WMT AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

Walmart Inc. (WMT)

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

Walmart remains a global retail powerhouse, consistently posting robust financials with steady growth in both revenue and profitability. Its defensive business model allows it to weather economic fluctuations well, and recent results underline strong operational execution and cash flow generation.

Financial Highlights

Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026$0$50.0B$100.0B$150.0B$200.0BRevenue & Net Income ($)2%2.5%3%3.5%4%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$177.75B

7.33% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Income

$5.65B

25.92% YoY

Q1 2026

Net Margin

3.18%

Q1 2026

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

7.33%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Net Income Growth YoY

25.92%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

7.90%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

EPS Growth YoY

19.64%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

11.98%

Latest Quarter: Q1 2026

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Revenue177.8B190.7B179.5B177.4B165.6B180.6B169.6B169.3B
Revenue Growth YoY+7.33%+5.60%+5.84%+4.76%+2.54%+4.13%+5.46%+4.77%
Net Income5.7B4.2B6.1B7.0B4.5B5.3B4.6B4.5B
Net Income Growth YoY+25.92%-19.36%+34.21%+56.10%-12.09%-4.37%+910.38%-42.96%
EPS$0.67$0.53$0.77$0.88$0.56$0.65$0.57$0.56
EPS Growth YoY+19.64%-18.46%+35.09%+57.14%-11.11%-4.41%+916.04%-42.86%

Profitability Metrics

No profitability metrics available

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
NEUTRAL

WMT is currently in a topping phase with mixed to bearish technical signals. Price is trading below key short-term moving averages, with weak momentum reflected by a low ADX and neutral RSI, signaling indecision and a possible range-bound or downward correction. Support is seen near $116 and $115, with resistance around $119-$125, indicating a cautious trading environment.

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
BULLISH

Walmart remains a global retail powerhouse, consistently posting robust financials with steady growth in both revenue and profitability. Its defensive business model allows it to weather economic fluctuations well, and recent results underline strong operational execution and cash flow generation.

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
OVERVALUED

Walmart exhibits a premium valuation with elevated P/E and EV/EBITDA ratios compared to its discount retail peers and its own historical averages. However, strong revenue and earnings growth alongside robust market leadership justify investor willingness to pay a premium. Analyst consensus supports moderate to strong buy recommendations with upside potential around 18-20%.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

41.90

TTM

Price to Sales

1.31

TTM

Price to Book

10.09

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

21.06

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

1.40

TTM

 Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024
Price to Earnings49.2356.2032.8527.8443.4237.7535.9430.64
Price to Sales5.914.984.494.414.704.373.883.26
Price to Book11.159.538.408.679.308.667.486.54
Enterprise Value to EBITDA95.5496.5569.3161.6883.7075.9271.2159.85
Enterprise Value to Revenue6.275.284.824.725.054.654.193.57

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
POSITIVE

Walmart's market sentiment is broadly positive, supported by strong analyst buy recommendations and strategic growth initiatives, including omnichannel expansion and AI investments. Although there are some concerns about consumer spending pressure and rising costs, Walmart's share price is seen as having upside potential with price targets around $138-$139. Recent news highlights Walmart's competitive promotional events and international e-commerce expansion, maintaining investor confidence.

Analyst Recommendations

No analyst recommendations available.

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
MODERATE

Walmart Inc. presents a stable but moderately leveraged financial profile with key risks centered on inflationary pressures, wage inflation, and operational execution at scale. The company enjoys solid market sentiment supported by strong e-commerce growth and diversified revenue streams, though valuation appears stretched relative to sector averages. Liquidity metrics suggest limited short-term cushion, while solvency is managed with moderate debt levels and a robust interest coverage ratio.

Liquidity & Solvency

Frequently Asked Questions about WMT

AI Answers: Common Questions About WMT

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Walmart Inc.

Walmart is a fundamentally strong company, but with a P/E ratio of 41.26 (well above sector and historical averages) and current price below the 50-day SMA, it is not an ideal buy for short-term traders right now. Long-term investors can consider accumulating on pullbacks near $115-$116 support, as the business remains robust and growth prospects are solid.

There is no urgent reason to sell if you are a long-term investor, as fundamentals remain strong and sentiment is positive. However, if you are a short-term trader or bought near recent highs, technical weakness and overvaluation suggest it may be prudent to trim or wait for a technical rebound before adding.

The biggest risks are margin compression from inflation and wage increases, a premium valuation (P/E 41.26, EV/EBITDA >20) that could compress if growth slows, and moderate liquidity (current ratio below 1). Operational missteps or macroeconomic shocks could also pressure the stock.

Analyst price targets average $138.85 (10-18% upside), with technical resistance at $119-$125 and support at $115-$116. If the stock breaks below $115, downside risk increases toward $110; upside is capped near $125 in the short term unless technicals improve.

Walmart is currently overvalued by traditional metrics, with a P/E of 41.26 and EV/EBITDA above 20, both well above sector norms (P/E low 20s). This premium is justified by its growth and stability, but limits near-term upside and increases risk if growth expectations are not met.

Fundamentally, Walmart is very strong: revenue and EPS are growing (EPS up 13% YoY), margins are expanding (gross margin 25.1%, net margin 3.2%), and cash flow is robust. The company has a balanced capital structure (debt/equity 0.78) and a dominant market position in groceries and e-commerce.

Technical analysis is cautious: the stock is in a topping phase, trading below the 50-day SMA ($125.10), with RSI at 38 and MACD negative. Key support is at $116-$115; a break below this could trigger further downside to $110, while resistance is at $119-$125.

Key catalysts include upcoming earnings reports (where Walmart has a track record of beats), continued growth in e-commerce and advertising, and major promotional events like 'Walmart Deals.' Watch for digital expansion, AI investments, and macroeconomic data on inflation and consumer spending.

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