TTWO AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?
Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (TTWO)
Take-Two Interactive (TTWO) offers significant long-term upside driven by its blockbuster gaming franchises and the upcoming GTA VI launch, but faces near-term volatility due to weak profitability, high valuation, and technical consolidation. Investors should expect lumpy earnings and heightened risk/reward tied to major product cycles. Positioning depends on time horizon: long-term prospects are strong, but short- and medium-term outlooks are more cautious.
Fundamentals
Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (TTWO) is a major player in the interactive entertainment sector, known for its strong portfolio of gaming franchises. Despite valuation reflecting growth expectations, its fundamentals, profitability, and earnings momentum warrant careful scrutiny given the current industry cycle and earnings profile. Technicals and sentiment provide mixed signals, while risk factors and management execution remain pivotal.
Financial Highlights
- Revenue
- Net Income
- Net Margin (%)
Revenue
24.94% YoY
Q4 2025
Net Income
25.80% YoY
Q4 2025
Net Margin
Q4 2025
Growth Metrics
Revenue Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
Net Income Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
Revenue Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
EPS Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
Book Value Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
| Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | Q1 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 1.7B | 1.8B | 1.5B | 1.6B | 1.4B | 1.4B | 1.3B | 1.4B |
| Revenue Growth YoY | +24.94% | +31.09% | +12.37% | +13.08% | -0.48% | +4.15% | +4.16% | -3.24% |
| Net Income | -92.9M | -133.9M | -11.9M | -3.7B | -125.2M | -365.5M | -262.0M | -2.9B |
| Net Income Growth YoY | +25.80% | +63.37% | +95.46% | -28.36% | -36.68% | +32.76% | -27.18% | -375.67% |
| EPS | -$0.50 | -$0.73 | -$0.07 | -$21.08 | -$0.71 | -$2.08 | -$1.52 | -$17.02 |
| EPS Growth YoY | +29.58% | +64.90% | +95.67% | -23.85% | -31.48% | +35.00% | -24.59% | -370.17% |
Profitability Metrics
Gross Margin
TTM
Operating Margin
TTM
Net Margin
TTM
Return on Equity
TTM
Return on Assets
TTM
| Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | Q1 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 55.65% | 55.28% | 62.84% | 50.76% | 55.88% | 53.79% | 57.62% | 33.52% |
| Operating Margin | -2.24% | -5.52% | 1.16% | -13.56% | -8.02% | -21.96% | -13.82% | -193.88% |
| Net Margin | -5.47% | -7.55% | -0.79% | -235.46% | -9.21% | -27.01% | -19.58% | -207.45% |
| Return on Equity (ROE) | -2.66% | -3.90% | -0.34% | -174.31% | -2.20% | -6.30% | -4.37% | -51.22% |
| Return on Assets (ROA) | -1.91% | -2.73% | -0.27% | -94.79% | -3.59% | -9.62% | -7.23% | -88.41% |
Technical Analysis
Technical indicator data for TTWO is currently unavailable, restricting direct use of RSI, moving averages, and ADX values. However, based on a secondary analysis incorporating recent market activity, TTWO is showing signs of consolidation after a recent decline from its 52-week highs. The stock appears to be ranging near its current support levels around $190-$195 with potential resistance near $200-$210.
No extreme reading
Price in downtrend
Range-bound market
50 below 200 - bearish
Key Technical Values
Price with Moving Averages
50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages
Relative Strength Index
Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes
RSI (14)
Earnings
Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (TTWO) is a major player in the interactive entertainment sector, known for its strong portfolio of gaming franchises. Despite valuation reflecting growth expectations, its fundamentals, profitability, and earnings momentum warrant careful scrutiny given the current industry cycle and earnings profile. Technicals and sentiment provide mixed signals, while risk factors and management execution remain pivotal.
Latest Earnings
Q4 2025 Earnings (Dec 31, 2025)
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Actual
$1.23
Estimated
$0.83
Surprise
+$0.40
Surprise %
+47.66%
Revenue
Actual
$1.76B
Estimated
$1.58B
Surprise
+$173.16M
Surprise %
+10.93%
Historical Earnings
| Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | Q1 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Per Share | ||||||||
| EPS (Actual) | $1.23 | $1.46 | $0.61 | $1.09 | $0.72 | $0.66 | $0.05 | $0.31 |
| EPS (Estimated) | $0.83 | $0.94 | $0.28 | $1.10 | $0.64 | $0.42 | $0.01 | $0.09 |
| EPS Surprise | +$0.40 | +$0.52 | +$0.33 | -$0.01 | +$0.08 | +$0.24 | +$0.04 | +$0.22 |
| % Diff | +47.7% | +55.5% | +115.9% | -0.9% | +12.5% | +59.0% | +314.9% | +263.0% |
| Revenue | ||||||||
| Revenue (Actual) | $1.76B | $1.77B | $1.5B | $1.58B | $1.36B | $1.35B | $1.34B | $1.4B |
| Revenue (Estimated) | $1.58B | $1.73B | $1.31B | $1.55B | $1.39B | $1.45B | $1.26B | $1.31B |
| Revenue Surprise | +$173.16M | +$45.26M | +$191.97M | +$31.69M | -$26.54M | -$94.8M | +$81.07M | +$93.88M |
| % Diff | +10.9% | +2.6% | +14.6% | +2.0% | -1.9% | -6.5% | +6.4% | +7.2% |
Valuation
Take-Two Interactive (TTWO) is currently trading at a price level that reflects notable near-term challenges but also significant upside potential, primarily driven by the pending release of Grand Theft Auto VI. While the stock shows weak profitability and mixed technical signals suggesting some bearish momentum, analyst sentiment remains predominantly bullish with multiple price targets implying substantial upside.
Valuation Metrics
Price to Earnings
TTM
Price to Sales
TTM
Price to Book
TTM
Enterprise Value to EBITDA
TTM
Enterprise Value to Revenue
TTM
| Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | Q1 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price to Earnings | -126.36 | -89.05 | -922.42 | -2.46 | -64.69 | -18.44 | -25.37 | -2.20 |
| Price to Sales | 27.64 | 26.89 | 29.20 | 23.15 | 23.83 | 19.93 | 19.87 | 18.29 |
| Price to Book | 13.43 | 13.90 | 12.61 | 17.14 | 5.68 | 4.65 | 4.44 | 4.51 |
| Enterprise Value to EBITDA | 180.58 | 187.52 | 161.87 | -11.86 | 253.92 | -2243.57 | 174.10 | -12.51 |
| Enterprise Value to Revenue | 28.64 | 27.81 | 30.18 | 24.83 | 25.96 | 22.05 | 21.91 | 20.27 |
Sentiment & Analyst Ratings
Take-Two Interactive (TTWO) is positioned with generally positive market sentiment ahead of the highly anticipated Grand Theft Auto VI release in November 2026, which is seen as a major catalyst. Despite a challenging year-to-date stock performance and some insider selling, most analysts maintain a bullish outlook with a consensus price target around $280-$284. Investor confidence is cautiously optimistic amid mixed signals on financial health and valuation risk.
Analyst Recommendations
Risk Assessment
Take-Two Interactive (TTWO) exhibits a moderate financial risk profile characterized by improving but still modest liquidity and notably elevated leverage. The company faces key business risks from its heavy reliance on blockbuster franchises and exposure to evolving industry dynamics including AI integration, regulatory scrutiny, and competitive pressures in mobile and live-service gaming. Although recent earnings and guidance show promise, high debt levels and potential volatility around major product launches present notable investment risks.
Liquidity & Solvency
Current Ratio
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
Quick Ratio
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
Debt-to-Equity
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
Debt-to-Assets
Latest Quarter: Q4 2025
| Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | Q1 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidity Metrics | ||||||||
| Current Ratio | 1.14 | 1.15 | 1.16 | 0.78 | 0.83 | 0.85 | 0.90 | 0.94 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.14 | 1.15 | 1.16 | 0.78 | 0.83 | 0.85 | 0.90 | 0.94 |
| Solvency Metrics | ||||||||
| Debt-to-Equity | 1.11 | 1.02 | 1.01 | 1.92 | 0.72 | 0.71 | 0.69 | 0.62 |
| Debt-to-Assets | 0.39 | 0.35 | 0.36 | 0.45 | 0.32 | 0.31 | 0.32 | 0.29 |
Liquidity Assessment
Current Ratio: 1.14(Adequate)
Quick Ratio: 1.14(Strong)
The company has adequate liquidity but may face challenges in a downturn.
Solvency Assessment
Debt-to-Equity: 1.11(High)
Debt-to-Assets: 0.39(Moderate)
The company has relatively high debt levels, which may increase financial risk in economic downturns.
Frequently Asked Questions about TTWO
AI Answers: Common Questions About TTWO
Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc.
TTWO is not an ideal buy for short-term traders given its current negative P/E (-8.73), high Price-to-Sales, and technical consolidation near $197. However, for long-term investors, the stock is attractive due to the upcoming GTA VI launch and strong digital revenue trends, with analysts targeting $280-$300.
Unless your investment horizon is very short or you are risk-averse to near-term volatility, selling now is not recommended. Fundamentals remain intact for the long term, and technicals do not indicate a major breakdown; holding or waiting for a technical breakout is prudent.
The biggest risks are execution delays or underperformance of GTA VI, high leverage (debt-to-equity >1, 39% debt-to-assets), and negative interest coverage, which could strain finances if earnings disappoint. Short-term liquidity is adequate but not robust (current ratio ~1.1).
Technical resistance is at $200-$210, with downside support at $187. Analyst consensus price targets are $280-$300, reflecting strong upside if GTA VI meets expectations. Near-term price action is likely range-bound until a catalyst emerges.
TTWO is fairly valued relative to its growth prospects, trading at a premium Price-to-Sales and EV/EBITDA but with negative earnings. The market is pricing in future upside from GTA VI, so current multiples are justified only if growth materializes.
Fundamentally, TTWO has strong IP, robust digital revenue, and a solid strategic position, but faces volatile margins, lumpy earnings, and recent GAAP losses. The balance sheet is solid but pressured by high R&D and acquisition costs.
Technically, TTWO is consolidating near $190-$195 support with resistance at $200-$210. Momentum is neutral to slightly bearish, and volume is declining, suggesting traders should wait for a clear breakout or breakdown before acting.
Key catalysts include the November 2026 release of GTA VI, upcoming earnings reports that could show margin recovery, and any major news on franchise expansions or digital monetization. Macro factors like interest rates and sector M&A could also impact the stock.
Want a Personalized Answer?
Get AI-powered insights tailored to your risk tolerance and investment goals.