VRSK AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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Verisk Analytics, Inc. (VRSK)

$166.32-2.25 (-1.33%) today

Open
$168.83
High
$170.50
Low
$165.39
Volume
1.76M
Mkt Cap
$21.79B
52W High
$322.92
AI Verdict
Confidence 89%
VRSKVerisk Analytics, Inc.
AlphaCrew AI
BUY
Overall
Summary

Verisk Analytics (VRSK) offers a compelling long-term investment case with robust fundamentals, resilient recurring revenue, and improving margins, now trading at a more attractive valuation after a significant price correction. While technicals are bearish in the short term, sentiment, analyst targets, and fundamental strength point to substantial upside over the next 6-24 months. Near-term volatility and leverage risks warrant caution for traders, but long-term investors are likely to be rewarded.

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Agent Signals
221
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Tech
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Sent
Risk

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

Verisk Analytics (VRSK) demonstrates robust fundamental health with consistent revenue growth, expanding profitability metrics, and a stable business model anchored by data analytics services for the insurance sector. The recent stock drop places the forward P/E near industry medians, but the underlying fundamentals and earnings trajectory remain strong. Forward prospects are underpinned by operational leverage and recurring revenue.

Financial Highlights

Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026$0$200.0M$400.0M$600.0M$800.0MRevenue & Net Income ($)24%27%30%33%36%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$782.60M

3.93% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Income

$234.20M

0.82% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Margin

29.93%

Q1 2026

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

3.93%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Net Income Growth YoY

0.82%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

7.99%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

EPS Growth YoY

4.22%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

-1079.38%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Revenue782.6M778.8M768.3M772.6M753.0M735.6M725.3M716.8M
Revenue Growth YoY+3.93%+5.87%+5.93%+7.78%+6.96%+8.62%+7.04%+6.19%
Net Income234.2M197.2M225.5M253.3M232.3M210.3M220.0M307.8M
Net Income Growth YoY+0.82%-6.23%+2.50%-17.71%+5.78%+21.00%+17.40%+56.32%
EPS$1.73$1.42$1.62$1.81$1.66$1.50$1.55$2.16
EPS Growth YoY+4.22%-5.33%+4.52%-16.20%+8.50%+24.81%+20.16%+58.82%

Profitability Metrics

Gross Margin

69.77%

TTM

Operating Margin

45.00%

TTM

Net Margin

29.93%

TTM

Return on Equity

-2137.87%

TTM

Return on Assets

37.83%

TTM

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Gross Margin69.77%59.60%70.13%70.30%69.35%68.67%69.20%69.39%
Operating Margin45.00%43.59%45.02%45.86%43.84%43.00%42.95%44.46%
Net Margin29.93%25.32%29.35%32.79%30.85%28.59%30.33%42.94%
Return on Equity (ROE)-20.06%63.82%59.86%81.26%188.86%210.09%73.43%71.53%
Return on Assets (ROA)9.73%4.97%5.76%9.75%7.76%9.80%9.37%11.95%

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
BEARISH

VRSK is currently in a clear downtrend with price action testing critical support levels near $164 amid a falling trend channel. Momentum indicators suggest oversold conditions, but the broader technical signals remain bearish with price well below key moving averages. A double bottom setup hints at a potential short-term relief, though caution remains warranted given volume and volatility patterns.

RSI
Hold
Neutral37

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Sell
Strong Downtrend

Price in downtrend

-24.5% from 200 SMA
ADX
Hold
Weak/No Trend18

Range-bound market

Weak
MA Cross
Sell
Below 50/200

50 below 200 - bearish

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$166.32
50 SMA
$186.82
150 SMA
$206.40
200 SMA
$220.41
52W High
$322.92
52W Low
$161.70

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
37Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

Verisk Analytics (VRSK) demonstrates robust fundamental health with consistent revenue growth, expanding profitability metrics, and a stable business model anchored by data analytics services for the insurance sector. The recent stock drop places the forward P/E near industry medians, but the underlying fundamentals and earnings trajectory remain strong. Forward prospects are underpinned by operational leverage and recurring revenue.

Latest Earnings

Q1 2026 Earnings (Mar 31, 2026)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Beat

Actual

$1.82

Estimated

$1.76

Surprise

+$0.06

Surprise %

+3.41%

Revenue

Beat

Actual

$782.6M

Estimated

$771.62M

Surprise

+$10.98M

Surprise %

+1.42%

Historical Earnings

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$1.82$1.82$1.72$1.88$1.73$1.61$1.67$1.74
EPS (Estimated)$1.76$1.61$1.70$1.78$1.68$1.60$1.60$1.64
EPS Surprise+$0.06+$0.21+$0.02+$0.10+$0.05+$0.01+$0.07+$0.10
% Diff+3.4%+13.0%+1.2%+5.6%+3.0%+0.6%+4.4%+6.1%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$782.6M$778.8M$768.3M$772.6M$753M$735.6M$725.3M$716.8M
Revenue (Estimated)$771.62M$773.58M$776.25M$768.73M$749.82M$733.7M$722.19M$722.45M
Revenue Surprise+$10.98M+$5.23M-$7.95M+$3.87M+$3.18M+$1.9M+$3.11M-$5.65M
% Diff+1.4%+0.7%-1.0%+0.5%+0.4%+0.3%+0.4%-0.8%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
FAIRLY VALUED

Verisk Analytics (VRSK) presents a valuation profile suggesting it is moderately priced relative to its fundamentals and sector peers, with analyst consensus indicating upside potential of around 27-44%. The company demonstrates solid financial health, steady revenue growth, and improving earnings, supporting a moderately constructive outlook despite a premium valuation in some metrics.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

24.67

TTM

Price to Sales

7.02

TTM

Price to Book

-19.23

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

15.15

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

8.35

TTM

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Price to Earnings27.3539.4338.9042.9944.9446.1143.1731.08
Price to Sales32.7439.9445.6756.3755.4552.7352.3853.38
Price to Book-21.94100.6693.15139.73339.47387.52126.8188.92
Enterprise Value to EBITDA68.0981.1792.75104.00107.18108.15103.5881.95
Enterprise Value to Revenue37.9843.6149.2960.0059.2056.7556.2457.08

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
POSITIVE

Verisk Analytics (VRSK) sentiment is generally positive, supported by strong Q1 2026 earnings beats, solid revenue growth driven by subscription services, and robust analyst Buy ratings with upward price target revisions. Despite some caution around execution timing and increased short interest, the stock is viewed as undervalued with meaningful upside potential. Retail sentiment is mixed but leaning toward optimism amid AI product expansions and share repurchase activity.

Analyst Recommendations

As of May 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Buy
3.7 / 5.0
Based on 19 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
0
Sell
1
Hold
8
Buy
6
Strong Buy
4

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
MODERATE

Verisk Analytics (VRSK) presents a moderate financial risk profile with stable revenue growth and profitability supported by strong margins and a solid earnings trajectory. However, the company faces challenges from increased leverage and regulatory risks in a competitive environment that also highlights risks from pricing pressures and cash flow variability. Market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, with upside potential tempered by near-term execution and macroeconomic uncertainties.

Liquidity & Solvency

Current Ratio

1.02

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Quick Ratio

1.02

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Debt-to-Equity

-3.96

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Debt-to-Assets

1.01

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Liquidity Metrics
Current Ratio1.021.201.191.531.270.740.820.95
Quick Ratio1.021.201.191.531.270.740.820.95
Solvency Metrics
Debt-to-Equity-3.9616.3012.9811.0031.9932.4310.887.64
Debt-to-Assets1.010.810.780.710.770.760.710.69

Liquidity Assessment

Current Ratio: 1.02(Adequate)

Quick Ratio: 1.02(Strong)

The company has adequate liquidity but may face challenges in a downturn.

Solvency Assessment

Debt-to-Equity: -3.96(Low)

Debt-to-Assets: 1.01(High)

The company has conservative debt levels, indicating low financial risk and strong long-term solvency.

Frequently Asked Questions about VRSK

AI Answers: Common Questions About VRSK

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Verisk Analytics, Inc.

Verisk is a good buy for long-term investors at $171.87, trading at a P/E of 26.16 (below historical highs) and well below analyst targets of $220–$266. The recent correction has brought valuation closer to sector medians, and strong recurring revenue and margin expansion support the case for future appreciation.

Unless you are a short-term trader reacting to technical weakness, there is little reason to sell now given the company's robust fundamentals, improving sentiment, and significant upside to consensus targets. However, traders may consider reducing exposure if support at $164 fails.

The biggest risks are Verisk's very high leverage (debt/equity >16, debt >80% of assets), which could strain financials if earnings falter, and regulatory or data privacy headwinds that could impact growth. Short-term liquidity is adequate but not strong (current ratio ~1.2), and recent free cash flow has declined double digits.

Technical resistance is at $170, $185, and $195, with support at $164 and $161.70. Analyst price targets range from $220 to $266, implying 27-44% upside from current levels if fundamentals and sentiment drive a recovery.

The stock is fairly valued to slightly discounted after its drop, with a P/E of 26.16 and high EV/EBITDA and P/B multiples justified by quality and growth. Current valuation is below historical peaks and offers a better risk/reward than in recent years.

Verisk is fundamentally strong, with gross margins near 70%, operating margin at 44.6%, and EPS up 13.6% YoY. The business is anchored by sticky, recurring revenue and high client retention, with minimal capex needs and strong cash conversion.

Technicals are bearish, with the stock below all major moving averages and in a falling channel; RSI is 44.6 (weak momentum), and support at $164 is critical. Oversold signals suggest a possible short-term bounce, but no confirmed reversal is present.

Key catalysts include upcoming earnings (potential for beats and guidance raises), further AI product launches, and continued share repurchases. Macro events affecting insurance sector demand and regulatory developments on data privacy are also important.

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