VRSK AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?
Verisk Analytics, Inc. (VRSK)
Verisk Analytics (VRSK) offers a compelling long-term investment case with robust fundamentals, resilient recurring revenue, and improving margins, now trading at a more attractive valuation after a significant price correction. While technicals are bearish in the short term, sentiment, analyst targets, and fundamental strength point to substantial upside over the next 6-24 months. Near-term volatility and leverage risks warrant caution for traders, but long-term investors are likely to be rewarded.
Fundamentals
Verisk Analytics (VRSK) demonstrates robust fundamental health with consistent revenue growth, expanding profitability metrics, and a stable business model anchored by data analytics services for the insurance sector. The recent stock drop places the forward P/E near industry medians, but the underlying fundamentals and earnings trajectory remain strong. Forward prospects are underpinned by operational leverage and recurring revenue.
Financial Highlights
- Revenue
- Net Income
- Net Margin (%)
Revenue
3.93% YoY
Q1 2026
Net Income
0.82% YoY
Q1 2026
Net Margin
Q1 2026
Growth Metrics
Revenue Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Net Income Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Revenue Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
EPS Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Book Value Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 782.6M | 778.8M | 768.3M | 772.6M | 753.0M | 735.6M | 725.3M | 716.8M |
| Revenue Growth YoY | +3.93% | +5.87% | +5.93% | +7.78% | +6.96% | +8.62% | +7.04% | +6.19% |
| Net Income | 234.2M | 197.2M | 225.5M | 253.3M | 232.3M | 210.3M | 220.0M | 307.8M |
| Net Income Growth YoY | +0.82% | -6.23% | +2.50% | -17.71% | +5.78% | +21.00% | +17.40% | +56.32% |
| EPS | $1.73 | $1.42 | $1.62 | $1.81 | $1.66 | $1.50 | $1.55 | $2.16 |
| EPS Growth YoY | +4.22% | -5.33% | +4.52% | -16.20% | +8.50% | +24.81% | +20.16% | +58.82% |
Profitability Metrics
Gross Margin
TTM
Operating Margin
TTM
Net Margin
TTM
Return on Equity
TTM
Return on Assets
TTM
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 69.77% | 59.60% | 70.13% | 70.30% | 69.35% | 68.67% | 69.20% | 69.39% |
| Operating Margin | 45.00% | 43.59% | 45.02% | 45.86% | 43.84% | 43.00% | 42.95% | 44.46% |
| Net Margin | 29.93% | 25.32% | 29.35% | 32.79% | 30.85% | 28.59% | 30.33% | 42.94% |
| Return on Equity (ROE) | -20.06% | 63.82% | 59.86% | 81.26% | 188.86% | 210.09% | 73.43% | 71.53% |
| Return on Assets (ROA) | 9.73% | 4.97% | 5.76% | 9.75% | 7.76% | 9.80% | 9.37% | 11.95% |
Technical Analysis
VRSK is currently in a clear downtrend with price action testing critical support levels near $164 amid a falling trend channel. Momentum indicators suggest oversold conditions, but the broader technical signals remain bearish with price well below key moving averages. A double bottom setup hints at a potential short-term relief, though caution remains warranted given volume and volatility patterns.
No extreme reading
Price in downtrend
Range-bound market
50 below 200 - bearish
Key Technical Values
Price with Moving Averages
50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages
Relative Strength Index
Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes
RSI (14)
Earnings
Verisk Analytics (VRSK) demonstrates robust fundamental health with consistent revenue growth, expanding profitability metrics, and a stable business model anchored by data analytics services for the insurance sector. The recent stock drop places the forward P/E near industry medians, but the underlying fundamentals and earnings trajectory remain strong. Forward prospects are underpinned by operational leverage and recurring revenue.
Latest Earnings
Q1 2026 Earnings (Mar 31, 2026)
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Actual
$1.82
Estimated
$1.76
Surprise
+$0.06
Surprise %
+3.41%
Revenue
Actual
$782.6M
Estimated
$771.62M
Surprise
+$10.98M
Surprise %
+1.42%
Historical Earnings
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Per Share | ||||||||
| EPS (Actual) | $1.82 | $1.82 | $1.72 | $1.88 | $1.73 | $1.61 | $1.67 | $1.74 |
| EPS (Estimated) | $1.76 | $1.61 | $1.70 | $1.78 | $1.68 | $1.60 | $1.60 | $1.64 |
| EPS Surprise | +$0.06 | +$0.21 | +$0.02 | +$0.10 | +$0.05 | +$0.01 | +$0.07 | +$0.10 |
| % Diff | +3.4% | +13.0% | +1.2% | +5.6% | +3.0% | +0.6% | +4.4% | +6.1% |
| Revenue | ||||||||
| Revenue (Actual) | $782.6M | $778.8M | $768.3M | $772.6M | $753M | $735.6M | $725.3M | $716.8M |
| Revenue (Estimated) | $771.62M | $773.58M | $776.25M | $768.73M | $749.82M | $733.7M | $722.19M | $722.45M |
| Revenue Surprise | +$10.98M | +$5.23M | -$7.95M | +$3.87M | +$3.18M | +$1.9M | +$3.11M | -$5.65M |
| % Diff | +1.4% | +0.7% | -1.0% | +0.5% | +0.4% | +0.3% | +0.4% | -0.8% |
Valuation
Verisk Analytics (VRSK) presents a valuation profile suggesting it is moderately priced relative to its fundamentals and sector peers, with analyst consensus indicating upside potential of around 27-44%. The company demonstrates solid financial health, steady revenue growth, and improving earnings, supporting a moderately constructive outlook despite a premium valuation in some metrics.
Valuation Metrics
Price to Earnings
TTM
Price to Sales
TTM
Price to Book
TTM
Enterprise Value to EBITDA
TTM
Enterprise Value to Revenue
TTM
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price to Earnings | 27.35 | 39.43 | 38.90 | 42.99 | 44.94 | 46.11 | 43.17 | 31.08 |
| Price to Sales | 32.74 | 39.94 | 45.67 | 56.37 | 55.45 | 52.73 | 52.38 | 53.38 |
| Price to Book | -21.94 | 100.66 | 93.15 | 139.73 | 339.47 | 387.52 | 126.81 | 88.92 |
| Enterprise Value to EBITDA | 68.09 | 81.17 | 92.75 | 104.00 | 107.18 | 108.15 | 103.58 | 81.95 |
| Enterprise Value to Revenue | 37.98 | 43.61 | 49.29 | 60.00 | 59.20 | 56.75 | 56.24 | 57.08 |
Sentiment & Analyst Ratings
Verisk Analytics (VRSK) sentiment is generally positive, supported by strong Q1 2026 earnings beats, solid revenue growth driven by subscription services, and robust analyst Buy ratings with upward price target revisions. Despite some caution around execution timing and increased short interest, the stock is viewed as undervalued with meaningful upside potential. Retail sentiment is mixed but leaning toward optimism amid AI product expansions and share repurchase activity.
Analyst Recommendations
Risk Assessment
Verisk Analytics (VRSK) presents a moderate financial risk profile with stable revenue growth and profitability supported by strong margins and a solid earnings trajectory. However, the company faces challenges from increased leverage and regulatory risks in a competitive environment that also highlights risks from pricing pressures and cash flow variability. Market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, with upside potential tempered by near-term execution and macroeconomic uncertainties.
Liquidity & Solvency
Current Ratio
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Quick Ratio
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Debt-to-Equity
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Debt-to-Assets
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidity Metrics | ||||||||
| Current Ratio | 1.02 | 1.20 | 1.19 | 1.53 | 1.27 | 0.74 | 0.82 | 0.95 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.02 | 1.20 | 1.19 | 1.53 | 1.27 | 0.74 | 0.82 | 0.95 |
| Solvency Metrics | ||||||||
| Debt-to-Equity | -3.96 | 16.30 | 12.98 | 11.00 | 31.99 | 32.43 | 10.88 | 7.64 |
| Debt-to-Assets | 1.01 | 0.81 | 0.78 | 0.71 | 0.77 | 0.76 | 0.71 | 0.69 |
Liquidity Assessment
Current Ratio: 1.02(Adequate)
Quick Ratio: 1.02(Strong)
The company has adequate liquidity but may face challenges in a downturn.
Solvency Assessment
Debt-to-Equity: -3.96(Low)
Debt-to-Assets: 1.01(High)
The company has conservative debt levels, indicating low financial risk and strong long-term solvency.
Frequently Asked Questions about VRSK
AI Answers: Common Questions About VRSK
Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Verisk Analytics, Inc.
Verisk is a good buy for long-term investors at $171.87, trading at a P/E of 26.16 (below historical highs) and well below analyst targets of $220–$266. The recent correction has brought valuation closer to sector medians, and strong recurring revenue and margin expansion support the case for future appreciation.
Unless you are a short-term trader reacting to technical weakness, there is little reason to sell now given the company's robust fundamentals, improving sentiment, and significant upside to consensus targets. However, traders may consider reducing exposure if support at $164 fails.
The biggest risks are Verisk's very high leverage (debt/equity >16, debt >80% of assets), which could strain financials if earnings falter, and regulatory or data privacy headwinds that could impact growth. Short-term liquidity is adequate but not strong (current ratio ~1.2), and recent free cash flow has declined double digits.
Technical resistance is at $170, $185, and $195, with support at $164 and $161.70. Analyst price targets range from $220 to $266, implying 27-44% upside from current levels if fundamentals and sentiment drive a recovery.
The stock is fairly valued to slightly discounted after its drop, with a P/E of 26.16 and high EV/EBITDA and P/B multiples justified by quality and growth. Current valuation is below historical peaks and offers a better risk/reward than in recent years.
Verisk is fundamentally strong, with gross margins near 70%, operating margin at 44.6%, and EPS up 13.6% YoY. The business is anchored by sticky, recurring revenue and high client retention, with minimal capex needs and strong cash conversion.
Technicals are bearish, with the stock below all major moving averages and in a falling channel; RSI is 44.6 (weak momentum), and support at $164 is critical. Oversold signals suggest a possible short-term bounce, but no confirmed reversal is present.
Key catalysts include upcoming earnings (potential for beats and guidance raises), further AI product launches, and continued share repurchases. Macro events affecting insurance sector demand and regulatory developments on data privacy are also important.
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