WBD AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. (WBD)

$27.44-0.09 (-0.33%) today

Open
$27.53
High
$27.57
Low
$27.42
Volume
15.36M
Mkt Cap
$68.05B
52W High
$30.00
AI Verdict
Confidence 85%
WBDWarner Bros. Discovery, Inc.
AlphaCrew AI
WAIT
Overall
Summary

Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) sits at a critical inflection point: while its long-term content and streaming assets are valuable, near-term risks from merger uncertainty, high leverage, and earnings volatility are pronounced. The stock is fairly valued near resistance, with sentiment and technicals mixed ahead of the pivotal Paramount Skydance merger vote and upcoming earnings. Investors should wait for clarity on the merger outcome and improved earnings momentum before taking a strong position.

By Timeframe
Hover for details
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Short
HOLD
Medium
HOLD
Long
Agent Signals
41
Fund
Tech
Val
Sent
Risk

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
MIXED

Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) demonstrates mixed fundamental conditions: while its market position in global entertainment is strong, recent financial and earnings data reveal volatility and execution challenges. The stock’s elevated P/E ratio reflects growth expectations, but financial data indicate that operating margins and earnings quality have faced pressure. Short-term uncertainty characterizes results, despite brand strength and ongoing industry transformation.

Financial Highlights

Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025-$3.5B$0$3.5B$7.0B$10.5BRevenue & Net Income ($)-6%0%6%12%18%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$9.46B

-5.65% YoY

Q4 2025

Net Income

-$252.00M

48.99% YoY

Q4 2025

Net Margin

-2.66%

Q4 2025

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

-5.65%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Net Income Growth YoY

48.99%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

-6.46%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

EPS Growth YoY

50.00%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

5.47%

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Revenue9.5B9.0B9.8B9.0B10.0B9.6B9.7B10.0B
Revenue Growth YoY-5.65%-6.01%+1.02%-9.83%-2.50%-3.57%-6.23%-6.93%
Net Income-252.0M-148.0M1.6B-453.0M-494.0M135.0M-10.0B-966.0M
Net Income Growth YoY+48.99%-209.63%+115.82%+53.11%-23.50%+132.37%-705.32%+9.64%
EPS-$0.10-$0.06$0.64-$0.18-$0.20$0.06-$4.07-$0.40
EPS Growth YoY+50.00%-200.00%+115.72%+55.00%-25.00%+135.29%-698.04%+9.09%

Profitability Metrics

Gross Margin

28.18%

TTM

Operating Margin

3.51%

TTM

Net Margin

1.95%

TTM

Return on Equity

2.05%

TTM

Return on Assets

1.57%

TTM

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Gross Margin30.21%49.54%39.19%42.86%44.88%46.16%36.13%39.16%
Operating Margin5.67%6.76%-1.89%-0.41%1.62%2.92%-105.10%-2.68%
Net Margin-2.66%-1.64%16.10%-5.05%-4.93%1.40%-102.81%-9.70%
Return on Equity (ROE)-0.70%-0.41%4.38%-1.34%-1.45%0.38%-29.08%-2.19%
Return on Assets (ROA)-0.54%-0.32%5.84%-1.74%-1.80%0.51%-36.82%-3.47%

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
NEUTRAL

Technical indicator data is currently unavailable for WBD, limiting direct quantitative analysis. However, based on recent price action and available market metrics, WBD is trading near its yearly highs around $27.44 with a moderate volume profile. Price behavior suggests a consolidation phase after a recovery from lows, with potential for either continuation or reversal hinging on key levels.

RSI
Hold
Neutral48

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Hold
Mixed

Mixed signals

+27.3% from 200 SMA
ADX
Hold
Weak/No Trend17

Range-bound market

Weak
MA Cross
Hold
Golden Cross

Watching for cross

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$27.44
50 SMA
$27.75
150 SMA
$24.74
200 SMA
$21.56
52W High
$30.00
52W Low
$7.52

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
48Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
MIXED

Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) demonstrates mixed fundamental conditions: while its market position in global entertainment is strong, recent financial and earnings data reveal volatility and execution challenges. The stock’s elevated P/E ratio reflects growth expectations, but financial data indicate that operating margins and earnings quality have faced pressure. Short-term uncertainty characterizes results, despite brand strength and ongoing industry transformation.

Latest Earnings

Q4 2025 Earnings (Dec 31, 2025)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Miss

Actual

$-0.10

Estimated

$-0.03

Surprise

$-0.07

Surprise %

-209.79%

Revenue

Beat

Actual

$9.46B

Estimated

$9.35B

Surprise

+$109.3M

Surprise %

+1.17%

Historical Earnings

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$-0.10$-0.06$0.63$-0.18$-0.20$0.05$-4.07$-0.40
EPS (Estimated)$-0.03$-0.07$-0.24$-0.17$-0.03$-0.09$-0.26$-0.20
EPS Surprise-$0.07+$0.01+$0.87-$0.01-$0.17+$0.14-$3.81-$0.20
% Diff-209.8%+11.6%+362.8%-3.8%-658.4%+155.6%-1443.6%-104.6%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$9.46B$9.05B$9.81B$8.98B$10.03B$9.62B$9.71B$9.95B
Revenue (Estimated)$9.35B$9.18B$9.77B$9.59B$10.18B$9.79B$10.07B$10.22B
Revenue Surprise+$109.3M-$131.12M+$38.44M-$612.31M-$151.53M-$167.84M-$361.54M-$269.23M
% Diff+1.2%-1.4%+0.4%-6.4%-1.5%-1.7%-3.6%-2.6%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
FAIRLY VALUED

Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) presents a mixed valuation profile marked by elevated multiples relative to its sector peers, despite modest recent earnings growth and positive margins. Analyst consensus generally leans toward a hold, reflecting uncertainty about the sustainability of growth and profitability amid industry challenges and legacy debt burdens. The company trades near its average analyst price targets, suggesting fair value with limited upside potential for now.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

93.42

TTM

Price to Sales

1.82

TTM

Price to Book

1.89

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

5.93

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

2.58

TTM

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Price to Earnings-70.76-81.784.49-14.58-13.1337.48-0.44-5.56
Price to Sales7.545.352.892.942.592.101.792.16
Price to Book1.991.340.790.780.760.580.510.49
Enterprise Value to EBITDA66.5339.647.2612.6912.4110.60-13.5811.29
Enterprise Value to Revenue10.508.645.926.686.005.935.646.13

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
MIXED

Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) sentiment is currently mixed to cautiously optimistic. Analyst consensus is mainly a "Hold" with a modest upside toward $30, supported by steady streaming growth and improving earnings, while the impending merger with Paramount Skydance serves as a key near-term catalyst. Retail and institutional investor sentiment shows cautious optimism but is tempered by recent insider selling and mixed technical signals.

Analyst Recommendations

As of Apr 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Hold
2.9 / 5.0
Based on 21 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
1
Sell
2
Hold
17
Buy
1
Strong Buy
0

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
HIGH

Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) operates in a highly competitive and rapidly evolving media landscape marked by significant regulatory scrutiny due to its pending merger with Paramount Skydance. Financially, the company shows moderate liquidity with some leverage and debt servicing challenges, compounded by industry headwinds and substantial debt load. Regulatory hurdles and market disruption pose meaningful near- to mid-term risks from an investor standpoint.

Liquidity & Solvency

Current Ratio

1.06

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Quick Ratio

1.06

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Debt-to-Equity

0.91

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

Debt-to-Assets

0.33

Latest Quarter: Q4 2025

 Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Liquidity Metrics
Current Ratio1.061.071.040.840.890.800.760.82
Quick Ratio1.061.071.040.840.890.800.760.82
Solvency Metrics
Debt-to-Equity0.910.940.961.111.161.151.190.96
Debt-to-Assets0.330.340.340.370.380.380.380.36

Liquidity Assessment

Current Ratio: 1.06(Adequate)

Quick Ratio: 1.06(Strong)

The company has adequate liquidity but may face challenges in a downturn.

Solvency Assessment

Debt-to-Equity: 0.91(Moderate)

Debt-to-Assets: 0.33(Moderate)

The company maintains a balanced capital structure with manageable debt levels.

Frequently Asked Questions about WBD

AI Answers: Common Questions About WBD

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.

WBD is not a compelling buy right now given its high P/E ratio (94.62), fair valuation near $27.44 (close to the $30 analyst target), and major event risk from the upcoming Paramount Skydance merger. Investors should wait for post-merger clarity and improved earnings momentum before initiating new positions.

There is no urgent reason to sell if already invested, as the long-term thesis remains intact and the stock is not overextended technically; however, those averse to event-driven risk may consider trimming ahead of the merger vote or if earnings disappoint.

The biggest risks are WBD's high leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.91, interest coverage below 1), potential regulatory blocks or failure of the Paramount Skydance merger, and ongoing earnings volatility with thin operating margins. Liquidity is just adequate (current ratio ~1.05), so any negative shock could strain finances.

Analyst consensus targets $30 (about 9% upside from current $27.44), with technical resistance at $30 and support near $25-26. A confirmed breakout above $30 could open further upside, but failure at this level risks a pullback to support.

WBD is fairly valued at current levels, trading at a high P/E (94.62) and premium EV/EBITDA versus peers, with limited near-term upside unless earnings growth accelerates. The current price reflects high expectations for merger and operational improvements.

Fundamentally, WBD has a strong content/IP base and global reach, but faces pressured margins, volatile earnings, and high leverage. Recent quarters have shown inconsistent EPS and ongoing restructuring costs, making the fundamental picture mixed.

Technically, WBD is consolidating near its 52-week high ($30) with moderate volume and no clear breakout, suggesting a neutral to cautious stance. Key levels are $30 resistance and $25-26 support; a breakout or breakdown from this range will set the next direction.

Key catalysts include the April 23 Paramount Skydance merger vote, Q1 2026 earnings results, and any regulatory decisions on the merger. Streaming subscriber growth and margin recovery from cost synergies are also important to watch.

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