TTWO AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?
Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (TTWO)
Fundamentals
Take-Two Interactive remains a leading publisher in the gaming industry with strong IP and resilient top-line trends, but profitability has been significantly pressured in recent quarters, driven by high development and operational costs. Recent financials show revenue momentum but persistent net losses, clouding overall financial health.
Financial Highlights
- Revenue
- Net Income
- Net Margin (%)
Revenue
24.94% YoY
Q4 2025
Net Income
25.80% YoY
Q4 2025
Net Margin
Q4 2025
Growth Metrics
Profitability Metrics
Technical Analysis
TTWO is currently in a technical topping phase with mixed but cautiously optimistic signals. The stock has recently broken above key resistance levels around $218 and $220, suggesting potential bullish momentum, though the 50-day SMA remains below the 200-day SMA indicating longer-term bearish pressure. Momentum is moderate with RSI near neutral and MACD providing mixed signals, while support near $206-$220 is critical to watch for downside risk.
No extreme reading
Mixed signals
Trend developing
Watching for cross
Key Technical Values
Price with Moving Averages
50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages
Relative Strength Index
Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes
RSI (14)
Earnings
Take-Two Interactive remains a leading publisher in the gaming industry with strong IP and resilient top-line trends, but profitability has been significantly pressured in recent quarters, driven by high development and operational costs. Recent financials show revenue momentum but persistent net losses, clouding overall financial health.
Latest Earnings
Q4 2025 Earnings (Dec 31, 2025)
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Actual
$1.23
Estimated
$0.83
Surprise
+$0.40
Surprise %
+47.66%
Revenue
Actual
$1.76B
Estimated
$1.58B
Surprise
+$173.16M
Surprise %
+10.93%
Historical Earnings
| Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | Q1 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Per Share | ||||||||
| EPS (Actual) | $1.23 | $1.46 | $0.61 | $1.09 | $0.72 | $0.66 | $0.05 | $0.31 |
| EPS (Estimated) | $0.83 | $0.94 | $0.28 | $1.10 | $0.64 | $0.42 | $0.01 | $0.09 |
| EPS Surprise | +$0.40 | +$0.52 | +$0.33 | -$0.01 | +$0.08 | +$0.24 | +$0.04 | +$0.22 |
| % Diff | +47.7% | +55.5% | +115.9% | -0.9% | +12.5% | +59.0% | +314.9% | +263.0% |
| Revenue | ||||||||
| Revenue (Actual) | $1.76B | $1.77B | $1.5B | $1.58B | $1.36B | $1.35B | $1.34B | $1.4B |
| Revenue (Estimated) | $1.58B | $1.73B | $1.31B | $1.55B | $1.39B | $1.45B | $1.26B | $1.31B |
| Revenue Surprise | +$173.16M | +$45.26M | +$191.97M | +$31.69M | -$26.54M | -$94.8M | +$81.07M | +$93.88M |
| % Diff | +10.9% | +2.6% | +14.6% | +2.0% | -1.9% | -6.5% | +6.4% | +7.2% |
Valuation
Take-Two Interactive (TTWO) currently trades with highly elevated valuation multiples compared to typical industry standards, reflecting significant optimism about its growth prospects and premium content pipeline. Despite negative earnings and margins, the company benefits from strong revenue growth and analyst consensus signaling a notable upside potential around 26% or more. However, underlying financial challenges and elevated leverage raise risks that investors should weigh carefully.
Valuation Metrics
Sentiment & Analyst Ratings
Take-Two Interactive (TTWO) currently enjoys strong bullish sentiment fueled by robust fiscal Q3 results, the anticipated release of Grand Theft Auto VI, and solid analyst buy consensus with optimistic price targets. Despite some short-term profit-taking reflected in recent price dips, the market and retail investors remain upbeat given the company's growing recurring revenues and strategic content pipeline.
Analyst Recommendations
Risk Assessment
Take-Two Interactive Software faces a moderate to elevated risk profile driven by its heavy dependence on blockbuster game releases, notably Grand Theft Auto VI, whose recent launch delays have pressured near-term revenue projections. Liquidity remains adequate but not strong, while leverage has increased significantly over recent years, underlining financial flexibility concerns. Positive market sentiment and bullish analyst ratings contrast with operational risks and macroeconomic uncertainties, suggesting cautious optimism for investors.
Liquidity & Solvency
Frequently Asked Questions about TTWO
AI Answers: Common Questions About TTWO
Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc.
TTWO is not a clear buy at current levels ($220.45) given its negative P/E (-9.76), high price-to-sales, and premium valuation—unless you have high conviction in GTA VI's success and long-term digital growth. Analyst targets suggest 27-32% upside, but this is contingent on flawless execution and margin improvement.
If you are risk-averse or have a short- to medium-term horizon, consider trimming or holding rather than selling outright, as technicals are mixed and major catalysts are imminent. Long-term investors may want to hold through volatility if confident in the franchise pipeline.
The biggest risks are further delays or underperformance of GTA VI, continued net losses (FY25 net income -$4.5B, net margin -79.5%), and high leverage (debt/equity >1.1, negative interest coverage). Macro headwinds and increased competition could also pressure results.
Analyst price targets range from $244 to $300 (27-32% upside), with technical resistance at $225.82, $230-$236, and $258. Key support is at $220, $206, and $190. Near-term price action will depend on upcoming earnings and GTA VI news.
TTWO is overvalued by traditional metrics: negative P/E (-9.76), very high EV/EBITDA and P/S ratios, and a premium to sector peers. The current price bakes in substantial future growth and margin improvement, so any disappointment could trigger a rerating.
Fundamentals are mixed: revenue is growing (Q4 up 25% YoY), gross margins are strong (~55%), but net losses are deepening and leverage is high. The balance sheet is adequate short-term (current ratio ~1.1), but long-term health depends on returning to profitability.
Technicals are neutral: the stock recently broke above $220 resistance but remains below the 200-day SMA ($231.41), with RSI at 59 and declining volume on price gains. A sustained move above $225.82 would be bullish, but a drop below $220 could trigger further downside.
Key catalysts are the Q4 earnings report on May 21, 2026, and the GTA VI launch in November 2026. Watch for updates on development timelines, cost structure improvements, and digital revenue trends, as well as broader macroeconomic shifts affecting consumer spending.
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