XOM AI Stock Analysis – Buy, Hold, or Avoid?

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Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM)

Fundamentals

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
NEUTRAL

Exxon Mobil (XOM) presents a robust financial profile with consistent revenue generation exceeding $320 billion annually and stable profitability despite volatile energy markets. The company's integrated business model and operational efficiency support resilient margins and steady earnings growth, underscored by solid quarterly results and minimal deviations from analyst expectations.

Financial Highlights

Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026Q2 2026$0$30.0B$60.0B$90.0B$120.0BRevenue & Net Income ($)3%6%9%12%15%Net Margin (%)
  • Revenue
  • Net Income
  • Net Margin (%)

Revenue

$114.53B

44.10% YoY

Q2 2026

Net Income

$14.53B

105.10% YoY

Q2 2026

Net Margin

12.68%

Q2 2026

Growth Metrics

Revenue Growth YoY

44.10%

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

Net Income Growth YoY

105.10%

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

Revenue Per Share Growth YoY

49.53%

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

EPS Growth YoY

112.20%

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

Book Value Per Share Growth YoY

2.28%

Latest Quarter: Q2 2026

 Q2 2026Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024
Revenue114.5B83.2B80.0B83.3B79.5B81.1B81.1B87.8B
Revenue Growth YoY+44.10%+2.59%-1.26%-5.08%-11.68%+0.80%-0.77%-0.88%
Net Income14.5B4.2B6.5B7.5B7.1B7.7B7.6B8.6B
Net Income Growth YoY+105.10%-45.77%-14.57%-12.33%-23.35%-6.17%-0.26%-5.07%
EPS$3.48$1.00$1.50$1.76$1.64$1.76$1.72$1.93
EPS Growth YoY+112.20%-43.18%-12.79%-8.81%-23.36%-14.56%-9.95%-14.22%

Profitability Metrics

No profitability metrics available

Technical Analysis

Candela
Candela
Technical Analysis
BULLISH

XOM is currently in a strong uptrend, supported by a golden cross and price holding above key moving averages. Momentum is positive but RSI remains in a neutral zone, indicating room for further upside without being overbought. The stock is in a clear advancing phase with institutional buying evident.

RSI
Hold
Neutral62

No extreme reading

03070100
Trend
Buy
Strong Uptrend

Price in uptrend

+11.3% from 200 SMA
ADX
Buy
Strong Trend25

Strong trend active

Strong
MA Cross
Buy
Above 50/200

50 above 200 - bullish

50
200

Key Technical Values

Price
$155.06
50 SMA
$146.37
150 SMA
$147.06
200 SMA
$139.37
52W High
$176.41
52W Low
$105.53

Price with Moving Averages

50-day, 150-day and 200-day simple moving averages

Price
50 SMA
150 SMA
200 SMA

Relative Strength Index

Momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes

RSI (14)

≤30 Oversold
≥70 Overbought
62Neutral

Earnings

Essentia
Essentia
Fundamental Analysis
NEUTRAL

Exxon Mobil (XOM) presents a robust financial profile with consistent revenue generation exceeding $320 billion annually and stable profitability despite volatile energy markets. The company's integrated business model and operational efficiency support resilient margins and steady earnings growth, underscored by solid quarterly results and minimal deviations from analyst expectations.

Latest Earnings

Q2 2026 Earnings (Jun 30, 2026)

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Miss

Actual

$3.52

Estimated

$3.56

Surprise

$-0.04

Surprise %

-1.12%

Revenue

Beat

Actual

$116.02B

Estimated

$109.94B

Surprise

+$6.08B

Surprise %

+5.53%

Historical Earnings

 Q2 2026Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024
Earnings Per Share
EPS (Actual)$3.52$1.16$1.71$1.88$1.64$1.76$1.67$1.92
EPS (Estimated)$3.56$0.98$1.70$1.82$1.57$1.75$1.77$1.88
EPS Surprise-$0.04+$0.18+$0.01+$0.06+$0.07+$0.01-$0.10+$0.04
% Diff-1.1%+17.9%+0.6%+3.3%+4.5%+0.6%-5.6%+2.1%
Revenue
Revenue (Actual)$116.02B$85.14B$82.31B$83.33B$79.48B$81.06B$81.06B$87.79B
Revenue (Estimated)$109.94B$81.13B$80.63B$86.47B$80.7B$86.35B$86.33B$89.97B
Revenue Surprise+$6.08B+$4.01B+$1.68B-$3.13B-$1.22B-$5.29B-$5.28B-$2.17B
% Diff+5.5%+4.9%+2.1%-3.6%-1.5%-6.1%-6.1%-2.4%

Valuation

Valorem
Valorem
Valuation Analysis
FAIRLY VALUED

Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) currently trades at valuation multiples that generally align with its energy sector peers, particularly Chevron, reflecting a solid market position. Despite recent earnings growth challenges, the company maintains strong profitability and financial health, with analyst consensus converging on a moderate buy and a price target suggesting modest upside.

Valuation Metrics

Price to Earnings

20.03

TTM

Price to Sales

1.78

TTM

Price to Book

2.50

TTM

Enterprise Value to EBITDA

9.58

TTM

Enterprise Value to Revenue

1.87

TTM

 Q2 2026Q1 2026Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024Q3 2024
Price to Earnings9.8242.4120.0616.0216.4316.8915.6415.18
Price to Sales4.988.536.515.865.876.555.925.96
Price to Book2.202.792.011.871.782.021.821.95
Enterprise Value to EBITDA22.4174.3036.7829.3329.0031.4829.8727.64
Enterprise Value to Revenue5.269.017.266.206.186.806.156.14

Sentiment & Analyst Ratings

Pulse
Pulse
Sentiment Analysis
MIXED

ExxonMobil (XOM) currently exhibits a cautiously optimistic sentiment profile driven by robust Q2 earnings fueled by elevated oil prices amid geopolitical tensions. While analysts broadly maintain a 'Hold' or moderate 'Buy' stance backed by solid financials and shareholder returns, some caution remains due to geopolitical risks and valuation concerns. Social media sentiment is mixed, reflecting investor appreciation for operational strength tempered by uncertainty surrounding global energy supply dynamics.

Analyst Recommendations

As of Aug 1, 2026
Strong SellSellHoldBuyStrong Buy
Hold
3.5 / 5.0
Based on 25 analyst ratings
Strong Sell
0
Sell
1
Hold
14
Buy
7
Strong Buy
3

Risk Assessment

Sentinel
Sentinel
Risk Assessment
MODERATE

Exxon Mobil (XOM) maintains a solid financial position characterized by moderate liquidity and low leverage, though liquidity ratios have slightly weakened recently. The company faces industry-specific risks including geopolitical tensions, volatile oil prices, and an accelerating energy transition which could pressure margins and earnings stability. Analyst sentiment is generally positive, cautiously optimistic about long-term fundamentals and shareholder returns despite near-term uncertainties.

Liquidity & Solvency

Frequently Asked Questions about XOM

AI Answers: Common Questions About XOM

Get AI-powered answers to the questions investors ask most about Exxon Mobil Corporation

XOM is a good buy in the short term due to strong technical momentum and support near $146-$148, but medium and long-term investors should consider it a hold given fair valuation and sector risks.

There is no strong sell signal currently; margin pressures and geopolitical risks warrant caution, but stable cash flows and technical strength argue against selling now.

Key risks include commodity price volatility, geopolitical tensions affecting supply, and regulatory challenges related to the energy transition.

Analyst price targets suggest modest upside with resistance near $160-$162 and a longer-term target near the 52-week high of $176.41.

XOM trades at a P/E of 24.33 and normalized EV/EBITDA multiples aligned with peers, indicating fair valuation considering stable cash flows and sector cyclicality.

Exxon generates over $320 billion in annual revenue with consistent cash flow, EBITDA margins around 12%, and a conservative balance sheet with low leverage and strong interest coverage.

Technical indicators show a strong bullish trend with a golden cross, price above key moving averages, and RSI at 63, supporting potential short-term upside.

Positive catalysts include sustained high oil prices and successful energy transition investments, while risks from geopolitical disruptions and regulatory changes could moderate performance.

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