VRSK AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?
Verisk Analytics, Inc. (VRSK)
Fundamentals
Verisk Analytics (VRSK) demonstrates robust fundamentals with consistent revenue growth, margin expansion, and a strong beat record on earnings. The company has successfully transitioned to a high-margin, data-centric business model, translating to steadily improving profitability. However, the current valuation appears stretched based on historical trading ranges and forward growth expectations, creating a more nuanced, risk-aware investment outlook.
Financial Highlights
- Revenue
- Net Income
- Net Margin (%)
Revenue
3.93% YoY
Q1 2026
Net Income
0.82% YoY
Q1 2026
Net Margin
Q1 2026
Growth Metrics
Revenue Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Net Income Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Revenue Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
EPS Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Book Value Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 782.6M | 778.8M | 768.3M | 772.6M | 753.0M | 735.6M | 725.3M | 716.8M |
| Revenue Growth YoY | +3.93% | +5.87% | +5.93% | +7.78% | +6.96% | +8.62% | +7.04% | +6.19% |
| Net Income | 234.2M | 197.2M | 225.5M | 253.3M | 232.3M | 210.3M | 220.0M | 307.8M |
| Net Income Growth YoY | +0.82% | -6.23% | +2.50% | -17.71% | +5.78% | +21.00% | +17.40% | +56.32% |
| EPS | $1.73 | $1.42 | $1.62 | $1.81 | $1.66 | $1.50 | $1.55 | $2.16 |
| EPS Growth YoY | +4.22% | -5.33% | +4.52% | -16.20% | +8.50% | +24.81% | +20.16% | +58.82% |
Profitability Metrics
Technical Analysis
VRSK is currently in a strong downtrend characterized by a death cross and trading well below its key moving averages. Momentum is weak as indicated by a neutral RSI and low ADX, suggesting limited directional strength despite the bearish trend. Price is closer to its 52-week low than its high, pointing to considerable downside pressure currently dominating the chart.
No extreme reading
Price in downtrend
Range-bound market
50 below 200 - bearish
Key Technical Values
Price with Moving Averages
50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages
Relative Strength Index
Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes
RSI (14)
Earnings
Verisk Analytics (VRSK) demonstrates robust fundamentals with consistent revenue growth, margin expansion, and a strong beat record on earnings. The company has successfully transitioned to a high-margin, data-centric business model, translating to steadily improving profitability. However, the current valuation appears stretched based on historical trading ranges and forward growth expectations, creating a more nuanced, risk-aware investment outlook.
Latest Earnings
Q1 2026 Earnings (Mar 31, 2026)
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Actual
$1.82
Estimated
$1.74
Surprise
+$0.08
Surprise %
+4.60%
Revenue
Actual
$782.6M
Estimated
$771.62M
Surprise
+$10.98M
Surprise %
+1.42%
Historical Earnings
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Per Share | ||||||||
| EPS (Actual) | $1.82 | $1.82 | $1.72 | $1.88 | $1.73 | $1.61 | $1.67 | $1.74 |
| EPS (Estimated) | $1.74 | $1.61 | $1.70 | $1.78 | $1.68 | $1.60 | $1.60 | $1.64 |
| EPS Surprise | +$0.08 | +$0.21 | +$0.02 | +$0.10 | +$0.05 | +$0.01 | +$0.07 | +$0.10 |
| % Diff | +4.6% | +13.0% | +1.2% | +5.6% | +3.0% | +0.6% | +4.4% | +6.1% |
| Revenue | ||||||||
| Revenue (Actual) | $782.6M | $778.8M | $768.3M | $772.6M | $753M | $735.6M | $725.3M | $716.8M |
| Revenue (Estimated) | $771.62M | $773.58M | $776.25M | $768.73M | $749.82M | $733.7M | $722.19M | $722.45M |
| Revenue Surprise | +$10.98M | +$5.23M | -$7.95M | +$3.87M | +$3.18M | +$1.9M | +$3.11M | -$5.65M |
| % Diff | +1.4% | +0.7% | -1.0% | +0.5% | +0.4% | +0.3% | +0.4% | -0.8% |
Valuation
Verisk Analytics (VRSK) currently trades at valuation multiples that are generally near or slightly below historical averages, with a cautiously optimistic analyst consensus highlighting potential upside. The company's steady revenue growth, strong margins, and recurring revenue base underpin its valuation, though some market sentiment signals caution amid sector-specific risks. Overall, the data suggests a balanced valuation scenario with a moderate growth premium.
Valuation Metrics
Price to Earnings
TTM
Price to Sales
TTM
Price to Book
TTM
Enterprise Value to EBITDA
TTM
Enterprise Value to Revenue
TTM
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price to Earnings | 27.42 | 39.38 | 38.81 | 43.02 | 44.82 | 45.91 | 43.22 | 31.03 |
| Price to Sales | 32.74 | 39.94 | 45.67 | 56.37 | 55.45 | 52.73 | 52.38 | 53.38 |
| Price to Book | -21.94 | 100.66 | 93.15 | 139.73 | 339.47 | 387.52 | 126.81 | 88.92 |
| Enterprise Value to EBITDA | 68.17 | 89.21 | 92.75 | 104.00 | 107.18 | 108.15 | 103.58 | 81.95 |
| Enterprise Value to Revenue | 37.98 | 43.61 | 49.29 | 60.00 | 59.20 | 56.75 | 56.24 | 57.08 |
Sentiment & Analyst Ratings
Verisk Analytics (VRSK) sentiment is mixed yet leaning cautiously positive, supported by analyst upgrades and optimistic price targets around $220-$235 offering significant upside potential. Recent news highlights advancements in their hurricane risk modeling platform and easing valuation concerns, though insider selling and technical signals temper enthusiasm. Overall, investor perception balances growth prospects with some uncertainty over platform transitions and index removal risks.
Analyst Recommendations
Risk Assessment
Verisk Analytics exhibits a moderate financial risk profile marked by liquidity ratios near 1, indicating adequate short-term asset coverage but limited cushion. The capital structure shows unusual negative debt-to-equity due to accounting treatments, reflecting complex balance sheet dynamics with significant debt levels. Market and regulatory risks persist, particularly from competitive pressures, AI disruptions, and data security concerns, which could affect long-term growth and investor sentiment.
Liquidity & Solvency
Frequently Asked Questions about VRSK
AI Answers: Common Questions About VRSK
Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Verisk Analytics, Inc.
VRSK is not an ideal buy at this exact moment due to bearish technicals (death cross, price near 52-week low at $155.94) and mixed sentiment, despite a reasonable P/E of 26.5 and strong fundamentals. Waiting for technical stabilization or a confirmed reversal above $175 is prudent for new positions. Long-term investors may consider accumulating on further weakness if fundamentals remain intact.
If you already own VRSK, there is no urgent reason to sell unless your horizon is short-term, as fundamentals remain strong and valuation is not excessive. However, traders may consider reducing exposure if price breaks below $156 support or if technicals deteriorate further. Long-term holders can maintain positions, monitoring for stabilization and upcoming catalysts.
Key risks include a current ratio just above 1 and debt-to-assets exceeding 1, indicating tight liquidity and high leverage; pricing and regulatory pressures in insurance analytics; and execution risk around new platform rollouts and AI competition. Sentinel rates overall risk as moderate, with potential for short-term cash crunch if unexpected costs arise.
Technical support is at $156, with resistance at $175 and $197; analyst price targets range from $220 to $235, implying 25-35% upside from current levels if sentiment and technicals improve. Near-term, price may remain range-bound or test support before any sustained rally.
The stock is fairly valued, trading at a P/E of ~26.5 (below sector average and near historical lows), with an elevated EV/EBITDA reflecting premium for cash flow and data assets. Price-to-sales is high, but justified by recurring revenue and high retention; valuation is not a major concern unless growth slows.
VRSK is fundamentally strong, with gross margins near 70%, operating margin above 44%, net margin close to 30%, and ROE at 27%. Revenue and EPS are growing steadily (FY25 revenue +6.6%, EPS +14.2%), driven by organic demand and share buybacks; earnings quality is high and recurring.
Technical analysis is bearish: the stock is in a Stage 4 decline with a death cross, price below all major moving averages, RSI neutral at 44.44, and elevated volume confirming selling pressure. No bullish reversal patterns are present; support is at $156, resistance at $175 and $197.
Key catalysts include adoption of the Synergy Studio platform and hurricane model upgrades, upcoming earnings reports, and any positive guidance revisions. Watch for technical reversal signals and stabilization, as well as developments around Nasdaq-100 index removal and insider activity.
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