WFC AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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Wells Fargo & Company (WFC)

$75.18+1.60 (+2.17%) today

Open
$73.90
High
$75.25
Low
$72.87
Volume
17.15M
Mkt Cap
$230.07B
52W High
$97.76
AI Verdict
Confidence 87%
WFCWells Fargo & Company
AlphaCrew AI
HOLD
Overall
Summary

Wells Fargo (WFC) offers a stable, income-oriented profile with solid fundamentals and fair valuation, but faces near-term technical weakness and plateauing growth. While long-term prospects are supported by regulatory relief and operational improvements, current momentum and sentiment are mixed, suggesting limited upside until new catalysts emerge. Investors may consider holding for dividends and potential capital return, but short-term traders should remain cautious.

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Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
NEUTRAL

Wells Fargo (WFC) demonstrates consistent profitability and generally robust fundamentals, but recent quarters display muted growth and softening in revenue expansion. Despite its scale and efficiency, the bank faces pressure from evolving market conditions and mixed earnings results.

Financial Highlights

Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026$0$8.0B$16.0B$24.0B$32.0BRevenue & Net Income ($)16.5%17%17.5%18%18.5%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$31.80B

7.32% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Income

$5.29B

8.09% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Margin

16.64%

Q1 2026

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

7.32%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Net Income Growth YoY

8.09%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

10.74%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

EPS Growth YoY

14.89%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

1.72%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Revenue31.8B31.8B31.9B30.2B29.6B30.6B31.7B31.6B
Revenue Growth YoY+7.32%+3.98%+0.73%-4.64%-5.87%+0.17%+6.13%+12.23%
Net Income5.3B5.4B5.6B5.5B4.9B5.1B5.1B4.9B
Net Income Growth YoY+8.09%+5.55%+9.29%+11.89%+5.95%+47.39%-11.32%-0.57%
EPS$1.62$1.69$1.68$1.61$1.41$1.45$1.43$1.35
EPS Growth YoY+14.89%+16.55%+17.48%+19.26%+16.53%+66.67%-4.03%+7.14%

Profitability Metrics

Gross Margin

63.88%

TTM

Operating Margin

18.40%

TTM

Net Margin

16.64%

TTM

Return on Equity

12.04%

TTM

Return on Assets

1.00%

TTM

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Gross Margin63.88%64.45%65.05%64.82%64.86%63.02%60.94%61.46%
Operating Margin18.40%20.51%21.65%21.33%17.98%17.59%19.68%19.46%
Net Margin16.64%16.85%17.52%18.20%16.52%16.60%16.15%15.51%
Return on Equity (ROE)2.97%2.96%3.09%3.03%2.70%2.84%2.79%2.78%
Return on Assets (ROA)0.24%0.25%0.28%0.28%0.26%0.27%0.27%0.26%

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
BEARISH

WFC is currently in a strong downtrend confined within a Stage 4 declining phase. Price is trading below key moving averages with a death cross confirmed, indicating bearish technical conditions. Momentum shows weakness with RSI in a neutral zone and ADX signaling a low trend strength, suggesting the downtrend may be stabilizing but no clear reversal is in sight.

RSI
Hold
Neutral37

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Sell
Strong Downtrend

Price in downtrend

-10.8% from 200 SMA
ADX
Hold
Weak/No Trend18

Range-bound market

Weak
MA Cross
Sell
Below 50/200

50 below 200 - bearish

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$75.18
50 SMA
$79.82
150 SMA
$85.46
200 SMA
$84.28
52W High
$97.76
52W Low
$71.90

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
37Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
NEUTRAL

Wells Fargo (WFC) demonstrates consistent profitability and generally robust fundamentals, but recent quarters display muted growth and softening in revenue expansion. Despite its scale and efficiency, the bank faces pressure from evolving market conditions and mixed earnings results.

Latest Earnings

Q1 2026 Earnings (Mar 31, 2026)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Miss

Actual

$1.56

Estimated

$1.58

Surprise

$-0.02

Surprise %

-1.27%

Revenue

Miss

Actual

$21.45B

Estimated

$21.79B

Surprise

-$346.36M

Surprise %

-1.59%

Historical Earnings

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$1.56$1.62$1.73$1.54$1.27$1.42$1.52$1.33
EPS (Estimated)$1.58$1.66$1.55$1.41$1.23$1.32$1.28$1.29
EPS Surprise-$0.02-$0.04+$0.18+$0.13+$0.04+$0.10+$0.24+$0.04
% Diff-1.3%-2.4%+11.6%+9.2%+3.3%+7.6%+18.8%+3.1%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$21.45B$21.29B$21.44B$20.82B$20.15B$20.38B$20.37B$20.69B
Revenue (Estimated)$21.79B$21.65B$21.15B$20.76B$20.72B$20.59B$20.4B$20.3B
Revenue Surprise-$346.36M-$357.32M+$290.08M+$66.1M-$572.21M-$211.15M-$36.77M+$386.13M
% Diff-1.6%-1.7%+1.4%+0.3%-2.8%-1.0%-0.2%+1.9%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis

Wells Fargo (WFC) currently trades at valuation metrics reflective of moderate pricing within the banking sector, with a price suggesting near fair value but accompanied by potential upside per analyst targets. Its stable earnings growth, improving margins, and reasonable price multiples relative to peers underline a fundamentally sound investment, although some caution persists around interest coverage and debt leverage. The consensus moderately bullish analyst recommendations and optimistic price targets indicate confidence in the bank's ability to navigate banking sector challenges in 2026.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

11.00

TTM

Price to Sales

1.83

TTM

Price to Book

1.34

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

16.02

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

4.02

TTM

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Price to Earnings11.9613.8211.9211.7912.0311.459.3510.64
Price to Sales7.969.318.358.587.957.616.046.60
Price to Book1.421.641.471.431.301.301.041.18
Enterprise Value to EBITDA90.3963.3457.2251.4651.6942.2437.3733.80
Enterprise Value to Revenue16.6317.2215.6914.2012.5310.179.468.68

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
MIXED

Wells Fargo (WFC) currently experiences mixed but cautiously optimistic sentiment driven by its return to growth following the lifting of the Federal Reserve's asset cap. Analysts predominantly rate the stock as a Moderate Buy with upside potential reflected in price targets near $97-$98, although recent insider selling and credit loss concerns temper enthusiasm. Retail investor sentiment appears divided, with increased social media chatter and notable options activity indicating both interest and caution.

Analyst Recommendations

As of May 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Buy
3.8 / 5.0
Based on 26 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
0
Sell
0
Hold
9
Buy
12
Strong Buy
5

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
MODERATE

Wells Fargo shows a mixed risk profile with strong strides in regulatory recovery but notable financial leverage and liquidity constraints typical for large banks. Its regulatory challenges have lessened significantly with the Federal Reserve enforcement action termination, yet exposure to interest rate shifts and commercial real estate risks remain. Market sentiment is moderately positive, reflecting confidence in earnings growth potential despite recent pressure on margins and stock price.

Liquidity & Solvency

Current Ratio

0.34

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Quick Ratio

0.34

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Debt-to-Equity

2.53

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Debt-to-Assets

0.20

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Liquidity Metrics
Current Ratio0.340.290.270.280.270.270.280.28
Quick Ratio0.340.290.270.280.270.270.280.28
Solvency Metrics
Debt-to-Equity2.532.352.252.011.731.571.601.69
Debt-to-Assets0.200.200.200.180.160.150.150.15

Liquidity Assessment

Current Ratio: 0.34(Weak)

Quick Ratio: 0.34(Weak)

The company has relatively weak liquidity and may face challenges meeting short-term obligations.

Solvency Assessment

Debt-to-Equity: 2.53(High)

Debt-to-Assets: 0.20(Low)

The company has relatively high debt levels, which may increase financial risk in economic downturns.

Frequently Asked Questions about WFC

AI Answers: Common Questions About WFC

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Wells Fargo & Company

WFC is fairly valued at a P/E of 11.7x and P/B just above 1, with analyst targets suggesting 20-27% upside to ~$97-$98. However, the stock is in a technical downtrend and recent earnings have missed expectations, so it is not an ideal buy right now for momentum or growth investors. Income-focused investors may consider accumulating on further weakness near support.

If you already own WFC, there is no urgent reason to sell given its stable fundamentals and fair valuation, unless your thesis was based on near-term capital gains. Technicals are bearish, so traders may consider reducing exposure, but long-term holders can maintain positions for dividends and potential recovery.

Key risks include high leverage (debt/equity >2.5), interest coverage below 1, rising credit costs (especially in commercial real estate), and ongoing margin compression. Regulatory risks have eased but could resurface, and a macroeconomic downturn could further pressure earnings.

Analyst price targets cluster around $97-$98, implying 20-27% upside from current levels. Technically, key support is at $71.90 (52-week low), with resistance at $80.13 (50 SMA) and $84.38 (200 SMA). A move above $85 would be needed to confirm a reversal.

WFC is trading at a P/E of 11.7x, slightly below peer averages, and a P/S of ~2.4x, indicating fair valuation. EV/EBITDA is 16-18x, in line with sector norms. The stock is neither overvalued nor deeply undervalued, reflecting its stable but unexciting growth outlook.

WFC maintains healthy gross margins (63-65%) and net income margins (~17%), with a strong deposit base and consistent profitability. However, revenue shrank -1.5% YoY in 2025, and recent quarters show slowing growth and minor margin compression. The balance sheet is solid but leverage and liquidity ratios are typical for large banks.

Technical analysis is bearish: the stock is in a Stage 4 downtrend, trading below all key moving averages, with a death cross confirmed and RSI at 34.38 near oversold. No reversal patterns have formed, and support is at $71.90; traders should wait for a base or uptrend before buying.

Key catalysts include upcoming earnings (potential for a positive surprise if credit costs stabilize), further digital banking initiatives, and any macroeconomic shifts such as rate hikes. Watch for improvements in non-interest income, regulatory developments, and signs of technical bottoming.

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