WMT AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?
Walmart Inc. (WMT)
Fundamentals
Walmart Inc. demonstrates stable financial health with consistent revenue growth and solid profitability metrics. The company has effectively navigated challenging retail environments by sustaining strong operational margins and generating quality earnings, though its high valuation indicates elevated market expectations.
Financial Highlights
- Revenue
- Net Income
- Net Margin (%)
Revenue
7.33% YoY
Q1 2026
Net Income
18.79% YoY
Q1 2026
Net Margin
Q1 2026
Growth Metrics
Revenue Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Net Income Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Revenue Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
EPS Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Book Value Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 177.8B | 190.7B | 179.5B | 177.4B | 165.6B | 180.6B | 169.6B | 169.3B |
| Revenue Growth YoY | +7.33% | +5.60% | +5.84% | +4.76% | +2.54% | +4.13% | +5.46% | +4.77% |
| Net Income | 5.3B | 4.2B | 6.1B | 7.0B | 4.5B | 5.3B | 4.6B | 4.5B |
| Net Income Growth YoY | +18.79% | -19.36% | +34.21% | +56.10% | -12.09% | -4.37% | +910.38% | -42.96% |
| EPS | $0.67 | $0.53 | $0.77 | $0.88 | $0.56 | $0.65 | $0.57 | $0.56 |
| EPS Growth YoY | +19.64% | -18.46% | +35.09% | +57.14% | -11.11% | -4.41% | +916.04% | -42.86% |
Profitability Metrics
Technical Analysis
WMT is currently in a consolidation phase, showing a predominantly bearish technical setup with price below major moving averages and a death cross active. Key support lies near $108.40-$109.27, with resistance levels at $119 and $134.20 marking potential breakout thresholds. Momentum is neutral to slightly bearish, with mixed MACD and RSI signals indicating indecision near current price levels.
Earnings
Walmart Inc. demonstrates stable financial health with consistent revenue growth and solid profitability metrics. The company has effectively navigated challenging retail environments by sustaining strong operational margins and generating quality earnings, though its high valuation indicates elevated market expectations.
Latest Earnings
Q1 2026 Earnings (Apr 30, 2026)
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Actual
$0.66
Estimated
$0.66
Surprise
+$0.00
Surprise %
+0.15%
Revenue
Actual
$177.75B
Estimated
$174.84B
Surprise
+$2.91B
Surprise %
+1.66%
Historical Earnings
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Per Share | ||||||||
| EPS (Actual) | $0.66 | $0.74 | $0.62 | $0.68 | $0.61 | $0.66 | $0.58 | $0.67 |
| EPS (Estimated) | $0.66 | $0.73 | $0.60 | $0.73 | $0.57 | $0.65 | $0.53 | $0.65 |
| EPS Surprise | +$0.00 | +$0.01 | +$0.02 | -$0.05 | +$0.04 | +$0.01 | +$0.05 | +$0.02 |
| % Diff | +0.2% | +1.8% | +3.2% | -7.2% | +6.1% | +2.2% | +9.4% | +3.1% |
| Revenue | ||||||||
| Revenue (Actual) | $177.75B | $190.66B | $179.5B | $177.4B | $165.61B | $180.55B | $169.59B | $169.34B |
| Revenue (Estimated) | $174.84B | $190.49B | $177.44B | $175.94B | $165.62B | $180.07B | $167.69B | $168.56B |
| Revenue Surprise | +$2.91B | +$164.7M | +$2.05B | +$1.47B | -$10.79M | +$479.65M | +$1.9B | +$770.48M |
| % Diff | +1.7% | +0.1% | +1.2% | +0.8% | -0.0% | +0.3% | +1.1% | +0.5% |
Valuation
Walmart is currently trading at a premium valuation relative to its sector peers and historical averages, supported by steady revenue and earnings growth with significant analyst confidence reflected in strong buy ratings and price targets well above the current price. Despite elevated multiples, Walmart's business transformation into a diversified retailer with growth in advertising and membership revenues provides a robust justification for its valuation. However, certain liquidity metrics and cash flow trends suggest caution and warrant monitoring.
Valuation Metrics
Price to Earnings
TTM
Price to Sales
TTM
Price to Book
TTM
Enterprise Value to EBITDA
TTM
Enterprise Value to Revenue
TTM
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price to Earnings | 49.23 | 56.20 | 32.85 | 27.84 | 43.42 | 37.75 | 35.94 | 30.64 |
| Price to Sales | 5.91 | 4.98 | 4.49 | 4.41 | 4.70 | 4.37 | 3.88 | 3.26 |
| Price to Book | 11.15 | 9.53 | 8.40 | 8.67 | 9.30 | 8.66 | 7.48 | 6.54 |
| Enterprise Value to EBITDA | 95.54 | 96.55 | 69.31 | 61.68 | 83.70 | 75.92 | 71.21 | 59.85 |
| Enterprise Value to Revenue | 6.27 | 5.28 | 4.82 | 4.72 | 5.05 | 4.65 | 4.19 | 3.57 |
Sentiment & Analyst Ratings
Walmart (WMT) currently exhibits moderately positive market sentiment driven by strong analyst support and promising growth initiatives, despite some caution among retail investors and insider selling. Analyst consensus broadly favors a Buy rating with price targets averaging around $138, indicating upside potential from current levels. News highlights include strategic AI investments, sustainability efforts, and community support, which underpin confidence, while social media sentiment reflects a somewhat cautious yet optimistic retail mood.
Analyst Recommendations
Risk Assessment
Walmart presents a moderate financial risk profile characterized by a solid operational scale but constrained short-term liquidity and moderate leverage. The company is effectively managing significant capital investments and competitive pressures but faces margin squeeze risks due to rising costs and tight pricing strategies within a challenging retail environment. Overall, Walmart's robust market position and strategic shifts to higher-margin revenue streams support a stable outlook, though vigilance is needed on operational execution and cost inflation risks.
Liquidity & Solvency
Frequently Asked Questions about WMT
AI Answers: Common Questions About WMT
Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Walmart Inc.
Walmart is a good buy for long-term investors due to its consistent revenue growth above 4.7% annually, strong earnings CAGR near 15%, and dominant market position. However, its high P/E ratio of 41.19 suggests limited near-term upside, so consider holding or buying on dips near $108-$109 support.
Selling is not recommended currently as fundamentals remain strong and analyst sentiment is positive. However, if the stock breaks below critical support near $108 or earnings disappoint materially, reassess the position.
Key risks include margin pressure from inflation and labor costs, execution challenges in digital transformation, and intensified competition from online and discount retailers. Liquidity ratios below 1.0 also pose short-term financial flexibility concerns.
Analyst price targets average around $138, implying approximately 24-26% upside from the current price of $111.20, supported by growth in e-commerce and advertising segments.
Walmart is currently overvalued relative to sector peers with a P/E of 41.19, nearly double the retail average, and a very high EV/EBITDA ratio. This premium reflects market confidence but increases downside risk if growth or margins falter.
Fundamentals are strong with stable gross margins near 25%, operating margins around 4%, and net margins near 3%. Revenue grew from $648B in FY2023 to over $713B in FY2025, and net income rose from $15.5B to $21.9B in the same period.
Technically, Walmart is in a bearish consolidation phase with price below all major SMAs and a death cross active. Support at $108.40-$109.27 is critical, with resistance at $119 and $134.20. Momentum is neutral to bearish, suggesting limited short-term upside.
Upcoming earnings reports, successful digital and supply chain initiatives, and positive developments in advertising and membership growth could act as catalysts to drive the stock higher.
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