XOM AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?
Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM)
Fundamentals
Exxon Mobil (XOM) presents a robust financial profile with consistent revenue generation exceeding $320 billion annually and stable profitability despite volatile energy markets. The company's integrated business model and operational efficiency support resilient margins and steady earnings growth, underscored by solid quarterly results and minimal deviations from analyst expectations.
Financial Highlights
- Revenue
- Net Income
- Net Margin (%)
Revenue
44.10% YoY
Q2 2026
Net Income
105.10% YoY
Q2 2026
Net Margin
Q2 2026
Growth Metrics
Revenue Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
Net Income Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
Revenue Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
EPS Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
Book Value Per Share Growth YoY
Latest Quarter: Q2 2026
| Q2 2026 | Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 114.5B | 83.2B | 80.0B | 83.3B | 79.5B | 81.1B | 81.1B | 87.8B |
| Revenue Growth YoY | +44.10% | +2.59% | -1.26% | -5.08% | -11.68% | +0.80% | -0.77% | -0.88% |
| Net Income | 14.5B | 4.2B | 6.5B | 7.5B | 7.1B | 7.7B | 7.6B | 8.6B |
| Net Income Growth YoY | +105.10% | -45.77% | -14.57% | -12.33% | -23.35% | -6.17% | -0.26% | -5.07% |
| EPS | $3.48 | $1.00 | $1.50 | $1.76 | $1.64 | $1.76 | $1.72 | $1.93 |
| EPS Growth YoY | +112.20% | -43.18% | -12.79% | -8.81% | -23.36% | -14.56% | -9.95% | -14.22% |
Profitability Metrics
Technical Analysis
XOM is currently in a strong uptrend, supported by a golden cross and price holding above key moving averages. Momentum is positive but RSI remains in a neutral zone, indicating room for further upside without being overbought. The stock is in a clear advancing phase with institutional buying evident.
No extreme reading
Price in uptrend
Strong trend active
50 above 200 - bullish
Key Technical Values
Price with Moving Averages
50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages
Relative Strength Index
Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes
RSI (14)
Earnings
Exxon Mobil (XOM) presents a robust financial profile with consistent revenue generation exceeding $320 billion annually and stable profitability despite volatile energy markets. The company's integrated business model and operational efficiency support resilient margins and steady earnings growth, underscored by solid quarterly results and minimal deviations from analyst expectations.
Latest Earnings
Q2 2026 Earnings (Jun 30, 2026)
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Actual
$3.52
Estimated
$3.56
Surprise
$-0.04
Surprise %
-1.12%
Revenue
Actual
$116.02B
Estimated
$109.94B
Surprise
+$6.08B
Surprise %
+5.53%
Historical Earnings
| Q2 2026 | Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Per Share | ||||||||
| EPS (Actual) | $3.52 | $1.16 | $1.71 | $1.88 | $1.64 | $1.76 | $1.67 | $1.92 |
| EPS (Estimated) | $3.56 | $0.98 | $1.70 | $1.82 | $1.57 | $1.75 | $1.77 | $1.88 |
| EPS Surprise | -$0.04 | +$0.18 | +$0.01 | +$0.06 | +$0.07 | +$0.01 | -$0.10 | +$0.04 |
| % Diff | -1.1% | +17.9% | +0.6% | +3.3% | +4.5% | +0.6% | -5.6% | +2.1% |
| Revenue | ||||||||
| Revenue (Actual) | $116.02B | $85.14B | $82.31B | $83.33B | $79.48B | $81.06B | $81.06B | $87.79B |
| Revenue (Estimated) | $109.94B | $81.13B | $80.63B | $86.47B | $80.7B | $86.35B | $86.33B | $89.97B |
| Revenue Surprise | +$6.08B | +$4.01B | +$1.68B | -$3.13B | -$1.22B | -$5.29B | -$5.28B | -$2.17B |
| % Diff | +5.5% | +4.9% | +2.1% | -3.6% | -1.5% | -6.1% | -6.1% | -2.4% |
Valuation
Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) currently trades at valuation multiples that generally align with its energy sector peers, particularly Chevron, reflecting a solid market position. Despite recent earnings growth challenges, the company maintains strong profitability and financial health, with analyst consensus converging on a moderate buy and a price target suggesting modest upside.
Valuation Metrics
Price to Earnings
TTM
Price to Sales
TTM
Price to Book
TTM
Enterprise Value to EBITDA
TTM
Enterprise Value to Revenue
TTM
| Q2 2026 | Q1 2026 | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 | Q3 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price to Earnings | 9.82 | 42.41 | 20.06 | 16.02 | 16.43 | 16.89 | 15.64 | 15.18 |
| Price to Sales | 4.98 | 8.53 | 6.51 | 5.86 | 5.87 | 6.55 | 5.92 | 5.96 |
| Price to Book | 2.20 | 2.79 | 2.01 | 1.87 | 1.78 | 2.02 | 1.82 | 1.95 |
| Enterprise Value to EBITDA | 22.41 | 74.30 | 36.78 | 29.33 | 29.00 | 31.48 | 29.87 | 27.64 |
| Enterprise Value to Revenue | 5.26 | 9.01 | 7.26 | 6.20 | 6.18 | 6.80 | 6.15 | 6.14 |
Sentiment & Analyst Ratings
ExxonMobil (XOM) currently exhibits a cautiously optimistic sentiment profile driven by robust Q2 earnings fueled by elevated oil prices amid geopolitical tensions. While analysts broadly maintain a 'Hold' or moderate 'Buy' stance backed by solid financials and shareholder returns, some caution remains due to geopolitical risks and valuation concerns. Social media sentiment is mixed, reflecting investor appreciation for operational strength tempered by uncertainty surrounding global energy supply dynamics.
Analyst Recommendations
Risk Assessment
Exxon Mobil (XOM) maintains a solid financial position characterized by moderate liquidity and low leverage, though liquidity ratios have slightly weakened recently. The company faces industry-specific risks including geopolitical tensions, volatile oil prices, and an accelerating energy transition which could pressure margins and earnings stability. Analyst sentiment is generally positive, cautiously optimistic about long-term fundamentals and shareholder returns despite near-term uncertainties.
Liquidity & Solvency
Frequently Asked Questions about XOM
AI Answers: Common Questions About XOM
Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Exxon Mobil Corporation
XOM is a good buy in the short term due to strong technical momentum and support near $146-$148, but medium and long-term investors should consider it a hold given fair valuation and sector risks.
There is no strong sell signal currently; margin pressures and geopolitical risks warrant caution, but stable cash flows and technical strength argue against selling now.
Key risks include commodity price volatility, geopolitical tensions affecting supply, and regulatory challenges related to the energy transition.
Analyst price targets suggest modest upside with resistance near $160-$162 and a longer-term target near the 52-week high of $176.41.
XOM trades at a P/E of 24.33 and normalized EV/EBITDA multiples aligned with peers, indicating fair valuation considering stable cash flows and sector cyclicality.
Exxon generates over $320 billion in annual revenue with consistent cash flow, EBITDA margins around 12%, and a conservative balance sheet with low leverage and strong interest coverage.
Technical indicators show a strong bullish trend with a golden cross, price above key moving averages, and RSI at 63, supporting potential short-term upside.
Positive catalysts include sustained high oil prices and successful energy transition investments, while risks from geopolitical disruptions and regulatory changes could moderate performance.
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