VIAV AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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Viavi Solutions Inc. (VIAV)

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
NEUTRAL

Viavi Solutions exhibits cautious financial recovery with recent revenue growth and marginal profitability improvements following prior quarterly losses. Despite volatility in earnings and a high valuation, the company is stabilizing revenue albeit at modest net income margins. The firm’s fundamental position reflects transitional challenges but steady strides toward profitability and growth sustainability.

Financial Highlights

Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026-$150.0M$0$150.0M$300.0M$450.0MRevenue & Net Income ($)-14%-7%0%7%14%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$406.80M

42.84% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Income

$6.40M

-67.18% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Margin

1.57%

Q1 2026

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

42.84%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Net Income Growth YoY

-67.18%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

37.05%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

EPS Growth YoY

-68.49%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

11.44%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Revenue406.8M369.3M299.1M290.5M284.8M270.8M238.2M252.0M
Revenue Growth YoY+42.84%+36.37%+25.57%+15.28%+15.77%+6.40%-3.91%-4.40%
Net Income6.4M-48.1M-21.4M8.0M19.5M9.1M-1.8M-21.7M
Net Income Growth YoY-67.18%-628.57%-1088.89%+136.87%+179.27%-14.95%-118.37%-21600.00%
EPS$0.03-$0.21-$0.10$0.04$0.09$0.04-$0.01-$0.10
EPS Growth YoY-68.49%-612.20%-1085.19%+136.76%+179.64%-14.76%-118.37%-19380.00%

Profitability Metrics

No profitability metrics available

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
NEUTRAL

Viavi Solutions (VIAV) is currently in a consolidation phase with mixed and mostly bearish technical signals. The price is trading below the 50-day moving average but above the 200-day SMA, reflecting indecision and a lack of clear trend direction. Key resistance levels in the $38.5-$42.9 range are constraining the price while momentum indicators suggest weakening bearish pressure rather than a decisive reversal yet.

RSI
Hold
Neutral44

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Hold
Mixed

Mixed signals

+17.8% from 200 SMA
ADX
Buy
Strong Trend28

Strong trend active

Strong
MA Cross
Hold
Golden Cross

Watching for cross

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$37.75
50 SMA
$45.29
150 SMA
$37.15
200 SMA
$32.03
52W High
$60.43
52W Low
$9.62

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
44Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
NEUTRAL

Viavi Solutions exhibits cautious financial recovery with recent revenue growth and marginal profitability improvements following prior quarterly losses. Despite volatility in earnings and a high valuation, the company is stabilizing revenue albeit at modest net income margins. The firm’s fundamental position reflects transitional challenges but steady strides toward profitability and growth sustainability.

Latest Earnings

Q1 2026 Earnings (Mar 28, 2026)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$0.27

Estimated

$0.24

Surprise

+$0.03

Surprise %

+12.50%

Revenue

Beat

Actual

$406.8M

Estimated

$393.8M

Surprise

+$13M

Surprise %

+3.30%

Historical Earnings

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$0.27$0.22$0.15$0.13$0.15$0.13$0.06$0.08
EPS (Estimated)$0.24$0.19$0.13$0.12$0.12$0.10$0.06$0.07
EPS Surprise+$0.03+$0.03+$0.02+$0.01+$0.03+$0.03+$0.00+$0.01
% Diff+12.5%+15.8%+15.4%+8.3%+25.0%+30.0%+0.0%+14.3%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$406.8M$369.3M$299.1M$290.5M$284.8M$270.8M$238.2M$252M
Revenue (Estimated)$393.8M$365.25M$301.82M$285.19M$285.19M$259.97M$240.1M$250.82M
Revenue Surprise+$13M+$4.05M-$2.72M+$5.31M-$389.57K+$10.83M-$1.9M+$1.18M
% Diff+3.3%+1.1%-0.9%+1.9%-0.1%+4.2%-0.8%+0.5%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
OVERVALUED

Viavi Solutions exhibits a mixed fundamental profile with strong revenue growth but inconsistent earnings and elevated valuation multiples. Analyst sentiment remains generally positive with significant upside potential reflected in price targets well above current levels, driven by optimism around technological innovation and market positioning.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

-155.61

TTM

Price to Sales

6.82

TTM

Price to Book

10.35

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

82.92

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

7.29

TTM

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Price to Earnings313.77-21.67-31.8069.8332.1362.07-278.70-17.63
Price to Sales19.7611.039.107.688.808.358.426.08
Price to Book9.494.883.762.863.443.312.862.25
Enterprise Value to EBITDA156.29813.91130.3670.24103.4361.1877.27143.22
Enterprise Value to Revenue21.3212.5610.118.619.919.089.346.93

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
MIXED

The sentiment around VIAV is predominantly positive, fueled by strong analyst buy ratings and significant recent product and funding developments. However, some caution is present due to insider selling and a recent negative market reaction following the earnings date announcement. Retail investors show rising bullishness, but valuation concerns and insider actions temper overall confidence.

Analyst Recommendations

As of Aug 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Buy
4.0 / 5.0
Based on 8 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
0
Sell
0
Hold
1
Buy
6
Strong Buy
1

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
MODERATE

Viavi Solutions demonstrates a moderately strong liquidity position but exhibits elevated leverage that requires careful monitoring. The company benefits from a solid market position in telecom testing with growth fueled by 5G/6G technology transitions, though cyclical capex and competitive pressures pose ongoing risks. Recent earnings growth and AI-driven initiatives signal growth potential, but margin pressures and geopolitical/export risks temper near-term profitability outlooks.

Liquidity & Solvency

Frequently Asked Questions about VIAV

AI Answers: Common Questions About VIAV

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Viavi Solutions Inc.

Viavi is a cautious buy for long-term investors due to steady revenue growth (~13.6% YoY) and improving operating margins (~10%+), but short-term technical weakness and high valuation (P/E ~48) suggest waiting for clearer entry points.

Selling is not recommended currently as fundamentals are improving and sentiment is positive; however, a breakdown below key support levels near $32.95 or sustained earnings deterioration could warrant reconsideration.

Key risks include high leverage (debt-to-equity >1.3), cyclical telecom spending impacting revenue, and competitive pressures in testing solutions that could compress margins.

Analyst price targets generally indicate upside potential of approximately 19% or more from current levels, with resistance near $38.8-$42.9 and longer-term targets around $47.2.

Viavi trades at a premium with a trailing P/E of 47.99 and elevated EV/EBITDA multiples, justified by growth in 5G/6G and AI innovation but requiring monitoring of earnings sustainability.

The company shows steady revenue growth from $238M in Q3 2024 to $406.8M in Q1 2026, improving operating margins above 10%, and positive EPS progression to $0.27, indicating a recovery trajectory.

Short-term technicals are mixed to bearish with price below the 50-day SMA and MACD sell signals, but long-term structure remains bullish with a golden cross; key support at $37.25 and resistance at $38.8-$42.9.

Upcoming Q4 2026 earnings report, continued AI and 6G product launches, EU funding developments, and successful debt reduction efforts are key catalysts to watch.

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