TTWO AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (TTWO)

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
MIXED

Take-Two Interactive remains a leading publisher in the gaming industry with strong IP and resilient top-line trends, but profitability has been significantly pressured in recent quarters, driven by high development and operational costs. Recent financials show revenue momentum but persistent net losses, clouding overall financial health.

Financial Highlights

Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025-$4.0B-$2.0B$0$2.0B$4.0BRevenue & Net Income ($)-240%-180%-120%-60%0%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$1.70B

24.94% YoY

Q4 2025

Net Income

-$92.90M

25.80% YoY

Q4 2025

Net Margin

-5.47%

Q4 2025

Growth Metrics

Profitability Metrics

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
NEUTRAL

TTWO is currently in a technical topping phase with mixed but cautiously optimistic signals. The stock has recently broken above key resistance levels around $218 and $220, suggesting potential bullish momentum, though the 50-day SMA remains below the 200-day SMA indicating longer-term bearish pressure. Momentum is moderate with RSI near neutral and MACD providing mixed signals, while support near $206-$220 is critical to watch for downside risk.

RSI
Hold
Neutral65

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Hold
Mixed

Mixed signals

-2.3% from 200 SMA
ADX
Hold
Moderate Trend22

Trend developing

Moderate
MA Cross
Hold
Death Cross

Watching for cross

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$225.99
50 SMA
$208.69
150 SMA
$228.93
200 SMA
$231.40
52W High
$264.79
52W Low
$187.63

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
65Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
MIXED

Take-Two Interactive remains a leading publisher in the gaming industry with strong IP and resilient top-line trends, but profitability has been significantly pressured in recent quarters, driven by high development and operational costs. Recent financials show revenue momentum but persistent net losses, clouding overall financial health.

Latest Earnings

Q4 2025 Earnings (Dec 31, 2025)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$1.23

Estimated

$0.83

Surprise

+$0.40

Surprise %

+47.66%

Revenue

Beat

Actual

$1.76B

Estimated

$1.58B

Surprise

+$173.16M

Surprise %

+10.93%

Historical Earnings

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$1.23$1.46$0.61$1.09$0.72$0.66$0.05$0.31
EPS (Estimated)$0.83$0.94$0.28$1.10$0.64$0.42$0.01$0.09
EPS Surprise+$0.40+$0.52+$0.33-$0.01+$0.08+$0.24+$0.04+$0.22
% Diff+47.7%+55.5%+115.9%-0.9%+12.5%+59.0%+314.9%+263.0%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$1.76B$1.77B$1.5B$1.58B$1.36B$1.35B$1.34B$1.4B
Revenue (Estimated)$1.58B$1.73B$1.31B$1.55B$1.39B$1.45B$1.26B$1.31B
Revenue Surprise+$173.16M+$45.26M+$191.97M+$31.69M-$26.54M-$94.8M+$81.07M+$93.88M
% Diff+10.9%+2.6%+14.6%+2.0%-1.9%-6.5%+6.4%+7.2%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
OVERVALUED

Take-Two Interactive (TTWO) currently trades with highly elevated valuation multiples compared to typical industry standards, reflecting significant optimism about its growth prospects and premium content pipeline. Despite negative earnings and margins, the company benefits from strong revenue growth and analyst consensus signaling a notable upside potential around 26% or more. However, underlying financial challenges and elevated leverage raise risks that investors should weigh carefully.

Valuation Metrics

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
POSITIVE

Take-Two Interactive (TTWO) currently enjoys strong bullish sentiment fueled by robust fiscal Q3 results, the anticipated release of Grand Theft Auto VI, and solid analyst buy consensus with optimistic price targets. Despite some short-term profit-taking reflected in recent price dips, the market and retail investors remain upbeat given the company's growing recurring revenues and strategic content pipeline.

Analyst Recommendations

As of May 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Buy
3.9 / 5.0
Based on 28 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
1
Sell
0
Hold
1
Buy
24
Strong Buy
2

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
MODERATE

Take-Two Interactive Software faces a moderate to elevated risk profile driven by its heavy dependence on blockbuster game releases, notably Grand Theft Auto VI, whose recent launch delays have pressured near-term revenue projections. Liquidity remains adequate but not strong, while leverage has increased significantly over recent years, underlining financial flexibility concerns. Positive market sentiment and bullish analyst ratings contrast with operational risks and macroeconomic uncertainties, suggesting cautious optimism for investors.

Liquidity & Solvency

Frequently Asked Questions about TTWO

AI Answers: Common Questions About TTWO

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc.

TTWO is not a clear buy at current levels ($220.45) given its negative P/E (-9.76), high price-to-sales, and premium valuation—unless you have high conviction in GTA VI's success and long-term digital growth. Analyst targets suggest 27-32% upside, but this is contingent on flawless execution and margin improvement.

If you are risk-averse or have a short- to medium-term horizon, consider trimming or holding rather than selling outright, as technicals are mixed and major catalysts are imminent. Long-term investors may want to hold through volatility if confident in the franchise pipeline.

The biggest risks are further delays or underperformance of GTA VI, continued net losses (FY25 net income -$4.5B, net margin -79.5%), and high leverage (debt/equity >1.1, negative interest coverage). Macro headwinds and increased competition could also pressure results.

Analyst price targets range from $244 to $300 (27-32% upside), with technical resistance at $225.82, $230-$236, and $258. Key support is at $220, $206, and $190. Near-term price action will depend on upcoming earnings and GTA VI news.

TTWO is overvalued by traditional metrics: negative P/E (-9.76), very high EV/EBITDA and P/S ratios, and a premium to sector peers. The current price bakes in substantial future growth and margin improvement, so any disappointment could trigger a rerating.

Fundamentals are mixed: revenue is growing (Q4 up 25% YoY), gross margins are strong (~55%), but net losses are deepening and leverage is high. The balance sheet is adequate short-term (current ratio ~1.1), but long-term health depends on returning to profitability.

Technicals are neutral: the stock recently broke above $220 resistance but remains below the 200-day SMA ($231.41), with RSI at 59 and declining volume on price gains. A sustained move above $225.82 would be bullish, but a drop below $220 could trigger further downside.

Key catalysts are the Q4 earnings report on May 21, 2026, and the GTA VI launch in November 2026. Watch for updates on development timelines, cost structure improvements, and digital revenue trends, as well as broader macroeconomic shifts affecting consumer spending.

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