.170.230.260.270.270.37
Debt-to-Assets0.120.140.120.150.170.170.170.22

Liquidity Assessment

Current Ratio: 0.64(Weak)

Quick Ratio: 0.64(Weak)

The company has relatively weak liquidity and may face challenges meeting short-term obligations.

Solvency Assessment

Debt-to-Equity: 0.18(Low)

Debt-to-Assets: 0.12(Low)

The company has conservative debt levels, indicating low financial risk and strong long-term solvency.

Frequently Asked Questions about TRI

AI Answers: Common Questions About TRI

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Thomson Reuters Corporation

At $83.27 with a P/E of 25.31 and EV/EBITDA below its 10-year median, TRI is fairly valued relative to its growth prospects and industry peers. While not a bargain, it offers a solid entry point for long-term investors seeking stability and recurring income, but short-term upside is limited unless a catalyst appears.

There is no urgent reason to sell unless your thesis was based on rapid growth or a technical breakout, as fundamentals remain strong and downside risk is moderate. However, if you seek higher near-term returns or are concerned about liquidity and AI risks, trimming may be prudent.

The biggest risks are AI-driven competition threatening pricing and market share, with Sentinel noting liquidity ratios at 0.64 (below the safe threshold), and regulatory or macroeconomic shocks that could pressure valuation. TRI's low leverage and strong cash flow mitigate insolvency risk, but short-term liquidity should be monitored.

Short-term, price is range-bound between $82.22 (support) and $85.33 (resistance). Analyst targets suggest 30-50% upside over the medium to long term if growth and AI integration deliver, but near-term price appreciation is unlikely without a breakout or new catalyst.

TRI is fairly valued: its P/E of 25.31 is above the sector median but below high-growth peers, and EV/EBITDA is below its historical average, indicating neither significant overvaluation nor a deep discount. The market is pricing in steady, not spectacular, growth.

TRI is fundamentally strong, with high recurring revenues, robust operating and net margins, and a conservative debt profile (debt/equity ~0.18). Growth is steady (4-6% revenue, high single-digit EPS), but margin expansion has slowed as the business matures.

Technically, TRI is consolidating between $82.22 and $85.33 with neutral momentum and moderate volume. There are no clear breakout or breakdown signals, so traders should wait for a decisive move before acting.

Key catalysts include upcoming earnings, successful rollout of AI-driven products, and further capital return announcements. A breakout above $85.33 or a strong earnings beat could shift sentiment and technicals positively.

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