WMT AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?
Walmart Inc. (WMT)
Fundamentals
Walmart remains a global retail powerhouse, consistently posting robust financials with steady growth in both revenue and profitability. Its defensive business model allows it to weather economic fluctuations well, and recent results underline strong operational execution and cash flow generation.
Financial Highlights
- Revenue
- Net Income
- Net Margin (%)
Revenue
7.33% YoY
Q1 2026
Net Income
25.92% YoY
Q1 2026
Net Margin
Q1 2026
Growth Metrics
Revenue Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Net Income Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Revenue Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
EPS Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
Book Value Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q1 2026
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 177.8B | 190.7B | 179.5B | 177.4B | 165.6B | 180.6B | 169.6B | 169.3B |
| Revenue Growth YoY | +7.33% | +5.60% | +5.84% | +4.76% | +2.54% | +4.13% | +5.46% | +4.77% |
| Net Income | 5.7B | 4.2B | 6.1B | 7.0B | 4.5B | 5.3B | 4.6B | 4.5B |
| Net Income Growth YoY | +25.92% | -19.36% | +34.21% | +56.10% | -12.09% | -4.37% | +910.38% | -42.96% |
| EPS | $0.67 | $0.53 | $0.77 | $0.88 | $0.56 | $0.65 | $0.57 | $0.56 |
| EPS Growth YoY | +19.64% | -18.46% | +35.09% | +57.14% | -11.11% | -4.41% | +916.04% | -42.86% |
Profitability Metrics
Technical Analysis
WMT is currently in a topping phase with mixed to bearish technical signals. Price is trading below key short-term moving averages, with weak momentum reflected by a low ADX and neutral RSI, signaling indecision and a possible range-bound or downward correction. Support is seen near $116 and $115, with resistance around $119-$125, indicating a cautious trading environment.
Earnings
Walmart remains a global retail powerhouse, consistently posting robust financials with steady growth in both revenue and profitability. Its defensive business model allows it to weather economic fluctuations well, and recent results underline strong operational execution and cash flow generation.
Valuation
Walmart exhibits a premium valuation with elevated P/E and EV/EBITDA ratios compared to its discount retail peers and its own historical averages. However, strong revenue and earnings growth alongside robust market leadership justify investor willingness to pay a premium. Analyst consensus supports moderate to strong buy recommendations with upside potential around 18-20%.
Valuation Metrics
Price to Earnings
TTM
Price to Sales
TTM
Price to Book
TTM
Enterprise Value to EBITDA
TTM
Enterprise Value to Revenue
TTM
| Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | Q2 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price to Earnings | 49.23 | 56.20 | 32.85 | 27.84 | 43.42 | 37.75 | 35.94 | 30.64 |
| Price to Sales | 5.91 | 4.98 | 4.49 | 4.41 | 4.70 | 4.37 | 3.88 | 3.26 |
| Price to Book | 11.15 | 9.53 | 8.40 | 8.67 | 9.30 | 8.66 | 7.48 | 6.54 |
| Enterprise Value to EBITDA | 95.54 | 96.55 | 69.31 | 61.68 | 83.70 | 75.92 | 71.21 | 59.85 |
| Enterprise Value to Revenue | 6.27 | 5.28 | 4.82 | 4.72 | 5.05 | 4.65 | 4.19 | 3.57 |
Sentiment & Analyst Ratings
Walmart's market sentiment is broadly positive, supported by strong analyst buy recommendations and strategic growth initiatives, including omnichannel expansion and AI investments. Although there are some concerns about consumer spending pressure and rising costs, Walmart's share price is seen as having upside potential with price targets around $138-$139. Recent news highlights Walmart's competitive promotional events and international e-commerce expansion, maintaining investor confidence.
Analyst Recommendations
No analyst recommendations available.
Risk Assessment
Walmart Inc. presents a stable but moderately leveraged financial profile with key risks centered on inflationary pressures, wage inflation, and operational execution at scale. The company enjoys solid market sentiment supported by strong e-commerce growth and diversified revenue streams, though valuation appears stretched relative to sector averages. Liquidity metrics suggest limited short-term cushion, while solvency is managed with moderate debt levels and a robust interest coverage ratio.
Liquidity & Solvency
Frequently Asked Questions about WMT
AI Answers: Common Questions About WMT
Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Walmart Inc.
Walmart is a fundamentally strong company, but with a P/E ratio of 41.26 (well above sector and historical averages) and current price below the 50-day SMA, it is not an ideal buy for short-term traders right now. Long-term investors can consider accumulating on pullbacks near $115-$116 support, as the business remains robust and growth prospects are solid.
There is no urgent reason to sell if you are a long-term investor, as fundamentals remain strong and sentiment is positive. However, if you are a short-term trader or bought near recent highs, technical weakness and overvaluation suggest it may be prudent to trim or wait for a technical rebound before adding.
The biggest risks are margin compression from inflation and wage increases, a premium valuation (P/E 41.26, EV/EBITDA >20) that could compress if growth slows, and moderate liquidity (current ratio below 1). Operational missteps or macroeconomic shocks could also pressure the stock.
Analyst price targets average $138.85 (10-18% upside), with technical resistance at $119-$125 and support at $115-$116. If the stock breaks below $115, downside risk increases toward $110; upside is capped near $125 in the short term unless technicals improve.
Walmart is currently overvalued by traditional metrics, with a P/E of 41.26 and EV/EBITDA above 20, both well above sector norms (P/E low 20s). This premium is justified by its growth and stability, but limits near-term upside and increases risk if growth expectations are not met.
Fundamentally, Walmart is very strong: revenue and EPS are growing (EPS up 13% YoY), margins are expanding (gross margin 25.1%, net margin 3.2%), and cash flow is robust. The company has a balanced capital structure (debt/equity 0.78) and a dominant market position in groceries and e-commerce.
Technical analysis is cautious: the stock is in a topping phase, trading below the 50-day SMA ($125.10), with RSI at 38 and MACD negative. Key support is at $116-$115; a break below this could trigger further downside to $110, while resistance is at $119-$125.
Key catalysts include upcoming earnings reports (where Walmart has a track record of beats), continued growth in e-commerce and advertising, and major promotional events like 'Walmart Deals.' Watch for digital expansion, AI investments, and macroeconomic data on inflation and consumer spending.
Want a Personalized Answer?
Get AI-powered insights tailored to your risk tolerance and investment goals.