WBD AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. (WBD)

$27.20-0.04 (-0.15%) today

Open
$27.20
High
$27.26
Low
$27.13
Volume
13.56M
Mkt Cap
$68.19B
52W High
$30.00
AI Verdict
Confidence 85%
WBDWarner Bros. Discovery, Inc.
AlphaCrew AI
MIXED
Overall
Summary

Warner Bros. Discovery presents a complex investment case: while its content assets and streaming growth offer long-term potential, persistent net losses, high leverage, and acquisition uncertainty create significant near-term risks. Technicals suggest a consolidating uptrend, but sentiment and valuation remain cautious amid volatile earnings. Investors should weigh the high risk/reward profile and time horizon carefully.

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Short
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Medium
HOLD
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Agent Signals
41
Fund
Tech
Val
Sent
Risk

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
MIXED

Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) displays a fundamentally mixed picture: while recent quarters show volatility in revenue and profitability, the underlying business has made meaningful improvements since its transformative merger, but still faces persistent net losses and margin compression. Despite positive gross profits and some operational leverage, the firm struggles with elevated costs and challenges scaling consistent earnings.

Financial Highlights

Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026-$3.5B$0$3.5B$7.0B$10.5BRevenue & Net Income ($)-40%-20%0%20%40%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$8.90B

-0.85% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Income

-$3.33B

-635.98% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Margin

-37.45%

Q1 2026

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

-0.85%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Net Income Growth YoY

-635.98%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

-2.04%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

EPS Growth YoY

-550.00%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

-5.32%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Revenue8.9B9.5B9.0B9.8B9.0B10.0B9.6B9.7B
Revenue Growth YoY-0.85%-5.65%-6.01%+1.02%-9.83%-2.50%-3.57%-6.23%
Net Income-3.3B-252.0M-148.0M1.6B-453.0M-494.0M135.0M-10.0B
Net Income Growth YoY-635.98%+48.99%-209.63%+115.82%+53.11%-23.50%+132.37%-705.32%
EPS-$1.17-$0.10-$0.06$0.64-$0.18-$0.20$0.06-$4.07
EPS Growth YoY-550.00%+50.00%-200.00%+115.72%+55.00%-25.00%+135.29%-698.04%

Profitability Metrics

Gross Margin

34.11%

TTM

Operating Margin

8.12%

TTM

Net Margin

-37.45%

TTM

Return on Equity

-6.13%

TTM

Return on Assets

-4.77%

TTM

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Gross Margin34.11%30.21%49.54%39.19%42.86%44.88%46.16%36.13%
Operating Margin8.12%5.67%6.76%-1.89%-0.41%1.62%2.92%-105.10%
Net Margin-37.45%-2.66%-1.64%16.10%-5.05%-4.93%1.40%-102.81%
Return on Equity (ROE)-10.23%-0.70%-0.41%4.38%-1.34%-1.45%0.38%-29.08%
Return on Assets (ROA)-7.38%-0.54%-0.32%5.84%-1.74%-1.80%0.51%-36.82%

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
NEUTRAL

WBD is currently in a technical consolidation phase within an advancing uptrend, with price hovering near key moving averages and an RSI in the neutral zone. Although the ADX indicates weak trend strength, the 50 SMA remains above the 200 SMA, supporting underlying bullish momentum. Price action suggests a potential buildup for continuation, with institutional accumulation noted in recent behavior.

RSI
Hold
Neutral49

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Hold
Mixed

Mixed signals

+17.1% from 200 SMA
ADX
Hold
Weak/No Trend12

Range-bound market

Weak
MA Cross
Hold
Golden Cross

Watching for cross

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$27.20
50 SMA
$27.36
150 SMA
$26.11
200 SMA
$23.23
52W High
$30.00
52W Low
$8.82

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
49Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
MIXED

Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) displays a fundamentally mixed picture: while recent quarters show volatility in revenue and profitability, the underlying business has made meaningful improvements since its transformative merger, but still faces persistent net losses and margin compression. Despite positive gross profits and some operational leverage, the firm struggles with elevated costs and challenges scaling consistent earnings.

Latest Earnings

Q1 2026 Earnings (Mar 31, 2026)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Miss

Actual

$-1.17

Estimated

$-0.11

Surprise

$-1.06

Surprise %

-975.37%

Revenue

Beat

Actual

$8.89B

Estimated

$8.89B

Surprise

+$4.25M

Surprise %

+0.05%

Historical Earnings

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$-1.17$-0.10$-0.06$0.63$-0.18$-0.20$0.05$-4.07
EPS (Estimated)$-0.11$-0.03$-0.07$-0.24$-0.17$-0.03$-0.09$-0.26
EPS Surprise-$1.06-$0.07+$0.01+$0.87-$0.01-$0.17+$0.14-$3.81
% Diff-975.4%-209.8%+11.6%+362.8%-3.8%-658.4%+155.6%-1443.6%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$8.89B$9.46B$9.05B$9.81B$8.98B$10.03B$9.62B$9.71B
Revenue (Estimated)$8.89B$9.35B$9.18B$9.77B$9.59B$10.18B$9.79B$10.07B
Revenue Surprise+$4.25M+$109.3M-$131.12M+$38.44M-$612.31M-$151.53M-$167.84M-$361.54M
% Diff+0.0%+1.2%-1.4%+0.4%-6.4%-1.5%-1.7%-3.6%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
FAIRLY VALUED

Warner Bros. Discovery is currently trading with notably elevated valuation multiples like P/E and EV/EBITDA relative to its industry peers and historical averages, suggesting market expectations for significant growth or improvements. However, mixed earnings performance, moderate revenue declines, and recent profitability challenges temper the outlook, with analyst consensus leaning towards a cautious hold rather than outright bullishness. The valuation appears stretched but supported by ongoing streaming growth and strategic cost management efforts.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

-31.47

TTM

Price to Sales

1.83

TTM

Price to Book

2.08

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

4.95

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

1.78

TTM

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Price to Earnings-5.13-70.76-81.784.49-14.58-13.1337.48-0.44
Price to Sales7.697.545.352.892.942.592.101.79
Price to Book2.101.991.340.790.780.760.580.51
Enterprise Value to EBITDA34.2066.5339.647.2612.6912.4110.60-13.58
Enterprise Value to Revenue7.4910.508.645.926.686.005.935.64

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
MIXED

Warner Bros. Discovery's sentiment is mixed with cautious optimism driven by strong streaming subscriber growth and the recent acquisition agreement by Paramount Skydance. Despite positive operational developments, concerns about overvaluation and significant insider selling keep market sentiment guarded. Analysts maintain a neutral stance pending further clarity on deal execution and long-term financial impacts.

Analyst Recommendations

As of May 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Hold
2.9 / 5.0
Based on 21 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
1
Sell
2
Hold
17
Buy
1
Strong Buy
0

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
HIGH

Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) is navigating significant financial and operational challenges amid a transitioning media landscape and a complex acquisition process. While liquidity has stabilized modestly, elevated debt levels and weak earnings coverage raise concerns about financial flexibility. Ongoing declines in linear TV revenue and high competition in streaming heighten execution and market risks for investors.

Liquidity & Solvency

Current Ratio

0.73

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Quick Ratio

0.73

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Debt-to-Equity

0.05

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Debt-to-Assets

0.02

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Liquidity Metrics
Current Ratio0.731.061.071.040.840.890.800.76
Quick Ratio0.731.061.071.040.840.890.800.76
Solvency Metrics
Debt-to-Equity0.050.910.940.961.111.161.151.19
Debt-to-Assets0.020.330.340.340.370.380.380.38

Liquidity Assessment

Current Ratio: 0.73(Weak)

Quick Ratio: 0.73(Weak)

The company has relatively weak liquidity and may face challenges meeting short-term obligations.

Solvency Assessment

Debt-to-Equity: 0.05(Low)

Debt-to-Assets: 0.02(Low)

The company has conservative debt levels, indicating low financial risk and strong long-term solvency.

Frequently Asked Questions about WBD

AI Answers: Common Questions About WBD

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.

WBD is not a clear buy at current levels ($27.11): valuation is fair but not cheap (P/E -38.73, price-to-sales above industry), technicals are consolidating, and earnings remain volatile. Investors should wait for a breakout above $27.40 or clear improvement in fundamentals before considering entry.

If you already own WBD, there is no urgent reason to sell unless your risk tolerance is low; the stock is consolidating with no strong technical breakdown, but persistent losses and acquisition uncertainty mean caution is warranted. Consider reducing exposure if the price falls below key support ($26), or if upcoming earnings/guidance disappoint.

The biggest risks are high leverage (debt/equity ~0.9, debt/assets 32.5%), weak liquidity (current ratio just above 1.0), and negative earnings (interest coverage <1.0, EPS -$1.17 in Q1 2026). Acquisition execution and regulatory outcomes could also materially impact the stock.

Analyst consensus targets are around $31, with technical resistance at $27.40 and $30.00; support lies at $26 and $23.10. Near-term price action is likely to remain range-bound between $26 and $30 pending a breakout or new catalyst.

WBD is fairly valued: while the P/E is negative and high relative to peers, EV/EBITDA is below sector average, and price-to-sales is moderately above industry. The market is pricing in future growth, but current fundamentals do not fully justify a premium.

Fundamentals are mixed: gross margin improved to 47.8% in Q1 2026, but operating and net margins remain negative, and revenue declined 11% YoY. High debt and inconsistent earnings quality limit financial flexibility and long-term return metrics.

Technical analysis shows consolidation: price is just below the 50 SMA ($27.40), with neutral RSI (46) and weak ADX (<20). A breakout above $27.40 could target $30, while a drop below $26 risks a move toward $23.10.

Key catalysts include the outcome and integration of the Paramount Skydance acquisition, upcoming earnings reports (especially signs of sustainable streaming profitability), and any major content/IP launches or regulatory developments.

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