TTWO AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (TTWO)

$197.07-0.98 (-0.49%) today

Open
$197.60
High
$199.21
Low
$194.51
Volume
1.49M
Mkt Cap
$36.49B
52W High
$264.79
AI Verdict
Confidence 85%
TTWOTake-Two Interactive Software, Inc.
AlphaCrew AI
MIXED
Overall
Summary

Take-Two Interactive (TTWO) offers significant long-term upside driven by its blockbuster gaming franchises and the upcoming GTA VI launch, but faces near-term volatility due to weak profitability, high valuation, and technical consolidation. Investors should expect lumpy earnings and heightened risk/reward tied to major product cycles. Positioning depends on time horizon: long-term prospects are strong, but short- and medium-term outlooks are more cautious.

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Short
HOLD
Medium
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Long
Agent Signals
5
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Tech
Val
Sent
Risk

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
MIXED

Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (TTWO) is a major player in the interactive entertainment sector, known for its strong portfolio of gaming franchises. Despite valuation reflecting growth expectations, its fundamentals, profitability, and earnings momentum warrant careful scrutiny given the current industry cycle and earnings profile. Technicals and sentiment provide mixed signals, while risk factors and management execution remain pivotal.

Financial Highlights

Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025-$4.0B-$2.0B$0$2.0B$4.0BRevenue & Net Income ($)-240%-180%-120%-60%0%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$1.70B

24.94% YoY

Q4 2025

Net Income

-$92.90M

25.80% YoY

Q4 2025

Net Margin

-5.47%

Q4 2025

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

24.94%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Net Income Growth YoY

25.80%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

19.90%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

EPS Growth YoY

29.58%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

-41.17%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Revenue1.7B1.8B1.5B1.6B1.4B1.4B1.3B1.4B
Revenue Growth YoY+24.94%+31.09%+12.37%+13.08%-0.48%+4.15%+4.16%-3.24%
Net Income-92.9M-133.9M-11.9M-3.7B-125.2M-365.5M-262.0M-2.9B
Net Income Growth YoY+25.80%+63.37%+95.46%-28.36%-36.68%+32.76%-27.18%-375.67%
EPS-$0.50-$0.73-$0.07-$21.08-$0.71-$2.08-$1.52-$17.02
EPS Growth YoY+29.58%+64.90%+95.67%-23.85%-31.48%+35.00%-24.59%-370.17%

Profitability Metrics

Gross Margin

55.65%

TTM

Operating Margin

-2.24%

TTM

Net Margin

-5.47%

TTM

Return on Equity

-126.41%

TTM

Return on Assets

-81.68%

TTM

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Gross Margin55.65%55.28%62.84%50.76%55.88%53.79%57.62%33.52%
Operating Margin-2.24%-5.52%1.16%-13.56%-8.02%-21.96%-13.82%-193.88%
Net Margin-5.47%-7.55%-0.79%-235.46%-9.21%-27.01%-19.58%-207.45%
Return on Equity (ROE)-2.66%-3.90%-0.34%-174.31%-2.20%-6.30%-4.37%-51.22%
Return on Assets (ROA)-1.91%-2.73%-0.27%-94.79%-3.59%-9.62%-7.23%-88.41%

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
NEUTRAL

Technical indicator data for TTWO is currently unavailable, restricting direct use of RSI, moving averages, and ADX values. However, based on a secondary analysis incorporating recent market activity, TTWO is showing signs of consolidation after a recent decline from its 52-week highs. The stock appears to be ranging near its current support levels around $190-$195 with potential resistance near $200-$210.

RSI
Hold
Neutral44

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Sell
Strong Downtrend

Price in downtrend

-15.7% from 200 SMA
ADX
Hold
Weak/No Trend19

Range-bound market

Weak
MA Cross
Sell
Below 50/200

50 below 200 - bearish

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$197.07
50 SMA
$204.15
150 SMA
$233.99
200 SMA
$233.64
52W High
$264.79
52W Low
$187.63

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
44Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
MIXED

Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (TTWO) is a major player in the interactive entertainment sector, known for its strong portfolio of gaming franchises. Despite valuation reflecting growth expectations, its fundamentals, profitability, and earnings momentum warrant careful scrutiny given the current industry cycle and earnings profile. Technicals and sentiment provide mixed signals, while risk factors and management execution remain pivotal.

Latest Earnings

Q4 2025 Earnings (Dec 31, 2025)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$1.23

Estimated

$0.83

Surprise

+$0.40

Surprise %

+47.66%

Revenue

Beat

Actual

$1.76B

Estimated

$1.58B

Surprise

+$173.16M

Surprise %

+10.93%

Historical Earnings

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$1.23$1.46$0.61$1.09$0.72$0.66$0.05$0.31
EPS (Estimated)$0.83$0.94$0.28$1.10$0.64$0.42$0.01$0.09
EPS Surprise+$0.40+$0.52+$0.33-$0.01+$0.08+$0.24+$0.04+$0.22
% Diff+47.7%+55.5%+115.9%-0.9%+12.5%+59.0%+314.9%+263.0%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$1.76B$1.77B$1.5B$1.58B$1.36B$1.35B$1.34B$1.4B
Revenue (Estimated)$1.58B$1.73B$1.31B$1.55B$1.39B$1.45B$1.26B$1.31B
Revenue Surprise+$173.16M+$45.26M+$191.97M+$31.69M-$26.54M-$94.8M+$81.07M+$93.88M
% Diff+10.9%+2.6%+14.6%+2.0%-1.9%-6.5%+6.4%+7.2%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
FAIRLY VALUED

Take-Two Interactive (TTWO) is currently trading at a price level that reflects notable near-term challenges but also significant upside potential, primarily driven by the pending release of Grand Theft Auto VI. While the stock shows weak profitability and mixed technical signals suggesting some bearish momentum, analyst sentiment remains predominantly bullish with multiple price targets implying substantial upside.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

-9.12

TTM

Price to Sales

5.56

TTM

Price to Book

10.34

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

-15.28

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

5.82

TTM

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Price to Earnings-126.36-89.05-922.42-2.46-64.69-18.44-25.37-2.20
Price to Sales27.6426.8929.2023.1523.8319.9319.8718.29
Price to Book13.4313.9012.6117.145.684.654.444.51
Enterprise Value to EBITDA180.58187.52161.87-11.86253.92-2243.57174.10-12.51
Enterprise Value to Revenue28.6427.8130.1824.8325.9622.0521.9120.27

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
MIXED

Take-Two Interactive (TTWO) is positioned with generally positive market sentiment ahead of the highly anticipated Grand Theft Auto VI release in November 2026, which is seen as a major catalyst. Despite a challenging year-to-date stock performance and some insider selling, most analysts maintain a bullish outlook with a consensus price target around $280-$284. Investor confidence is cautiously optimistic amid mixed signals on financial health and valuation risk.

Analyst Recommendations

As of Apr 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Buy
3.9 / 5.0
Based on 28 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
1
Sell
0
Hold
1
Buy
24
Strong Buy
2

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
MODERATE

Take-Two Interactive (TTWO) exhibits a moderate financial risk profile characterized by improving but still modest liquidity and notably elevated leverage. The company faces key business risks from its heavy reliance on blockbuster franchises and exposure to evolving industry dynamics including AI integration, regulatory scrutiny, and competitive pressures in mobile and live-service gaming. Although recent earnings and guidance show promise, high debt levels and potential volatility around major product launches present notable investment risks.

Liquidity & Solvency

Current Ratio

1.14

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Quick Ratio

1.14

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Debt-to-Equity

1.11

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Debt-to-Assets

0.39

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Liquidity Metrics
Current Ratio1.141.151.160.780.830.850.900.94
Quick Ratio1.141.151.160.780.830.850.900.94
Solvency Metrics
Debt-to-Equity1.111.021.011.920.720.710.690.62
Debt-to-Assets0.390.350.360.450.320.310.320.29

Liquidity Assessment

Current Ratio: 1.14(Adequate)

Quick Ratio: 1.14(Strong)

The company has adequate liquidity but may face challenges in a downturn.

Solvency Assessment

Debt-to-Equity: 1.11(High)

Debt-to-Assets: 0.39(Moderate)

The company has relatively high debt levels, which may increase financial risk in economic downturns.

Frequently Asked Questions about TTWO

AI Answers: Common Questions About TTWO

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc.

TTWO is not an ideal buy for short-term traders given its current negative P/E (-8.73), high Price-to-Sales, and technical consolidation near $197. However, for long-term investors, the stock is attractive due to the upcoming GTA VI launch and strong digital revenue trends, with analysts targeting $280-$300.

Unless your investment horizon is very short or you are risk-averse to near-term volatility, selling now is not recommended. Fundamentals remain intact for the long term, and technicals do not indicate a major breakdown; holding or waiting for a technical breakout is prudent.

The biggest risks are execution delays or underperformance of GTA VI, high leverage (debt-to-equity >1, 39% debt-to-assets), and negative interest coverage, which could strain finances if earnings disappoint. Short-term liquidity is adequate but not robust (current ratio ~1.1).

Technical resistance is at $200-$210, with downside support at $187. Analyst consensus price targets are $280-$300, reflecting strong upside if GTA VI meets expectations. Near-term price action is likely range-bound until a catalyst emerges.

TTWO is fairly valued relative to its growth prospects, trading at a premium Price-to-Sales and EV/EBITDA but with negative earnings. The market is pricing in future upside from GTA VI, so current multiples are justified only if growth materializes.

Fundamentally, TTWO has strong IP, robust digital revenue, and a solid strategic position, but faces volatile margins, lumpy earnings, and recent GAAP losses. The balance sheet is solid but pressured by high R&D and acquisition costs.

Technically, TTWO is consolidating near $190-$195 support with resistance at $200-$210. Momentum is neutral to slightly bearish, and volume is declining, suggesting traders should wait for a clear breakout or breakdown before acting.

Key catalysts include the November 2026 release of GTA VI, upcoming earnings reports that could show margin recovery, and any major news on franchise expansions or digital monetization. Macro factors like interest rates and sector M&A could also impact the stock.

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